NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (4T Record but now resistance)🚀🔥 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade Post #6
💡📉 Great but why am I taking half profits Today?
Back in July 2021, I named NVIDIA "The Best Buy of the Decade. " Today, it just hit a mind-blowing milestone — becoming the first company to reach a $4 trillion market cap. But here's the thing... that happened right at major resistance.
From our initial call in 2021 , to the target at $143.85 drawn via parabola in 2023, to the April 2025 re-entry at $95, it’s all on the chart — and it's been a textbook ride so far.
At the current level of $163.89, we’re pressing into serious overhead resistance. This doesn’t mean the story is over — not even close. But it could mean we take a breather before the next leg higher.
🧭 Targets ahead remain unchanged:
🔹 First stop: $182.85
🔹 Long-term vision: $227.41
What started as a bold macro call in 2021 has now become a multi-year thesis with precision updates along the way. This is post #6 in the NVIDIA journey — and if you scroll back through the chart, each piece has built on the last with clarity and conviction.
🎯 NVIDIA is not just a tech stock — it’s the AI backbone. But every cycle has pauses, and this one looks ready for a short rest before we see the next breakout.
Stay sharp, follow the structure, and honor the parabola.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Additional info, for those who like to dive deeper into NVDA:
🔍 Technical Breakdown Version
For the chartists and structure followers, here’s the breakdown:
📌 2021: Original call — "Best Buy of the Decade"
📌 2023: First parabola plotted, projecting toward $143.85 — target hit precisely
📌 April 2025: Market offered $95 re-entry — second parabola begins
📌 Now: Price sits at $163.89, testing resistance from both structure and Fibonacci
📌 Next levels:
- $182.85 → Key extension level
- $227.41 → Long-term target based on full parabolic arc
Current structure suggests a possible pause before continuation. No need for panic — parabola remains valid unless structure is broken. Volume still supportive, and price action is following projection beautifully.
🧠 AI Macro Narrative Version
The big picture? NVIDIA isn't just another semi stock — it’s the nervous system of the AI revolution.
From gaming → crypto → AI, NVIDIA has consistently been first to adapt, and now it’s the leader in AI hardware infrastructure. The $4 trillion milestone is more than symbolic — it represents capital reallocation toward AI as the next dominant sector.
🧠 Key macro takeaways:
AI demand is insatiable
Data centers need NVIDIA
Generative AI isn't slowing down
Institutions are still buying — not selling
The resistance we see now isn’t weakness — it’s the market pausing to digest before another acceleration. Just like every past cycle... we ride, retrace, reload, and resume.
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
July 2025 - Duolingo trading opportunityGood news for Duolingo... The chart is now showing some promising signs that it might be ready to turn things around and head higher. Some simple clues why:
RSI resistance breakout:
The "RSI" indicator (bottom of chart) tells us strength is returning. A break of resistance that has been active over the last month is now no more. This usually means the buyers are taking control again.
Hidden strength:
Even though the price might look a bit sleepy, oscillators now print significant bullish divergence with price action.
Past resistance confirms support:
Certainly one of the most simplest concepts to take advantage of, previous resistance now confirms support. This test occurs as price action strikes the 50% Fibonacci level.
20% Forecast
Look left, previously market structure failed. Typically past breaks of structure shall be tested to confirm resistance, which is between 20-30% away.
Is it possible price action continues to print lower lows? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Open AI building it's own Browser- Open AI building it's own Browser. They have the talent to build it.
- Apple buying Perplexity AI
- MARKETSCOM:GOOGLE chrome isn't the best. I find Firefox better than Chrome but that's subjective. There's no stickiness in web browsers honestly. It's just that there are no good options.
- Recently, Google chrome added some weird looking AI summarizer on top which must be reducing number of organic hits to the website.
- I'm bullish long term but bearish short term. Open AI is really disruptor and has strong talent density better than Google in my opinion.
Long NSRGY on weekly time frameI like this company on a fundamental level. besides technical analysis. I think there will be a flood to dividend names soon if/when interest rates go down. bond yield should drop as well and investors want some passive income. Who better to go to then the company that owns the world lol. But on a serious note, this company is over a century old and has weathered many storms, I believe that this could be a bargain for long term investors as well. On the technical side, we have brok the down trend with a new high, I believe this pull back to previous resistance is healthy and needed for a stronger push to 110 and up. Also, check out the RSI, we have not seen a strong RSI on the weekly since 2021, where we had this same type pull back and then bounce up. Goodluck, I will be trading shares on this, SL with a break and hold under support, TP, no clue yet.
Long NKE on pull back after break?Nke just woke investors back up with their recent forecast after earnings. This push has temporarily broken the down trend on the daily time frame and it is holding the break on the weekly. We now have a healthy-looking retest with the rsi on the daily time frame above 50 signaling a bounce is coming. I mapped out some take profits. I am still a little worried about the company itself based on my own fundamental analysis. But physiologically i believe many people don't want to miss out on a brand name like Nike at such a discount, if it bounces here, I think it will be huge. Probably a short squeeze. I will not hold this trade up to next earnings though, as i said I don't really love the fundamentals. I think NKE is losing market share rapidly. Anyways sorry for the grammar but here are my thoughts, good luck. oh, and stop loss with a clear break and hold under this bounce spot, maybe 68-69?
RDDT · 4H — Rising-Wedge Setup with Targets at $172 and $185Setup Summary
Rising wedge structure forming since late June. Price recently pulled back to test support at ~$144–145, where the rising trendline intersects horizontal structure.
Momentum remains bullish: The prior move from $110 to $165 was impulsive, and this consolidation appears corrective so far.
Volume profile (VPVR) shows a thin liquidity zone between $150 and $172, suggesting a strong move is likely if the $150 level is reclaimed.
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🎯 Target Zones
Target Level Rationale
1st Target $169 Matches wedge breakout projection + aligns with prior IPO supply and volume gap resistance.
2nd Target $177 Psychological round number + coincides with IPO opening print and the highest rejection wick seen so far.
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🛠️ Trade Plan
Component Level
Trigger Entry on bounce from $144 or breakout/reclaim of $150.
Invalidation Close below $142 breaks wedge structure.
TP-1 $172 – take 50–70% off, move stop to breakeven.
TP-2 $185 – runner target; exit if price shows rejection.
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⚠️ Risk Notes
Wedge patterns can fake out — wait for confirmation (e.g. a 4H bullish engulfing or volume reclaim above $148–150).
Earnings or lock-up expiration could introduce volatility (check calendar).
If support at $143 fails, look for next demand at $134–135 (prior breakout base).
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✅ Checklist
Structure: Rising wedge in uptrend
Support: Held above previous breakout zone
Volume profile: Favorable thin zone toward $172
Risk defined below $142
> Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Trade your own plan and always use proper risk management.
NVIDIA made history! First company with $4 trillion market cap!NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) became today the first company in history to surpass a $4 trillion market value, as A.I. bulls extended the recent rally and pushed the price past the approximate $163.93 level needed to reach this market capitalization threshold.
The long-term trend on the 1D time-frame couldn't look more bullish. Coming off a 1D Golden Cross less than 2 weeks ago, the price has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support and sits at +88.13% from the April 07 2025 Low.
This is the exact set-up that the market had when it was coming off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom (October 13 2022). As you can see, both fractals started with a -44% decline, bottomed and when they recovered by +88.13%, there were just past a 1D Golden Cross. In fact that Golden Cross (January 24 2023) was the last one before the current.
NVIDIA entered a Channel Up (green) on its recovery and for as long as the 1D MA50 was supporting, it peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before it pulled back below it.
If history repeats this pattern, we are looking at a potential peak around $390, which may indeed seem incredibly high at the moment, but as we pointed out on previous analyses, the market is in the early stages of the A.I. Bubble, similar to the Internet Bubble of the 1990s.
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BA heads up into $230: Strong fib zone might cause a serious dipBA has been flying (lol) from its last crash caused crash.
About to test a signrificant resistance at $229.82-230.73
Expect at least some "orbits" or a pullback from this zone.
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Previous analysis that caught THE BOTTOM:
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APA APA has been struggling financially for a while and has been trading in this downward channel just reaching the top border. Consistent rejections have been apparent especially as it approaches the 0.618 golden zone on our Fibonacci retracement.
Macro outlook there is a strong consensus that oil prices are going to see a decline continue for the rest of the year. The sheer supply of oil is already outstripping demand leading to storage of oil globally which is not only costly but has increased costs for companies. S/D analysts at goldman predict 4x in supply over the forthcoming year leading to lower oil prices.
APA will most likely struggle under these conditions, therefore im looking to sell
Alibaba (BABA) – Bearish Setup FormingNYSE:BABA
A descending triangle is forming on the chart, with strong resistance around $118 and horizontal support near $102. The structure suggests a potential breakdown, targeting a move of ~−9.8%.
Key observations:
• Price rejected from the descending trendline multiple times
• Stochastic turning down from the overbought zone
• RSI below 50 – room for further downside
• Bollinger Bands show compression, possibly preceding a breakout
📉 Business context:
Alibaba is facing ongoing challenges in its core business. Competition in the e-commerce and cloud sectors has intensified, import/export tariffs are putting pressure on margins, and regulatory oversight from Chinese authorities remains strict. These headwinds may weigh on investor sentiment and stock performance.
My short scenario:
If the price breaks below the $111–$110 zone with volume confirmation, I expect a move toward $102–$100.
NVDA$ - possible pullback to $50 (-67% from pick) in the making.NASDAQ:NVDA have done this before (67% pullbacks after long rally).
NVDA is following very predictable patterns for many years now, despite excitement around this stock - stock made "new recent low" and current rally maybe just a part of a "head and shoulders" in the making. If "new all time high" is not reached with in the next few weeks - we will see stock pullback to $50 or less in the next 6-9 month.
Cable One | CABO | Long at $130.82Cable One NYSE:CABO is a leading broadband communications provider under the Sparklight brand, offering high-speed internet, cable TV, and phone services across 24 U.S. states.
Book Value: $315.50.
Positive:
Strong liquidity: Quick ratio 1.47 (above industry avg ~1.0).
Undervalued vs. industry (1.91x).
Large customer base: ~1.1M customers, 2.8M data subscribers.
Stable revenue: Broadband focus in non-metropolitan markets.
Insiders buying over $1 million in share recently while also being awarded options.
Recent change in leadership.
Negatives:
Medium-high bankruptcy risk: Altman Z-Score 1.36 (below industry ~2.5).
High leverage: D/E 1.78 (above industry ~1.0).
Weak earnings: Negative margins, declining profitability.
Suspended dividend.
Classify this one as a risky investment, but it is very undervalued at this price and the upcoming decline in interest rates may have a very positive effect on the company's stock (at least short-term: 5 million float, 19% short interest). Regardless, not one to put your life savings into. From a technical analysis perspective, I foresee a potential drop between $115 and $120 in the near-term and rise from there. It all depends on the upcoming earnings, so label this one a "gamble" with high bankruptcy risk.
Regardless of bottom predictions, NYSE:CABO is in a personal buy zone at $130.82 for a swing trade.
Targets into 2027:
$190.00 (+45.2%)
$250.00 (+91.1%)
Mastercard Could Face ResistanceMastercard fell hard in June on the threat of stablecoin competition. Now, after a rebound, some traders may expect another push to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the selloff that began on June 13 when the Wall Street Journal reported that major retailers were considering stablecoins as an alternative to credit-card payment systems. Another drop came the following week after the U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act regulating stablecoins.
The stock recovered in the second half of June but it halted at the post-drop closing high of $569.45. Has new resistance emerged?
Third, prices could be stalling at the 50-day simple moving average. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is additionally below the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect weakening intermediate- and short-term trends.
Fourth, stochastics have reached an overbought condition.
Finally, this month’s lower high could potentially represent the start of a new falling channel. Such a pattern could make investors expect a lower low closer to $500.
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Google: Upcoming TopWe locate Google in turquoise wave 2 (of a downward impulse). In more detail, we see the stock developing a complex - - - pattern and expect turquoise wave 2 to conclude imminently with wave . All the while, the price should maintain a safe distance from resistance at $209.28. Looking ahead to turquoise wave 3, we anticipate sell-offs down into our magenta Target Zone between $123.92 and $98, before wave 4 likely triggers a temporary rebound up to the $138.35 level. Ultimately, the entire turquoise downward impulse should bottom out again in the magenta zone, which would also mark the completion of waves (C) in magenta and in green. Since a new larger upward phase should begin afterward, the magenta zone presents an opportunity to establish long positions. However, if Google were to break above the $209.28 resistance next, we would have to expect a new high for magenta wave alt.(B) —which would only temporarily postpone the anticipated sell-off though (probability: 24%).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
OSCR - Cyclical Expansion and Algorithmic ConfluenceOscar Health moves in cycles. It's possible to observe algorithmic confluence with the 3rd extension at 1.618 (~$60). The price reacted to the algorithmic expansion channel as expected and retraced to the equilibrium of the weekly bullish breaker. Therefore, the price behavior I anticipate is an aggressive expansion toward the next algorithmic level around $30, potential consolidation thereafter, and a final expansion toward the end-of-cycle target in the $60s.
This analysis is purely speculative and for educational purposes only.