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MSFT Analysis in Three Trading Strategies for Dec. 201. GEX Analysis for Options Trading Gamma Levels and Key Insights: * Support Levels: * $432.5: Major put wall, indicating strong support for downside protection. * $435.0: GEX9 level, minor support within the current range. * Resistance Levels: * $440.0: Significant call wall, indicating resistance for upward movement. * $450.0: Highest positive NET GEX and a key resistance level above. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 37 suggests moderate implied volatility. * Calls %: Low at 16%, showing bearish sentiment in the options market. Options Strategy: * Bullish: * Long calls above $440. Breakout targets $445 and $450. Use $435 as stop-loss. * Bearish: * Buy puts below $432.50, targeting $430 and $427. 2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading Key Observations: * Trend: Clear bearish trend on the hourly chart with lower highs and lower lows. * Support and Resistance: * Immediate support at $435.0. * Resistance at $440.0, aligned with GEX and trendline resistance. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with EMAs trending down. * MACD: Negative histogram and bearish crossover confirm selling pressure. Swing/Day Trading Setup: * Bullish: * Entry: Above $440 with volume. * Target: $445, with $437 as stop-loss. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $435. * Target: $432 and $430, with a stop-loss above $437. 3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping Key Observations: * Trend: Downtrend with immediate rejection near $437 and weak bounce attempts. * Scalping Levels: * Resistance: $437.85. * Support: $435.0. * Volume: * Increased selling pressure near the close suggests continuation of bearish moves. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish structure. * MACD: Bearish divergence near resistance confirms downtrend. Scalping Strategy: * Bullish: * Entry: Break above $437. * Target: $438.50. * Stop-loss: Below $436.50. * Bearish: * Entry: Break below $435. * Target: $433.50. * Stop-loss: Above $435.50. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment. 1. Key Levels * Support: * $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce. * $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness. * Resistance: * $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today. * $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break. * $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes. 2. Price Action Insights * Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart. * The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly. * Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment. 4. GEX Analysis * Gamma Levels: * $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading. * $445.00: Major call wall resistance. * $425.00: Key put wall support. * $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445. * Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $425. * Short: Above $430. * Scalping Opportunity: * Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Vaxart, Inc. to print 5000% impulsive wave ?? ** The months ahead ** On the above 6 day chart price action has corrected over 96% since February 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. 2) Confirmation of support on past resistance. 3) Regular positive divergence. The divergence prints at a time price action breaks out after 4 years of active resistance. 4) The forecast is determined from a 2nd impulsive move as measured from the first. Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No Ww Type: Trade Risk: You decide Timeframe for long: Remainder of the year. Return: 4000-5000% Stop loss: Will say elsewhere
NASDAQ:VXRTLong
by without_worries
6
PLTR: Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for December 20Market Overview for December 19, 2024 Today’s market showed consolidation across major indices, with limited directional movement and investor caution following recent Federal Reserve policy updates. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite experienced marginal declines, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remained flat. Treasury yields exhibited mixed movements, reflecting a blend of economic resilience and sector-specific challenges. Key highlights: * Sector Movers: Darden Restaurants surged nearly 15% on strong results, while Lamb Weston and Micron Technology saw sharp declines. * Sentiment: Caution persisted due to mixed economic data and limited clarity on 2025 rate cuts. ---------------------- Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for PLTR 1. Key Levels (Based on Charts) * Support: * $72.00 (2nd Put Wall) * $70.27 (Bearish channel support) * $68.00 (3rd Put Wall) * Resistance: * $75.50 - Immediate resistance from today’s price action. * $77.61 - Key GEX level. * $80.00 - Highest positive NET GEX. 2. Price Action Insights * PLTR’s price action suggests consolidation within a bearish descending channel on the hourly chart. * Recent rejection near $75.50 indicates sellers defending this level. * Intraday low volume suggests weaker momentum, aligning with a sideways trend. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both EMAs are flattening, indicating a lack of strong momentum. * MACD: * Nearing a bearish crossover on lower timeframes, signaling potential downside pressure. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity dominates, with 83.9% calls indicating bullish sentiment, though it remains unconfirmed by price action. 4. GEX Analysis * Key Gamma Levels: * $75: 73% (2nd Call Wall) - Acts as a pivot level for tomorrow. * $77: 52.26% (3rd Call Wall) - Bullish breakout above this level signals momentum. * $72: 13.55% (-Put Wall) - First downside support. * $70: Critical put support for bearish scenarios. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A break above $75.50 with strong volume can lead to $77.61 (GEX resistance) and potentially $80. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $74 could result in a decline to $72 (Put Wall), with further downside to $70 in a bearish continuation. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Consolidation between $74 and $75.50, consistent with today’s activity, remains likely if volume stays muted. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $75.50 with targets at $77 and $80. * Bearish: Below $74 with targets at $72 and $70. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $74. * Short: Above $75.50. * Scalping Opportunity: * Monitor breakouts from the $74–$75.50 range for quick trades. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
Vaxart, Inc. A big thank you to all for helping me reach the 8k follower milestone.. On the above weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since February 2020. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish, including: 1) You know why.. 2) Price action confirms support on past resistance. 3) The support is on the Fibonacci 0.236 4) RSI resistance breakout. Is it possible price action falls further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: investment Risk: <=6% of portfolio Timeframe: Now Return: Will say elsewhere Stop loss: Will say elsewhere
NASDAQ:VXRTLong
by without_worries
28
NFLX, BE CAREFUL HERE GUYS Netflix has been on a great run for a while now. It’s getting very close to a major correction that will come over the coming weeks and months ahead. Just based off a few things here in this simple 2 week chart we have a major trend line where price gets rejected every time we hit it. All major time frames are over heated. Volume has been falling for quite some time now as prices have been on a steady climb. It’s basically telling us that mostly retail and smaller players have been pushing these prices up lately. Nothing goes up forever guys. Be extremely cautious at these levels. The probabilities of a 25% plus correction from here are high. Be rational and play it safe. God bless
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Thetraderedge
Stock Of The Day / 12.19.24 / OMER12.19.2024 / NASDAQ:OMER Fundamentals. Growth on the back of positive results from a treatment trial. Technical analysis. Daily chart: A pullback on an uptrend after a long accumulation. Strong daily level 12.00 is ahead, which stopped the upward movement at the end of November. Premarket: Gap Up by 30% on moderate volume. Trading session: After the opening, we observe a trending upward movement with confirmation of the 12.00 level. We observe a volume output that is twice the volume at the beginning of the trading session some time after the breakout of the 12.00 level. This may serve as a signal for the trend to be exhausted. We consider a short deal in case of a return below the 12.00 level. Trading scenario: false breakout with retest of level 12.00 Entry: 11.78 on the breakdown of the structure of the mini-tightening after the breakout and retest of level 12.00. Stop: 12.06 we hide it behind the level with a reserve for slippage. Exit: Close part of the position before the level of the first pullback 10.60 (RR 1/4), close the remaining part of the position upon return and holding above the level of 10.60 (RR 1/4). Risk Reward: 1/4
NASDAQ:OMER
by AlexX31
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
Staying calm and buying NVDAThe world is not ending (yet). NASDAQ:NVDA is down a little over 12% since the beginning of November and everyone acts like it didn't have drops of 20+% in August/Sept and 25ish% in July. Normal state of affairs for NASDAQ:NVDA , so I'm a buyer here. Beware, though. While my algo is historically undefeated on NVDA, it has also gotten me into FAST, APD, CR and some others lately that are acting like absolute dogs. I'm sure they will work out in the end, but these trades would test the patience of most - they're testing me and I know how the story ends already. I'm hoping this trade breaks that ugly streak I'm on rather than joins it. Fingers crossed... I'm adding as long as the algo says it's a buy and I'm selling any lot on its first profitable close. Same plan as usual. Side note: most of the trades shown on the chart used a more aggressive exit strategy than this does. Closing out on the first profitable close for a lot works especially well when a trade entry is part of a downtrend. The trade should close more quickly, but generate a smaller win when it does. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
6