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TCS: Rare Opportunity Below 200-Week Moving Average – Potential TCS has entered a historically significant zone. As visible in the weekly chart, the stock is currently trading below its 200-week moving average — a level that has only been breached during the 2008 global financial crisis. 📌 Key Observations: Current price: ₹3,248.40 200-Week MA: ~₹3,626 MACD shows deep oversold territory – a typical sign of exhaustion in selling Last time TCS traded this far below the 200W MA was during the 2008 crash — and the stock rebounded strongly afterward. 💡 What’s Supporting a Bullish Case? US Tariff Pause: With Trump pausing tariff escalation, there's reduced uncertainty in global trade. Rate Cut Prospects: The US Fed is expected to reduce interest rates soon, which could boost enterprise spending – a major tailwind for IT exporters like TCS. 📈 Growth Potential: If historical patterns repeat and macro factors align, TCS could see a 20–30% upside from current levels, targeting the ₹3,900–₹4,200 zone in the medium term. 🎯 Investment Rationale: This may be a rare opportunity to accumulate a quality stock like TCS at multi-year support levels, backed by strong fundamentals and favorable external cues. 🛒 Verdict: Good Buy Zone for Long-Term Investors 🔍 Disclaimer: I currently hold TCS in my portfolio. This post is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
NSE:TCSLong
by shekharvsingh1
Apollo Tyres at Key Reversal Zone – Big Move Loading!🚨 APOLLO TYRES – Technical Analysis & Trade Plan​ 🔍 Swing / Positional Opportunity​ 🔎 Step-by-Step Analysis​ 1. Monthly Timeframe View​ 🔸 Previous Monthly High: ₹584.90​ 🔸 Apollo Tyres Corrected 36.7% from ATH​ 🔸 Current Market Structure: Price has now entered a strong Monthly POI (Point of Interest) zone.​ 🔸 Today’s Low: ₹375 – This aligns exactly with our key POI, suggesting possible institutional accumulation.​ 🔸 Previous Key Swing High: ₹423.50 – This has been broken, indicating a shift in structure from bearish to bullish.​ 💡 This tells us that supply has weakened and buyers have started dominating. The fact that price has moved out of the demand zone and above the previous structure confirms the strength of this level.​ 2. Lower Timeframe Confirmation​ ✅ Today’s gap-down has been fully filled, which often confirms price strength and supports a reversal move.​ ✅ Price reacting sharply at POI shows that smart money is active at this level.​ 📈 Entry, Stoploss & Targets​ 📍 Entry Zone: ₹389 – ₹374​ 📉 Stop-Loss: ₹355 (just below structure and POI)​ 📊 Target 1: ₹440​ 🎯 Target 2: ₹520​ 📌 Risk-Reward: Well defined with a small risk, giving a potential for large upside.​ "Risk is limited, but reward potential is big. A textbook Smart Money entry."​ ⚠️ Market Conditions​ 📉 Global markets are weak, so it's important to follow risk management strictly.​ 👉 Always enter with a stop-loss in place. No blind entries.​ ✅ Summary & Key Takeaway​ Apollo Tyres is showing signs of a strong reversal from a high-timeframe demand zone. With confirmations on both higher and lower timeframes, this could be the right time to start accumulating with a long-term view.​ A well-timed, low-risk entry could result in substantial gains.​ 📢 Don’t Miss Out!​ ✅ Follow for more smart money-based setups.​ 👍 Drop a like if this helped and comment with your thoughts!​ 💬 Let’s chat in the comments section. See you there! 🚀📊​
NSE:APOLLOTYRELong
by PRATHAPSIMHA
1
Sudarshan Chemical Industries📊 Chart Highlights: Current Price: ₹1,023 Fibonacci Resistance: Price is approaching the 0.618 Fib level at ₹1,027.60, which is a key resistance. Box Range: Trading within a consolidation box (approx. ₹940–₹1,030) — currently testing the upper end of the range. Volume: Volume is moderate; not a strong breakout candle yet. RSI: Trending upwards, nearing overbought (above 60), positive momentum. Heikin Ashi Candles: Showing bullish strength. ✅ Recommendation: BUY (on confirmation) 📌 Buy Entry: Buy above ₹1,035 only on breakout confirmation with volume (i.e., daily close above ₹1,035). 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹1,090 (Fib 0.786 level) Target 2: ₹1,170 (Fib 1.0 level) Target 3: ₹1,270 (Fib 1.272 extension) ❌ Stop Loss: Place SL around ₹980 (just below the Fib 0.5 level and EMA cluster) ⚠️ If Rejected at ₹1,030: Consider range trading: Sell near ₹1,030 with target ₹940–₹950 and SL ₹1,040. Wait for a clean breakout or breakdown before taking large positions.
NSE:SUDARSCHEMLong
by rmhetre15
Tata Consumer Products Ltd a bearish harmonic Gartley pattern Tata Consumer Products Ltd has formed a **bearish harmonic Gartley pattern, completing at point D near the 1.395 Fibonacci extension—typically a reversal zone. RSI is near overbought, suggesting caution. Based on this technical setup, the stock may face **selling pressure**, making it a sell recommendation with a target of ₹1,040 and a stop loss at ₹1,135. If the price breaks above ₹1,135 with strong volume, trend bias can shift bullish, but currently, it's best viewed with a short-term bearish outlook. for educational purposes only
NSE:TATACONSUMLong
by rmhetre15
NSE: TRENT Bullish Reversal Start DTF/WTF TGT 7500 in 160days Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 5580 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 6200 DTF Close Price. Stop Loss: 5100 Target 1: 7500 Target 2: 8200 Hold for a period of 6 months to 1 year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock experienced a 24-month streak to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 8300 . Subsequently, it retraced in 4730 in 6M time. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 20-day EMA below the 50D EMA. This indicates a transitional phase of alignment in the stock’s EMA indicators. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. This current level could serve as a potential entry point for investors, depending on their risk tolerance. More cautious investors might consider entering above the retracement level. Volume Analysis: There has been a drying up of volumes on the sell side for a two quarter now. There is buying in the past four weeks but above the 20VMA. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or When 9EMA crosses Below 21EMA in DTF. Earlier too basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:TRENTLong
by billpramod
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD short dayThe stock of Reliance Industries is currently exhibiting a clear bearish tone. Price action continues to show weakness, with repeated failed attempts to recover, signaling that sellers remain in control. The ongoing downward movement suggests a lack of confidence from market participants, with no strong catalysts visible to shift momentum. Selling pressure dominates, while any bounce attempts struggle to hold. Unless there's a visible change in price behavior or a shift in sentiment, the overall outlook remains negative. Caution is advised, and buyers may want to wait for clearer signs of stability before considering entry.
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by khalid1988
HEG Limited Stock Analysis [Fundamental+Technical]Company Overview: Industry: Graphite Electrodes (used in Electric Arc Furnaces for steel production) Parent Group: LNJ Bhilwara Group Location: Largest graphite plant at a single location near Bhopal, MP Global Reach: 67% export-based; presence in 35+ countries Business Highlights Products: UHP & HP Graphite Electrodes Customers: Top 25 global steel companies Capacity: Increased to 100,000 TPA in Nov 2023 Utilization: 81% (despite global slowdown) Revenue from Operations: ₹2,394.90 Cr Net Profit: ₹231.54 Cr (down 49% YoY) EBITDA: ₹525.63 Cr (down 28% YoY) EPS: ₹59.99 Net Cash Flow from Operations: ₹615 Cr (up from ₹114 Cr) ROCE: ~7.2% Return on Net Worth (RoNW): 5.63% 📈 Technical Insights: Current Price: ₹474.60 50 EMA: ₹431.44 (support zone) 200 EMA: ₹429.40 (support zone) Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating a bullish trend reversal. Golden Cross formation (50 EMA crossing 200 EMA) recently occurred — a classic long-term bullish signal. The stock bounced from ₹400 zone and now forming higher highs. Key Strengths One of the lowest-cost graphite electrode producers globally Among top 5 global players (ex-China) Strong relationships with major steelmakers Backward integrated captive power: 76.5 MW State-of-the-art technology and high R&D focus Key Risks Highly dependent on steel sector demand Pricing pressure due to global oversupply and China's export surplus Needle coke (key raw material) cost volatility Current underutilization of capacity Growth Triggers Green Steel Push: EAF-based steel production expected to grow globally Anode Powder Plant: ₹1,800 Cr investment in 20,000 TPA facility for EV battery anode materials; revenue expected from FY27 India’s EV & Steel Boom: Growing steel consumption (8.2% CAGR) and EV transition are long-term positives SWOT Summary Strengths: Global presence, high export revenue, low-cost structure Technological leadership Weaknesses: Profitability linked closely to global steel demand Volatility in raw material prices Opportunities: EV market and EAF steel expansion Threats Competition from China, diversion of raw material to battery sector Future Outlook Near-term challenges due to soft steel demand Medium to long-term outlook is strong, driven by: Increasing EAF penetration Global decarbonization policies Strategic expansion into EV-grade graphite anodes Analysis Based on Valuation + Chart CMP:₹474.60 Fair Price Range: ₹600 – ₹1200(Using a conservative P/E range of 10 to 20) Fair Value (DCF):₹1100+ (Based on 10% projected EPS growth over 5 years and a 12% discount rate.) Support Levels:₹430 (EMA), ₹400 (price action) Resistance Zones:₹490-500 (near-term), ₹600 (supply zone) Disclaimer The information provided in this report is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of data and analysis, no guarantees are made regarding future performance. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, including potential loss of capital. Please consult your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
NSE:HEG
by TradZoo