BBCA (VCP - 26W 19/3 3T)IDX:BBCA - VCP
18-09-2024
Reason:
1. Low risk entry point
2. Volume dries up
3. Confirmed Stage 2
4. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
5. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
Flaws:
1. RS rating less than 70
2. 5 biggest marketcap
3. No big volume on breakout
BIPI Buy Position1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 81, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 69 - 71.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 74 ( Engulfing Candle on 5 Nov 24)
SL: 66 (FVG)
TP1: 110 (1.618 Fibbo)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4.5
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
-------------
Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
PANI - POWER PLAYPosition Update: October 16, 2024
Key factors:
1. Low-risk entry point.
2. The stock offers two entry points with a very tight risk.
3. A power play on top of another power play, this is a strong sign of continuation of upward momentum.
4. Corrects 18% during this pause, indicating big institutions' reluctance to sell their positions.
5. High relative strength, outperforming the general market.
5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer.
6. Volume diminishes during pauses, indicating less supply coming to the market.
7. The general market is in the early stages of a bull campaign.
Consideration: Breakouts are not accompanied by substantial volume.
This is a classic Power Play setup, featuring two viable entry points: a low cheat and the handle. My initial position was taken on October 11 from the low cheat. I’m looking forward to seeing further constructive price action moving forward.
BMRI (Weekly) Potential forming DOUBLE TOPBMRI on weekly Chart seems forming Double Top pattern. But still safe as long as the price not break the bottom support at 5500 - 5550.
in my opinion as long as the price not going under 5500,we still can hold the position.
DISCLAIMER ON
PTRO - POWER PLAYPosition Update: October 22, 2024
Key factors:
1. Low-risk entry point.
2. The pause formed a small cup and handle.
3. It surged over 100% within eight weeks.
4. Corrects only 15% during on the pause, indicating big institutions' reluctance to sell their positions.
5. High relative strength, outperforming the general market.
5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer.
6. Volume diminishes during pauses, indicating less supply coming to the market.
7. The general market is in the early stages of a bull campaign.
8. Huge volume on the breakout.
Consideration: Despite a favorable technical setup, risk should be managed diligently given the stock's sharp ascent and potential for profit-taking. Establishing stop-loss levels and monitoring market conditions is essential.
This is a textbook Power Play setup. I’m looking forward to seeing further constructive price action moving forward.
TPMA - CUP WITH HANDLEPosition Update: October 23, 2024
Key factors:
1. Low-risk entry point.
2. Very clear bases with VCP characteristics.
3. High relative strength stock.
4. Established a clear Stage 2 uptrend, indicating upward continuation.
5. The recent reduction in volume suggests diminished supply in the market.
6. Many stocks start showing traction based on my own stock continuum.
7. We are in the early phase of a larger bull market cycle, adding tailwinds to individual stock movements.
8. The market shows a constructive advance, with 55% of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, indicating underlying market health.
9. Significant volume on the breakout, supporting the move’s legitimacy.
Considerations: Risk should be managed properly given the stock's sharp ascent and potential for profit-taking.
This is a textbook cup with handle formation which immediately showing its strength. The stock up 11% from my buy point today. I'll be closely monitoring its behavior to assess its ability to hold and build on these gains.
BDKR - CUP WITH HANDLEI bought my positions today
October 9, 2024
Key factors:
1. Low-risk entry point.
2. Established a clear Stage 2 uptrend, indicating positive momentum.
3. Breaking into its all-time-high.
4. High relative strength, the stock went up +80% compared to a modest 11% increase in the index.
5. The recent reduction in volume suggests diminished supply in the market.
6. Many stocks start showing traction based on my own stock continuum.
7. We are in the early phase of a larger bull market cycle, adding tailwinds to individual stock movements.
8. The market shows a constructive advance, with 48% of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, indicating underlying market health.
9. Significant volume on the breakout, supporting the move’s legitimacy.
Considerations: While the stock exhibits a solid technical foundation, the breakout is not as robust as typically expected for a stronger move.
This is a textbook cup with handle formation which typically precedes further price appreciation from the entry point. I'll be closely monitoring its behavior to assess its ability to hold and build on these gains.
BIRD ANALYSISDaily Chart - We use the daily chart to read the movement and short-term risk of BIRD stock. Currently, BIRD's movement is in a strong bullish phase which is characterized by forming a perfect market structure, and is consistently on its trendline. The next target will be at the level of Rp 2,420 with a potential increase of 18.47%. Currently there is a healthy correction and will form a new higher low, so we project that the 18.47% target is a realistic target.
TINS - (VCP 61W 110/14 4T)IDX:TINS (VCP)
23-09-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point, cheat buy on pivot point
2. Volume dries up
3. Confirmed Stage 2
4. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
5. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (91)
(-):
1. The breakout on pivot point is not big enough
TOBA Potential Buy1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 312 & 500, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart & Daily Chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 470 - 496.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: TBA if price entered FVG
SL: 460-474 (below Daily & Weekly FVG)
TP1: 1050-1070 (Fibo 161.8%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:8
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
-------------
Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
only up if break 10900 target 12200If we look at the news from 10/23/24, BCCA has an upward trend. If we look at it now, there is little chance of a double top.
ASII Buy Trade Setup1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 4830, also the break of previous downtrend, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 4790 - 4940.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 5100 ( Long Bullish Bar on 21 Oct 24)
SL: 4770 (FVG)
TP1: 5900
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2.4
Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price
4. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
-------------
Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
LPKR Breaks 34 in weekly TF! A Signal to Bull?Bullish Potential for Lippo Karawaci Stocks!
Key Points
Technical Breakout: Lippo Karawaci stocks have recently broken above the EMA 34 on the weekly chart. This is a positive sign often indicating potential upward momentum in the stock's price.
Valuation: The current Price-to-Book Value (PBV) stands at 0.3, which is quite low. This suggests the stock is undervalued compared to its book value, making it attractive for investors seeking value.
Conclusion: With the recent technical breakthrough and a low PBV, Lippo Karawaci appears to have bullish potential. Investors should monitor the stock for continued positive trends and higher trading volumes to confirm this upward movement.
Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Applying Technical Analysis in multiple time frames: $BBTNMonthly
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- From May 2020, price made HH and HL and is now in transition phase. If it breaks 2100, it becomes presumptive Uptrend.
- In March 2024, price broke the downtrend line (Step 1), tested the low (Step 2) and is on its way to Step 3
• Harmonic Trading Method: N/A
Weekly
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- Last leg is in presumptive uptrend and is on its way to Step 4. If it breaks 1545, it becomes an uptrend.
- Price is above 18-week MA and 40-week MA, 18-week MA is rising and starting to separate from 40-week MA.
- MACD is rising as per price
• Harmonic Trading Method: N/A
Daily
• Trend and momentum using Joe Rabil Method:
- MACD made 0-line reversal in every pullback
• Harmonic Trading Method: Bearish Bat was complete; price moved down and now is up to Step 4
1H
• Small bearish bat is complete, and price is in consolidation
• I will pay attention on MACD, whether it can make 0-line reversal or not.
10M
• Price moves in rectangular shape.
• I will pay attention on 18-10M MA, whether it will make GC and up or not, and MACD to be above 0 line
SMDM - POWER PLAYI have my position today
September 9, 2024
The reasons:
1. Low-risk pivot point
2. The stock offers a very tight entry in a power play setup
3. It surged over 250% in less than eight weeks
4. Corrects only 8% during this pause, indicating big institutions unwilling to sell their positions
4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market
5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer
6. Volume dries up during the pause
7. The general market is in its bull campaign
Flaw:
1. Squats below breakout level on the closing
2. No real volume on breakout
It is a textbook Power Play setup, outstanding prior moves with very little sell-off on its correction. I like to see if it can hold up and reset its pivot area for another proper entry.
saham telkombuy position because there is a flag pattern and the price has already been hold by the resistance
DILDVisions of you in shades of blue Smoking, drifting, lazely drifting My darling, I miss you so Time goes by, no wonder my Senses go reeling, your eyes appealing I see the whole night through When will we meet again When, when, when When will we meet again When, when, when I remember the days, beautiful days
IDXKRAS Valley My projection on the IDXKRAS from it's current price (168) :
holding period = 239d
c.g. = 97.58%
PEVE - VCPIDX:PEVE - VCP
13-09-2024
1. Low risk entry point
2. Cheat buy on pivot point
3. Volume dries up
4. Price above MA 50 and 200
5. VCP characteristic
ELPI - CUP WITH HANDLEI bought the stock today
August 30, 2024
Reasons:
1. Low-risk entry point
2. Long base cup development
3. Formed a classic cup with a nice drifting handle
4. Newly IPO stock in late 2022
5. High relative strength
6. This is the second buy-able base since the IPO (first: vcp on 8/2/24)
7. More stocks start showing traction.
Flaws:
1. Not really in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend
2. No big volume on the breakout
I like to see if it can holds up and continue moving higher from here
