Bearish Triangle in short term, long term more bullishCLN X is consolidating its advanced bearish triangle for recent months. I expect that it end will be a move to the downside, approx. 19.50 or 20.00, that signs the beginning of a new trend to the upside. Currently this analysis isnt likely, but the Dow and so the S&P with its "exhausting peak" could break, because of the trade war with china. the october is also a weak month for the stock market. So understand me right please, for a short term I am short for Clariant, but after this there could be a big rebound.
SNB - a new move down is ready to startThe Swiss National Bank is presenting a very interesting chart.
After a long period of 5 Waves up, it has entered into a correction phase.
We had the first move down (a) we most probably saw the reaction (b) and a new move down (maybe a sharp one) will follow (c).
This for me is a nice Short candidate.
Note: Maybe some investors do not know it, but SNB has a portfolio of stocks.
As of June 30 2018, the portfolio was as follows (just click the link)
www.nasdaq.com
AMS SIX - BUY2 times RSI below 30 stock went Up
AMS is a semiconductor company but is only going a down at the moment because of other semiconductor like Nvidia, but that has to do with Crypto mining.
Austrian chipmaker AMS, mainly known as a supplier of sensors for Apple's iPhone X, aims to expand further into the fast-growing business of making sensors for self-driving cars.
It's envolved in a lot of areas and has a lot of products:
3D Sensing
The rapidly growing field of 3D sensing is currently addressed by the following 3D camera technologies: stereoscopic imaging, time-of-flight (ToF) sensing, and structured light.
Audio
ams provides Active Noise Cancelation (ANC) solutions and also offers power and communication interfaces for smart earbuds
CMOS Imaging Sensors
CMOS imaging sensors from ams feature global and rolling shutter capability, low noise, high dynamic range and high frame rates.
Environmental Sensors
ams provides a range of off-the-shelf environmental sensor solutions
Flow Sensing
ams ultrasonic flow converters for flow metering applications
LIDAR is a remote sensing technology that measures distance by illuminating a target with a laser and analyzing the reflected light.
Light Sensors
ams provides the industry’s broadest portfolio of high-performance and high-sensitivity digital discrete and integrated module optical sensors.
Medical & Health
High-performance sensors and sensor interface solutions from ams provide for more precise and accurate diagnostic information while exposing the patient to a lower dose of radiation.
Position Sensors
ams offers a broad range of high-performance position sensors which are suitable for use in industrial, medical, robotics, automotive and consumer applications.
Power Management
ams supplies power management products for portable battery-powered devices
Precision Time Measurement
ams offers a family of standard high-performance time-to-digital converter (TDC) products for use in applications requiring extremely precise measurement of time intervals.
Sensor Interfaces
Sensor interface ICs enable a system to read out information from the input signal generated by complex sensors
Smart Light Management
Single-chip solutions enable IoT connectivity and precise control of smart lights and replacement lamps.
Wireless Sensor Nodes
Wireless technologies from ams are notable for their extreme high performance, low power consumption and small board footprint.
VAT update - Hidden Gem in uptrendHey guys, After VAT has come into the expected buying zone due to the correction, a new upward trend is starting now. I expect the first real resistance with a at 144-148 CHF followed by a small correction. The reason for the correction (double bottom at 118 CHF) from 170 CHF to 120 CHF was, on the one hand, the short-time work registered by VAT and, on the other hand, the unscrewing of the annual targets. But you should not forget the more than above-average results and fulfilled expectations from the last years. VAT is still the market leader in his business area and now again on track. RSI and MACD are very bullish which are good indicators.
Novartis almost a buyPharmaceutical stocks represents a defensive asset when a positive market cycle is about to finish or when it is foreseen a cycle less positive than the previous one. In such context pharma stocks should have an advantage because of inelastic demand for such goods.
Novartis ($NVS,$NOVN) is one of the candidate to break up as the price is moving in a triangle since 2015. the stock doesn't not have an high volatility as other stocks but is one of the main represented of INDEX STOCK HEALTH CARE. There are nice technical indications on the chart that a breakout might happen in the next weeks. At the moment I am expecting a price pullback, where at the end it will be possible to go for an entry long.
Conclusions
At the moment price is consolidating and some other days to reduce RSI value will be needed. It's possible either to open positions at the end of the pullback or when price breaks out the downtrend (2015). Possibility to have it in CHF or $.
Roche primary trenline analysis (RSI, MACD, price) [Daily]Hello Everyone,
I would like to share with you my idea regarding Roche. This is not a trade advice.
There are signs that stock price may increase for Roche SIX:ROG
RSI (14)
There is a strong primary trendline A-B on RSI, support trendline
- Point A (25/Oct/2017) was the lowest RSI (14) low since 10/Aug/2011 making it very significant RSI low (6+ years)
- Point B (06/Feb/2018) was consecutive RSI low after A. Primary RSI trendline A-B is established.
MACD (12,26,9)
There is a strong primary trendline K-L on MACD, support trendline
- Point K (14/Feb/2018) lowest MACD cross-over since 12/Feb/2015 very significant MACD low (3+ years)
- Point L (19/Jun/2018) was consecutive MACD cross-over after K. Primary MACD trendline K-L is established.
MACD (12,26,9)
There are also MACD highes Z and Y. However, these are not significant as they are only local MACD highes and trendline Z-Y is not primary.
Nevertheless, fact that MACD lines crossed from bottom the trendline Z-Y in point 1 was a sign of strength. This trendline is not a support.
Price line
- There is primary trendline (RED) linking all-time-high from 05/Dec/2014 with high from 09/May/2017. This trenline is upper resistance.
- There is non-primary trendline (ORANGE) linking high from 09/May/2017 with high from 08/Jan/2017 (none of the point is 52-week high 3-yrs high or all-time-high).
Nevertheless, fact that price line crossed over ORANGE trendline in point 2 was a sign of strength. This trenline is not a support.
Let's hope that Earning Report will be favorable.
Please share your thoughts with me.
Ziza23456
Roche primary trendline analysis [Monthly]Hello Everyone,
I would like to share with you my idea regarding Roche (SIX:ROG). This is not a trade advice.
There is a chance that Roche stock will continue to rise for some time and if following conditions are met, it can event break out and increase significantly. However, keep in mind that these primary trendlines are NOW resistance levels and only if broken will become supports for FUTURE corrections. Therefore, neutral strategy.
1) RSI
There is an interesting setup on RSI indicator. By connecting highs on RSI: C-D-E we receive a primary RSI trend line that starts in November 2014. IF the RSI crosses over that trend line in point E there is a chance for major break out and price my increase very rapidly to the upside. Line A-B-C is even better primary trend line, to watch out in the future if the RSI crosses over line C-D-E. If this happens C-D-E will become a new resistance for future corrections.
2) MACD (4,9,3) - 12,26,9 is a default setup for MACD, but it much slower.
On MACD there is a trend line K-L that was crossed over in M starting a break-out form 235 in early 2017 to 265 in May 2017. This high on MACD (point of cross over on MACD) from May 2017 is point N that became part of new primary trendline K-N to watch for in nearest future if the price point P is approaching K-N trendline.
3) On MACD (4,9,3) MACD lines crossed over each other in point O giving a solid buy signal (June 2018) - watch out for sell signal on MACD
4) Price line
Current price (July 2018) approaches point 5 that is a part of primary trendline 3-4-5 (with 3 being a 52-Week high). If this trend line is crossed it may allow a major break out to the upside. If that happens line 1-2-3 will be a resistance trendline, but if crossed could also begin a rally up.
I hope that Earning Report will be favorable. If yes, it may give a slight push and on RSI there will be a break-out (point E) that will soon follow on other indicators giving fuel for price increase.
Please share your thoughts with me.
Ziza23456
Analysis on Alibaba 4.06.2018The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend.
The MACD histogram is above the zero line.
The oscillator Force Index is above the zero line.
If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 205.50
• Take Profit Level: 210.00 (450 pips)
If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 196.80
• Take Profit Level: 196.00 (80 pips)
GOLD
Possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1289.00
USDJPY
Possible long position at the breakout of the level 109.80
USDCHF
Possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9850
GBPUSD
Possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.3380T
Alibaba: several reasons to think about “sell”Alibaba is the largest online retailer in China and one of the world leaders in Internet trading. A better candidate for “buy” status is difficult to find. Still the situation is not so obvious.
Market professionals for rather long period of time have been shorting the company's shares. Short interest in the shares of Alibaba exceeded $ 25.9 billion, and its growth rates are double-digit. As a rule this is a losing approach - selling the company's shares, which is growing in price. But if you perceive actions as a strategy, not tactics, then the situation looks quite different.
What are the fears of stock speculators and why do they sell shares of Alibaba, even at the risk of "dipping under the water"?
There are many reasons for this. The company's revenue growth rates are slowing down while competitors (both domestic ones like Tencent and international ones, for example Amazon) are actively struggling for the largest market in the world. In addition, often the sale of Alibaba shares acts as a kind of insurance in case of problems in the economy of China. Since, if China starts to slow down in its economic development, it is Alibaba shares that will be sold first of all (due to the specifics of the market on which the company operates). And since the risk of slowing the Chinese economy is practically the systemic risk of the modern global economy, the demand for a hedge of this risk will be consistently high. So, the sale of Alibaba shares will also be stable.
Thus, it will be difficult to grow for Alibaba shares in the presence of stable and significant short interest, which amount to billions of dollars. At the same time any problems or fears of problems in the Chinese economy will lead to massive sales in the shares of Alibaba. This is the main motive for us to recommend the “sell” status for the Alibaba.
Alibaba: $200 Price TargetRemember when Alibaba slightly went right towards the $200 mark in January? Now they are having the holiday seasons again for e-commerce and it looks like for a short calling, Alibaba will re-pass a $200 price point. (Even with increasing competition from the Walmart and Flipkart merger). Currently at the $195 price point and a trailing that looks like it will turn positive, I would conservatively call this a short with very little risk.
Parabolic advance?Another good water company. Nestle appears to be accelerating northward. Good position to buy, as its on the bottom of the advance for now. IF we see a correction downward (I don't think we will), and the support line breaks, could dip badly and be in an even more attractive price. I'd put a stop loss right under support, just in case. Otherwise its a good stock to sit on
Swisscom reached an 8 month low.Part of my job is to identify peaks and bottoms. Then, I form a trading idea and devise a strategy. I always set my trading goal and my stop.
I don't fight the market but only embrace what comes my way.
Here you can see Swisscom AG has reached a bottom after 8 months and stayed flat. The market gave an indication that it might be moving up.
I took position. When it moved up and reached my target I exited.