BIDU //The yellow line is our support point. Let's wait for the 22 exponential average to cut upwards to the 50 exponential average.
PATH // The yellow line is our support point. Let's wait for the 22 exponential average to cut upwards to the 50 exponential average.
BLNK // Let's wait for the exponential average of 22 to cut upwards from the 50 exponential average.
S // Our first support point is the green line. Our second support point is the yellow line. The upward movement accelerates when closings above the red line. You can accept the moving average we use.
DJT // Our support point of 11.95 is suitable for buying. The upward movement accelerates in closings above the green line. You can accept the moving average we use as trailing average. In closings below 11.95, stop is the best decision.
Sleep Number Company | SNBR | Long at $6.99Sleep Number Company $NASDAQ:SNBR. Closed all existing open price gaps on the daily chart below its current rice. The overall downward trend is starting to flatten. They make all their products in the US and have minimal exposure to international markets (reduced risk around tariffs). Understandably, recession risks are high and such a company would be impacted. Plus, their debt is pretty high. This is a risky investment, but from technical analysis perspective, there could be a future rebound in the near-term. Thus, at $6.99, NASDAQ:SNBR is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$10.00
$12.00
TSLA (Tesla) – Elliott Wave Impulse Ending + Fibonacci CorrectioTesla completed a textbook 5-wave Elliott impulse to the upside, topping out near the 1.0 Fibonacci extension ($367.71). We're now seeing signs of a corrective wave likely targeting the golden zone near $294.89 — aligning with SPY/NVDA retracements.
🔍 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Impulse from breakout
Wave (2): Shallow pullback
Wave (3): Extended rally
Wave (4): Minor correction
Wave (5): Final push – now failing
📉 Fibonacci Zones:
Current Price: $346.46
Wave 5 Completion: ~$367
Retracement Target: $294.89 (0.5–0.618 confluence)
Extension Target: $513.06 (2.0 extension from wave base)
📊 Probabilistic Outlook
🔻 Correction to $294.89 = 70% probability (based on wave structure + Fib retracement logic)
🔼 Rally to $513+ = 60% probability if support holds and market conditions remain risk-on
🌐 Macro Alignment (May 31, 2025)
🔄 Market rotation into value → temporary tech cooldown
📉 NVDA false breakout and SPY retracement suggest broader pullback
🧠 Tesla is a beta-multiplier to NASDAQ; expect correlation
🧭 Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: $294.89 (watch for confirmation + volume spike)
Sell Target: $513.06 (Fib 2.0 extension)
Stop: Below $278 (structure invalidation)
🧠 Pro Insight:
This is a Wave 2/4 retracement zone where institutions often reload. The broader macro pullback may present one of the last deep dips before a Q3 breakout.
#TSLA #ElliottWave #FibLevels #TechStocks #SmartMoney #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #WaverVanir #TradingView
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $135.13
False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49)
Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12)
Probable Retest Zones:
0.618 Fib: $124.98
0.5 Fib: $121.25
Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone)
🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook
⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside.
📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace.
💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption.
🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025)
AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays.
SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key.
🧠 Institutional View
This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play.
🧭 Trade Setup
Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12)
Target: $119.25
Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone)
Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation
📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow.
#NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
Just a Pullback Amidst a Big Bull Run to October?The weekly chart for UUUU looks extremely bullish with several lines of evidence suggesting a bullish reversal is confirmed.
Break-out of shorter term descending trend
"Break-in" back to long term parallel range
MACD Crossover
Bullish engulfing candle
ALL WITH BIG VOLUME!!!
I believe last week's action was just a pullback setting up for a long term move to the high end of the range, likely a result of sell-the-news profit taking. This industry is going to roar in the coming years.
Long term target $9-11 USD
Good luck!
Will Webull replicate Hood's success?IPO Overview
1) Robinhood (Ticker: HOOD)
-IPO Date: July 29, 2021
-IPO Price: $38 per share
-Initial Valuation: Approximately $32 billion
-First Day Performance: Shares closed down over 10%, reflecting investor concerns over valuation and regulatory scrutiny.
2) Webull (Ticker: BULL)
-IPO Date: April 2025 (via SPAC merger with SK Growth Opportunities)
-Initial Trading Price: $13.25 per share
-First Day Performance: Shares surged up to 500%, reaching an intraday high of $79.56, with a market cap nearing $30 billion.
Financial Metrics Comparison
1) Robinhood (2021)
-Q2 Revenue: $565 million (131% YoY growth)
-Net Loss: $502 million
-Monthly Active Users: 21.3 million
-Assets Under Custody: $102 billion
-Average Revenue Per User (ARPU): $112
-Primary Revenue Sources: Payment for order flow, interest on cash balances, and cryptocurrency trading.
2) Webull (Q1 2025)
-Revenue: $117.4 million (32% YoY growth)
-Adjusted Operating Profit: $28.7 million
-Net Profit Margin: 11.1%
-User Base: Approximately 24.1 million
-Revenue per Trade: Increased from $1.37 to $1.47
-Primary Revenue Sources: Commissions, interest-related income, and trading fees.
Valuation Metrics
1) Robinhood
-Current Market Cap: Approximately $36.85 billion
-P/E Ratio: 23.18
-EPS: $1.75
2) Webull
-Post-IPO Market Cap: Approximately $29.6 billion
-Enterprise Value/Revenue: 19.67
-Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 445.91
Challenges and Controversies
1) Robinhood
-Regulatory Scrutiny: Faced fines and investigations related to payment for order flow practices and outages during high-volatility periods.
-User Trust Issues: Criticized for gamifying trading and for its role in the GameStop trading halt.
-Security Breaches: Experienced data breaches affecting millions of users.
2) Webull
-Regulatory Concerns: Scrutinized for its ties to Chinese parent companies, raising data privacy and national security concerns.
-FINRA Fine: Fined $3 million in 2023 for inadequate due diligence in options trading approvals.
-State-Level Actions: Banned on government devices in Tennessee due to data security concerns.
Future Outlook
While both companies have achieved significant user growth and market valuations, their paths diverge in several ways:
-Profitability: Webull has demonstrated profitability with a positive net profit margin, whereas Robinhood faced substantial losses post-IPO.
-Regulatory Environment: Robinhood's challenges have been primarily domestic, focusing on its business practices, while Webull faces international scrutiny due to its ownership structure.
-Market Positioning: Robinhood has diversified its offerings, including retirement accounts and cash management, aiming for a broader financial ecosystem. Webull's focus remains on active traders, which may limit its market expansion.
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions.
Is VRT (they make cooling systems for data centers) a buy ?Vertiv Holdings Co. (NYSE: VRT) is a leading provider of critical digital infrastructure and continuity solutions, particularly for data centers. Here's an overview of its recent performance, valuation, and potential challenges:
Financial Performance
Q1 2025 Highlights:
-Revenue: $2.04 billion, a 24% increase year-over-year.
-Adjusted EPS: $0.64, up ~49% from Q1 2024.
-Adjusted Operating Profit: $337 million, a 35% increase from Q1 2024.
-Book-to-Bill Ratio: Approximately 1.4x, indicating strong demand.
-Backlog: Increased to $7.9 billion, up ~10% from the end of Q4 2024.
Full-Year 2024 Performance:
-Revenue: $8.012 billion, a 16.74% increase from 2023.
-Net Income: $495 million, a 7.74% increase from 2023.
Valuation Metrics
-Market Capitalization: Approximately $41.13 billion.
-Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 61.7x, which is higher than the industry average, indicating a premium valuation.
-Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.1x.
-Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 24.5x.
-PEG Ratio: 2.7x, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued relative to its earnings growth.
Potential Challenges
-Valuation Concerns: The high P/E ratio suggests that the stock is priced for perfection. Any shortfall in performance could lead to a significant price correction.
-Supply Chain Risks: Vertiv faces operational risks related to its supply chain and manufacturing processes. Disruptions could impact production and increase costs.
-Regulatory and Legal Challenges: The company is exposed to various legal and regulatory risks that could impact its operations and financial performance.
-Market Dynamics: A slowdown in data center equipment purchases, particularly from major clients like Microsoft and Google, could affect Vertiv's order volumes in the near term.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions.
TslaFirst off.. that weekly candle was horrendous
Rising wedge here.. you can see it on the rsi as well
The target of this rising wedge is 300 or daily 200sma..
Lets see how wed get there..
We would need to break below 330.00.
351-355 will be strong resistance if you see a test up in that area I would open a short for 330... cover at 330 and wait for the break below to short for 300
The sector tsla trades under is XLY..
I was saying for the last few days that tsla will have trouble unless XLY could clear 218.. now XLY has finished with a similar weekly reversal candle
UNH LONGOh man, what a chart to dig into.
(Read the fundamental analysis for this one—I don’t look into company financials or earnings. I’m also not following the news, so that’s on you. I’ve seen too many setups fail because of some unexpected headline or a random tweet on a f***ing Monday from the orange man.)
Why am I looking at this setup?
We’re sitting right at the 0.618 fib in a bullish trend. That lines up with the POC of a B-shaped volume profile, right at a support level. On top of that, liquidity under the trendline on the left has already been swept, and price is way overstretched from VWAP. So even if this isn’t a full reversal, we should at least get a pullback back toward the VWAP midline.
entries at 301
283
264
SL at 236
TP 50% at 492, and let the rest rides
There’s a lot going on here:
Trend direction is still up. As long as we don’t get a close below 187, this is just a pullback.
VWAP is miles away from the current price. Price doesn’t stay that far from it forever—it either pulls back or consolidates before heading higher.
Fibs and TLs: There’s a major trendline (marked as Area 2) that hasn’t been touched for the third time yet. That same zone lines up with the 0.78 fib. Price hasn’t reached it yet—might not—but that’s still a spot I’d seriously consider for a long.
POC zone: The marked long area is right on the POC of a B-profile. It’s a key level and should act as support. That’s a solid place to look for a bounce.
I’ve marked out the setup and three possible entries. These are the spots I’d look to long from. If they all fail, then Area 2 is the backup—it should hold.
One more thing: there’s a red line in the middle of the chart. If you want more confirmation, wait for price to close above it, then catch the retrace. That gives you more confidence in the setup.
Do your own analysis and keep an eye on the news.
TA only works if it lines up with the fundamentals. If not, it’s useless.
Need morePrice made a doji candle around a key level in yellow. Price has made a downward broadening opening wedge and a doji candle at the wedge upper resistance. MACD crossed over green but below the zero line. The rally may be short lived. We need price to break out of the wedge with volume and momentum or price to make Higher Highs and Higher Lows from the 13.27 price.
NVDA Short time is Now using fractal geometry calculations This analysis suggests that NVDA may be entering a bearish phase based on recent price action. After an extended bullish run, the stock appears to be losing momentum, with signs of distribution emerging on the chart
. This could mark the beginning of a short-term or intermediate correction.
OSCR ready to bounce and extend off of long term VWAPBlue line = 200 EMA
Light blue line = 50 EMA
Golden line = VWAP anchored at OSCR's IPO
Pink line = VWAP anchored off of bullish daily candle at the all time low reversal 12/29/22
Green line = VWAP anchored at the 3/28/23 gap up through the pink VWAP + massive volume spike 3/28/23
I'm seeing a pattern that when the price breaks below both the 50/200 EMA and the green and pink VWAPs it's followed by a strong reversal to the upside.
In addition, if you apply Elliot Wave Theory, the stock has appeared to have completed an ABC correction, begun a new impulse wave, and waiting to find support to validate that wave 2 is complete before it begins a longer wave 3.
CTSH – Buy on Uptrend (Stability + Momentum) - LONGAnalysis:
Fundamental:
Moderate growth, fair ratios (P/E 16.97).
Low debt (Score 10).
Technical:
Daily trend: Bullish, 20-SMA ($79.83) as support.
RSI: 62.07 (positive momentum).
MACD: Recent bullish crossover.
Trade:
Entry: $81.00 (pullback) or $83.00 (breakout).
Stop Loss: $76.00 (below 20-SMA).
Take Profit : $90.94
Time horizon: 3-8 weeks.
Reason:
Stable company with a clear trend. Low risk if it respects the 20-SMA.
NMIH – Buy on Momentum and Attractive Valuation (LONG)Analysis:
Fundamental: Moderate revenue growth, undervalued P/E (8.57), healthy debt (Score 10).
Technical:
Daily Trend: Bullish.
Support: 50-SMA ($36.11), 20-SMA ($38.22).
RSI: 66.86 (positive momentum, not extremely overbought).
MACD: Bullish crossover on a daily basis.
Trade:
Entry: $39.70 - $40.00 (immediate resistance break).
Stop Loss: $37 (below 20-SMA and psychological support).
Take Profit : $45.00 (bullish extension).
Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks.
Reason:
Good balance between valuation and momentum. Ideal for the medium term if the 20 SMA remains as support.
Weekly Options Strategy – CALL on AVGO + Tactical PUTs on DLTR, Idea linked to NASDAQ:AVGO – Full structured breakdown for the week ahead
This week I’m deploying a mixed options strategy based on high-probability setups and strict risk management.
We’re combining a bullish CALL play on NASDAQ:AVGO ahead of earnings, with three tactical PUT ideas on companies that meet our 20-point bearish checklist across technical, fundamental, and macro filters.
This isn’t guesswork.
✅ We only enter when multiple signals align in our favor.
📌 This is a game of probability, not certainty – and we want the odds stacked heavily on our side.
🟢 Bullish Setup – AVGO (Broadcom)
Current price: $237.09 (adjusted post-split)
Catalyst: Earnings on Thursday, June 6
Price target: $255–$265
✔️ Why this setup stands out:
✅ Leading sector (semiconductors + AI tailwinds)
✅ Consistent EPS & revenue growth
✅ Increasing institutional volume
✅ Clean technical breakout (MA50 > MA200)
✅ RSI healthy, not overbought
✅ Strong momentum into earnings
✅ Macro support for chip stocks
🛡️ Risk Plan:
– Partial entry before earnings
– Add only on post-earnings confirmation
– Stop-loss below $225
– Max risk per trade: <6% of total capital
🎯 This is a high-conviction setup, backed by fundamentals and strong technicals.
🔴 Bearish Setups – Tactical PUTs with Breakdown Potential
These three stocks meet our 20/20 bearish checklist, showing clear signs of technical deterioration and weak fundamentals.
1. DLTR – Dollar Tree
Current price: $90.36
Earnings: Wednesday, June 5
Downside target: $82–$85
❌ Key bearish signals:
– Weak guidance and margin pressure
– Inflation hurting target customer base
– Strong technical downtrend
– Rejected at MA200
– No positive catalysts in sight
🎯 If earnings disappoint, a breakdown toward $82 support is likely.
2. SIG – Signet Jewelers
Current price: $66.57
Target: $58–$60
❌ Structural deterioration:
– Discretionary sales declining
– Momentum in EPS fading
– Head & Shoulders pattern activated
– Low volume and no institutional support
🎯 A break below support could trigger a rapid move to the $58 zone.
3. NIO – NIO Inc.
Current price: $3.54
Target: $2.70–$2.50
❌ Clear red flags:
– Persistent losses and cash burn
– Weak EV sales in China
– Geopolitical and tariff pressure
– Fading volume and buyer interest
– No short-term catalyst
🎯 The trend is clearly bearish – we’re targeting continuation toward $2.50 support.
🧠 Strategic Recap
✅ Bullish CALL on AVGO with strong setup ahead of earnings
✅ Bearish PUTs on DLTR, SIG, and NIO with deteriorating fundamentals and clean charts
✅ Each trade risk-adjusted under 6% of total capital
✅ Executing only when the majority of signals point in the same direction
📌 We don’t need to be right 100% of the time – we just need the probabilities to be in our favor when we enter.
💬 Drop your thoughts or follow if you’re tracking these setups too – I’ll post follow-ups after earnings.
#AVGO #DLTR #SIG #NIO #OptionsTrading #CALLStrategy #PUTOptions #TechnicalAnalysis #EarningsPlays #TradingWithDiscipline #ProbabilityTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan #TradingView
GOOGL JUN 2025 GOOGL Technical Analysis (May 31, 2025)
GOOGL remains in a bullish trend with key upside targets:
Main target: 185 (gap resistance)
Intermediate resistance: 180
Immediate support at 170 (distribution zone)
Critical support: 160 (stop-loss level)
If 160 breaks, next key supports are at 150, 140 (institutional buy zone 4B), and 130 (weekly support).
As long as price holds the ascending blue trendline, momentum favors the upside. A confirmed breakout above 180 could trigger a gap fill toward 200.
SOUN - Falling Wedge [MID-TERM]NASDAQ:SOUN SoundHound AI has breached a rising trend channel and achieved its target at 11.84. As the stock approaches support at 9.00, a decline below this level would be a negative indicator.
MSFT short, Broader Market Weakening.Weekly:
MFI divergence: Smart money flow pulling back while price pushes up — early warning sign of distribution.
Price touching upper Bollinger Band: Extended move on volatility basis; usually implies reversion risk, especially if paired with divergence.
Daily:
Overbought RSI: Price momentum overstretched.
RSI Bearish Divergence: Momentum slowing while price makes new highs — classic reversal signal.
MACD Bearish Crossover: Bearish momentum shift confirmed.
Volume Divergence: Lower volume on recent up moves or spike on down bars — lack of conviction on the rally.
✅ Multiple uncorrelated indicators (momentum, volatility, volume, price action) pointing to a short-term reversal.
✅ Higher time frame (weekly) divergences + Daily confirmations — that’s powerful confluence.
TESLA Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 345.78
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 308.21
Recommended Stop Loss - 364.73
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
