$MRNA – Long-Term Setup Brewing | Major Move Incoming?Moderna ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) may be gearing up for a multi-month reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Price action is compressing in a tight base, suggesting a potential 6+ month breakout could be in the cards.
📊 Key Technical Notes:
Trading near long-term support with signs of accumulation
Bullish divergence forming on RSI and MACD
Volume contraction hints at a volatility expansion ahead
Overhead resistance sits between $60–$80, aligning with previous breakdown levels from 2023
⚠️ Breakout Trigger: Watch for a decisive move above $29.50–$30 on volume. A sustained breakout could initiate a powerful move toward the $60–$80 resistance zone.
📍 Levels to Watch:
Breakout zone: $29.50–$30
Resistance targets: $60, then $80
Key support: $25–$26
🧠 This is a longer-term swing trade idea — ideal for patient traders looking to front-run institutional rotation into beaten-down biotech names.
#MRNA #Moderna #SwingTrade #BiotechStocks #LongTermSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #BreakoutSetup #OptionsTrading #TradingView
Green Plains | GPRE | Long at $4.18Green Plains NASDAQ:GPRE , a company involved in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, and grain handling/storage has seen a significant decline in stock price since 2023. Analyzing the company's historical stock performance shows it is highly cyclical and goes through "boom and bust" cycles every 4-8 years - whereby during booms the price has typically 10x'ed from the lows. History may not repeat, though.
From a pure technical analysis perspective, the company has already entered and slightly exited by "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). While the lows may not be in yet, this zone (currently between $1.20 and $3.30) typically represents a longer-term bounce area or price consolidation.
Fundamentally, the company is currently unprofitable but expected to become profitable in 2026 and beyond. Debt-to-equity = 0.72x (low/moderate). Price-to-book = 0.31x. During the most recent earnings call, Chief Legal and Administration Officer at Green Plains noted the company’s past performance has not met expectations, but stressed “that is changing.” This includes exiting non-core operations and launching the sale of non-strategic assets in a commitment to achieve $50 million in cost reductions. The company is on track to meet that goal and has already achieved $30 million in annualized cost savings.
It's a speculative play that could go to $0. But at $4.18, NASDAQ:GPRE is in a personal buy zone based on technical analysis as well as future fundamental predictions (which could be BS...).
Targets:
$6.00
$8.00
SNPS – Dangerous Correction Wave Nearing Completion?The wave structure marked in red often indicates a corrective move. While it appears impulsive at first glance, such formations typically end with a strong candle in the direction of the trend, followed by a full retracement.
This rally is likely not a new bullish impulse but a complex correction within a broader downtrend. Volume remains relatively muted compared to previous sell-offs, reinforcing the corrective nature of the current wave.
Due to the structure's unreliability and tendency to reverse sharply, this is a highly dangerous zone to enter a long. However, for experienced traders, a minimal long position with a trailing stop may be considered for a final push toward the resistance zone around $590.
A failure to break that zone with volume will likely lead to a rapid decline back to previous lows around $400 or even $360.
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels.
The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets.
The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback.
Key Fibonacci levels:
0.618 — $133.60
0.5 — $151.42
0.382 — $169.25
0.236 — $191.30
0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high)
The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet.
Fundamentals:
AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory.
There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff.
Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
BURL – Final Wave 5 in Rising Channel, Fake Breakout PossibleBURL has completed a full 5-wave advance within a rising channel, ending in wave (v) of C. Current price is testing the top of the channel with a minor upper wick breakout — a common occurrence in wave (5) tops.
Historically, wave (5) often ends with a fake breakout above the channel, followed by a rapid breakdown through the channel base. Price has not yet broken below the lower boundary of the rising structure, which remains the key level for confirmation.
The target zone for potential correction lies between $245–250, aligned with prior wave (iv) consolidation and visible support.
No trade is valid until a decisive break below the rising channel. As long as the lower bound holds, the structure remains intact.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $272 (fake breakout zone)
Support: Rising channel base (~$267)
Bearish Target (after breakdown): $245–250
Conclusion:
Watch for confirmation of breakdown. Fake breakouts above channel top are common in wave (5) endings. Entry valid only below lower trendline.
CIFR how it went downSee what happened was I was in long term cap gains, and I sold into those gains. I'm glad I did, because the price got whacked. I might reconsider entering if this can push through here. Of the miners, CIF is one of the more volatile. It can move a lot in one day. It's not for the faint of heart. I say above $4, it's a buy
5/19/25 - $agys - Interesting, but not in this tape... sidelines5/19/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AGYS
Interesting, but not in this tape... sidelines
- i like to monitor a lot of stuff as you know and this one is def a "top 10" fintech, but not a top 3 or even 5
- revenue growth solid DD
- generates reasonable cash for this growth/ mgn profile, but "not enough" based on where we are in this tape - why?
- we've rallied quite a bit from the lows (correlation 1 down, correlation 1 up)
- a number of POS (point of sale, not piece of s#&$) names have been hardpressed to communicate anything too encouraging - with a few exceptions - but just take a look at FI, or when XYZ reported... etc. even FOUR (a top 3 name IMO) gave back a lot
- so it's not a "buy and i'd like to own more even if pops" sort of thing and "my alternatives have better dynamics and valuations in this tape".
- on this alts point, i'll direct you to GAMB which as of the last few days (including today's leveraged call position i initiated taking it to my largest spot)... you have as a comparision, a valuation that's 1/5th as much, generates as much cash (and will likely grow this fcf faster), is more recession proof/ industry, not as exposed to IRL goods/ tariffs or another china covefe moment etc. etc. and the stock already "passed go" another great Q and b/c of mcap small, i suspect flows > anything else and that's my alternative to stacking tons of names that i'd "like" to own... but what's the point.
- i don't enjoy when my PnL is 30 or 40 or 100 names. i find at most 5 things i like... and if you can't offer a return or a diversification that's orthogonal to this core/ concentrated book... you go on my watchlists.
- so for me, this is an obvious watchlist based on my alternatives. for now my book is basically GAMB (35%), OBTC (25%), NXT (25%) and TSM (10%). I have a few positions that i am incubating, looking to size up, but other than that (oh yeah short the meme quantum stuff - but again v small for the purpose of this note/ and mention)... it's just not "worth it".
TL;DR... i like my leverage elsewhere. gl to the longs, i'm rooting for you, and will support a dip buy if name comes off for weak comms/ guidance or w/e... at the right price we talk.
until then b well my friends and have a great week
V
AMD Shorts?Already out of the intraday positions. Looking at this for possible short opportunity. The technicals are there to support the setup even though indices are bullish. Risk free on this trade and will take partials along the way, doesn't need to hit full TP. Indices retracements can favor this trade.
Ending Diagonal Complete? Bounce Toward 1.60 AheadBTAI has likely completed an impulsive 5-wave decline followed by an ABC corrective structure. The final leg (v) of the downtrend appears to have ended near $1.35, where price action shows a reversal signal.
Currently, price is attempting to recover and may retest the descending trendline and previous structure zone near $1.60 — a level that served as strong support previously and now acts as resistance.
If the price breaks this zone with volume confirmation, it could trigger a short-term bullish breakout. Until then, this is considered a corrective rally within the broader downtrend.
Key Levels:
Support: $1.35
Resistance: $1.60
Target: $1.60 (potential +16%)
Conclusion:
A short-term bounce is unfolding. Watch $1.60 for reaction — rejection or breakout will determine the next leg.
LMT eyes on $462.68: First of 3 barriers to painting a BottomLMT price has been struggling for a long time.
Currently testing a proven zone from underside.
Looking for a Break-n-Retest to start a position.
$ 459.44-462.68 is the immediate resistance
$ 474.33-476.30 will be a minor resistance
$ 486.35-489.04 is the next major resistance
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Previous Analysis that called the TOP
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Tesla (TSLA) – From EV Giant to Tech & Energy Ecosystem Titan Update Summary:
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA continues its transformation beyond vehicles, building a vertically integrated platform across mobility, energy, AI, and infrastructure. We maintain a bullish stance above $270.00–$275.00, with an upside target of $470.00–$480.00 based on multi-revenue stream expansion and high-margin software/service potential.
🧩 Key Growth Catalysts:
🔌 Supercharger Network Monetization
Now open to non-Tesla EVs, creating a recurring infrastructure revenue stream
Margins likely higher than vehicle hardware—similar to SaaS economics at scale
Reinforces Tesla’s ecosystem lock-in and increases brand leverage
🤖 Robo-Taxi & FSD Platform
Robo-taxi launch expected in late 2025/2026 could redefine Tesla as a Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) provider
Software-like margins from Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions and usage fees
Establishes a powerful network effects moat
🔋 Energy + AI Synergies
Growth in Powerwall, Megapack, and solar deployments
Custom AI chips powering FSD could open new B2B licensing opportunities
AI + energy + hardware = long-term defensibility and scalability
🌍 Macro Support:
Global EV penetration projected to exceed 45% by 2030
U.S. and EU incentive tailwinds + rising fuel costs accelerate EV demand
Rising demand for grid-scale energy storage bolsters Tesla Energy segment
📈 Trade Setup & Price Targets:
✅ Entry Zone: $270.00–$275.00
🎯 Target Range: $470.00–$480.00
⏳ Time Horizon: 6–12 months (event-driven upside with robo-taxi and earnings catalysts)
🧠 Investment Thesis Summary:
Tesla is no longer just an automaker. It’s an ecosystem-first, AI-powered energy and tech company building infrastructure, platforms, and software at scale. The convergence of hardware, energy storage, and autonomy makes TSLA a rare multi-vector growth story with a durable long-term edge.
#Tesla #TSLA #EV #FSD #MobilityAsAService #EnergyStorage #TechEcosystem #BullishBreakout
Tesla reclaimed spider trendsMade a sizable entry last year when daily RSI was bottomed.
Double downed and picked up more around $256.
Price bounced off Spider support trend lines and broke through resistance trend lines.
Elon posted this in march 2025:
x.com
Expecting to see 2,000$ within 3-5yrs.
NFA.
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 349.84
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 369.27
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 312.75
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK