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VSAT Earnings continued uncertainty around its core satellite operations, particularly the delayed and still-unproven ViaSat-3 EMEA launch. The company is coming off a major impairment from the failed Americas satellite, is burdened by high debt, and remains unprofitable with little room for upside surprise in the near term. With weak consumer broadband growth, intense competition from Starlink, and limited near-term catalysts, there's a strong chance that earnings will disappoint or guidance will remain cautious—potentially triggering downside pressure on the stock. other Sat defense systems will take over their niche, im short
NASDAQ:VSATShort
by wilhelmthethird
Safe Entry ZoneStock heading South after recent up movement now stocks may Re-Test the green zone 1h. and always Wait for buy signal after confirmation. Note: "buy signal after confirmation" Means that: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. Note: at Take Profit Always watch out for any selling pressure to exist your position and secure profit.
NASDAQ:NFE
by Faisalzor
Nu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical AnalysisNu Holdings (NU, 1D) — Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout, EMA/MA Confirmation, Recovery Toward Key Levels On the daily chart, Nu Holdings has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling a potential structural reversal. The breakout was confirmed by a close above key exponential and simple moving averages (EMA 50/100/200), with the EMAs beginning to align in a bullish sequence. The price has held above the critical Fibonacci retracement level at $11.73 (0.618), which now serves as a key demand zone. Volume shows signs of increasing during upward impulses, suggesting accumulation interest. The current recovery structure indicates potential targets at $12.58 (0.5 Fibonacci), followed by $13.42 (0.382) and $14.46 (0.236). A more extended move could lead toward the previous supply zone near $16.15 if momentum persists. From a fundamental standpoint, Nu Holdings continues to attract investor attention within the fintech sector, especially amid broader rotation back into growth and tech-driven financial platforms. The company's expanding market presence and improving financial metrics may support the current technical setup. As long as the price holds above the broken trendline and maintains strength above the key $11.73 level, the bullish scenario remains in focus with targets pointing toward the $13.42–$14.46 range and potentially higher in the medium term.
NYSE:NULong
by TotoshkaTrades
EVLV 1WEVLV — a rectangle pattern has formed, and the 100 MA has crossed above the 200 MA, signaling the start of a potential trend reversal. Targets: $8.29 and $12.94. As of May 2025, the fundamental outlook for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (ticker: EVLV) is as follows: The company continues to show strong revenue growth and improving key financial metrics, despite remaining unprofitable. Revenue for 2024 reached $103.9 million, up 31% from 2023, while the net loss was halved to $54 million. EBITDA improved to -$21 million from -$51.8 million the year before. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 39% to $99.4 million. The company maintains a strong financial position with $51.9 million in cash and zero debt. The stock is currently trading at $4.44, above its estimated intrinsic value of $2.76 according to AlphaSpread. Analysts remain optimistic, giving EVLV a “Strong Buy” rating and forecasting an average price target of $5.31, suggesting about 19.6% upside potential. However, investors should keep in mind that the company is still unprofitable, and the current market valuation exceeds its fundamental value.
NASDAQ:EVLVLong
by TotoshkaTrades
SMCI IS POPPING NOW !!! READ THE NARRATIVE The AI infrastructure boom is reshaping the global economy, and two companies—Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and NVIDIA (NVDA)—stand at the forefront of this transformation. Recent geopolitical and business developments, particularly President Donald Trump’s Middle East trip in May 2025 and Japan’s endorsement of SMCI for its sovereign AI installation, have significantly bolstered the growth prospects of both companies. In this article, I’ll analyze the impact of these deals, project new revenue streams for SMCI and NVDA, and make a compelling case for why their stocks are undervalued, supported by current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. This is a comprehensive exploration of why SMCI and NVDA are poised for explosive growth and why their stocks are a bargain for long-term investors. Context: Trump’s Middle East Trip and AI Infrastructure Deals In May 2025, President Trump embarked on a high-profile tour of the Gulf States—Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE—to strengthen U.S. technological and economic ties. The trip resulted in landmark AI infrastructure deals, positioning NVDA and SMCI as key beneficiaries as these nations pivot from oil-based economies to technology hubs. Key highlights include: Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia committed $600 billion to invest in the U.S., with a significant portion allocated to AI infrastructure. NVDA secured a deal to supply “several hundred thousand” of its advanced Blackwell AI chips to Saudi Arabia’s Humain project, while SMCI signed a $20 billion multi-year partnership with DataVolt to deliver ultra-dense GPU platforms and liquid-cooled rack systems for hyperscale AI campuses in Saudi Arabia and the U.S. Qatar and UAE: While specific deals for NVDA and SMCI in Qatar and the UAE were less detailed, the broader context suggests technology partnerships, with Qatar Airways ordering Boeing planes, indicating a wide-ranging economic collaboration likely including tech infrastructure. Tech Conferences and Sentiment: The trip coincided with events like the Saudi-US Investment Forum, where NVDA’s CEO Jensen Huang and SMCI’s CEO Charles Liang were prominent figures, reinforcing their leadership in AI. Market sentiment, reflected in posts on X, shows strong enthusiasm, with NVDA and SMCI stocks surging post-announcements. Additionally, Japan’s decision to select SMCI for its sovereign AI installation is a massive endorsement. As one of the most technologically advanced nations after the U.S., Japan’s preference for SMCI’s liquid-cooled, AI-optimized servers over competitors like Dell or HP underscores SMCI’s technological edge, particularly in energy-efficient data center solutions. These developments position SMCI and NVDA as critical players in a global AI infrastructure surge, with the Middle East and Japan emerging as pivotal markets. Revenue Projections and Growth Infused by the Deals To quantify the impact, let’s compute new revenue projections for SMCI and NVDA, focusing on the incremental growth from these deals. I’ll assume that a significant portion of NVDA’s high-performance chips (e.g., Blackwell GPUs) will be integrated into SMCI’s servers, given their long-standing partnership and SMCI’s dominance in liquid-cooled AI server solutions. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Current Revenue Baseline: SMCI reported $14.94 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2024 (ended June 30, 2024) and guided for $21.8 billion to $22.6 billion in fiscal year 2025. For fiscal Q3 2025 (March 2025), SMCI guided revenue of $5 billion to $6 billion, and for Q4 2025 (June 2025), $5.6 billion to $6.4 billion. SMCI’s long-term goal is $40 billion in revenue by fiscal year 2026 (ending June 30, 2026). Impact of Saudi Deal: The $20 billion DataVolt deal is multi-year, likely spanning 2025–2028, with an estimated annual revenue contribution of $4 billion to $6.7 billion (assuming 3–5 years). This deal alone represents nearly 100% of SMCI’s 2025 consensus revenue, significantly boosting its growth trajectory. SMCI expects to earn $200 million in annual EBIT from this deal, implying strong profitability despite margin pressures from competition. Impact of Japan’s Sovereign Installation: While specific financial details are unavailable, Japan’s choice of SMCI for its sovereign AI infrastructure suggests a multi-billion-dollar contract, given the scale of national AI projects. Japan’s AI investments are part of a broader push to compete with the U.S. and China, with budgets in the tens of billions. Let’s conservatively estimate $2 billion in revenue over 2025–2027, or $500 million to $1 billion annually. Other Growth Drivers: SMCI’s partnerships with NVDA and Fujitsu, along with its leadership in liquid-cooled servers (80% market share), position it to capture a growing share of the $133.3 billion global server market in 2025, potentially increasing its market share from 12.7% in 2024 to 22%. SMCI’s Q2 2025 revenue was $5.65 billion, with AI-optimized infrastructure accounting for 70% of sales, indicating robust demand. New Revenue Projection for FY 2025: Baseline FY 2025 guidance: $21.8 billion to $22.6 billion. Saudi deal contribution (2025 portion): $2 billion (conservatively assuming partial deployment in 2025). Japan deal contribution: $500 million. Organic growth from existing markets: Assume $1 billion from increased market share and demand. Total FY 2025 Revenue: $25.3 billion to $26.1 billion (a 69%–75% increase over FY 2024’s $14.94 billion). Growth Infused by Trump’s Trip: The Saudi deal adds $2 billion to 2025 revenue, representing an 8%–9% uplift over the original guidance. Japan’s endorsement enhances SMCI’s credibility, likely driving additional contracts globally, contributing $500 million (2% uplift). Combined, these deals infuse 10%–11% additional growth for FY 2025, with further upside in 2026 as SMCI targets $40 billion. NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Revenue Baseline: NVDA guided for $24 billion in revenue for Q1 FY 2025 (ended April 2025), a 300% year-over-year increase. For FY 2025 (ending January 2025), analysts estimated $103 billion in revenue, driven by data center GPUs like Hopper Craig and Blackwell. NVDA’s data center segment, which includes AI GPUs, grew 16% quarter-over-quarter in January 2025, with Blackwell GPUs constituting 31% of revenue. Impact of Saudi Deal: NVDA’s deal to supply “several hundred thousand” Blackwell GPUs to Saudi Arabia’s Humain project is massive. Assuming 300,000 GPUs at an average price of $30,000 each (based on Blackwell pricing estimates), this deal could generate $9 billion in revenue. Spread over 2025–2027, this implies $2 billion to $3 billion annually, with $2 billion likely in FY 2026 (ending January 2026). Other Middle East Deals: Qatar and UAE deals are less quantified, but given NVDA’s global demand, assume an additional $1 billion in 2026 from these regions. Other Growth Drivers: NVDA’s backlog for Blackwell GPUs is oversubscribed, with hyperscalers and sovereign entities driving demand. SMCI, NVDA’s third-largest customer, integrates NVDA GPUs into 70% of its servers, amplifying NVDA’s revenue as SMCI grows. Japan’s AI push likely includes NVDA GPUs, given SMCI’s reliance on them. Estimate $500 million in additional revenue for 2026. New Revenue Projection for FY 2026: Baseline FY 2026 revenue (analyst consensus): $125 billion (assuming 20% growth over FY 2025’s $103 billion). Saudi deal contribution: $2 billion. Qatar/UAE contribution: $1 billion. Japan contribution (via SMCI): $500 million. Total FY 2026 Revenue: $128.5 billion (a 25% increase over FY 2025). Growth Infused by Trump’s Trip: The Saudi deal adds $2 billion, or 1.6% uplift to FY 2026 revenue. Qatar/UAE and Japan add $1.5 billion, or 1.2% uplift. Combined, these deals infuse 2.8% additional growth for FY 2026, with potential for more if Middle East investments accelerate. Case for SMCI and NVDA Stocks Being Undervalued Both SMCI and NVDA are trading at valuations that significantly undervalue their growth potential, particularly given the transformative impact of the Middle East deals and Japan’s endorsement. Below, I outline why their stocks are cheap, supported by P/E ratio calculations and qualitative factors. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Current Valuation and P/E Ratio: As of May 16, 2025, SMCI’s stock price is approximately $46.14. For FY 2025, SMCI’s guidance for earnings per share (EPS) is not explicitly stated, but preliminary Q2 2025 results suggest $0.29–$0.31 EPS. Assume FY 2025 EPS of $1.20 (based on Q2 and Q3 guidance and historical growth). With a stock price of $46.14, the forward P/E ratio is: Analysts project 2028 EPS at $5.11 (based on SMCI trading at 9x 2028 forecasts). Why SMCI is Undervalued: Explosive Revenue Growth: SMCI’s revenue grew 74.5% annually over the past three years, and the Saudi deal and Japan’s endorsement could push FY 2025 revenue to $25.3–$26.1 billion, a 69%–75% increase. The $40 billion target for FY 2026 implies 77% growth over 2025. This growth rate far exceeds the S&P 500’s average, yet SMCI’s forward P/E of 38.45 (and 9.03 for 2028) is modest for a hyper-growth tech stock. Undervalued Relative to Peers: SMCI’s P/E of 38.45 is significantly lower than NVDA’s and other AI infrastructure players like Broadcom (AVGO, P/E ~70). Given SMCI’s 70% AI-driven sales and leadership in liquid cooling, it deserves a premium valuation. Japan’s Endorsement: Japan’s choice of SMCI for its sovereign AI installation validates its technological superiority. As a leading tech nation, Japan’s decision could lead to further contracts in Asia and Europe, driving upside beyond current forecasts. Saudi Deal’s Transformative Impact: The $20 billion DataVolt deal is nearly SMCI’s entire 2025 revenue, providing multi-year visibility and supporting upward estimate revisions. Analysts like Raymond James see SMCI as a “near-pure-play on AI,” with a $41 price target (11% upside from $46.14). Margin Expansion Potential: Despite recent gross margin declines (11.9% in Q2 2025 vs. 16.7% in Q1 2024), SMCI’s operating margin expanded from 3% to 8.5% since 2020. Optimized pricing and scale from new deals could restore margins, boosting EPS and justifying a higher P/E. Accounting Overhang Clearing: SMCI faced scrutiny from a 2024 Hindenburg Research report alleging accounting irregularities, but it filed delayed SEC reports by February 25, 2025, avoiding delisting. With a new auditor (BDO) and cleared regulatory hurdles, investor confidence is rebounding. Price Target: Analysts suggest SMCI could trade at 30x 2028 earnings ($5.11), implying a price of $153.30—a 232% upside from $46.14. A conservative 20x P/E yields $102.20 (121% upside). NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Valuation and P/E Ratio: As of May 16, 2025, NVDA’s stock price is approximately $105 (post-2024 price adjustments). For FY 2025, NVDA’s adjusted EPS is estimated at $2.70 (based on $5.50 Q1 EPS forecast and analyst consensus). For FY 2026, assume EPS of $3.24 (20% growth). The forward P/E is: Why NVDA is Undervalued: Unmatched AI Dominance: NVDA controls 80%–90% of the AI GPU market, with Blackwell GPUs driving 31% of Q1 2025 data center revenue. Demand is backordered, and deals like Saudi Arabia’s ensure sustained growth. Middle East Catalyst: The Saudi deal ($9 billion over 2025–2027) and potential Qatar/UAE contracts add 2.8% to FY 2026 revenue, with upside if more nations invest. NVDA’s ability to court global leaders (e.g., China, Japan, D.C.) mitigates trade risks. SMCI Synergy: As SMCI’s third-largest customer, NVDA benefits from SMCI’s growth, with 70% of SMCI’s servers using NVDA GPUs. SMCI’s $20 billion Saudi deal and Japan contract indirectly boost NVDA’s chip sales. Margin Strength: NVDA’s operating margin expanded from 35% in 2020 to 54% in FY 2024, far surpassing SMCI’s 8.5%. This profitability supports reinvestment and resilience against tariffs. Undervalued Growth: NVDA’s P/E of 38.89 (FY 2025) and 32.41 (FY 2026) is reasonable for a company with 300% Q1 2025 revenue growth and a $128.5 billion FY 2026 projection. Tech peers like Tesla (P/E ~100) trade at much higher multiples. Geopolitical Shelter: Trump’s temporary exemption of GPUs from tariffs protects NVDA’s supply chain, unlike other tech firms facing 5%–25% cost increases. Price Target: If NVDA trades at 50x FY 2026 EPS ($3.24), the price target is $162—a 54% upside from $105. A conservative 40x P/E yields $129.60 (23% upside). Risks and Counterpoints While the bullish case is strong, investors should consider potential risks: SMCI: NVDA: Despite these risks, both companies’ fundamentals and deal-driven growth outweigh concerns, with SMCI’s valuation particularly attractive. Conclusion SMCI and NVDA are at the epicenter of the AI infrastructure revolution, with Trump’s Middle East trip and Japan’s endorsement catalyzing their growth. SMCI’s $20 billion Saudi deal and Japan contract could push FY 2025 revenue to $25.3–$26.1 billion (10%–11% uplift), while NVDA’s Saudi and regional deals add 2.8% to its $128.5 billion FY 2026 projection. Their forward P/E ratios—38.45 for SMCI (9.03 for 2028) and 38.89 for NVDA (32.41 for 2026)—are low relative to their hyper-growth profiles, making them compelling buys. SMCI’s leadership in liquid cooling and NVDA’s GPU dominance, amplified by global AI demand, suggest 121%–232% upside for SMCI and 23%–54% for NVDA. For investors seeking exposure to the AI megatrend, SMCI and NVDA offer unmatched value and growth potential. Now is the time to invest in these undervalued giants shaping the future of technology.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
Nvidia Stock 5-Day Consolidation Breakout - Uptrend or Pullback?Trade Duration: Intraday Trade Type: Breakout - Nvidia is currently consolidating tightly between $132 and $136, forming a narrow range that reflects a balance between buyers and sellers unwilling to relinquish control. This range-bound action signals indecision, but it won’t last indefinitely. - Typically, the longer the consolidation, the more significant the subsequent move. As new participants enter the market, a breakout—whether upward or downward—can trigger a powerful surge. - This move is often amplified by breakout buyers joining in and stop-loss orders of trapped traders being triggered, creating an ideal setup for an intraday breakout trade. - I plan to initiate either a buy or sell position depending on the breakout direction, capitalizing on the momentum generated by this tight consolidation phase. Upside Targets : 138$ and 141$ Downside Targets : 128$ and 126$
NASDAQ:NVDA
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
Never bet against Elon?Never betting against the man is a pretty solid strategy. Nevertheless, considering I am long shares I want to take this textbook trade to hedge (again). This morning on my spike alerts list was $NASDAQ:TSLA. With an opening high of 354.56 which swiftly closed back inside the range a 30m spike was created. The ATR Clearance fits my criteria to consider this a valid spike to play. Add to this the context of the Daily. NASDAQ:TSLA is riding the 50% of the big move down on the Daily at 351.39. The spike combined with the Resistance makes this a "have to take" trade. Playing this with July 300P Options.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by norok
7
BABA - when to buy?hi Traders Today we are analyzing Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) on a 4hour chart basis. Alibaba stock is currently trading at $124 We expect that the price will get rejected at the downsloping resistance and in some time it will come back down to retest the support level around $100. Following this event, we expect the price to bounce and move up towards the downsloping trendline (yellow line), which could be a take profit level. $145 is the target. This pattern (if continued) imitates a descending triangle. We advise entering (buy) at this support line around $100. Be patient! The stop loss can be placed around $95. Good luck
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
1
PDYN Trends: Followed Support; Broken Resistance; High VolumePDYN has been showing textbook bullish behavior across multiple levels. Holding constant angled and flat support, while all constantly breaking resistance levels. Volume is rushing to this stock past week, and I smells of bullish conversation - especially given the flat nature in the broader market. 🔹 **1️⃣ Strong Support Foundation:** Since the base at Point #1, support has been consistently respected – a sign of solid buyer interest. 🔹 **2️⃣ Key Resistance Broken:** The resistance at Point #2 has been cleanly and confidently broken – this was a pivotal level. 🔹 **3️⃣ New Support at Higher Ground:** After the breakout, price has found a consolidation support zone around **\$8–\$10**, forming Point #3. Side Note: I have the linear regressions, to identify from a numerical value, how the trend has recovered after its huge run up and fall to evaluate reinterest and participation in the stock. Not as big of an indicator, but a great support identifier I use. High Level: * Repeated resistance breaks ✅ * Price settling into a new high-range base ✅ * Tight consolidation near $10 — the **launchpad** ✅ **Outlook:** Once PDYN clears the **$10 resistance**, I expect a fast move toward **$13.30–$15**, aligning with the breakout projection levels above. This setup is all about momentum and structure. If the volume supports the pushes through $10, this could turn into a serious runner. Price target is $15, but I do not see a reason this could not get to $20 _____________________________________________________________________________ All love and best of luck, traders
NASDAQ:PDYNLong
by Langutang
DELL – Triple Breakout Targeting 135DELL is showing strong technical momentum after clearing three major resistance levels: Ichimoku Cloud breakout at $100 EMA 200 breakout at $105 Trendline breakout at $113 With price now trading at $115, the structure suggests a potential move toward the $135 target zone. Trade Plan: Entry: $115.19 (current) Stop Loss: Below $105 (under EMA 200 & cloud) Target: $135 Risk–Reward: ~1:2 Volume and trend alignment support the bullish case. Watching for a daily close above the trendline to confirm breakout strength. #DELL #Breakout #Ichimoku #EMA200 #TrendlineBreak #SwingTrade #TechStocks
NYSE:DELLLong
by kksaha87
RIOT Compression Breakout to $10 ⸻ TradingView Summary – RIOT Platforms, Inc. (Ticker: RIOT) Current Price: $8.82 | Timeframes: 1H / 4H / 1D Bias: Bullish toward $9.90–$10.12 zone ⸻ Trade Thesis: The “RIOT Compression Breakout to $10” setup is based on multi-timeframe alignment showing bullish structure, fair value gap fills, and a coiled price pattern just beneath key resistance. RIOT has reclaimed a critical level ($8.80), suggesting a setup for breakout toward stacked liquidity between $9.90 and $10.12. ⸻ Technical Justification: 1H / 4H: • Filled FVGs between $8.60–$9.11 suggest recent accumulation. • Bullish Order Blocks provide layered support from recent demand. • Compression below resistance ($9.11) indicates a pressure build toward breakout. • Volume Clusters show declining sell-side volume as price holds above $8.80. 1D (Macro Context): • Daily uptrend with higher lows and bullish candle structure. • Reclaim of $8.80 confirms prior resistance flipped to support. • Clear breakout targets at $9.90 (liquidity) and $10.12 (imbalance fill). ⸻ Key Levels: Type Price Entry Support $8.80 Pivot Breakout $9.11 Target 1 $9.90 Target 2 $10.12 Invalidation < $8.50 ⸻ Trade Logic: Hold above $8.80 confirms bullish bias. Break and close above $9.11 on volume opens the path toward $9.90–$10.12. Failure to hold above $8.50 invalidates the setup. ⸻ Disclaimer: Not financial or legal advice. For educational purposes only. Conduct your own due diligence before investing.
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by Hotspaceguy
UNH | Catching the Fall Risky Play💊 Oversold Swing Play ⚠️ Risk Factor You're not trading a bounce—you’re stepping into a fire. Legal risk + uncertainty = extreme volatility. However, if markets stabilize, UNH could deliver a powerful mean-reversion move. UnitedHealth ( NYSE:UNH ) is trading in panic territory after: DOJ launched a criminal probe tied to Medicare Advantage billing Abrupt CEO resignation Suspended 2025 financial guidance, sparking investor selloff Still, the fundamentals aren’t dead. Q1 revenue is strong, and long-term value is on the table. 🎯 Trade Plan 🟢 Entry Zones 🔹 Zone 1: $275–$285 → Technical support + RSI oversold 🔹 Zone 2: $255 → 2021 breakout retest 🔹 Zone 3: $225 → Ultimate fear zone (deep capitulation possible) 💰 Profit Targets ✅ TP1: $300 – Psychological level & minor resistance ✅ TP2: $340 – Gap-fill area & 50-day MA ✅ TP3: $385+ – Long-term value zone if sentiment reverses 📌 Final Word UNH is no penny stock—it’s a $280B giant under siege. If you believe fear is overdone, this is a calculated shot at a rebound. Just keep your stops tight and your thesis tighter. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always DYOR and manage your exposure carefully.
NYSE:UNHLong
by Robert_V12
2