UPS Longvery very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very nice trade
Riot to 6.84RIOT Platforms, Inc. is showing signs of a potential retracement after a strong rejection from the $8.15–$8.18 resistance zone. The long upper wick and red daily candle suggest sellers are stepping in. Price has re-entered a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and I anticipate that imbalance to get filled.
The $6.84 level is a key support zone from previous structure and coincides with the lower boundary of the last bullish impulse. It’s also where multiple wicks formed on high volume, indicating liquidity and buyer interest.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: $7.83 (current level)
• Target: $6.84
• Stop Loss: $8.35 (above rejection wick)
• Risk/Reward: ~1.5R
Thesis:
Price likely revisits $6.84 to fill the FVG before any bullish continuation.
What Invalidates This Trade:
• A strong daily close above $8.40
• Bullish engulfing candle reclaiming $8.18 with volume
• Bitcoin making a new high and dragging crypto-related stocks up with it
Key Metrics to Monitor:
• Daily volume spike above average on green candles
• Bitcoin spot price above $67,000 (macro correlation)
• RSI breaching 60 with bullish divergence
• Reclaim of 21 EMA on the daily
⸻
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. These are my personal opinions and ideas based on chart analysis. I’m not a financial advisor. Always do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional before making any investment or trading decisions.
I think were due for bad earnings reaction for once.As seen in the chart, we are at the top of the range with highly over extended price movement and hitting the largest target number at $400 which has been sought after for months.
I think a snap down to $360-$350 is inevitable.
If we do pop up to $420+ then its a blow off top unless market reacts positively to government involvement to crypto.
FNMA: great looking consolidation Price is showing impressive relative strength during recent market weakness with 3 weeks of tight closes
• W-bottom structure forming
• Fund accumulation increasing
• EPS estimates for 2025–26 rising sharply
• Regulative catalyst + Bill Ackman backing
Next mid-term resistance zone: 12–16
Macro/Weekly structure
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
Indicators that Warn of a Top or Bottom Before It HappensHybrid Leading Indicators use all 3 data sets from each transaction that occurs in the stock market. Today this lesson talks about Chaikin Oscillator and Chaikin MFI. Both are used on the same chart as the volume oscillator reveals the volume and price correlation to what the Dark Pool Buy Side institutions are buying or selling for long term holds. The oscillator also shows pro trader activity and indicates with a spike to the top or bottom of its chart a probable reversal of the trend the next day. When the Oscillator spikes to the top, then a profit taking day by pros or a run down is likely the next day.
When the oscillator hits a V shape at the bottom of the chart, the stock price is likely to move up the next day, warning those selling short to exit quickly. The oscillator also shows topping price and volume changes before the Flat Top forms. It also shows Bottoming development before the recent rebound in $NASDAQ:PYPL.
Money Flowing into or out of a stock is also a critical analysis for swing traders as it confirm whether you should continue swing trading to the upside OR if you should switch quickly to selling short. MFI in this chart is harmonious with the oscillator, both confirming a strong indication of the direction the stock will take over the next few days.
A bottoming formation starts well ahead of the actual final low. This is important to recognize early when selling short, to avoid a huge whipsaw day that can cause huge sell short losses.
When you can read the chart as easily as you read a book, your Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills are finely tuned and you can be proud to be a member of the semi-professional retail swing traders. Let that be your goal, along with consistent profits with minimal losses.
Raise your expectations.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
MSTR–Institutional Bitcoin Proxy with Conviction and Leverage ₿Company Snapshot:
MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, positioning itself as a leveraged equity proxy for BTC exposure—while still operating a profitable enterprise software business.
Key Catalysts:
Massive Bitcoin Treasury Strategy 💰
Recently acquired $1.42 billion in BTC, reinforcing commitment
Total holdings exceed 200,000 BTC, making it the most visible and transparent institutional crypto holder
Acts as a high-beta vehicle for Bitcoin bulls, especially as ETF flows drive demand
Financial Engineering = Firepower for More BTC 🚀
$722 million in refinanced fixed-income notes, lowering costs and extending maturity
Provides capital flexibility to accumulate BTC at opportunistic levels
Reflects strong capital market access and investor confidence
BTC ETF Tailwind + Institutional Validation ✅
Bitcoin ETFs provide broader adoption and liquidity, indirectly benefiting MSTR
MSTR offers a regulated, equity-based alternative to direct BTC ownership
Ideal for funds restricted from holding digital assets directly
Dual Business Model Stability ⚙️
Core enterprise software business contributes revenue and operational stability
Reduces perceived risk relative to pure-play crypto companies
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $325.00–$326.00
🚀 Upside Target: $490.00–$500.00
🔑 Thesis: High-conviction BTC accumulation + balance sheet optimization = leveraged upside for Bitcoin-focused investors
📢 MSTR: The go-to equity for institutional Bitcoin exposure—with built-in leverage and transparency.
#Bitcoin #MSTR #CryptoStocks #DigitalAssets #MichaelSaylor #InstitutionalCrypto
MELI at Risk from Momentum Shift and High ValuationMELI has gained over 35% since the April dip, but momentum has been fading since September. The slowdown has become increasingly visible, and last week's high may remain the top for some time unless Wednesday’s earnings report surprises the market on the upside.
The consensus estimate for MELI’s revenue is $5,497.05 million, representing a 26.86% year-over-year increase but a 9.27% decline quarter-over-quarter. MELI is currently trading at a forward P/E of 41.9x, which is significantly higher than the 19.8x average of comparable companies. Its geographic advantage over U.S.-based peers gave MELI an edge in April, but without strong earnings to support the high valuation, the stock could become vulnerable.
Over the past five years, MELI averaged 56.2% annual sales growth. That figure is expected to fall to an average of 22.1% over the next three years, which remains solid but signals a clear deceleration.
MELI could move more than 7% on earnings day, depending on the report. If the stock falls below 2,000, it may present a buying opportunity. However, the loss of momentum is usually a negative signal for sustaining trends, so the risk of buying the dip is higher than before.
LMT Outlook long termMy strategy is to gradually add to my position using the following entry points:
• 446
• 411
• 399
• 360
Once the price begins to move higher, I’m planning to take profits in stages. My first profit target is 467, followed by 478, and if the momentum continues, I’m aiming for 500+.
This trading plan is based on my personal analysis and trading strategy, and it should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions, as trading involves significant risks and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Visit the Harmonic Museum in the Warren Diamond BuildingThe Diamond Glass Building, home to the Warren Buffett Harmonic Museum, is truly a sight to behold! As you enter, you'll find a fascinating display of creatures.
On the left, there's a charming exhibit featuring a crab vendor that catches the eye.
In the center of the hall, you can marvel at the wild bat, a remarkable fossil that tells a story of the past.
To the right, however, is where things get exciting—a live bloodthirsty shark!
While the crab and bat have been fossilized, the shark is very alive, so be sure to keep your distance and enjoy the view and trade safely.
AMSC | Bullish Momentum Building Breakout in Progress?📈 NASDAQ:AMSC 🚀
American Superconductor (AMSC) is quietly showing strength, and it's time to pay attention. After bouncing off the support zone near $18.80–$19.30, the stock has reclaimed the $20.50–$21.10 entry range, with volume picking up as it challenges key resistance.
🧠 Why it's interesting now:
✅ 56% YoY revenue growth last quarter 📊
✅ LSE:80M in cash, no urgent need for dilution
✅ Clean energy + grid modernization = tailwind
🧩 Technical Setup:
✅ Entry Zone:
$Market price
$19.5-20.5
$18.5
✅ Breakout Trigger: $22.38
🎯 Target 1: $23.50
🎯 Target 2: $25.70
🎯 Stretch Target: $28.00 +
This is a high-beta, high-volatility name — perfect for swing traders who can manage risk. Watch that breakout above $22.38; it could open the door to a fast move toward mid-$20s.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions. I'm not a financial advisor.
CCJ Gets Another Bounce from Key Demand ZoneCameco has bounced from the key demand zone at 32.50–35.50 for the sixth time, further confirming this area as a significant support level. The 200-day moving average also played a major role in the bounce, acting as a magnet. In the last three instances, when the price moved nearly 20% below the 200-day SMA, an upward reaction followed, this time marks the fourth occurrence of the same pattern.
However, NYSE:CCJ continues to face pressure from falling uranium prices, which have been declining for nearly 14 months. While long-term prospects remain positive due to growing investments in nuclear energy, the medium-term outlook remains uncertain. A breakdown below the 32.50–35.50 zone could lead to intensified bearish pressure.
On the upside, the 40.00 and 46.40 levels are key short-term resistance zones that traders should watch.