CORZ / 4hThere is no change in the prior NASDAQ:CORZ 's analysis in this frame. The wave structure of the 34% advance would suggest that the countertrend rally of Minor degree wave A should be underway.
The price might reach the origin of the diagonal wave ((v)) >> 9.45. In which case, the rising tide since mid-April will be revealed in a thorough five-wave impulsive sequence and highly confirmed, continuing the advance towards the anticipated Fib-targets >> 10.75 >> 12.24.
#CryptoStocks #CORZ #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
WULF / 4h#TeraWulf has continued to advance >> 54% in April, suggesting that the countertrend rally of Minor degree wave A should be underway.
The price might reach the origin of the ending diagonal wave ((v)) >> 3.52 in the coming days. In which case, the rising tide will be thoroughly revealed in a five-wave impulse and highly confirmed, continuing the NASDAQ:WULF 's advance towards the anticipated Fib-targets >> 4.38 >> 5.23.
#CryptoStocks #WULF #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
What is a war chest and lessons we can learn from Blackstone...In case you haven't heard, NYSE:BX is hogging over $100 billion of dry powder that is ready for deployment at the snap of a finger. Now, just because we cant get our hands on hundreds of billions of dollars doesn't mean that we shouldn't have a war chest of our own.
Why a war chest is a must have
Firstly, having dry powder ready for the next trading day could be the determining factor of a make or break trade. Specifically think back to when the current market downturn started. If I had to guess, many of you reading were far too exposed to the market and got scared from the "red wave" that shocked the market heatmaps. I would also like to bet that many of you sold positions for a loss to stop the bleeding and are now looking for a better entry. However, consider what would have happened if you had spare cash on your side to keep your positions alive.
Here is an example of over exposure.
And here's an example of keeping about a 20% war chest by your side...
I understand that it seems like a small amount of money, but trading is a game of pennies and a winning position of pennies is much better than a losing position of $140. This is the same tactic that firms like Blackstone use to protect large positions from poisonous events such as this recent downturn in the market. So in order to make money like a bank, we need to learn to think like a bank...
Netflix Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025
- Netflix broke key resistance level 1063.40
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1150.00
Netflix recently broke the key resistance level 1063.40 (former multi-month high from February, which stopped the B-wave of the previous ABC correction (B)).
The price just broke the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from October – which should accelerate the active impulse waves 3 and (5).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Netflix can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1150.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
ISG (III): Digital Transformation Tailwinds Fuel GrowthInformation Services Group, Inc. (III) is a global technology research and advisory firm that helps businesses navigate digital transformation. The company provides market intelligence, consulting, and managed services to support IT modernization, cloud adoption, automation, and sourcing strategies. With enterprises accelerating their tech initiatives, ISG benefits from steady demand for its insights and expertise in aligning technology with business goals.
Technically, III is holding above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, placing it in the momentum zone. The stock is currently testing recent highs, showing bullish strength and suggesting that a breakout could be near if volume picks up and buyers remain active.
Sherwin Williams, you will always need paintNYSE:SHW looks good here, pushing agains multi year horizontal resistance
* ER out of the way,
* weekly bull flag break here, need to confirm the weekly close,
can buy leaps or debit spreads, half size here and add on weekly confirmation.... not financial advice ;D
April 29 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +686.25
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: :thumbsup:
Overall a decent day, but signals felt iffy today.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) :x:
1:08 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
1:51 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 2:20 PM VX Algo ES X1 Sell Signal :x:
— 3:38 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (Double signal)
Next day plan--> Over 5470 = Bullish, Under 5470 = Bearish
Video Recap -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
TSLA Potential Post Tariff Resolution Bullish RallyDespite uncertainty still looming over the current global tariff based environment, TSLA price still seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish breakout as the price action may form a prominent Higher Low on the longer timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential Non-Leverage hold opportunity.
Entry: CMP 292
Stop Loss: 90 or 0 (depends on trading style as Non-Leverage Buy & Hold is recommended)
Potential Range for Targets: 470 - 550
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Cipher Mining (CIFR) – Accumulation Opportunity (1D Chart) Cipher Mining is bouncing from a well-defined historical demand zone (1.70-2.30) — a level that has consistently marked the start of powerful upside cycles.
📈 Technical Highlights:
✅ Major demand zone tested and respected — clear accumulation area
✅ MACD bullish crossover and histogram turning green
✅ RSI reversal from deep oversold — momentum shifting early
✅ Strong historical pattern: Each prior touch of this zone led to +100% moves
📈 Targets for Partial Profit-Taking:
✔️ TP1: $4.21
✔️ TP2: $5.29
✔️ TP3: $7.76+ (matches analyst avg. target of ~$7.84)
No hard stop — this is a mid- to long-term investment setup
🧠 Investor Context:
✅Analysts maintain a Strong Buy rating (avg PT: ~$8)
✅Cipher turned profitable in Q4 2024 and is expanding rapidly
✅Black Pearl (150MW) site goes live in Q2 → +70% hashrate growth
✅High exposure to Bitcoin upside, plus future HPC potential
✅Ideal setup for those building exposure to crypto infrastructure at cycle lows
📌 Note: Not a short-term trade. This is a high-conviction equity idea built on technical structure and strong fundamentals. Treat it as a long-hold with scaling opportunities.
We’ll provide updates on earnings, expansion news, and macro signals as this plays out. 🔒📊
SNAP is going down Market Context NYSE:SNAP
Current Price: $9.165
1-Month Move: +5.6% (from $8.68)
1-Year Move: -39.1% (from $15.05)
Year High/Low: $9.96/$7.16
Technicals:
RSI ~69.8 (near overbought)
Above 20-day MA, below 50/200-day MAs (short-term pop in a longer downtrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 75th percentile (high premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 1.25 (bearish skew)
Max Pain: $8.00
High OI: $9.00 puts, $10.00 calls
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: SNAP averages 13.5% post-earnings, with a slight bearish bias (6/12 quarters down).
IV Crush: Expect 30–40% IV drop post-print, so time your exit carefully.
Model Consensus (Grok, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek): Moderately Bearish
Why? Overextended rally, high IV, Max Pain at $8.00, and “sell the news” risk.
Outlier: One model (Llama/Meta) sees bullish momentum from call activity, but it’s drowned out by bearish signals.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked put (bearish, defined risk)
Instrument: SNAP
Direction: Put
Strike: $8.50 (premium $0.52, fits $0.30–$0.60 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.52
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-04-29)
Profit Target: $0.78 (~50% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.26 (50% loss)
Confidence: 65%
Expected Move: ±$1.24 (~13.5%)
Key Risks:
Positive earnings surprise (strong ad revenue or user growth).
Severe IV crush killing put value.
Broad market/tech rally lifting SNAP.
Upbeat guidance sparking a squeeze.
Alibaba - This Chart Speaks In Money!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) prepares for a significant pump:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Basically since Alibaba was listed on the NYSE, it always perfectly respected market structure. With the recent rejection away from the key neckline, Alibaba is now creating a bullish break and retest. After bullish confirmation, this forms a bottom and we might see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MicroStrategy on the Brink? $5.9 Billion Bitcoin Losses and MassIn Q1 2025, Strategy reported a staggering $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings, primarily due to a significant drop in Bitcoin's price. Consequently, the company's stock plummeted by 6.3% following the announcement and has declined 41.9% since November 2024, underperforming both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 .
The Financial Accounting Standards Board's (FASB) new guidelines now allow companies to reflect the real-time market value of their digital assets. While this benefited companies like Tesla, it poses a significant risk for Strategy. With billions in unrealized Bitcoin gains, the company could face a substantial tax bill under the Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax introduced by the Inflation Reduction Act. This tax, set at 15%, could result in billions in liabilities starting in 2026, potentially forcing Strategy to liquidate some of its Bitcoin holdings to meet tax obligations .
Despite its significant Bitcoin holdings, Strategy's market capitalization stands at about $95 billion, double the value of its Bitcoin assets (currently around $50 billion in BTC). This discrepancy suggests that investors are paying a hefty premium for exposure to Bitcoin through Strategy, rather than purchasing the cryptocurrency directly or through other financial instruments. Analysts warn that this overvaluation could be unsustainable, especially if Bitcoin's price experiences further volatility .
Strategy's approach of continuously issuing debt and equity to fund Bitcoin purchases has been likened to a high-risk financial flywheel. Critics argue that this strategy is unsustainable and could collapse if Bitcoin's price declines or if the company faces regulatory scrutiny. Furthermore, co-founder Michael Saylor's past controversies, including a $40 million tax fraud settlement, add to the ethical concerns surrounding the company's leadership .
$SPOT Facing Resistance at 627–652 with Key Support at 484 UnderSpotify’s weekly chart shows a peak around the 627–652 range, where price action has failed to break through multiple times. This lack of upward momentum has left NYSE:SPOT vulnerable to potential downside. At the moment, 484 serves as an important support level. If it fails, it could open the door to a deeper pullback, possibly towards the 380–320 zone. Even if the price moves above 627, caution is advised, as there’s no solid signal for a sustained upward trend yet.
Tesla Faces Key Technical Hurdle Near $288Tesla shares have rebounded sharply from April’s low, but the rally is now stalling near a confluence of resistance:
🔴 $288.20 = February swing high
🔵 Price testing the 200-day SMA (~$291) from below
📈 MACD remains positive but momentum is flattening
📊 RSI at 58 – bullish but not yet overbought
A clean breakout above $288–291 would likely confirm a medium-term trend reversal, exposing upside toward $310 and possibly $340. Failure to break could see Tesla consolidate or fade back toward the 50-day SMA (~$268).
Keep an eye on volume and follow-through in the next couple of sessions.
-MW