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Shares of Coca-cola Set For Breakout Amid Golden Cross Pattern The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: NYSE:KO ) on Tuesday reported first-quarter sales below analysts' estimates but profit that topped expectations, as the beverage giant navigates tariff uncertainty. Earnings Overview The company said its "comparable," or adjusted, earnings per share came in at $0.73 on revenue that declined 2% YoY to $11.1 billion. Analysts expected $0.72 and $11.22 billion, respectively. CEO James Quincey said: "Despite some pressure in key developed markets, the power of our global footprint allowed us to successfully navigate a complex external environment." Coca-Cola Says Operations 'Subject to Global Trade Dynamics' In an update to its full-year outlook, Coca-Cola said that its "operations are primarily local, however, it is subject to global trade dynamics which may impact certain components of the company’s cost structure across its markets. At this time, the company expects the impact to be manageable." Technical Outlook Shares of Coca-Cola ( NYSE:KO ) were down about 1% shortly after the market opened Tuesday. They entered the day up about 15% since the start of the year. As of the time of writing, the stock is up 0.49%. Albeit earnings missed estimate, the 4 hour price of Coca-Cola shares (NYSE: NYSE:KO ) depicts a golden cross pattern- this is a metric that is generally seen as a bullish reversal with its counterpart known as "Death cross". With the RSI at 51 and the Golden cross pattern, NYSE:KO might be on the cusp of a bullish campaign.
NYSE:KOLong
by DEXWireNews
Harmony Gold Pulls BackHarmony Gold has been rallying this year along with precious metals, and now some traders may see an opportunity in its latest pullback. The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area around $15.50. It’s near the April 2 high and a 50 percent retracement of the rally following the March breakout. HMY probed that zone yesterday and held it. Is new support established above old highs? Second, HMY made a lower low and higher high. That kind of positive outside candle is a potentially bullish continuation pattern. Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in February and has stayed there since. Such a configuration may suggest its long-term trend is now pointing higher. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:HMY
by TradeStation
"Capital One (COF) 15-Min Breakout Watch: Bullish Continuation📌 Market Idea : Bullish Continuation or Range Breakout Setup on 15-Minute Chart The chart displays a strong bullish rally from April 22 to April 26, with the price climbing from around $165 to over $185. Following this uptrend, the market has consolidated, forming a sideways range between $182 and $186. This pattern suggests the stock is either : Accumulating strength for another breakout to the upside, or Losing momentum, potentially preparing for a pullback if support is broken. 💡 Trade Concept Summary Trend Bias : Bullish (but ranging short-term) Setup Type : Range Breakout Bullish Scenario : Break above $186.89 → target $188–$190 Bearish Scenario : Break below $182.00 → target $179–$177 Timeframe Focus : Intraday (15-minute sessions) This momentum squeeze setup is ideal for options traders or intraday scalpers waiting for direction confirmation.
NYSE:COFLong
by traderoute001
Is Seagate Overbought?Seagate Technology has rallied sharply in recent weeks, but some traders may think the data-storage company is overbought. The first pattern on today’s chart is the March low of $82.88. STX plunged three sessions later after tariffs were announced. Prices have returned to that level and now seem to be stalling. Has old support become new resistance? Next, stochastics have reached an overbought condition. Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in December. It’s stayed below that slower line since, which may suggest its longer-term trend has gotten more bearish. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:STX
by TradeStation
Tesla Bullish, Let Me ExplainYesterday's high was the highest price since 4-March 2025, almost two months ago. The fact that TSLA moved out of bottom prices and strong long-term support zone while challenging resistance is a bullish signal. The prices that were activated in Mach and April as support is the same range that TSLA used back in 2024 to launch the previous bullish wave. The same prices as in October and September 2024. The same levels were activated but as a higher low. Clearly a bullish dynamic. For this setup to be bearish, the action would have to go lower and print a lower low compared to August 2024, this isn't the case. We have a strong higher low which means that buyers were eager to enter the market and waiting for this long-term support zone to be activated. As soon as it was activated buyers showed up and this is confirmed by current price action. Short-term, Tesla is moving up. This is short-term because a new bullish wave is just now getting started but the fact is pointing towards additional growth. Yesterday TSLA closed above EMA55 daily for the first after hitting support since October 2024. Once EMA55 gets challenged and conquered, we are looking at the least 2-3 months of bullish action. Don't get me wrong, there can be swings short-term, shakeouts and such but no new lows. The low has been set 7-April 2025, from this point on, we will see growth. Once a strong resistance level is challenged, we can look at the chart and see if there will be a major correction or just a retrace before additional growth. The truth is that the stock market is set to go higher, TSLA is just one stock. The SPX, NVDA, Bitcoin and many other instruments will grow. Everything will grow. Namaste.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MasterAnanda
1
High-risk, extreme reward event-driven contrarian/squeeze setupBeyond Meat soared in 2019–2021 on blockbuster growth hopes, only to see its stock crater nearly 99% as reality fell short of hype. Sluggish consumer adoption, steep promotional discounts, and margin pressure dragged revenues from a 2020 peak of $419 M into multi-quarter declines. Recently, management has right-sized operations: Q4 2024 net revenues rose 4% YoY, cost-cutting measures are underway, and new product and foodservice partnerships are rolling out—even as the China business is suspended. Trading below 1× forward sales with ~25% short interest, BYND offers one of the most insane high-risk, event-driven contrarian setups I've ever seen ahead of the May 7 Q1 2025 report. 1. Implosion: What Happened? Peak Hype & Insane Expectations Investors crowned BYND “the Tesla of food,” pricing in 100%+ growth on only ~$200 M in trailing revenues at IPO. Missed Growth Targets 2021 sales climbed just 37% to $464 M—well below the ~50% growth forecast—when heavy grocery promotions eroded prices. Margin Squeeze Gross margins plunged from ~28% to ~10% as Beyond funded discounts in retail and co-promotions with foodservice chains. 2. Recent Fundamentals & Stabilization Q4 2024 Turnaround Signs Net revenues of $83.1 M, up 4% YoY—the second straight quarterly increase after nine declines. Cost-Cutting Initiatives U.S. plant scale-ups and supply-chain optimization trimmed per-unit costs; SG&A fell ~8% YoY. 2025 Guidance Revenues guided to $320–335 M (flat vs. $326.5 M in 2024); management targets adjusted-EBITDA breakeven by Q4 2025. 3. Recent Initiatives & Partnerships Product Innovation : Fourth-gen Beyond Sausage (avocado oil formulation), “Beyond Sun” links, new pre-seasoned Beyond Steak flavors (chimichurri, Korean BBQ), and Crispy Nuggets for operators. Foodservice Expansion : Beyond Burger® and Nuggets added to cafeterias and chains; Veggie McPlant Nuggets at McDonald’s France; smash-burger trials at Tesco UK; Wendy’s Georgia plant-based burger in 19 locations. International Roll-outs : Retail launch of Beyond Steak in France and UK (Tortilla), expanded Europe/Middle East footprint. Operational Restructuring : Exiting China by mid-2025, laying off ~6–9% of workforce, consolidating co-packers, automating U.S. plants to chase a ~20% gross margin. 4. Valuation & Sentiment Trading at ~0.9× forward sales vs. peers at 1.5–5×. Short interest ~25% of float—one of small-cap’s highest. China exit & layoffs a margin catalyst; gross margin goal ~20% in 2025. New products and foodservice deals reinforce R&D and growth narrative. Q1 2025 earnings (May 7) could ignite a squeeze. Catalysts Q1 2025 earnings (May 7) beat/guide-up. Roll-out of new sausage, steak & nugget products at major retailers. Further high-profile partnerships (Starbucks, Yum! Brands). Final words Beyond Meat’s meteoric rise and fall reflect expectations that outpaced execution. Today, early signs of revenue stabilization, aggressive cost cuts, product innovation, and a clear path to break-even—combined with a sub-1× sales valuation and sky-high short interest—create a classic event-driven contrarian opportunity. The May 7 Q1 2025 report is the next major inflection point.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by variable_not_defined
5
SOFI more of a fintech company than a traditional bankSoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is often viewed as more of a fintech company than a traditional bank due to its tech-driven approach to financial services. While SoFi does hold a bank charter and offers conventional banking products like checking, savings, and loans, its core value proposition lies in its fully digital platform that integrates lending, investing, banking, and financial planning. SoFi was built from the ground up as a technology-first company, prioritizing user experience, automation, and mobile-first functionality. Unlike legacy banks that are adapting to digital, SoFi was born in the cloud, positioning itself more as a modern financial technology platform aiming to be a one-stop-shop for personal finance.
NASDAQ:SOFI
by Zenjaycfa
1
Selling Options On Hims & Hers Could Yield 20% Or MoreAfter recommending Hims & Hers NYSE:HIMS as a 'Strong Buy' from $6, we recently downgraded it due to its stretched valuation. Since then, the stock has dropped over 40%, but we don't yet see it as a clear value proposition at current levels. HIMS combines two critical elements: - High lifetime customer value with low churn - High gross margins (customers generate substantial gross profit) This combination gives management strategic flexibility with cash deployment. The sticky business model makes sense: customers treating conditions like hair loss or weight management have little incentive to switch providers. Recent financial results have been impressive: - Robust YoY revenue growth (~50% expected this year, ~20% for following years) - EPS turning positive with significant operating leverage - Potential to reach ~$400M in operating income in the near future At ~$27.50 per share, HIMS trades at: - 4.1x sales - 52x TTM net income While our bullish projections suggest this multiple could compress to 18-20x within 12-18 months, we'd prefer entry at $18-$20 per share. Given our outlook, selling put options presents an attractive alternative: Selling the August 15th $18 strike puts: - Premium: $1.30 per share ($130 per contract) - Required margin: ~$1,670 per contract - Yield: 7.7% over 112 days (27.7% annualized) This strategy offers two favorable outcomes: If HIMS stays above $18: Keep the premium (27.7% annualized yield) If HIMS falls below $18: Buy shares at an effective 35% discount from current price (plus premium) At $18 per share, HIMS would trade at ~36x TTM earnings - a much more attractive entry point. Risks: - If HIMS collapses suddenly, put sellers must still purchase at $18 - HIMS remains highly volatile - Two potential earnings reports during the option period could increase volatility - Stock could potentially trade into the lower teens Despite these risks, the risk/reward ratio appears favorable, and we maintain a 'Buy' rating on HIMS.
NYSE:HIMSLong
by PropNotes
ASML Could Significantly Outperform Over The Next 5 YearsWhat Makes a Compounder? "Compounder" has become a buzzword in investment circles, but we define it simply: a company that delivers higher-than-average returns for longer-than-average periods. The formula is basic economics - a compounder excels at both sides of the supply-demand equation: Demand side: Growing revenue and profits drives investor interest Supply side: Reducing share count increases each investor's ownership percentage Why ASML Makes the Cut NASDAQ:ASML demonstrates classic compounder characteristics: Growing Demand - Revenue growth from 11B in 2018 to 32B today - Net income increase from $2.6B to $9.3B in the same period - Dominance in advanced chip manufacturing equipment, particularly EUV and DUV technology Decreasing Supply - Consistent share count reduction through buyback programs - Management's clear focus on shareholder value Why Now Is the Time to Buy The current buying opportunity exists because: - ASML is trading at the lower end of its historical P/E and P/S ranges - The recent drawdown is among the deepest in years, comparable only to the 2022 tech slowdown - The current pullback reflects cyclical semiconductor industry dynamics, not fundamental issues - TTM revenue has already hit all-time highs, but the stock hasn't caught up Risks to Consider - Potential semiconductor manufacturer CAPEX delays affecting ASML's backlog - Geopolitical risk with Taiwan, where many customers including TSMC are located - Premium valuation relative to broader market
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by PropNotes
4
NVIDIANVIDIA Corp engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU), Tegra Processor, and All Other. The GPU segment comprises of product brands, which aims specialized markets including GeForce for gamers; Quadro for designers; Tesla and DGX for AI data scientists and big data researchers; and GRID for cloud-based visual computing users. The Tegra Processor segment integrates an entire computer onto a single chip, and incorporates GPUs and multi-core CPUs to drive supercomputing for autonomous robots, drones, and cars, as well as for consoles and mobile gaming and entertainment devices. The All Other segment refers to the stock-based compensation expense, corporate infrastructure and support costs, acquisition-related costs, legal settlement costs, and other non-recurring charges. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in January 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Esmail_from_Kuwait
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry. Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form. Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE. This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums. This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. Come follow me on X @askHVtobidIV for more! CHEERS!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by splitmyIVandmelt
Technical Pressure, but a Bullish Setup Brewing? Open AI🚀 C3.ai (Ticker: AI) – Technical Pressure, but a Bullish Setup Brewing? C3.ai has faced a sharp decline in 2025, slipping below key industry benchmarks and triggering technical warning signs. The stock is currently trading under both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), signaling short-term weakness. However, Black Whale's technical team has identified a powerful formation: C3.ai has touched the same support zone four times, creating a solid base around the $17–18 range. This repeated bottoming behavior signals strong demand at lower levels and a potential launchpad for upside movement. C3.ai Underperforms Sector – But Could Be Undervalued So far this year, C3.ai shares have dropped 40.8%, significantly underperforming the Black Whale Computer & Technology sector benchmark, which fell just 14.9%, and the Black Whale IT Services industry index, down 17%. The economic slowdown has caused many businesses to reduce spending on advanced tech solutions, impacting demand for C3.ai’s enterprise-focused AI platforms. The company also faces profitability challenges due to high operational costs from scaling, onboarding partners, and supporting global infrastructure. Still, at current levels, the stock trades at a 54.8% discount to its 52-week high of $45.08 — while sitting nearly 20% above its 52-week low of $17.03, reaffirming the technical floor. Analysts Turn Slightly More Optimistic The Black Whale analyst consensus for C3.ai’s FY2025 and FY2026 losses has improved in the last 60 days, with estimates narrowing to a loss of $0.45 (from $0.62) and $0.46 (from $0.55), respectively. Revenue estimates are also encouraging: expected to grow by 29.7% in FY2025 and 22.4% in FY2026. Partnerships Driving Momentum Strategic alliances are fueling C3.ai’s global expansion. The partnership with Microsoft continues to deliver, with 28 new joint deals closed across nine industries. Sales cycles with Microsoft have shortened by 20%, thanks to improved go-to-market alignment. Currently, over 600 active enterprise opportunities are being pursued globally under this collaboration. C3.ai has also deepened partnerships with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and launched a new collaboration with McKinsey’s QuantumBlack. These partnerships are turning into real revenue engines, allowing C3.ai to scale with minimal direct customer acquisition effort — 71% of Q3 deals were partner-driven. Major new or expanded clients include GSK, Sanofi, ExxonMobil, Shell, Quest Diagnostics, and the New York Power Authority, along with deals in the U.S. federal sector with the Navy, Air Force, and Missile Defense Agency. Leading the Charge in Generative and Agentic AI C3.ai is positioning itself at the forefront of Generative and Agentic AI. In Q3, the company launched 20 new Generative AI pilots, including projects with Mars and multiple U.S. government agencies. A new time-series embedding model is accelerating deployment in complex enterprise environments. With over 130 pre-built AI applications, C3.ai is shifting from a model builder to a results-driven AI platform. Financials – Revenue Growth Despite Headwinds For fiscal Q3 2025, C3.ai reported $98.8 million in revenue — a 26% year-over-year increase. Subscription revenue made up 87% of that, growing 22% to $85.7 million. Notably, demo licenses used by partners like Microsoft and AWS brought in $28.6 million, showcasing the power of channel-led sales. Valuation and Investor Outlook C3.ai is trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.71, which is slightly above the sector average of 5.39 but still below its historical average. Given the growth, partnership momentum, and strong bottoming structure, the Black Whale research team believes C3.ai may be entering a reversal phase. Black Whale’s Take – A High-Conviction Watchlist Stock Despite being under pressure, C3.ai is showing clear technical strength with four confirmed touches at its support base, solid revenue growth, narrowing losses, and a growing global footprint through powerful partnerships. From our perspective at Black Whale, this is a high-conviction watchlist stock with real upside potential. With the right market sentiment and follow-through from institutional players, AI could be setting up for a strong rebound.
NYSE:AILong
by FineMei
META - Another great earnings, allowing us to collect value?Hi guys ,we would be looking into our analysis for META stock. Meta Platforms Inc. has demonstrated robust financial performance, underscoring its strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital advertising. Strong Financial Performance In Q4 2024, Meta reported revenue of $48.39 billion, marking a 21% increase year-over-year. Net income surged by 49% to $20.84 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $8.02. The company's operating margin improved to 48%, up from 41% the previous year, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. AI-Driven Advertising Growth Meta's advancements in AI have significantly bolstered its advertising capabilities. In Q3 2024, advertising revenue grew by 18.6% year-over-year, reaching $39.89 billion. The integration of AI technologies has enhanced ad targeting and delivery, contributing to this growth. Our Confidence Overall analysis maintains a bullish outlook on Meta's stock, with an average price target of approximately $634, suggesting a potential upside of around 17% from current levels. The company's strategic focus on AI and its strong financial results support this positive sentiment. In summary, Meta's strong earnings report, driven by AI advancements and advertising growth, positions the company favorably for continued success in the evolving digital landscape. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 550 ✅ Target: 630 - below the ATH to give an achievable destination ❌ SL: 480 - below the support zone to protect the trade
NASDAQ:METALong
by DG55Capital
Invest in STRL: Ride the Coming US Digital Infrastructure Surge◉ Abstract Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ: STRL) is a top pick to benefit from America's digital infrastructure boom, with the sector expected to grow 26% annually through 2034. The company specializes in data centers, 5G networks, and smart city projects, supported by a $1 billion backlog and improving profit margins. While risks like regional market shifts and housing demand exist, STRL's fundamentals are strong—revenue grew 7% in 2024, debt is manageable, and its P/E ratio (17.9x) looks cheap compared to peers (70.5x). Technically, the stock shows bullish patterns after pulling back 35% from highs. With government infrastructure spending rising and strategic acquisitions likely, STRL could deliver 35-40% returns in the next 12-14 months. A good option for long term investing! Read full analysis here... ◉ Introduction The U.S. digital infrastructure market, valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2024, is expanding rapidly, with a projected CAGR of 26.4% through 2034. This growth is driven by factors like the expansion of 5G networks, increased demand for data centers, rising cloud services adoption, AI automation, and investments in smart cities and edge computing. The 5G infrastructure segment alone is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.2%, reaching USD 17.26 billion by 2030. North America holds a 42.8% share of the global market. ◉ Key Trends and Opportunities 1. Data Centers: Demand continues to rise, driven by cloud computing, AI, and data-intensive applications. Power availability and location are becoming critical, with providers moving to secondary markets to secure reliable energy sources. 2. Fiber Networks: Expansion is underway to support new data centers and remote connectivity needs. Middle-mile and long-haul fiber, as well as fiber-to-the-home (FTTH), are key areas of investment and consolidation. 3. 5G and Wireless: Ongoing rollout of 5G networks is fueling growth in hardware and network densification, with increased activity expected in wireless infrastructure and tower markets. 4. Edge Computing and Smart Cities: The proliferation of IoT devices and smart city initiatives is driving demand for edge data centers and low-latency networks. 5. Mergers and Acquisitions: The market is seeing consolidation, especially in fiber and data center segments, as major players acquire smaller firms to expand their footprint and capabilities. Today, we’ll focus on Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), a key player navigating the U.S. infrastructure market. This report provides a detailed look at STRL's technical and fundamental performance. ◉ Company Overview Sterling Infrastructure Inc. NASDAQ:STRL is a U.S.-based company specializing in e-infrastructure, transportation, and building solutions. It operates through three key segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, which focuses on site development for data centers, e-commerce warehouses, and industrial facilities; Transportation Solutions, handling infrastructure projects such as highways, bridges, airports, and rail systems for government agencies; and Building Solutions, providing concrete foundations and construction services for residential and commercial projects. Originally founded in 1955 as Sterling Construction Company, the firm rebranded to its current name in June 2022. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company serves a wide range of sectors, including logistics, manufacturing, and public infrastructure. ◉ Investment Advice 💡 Buy Sterling Infrastructure NASDAQ:STRL ● Buy Range - 148 - 150 ● Sell Target - 200 - 205 ● Potential Return - 35% - 40% ● Approx Holding Period - 12-14 months ◉ SWOT Analysis ● Strengths 1. Strong E-Infrastructure Backlog – With over $1 billion in backlog, Sterling has a robust pipeline of future projects, ensuring sustained revenue growth. 2. Higher-Margin Services Shift – The company’s strategic focus on higher-margin work (21% gross profit margin in Q4) improves profitability without relying solely on volume. 3. E-Infrastructure Growth Potential – Expected 10%+ revenue growth and 25%+ operating profit growth in 2025 position Sterling for strong earnings expansion. 4. Strategic M&A Opportunities – Strong liquidity allows for accretive acquisitions, enhancing market share and service offerings. 5. Share Repurchase Program – Active buybacks reduce outstanding shares, potentially boosting EPS and shareholder value. ● Weaknesses 1. Texas Market Transition Risks – Moving away from low-bid work in Texas may slow revenue growth in the Transportation segment if not managed well. 2. Revenue Loss from RHB Deconsolidation – Excluding $236 million in RHB revenue could distort growth metrics and reduce reported earnings. 3. Residential Market Pressures – A 14% decline in residential slab revenue (due to DFW affordability issues) could persist if housing demand weakens further. 4. Geographic Expansion Challenges – High costs and logistical hurdles in expanding data center projects outside core regions may limit growth opportunities. 5. Competitive Bidding & Acquisition Risks – Difficulty in securing profitable acquisitions or winning competitive bids could hinder margin and revenue growth. ● Opportunities 1. Data Center & E-Commerce Boom – Rising demand for data centers and distribution facilities presents long-term growth potential for E-Infrastructure. 2. Government Infrastructure Spending – Federal and state investments in highways, bridges, and airports could boost Transportation Solutions revenue. 3. Strategic Acquisitions – Pursuing complementary M&A deals could expand capabilities and market reach. 4. Diversification into New Regions – Expanding into underserved markets could reduce dependency on Texas and mitigate regional risks. 5. Operational Efficiency Improvements – Further margin expansion through cost optimization and technology adoption. ● Threats 1. Economic Slowdown Impact – A recession could reduce demand for residential and commercial construction, affecting Building Solutions. 2. Rising Interest Rates – Higher borrowing costs may pressure profitability and delay large-scale projects. 3. Labor & Material Cost Inflation – Increasing wages and supply chain disruptions could squeeze margins. 4. Intense Competition – Rival firms competing for the same infrastructure projects may drive down pricing and profitability. 5. Regulatory & Permitting Delays – Government approvals and environmental regulations could slow project execution. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis ● Year-on-Year ➖ FY24 sales reached $2,116 million, reflecting a 7.28% increase compared to $1,972 million in FY23. ➖ EBITDA rose to $334 million, up from $264 million in FY23. ➖ EBITDA margin improved to 15.8%, up from 13.4% in the same period last year. ● Quarter-on-Quarter ➖ Q4 sales decreased to $499 million, down from $593 million in Q3, but showed a slight increase from $486 million in Q4 of the previous year. ➖ Q4 EBITDA was $80.3 million, down from $105 million in Q3. ➖ Q4 diluted EPS saw a notable rise, reaching $8.27 (LTM), up from $5.89 (LTM) in Q3 2024. ◉ Valuation 1. P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings) ● Current vs. Peer Average ➖ STRL’s P/E ratio is 17.9x, much lower than the peer average of 70.5x, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers. ● Current vs. Industry Average ➖ Compared to the broader industry average of 22.9x, STRL again looks relatively inexpensive at 17.9x. 2. P/B Ratio (Price-to-Book) ● Current vs. Peer Average ➖ STRL’s P/B ratio stands at 5.7x, slightly higher than the peer average of 5x, indicating overvaluation. ● Current vs. Industry Average ➖ Against the industry average of 3.6x, STRL’s 5.7x P/B ratio suggests a noticeable overvaluation. 3. PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth) ➖ STRL’s PEG ratio is 0.21, which means the stock appears undervalued relative to its strong expected earnings growth. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ Sterling Infrastructure's operating cash flow grew to $497 million in FY24, up from $479 million in FY23, showing steady financial strength. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.38, indicating a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels. ◉ Top Shareholders ➖ The Vanguard Group has significantly increased its investment in this stock, now owning an impressive 8.3% stake, which marks a 30% rise since the end of the September quarter. ➖ Meanwhile, Blackrock holds a stake of around 8% in the company. ◉ Technical Aspects ➖ On the monthly chart, the stock remains in a strong uptrend. ➖ On the daily chart, an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential breakout soon. ➖ The stock is currently trading at about 35% below its all-time high, making it an attractive investment opportunity. ◉ Conclusion Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) stands out as a strong investment candidate, backed by solid financial performance, a growing E-Infrastructure backlog, and a strategic focus on higher-margin projects. Its attractive valuation, healthy cash flow, and low debt levels provide further confidence in its growth potential. While there are challenges—such as market competition, geographic expansion hurdles, and economic uncertainties—Sterling’s strengths, including a robust project pipeline, strategic acquisitions, and exposure to high-growth sectors like data centers and 5G infrastructure, offer a favorable risk-reward balance. Overall, Sterling is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing U.S. e-infrastructure boom, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.
NASDAQ:STRLLong
by NaranjCapital