NG - Multi year Asc Tri - will it close the gap and pop 30%? If bullish - prior triangle broken down, ends up touching BAGL for limit order fill
Still have prior leverage from prior Asc Tri aggressive limit order filled on BAGL
Decided not to close out on stop as gapped lower - nurse maiding the trade
Bullish case is to hold on and see if the gap fills setting sell order inside top of gap
Then to re- acquire if the price goes back for another BAGL touch
Disclaimer - purely for fun, and interest only. But I will give a huge smile if it works out!
This would be a great example of how to manage a trade when the MM gap through your stop on unpredictable new news.
Now that the election in UK - voting today right at the resistance point which is also interesting
On yearly patterns these can be forgiving if you find yourself underwater in the red on a trade due to aggressive early entry. What is the best thing to do take the loss or manage your way out of the trade. I choose to manage the way out and I am now today OK.
So would I if I consider the bull case enter again long here to grab the gap ? I think so, if I am wrong its enough time to get out flat. If I am right and the Asc Tri breaks up then you are looking at 30% return for an almost zero risk.
If we have another leg down to the BAGL look to fill with limits if bullish
Foxtons - further upside on bid talkIn Feb 23 Foxtons made ranged instead of breaking out. It then took 10 month to head upwards. It tested its 30 day moving average in April and now more news of a sale process has led to today's increase of 6-10% in one day.
Resistance hit during Feb 2020 was 97 and this could be hit again.
Do your own research and trading and this is not a solicitation to trade or hold.
Risk On ! US Stock Market Sell SignalThose who have been paying attention this week
have recognized that the S+P 500 has violated it's Ascending Triangle
Technical Pattern, on the Daily Chart
with the market leading semiconductor stocks leading the selloff.
I had warned you about this in my last post, if Nasdaq 100 Futures were to break 20000.
When the market's strongest stocks start to finally give way, there's high risk on the horizon.
"Sentiment" Observations, also show a marked warning message.
1. Market Vane's Bullish Percent Poll of Traders
is now at 71 %, this week, nearing a record level of bullishness for stocks.
When this many are bullish, it's actually frightening
2.Delta Market Sentiment Index, Internal Measure of Strength
( Published Weekly In Barron's)
now shows a reading of 47.3% importantly below 50 % Demarkation Line
When that occurs, risk become elevated, and stocks should be sold.
If the S+P 500 rallies next week back to the violated wedge trend line,
use that opportunity to get short the market, while theres still a chance.
If the market starts to fall,.. it could cascade straight down.
THE_UNWIND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
SPX: Buy ideaOn SPX we would have a high probability of seeing the market go up as shown in the chart if and only if resistance (01) and resistance (02) and in addition to the vwap indicator are broken forcefully by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume. All of these conditions must be met before this happens.
WISE | Arrived To The Potential Reversal Area!Hi,
A lot of criteria match inside the possible reversal box and it stays between 616-716:
1) The trendline. If this week closes deeper than the previous week then it is a bit weaker and the setup becomes also weaker. So, quite an important week for Wise.
2. Different types of Fib levels.
3. Channel projection
4. Equal pullback waves from the top
5. 700 as the most important prize zone within two years.
Do your homework and if it matching with mine then you are ready to go.
Good luck,
Vaido
Legal & General new directionAfter creating a rectangle since Jan 2024, Legal and General has broken to the downside after lacklustre targets issued yesterday. Price is falling below 231 support.
Since March 2013, L&G has gone nowhere and it looks like it could eventually hit 161, if the stock market reverts to a downtrend or business is below expectations.
The RR tea leaves confirm take-off from gate 435 The RR tea leaves confirm take-off from gate 435 with a cup with a handle printed and an initial target suggesting a potential up-target move of some 9-10% i.e. onward flight path upwards into the 470's zone. Meanwhile, the cup with handle also unfolded on the SP500 after breaking out of the clouds on the daily time frames on May 10 and its trading range above 5250 and is now heading north towards high 5's 5555 - IMOO DYOR GLA
Vodafone ended 10 year long bear ride?
After 10 years, Vodafone seems to have reach the bottom.
Long consolidation periods (yellow), and 2 downward channels led us to a rock bottom of 63GBP.
The last downward channel appears now to be broken with immediate resistance at 103 GBP.
Positive outlook as long term investment.
Good results for B&MThe market seems to have recieved B&M's results positively. The fall in reported profit was expected.
Technically this week could provide a launching pad for it to break to the upside from its weekly 50 ema.
This is not a recommendation. Trade your own plan and make decisions based on your own research.
ULVR HuntLooking to catch some reversals at the shapes in this project for anyone interested in UK stock market. I have a higher level of confidence in the projections of simulated scenarios which should catch at least one more reversal at any of the shapes. Will update follow up analysis on any relevant or interesting Japanese Candlesticks patterns or setups.
In this project the rectangles are not necessarily support and resistance zones as in most nen projects. This one on the other hand is focusing on the longer term on the daily time frame making the potential anticipation of any reversals, inflection or pivot points, quite a challenge. That being said, if the project catches more than one inflection point at an element, it raises the legitimate questions regarding the normal expected distribution of events and the probability of such a result while also considering the aspect of determinism in the grander context.
Project dedicated for the curios minds, the thinkers, the questioners, and the observers. May the force of Mathematical Advantage or edge and profits be with you!
3 UK Stocks to WatchLet’s take a look at three FTSE 100 heavyweights demonstrating high levels of relative strength.
Barclays (BARC): Strategic Update Sparks Share Surge
Barclays' share price has been in a powerful uptrend since unveiling a strategic update in February. The bank's three-year plan includes significant initiatives such as:
• Cutting costs by £2 billion
• Returning £10 billion to shareholders
• Investing heavily in its profitable UK arm
Barclays plans to allocate an additional £30 billion in risk-weighted assets to its UK retail bank by 2026. As part of its restructuring efforts, the bank will review its payments business and has introduced a new organisational structure with five operating divisions. Additionally, Barclays announced a total return of £3 billion to shareholders for 2023, including a share buyback and a final dividend.
On the price chart, shares have been consolidating sideways in recent weeks, forming a box pattern. This high and tight consolidation indicates trend continuation, and momentum traders could consider buying a breakout above the consolidation box with a stop loss below it.
BARC Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Experian (EXPN): Data Dominance Continues
Experian's dominance in data continues as the company reported strong financial results and a promising outlook in its recent full-year results.
For the fiscal year ending 31 March, Experian showed impressive market strength, with organic growth reaching 8% in the fourth quarter and 6% for the full year. This performance exceeded analyst expectations, causing the shares to gap higher.
Total revenue from ongoing activities surged to $7.06 billion, reflecting an 8% increase from the previous year or 7% growth at constant exchange rates. Underlying profit (EBIT) saw a notable rise, increasing 7% to $1.93 billion, further solidifying Experian’s financial standing.
With shares consolidating sideways, trend continuation traders could consider buying at support or waiting for a breakout above the consolidation highs.
EXPN Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Vodafone (VOD): German Growth Resumes
Vodafone has significantly underperformed the market in recent years with growth stagnating in key markets. However, the telecom giant’s recent trading update highlighted the progress of its turnaround plan, noting Germany’s return to growth following the divestment of its Spanish and Italian operations.
Under CEO Margherita Della Valle, Vodafone has embarked on a transformation, streamlining its operations and addressing underperforming markets. Despite a 74% decline in FY24 operating profits, primarily due to exceptional gains in the previous year, Vodafone remains focused on cost-cutting measures, having already reduced its workforce by 5,000 roles with plans to cut an additional 2,000 positions as part of a €1 billion cost reduction target.
The market has responded positively to Vodafone’s recent updates, with shares surging through key resistance in May. After retracing within a small descending channel, shares are starting to break higher again, signalling that Vodafone’s recovery may have further to run.
VOD Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Qinetiq breaks out after 4 yearsBreaking out of rectangle patter formed since Feb 20 should mean an upside target of 648.
Good results & defence industry make it more resilient in the face of other factors affecting the economy (e.g. election and recession).
Do your own research and this is not a recommendation to trade in this stock.
Breakout day for QinetiQ - expect pullback to retestWeekly chart: Triangle formed with 2 or more touches to both its upper and lower lines. Early breakout too and could signal a rise to 587. However, if this goes to form, it will retest the upper triangle line at 339 before heading higher.
WARNING: This is not trading advice and just my own technical analysis. Do your own research and trade your own rules.
Kainos Group plc $LSE:KNOS Profits UP +14% to £77.2mLSE:KNOS Kainos Group plc is back in favour as adj pre-tax Profits UP +14% to £77.2m and reaching 14 Years of Consecutive Growth with Revenue hitting £382.4m!
With the Workday Segment of the business growing to over £60m ARR and Cash topping +16% to £126m with NO Debt this is a business that has great long term growth as leading consultants in Workday Products and in the Generative AI space having invested more than £10m into training their 3,000 staff in this area. The COVID contracts have ended in their healthcare segment thus returning to more organic growth figures and the share price since 2021 reflected this.