BBRI: Rising Net Profit, Potential for a Bullish Run Ahead?Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on BBRI!
BBRI has once again surged above its bullish trendline, maintaining its bullish trend. Additionally, the stock has shaped a bullish divergence and a descending broadening wedge pattern. These combined patterns often signal a strong likelihood of continued bullish momentum. Most notably, it has recently broken through the upper trendline, suggesting a compelling opportunity for further upside movement toward the target area.
Fundamental Driver:
In September 2023, BBRI reported a consolidated net profit of Rp44.21 trillion in the third quarter of 2023, marking a 12.47% increase from the same period in the previous year when it was Rp38.31 trillion. This positive development supports the projected outlook."
it is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/supprot area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on IDX:BBRI ."
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BREN - POWER PLAYI have a position today
November 30, 2023
The reasons:
1. Low-risk pivot point
2. The stock offers a classic low cheat pivot in a power play
3. It skyrockets huge >500% since it went public
4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market
5. The stock is moving on its own universe, marching to its own drummer
6. Volume dries up during the pause (1-2 punch)
7. huge volume on the breakout
Flaw:
The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 31% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
This is a power play on top of a power play, where velocity begets more velocity. I like to see if it can hold up and move higher from here.
PTPS - POWER PLAYI have a position today
December 14, 2023
The reasons:
1. Low-risk pivot point
2. The stock went up >100% within 8 weeks
3. It corrects only 13%, indicating big institutions are unwilling to unload their position
4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market
5. The stock is moving on its own universe, marching to its own drummer
6. Volume dries up as less supply coming to the market
7. There is decent volume on the breakout
Flaws:
1. It needs to go through some overhead supply on the left side
2. The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 29% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
This is my initial position. I want to see it set up a better pivot to add to my positions.
SMRA potential confluence on cup&handle and BAT patternSMRA price currently pullback from inverse cup and handle neckline potentially completed the cup and handle pattern.
The target pullback happens to close to Point C of Bearish BAT harmonic pattern (just estimates).
Let's see if this wild guess will play out nicely
SMMT - FLAT BASEI bought my positions today
September 18, 2023
The reasons:
1. The stock offers a low-risk entry point
2. It developed a textbook flat base setup
3. It has VCP characteristics
4. It has a high relative strength
5. It outperforms the general market
6. Volume dries up and huge volume on the breakout
Flaw:
The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 33.8% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
SMRA potential forming Cup and Handle patternSMRA pullback from smaller HnS pattern right in the neckline. See previous post for the HnS pattern post.
SMRA has the potential forming bigger cup and handle with higher profit target once it is completed the pullback and price moving back towards the bigger cup and handle neckline.
KAYU - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today
November 6, 2023
The reasons:
1. Low-risk entry with a crisp low cheat pivot point
2. The stock went up >100% in less than 8 weeks
3. VCP characteristics during the pause
4. The pause has less than 25% correction
4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market
5. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation
6. One of the leaders in this type of market environment
The flaws:
1. Stock squats after the breakout
2. The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 30% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
This stock is still so strong. I would like to see it calms down for couple days and develop a pivot reset to add more positions.
AMMN - POWER PLAYI bought my positions back today
October 26, 2023
The reasons:
1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point
2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks
3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction
4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market
5. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation
6. One of the leaders in this market environment
The flaw:
1. Squat after the breakout
2. The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 30% of total stocks above the 200-day MA.
The stock set back another pivot point after I got stopped out beforehand slightly above the breakeven. I like to see if it can hold up during this difficult market environment.
UDNG - PRIMARY BASEI bought my positions today
November 27, 2023
The reasons:
1. Low-risk entry point
2. The stock offers the first buyable base after an IPO
3. Tight and clear pivot point (a cup with handle)
4. High relative strength stock
5. It acted strong against the general market
The flaws:
1. The general market is still in hard-penny environment
2. Most individual setups I personally trade don't work out well in the past months
I want to see some constructive action in the upcoming days.