Applying technical analysis in multiple time frames: $GPRA
Monthly
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Step 1 and Step 2 are formed – Mapping (Step 3)
- Watch if MACD can stay above 0 line
Weekly
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Step 1, Step 2 and Step 3 are formed (presumptive uptrend); unfortunately, price cannot close above Step 3!!
- 18MA is already cupping around – early sign of change in trend
• Harmonic Pattern: Mapping (Bearish Gartley)
• Elliot Wave: Mapping 12-(345) OR AB-(C)
Daily
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Step 1, Step 2 and Step 3 are formed (presumptive uptrend)
- 18MA has crossed 40MA and both are rising + MACD is up – trend confirmation
- Watch if both MA can rise in the same direction with good separation
10M
• To be watched: price action, MA and if MACD can make 0-line reversal if it is down to 0 line.
SAME - VCP (10W 25/5 3T)IDX:SAME - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (80)
9. 9. EPS Growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +852.30%
b. Quarterly YoY: +570.99%
b. TTM YoY: -3.34%
c. Annual YoY: -3.36%
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but long wick
Note: I will sell half if hit first Stop Loss, and sell remaining on the last stop loss on first cheat buy
MFIN - VCP (16W 41/18)IDX:MFIN - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (95)
9. EPS Growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +22.24%
b Quarrerly YoY: +185.92%
b. TTM YoY: +22.24%
c. Annual YoY: +23.08%
(-)
1. Breakout with red candle
2. Lack of liquidity
Applying technical analysis in multiple time frames: $RAJAMonthly TF
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- After a strong uptrend, the price violently moves back to 18MA.
- Setup Pattern: MACD Pinch Play
Weekly TF
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Look out for Trigger 1 or 2
Daily TF
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Downtrend and pullback
• Harmonic Trading:
- Mapping Bullish Bat with target 38.2 and 61.8
• Elliot Wave:
- Mapping 123-(45) OR ABC
1H TF
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Daily Pullback is Presumptive Uptrend in 1H TF
• Elliot Wave:
- Mapping 12-(345) OR AB-(C)
TAPG - VCP (20/5 3T)IDX:TAPG VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Biggest net income +197.70% on Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but created long red candle
NICL - VCP (192W 82/24)IDX:NICL VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (93)
9. EPS Growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +45.05%
b. TTM YoY: +872.03%
c. Annual YoY: +1,029.03%
(-)
1. Breakout with low volume
JPFA is callingAfter 22 April 2025, IDX:JPFA drop 190 (-9.97%) from the current price.
With the distributed dividen value Rp 70 (estimated 3% from the price)
Technical:
At the lowest area Fibb Retracement
Still above support line 1,740
Above EMA 200 (Weekly TF)
Fundamental
Growth Revenue each quarter
Good Debt to Equity Ratio (show good progress)
Target 1 : 1,945
Target 2 : 2,200
Thankyou for your time!
I hope everyone get the best for your life!
ANTM - IDX outlookANTM shares have very good fundamentals. The current price is wrong because there are many issues that hit ANTM, such as the issue of 109 tons of gold which was thought to be fake gold, as well as the issue of Budi Said regarding demands for 1.1 tons of gold which was ultimately proven by Budi Said to be guilty and to have carried out a fake transaction with one of ANTM's marketers. These 2 sentiments have weighed on ANTM for more than 1 year.
However, judging from the company's fundamentals, Antam's Q1 had a major correction because ANTM expanded its mining and nickel projects. Apart from that, nickel prices are also putting pressure on ANTM because there is still a correction in nickel commodity prices.
ANTM still has very good company fundamentals
Why?
1. ANTM through Inalum and MIND ID base owns 51% of Freeport shares, and Freeport is the largest gold mine in the world.
2. The completion of the case of 109 tons of ANTM gold, which many thought was fake, will restore public confidence in ANTM investors.
3. We can feel that we will now enter a recovery phase for all countries after the tough years of 2020 to 2023. 2024 will be a little more stagnant because of the many presidential elections in various countries which makes investors choose to wait and put more money into bonds and deposit.
4. Recovery of nickel prices and other minerals caused by demand due to the race for progress and ESG will benefit ANTM
5. The price of gold is consolidating again to reach an all time high, especially as the FED and other countries may reduce interest rates, this will make the gold price likely to decrease its all time high around 2600-3000 in 2025-2026
Antm price target for the next 1 year: IDR 2400 -2600
Target price for Antam for the next 3 years = IDR 4200- 5500
if you want to discuss with me or my team. please comment below.
BBRI Weekly Outlook – Testing a Multi-Decade TrendlineTicker: BBRI (IDX)
Timeframe: Weekly
Status: High-Priority Technical Watchlist
🔹 Long-Term Structure
BBRI is currently testing a major ascending trendline that has been in play since 2008. This zone has historically served as a reliable long-term inflection point, having been tested multiple times over the past 15+ years.
The trendline has held six or more significant touchpoints, strengthening its technical validity.
Price action is also aligned with a horizontal demand zone (approx. 3,400–3,700), previously seen during the accumulation phases of 2019–2020.
📉 A Controlled Correction?
The recent correction has formed a descending channel structure, but:
The current drop is accompanied by high volume, which may indicate a capitulation or panic-driven sell-off.
Price behavior at this key junction will determine the next major phase: a base reversal or a structural breakdown into a broader downtrend.
🧠 Risk-Reward Outlook
If this long-term support holds:
A technical rebound toward the 4,800–6,500 zone remains well within reach.
The current setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward profile for medium-term positioning.
However, a weekly close below 3,200 would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially triggering a decline to the 2,400–2,100 area — a demand zone from back in 2016.
📌 Strategic Takeaway
“BBRI is at one of the most critical technical inflection points of the past decade. This is more than just a trendline — it reflects long-term investor conviction versus macro pressure.”
Recommendation: Wait for confirmation from a reversal candle on the weekly timeframe. Patience is key — but this is not a zone to ignore.
BBRI hakaBBRI currently at Rp 3,630 closing price 9 April 2025.
Technical :
Near on support line at Rp 3,620. Still solid this line I think.
MACD give the good sign too
Macro :
Cum Date Dividend on 10 April 2025. Dividend Rp 208,4 (5.7% from the current price).
Trump delay the tariff in 90 days ahead. ( The news )
So, it's a good news for short term period.
It will be pump hard haha.
Thankyou for reading my ideas.
DWYOR.
I hope everyone have a good health and good life!
$IDX:SMGR long with target price 2900 within 90 daysLONG position on IDX:SMGR with a target price 2900 in 90 days. Analyst price targets averaging 3,185.83 IDR, higher than the current 2,140.00 IDR.
A Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.33 for Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk ( IDX:SMGR ) suggests that the stock is trading at a significant discount to its book value. SMGR’s low P/B ratio of 0.33 could make it an attractive target for foreign investors looking for undervalued assets. The low P/B ratio and EV/EBITDA NTM ratio indicate undervaluation compared to peers. This could appeal to value investors looking for bargains. Qatar has recently shown interest in Indonesian sectors like energy, tourism, and real estate, but nothing explicitly ties IDX:SMGR to Qatari funds. Without concrete deals or announcements, it’s speculative.
However, low P/B can also signal concerns. The market might be pricing in risks like declining profitability, operational challenges, or sector-specific headwinds—cement is a cyclical industry tied to construction and infrastructure, which can be volatile. It’s also possible that the book value itself is inflated due to outdated or impaired assets.
Current Share Price 2,140, 52-Week Low 2070, 52-Week High 5650. The current share price of 2,140.00 IDR, near the 52-week low, might suggest a buying opportunity for value investors, especially given IDX:SMGR ’s role as a state-owned cement giant tied to Indonesia’s infrastructure sector. Likely that infrastructure spending in 2025, including the new capital Nusantara, will boost cement demand, supporting long-term growth. IDX:SMGR holds over 40% of Indonesia's cement market and has recently acquired Semen Baturaja, potentially enhancing efficiency.
Given the undervaluation, significant infrastructure spending, and analyst optimism, IDX:SMGR appears to have potential for a long trade.
BBCA One of the best timesOne of the best times to buy blue chip stocks from Indonesia which is currently discounted 30% from ATH
Quite simple, if it breaks and closes below 7600 then the bearish trend will continue and maybe we will meet 6500, but if 7600 is strong then we will likely push up with the first target at 8600 then 9800
ELPI (VCP - 26W 14/4 3T)Position update: March 25, 2025.
Key factors:
1. Confirmed stage 2 uptrend.
2. A textbook double bottom with VCP characteristics.
3. Has gone through its majority line of supply.
4. Moving on its own drummer, the stock consolidates while the index suffers a terrible decline.
5. High relative strength.
6. Volume dries up as less supply coming to the market.
7. Strong fundamentals, with consistent year-over-year earnings growth.
Considerations: Despite these strengths, the broader market remains in a bearish phase, down over 20% from its all-time high. Geopolitical risks, persistent net foreign selling, declining investor confidence, and concerns over the government downplaying the stock market's significance continue to contribute to an unstable market environment.
ANTMDISCLAMER !!!!
I WILL SHARE ANTAM'S IDEA IN 2 STAGES
STAGE 1
with a long term and installment purchase, don't go all in
buy from a price of 1,400-1,175
SL 1,100
TP 1 1,865
TP 2 2,080
TP 3 2,290
stage 2
wait and see first
wait for price breakout 1,690 then buy and
sl 1,595
tp 1 1,865
tp 2 2,080
tp 3 2,290
in the medium term antm is still bearish
sl is important, friends, don't forget sl to keep your money safe