ZEEL Long Fundamentals look good
even though the stock was in a long term bearish move, we might capture a small percentage based on technicals.
BAJEL PROJECT LTD- FOR SWING TRADEToday price has given a breakout from its consolidation zone.
RSI momentum is also showing upward momentum which is a good sign.
It also break 50 EMA upside.
We can buy only if price makes a bullish candle in its support level or if price closes above 209 level.
Review and plan for 15th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
HeroMotor Corp breakout from Cup and Handle patternHeroMotorCorp 4067 has given breakout from CUP and handle pattern .Volume is increasing.
It is available at a discount 18.6 P/E of FY26 EPS 218.78 .
It has 5 year fair price value of 21 P/E .
So we expect HMC has potential to move to 4594
Weekly Range bound | 4H swingFellow trader,
Eicher motors has broken the range bound market in weekly timeframe, and now the market is re-testing.
Aggressive entry : Whoever enter the market immediately after the breakout
Conservative entry : Whoever enter after the market re-test.
The weekly range bound breakout target is 5684 & the SL for the same is 4548
Now in the re-test, there is a clear formation of a swing in 4H/1D timeframe, after a inverted H&S pattern breakout in 1H timeframe consider to enter the trade based on this swing.
Considering the pattern of Weekly or 4H time frame trade can be taken, the SL and Targets are in the chart.
The Risk : Reward ratio for the swing is 1:4.47
Sensibull : sbull.co
NBCC- FOR SWING TRADEFrom 9th May after taking support from 50 EMA price is bullish and today it has given a breakout of its very important Resistance level which was 105.
Next target can be 112.50 to 119.
ADITYA BIRLA CAPITAL LTD – Trend Reversal Breakout Trade🧠 Technical Highlights:
Downtrend Channel Breakout: Clear breakout from a falling channel pattern
Resistance Break: Strong breakout above supply zone of ₹204–₹210
Volume: Massive volume spike validates bullish strength
RSI: Above 70, indicating strong momentum but not overbought yet
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy Above: ₹219 (today's close confirms breakout)
Stoploss: ₹204 (below the previous resistance/new support)
Target 1: ₹235
Target 2: ₹248
Target 3: ₹260+ (swing/high-risk high-reward)
🔻 Sell/Short Setup (only if reversal)
Sell Below: ₹203
Stoploss: ₹210
Target: ₹190, ₹178
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–6 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
For Education Purposes Only
APLAPOLLO- All time high possible!!!APLAPOLLO is nearing its all time high level. Stock is nearing this level with relatively higher volume.
Stock has recorded double digit growth in last consecutive 2 quarters.
Margins have also expanded by roughly 40%.
Company has also expanded its CAPEX budget in coming years.
Overall it's a good technofunda stock to watch. Add to watchlist.
CHALET HOTEL- FOR SWING TRADEFrom 7 April 2025 to 25 May 2025 price was in a range. Today price has given a breakout upside with a good bullish candle. C.P is 919 next it can give us the target for 970 to 1000.
Cup and Handle Pattern - CHALETCurrent Price and Recent Movement:
As of the latest data, CHALET HOTEL is trading around ₹918 - ₹919.
The stock has seen some positive movement recently, with a notable increase on May 13th, following the announcement of strong Q4FY25 results.
Analyzing Your Cup and Handle Observation:
Pattern Formation (January to Now): Multi-month consolidation, which can lend more significance to the pattern if it's well-formed.
Breakout: You stated a breakout has occurred. To validate this, it would be helpful to identify the precise resistance level of the handle that was broken.
Target of ₹1150 (250 Points): If the breakout happened in the ₹900-₹920 range, a target of ₹1150 would indeed represent a move of approximately 230-250 points.
Key Considerations and Points to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation:
Volume: Was the breakout accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume compared to the average? Strong volume supports the validity of the breakout.
Sustainability: Has the price held above the breakout level since it occurred? A failure to hold could indicate a false breakout.
Handle Characteristics:
Depth: Ideally, the handle should form in the upper half of the cup and shouldn't be too deep (typically not extending below the mid-point of the cup).
Duration: The handle should be shorter in duration than the cup.
Cup Depth: The projected target of a Cup and Handle is often estimated by measuring the depth of the cup and adding it to the breakout level. If the cup's low was around ₹700 and the handle's resistance broke around ₹900, the depth would be ₹200, projecting a target of ₹1100 (₹900 + ₹200).
Market Context and Fundamentals:
The recent positive price action was fueled by strong Q4FY25 results. Continued positive news or favorable conditions in the hospitality sector could support the upward momentum.
Keep an eye on analyst ratings and target prices for Chalet Hotels. Recent reports have shown "Buy" recommendations with target prices around ₹1000-₹1017.
Risk Management: Always have a stop-loss in place. For a Cup and Handle, a common placement is below the low of the handle.
In conclusion, observation of a Cup and Handle pattern with a breakout on CHALET HOTEL aligns with a potentially bullish scenario. The target of ₹1150 is within a reasonable range based on the pattern's implications and recent positive developments. However, it's crucial to continuously monitor the breakout's confirmation with volume and ensure the price sustains above the breakout level. Keep an eye on overall market conditions and the company's fundamentals to gauge the likelihood of reaching your target.
Cup and Handle Breakout - FINEORGFINEORG
Fine Organic Industries is engaged in and outside India as manufacturers, processors, suppliers, distributors, dealers, importers, exporters of wide range of oleochemical-based additives used in foods, plastics, cosmetics, coatings and other specialty application in various industries.
TARGET : ₹5500
TIME FRAME : 1 TO 3 month
Bullish Implications of the Cup and Handle Pattern:
Consolidation and Breakout: The Cup and Handle pattern typically forms after an uptrend, representing a period of consolidation (the "cup") followed by a smaller consolidation (the "handle"). The breakout occurs when the price moves decisively above the resistance level formed by the top of the handle, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Increased Buying Pressure: A good breakout, especially on strong volume, indicates that buying pressure has overcome the previous resistance, and more buyers are likely to enter, driving the price higher.
Target Projection: A common method to estimate the target price after a Cup and Handle breakout is to measure the depth of the cup and add it to the breakout level.
Factors Supporting Your Analysis:
Well-Defined Pattern: The longer the pattern formation (February to May), the potentially more significant the breakout.
Good Breakout Today: A strong breakout day adds conviction to the bullish signal. Ideally, this breakout would be accompanied by higher than average trading volume.
Timeframe: Your 1 to 3-month timeframe is within the typical expectation for a Cup and Handle pattern to reach its target after a successful breakout.
Key Things to Monitor:
Breakout Confirmation: While today's breakout is positive, it's crucial to watch for confirmation in the coming days. The price should ideally hold above the breakout level and not quickly fall back below the handle's resistance.
Volume: Continue to monitor the trading volume. Sustained high volume on subsequent up days would further strengthen the bullish case.
Handle Integrity: The handle should ideally be a relatively shallow downward drift, typically in the upper half of the cup. A handle that is too deep might indicate more significant selling pressure and could weaken the pattern.
Market Conditions: Keep an eye on the overall market sentiment and any news or events that could impact the specialty chemicals sector or FINEORG specifically.
Stop-Loss Placement: It's essential to have a stop-loss order in place, typically below the handle's low or a recent swing low, to manage risk if the breakout turns out to be a false one.
Cup and handle Pattern - COCHINSHIP
Target and Timeframe:
Target of ₹2400 within a 3 to 6-month timeframe is a reasonable expectation based on the potential of a well-formed Cup and Handle pattern.
Factors Supporting Your Bullish Case:
Potential Breakout: If the price breaks decisively above the handle's resistance with good volume, it could signal the start of the move towards your target.
Sector Dynamics: Consider the overall outlook for the shipbuilding and defense sectors, as positive news or growth in these areas could act as a tailwind for Cochin Shipyard.
Company Fundamentals: While technical analysis focuses on price action, it's always good to have a basic understanding of the company's fundamentals. Positive earnings, order book, or expansion plans could support a bullish move.
Things to Watch For:
Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the handle's resistance should ideally be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. This confirms strong buying interest.
Handle Formation: Ensure the "handle" is a relatively short and shallow downward drift. A handle that is too deep or too long might weaken the bullish signal.
Market Conditions: Overall market sentiment and broader index movements can influence individual stock performance. Be mindful of any significant market downturns that could impact Cochin Shipyard.
Stop-Loss: It's crucial to have a stop-loss level in place below the handle or a recent swing low to manage risk in case the pattern fails to materialize or a false breakout occurs.
PFIZER | 2x returns | Breakout of 3 year resistance| PFIZER |
Monthly time frame
Stock has been moving along the upward blue dotted parallel channel since listing in 1994
Stock has bounced from a recent “higher low” made in Mar 2023
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-month moving averages
RSI > 70, indicating solid bullish momentum
MACD crossover extended and is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Weekly time frame
Stock has been following the rounded bottom formation for last 3 years
Stock is trading near the white resistance trend line
Double Breakout on the cards, from the rounded bottom formation + trend line
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
Golden crossover just now completed
RSI = 80, indicating aggressive bullish momentum
MACD extending the crossover & above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Stock riding along the dotted white parallel channel since Jul 2024
Breakout possible if the stock crosses the white resistance trend line of 6100
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-day moving averages
RSI > 65, indicating bullish momentum
MACD is well above the 0 line, indicating solid momentum
Conclusion
Entry: 6,200
Stop Loss: 5,000
Target 1: 7,867
Target 2: 10,614
Target 3: 13,361
Fundamentals
ROCE = 22% {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 16.1% {Ideal > 15}
Stock PE (45) < Industry PE (48) {Stock not overvalued}
Int Coverage = 57 {Ideal > 2}
Debt to equity = 0.01 {Ideal value < 1}
Promoter stake has remained consistent over the years > 63%
FII and DII participation increased in previous 2 quarters
Sunteck Realty | A stock that could potentially doubleSUNTECK REALTY
Monthly Timeframe
Broken a 6-year resistance zone which was around 535 levels.
Stock riding above 20, 50 and 200 month moving averages
RSI > 60
Weekly Timeframe
Breakout clearly confirmed and retest also done with stock bouncing from 535 levels
Stock riding above 20, 50 and 200 week moving averages
RSI > 60
Good Volumes in June and July 2024
Daily Timeframe
Consolidating just above the support zone of 535
Stock riding above 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages
RSI recently touched a low of 40 bounced back
Golden crossover in May 2024
Possibilities
Entry: Around 580
Stop Loss: 510
Target - 1: 700
Target - 2: 785
Target - 3: 1100
Indian Energy Exchange | 250% returns expected (2.5x)INDIAN ENERGY EXCHANGE
Monthly time frame
Stock in uptrend since June 2023
Stock has broken out of the blue channel consolidation after 2 years
Stock is following a rounded bottom pattern
Stock riding above 20- & 50-month moving averages
RSI > 60
MACD crossover has happened, signalling beginning of bullish momentum
Weekly time frame
Breakout and retest of the consolidation channel confirmed
Stock is following a rounded bottom pattern
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
Golden crossover has just been completed around mid Jul 2024
RSI > 60
MACD signalling beginning of bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Stock possibly in the process of making a higher low
Stock is in the yellow channel of upward consolidation
Stock riding above 50- & 200-week moving averages, just now touched 20 DMA
RSI > 50 which is still considered the bull zone
Conclusion
Entry: 185
Stop Loss: 160
Target 1: 235
Target 2: 315
Target 3: 444
Fundamentals
ROCE = 50 {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 38 {Ideal > 15}
Stock PE (46) < Industry PE (58) {Stock PE should ideally < Industry PE}
Int Coverage = 173 {Ideally > 2}
FII stake has increased from 10.89% to 11.66% last quarter
Quess Corp Ltd | 75% returns | 6 year resistance brokenQUESS CORP LIMITED
Monthly time frame
Stock in uptrend since March 2023
Stock has broken out of the 6-year resistance trend line
Stock is following a rounded bottom pattern
Stock riding above 20- & 50-month moving averages
20MMA about to cross 50MMA
RSI > 60
MACD bullish crossover in place
Weekly time frame
Breakout and retest of the trend line resistance confirmed
Stock is following a rounded bottom pattern
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
20WMA has just crossed 50WMA
Stock is approaching the golden crossover as well
RSI > 60
MACD signaling beginning of bullish momentum
Volumes are very encouraging for Jul and Aug 2024
Daily time frame
Stock possibly in the process of making a higher low
Stock is in the yellow channel of upward consolidation
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
RSI > 50 which is still considered the bull zone
Conclusion
Entry: 680
Stop Loss: 630
Target 1: 850
Target 2: 1,000
Target 3: 1,200
BLUE DART EXPRESS | 100% returns | Breakout of 9-year resistanceBLUE DART EXPRESS
Monthly time frame
Breakout from 9-year white resistance trend line
Breakout from perfect cup & handle pattern
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-month moving averages
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD crossover done and is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Volumes have been good since Apr 2020, implies heavy buying
Weekly time frame
Retest of the white resistance trend line almost complete
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Stock consolidating along the white resistance trend line
Stock has made a higher low (Dow theory)
Stock price converging along 20- & 50- day moving averages, breakout possible
RSI > 50, indicating bullish momentum
MACD is about to cross the 0 line, indicating momentum build up
Conclusion
Entry: 8,000
Stop Loss: 6,700
Target 1: 9,600
Target 2: 12,150
Target 3: 16,275
Fundamentals
ROCE = 19.2% {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 22.7% {Ideal > 15}
Stock PE (65) = Industry PE (65) {Stock not overvalued}
Int Coverage = 5.81 {Ideal > 2}
CF Operations / EBIT = 1.83 {Ideal > 1}
Debt to equity = 0.78 {Ideal value < 1}
Promoter stake has remained consistent over the years > 75%
GALAXY SURFACTANTS | 80% returns | 3 year range breakoutGALAXY SURFACTANTS
Monthly time frame
Stock seems to have broken the descending triangle pattern, with retest also done
Stock riding above 20- & 50- month moving averages
RSI = 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD crossover completed and is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Weekly time frame
Breakout and retest from the descending triangle pattern clearly visible
Breakout has happened near the crossover of all 3 moving averages,
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-week moving averages
Stock has recently tested all 3 moving averages and bounced back
Golden cross approaching with 50 WMA about to cross 200 WMA
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD extending the crossover & above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Daily time frame
Stock trading near the dotted white resistance trend line
Stock riding above 20-, 50- & 200-day moving averages
RSI > 60, indicating bullish momentum
MACD has extended the crossover & is above the 0 line, indicating bullish momentum
Conclusion
Entry: 3,200
Stop Loss: 2,700
Target 1: 3,600
Target 2: 4,400
Target 3: 5,700
Fundamentals
PE (36) < Industry PE (41) {Ideal scenario}
ROCE = 17% {Ideal > 15}
ROE = 15% {Ideal > 15}
Int Coverage = 19 {Ideal > 2}
Debt to equity = 0.09 {Ideal value < 1}
CF Operations / EBIT = 1.3 (Ideal > 1)
Promoter stake has remained consistent over the years > 70%
FII + DII participation > public participation
NBCC (India) Ltd (NSE: NBCC) – Breakout Trade Setup🧾 Equity Research Summary – NBCC (India) Ltd.
Sector: Construction & Infrastructure – Government PSU
Technical Setup: Trendline breakout + Base retest + Volume surge
Support Zone: ₹68–₹75
Breakout Zone: ₹100–₹103
Upside Potential: Strong move expected due to order book + infra push
Catalyst:
Government infrastructure spending
Order wins from CPWD, NBCC contracts, redevelopment projects
📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–4 weeks)
📊 Risk-Reward: 1:2.5
🟢 Buy Setup
Buy above: ₹107 (confirmation above resistance zone)
Stoploss: ₹100 (below breakout support)
Target 1: ₹115
Target 2: ₹124
Target 3 (Swing): ₹130–₹135
🔻 Short Setup (if breakout fails)
Sell Below: ₹99
Stoploss: ₹103
Target: ₹91, ₹82
For Education Purposes Only
Vadilal Industries – Equity Trade Setup & Research View🟢 Long Trade Setup (Bullish Reversal Play)
Current Price: ₹7,346.50
Fibonacci Level Tested: 38.2% at ₹7,361 — a crucial breakout level
Trendline Breakout: Price has broken above falling trendline with volume confirmation
RSI: Near 60 – bullish momentum building
🔼 Buy Zone
Entry (Buy above): ₹7,375 (confirm above 38.2% Fib resistance)
Target 1: ₹7,825 (Fib 0.5 level)
Target 2: ₹8,291 (Fib 0.618)
Target 3: ₹8,953 (Fib 0.786 for aggressive swing)
Stop Loss: ₹6,785 (below 23.6% Fib retracement)
🔻 Short Trade Setup (if rejection happens)
Sell Below: ₹7,200
Target: ₹6,785
Stoploss: ₹7,375
📅 Timeframe: Daily (1D)
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.5+
🔁 Valid for: Next 2–4 weeks
For Education Purposes Only
RAILTEL Ready To Move UpsideThe Stock is just below 200 day moving average and trying to move upside.
As per Fixed Range Volume Profile the balance lies around 508 while going down.
Fibonacci Golden Ratio value is around 483.
All the other shorter Moving Averages have turned looking upward.
It can be expected that the stock has potential to take out ATH of 617 in Medium to Long Term (6 to 12+ months).
In Short term (Upto 3months), 483 to 508 is more probable.
Sail is sailing higher Here's a quick analysis of SAIL (Steel Authority of India Ltd.) stock:
Technical Overview
- Current Price: ₹122.61 INR
- Market Cap: ₹479.14 billion
- P/E Ratio: 22.56 (Moderate valuation)
- Dividend Yield: 1.72% (Stable returns)
- 52-Week Range: ₹99.15 - ₹175.35
Recent Trends
- The stock has been in a downtrend but is showing signs of reversal.
- Key Support Levels: ₹112.40 - ₹118.45.
- Breakout Potential: Analysts suggest a possible bullish trend with a 25% upside target.
Breakout Signals
- Double Rectangle & Falling Wedge Pattern: These formations indicate buyer dominance and a possible bullish trend.
- Key Resistance Level: ₹134 INR—recent trading action suggests a strong push above this level.
- Volume Surge: A 5% price increase with high trading volumes supports the breakout possibility.
Fundamental Insights
- Revenue & Profit: Recent results show degrowth in revenue and operating profit margins.
- Institutional Interest: FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) have been increasing their shareholding, which could indicate long-term confidence.
Investment Outlook
- Strengths: Strong institutional backing, potential trend reversal.
- Weaknesses: Near 52-week low, declining revenue.
- Opportunities: If the breakout holds, short-term gains could be significant.
- Threats: Market volatility, global steel demand fluctuations.🚀
BAJELBAJEL seems a perfect candidate for very short term momentum play. Showing Inverted H&S pattern breakout with decent volume. We may see 18-20% rally from this breakout level. Pattern may confirm pause in recent fall and now showing strong reversal from here. 178 is very strong support. Risk reward is in favor!
