Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/11/25T (AT&T Inc.)
Sentiment
โข Sentiment is neutral with a bearish tilt. April 10 options activity shows put-heavy volume at $26 strikes, reflecting caution. RSI (14) at ~50 (estimated, flat trend at $26.40 close) suggests indecision. X posts highlight concerns over telecom debt loads and tariff risks on equipment imports, but some speculate on institutional accumulation below $26.50. A liquidity sweep below $26.33 could trigger a bullish reversal if buy-side liquidity is tapped.
Catalyst: Potential sweep below $26.33 may spark short covering.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Moderate.
โข Explanation: T relies on imported telecom equipment, facing cost pressures from tariffs on China (active as of April 11). No relief announced, so margins could tighten, capping upside. X posts suggest tariff fears weigh on sentiment, but domestic revenue focus limits fundamental damage.
News/Catalysts
โข Driver: Flat telecom sector performance on April 10, with T holding steady amid mixed market signals. X posts cited stability but no clear catalyst.
โข Upcoming: CPI (April 11): High CPI could hurt T (-1.5%) due to rate hike fears; low CPI may lift it (+1%) as a yield play.
โข Retail Sales (April 15): Strong data supports T (+1%); weak data pressures (-1%) due to consumer spending risks.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
โข HVN: $26.00 support (bullish).
โข LVN: $27.00 resistance (neutral).
โข EMA Trend: 8-week โ 13-week > 48-week (neutral).
โข RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
โข MACD: Near signal line (neutral).
โข Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
โข Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
โข Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
โข ADR: Stable (neutral).
โข VWAP: At VWAP $26.40 (neutral).
โข ICT/SMC: No clear MSS; consolidation phase.
One-Hour Chart:
โข Support/Resistance: Support at $26.33; resistance at $26.56. Stance: neutral.
โข RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
โข MACD: Near zero (neutral).
โข Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral).
โข Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral).
โข Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral).
โข VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
โข ICT/SMC: Sell-side liquidity below $26.33; OB at $26.40; FVG at $26.35โ$26.45; OTE at $26.45; no displacement.
10-Minute Chart:
โข Closing Move: Flat into close.
โข EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs flat (neutral).
โข RSI (14): ~50 (neutral).
โข MACD: Near zero (neutral).
โข VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral).
โข ICT/SMC: Potential sweep below $26.33; OTE at $26.45; no clear entry signal yet.
Options Data
โข GEX: Neutral, pinning at $26.50. Dealers hedge minimally.
โข DEX: Put delta bias (-0.15), bearish pressure.
โข IV: Low (~18%), limited swings.
โข OI: Put-heavy (55% puts at $26), capping upside.
Cem Karsanโs Application:
โข Weekly Trading Breakdown: OI at $26 suggests pinning. Low gamma limits volatility; vanna neutral; charm favors puts near OPEX.
โข Strategy: Buy $26.50 calls at $26.45 (OTE), exit at $27, profit $0.30, risk $0.40. Ties to sweep below $26.33.
โข Vanna: Stable IV, no dealer-driven lift.
โข Charm: Puts gain delta near OPEX, pressuring $26.
Timeframe Analysis:
โข Weekly (exp. April 18): Put OI at $26, low IV, bearish stance.
โข Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, neutral stance.
โข 3-Month (exp. July 18): Neutral outlook.
โข Directional Bias: Neutral, leaning bearish unless sweep triggers reversal.
Sympathy Plays
โข Correlated Assets: VZ (+1%), CCI (+0.5%).
โข Opposite Mover: If T fades, risk-on SPOT rises (+1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG - Sector: Communication Services โ Telecom.
โข RRG Position: Lagging vs. XLC, reflecting weak momentum.
Targets
โข Bullish: +2% to $27.00 (OB).
โข Bearish: -2% to $25.87 (FVG).
JPMorgan Chase Reports Earnings Today, Topping Q1 EstimatesShares of JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ) are currently up 3% in Friday's premarket session as the asset tops Q1 estimates.
The company reported better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results as big banks kicked off the new earnings season.
The banking giant reported earnings per share (EPS) of $5.07 on revenue of $45.31 billion, each up from $4.44 and $41.93 billion, respectively, a year ago. According to estimates compiled by Visible Alpha, some analysts had expected $4.64 and $43.55 billion. It generated $23.4 billion in net interest income (NII), above the $23.00 billion consensus.
Shares of JPMorgan were up 3% immediately following the release of Friday's report. They entered the day down roughly 5% year-to-date but up about 16% in the last 12 months.
"The economy is facing considerable turbulence (including geopolitics), with the potential positives of tax reform and deregulation and the potential negatives of tariffs and 'trade wars,' ongoing sticky inflation, high fiscal deficits and still rather high asset prices and volatility," JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said. "As always, we hope for the best but prepare the Firm for a wide range of scenarios."
Dimon wrote in his annual letter to shareholders this week that he expected the Trump administration's tariffs "will slow down growth."
technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, NYSE:JPM shares are already up 1.5% with the asset trading above the support point. A break above the 1-month high pivot could set the course for a bullish campaign eyeing the $260- $280 region.
With the last close RSI at 46, NYSE:JPM shares has more room to capitalize on the dip and make a comeback prior the earnings beat.
Quantum's KR Trading Guide 4/11/25
KR (Kroger Company)
Sentiment
โข Analysis: Market sentiment for KR is neutral leaning bullish. Post-close options activity on April 10 shows balanced put/call volume, with slight call dominance at strikes near $69, suggesting cautious optimism. RSI (14) at the April 10 close (estimated ~60 based on recent uptrend to $67.96) indicates momentum without overbought conditions, supporting a potential continuation. Anonymized X chatter highlights speculation on grocery sector stability amid tariff uncertainties, with some noting KRโs domestic focus as a hedge against import risks. A potential liquidity sweep above recent highs ($68.76) could signal institutional buying, setting up a reversal to the upside.
Catalyst: Watch for a sweep above $68.76 triggering bullish momentum, driven by retail investor interest on X.
Tariff Impact - Rating: Minimal.
โข Explanation: KRโs exposure to tariffs is limited due to its primarily domestic supply chain and focus on U.S.-sourced goods. While imported specialty products could face cost pressures, these are a small fraction of revenue. No tariff relief or escalation was announced on April 10, so sentiment remains stable. Fundamentals are unaffected, but speculative X posts suggest tariff fears could cap upside unless clarity emerges.
News/Catalysts
โข No specific company news on April 10, but sector strength in consumer staples drove modest gains, with KR benefiting from defensive positioning amid broader market volatility. X posts noted KR as a โsafe playโ in uncertain times.
โข Upcoming: CPI Data (Today, April 11): Stronger-than-expected CPI could pressure consumer staples (-1% move) as investors rotate to cyclicals; weaker CPI could boost KR (+2%) as a defensive name.
โข Retail Sales (April 15): Robust data may signal consumer strength, lifting KR (+1.5%); weak data could hurt (-1%) due to spending concerns.
Technical Setup
Weekly Chart:
โข HVN: $66.50 as support (bullish, price above).
โข LVN: $70.00 as resistance (neutral, price below).
โข EMA Trend: 8-week > 13-week > 48-week (bullish uptrend).
โข RSI (14): ~62 (bullish, above 50).
โข MACD: Above signal line (bullish).
โข Bollinger Bands: Near upper band (bullish).
โข Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
โข Williams %R: ~-20 (neutral, not overbought).
โข ADR: Expanding (bullish, volatility rising).
โข VWAP: Above weekly VWAP at $67.00 (bullish).
โข ICT/SMC: Higher highs/lows confirm bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS).
One-Hour Chart:
โข Support/Resistance: Support at $67.50 (weekly HVN confluence); resistance at $68.76 (daily high). Stance: bullish above support.
โข RSI (14): ~65 (bullish).
โข MACD: Above signal (bullish).
โข Bollinger Bands: At upper band (neutral, potential pullback).
โข Donchian Channels: Above midline (bullish).
โข Williams %R: ~-15 (neutral).
โข VWAP: Above hourly VWAP at $68.20 (bullish).
โข ICT/SMC: Buy-side liquidity above $68.76; Order Block (OB) at $67.50 demand zone; FVG at $68.00โ$68.10; OTE (Fib 61.8%) at $68.30; displacement seen in early April 11 rally.
10-Minute Chart:
โข Closing Move: Strong rally into April 10 close, holding above $67.96.
โข EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs rising (bullish).
โข RSI (14): ~60 (neutral).
โข MACD: Above zero (bullish).
โข VWAP: Above VWAP at $68.30 (bullish).
โข ICT/SMC: Liquidity sweep above $68.40 in pre-market; retracement to OTE at $68.30; pin bar forming as entry signal.
Options Data
โข GEX: Neutral, slight bullish pinning at $68. Dealers may buy stock to hedge, supporting price at $68โ$69. Explanation: Gamma Exposure balances calls/puts, stabilizing price near strikes.
โข DEX: Moderate call delta bias (+0.25), indicating bullish pressure. Explanation: Net call buying drives directional momentum.
โข IV: Moderate (~22%, near norm), suggesting steady swings. Explanation: Implied Volatility supports consistent options pricing.
โข OI: Call-heavy (60% calls at $69 strike), favoring upside momentum. Explanation: Open Interest at $69 signals potential breakout target.
Cem Karsanโs Application:
โข Weekly Trading Breakdown: High call OI at $69 (exp. April 18) suggests pinning or breakout potential. Gamma supports stability at $68; vanna indicates dealers buy on IV spikes to 23%, lifting price. Charm accelerates delta near OPEX, favoring $69 calls if in-the-money.
โข Strategy: Buy $69 calls at $68.30 (OTE), exit at $69.50, profit $0.50, risk $0.40. Ties to liquidity sweep above $68.76, targeting $69 OB.
โข Vanna: Rising IV to 23% could push dealers to buy, lifting KR to $69 (bullish).
โข Charm: Near OPEX, $69 calls hold delta if ITM, boosting volatility.
Timeframe Analysis:
โข Weekly (exp. April 18): 60% call OI at $69, moderate IV, bullish stance.
โข Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, stable IV, neutral stance.
โข 3-Month (exp. July 18): Slight call skew, low IV, bullish outlook.
โข Directional Bias: Bullish, driven by call OI, positive GEX, and OTE setup at $68.30.
Sympathy Plays
โข Correlated Assets: WMT (+2% if KR rallies), COST (+1.5%).
โข Opposite Mover: If KR rallies (defensive), risk-on names like SHOP fade (-1%).
Sector Positioning with RRG
โข Sector: Consumer Staples โ Food Retail.
โข RRG Position: Improving vs. XLP ETF, aligning with bullish sentiment and technicals.
Targets
โข Bullish: +3% to $70.50 (next liquidity zone, OB at $70).
โข Bearish: -2% to $66.60 (FVG at $66.50).
NVDA watch $113.56: Golden Genesis fib and Most Important level NVDA has come back to its "Golden Genesis" fib.
We had a high apogee orbit and have returned.
What happens here will determine the trend.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject to the fib below.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we break to next fib above.
==========================================
MICROSOFT On 4th largest correction in 15 years. Buy or trap?Microsoft (MSFT) has corrected by -26.50% from its All Time High (ATH), representing the 4th biggest correction since June 2010, which was the first pull-ack after the historic 2008 Housing Crisis.
At the same time the 1W RSI hit the 30.00 oversold limit for the first time since that low of June 2010! Not even the Housing bottom didn't exhibit such low 1W RSI.
All while the current Tariff War correction stopped a little before testing the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been the long-term Support since 2011 and was last hit (for the 2nd time during that time span) in December 2022 during the previous Inflation Crisis.
As a result, this is a unique long-term buy opportunity for such a tech giant. The 2010 rebound hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level before pulling back while the rally that was initiated after the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom reached +117.45%.
Based on the above, we have a medium-term Target on MSFT at $440 (Fib 0.786) and a long-term at $700 (+100%).
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
AAPL LTF Wave count ( 40 years!)
My long term wave count for apple completes. It has got a mind-blowing and exponential growth over the 40 years and has it come to THE end? Elliot waves can't tell really because wave analysis can always yield multiple scenarios based on waves and sub-wave counts, that's why Elliot wave is an amazing tool regardless you agree or not.
I always prefer not use log chart when wave counting because it will distort the trend line which is important for wave analysis.
My conclusion: APPL has either finished its long-term ascending wave or it still has two more huge waves up till a few years later.
Microsoft MSFT - What`s next?I mentioned a month ago this is a short for me, well dynamics changed in a very quick way, yes went went to a recession before tarrifs were done. But with the tarrfis the dynamics changed quickly. If tarrifs are resolved a huge uptrend is possible, if not resolved then it is not clear what the market will do so what`s the answer where we are going? At the moment NOWHERE. No hedgefunds are shorting at the moment due to high risk of liquidation if Trump posts something new, but also nobody wants to buy at this moment a lot because if he continues after the 90 days (except china) the gloabal tarrifs market drop is possible. But important to say there is much less risk on the downside than on the upside at this moment. Biggest risk was that europe punishes the American IT industry which would hit MSFT and AAPL the hardest, but this risk is now very low. So at this moment. Nobody wants to buy and nobody wants to sell until time comes and if nothing important happens I do think only then we will see what will happen. Slightly more bullish than bearish atm but only minimal. No data, no trade.
Apple respite before sell offApple bounced straight of major support at circa $170, with the SMI now also rising we could see a few weeks of short term respite before continuing down to test the major support line again. Also notice a backtest of the rising trend at around 21%.
Long term view is still bearish, don't think we've seen the yearly bottoms yet. Will be interesting to see how this plays out especially with bonds.
Long Bullish Idea โ Reddit $RDDT (4H Chart)Alright, hereโs the play.
Redditโs been bleeding inside this falling channel for months. But hereโs where it gets interesting.
โ IF price holds this buy zone around $100 - $95...
โ THEN Iโm expecting a breakout towards $135 as first target. Thatโs about +34%.
Strong bounce here, plus a clean break of this descending channel = confirmation for me.
Volume is kicking in โ I wanna see continuation.
โ IF price breaks $135 with momentum...
โ THEN next stop is $165 โ the 2nd target. Thatโs another +20%.
This isnโt a scalp. Itโs a swing idea. 2-5 months range.
Earnings 1st May could be a catalyst โ but I want to be in early, not chasing after.
โ IF price loses $70 support with volume...
โ THEN idea invalidated. No ego, Iโm out.
Simple plan. Clear levels. No hope, just execution.
PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT BEATS S&P 500 INDEX, 11 MONTHS IN A ROWSomewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!
1๏ธโฃ What was your best trade this year?
2๏ธโฃ What is your trading goal for 2025?
Here's what we answered:
1๏ธโฃ What was your best trade this year?
- Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR ๐
I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here.
Current result is 5X, to $80 per share.
Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here.
Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share.
2๏ธโฃ What is your trading goal for 2025?
- Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR ๐
It's gone three months and a half or so... (Duh..? Haha.. 3 months, really? ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ)
Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX
First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean.
Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is better vs SP:SPX
Falling (Red) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is worse then SP:SPX
Conclusion
๐ PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT OUTPERFORMS S&P 500, 11 MONTHS IN A ROW.
๐ WERE WE RIGHT ON CONTEST AND WON IT? EXACTLY!
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team ๐
Support Zone: 106.19
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NVDA Chart)
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 106.19.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 106.19.
-
(30m chart)
If it falls below 106.19,
1st: M-Signal indicator on 1M chart
2nd: HA-Low indicator on 30m chart
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has been newly created, the key is whether it can be supported near this area and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If so, it is expected to turn into a short-term uptrend.
If not, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so the current position is an important section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope your transaction will be successful.
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Copart, Inc. (CPRT) โ Double Bottom Breakout๐ Long Setup
๐ Description:
Copart, Inc. (NASDAQ: CPRT) has formed a Double Bottom pattern, signaling a bullish reversal. The price has broken above the confirmation level, indicating momentum to the upside. Strong volume on the breakout adds conviction to the move.
๐ Trade Details:
๐น Entry: Breakout confirmation above $58.14
๐ด Stop Loss: 50.71
๐ข Target: 64.56
๐ Confirmation:
The breakout above the neckline confirms the double bottom pattern. If price holds above this level, the bullish bias remains valid. A drop below $50.71 would invalidate the setup.
Trade wisely and stick to your plan! ๐ช๐
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
Ubers Target Price: $92 From rides to returns โ Uberโs ecosystem is scaling towards profitability.
Target Price: $92
FY24 revenue expected at $41.2B, up 18% YoY, driven by core mobility and delivery segments.
Achieved full-year positive Adj. EBITDA of $4.2B, margin expanding to 10.2%, signaling operational leverage. Projected FCF of $3.8B in 2025; reinvestment optionality + share buyback program initiated.
Valuation: Trades at EV/EBITDA of ~18x (2025E) vs. peers at 20โ22x; attractive relative to growth.
Especially in such a turbulent environment marked by tariff policy uncertainty and financial market instability, Uberโs attractiveness continues to rise. It is worth paying attention not only to Uberโs equity but also to its bonds with a 7.5% coupon.
How To Find The #1 Stock To TradeHello in this video we dive deep
into using the screener
on trading view to find the best
stocks, and forex trades.
Also we look at what happened with the
US stock market crash as well.Its a very powerful video.
Because i am showing you all my trading secrets.
This knowledge is based on self education.So i would
encourage you to do you own research as it may not be
accurate.But life is full of ideas and
so look at my videos as brianstorming sessions.
Hopefully these brainstorming sessions will help you
on your trading journey.
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and
profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a
simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
GOOGL Tariff Relief dips to buy: $156.76 ideal, 150.00 possible GOOGL got sold in panic then bought in fomo.
We of the Fib Faith indulge in logical serenity.
We plan and execute calmly and deliberately.
$156.10-156.76 Bounce would indicate strong bull.
$150.55-150.84 is a Must-Hold or it was a bull trap.
$168.17-170.00 should be an achievable first target.
===============================================
FIVN โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐ ๐ข
๐น Asset: Five9, Inc. (FIVN โ NASDAQ)
๐น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐น Setup Type: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout + Support Retest
๐ Trade Plan โ Long Position
โ
Entry Zone: $23.21 (Breakout confirmation + yellow zone flip)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): $21.90 (Below trendline & structural support)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $24.89 โ Local resistance
๐ TP2: $26.65 โ Major supply zone
๐ Risk-Reward Calculation
๐ฅ Risk: $1.31/share
๐ฉ Reward to TP2: $3.44/share
๐ R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.62 โ Favorable trade setup
๐ Technical Highlights
๐ Consolidation in triangle with tight range โ
๐ Trendline support and resistance convergence โ
๐ Breakout from squeeze structure gaining strength โ
๐ Volume steady โ potential for spike continuation ๐
๐ Risk Management Strategy
๐ SL to breakeven after TP1
๐ฐ Partial profit at TP1
๐ Let the rest ride toward TP2
โ ๏ธ Setup Invalidation If:
โ Breakdown below $21.90
โ False breakout without volume
โ Bearish engulfing candle post-entry
๐จ Final Thoughts
โ Breakout tradersโ favorite: tight base + expansion
โ Strong R/R and room to run
โ Clean plan, powerful structure = ProfittoPath-certified setup
๐ #FIVN #BreakoutSetup #ProfittoPath #NASDAQStocks #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalSetup #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #RiskReward #TriangleBreakout
LOAR โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐ ๐ข
๐น Asset: Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR โ NYSE)
๐น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐น Setup Type: Ascending Triangle Breakout + Retest
๐ Trade Plan โ Long Position
โ
Entry Zone: $85.91 (Breakout + Support Flip)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): $83.86 (Below ascending trendline + prior support)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $88.63 โ Resistance zone
๐ TP2: $91.78 โ Major structural supply
๐ Risk-Reward Calculation
๐ฅ Risk: $2.05/share
๐ฉ Reward to TP2: $5.87/share
๐ R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.86 โ High-probability setup
๐ Technical Highlights
๐ Bullish ascending triangle formation โ
๐ Breakout with volume expansion โ
๐ Trendline holds and price retests breakout zone โ
๐ Clean resistance-to-support flip at yellow zone ๐
๐ Risk Management Strategy
๐ Trail SL to breakeven post TP1
๐ฐ Secure partial profits at TP1
๐ Hold remaining for full extension to TP2
โ ๏ธ Setup Invalidation If:
โ Break below $83.86 support
โ Breakdown from ascending structure
โ Weak price action + low volume
๐จ Final Thoughts
โ Textbook bullish breakout setup
โ Ideal for swing traders seeking solid R/R
โ Setup backed by structure, psychology & momentum
๐ #LOAR #SwingTrade #BreakoutPlay #ProfittoPath #SmartMoney #TechnicalSetup #NYSEStocks #ChartAnalysis #RiskReward #VolumeConfirmation