CE INFO SYSTEMS LTD S/RSupport and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ABFRLIs the financial engineering dead ?
Have a look at most of the demergers, they are short term euphoria.
ABFRL is no less. The Consultants take their million dollar fees for their MBA jargon / useless and non practical solutions and billions of dollars of losses for the shareholders.
Technically ABFRL could have a bounce back at Rs 77 but could consolidate here for a few months before trying to ascend.
TATA TECH - Bullish Inverted H&S Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: TATA TECHNOLOGIES ( NSE:TATATECH )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹750.55(Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹699.00(Daily Closing Basis) (~5.6% Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹773.45
₹795.70
₹816.35
₹840.55
₹867.00
₹896.85 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Inverted Head & Shoulder Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI >60 & Weekly RSI >50
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 3.43M(while posting) vs previous day's 767.40K (Nearly 5x surge while posting)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:TATATECH for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
RAMKAY INFRA technical analysis Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. (NSE: RAMKY) is currently trading at INR 510. The company operates in the engineering and infrastructure development sector, specializing in environmental services, real estate, and industrial projects across India.
Key Levels
Support Levels: INR 312.90, INR 461.70, INR 545.45
Swing Level: INR 634.05
Possible Upside Levels: INR 949.60, INR 1,098.40, INR 1,287.95
Technical Indicators
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50.03, indicating neutral momentum, meaning the stock is balanced without strong bullish or bearish pressure.
Volume: Trading volume has been stable, reflecting consistent investor interest. A surge in volume at resistance levels could confirm a breakout toward higher price points.
Sector and Market Context
Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. operates in India’s construction and infrastructure sector, benefiting from government-backed urban development projects, road construction initiatives, and smart city planning. The sector has seen strong demand growth, bolstered by budget allocations for capital expenditures and private sector participation in infrastructure financing. However, fluctuations in construction material costs, regulatory approvals, and financial structuring remain key risk factors. Investors continue to monitor India’s infrastructure investment trends, which provide long-term stability but are subject to economic cycles.
Latest News and Developments
Market Trends: Strong institutional interest in construction and infrastructure stocks, driven by India’s focus on urban expansion.
Analyst Ratings: Recent reports suggest positive earnings growth, backed by new project acquisitions and improved execution timelines.
Quarterly Results: The company reported consistent revenue and stable profit margins, despite higher operational costs.
Dividend Update: The firm has declared a dividend of ₹6 per share, reinforcing investor confidence in its financial stability.
Analysis Summary
Ramky Infrastructure Ltd. presents a stable technical setup, with RSI reflecting neutral positioning and price movement near key levels. Volume trends suggest continued investor engagement, while sector-wide expansion supports long-term growth potential. Investors should monitor price action at resistance levels, upcoming project approvals, and broader economic indicators before making investment decisions. A cautious but strategic approach is advisable, considering market volatility and cyclical industry risks
Kotak Bank – Structure Speaks, Are You Listening?Kotak Bank appears to be in the final stages of a WXYXZ complex correction on the weekly timeframe, with a zigzag pattern unfolding in Wave Z . A rejection from the 2301.90 zone has initiated a clean 5-wave decline, setting the tone for the final leg of the corrective structure.
This analysis combines high-level structure from the weekly chart with internal confirmations from the daily timeframe.
Weekly Chart Highlights
Wave W completed at 1631.00.
A rally into Wave X followed, peaking around 2064.40.
Wave Y took the form of a contracting triangle, breaking down to 1543.85.
From there, a sharp rally into 2301.90 formed Wave X2, failing to extend impulsively — suggesting corrective nature.
The decline from X2 is forming a potential 5-3-5 zigzag, labeled as Wave Z.
Fibonacci projection for Wave C of Z lies between 0.618 (1863.65) and 1.0 (1592.75) of Wave A.
Invalidation level: A price move above 2301.90 invalidates the Z wave scenario.
Daily Chart Observations:
The internal structure from the 2301.90 top shows:
A 5-wave decline in Wave A, ending with a clear ending diagonal in the 5th wave.
This suggests exhaustion and a likely short-term bounce.
Wave B is anticipated as a 3-wave corrective rally, targeting:
0.5 retracement at 2168.05
0.618 retracement at 2199.65
A final 5-wave decline from there would complete Wave C and conclude the larger Wave Z.
Conclusion
Kotak Bank is potentially in the final zigzag leg (Wave Z) of a larger WXYXZ correction that has been unfolding for over two years. With multi-timeframe confluence and a clean internal structure, the path forward suggests a short-term bounce followed by one last leg down.
This setup offers high clarity for both short-term traders and long-term positional analysts awaiting the completion of a Wave 4 before a possible Wave 5 rally.
Price action will be updated as chart evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Review and plan for 4th June 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Positional ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Cup & Handle Breakout - PRESTIGECurrent Price: ₹1,584.60
Technical Analysis:
Cup & Handle Breakout Pattern: The provided chart shows a potential Cup & Handle pattern, with the price breaking out above a resistance level. A confirmed breakout with strong volume is typically a bullish signal. The chart also indicates a "Strong High" marked near ₹1,900.
Immediate Target: ₹1,900
Time Frame: 3 to 6 months.
Fundamental Analysis:
Market Cap: ₹68,189 Cr.
Current Price: ₹1,585
Stock P/E: 146 (Extremely high, indicating very high growth expectations are priced in or low recent earnings.)
Book Value: ₹358
Dividend Yield: 0.11%
ROCE: 7.69% (Relatively low for a company with such a high P/E.)
ROE: 3.50% (Very low return on equity, especially considering the high P/E.)
Face Value: ₹10.0
High / Low (52-week): ₹2,075 / ₹1,048
Shareholding Pattern (as of March 2025):
Promoters: Decreased stake from 70.00% (Mar 2017) to 60.95% (Mar 2025).
FIIs: Fluctuating, currently at 17.08% (Mar 2025) from 24.43% (Mar 2017).
DIIs: Consistently increased stake from 4.41% (Mar 2017) to 19.23% (Mar 2025). This is a strong positive signal.
Public: Currently at 2.74% (Mar 2025).
No. of Shareholders: Significantly increased from 11,656 (Mar 2017) to 1,68,033 (Mar 2025), indicating rising retail interest.
Recent Performance: Prestige Estates, being a prominent real estate developer, would have its financial performance tied to property sales, project completions, and new project launches. Recent results for real estate companies in India have generally been positive due to robust housing demand.
EPS: Given the P/E of 146, the EPS (Earnings Per Share) would likely be very low. For example, if P/E is 146 and Current Price is ₹1585, then EPS = ₹1585 / 146 ≈ ₹10.85. This suggests that earnings are currently quite low relative to the stock price.
Corporate Actions:
Real estate companies often engage in corporate actions like fundraising (QIPs, preferential allotments) to fund new projects, joint ventures, or acquisitions of land parcels. Dividend payouts are also common.
Any announcements regarding new project launches, significant sales bookings, or progress on existing projects would be key corporate actions.
Company Order Book / Sales Pipeline:
For real estate companies, the "order book" is typically represented by sales bookings for ongoing and upcoming projects, and the development pipeline of future projects. Higher sales bookings and a strong pipeline indicate future revenue visibility.
Latest News:
Recent news for Prestige Estates would likely focus on:
Q4 FY25 and FY25 financial results: The market would be keenly watching their earnings for any justification of the high valuation.
Sales Performance: Updates on property sales, new launches, and project completions.
Expansion Plans: Announcements of new land acquisitions or expansion into new cities/segments.
Analyst Reports: Brokerage reports on their performance and outlook.
Overall Assessment:
Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. presents a mixed but potentially bullish outlook, driven by strong technicals and positive industry trends, but tempered by a very high valuation:
Bullish Technicals: The identified Cup & Handle breakout is a strong bullish pattern, indicating potential upward momentum. The target of ₹1,900 seems to align with a "Strong high" level on the chart.
Strong DII Confidence: The continuous increase in DIIs' stake and the significant rise in the number of shareholders indicate growing domestic institutional and retail confidence in the company.
Industry Tailwinds: The real estate sector in India has been witnessing robust demand, which benefits established players like Prestige.
High Valuation (P/E 146): This is the most significant fundamental concern. A P/E of 146 implies that the market is expecting exceptionally high earnings growth in the future. The current ROE (3.50%) and ROCE (7.69%) are quite low for such a high valuation, indicating that current profitability doesn't justify the price, but future growth potential is being heavily discounted. Investors are clearly betting on aggressive future expansion and profitability.
Conclusion:
The technical setup for Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. appears bullish with the Cup & Handle breakout, and the immediate target of ₹1,900 seems technically plausible within the 3-6 month timeframe. The increasing DII holding also provides confidence. However, the extremely high P/E ratio of 146 suggests that a significant amount of future growth is already priced into the stock. For the stock to sustain this rally and potentially move beyond, the company must deliver exceptionally strong sales bookings, project completions, and, most importantly, a substantial increase in its earnings per share in the coming quarters to fundamentally support its premium valuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks with very high P/E ratios carries elevated risks. Always conduct your own thorough research, carefully analyze the stock chart, assess your risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The stock market carries inherent risks.
MCLOUD📊 Stock Analysis: MCLOUD
The stock has been consolidating within a ascending triangle pattern and is nearing a critical Buy Above level at ₹80 , signaling a potential breakout. The target is set at ₹179, offering a potential gain of 123.75%. Key insights:
Trend: A breakout above the wedge could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Support Levels: Strong support around ₹75 , making this a low-risk entry point.
Volume Buzz: The recent increase in volume shows rising investor interest.
🔔 Keep an eye on this setup! Always analyze your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
📢 Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
What are your thoughts? Share them below! 📝
#StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #MCLOUD
JSW Steel is near its Support LevelThis is Daily chart of JSWSTEEL.
The stock is trading within an Ascending Channel.
It is currently near the lower support zone of the channel, which lies in the ₹920–₹945 range.
Simultaneously, a Symmetrical Triangle pattern is forming with a consolidation range between ₹930–₹950.
The stock is currently taking dynamic support from two EMAs: the first EMA is providing support near ₹245, while the second EMA is acting as a deeper support around ₹230. Both EMAs are helping maintain the stock’s bullish structure."
If this level is sustain , we may see higher prices in the stock.