5/15/25 - $unh - I'll comment.5/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:UNH
I'll comment.
- as a rule, i typically avoid companies that have credible issues associated with frauds. we all know UNH committed some pretty heinous crimes against humanity
- institutions that want to buy this thing at $250 are probably getting massive pushback from their risk teams today and being told "fine don't sell as much" (even tho they r going to be forced to trim), but no add.
- so any bid here comes from a headline (real or fake). add to this you have 5/16 opex tmr, this ticker isn't an insignificant mcap and so index and flows work against it at the mgn. furthermore, any statement forthcoming perhaps doesn't hit until next week? i mean... the mgmt team is running or getting *squashed*. lawyers r not going to push for immediate statements here bc *muh stock price*
- options chain pretty solid around $250. stock probably doesn't have a ton left to go here.
- IFFFFFF i were to trade this long, i'd probably wait for an abysmal close. and a red open. and i'd punt on some call spreads next week. let's see. but given NXT and GAMB today that r keeping me busy... i have zero interest to complicate my life.
idk if that helps but i've gotten a lot of DMs
oh on valuation... there's no "E" we can stand on here. so realistically this could easily trade at single digit PE on re-rated expectations which is another 25% lower... keep that in mind. this won't be a V shaped recovery trade. so timing/ and paying VERY close attention is what's required to get an edge/ make risk-adj. $. just not my cup of tea.
oh - and F the crooks here. we all know u r guilty.
V
HIMS – Pullback Opportunity After Massive RunHIMS has been one of the hottest stocks in the market recently, with a massive run fueled by strong earnings. But now we’re seeing the first meaningful pullback — and this could be a golden opportunity:
🔹 Earnings Gap Reversal (Bullish Signal)
Despite an earnings gap down, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing the stock higher.
This is a classic earnings gap down reversal — a strong sign of demand.
🔹 First Pullback Opportunity
Historically, the first pullback after a major run tends to get bought.
I’m watching two key levels for a potential buy:
The shaded zone between the 9 EMA and 20 EMA (dynamic support).
The 0.38 - 0.50 Fibonacci retracement for added confirmation.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Initial Entry: Starter position in the shaded EMA zone (9 EMA - 20 EMA).
2️⃣ Confirmation Add: If price bounces off the Fib zone (0.38 - 0.50) with strength.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Below the 20 EMA for any initial position — keeping risk tight.
🔹 Why This Setup is Compelling:
Strong run + earnings reversal shows real buyer interest.
First pullback after a big run is typically a strong buying opportunity.
The dual confluence of EMAs + Fibonacci enhances this setup.
⚠️ Risk Management: Tight stop below 20 EMA — always control risk.
RDDT on sale again today: buying feels hardest when it’s downWatching NYSE:RDDT today, it’s clear the market is still undecided. Is this dip another chance to add, or just a pause before the next run?
It’s a classic market paradox: When prices fall, fear grips the crowd, and conviction weakens. Yet, when stocks soar, like NYSE:RDDT did with a +12% jump yesterday, confidence floods back, and everyone wants in.
This behavior isn’t unique to $RDDT. It’s a psychological trap that can keep investors chasing gains instead of buying value.
Technically, NYSE:RDDT has strong support between 107 and 114.
The real edge? Learning to act opposite to that instinct, buying when others hesitate, selling when everyone’s euphoric. Easier said than done, but that’s how alpha is made.
The market often rewards those who can sit with discomfort and make moves when the crowd won’t.
5/14/25 - $nxt - U ready?5/14/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT
U ready?
- results AMC today
- stock has run nicely on, frankly, a number of solar-positive headlines/ regulation and decent results from comps ( NASDAQ:ARRY ) and even donuts ( NASDAQ:RUN ).
- realistically, mgmt tends to be conservative, so based on this run... that's the potential for give-back
- but results should be solid
- i remain of the view that we'll print a $1 bn revenue quarter at some pt this year
- so direction is higher
- and i'm only adding on any dips
- $40 was the new $30... now $50 is the new $40. so i'm a buyer in the mid 40s with conviction
- let's see.
- sized about 20% on 2x leverage. not a small position, also not as big as it was prior to the dippity do dah.
- but worked back to high water mk on portfolio (+25% YTD), so looking to neck out on high conviction picks, but still back to stacking about 20% cash in the book for potential dip buys and strategic situations.
- i remain of the view that OTC:OBTC remains a top pick, too, which is 10% off spot BTC and about 25% of book.
be well. let's see.
V
Where does the tumble stop for $UNHUNH has been in a free fall been absolute chaos for..reasons.
I see a possible Shark. Sharks can complete at the 886 or the 113. This happens to be around the 236 and 382 of the Macro fib retracement. We also have the 200 Monthly SMA.
So where does it stop tumbling? The 236, the 382 or the 200 Monthly SMA? I am betting it goes to the 236 and bounces sometime around earnings. Notice that trendline that goes back to 1998 that acts as support. I am betting it bounces around where the trendline and 236 intersect sometime around the next earnings. That's a good spot to go long.
$RR: Broken Resistance, Following SupportAfter a strong run-up, this stock found a solid consolidation range between $1.50 - $2.20, building a healthy base. We've broken resistance three times, creating new levels, but support has been steadily climbing since December – a great sign of underlying strength. I predict we will come back to the latest resistance, creating a new support, for the stock to ride to $3.50
Current Setup:
Bull Flag Formation: Recently broke out of the flag pattern.
Support Flip: Price is retesting previous resistance as new support – a textbook setup for the next leg up.
Volume Pickup: Notice the volume spikes on breakouts, as well as increased continued action these past weeks, confirming interest.
Target: Potential move up to the $3.50+ range if momentum continues.
Risk Management: Watch for a confirmed support hold before entering.
__________________________________________________________________________________
All love and best of luck, traders
GFI: Time to knock on that door again?Since the market’s April low, the S&P 500 has surged more than 20%. Investors poured into high flyers: AI, semiconductors, mega-cap tech. The rally has been fast and crowded, driven by momentum and optimism. But not every part of the market shared in the celebration.
Gold stocks, once seen as a safe haven in times of uncertainty, were quietly left behind. The sector was sold off, not necessarily because the fundamental case weakened, but because attention drifted elsewhere. In an environment where risk-taking came back into fashion, defensive assets were ignored.
Among the forgotten sits Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI), a name once embraced for its leverage to gold prices and operational reach across key mining regions. It hasn't changed much. What changed was the narrative: investors stopped looking.
But maybe that’s the point. Markets are forward-looking, but they also over-correct. In their rush to chase the next big thing, investors often discard assets that still hold long-term value. With gold prices holding near record highs and macro risks quietly brewing beneath the surface, it may be time to ask:
Is it time to welcome back an old friend like GFI?
Exact Sciences: Downtrend May Be BrokenExact Sciences jumped on strong earnings two weeks ago, and some traders may think the oncology stock has further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish price gap on May 2 after results beat estimates. Prices apparently broke a falling trendline in the process.
EXAS then consolidated before ending yesterday at a three-month high. Is it getting ready to escape the recent range?
Third, Wednesday featured a bullish outside candle.
Fourth, prices tested and held their rising 8-day exponential moving average (EMA). The 8-day EMA is additionally above the 21-day EMA and MACD is rising. Those signals are potentially consistent with short-term bullishness.
Finally, there may be space to the upside because the 52-week high is 33 percent above the last price.
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CVNA - Carvana at upper extreme. I'm shorting again!I stand by my posts about CVNA.
It's fishiy and it stinks!
Chart wise, price is at the upper extreme again.
A nice short is setting up, and this time for a much larger move...I think, feel, expect.
"...but, isn't there more to say? You MUST explain WHY and WHEN...", I have people saying.
No, it's not a joke.
I leave it with that §8-)
#OTIS #OTIS timeframe 1 day
Created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level around 93.50
Stop loss 90.00 ( estimated loss -2.56% )
First target at 97.43 ( estimated profit around 4.36% )
Second target 101.00 ( estimated profit around 8.25% )
NOTE : this data according to time frame I day
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
American Airlines Group Inc.Key arguments in support of the idea.
International routes continue to show strong demand. While the U.S. domestic market is facing challenges—especially in the low-cost carrier (LCC) segment—the company is capitalizing on inbound foreign tourism. However, it's worth noting that the U.S. Travel Association (USTA) reports the opposite trend: domestic tourism demand from U.S. citizens remains strong. We expect conditions in domestic flights to improve by summer 2025. During the reporting period, American Airlines highlighted that its premium offerings continue to drive revenue growth, and demand from American travelers for international flights remains steady.
AAL continues to rebuild its indirect sales channels, which is helping to expand its flight schedule in the short term. Following an acknowledgment of operational missteps in summer 2024, this recovery is not only helping to sustain current sales levels but also enabling the airline to better monetize its loyalty program.
Progress in tariff negotiations has given the stock a strong boost. Currently, AAL shares are trading with an RSI near overbought territory. However, if political progress continues, this momentum could very well be sustained. The recent formation of a technical "double bottom" pattern supports this possibility.
The 2-month target price for AAL is $14.9. We recommend setting a stop loss at $10.4.
United Airlines Holdings, IncKey arguments in support of the idea.
International routes continue to experience high demand. While the U.S. domestic market is in a less favorable position, especially the low-cost carrier (LCC) segment, the company is benefiting from foreign tourists. However, it's worth noting that the U.S. Travel Association (USTA) reports the opposite: demand from U.S. citizens for domestic tourism remains strong. We expect the situation in domestic flights to improve by summer 2025. During the reporting period, United emphasized that its premium offerings continue to drive revenue growth, with demand from American tourists for international flights remaining stable.
Our 12-month forecast maintains the possibility of a positive surprise for the company. UAL’s pricing power is generally stronger than that of competitors, allowing the company to maintain a high level of revenue per passenger mile and profit margins.
Progress in tariff negotiations has given a strong boost to the stock. Currently, UAL shares are trading above their 200-day moving average with an RSI near overbought levels. However, if political progress continues, this momentum could persist. The 2-month target price for UAL is $97, and we recommend setting a stop loss at $72.8.
The 2-month target price for UAL is $97. We recommend setting a stop loss at $72.