Our opinion on the current state of CROOKES(CKS)Crookes Brothers (CKS) is an agricultural and property company formed in 1913 and listed on the JSE in 1948. The company produces sugar cane, bananas, macadamia nuts, and deciduous fruit, and has a property division. It owns Renshaw Farm, which consists of 1800 hectares between Scottburgh and Umkomaas. Of this, 266 hectares have been re-zoned for development, with 52 hectares subject to a contested land claim. The company has decided to sell the 28 hectares being developed as Renshaw Hills, a 500-unit residential development.
The deciduous fruit operation consists of five farms in the Western Cape with 43 hectares of deciduous orchards. The macadamias are grown on a farm in Mozambique on a 99-year lease. The sugarcane operation is on four leased farms in Mpumalanga, plus other farms in KwaZulu-Natal, Swaziland, and Zambia.
In its results for the year ended 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue up 18% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 334.5c compared with a loss of 708.8c in the previous period. The company's net asset value (NAV) increased by 8% to 7124c per share. The company said, "The 2024 reporting period saw a marked improvement in prices in the group's sugar cane and banana operations and a reduction in fertilizer and other agricultural input costs. Additionally, the group sold its deciduous fruit business and used the proceeds to settle debt, reducing interest costs going forward."
A problem with this share is that it is relatively tightly held. The average value of shares changing hands each day is about R121,000, but on many days it does not trade at all. This generally makes it riskier even for private investors.
Our opinion on the current state of GRINDROD(GND)Grindrod (GND) is an international freight and financial services company operating in twenty-eight countries. In mid-June 2018, Grindrod unbundled and separately listed its loss-making shipping division, Grinship (GSH). This accounts for the "cliff" in the share price at that time. The company is now focused on its two remaining divisions: freight and financial services.
Grindrod owns the North-South railway line from Beitbridge to Victoria Falls as well as port terminals at Richards Bay, Natal, Walvis Bay, Namibia, and Maputo. The company is positive about the growth of its financial services division, which constitutes about 30% of its business. It is particularly focused on getting its retail banking division involved with small and medium-sized businesses. However, the conflict in northern Mozambique poses a problem for this share, and the flooding in Natal caused five of their sites to be suspended for several weeks.
In its results for the year to 31st December 2023, the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 18%, net asset value (NAV) up 13% at 1368c per share, and revenue down 23%. The company stated, "The Group segment results benefited from the interest earned on the proceeds from the disposal of Grindrod Bank in 2022. Current year results include R45.3 million (2022: R167.1 million) from initiatives."
In a pre-close update for the 5 months to 31st May 2024, the company reported an average price drop in the commodities it deals with of 19%. The company noted, "Port of Maputo achieved record volumes of 5.8 million tonnes, up 17% on the prior period. Grindrod's dry bulk terminals in Mozambique handled 4.6 million tonnes, down 6% on the prior period."
Technically, the share has completed a rising triple-bottom and has risen off this base into a new upward trend. We recommended waiting for an upward break through its long-term downward trendline before buying. That break came on 15th July 2020 at a price of 340c. The share has since moved up strongly to 1504c, a gain of 342% in just under four years.
The company should benefit directly from the recovery in the world economy and the steady rise in international trade. We believe that this share still represents value.
Our opinion on the current state of LIGHTHCAP(LTE)Lighthouse Capital (LTE) (previously Greenbay) was one of the Resilient group of REITs (real estate investment trusts) along with Resilient itself, Rockcastle, and Fortress. These companies were the subject of a damning report by 36One Asset Management, which stated that their share prices were too high due to their cross-shareholdings. Consequently, Lighthouse's share price (after a 20-for-1 consolidation in November 2018) fell from 5420c in December 2017 to as low as 688c in February 2019.
The CEO, Stephen Delport, indicated that going forward, the company will focus about 80% of its capital on owning market-beating investments in Europe. Clearly, by changing its name, Lighthouse is attempting to distance itself from the Resilient group of companies and establish itself as an independent property company. The Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) found that Lighthouse had not been involved in any price manipulation in the Resilient group. Later in September 2019, the FSCA found that there had been no wrongdoing by any of the members of the group at all.
Lighthouse held 882m shares in Hammerson worth about 405m euros on 3rd May 2021. On 14th May 2021, Resilient announced that its shareholding of Lighthouse had passed 35%, prompting a mandatory offer for the balance of Lighthouse's issued shares at 713c per share. On 12th August 2021, the company announced that it had raised R2,6bn in an oversubscribed bookbuild. The funds were to be used to purchase four shopping malls in France.
In its results for the year to 31st December 2023, the company reported a distribution of 2.7 euro cents compared with 3.25c in the previous period. The company's net asset value (NAV) was 42 euro cents compared with 40.5c in the previous period. The loan-to-value (LTV) was 14%. The company stated, "Lighthouse forecasts a distribution of 2.40 to 2.50 EUR cents per share for FY2024. The macroeconomic landscape continues to improve with inflation abating and short-term interest rates anticipated to decline during 2024."
In a pre-close update for the six months to 30th June 2024, the company said, "During 1H2024, Lighthouse concluded the acquisition of two malls, Salera (50% share) and H2O. Lighthouse's 50% share of Salera was acquired for EUR 87.25 million (inclusive of transaction costs), which represented a net initial yield of 7.7%. These acquisitions were funded by the disposal of Hammerson shares and have resulted in Lighthouse's loan-to-value ratio increasing from 14.0% at FY2023 to 20.3% at 25 April 2024."
Technically, the share has been in an extended sideways market and had begun to rise until the advent of the Ukraine crisis. Since October 2023, the share has been in an upward trend. We see this rand-hedge company as relatively cheap at current levels.
Our opinion on the current state of MARSHALL(MMP)Marshall (MMP) describes their business as follows: "Based in the UK, with strategically located offices globally, Marshall Monteagle PLC is a diversified investment holding company. The company provides procurement, logistics, and trading in various hard and soft commodities, industrial raw materials, consumer food and non-food products. Other non-operational investments include Commercial & Industrial Properties and listed equities.”
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue down 13% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 5.8c compared with a loss of 4.4c in the previous period. The company said, "Net assets per share attributable to shareholders are US$2.46 (2023 – US$2.38). The increase is primarily as a result of the sale of US investment property. At 31 March 2024, cash balances were US$41,794,000 (2023 - US$23,225,000)."
This share is relatively thinly traded with only R95,000 worth of shares changing hands each day on average, which makes it more risky for private investors.
Our opinion on the current state of NICTUS(NCS)Nictus (NCS) is a furniture and electrical appliance retailer with three stores in South Africa. It also sells short-term insurance through Corporate Guarantee.
In its financials for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue down 5.1% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 67.43%. The company said, "The debtors’ book continues to decline as customers prefer to pay immediately on a cash basis. Bad debts are well below the industry norm and are well managed and supported by our strong credit evaluation policy. Stock levels were consistent and remain within an acceptable range so as to be sufficient to satisfy customer demand and not be a financial drag."
The enduring problem with this company is that its shares are far too thinly traded to be practical for private investors.
Our opinion on the current state of PBT-GROUP(PBG)PBT Group (PBG) is a fledgling IT company in the general finance sector. It has operations in South Africa and Europe, having recently exited operations in the Middle East and the rest of Africa. The company operates in data analytics, data visualisation, application development, strategic consulting, the cloud, and data platforms. The company did a 10-for-1 consolidation earlier. The group has established agreements with a number of European companies to expand its operations into Europe. Agreements have been concluded in the Netherlands and Ireland and are imminent in the UK. This is a company that will probably benefit from COVID-19 because it is involved in digitalisation and the facilitation of remote work sites.
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue up 3% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 23,8%. The company said, "The decrease in our gross margin is a function of higher-than-usual non-billability in our consultant base due to client budget constraints, as well as not entirely passing through the increase in the cost of consulting to our clients."
We suggest that since this company has been radically re-invented, you may need to allow some time for the direction of the trend to be established and for the effect of its new European operations to become apparent. The share has been drifting down for most of 2023 and 2024 so far. You should wait for a new upward trend to emerge.
Our opinion on the current state of SEAM(SXM)This is a very thinly traded mining exploration company. It bought two gold projects in the DRC in 2020. In its results for the year to 28th February 2023, the company reported a headline loss per share of 143,34c compared with a loss of 141,76c in the previous period. The company has a negative net asset value (NAV) of 741,36c per share.
In its financials for the six months to 31st August 2023, the company reported zero revenue and a headline loss per share of 70,65c compared with a loss of 55,58c in the previous period. In a trading statement for the year to 29th February 2024, the company estimated that it would make a headline loss of between 45c and 55c compared with a loss of 171,88c in the previous year.
The share is virtually untraded on the JSE. We would strongly advise that you leave this share alone.
Our opinion on the current state of NAMPAK(NPK)Nampak (NPK) is Africa's largest packaging company with interests in South Africa and ten other African countries. About 60% of its turnover comes from South Africa, but only 36% of its trading profit. The rest of Africa accounts for 59% of trading profit and only 31% of turnover. The company also has small interests in the UK and Ireland. It produces four kinds of packaging products - plastics, metals, paper, and glass. The great preponderance of its trading profits come from metals - which consists mainly of beverage cans.
Nampak has been able to remove R3,5bn (US$265m) of surplus cash from Zimbabwe, Nigeria, and Angola. Importantly, management appears to have the ability to repatriate profits from the various African countries where it operates. It has halted its strategy of expanding into Africa after writing down its businesses in Angola and Nigeria by R3bn. COVID-19 and the fall in the oil price have impacted its results in Nigeria and South Africa. It is also benefiting from the news that it will not need to sell assets or do a rights issue to pay back debt of just under R6bn. The announcement that it would raise R1,35bn through a rights issue to reduce debt caused the share to fall 30%. The rights offer was reduced from R2bn to R1,5bn, and shareholders finally gave permission to raise up to R1bn on 30th June 2023.
On 20th April 2023, the CEO, Eric Smuts, resigned with immediate effect and was replaced by Phil Roux. In its results for the six months to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue up 7% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 5 393.9c per share compared to a headline loss of 11 027.3c in the previous period. The company said, "Despite declines in revenue in DivFood and Bevcan Angola, Metals recorded a 6% increase in revenue boosted by growth achieved with Bevcan South Africa, while Plastics and Paper posted 9% and 10% increases in revenue respectively."
On 16th May 2024, the company announced that it had sold its entire Nigerian operation for $68,5m. This resulted in the share giving a clear on-balance-volume (OBV) buy signal. A second OBV buy signal came on 20th June 2024 at R228 per share. Since then, it has moved up to R285.50. We believe that it will continue to perform.
UPDATE: Absa Target reached at R181.95 what next?Cup and Handle formed on Absa, broke up and out of it.
On 12 June I said it was imminent for a breakout to the upside, but I had NO clue how fast this thing was going to rally.
And it was only a Medium Probability Trade
Price>20
Price<200
Now that the price has shot up, it obviously is silly to just buy and go long without waiting for a trend confirmation signal in my case.
But we do have a DOWN gap (Breakaway gap) that has a 70% chance of closing based on history.
However, we need some bullishness before we do anything.
Is Absa setting itself for upside to R181.95Cup and Handle seems to be forming on Absa.
There was little supply (selling) which caused a major push up on the bank stock.
Banks have lagged many of the leading markets, and so hopefully they play catch up once the JSE TOp 40 picks up yet again.
RIght now it's in Medium Probability territory.
MPT
Price>20
Price<200
Target R181.95
🐯TIGER BRANDS🇿🇦 FORECAST Q2 FY24' : BEARS VS TIGERSOne last bullish impulse before the tank
The ranging net income over the years, with worsening free cash flow and okay 12% debt to equity for its industry tells me they arent concerned with growth right now, and the dividend yield is a good strategy but it will backfire cause its a bluff when ur fcf is not easy on the eyes
....But since 2019 the whole Industy has been taking a decline in share price as for the reason
i dont know and dont feel like investigating that far it just part of the cycles i guess
Conslusion
They are maintaing a good defensive position in whatever this industry is going through
so price might not complete a full bearish impulse maybe a reversal at the target labelled1 or 2
Financials are here on TV and below on investing.com
za.investing.com
Our opinion on the current state of BRAIT(BAT)Brait (BAT) is an investment holding company which owns 78% of Virgin Active, 93.7% of Premier, and 18.5% of New Look (a clothing retailer in the UK). It sold its stake in Iceland Foods for R2.4bn in June 2020 and used the proceeds to pay down debt. It is itself 46% owned by Christo Wiese's company Titan. The company's most important performance measure is its net asset value (NAV). The NAV was impacted by a change in the valuation multiple for Premier, which was reduced from 12.4 times to 11.4 times.
The turnaround at New Look is very important to the group. In January 2019, Brait announced that it had come to an agreement which would see its holding of New Look reduced to just 18.5%. This was done through a debt-swap which takes New Look's debt down from GBP 1.35bn to GBP 0.35bn. The news of this capitulation saw Brait's share price drop by over 20%. Virgin Active is 65% of the Brait portfolio and has been battling with the impact of COVID-19. Business Day (14/11/22) reported that Brait will have a cash pile of R2.1bn after the Premier listing.
Technically, Brait had a series of falling tops at around R170 in 2015 and 2016 that would have scared any private investor. This was followed by a collapse of the share price down to 231c in March 2020. Since then, the share has been moving sideways but spiked up on its latest results. The announcement of the R3bn rights offer in its latest results did not please the market, and the share fell over 10%.
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported that its net asset value (NAV) had fallen from 706c per share a year ago to 652c. The company said, "Virgin Active’s strong performance and operational turnaround has continued with all territories now EBITDA positive. Robust operating performance across key territories with active membership increasing to 1.021 million over the past twelve months combined with 10% average yield enhancements across the portfolio." The company's headline loss for the year was 13c per share, following a 70c loss in the previous year.
We feel that Brait has lost some of the appeal that it once had, and Christo Wiese is under a cloud since the collapse of Steinhoff. In our opinion, this share is not a buy at the moment. The share has become a penny stock trading for less than 100c and has been trending down since 2021. Technically, it needs to break above resistance at 500c before it becomes interesting - and that is a long way away.
Our opinion on the current state of CCCCybin is a company which focuses on the production and marketing of medical cannabis. It was listed in the Alt-X of the JSE 25th June 2024 as a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) and plans to acquire Cilo Cybin Pharmaceutical. Cilo Cybin is to make 10% of its 71m ordinary shares available to the market - which probably means it will be very thinly traded at least to begin with. The company's CEO is Gabriel Theron.
Our opinion on the current state of EXXARO(EXX)Exxaro (EXX) is a BEE coal company with interests in iron and heavy minerals. It has interests in Australia, America, and Europe. Exxaro is a provider of coal to Eskom's Medupi power station. The company initially aimed to increase coal production from 48 million tons to about 60 million tons by 2022, but this policy might be changed due to the lower demand for coal in the global market. The price of export coal has dropped from $100 per tonne at the end of 2018 to as low as $60 per tonne.
This is an immensely cash-generative operation that is usually profitable, depending on coal prices. While demand for coal both locally and in the export market has been strong, the shift towards renewable energy poses a long-term threat to the business. It is becoming increasingly difficult to obtain funding for new coal-fired power stations as banks face pressure from environmental groups.
On 9th April 2021, Exxaro announced that it had sold its interest in Exxaro Coal Central (Pty) Ltd and Leeuwpan Coal Mine operation. In its results for the year to 31st December 2023, the company reported revenue down 17% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 22%. The company said, "The revenue contribution from our energy operations was 16% higher than FY22. Energy generation from the Cennergi operating wind assets was higher, driven by improved wind conditions compared to the prior year. Group EBITDA decreased by 29% to R13 399 million (FY22: R19 001 million), mainly attributable to the 36% decrease in Coal EBITDA."
The share has been moving down since the beginning of 2023. Initially, the Ukraine conflict had a beneficial impact on this share through higher commodity prices, but that effect has now disappeared. The company announced that, with the lower price of coal, it was no longer viable to transport coal to port by truck - something it had been forced to do because of the inefficiency of the South African rail and port systems.
Exxaro remains a volatile commodity play, currently on a downward trend but possibly bottoming out. In a pre-close update on 25th June 2024, the company said, "Total coal production (including buy-ins) and sales volume for 1H24 are expected to decrease by 14% and 12% respectively, mainly due to the reduced demand from Eskom at Grootegeluk, based on their latest internal plan."
Our opinion on the current state of KAPKAP International Holdings (KAP) is a diversified industrial company that produces and markets timber, chemicals (PET and related chemicals), bedding, and car parts. It also has a logistics division. The acquisitions of Safripol and Hosaf were integrated into a polymers business under the Safripol name. The bedding division showed strong growth with new investment in infrastructure and manufacturing capability, while growth in the automotive parts division was muted. This company was 43% owned by Steinhoff, which has now divested completely.
The renewal of the government's Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP) until 2035 will be a boost for KAP's parts manufacturing business. The timber division is ramping up after the lockdown, and demand for its products has remained buoyant. The automotive components division was severely impacted, and the post-lockdown recommencement has been slow. The bedding division was able to operate through the lockdown with strong demand for medical and agricultural needs. Polymers also operated throughout the lockdown.
In a report on 20th April 2022 regarding the flooding in Natal, the company said, "The Company’s operations in the region have experienced some temporary operational and supply chain disruptions, which are in the process of being resolved."
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2023, the company reported revenue decreased by 2% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 36%. The company's net asset value (NAV) increased by 1% to 478c per share. The company said, "EBITDA decreased by 13% to R2.0 billion, while operating profit before capital items decreased by 17% to R1.3 billion, mainly attributable to Safripol." There was a 20% increase in finance costs due to higher interest rates.
In a trading statement for the year to 30th June 2024, the company estimated that HEPS would not differ by more than 20% from the previous year's 47,3c.
Technically, the share made a low of 127c in March 2020 and subsequently made a cycle low of 201c on 10th October 2023. Since then, it has been trending up on improved international prospects. Obviously, the logistics problems at Transnet are having an impact. We think it may represent good value at current levels, but it is volatile.
Our opinion on the current state of ORIONMIN(ORN)Orion Minerals (ORN) is an Australian exploration company listed on the JSE (September 2017) and on the Australian Stock Exchange in Sydney. The company is seeking funding for its copper and zinc mine in Prieska. The Prieska mine was previously operated by Anglovaal, which ceased operations in 1990 after 20 years, having extracted more than 1 million tons of zinc and 430,000 tons of copper concentrate. A significant challenge for the mine is flooding, which requires substantial investment in pumping out nearly 9 million cubic meters of water from the existing structure before production can begin, expected in 2024. Orion aims to exploit this resource with a mechanized approach and minimal labor.
Vedanta Resources, which operates the Gamsberg mine adjacent to Orion's resource, is considering building a smelter that could serve all mines in the area, including resources from Namibia. Mining exploration, especially for Orion, is one of the riskiest investments on the JSE. The company is engaged in a highly volatile penny stock venture.
On 8th September 2022, Orion announced it had secured R34,5m from the Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) for a 43,75% stake in its new Okiep copper mining company. On 21st October 2022, the company agreed on a R250m line of credit with the IDC.
In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023, Orion reported a loss of A$15,2m, unchanged from the previous period. The headline loss per share was 31c compared with a 33c loss in the previous period. The company stated, "The IDC to become a strategic funding partner at project level in both the Okiep Copper Project and Prieska Copper Zinc Mine, with pre-development funding agreements reached, providing a total of ZAR 284.58M for Orion’s two flagship projects."
In a report on the three months to 30th September 2023, the company reported, "Updated PCZM +105 Mineral Resource reported, increasing the resource to 2.3Mt at 1.7% Cu and 1.6% Zn, including an Indicated Resource of 1.9Mt at 1.82% Cu and 1.70% Zn, and increases the total PCZM Mineral Resource to 31Mt grading 1.2% Cu and 3.6% Zn." At 30th September 2023, the company had $15,74m in cash.
Regarding the Okiep copper project acquisition on 17th April 2024, the CEO said, "We are extremely pleased that we have finally received confirmation that the majority of the outstanding conditions have been fulfilled for the acquisition of the Okiep mineral rights first announced on 2 February 2021." On the same day, Orion requested a halt on trading in its shares because of a "material announcement on exploration results at Okiep copper mine." On 22nd April 2024, the company announced a "Spectacular High-Grade Copper Intercept at Okiep Copper Project, Flat Mines Area 49m at 4.89% Cu including 10.23m at 12.47% Cu," causing the share price to jump from 19c to 24c.
Investors should be very cautious with this loss-making penny stock and maintain a strict stop-loss level. On 24th June 2024, Orion reported strong assay results: "at Okiep Copper Project, Flat Mine East – High-Grade Potential Confirmed 9.27m at 3.01% Cu and 15m at 4.80% Cu within 78m averaging 1.57% Cu." On 25th June 2024, the company requested an immediate stop to trading in its shares pending an announcement.
BIdcorp Diamond formation ready for a break ups to R526?We need a Weekly chart as there is too much chop on the daily.
Bidcorp has been moving nowhere slowly since April 2023.
And during this time it's been moving in a Bullish Diamond Formation.
Why it's bullish is because the previous trend and pole was up.
SO we are expecting a sideways move before the break up and out of the pattern.
Next target will be at R526.74
Our opinion on the current state of ETHOSCAP(EPE)Ethos Capital Partners (EPE) is a private equity fund (PEF), incorporated in Mauritius, which invests in unlisted companies for long-term capital appreciation on behalf of its investors. Like most investment holding companies, Ethos trades at a significant discount to its net asset value (NAV). Fifty-six percent of their assets are in South Africa and 39% in the rest of Africa. It has stakes in Tymebank, Ster Kinekor, and Brait. The risk in this company appears to be minimal since it does not invest a significant proportion of its funds in any one investment, and its investments have performed well in the circumstances. It does not pay dividends, so the investor has to look for a capital gain.
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2023, the company reported net asset value (NAV) down 15% at 731c per share. The company said, "The value of the unlisted portfolio was slightly down (3%) over the six-month period, with positive returns from Synerlytic, Crossfin, Gammatek and TymeBank and Twinsaver offset by devaluations in Echo, Kevro and Optasia (which was impacted by the significant devaluation in the Nigerian Naira ('NGN'))."
In an announcement on 24th June 2024, the company reported that its NAV on 31st March 2024 was 10,24c and announced the imminent unbundling of its holding of Brait shares. Ethos shareholders will get 0,50857 Brait shares for every Ethos share held on 9th July 2024.
EPE is well-traded with an average of over R560,000 worth of shares changing hands every day. It made a low at 370c on 25th March 2020 and has since started to move up as its investments recover from COVID-19 restrictions and more recently from the sell-off due to the Ukraine crisis.
In our opinion, this should turn out to be a good investment at current levels where it is still trading well below its NAV, depending on the progress of the current trend in world markets.
Our opinion on the current state of INVICTA(IVT)The Invicta Group consists of five operational segments, namely:
1. Replacement Parts, Services, & Solutions: Industrial
2. Replacement Parts, Services & Solutions: Auto-agri
3. Capital Equipment
4. Replacement Parts, Services & Solutions: Earthmoving Equipment
5. Kian Ann Group
Christo Wiese (of Steinhoff fame) is the chairperson and owns a 37.57% shareholding. In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue up 7% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 4%. The company said, "...the gross profit margin increased by 0.5%, from 32.5% to 33.0%. Selling, administration, and distribution costs were 10% higher. The inclusion of Imexpart Limited acquired during the current financial year contributed 4% to the base cost. Further, we took asset impairments of R22 million in the current financial year."
Technically, the share gave a solid on-balance volume (OBV) buy signal on 5th June 2020 at 644c per share. Since then, the price has risen to 2760c but it is still well below its NAV of 5250c per share. We believe that it will continue to perform.
Our opinion on the current state of MC-MINING(MCZ)MC Mining (previously "Coal of Africa") (MCZ) is a small metallurgical coal-mining company with a single producing mine, Uitkomst. Aside from Uitkomst, the company is developing the Makhado project, the Vele colliery, and MbeuYashu. The Makhado project is the company's flagship operation in the Limpopo province. It is an opencast mine with a life of 16 years and the potential to be extended. In January 2019, the company announced the acquisition of surface rights which will make the Makhado project viable. Production is now expected to commence at the end of 2020, and the mine is expected to produce 800,000 tons of hard coking coal and 1 million tons of export thermal coal. The Makhado purchase improves the risks substantially and makes this into a viable investment.
The IDC has provided R245m for the project, but a further R530m is still needed. The company owns 69% of Baobab Mining and Exploration, which owns the Makhado project.
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2023, the company reported revenue up 80% and a headline loss of 145c (US) per share - up from a loss of 50c in the previous period. The company said, "International thermal coal prices remained under pressure during the period and the average API4 export coal price for the six months was $112/t (H1 FY2023: $265/t). Despite the depressed coal prices, Uitkomst Colliery generated pleasing results for the period with revenue of $16.3 million (H1 FY2023: $14.0 million), yielding a gross profit of $1.5 million (H1 FY2023: $3.9 million) and operating cash flows of $5.1 million."
On 8th April 2024, Business Day reported that Goldway Capital had received acceptances from shareholders amounting to 83.67% of the issued shares - more than the 82.15% required for the takeover to proceed. On 24th June 2024, the company announced that Godfrey Gomwe would resign with effect from 30th June 2024.
Technically, the share spiked up between July and September 2022 before falling back again to lower levels. This remains a volatile commodity share with about R280,000 worth of shares changing hands on average each day, high debt levels, and all the risks of mining exploration and development.
Our opinion on the current state of NASPERS-N(NPN)Naspers (NPN), Africa's largest company, is a massive international social media, gaming, and IT company whose main asset is 73% of Prosus (PRX), which in turn owns 26% of Tencent - a Hong Kong-listed company that provides social media services and gaming in China. Tencent has 10 of China's 20 top mobile applications, reaching over 1.1 billion users.
Naspers itself has an archaic capital structure dominated by its 907,128 unlisted "A" ordinary shareholders. Each "A" ordinary share has 1000 times the voting power of the 438.3 million "N" shares which are listed - so they effectively control the company with 67.4% of the vote. Naspers has many other interests, mainly in e-commerce, and operates in 120 countries worldwide. It has recently bought a further $500 million worth of shares in Letgo - an American classifieds platform that has more than 100 million users. It also owns Takealot and Mr. D Food in South Africa among other interests - but all those other investments are dominated by Tencent. The share's discount to its inherent value is mainly because of its "N" share structure which is frowned upon in the investment community.
Naspers has retained its online shopping operations, Takealot, Mr. D Food, PayU, and Autotrader. On 11th September 2019, Naspers separately listed Prosus on the Euronext in Amsterdam, which houses all its international assets including its stake in Tencent, Mail.Ru, and other internet brands. Naspers held 73% of Prosus and there was a 25% free float. The company has a secondary listing on the JSE. One of the benefits of the Euronext listing is that it removes the risk inherent in the rand. Prosus is now Europe's largest consumer internet company. Tencent continued to grow through the pandemic as more people turned to online gaming.
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue up 8% and core headline earnings up 88% to $2.1 billion. The company said, "This was mainly driven by the improved profitability of our Ecommerce consolidated businesses and equity-accounted investments, particularly Tencent, as well as higher net interest income during the year. Headline earnings from continuing operations rose US$1.2 billion to US$1.4 billion. At corporate level, Naspers has a net debt position of US$737 million, comprising US$14.6 billion in central cash and cash equivalents (including short-term cash investments), net of US$15.4 billion in central interest-bearing debt (excluding capitalised lease liabilities). In addition, we have an undrawn US$2.6 billion revolving credit facility."
Technically, since October 2022 the share staged a recovery, and then moved sideways between March 2023 and April 2024. Since then it has broken to new higher levels but still has not risen above its all-time high of R4090 made on 21st November 2017. We still regard this share as under-priced at the current price.
On 18th September 2023, the company announced that Bob van Dijk would resign as CEO with immediate effect. On 17th May 2024, the company announced that Fabricio Bloisi would take over as CEO of both Naspers and Prosus with effect from 1st July 2024.