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XOM Analysis: Oil's Next Move & Policy ShiftsNYSE:XOM currently piques my interest, particularly with oil prices potentially stabilizing or rising further. Recent geopolitical developments and policy shifts under Trump’s administration—such as rolling back Biden-era energy regulations, reducing methane fees, and easing LNG export permits—could significantly influence the energy landscape. My intuition suggests Trump’s "Mar-a-Lago Accord" might involve major global economies reducing holdings of US dollar assets, swapping short-term treasuries for century bonds. Such currency shifts and reduced drilling activity could lead to a tighter oil supply, benefiting prices. Additionally, a weakening US dollar could positively impact technology stocks, as investors rotate towards sectors less affected by traditional commodities. Technical Analysis (Daily & Hourly Chart) Current Price: Approximately $103.00 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance: $103.93 (L.Vol ST 1b) Important resistance zone: $104.74 (118 AVWAP) Critical resistance (Last week's high): ~$106.46 Key Support Levels: Near-term support: $101.13 (Weeks Low Long) Major support: $97.92 (Best Price Short) Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Continued oil strength & supportive policy shifts): Entry Trigger: Sustained breakout and close above immediate resistance at $103.93. Profit Targets: Target 1: $104.74 (AVWAP resistance) Target 2: $106.46 (recent swing high) Stop Loss: Below recent pivot around $101.00, limiting risk effectively. Bearish Scenario (Oil price weakness or production surge): Entry Trigger: Failure to sustain the above resistance at $103.93 or a breakdown below near-term support at $101.13. Profit Targets: Target 1: $99.00 (psychological & short-term support) Target 2: $97.92 (strong support, ideal short target) Stop Loss: Above $104.75 to control risk in case of a reversal. Thought Process & Final Thoughts Given the current geopolitical and regulatory environment, XOM appears poised for potential upside if oil prices remain strong and policy shifts materialize. However, caution is warranted, as oil companies seem hesitant to increase production due to profitability concerns. Clearly defined technical levels will help navigate trade entries and exits effectively around these evolving macroeconomic conditions. Earnings Date: May 2nd—Keep positions nimble as earnings can significantly impact short-term volatility.
NYSE:XOM
by HispanicHedge
XPO.NYSE Potential Cup & Handle PatternXPO is looking to print a Potential Cup & Handle Pattern which is Bullish. Should this pattern play out, I have plotted the potential Upside potentials. The recent downtrend's due to Tarif Inflationary concerns might see some relief, depending on the FED decision's. However the Markets do not like uncertainty, and hence the sell-off. Investing, Trading is always Risky. And in the shorter term if you sell too early will result in your loss of Capital. Rather stay away if you are unsure. However, the best results are obtained when getting in when there is Blood on the Streets, and also timing the lows, which very few get correct. Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away. Regards Graham.
NYSE:XPOLong
by hitchcoxg
$MSFT Potential Bull wave targeting 428 SL at 370Bullish daily candlesticks , RSI breakout and back tested, but there are strong resistance at 393-396 , if breakout then it will target the upper gap and fib golden at 428 but there are real overhead resistances. Above 396 , minor targets at 408 and 416 .The latest news of tariffs exemptions may push it higher but needs carful risk management. NASDAQ:MSFT Earning report by 30th April . i would like to to take 395 Call expiry before earning but with protection Put or some type of hedge. Good luck . please boost and share. Gracias
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by WinnerTrader99
NVDA Drops to $100: Volatility Squeeze Signals More DownsideNVDA Daily Chart Analysis Price Action: NVDA saw a strong uptrend from late 2023, peaking at $150 in mid-2024. It has since pulled back sharply to $100.33 as of May 2025, showing bearish momentum. Indicator: The Smart-Trend Indicator flagged multiple buy (blue X) and sell (red X) signals. The latest sell signal near $150 preceded the current drop, with sentiment marked as "Bullish" but showing a "Volatility Squeeze." Key Levels: Support: $90 (next major level). Resistance: $111.05 (recent high). Outlook: Bearish in the short term after the breakdown. A drop below $100 could target $90. A reclaim of $111.05 might signal a trend reversal. Trade Idea: Short on a bounce to $111 with a stop above $115, targeting $90. Alternatively, wait for $90 support confirmation for a long entry. #NVDA #Bearish #SmartTrend
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tradingbauhaus
1
AMZN Breaks Channel: Bearish Setup Targets $184AMZN Daily Chart Analysis Price Action: AMZN has been in a strong uptrend, trading within an ascending channel (yellow and blue lines). Recently, it broke below the channel support around $204.17, signaling a potential trend reversal or pullback. Indicator: The Enhanced Trend & Volume Confirmation Indicator shows a bearish shift, with the price dropping to $195.55 after failing to hold above the upper channel resistance. Key Levels: Support: $184 (recent low and psychological level). Resistance: $204.17 (channel support turned resistance). Volume: The sharp decline suggests strong selling pressure, confirmed by the indicator's bearish signal. Outlook: Bearish in the short term. Watch for a retest of $184 support. A break below could target $175 (next major support). If price reclaims $204.17, the uptrend may resume. Trade Idea: Consider shorting on a bounce to $204 with a stop above $208, targeting $184. Alternatively, wait for confirmation of support at $184 for a long entry. #AMZN #Bearish #TrendAnalysis
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by tradingbauhaus
US Banks on Fire | Revenues Soar, and So Do the ProfitsWho Needs a Recession? Banks Are Swimming in Cash! The largest U.S. banks have reported some of their best quarterly performances in recent years, with surging trading revenues, a resurgence in dealmaking, and an overall renewal of corporate confidence playing pivotal roles. Let’s break down the key details of the results. Market Recovery Across the major banks, investment banking and trading activities recorded impressive performances. Goldman Sachs saw investment banking revenue increase by 24%, while Bank of America (BofA) experienced a massive 44% jump, marking its strongest quarter in three years. The market volatility stemming from factors like the U.S. election and changing expectations around interest rates continued to fuel robust trading revenues. Morgan Stanley’s equities division, for example, reached an all-time high, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs enjoyed notable gains in fixed-income trading. A surge in CEO optimism has led to an uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), initial public offerings (IPOs), and private credit demand. Morgan Stanley, in particular, is seeing the largest M&A pipeline in seven years, signaling a sustained wave of dealmaking. Mixed Results for NII Net interest income showed varying results across the banks, but forward guidance indicates that NII will likely see moderate growth in 2025, spurred by continued loan demand and higher asset yields. Credit Risks on the Rise Consumer lending pressures have persisted, with JPMorgan’s charge-offs rising by 9%. Many banks are preparing for a further increase in delinquencies, particularly in credit cards. Commercial Real Estate Challenges While the office sector remains under stress, banks are managing their exposures cautiously and have yet to face significant shocks in this area. Regulatory Scrutiny Continues Citigroup lowered its 2026 profitability target as it undergoes a transformation, while Bank of America faced increased scrutiny over its anti-money laundering compliance. Resilient U.S. Economy Banks are reporting strong consumer spending, loan growth, and corporate profitability, which supports an optimistic outlook for earnings growth heading into 2025. Performance Breakdown for Each Bank JPMorgan Chase - JPMorgan posted a record annual net income of $58.5 billion, marking an 18% increase from the previous year. - Investment banking saw a 46% surge in revenue, driven by strong advisory and equity underwriting. - Trading revenue climbed by 21%, led by a 20% increase in fixed-income trading. - Despite the impressive results, JPMorgan is still facing challenges such as rising charge-offs and pressures on loan margins. CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized concerns about persistent inflation and growing geopolitical risks. Bank of America - BofA experienced an 11% year over year growth in revenue, reaching $25.3 billion, with net income up 112% from the previous year. - The investment banking division saw a dramatic 44% rise in revenue, the highest in three years, thanks to strong debt and equity underwriting. - Trading revenue grew by 10%, driven by solid performance in fixed income (up 13%) and equities (up 6%) as market volatility spurred client activity. - BofA also reported growth in its consumer and wealth management divisions, with credit card fees and asset management showing strength. Client balances grew to $4.3 trillion, a 12% increase from the previous year. - After several quarters of decline, BofA’s NII grew by 3%, exceeding expectations and signaling stability. The bank expects NII to continue rising through 2025, with projections of $15.7 billion per quarter by the end of the year. Wells Fargo - Wells Fargo’s revenue remained flat at $20.4 billion, but net income surged by 50%. - NII declined by 8% year-over-year but is expected to rise slightly in 2025 due to higher reinvestment rates on maturing assets. - The bank made significant progress in cost-cutting efforts, reducing non-interest expenses by 12%, thanks to workforce reductions and efficiency initiatives. - Investment banking fees rose by 59%, benefiting from the broader market recovery and the bank’s renewed focus on its Wall Street presence. - Wells Fargo returned $25 billion to shareholders in 2024, including a 15% dividend increase and $20 billion in stock buybacks. However, the bank continues to face regulatory constraints, notably the asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve. - Looking ahead to 2025, Wells Fargo anticipates modest growth in fee-based revenue, with cost discipline and efficiency gains driving improvements. Morgan Stanley - Morgan Stanley saw a 26% increase in revenue, reaching $16.2 billion, while net income soared by 142%. - Equity trading revenue jumped by 51%, setting a new all-time high as market volatility sparked increased client activity, particularly in prime brokerage and risk-repositioning trades. - Investment banking revenue grew by 25%, fueled by strong demand for debt underwriting, stock sales, and M&A activity. CEO Ted Pick noted that the M&A pipeline is the strongest in seven years, signaling a potential multi-year recovery in dealmaking. - Morgan Stanley’s wealth management division saw $56.5 billion in net new assets, increasing total client assets to $7.9 trillion. The firm is pushing toward its goal of $10 trillion in assets under management. - In response to growing business complexities, the firm launched a new Integrated Firm Management division to streamline services across investment banking, trading, and wealth management. Goldman Sachs - Goldman Sachs experienced a 23% increase in revenue, reaching $13.9 billion, while net income more than doubled, up 105%. - Record performance in equity trading contributed to a 32% increase in revenue from this segment, as market volatility drove greater client activity. - Investment banking revenue grew by 24%, boosted by significant gains in equity and debt underwriting. - The firm’s asset management division saw an 8% rise in assets under management, reaching $3.1 trillion, while management fees exceeded $10 billion for the year. - Goldman is winding down legacy balance-sheet investments but also saw a gain of $472 million from these investments in Q4. The firm’s recent launch of its Capital Solutions Group is aimed at capturing growth opportunities in private credit and alternative financing. Citigroup - Citigroup posted a 12% increase in revenue, reaching $19.6 billion, with non-interest revenue surging 62%. - Fixed-income and equity markets were key drivers, growing 37% and 34%, respectively, as market volatility tied to the U.S. election boosted performance. - Investment banking revenue climbed by 35%, supported by strong corporate debt issuance and a pickup in dealmaking activity. - The bank unveiled a $20 billion stock repurchase program, signaling confidence in future earnings. - Citigroup also made strides in controlling operating expenses, which declined by 2% quarter-over-quarter. However, the bank lowered its 2026 return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) guidance to 10%-11% due to the costs of its ongoing transformation. - CEO Jane Fraser emphasized Citigroup’s long-term growth trajectory, noting improvements in credit quality and continued progress with the strategic overhaul, including the postponed IPO of Banamex, the bank’s Mexican retail unit, now expected in 2026. Long story short Heading into 2025, the major U.S. banks are in strong positions, buoyed by a favorable economic backdrop, continued growth in trading, and a rebound in corporate dealmaking. Despite challenges such as rising credit risks, regulatory hurdles, and potential macroeconomic uncertainties, the outlook remains positive. With a recovering IPO market, continued wealth management growth, and strong trading revenue, the banks are poised to capitalize on the renewed corporate optimism. The key question will be whether the dealmaking frenzy continues or whether uncertainties in the global economy and market dynamics could temper the rally.
NYSE:JPMLong
by moonypto
Electronic Arts Inc. Stock Sees Momentum Ahead of Earnings Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:EA ) is gaining attention as the gaming industry shows signs of recovery. The stock closed at $142.93 on April 11, 2025, reflecting a gain of $3.54( 2.54%) for the day. Its next earnings report is scheduled for May 6, 2025. The gaming industry grew rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic but saw a decline as restrictions lifted. In 2024, inflation and lower spending led to layoffs and studio closures, though upcoming game releases may support a recovery. EA is a major player in digital entertainment. It develops and distributes games across platforms, including consoles, mobile, and PCs. Popular titles in its lineup include EA SPORTS FC, Battlefield, Apex Legends, The Sims, Madden NFL, Need for Speed, Dragon Age, and Plants vs. Zombies. Billionaire investors continue to show confidence in EA, placing it among the top gaming stocks. Technical Analysis EA recently bounced sharply from the support zone around $115. This level aligns with a previous support zone. A strong bullish candle followed, with high volume pushing the price above key moving averages. Currently, EA trades near $143. The 50-day moving average is at $144.38, the 100-day at $141.01, and the 200-day at $133.68. These are levels that are likely to support the price in case of further declines. The RSI stands at 52.41, showing neutral momentum. Next potential move suggests a short-term pullback before continuation. If the stock breaks above the immediate target and ascending trendline resistance, the next target lies near $168.50 previous high. EA is showing strength both fundamentally and technically as it approaches its next earnings release.
NASDAQ:EALong
by DEXWireNews
APPLE On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 198.05 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 214.26 Recommended Stop Loss - 187.76 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
DoorDash (NASDAQ: $DASH) Gains Strength Ahead of May EarningsDoorDash, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DASH ) is showing strong momentum in a volatile market. As of April 11, DASH closed at $180.49, up 1.10% for the day. The stock has risen about 9% year-to-date, while the overall Computer and Technology sector has dropped around 11.8%. This places DoorDash ahead of many of its peers. DoorDash belongs to the Computer and Technology group, which ranks #6 out of 16 sectors based on the Zacks Sector Rank. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), signaling positive analyst sentiment. Over the last three months, analysts have revised DoorDash's full-year earnings estimate up by 14.7%. This indicates growing confidence in the company’s future performance. Investors are now watching closely as DoorDash prepares to release its earnings report on May 7, 2025. The stock's upward trend and revised estimates may influence how it reacts to the upcoming results. Technical Analysis The daily chart shows that DASH recently bounced off a strong support zone around $162. This zone has acted as a demand area before, pushing the price higher in past sessions. Currently, DASH is approaching key resistance level at $200. A break above these could lead the stock toward the recent high at $215.25. The chart also suggests a possible retracement before a new leg up, reflecting a bullish continuation structure. Volume increased during the bounce, indicating strong buying interest. RSI is at 48.16, which suggests neutral momentum with room for further upside. DoorDash remains one to watch heading into earnings season.
NASDAQ:DASHLong
by DEXWireNews
Netflix Earnings Growth Expected As It Prepares For Q125 ResultsNetflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to report its earnings for the quarter ending March 2025 on April 17. Analysts expect year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. However, consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised down slightly by 0.07% over the past 30 days. This suggests a cautious outlook among analysts. At the close on April 11, Netflix stock traded at $918.29, down by 0.31%. In after-hours trading, the price edged slightly higher to $919.80. The stock traded with a volume of 4.07 million shares. RSI stands at 47.76, reflecting neutral momentum. The final result could trigger a sharp price move. A positive earnings surprise might push the stock higher. On the other hand, a miss could lead to a decline. The outcome will also depend on management’s commentary during the earnings call. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, Netflix recently bounced off a key demand zone near the $820–$830 range. This zone had previously served as a strong support area. After touching this level, the price formed a reversal candle, signaling potential buying interest. The stock is now hovering around $918.29, near the 50-day and 100-day moving averages at $961.61 and $931.24, respectively. If the price clears these levels, it may aim for the recent high of $1,064.50. A short-term retracement could occur before a possible continuation higher. Volume analysis shows a spike during the bounce from support, indicating accumulation. The price pattern suggests a bullish structure is forming. Overall, eyes remain on the April 17 earnings report for the next major move, which might see Netflix surge to a new all-time high.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DEXWireNews
2
3rd time trying to make some of my LOSS AMDSpotted an inside bar accompanied by high volume—promising setup. Hopefully, the recent tariff chaos doesn’t derail this trade. Based on the current technicals, it looks like there's a solid probability of success. Let’s see how it plays out. (Not financial advice) Why AMD Might Be a Good Buy: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) continues to strengthen its position in the semiconductor industry, especially in high-performance computing, gaming, and AI. With growing demand for AI-driven infrastructure and chips, AMD’s recent product releases and partnerships put it in a competitive position against giants like NVIDIA and Intel. Their strong balance sheet, innovation pipeline, and increasing adoption of EPYC processors in data centers make it a stock worth watching. For traders and investors looking for exposure to the tech and AI boom, AMD could offer both growth potential and strategic value in a diversified portfolio.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by youngphero
1
Intraday ActionPrice is at a make or break point at 10.70, where if price does not hold it may return to the 10.05 area the bottom of the range. If price overcomes the 10.70 area price may rise to the 10.99 or 11.40 targets. Oscillators levels are healthy and Chris Moody MACD indicator levels are healthy, price previously had two successful consolidations and break outs. There may also be the possibility of a golden cross purple 50 EMA crossing over the orange 200 EMA. Be advised of premarket activity.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by paper_Trader1775
4
Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold?Margin Meltdown & the Golden Surge: How Tech Cracks Fueled Gold’s Breakout in April 2025 Fear-Driven Flight to Gold is Real If margin calls continue and top stocks like Microsoft and NVIDIA keep showing weakness: • Expect more bond market stress • A persistently weak dollar • And a sustained gold rally Gold is the cleanest beneficiary of the current chaos. Every chart, every data point, every political move validates it. ////////=====//////// What’s Happening in the Stock Market and Trump’s Tariffs – Simple Summary (Updated & Validated) 1. Margin Loans: Many investors borrowed money using their stock portfolios as collateral. For example, if someone owns $100,000 in Microsoft stock (now trading at $388.45), they could borrow up to 90% of that value — $90,000 — and use it to buy other stocks like NVIDIA ($110.93). 2. Margin Calls: When the market fell earlier this month, Microsoft and NVIDIA dropped sharply. Brokers issued margin calls, forcing investors to either deposit more funds or sell off assets to cover their positions. 3. Forced Selling: As stocks fell further, more investors were forced to liquidate. This increased selling pressure pushed prices down even harder. 4. Vicious Cycle: The deeper the drop, the more margin calls got triggered, which led to even more forced sales — a self-perpetuating loop of destruction. 5. Bond Selling Instead of Stocks: Some investors didn’t want to sell their stock positions and instead began selling bonds to raise cash — including even U.S. Treasuries. 6. Bond Market Shock: This rare, broad-scale bond selloff shook up the entire fixed-income market — everything from corporate to government bonds dumped. 7. Rising Yields: As bond prices fell, yields spiked. But this wasn’t due to strong growth — it was pure fear-driven liquidation. 8. Unexpected Dollar Weakness: Usually, during times of crisis, the dollar strengthens. But not this time. The U.S. dollar fell, while currencies like the euro and Swiss franc gained. The Chinese yuan stayed weak under its own pressures. 9. Trump’s Reaction: In response to the chaos, Trump’s administration paused tariffs for 90 days — a political move under pressure. But the damage to market psychology was already done. 10. Tax-Loss Harvesting by Smart Investors: During the crash, savvy investors sold declining stocks like Microsoft to lock in tax deductions, then bought similar alternatives like NVIDIA to stay in the market while writing off losses. Impact on Gold (XAU/USD) – Real-Time Validation As of April 12, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at: $3,235.91 (+$60.13 for the day | +12.02% over the past month) Let’s validate the theory with what actually happened: 1. Gold vs. Stocks and Bonds: While Microsoft and NVIDIA were collapsing earlier this month, gold surged. This shift confirms a flight to safety — gold became the preferred hedge during equity and bond volatility. 2. Falling Dollar = Bullish for Gold: With the dollar under pressure, gold became cheaper in foreign currencies — driving international demand and pushing prices even higher. 3. Rising Yields – But Driven by Panic: Normally, higher yields compete with gold. But this time, yields rose because bonds were being dumped, not because of economic strength. That fear drove even more capital into gold. 4. Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s late response and inconsistent trade policies fueled further market unease. That pushed more investors toward gold as a non-political store of value. 5. Liquidity Crunch Risk: Some gold may have been sold during the panic to raise quick cash, but overall, the trend shows that gold held firm and then broke out even harder — a textbook crisis hedge move. Real Example: Microsoft and NVIDIA Margin Trap Let’s walk through the actual setup: • An investor owns $100,000 in Microsoft (MSFT at $388.45). • They take a $90,000 margin loan to buy NVIDIA (NVDA at $110.93). • Early April: • MSFT dropped below $320. • NVDA fell under $100. This triggers: • Margin calls. • Forced selling of both positions. • Possibly even bond liquidation. • And systemic panic across portfolios. Result? • Tech sold off. • Bonds dropped. • Yields rose. • Dollar weakened. • Gold exploded. ///////======////// Impact on Gold (XAU/USD): Real Events, Real Movement • Microsoft & NVIDIA Down: Confirmed panic in tech. • Bond Selloff = Higher Yields: But from fear, not confidence. • Weaker Dollar: Confirmed. • Gold Breakout: Real. • RSI above 70 • ADX shows trend strength • Volume surging • Price broke $3,200 and held Gold moved exactly how a textbook safe haven asset should behave in this //////======/////// XAUUSD market behavior and trader mindset: 1. Monday: Continuation After Breakout (Euphoria Phase) Psychological Insight: Traders and institutions are chasing momentum. After a clean breakout, FOMO kicks in, especially for those who missed the first leg. They buy pullbacks aggressively, creating a bullish Monday. Projection: Bullish continuation Range: 3,230 – 3,270 Bias: Buy dips Reason: Momentum from last week’s breakout still pushing higher. RSI >70 but not topping, and no reversal pattern on daily chart. Weak USD persists. 2. Tuesday: Pullback from Overextension (Reality Check) Psychological Insight: Once price pushes too far, short-term traders start locking profits. This creates a dip. But smart money (institutions) sees the pullback as cheap entry — especially with no bearish reversal confirmation. This is textbook reaccumulation psychology. Projection: Intraday pullback, then bounce Range: 3,250 – 3,280 Bias: Buy on VWAP pullback Reason: Small retracement likely due to overextension. Support at VWAP (~3,219). Bullish engulfing pattern might trigger dip-buyers. 3. Wednesday: Retest / Breakout (Conviction Phase) Psychological Insight: After a healthy pullback and hold, traders regain confidence in the trend. Breakout traders load in here — and weak shorts get squeezed. This is where bullish conviction peaks, triggering high-volume moves. Projection: Breakout attempt Range: 3,265 – 3,310 Bias: Scalpers can long breakout Reason: If momentum holds, this is likely the day gold retests highs and pushes through short-term resistance (~3,300 psychological + fib extension zone). 4. Thursday: Sideways Chop (Indecision / Distribution) Psychological Insight: Market participants are split. Some want to hold into the weekend; others fear a Friday sell-off. You see hesitation, tighter ranges, and volume drop-off — classic signs of short-term indecision and distribution by early buyers. Projection: Consolidation / Sideways Range: 3,280 – 3,310 Bias: Neutral-to-bullish Reason: After a breakout, price typically stalls for distribution/re-accumulation. Expect reduced volatility unless triggered by macro news (watch bond yields). 5. Friday: Final Move (Greed vs. Fear Showdown) Psychological Insight: End-of-week decisions are all about book-squaring. If the week was strong and the narrative holds, we get greedy breakouts into the weekend. If uncertainty creeps in (e.g. Fed noise, geopolitical tension), profit-taking overrides conviction, leading to a dip. Projection: Second leg breakout or profit-taking Range: 3,270 – 3,330 Bias: Depends on Thursday’s behavior Scenario 1: If Thursday consolidates tightly, breakout possible. Scenario 2: If extended already, profit-taking dip possible into close. /////=====///// Weekly Summary: • High probability: Gold hits $3,300 – $3,330 this week • Support zones: $3,219 (VWAP), $3,175 (previous breakout zone) • Resistance zones: $3,298 (fib cluster), $3,330 (round number magnet) This projection isn’t just TA — it’s behavioral trading at its core, based on how traders actually react: • FOMO, • profit-protection, • fear of reversal, • and end-of-week positioning. Every day’s move is driven by human emotion wrapped around market structure.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
1
OPTIONS TRADE - ARBEGood Morning, ARBE develops radar and operating system for drones, automotive, and robots. It provides 4D imaging radar solution for autonomous vehicles. I decided to enter a options contract with an expiry of August on this stock. Volume is showing a potential trend change on the weekly. We still have unconfirmed support however all is pointing in that direction. Overall Arbe has some obstacles to get over when it comes to debt and revenue, however there is some bullish potential with this stock. Enjoy!
NASDAQ:ARBELong
by mindfullylost