Tensions in the Pharma Sector and Signs of U.S. StagflationBy Ion Jauregui โ Analyst at ActivTrades
The U.S. biopharmaceutical industry may soon face significant regulatory changes. According to sector sources, the Trump administration is evaluating a proposal to tie U.S. drug prices to the lowest prices available in other developed countries. This initiative, viewed by companies such as Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) and Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK) as a direct threat to innovation, could redefine the global balance of the pharmaceutical sector.
Macroeconomic Outlook: Stagflation Warning
On the macroeconomic front, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) has warned that despite current signs of consumer activity, the negative effects on growth are expected to intensify in the second half of the year. Nathan Sheets, the bankโs Chief Economist, points to rising risks of stagflation, in a context marked by declining confidence and renewed criticism from Donald Trump towards Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Defense Sector: Tariff Impact
Raytheon Technologies (NYSE: RTX) has stated that new tariffs proposed by the Trump administration could have a negative impact of up to $850 million on its 2025 earnings. Nevertheless, the company exceeded market expectations in its latest quarterly results and reaffirmed its annual guidance.
Shareholder Reshuffle at BP
Activist fund Elliott has acquired a 5.006% stake in BP plc (LON: BP), surpassing the regulatory threshold in the United Kingdom and becoming the companyโs second-largest shareholderโbehind BlackRock (9.2%) and ahead of Vanguard (4.95%). This strategic move reflects the increasing shareholder pressure on major oil companies.
Key Events of the Day
Notable economic indicators and corporate earnings scheduled for today include:
โข S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
โข S&P Global Services PMI
โข Earnings reports from: Philip Morris (PM), IBM (IBM), AT&T (T), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), ServiceNow Inc. (NOW), Boston Scientific (BSX), Texas Instruments (TXN), Boeing (BA), OโReilly Automotive (ORLY), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
These releases are expected to have a significant impact on markets, particularly across the consumer, technology, and defense sectors.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Nebulain: Cantor Fitzgerald Launches $3B Crypto Fund โ A New EraThe Largest Crypto Fund of the Year: Cantor, SoftBank, Tether & Bitfinex Join Forces
Cantor Fitzgerald, a major U.S. brokerage firm led by Brendan Latnik, has announced the formation of a $3 billion cryptocurrency investment fund, Cantor Equity Partners, in collaboration with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex.
The fund's goal is to make large-scale investments in Bitcoin, aiming to replicate the playbook of MicroStrategy, which dramatically grew its valuation by pivoting into crypto.
Breakdown of capital contributions:
Tether: $1.5 billion in BTC
SoftBank: $900 million
Bitfinex: $600 million
Convertible bonds offering: $350 million
Private share placement: $200 million
All assets are expected to be consolidated under a new holding company called 21 Capital, with shares priced at $10, implying a Bitcoin valuation of $85,000 per coin.
Market Impact: Bitcoin Surges with Institutional Support
Following the announcement, Bitcoin is trading near $92,000, holding close to its all-time highs. Initiatives like Cantor Equity Partners reinforce institutional confidence in crypto and contribute to a broader acceptance of digital assets in mainstream finance.
Nebulain Analyst Insight
According to Nebulain's analysts, the participation of global financial giants marks a new level of maturity for the crypto space. It also signals a potential shift in asset allocation strategy for traditional investors.
โWe're seeing more than just speculative enthusiasm. These moves are backed by structured capital, long-term outlooks, and a readiness to treat Bitcoin as a reserve-grade asset,โ Nebulain stated.
However, the firm also points to ongoing regulatory uncertainty and inherent market volatility as key risk factors to monitor.
Conclusion
The launch of Cantor Equity Partners represents a milestone in the institutionalization of crypto. With heavyweights like SoftBank and Tether at the table, the industry is entering a new phase where digital assets are no longer niche โ they are a strategic allocation.
This article was prepared by Nebulain Analytics for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BOEING EARNINGS ABOUT TO PRINT Fundamental Outlook NYSE:BA
Boeing is heading into its Q1 2025 earnings with notable challenges. Ongoing quality-control issues, supply chain disruptions, and a reported negative profit margin are creating headwinds. Additionally, recent negative publicity surrounding production delays and regulatory scrutiny may further dampen investor sentiment. While potential defense contract wins or positive updates on 737 MAX production could provide a lift, the risk of a disappointing earnings report remains high, especially in a volatile aerospace sector.
Technical Analysis (Using Bollinger Bands Strategy)
On the 4-hour chart, Boeingโs stock price is currently trading at $175.46, as seen in the provided chart. Applying Bollinger Bands, the price has recently broken below the lower band, signaling a potential oversold condition but also confirming a strong bearish momentum. The price has been trending below the 20-period moving average within the bands, with the bands wideningโa sign of increased volatility. This setup suggests a continuation of the downward move, especially with the recent sharp decline highlighted by the red arrow in the chart.
Target
Wait for bearish confirmation
Entry SHORT: Around $165.50, Targeting $152.00.
Secondary Target: $146.00.
Resistance Levels: $180.00, $185.00, $188.60.
Support Levels: $165.00, $155.00, $148.00.
The price is struggling to reclaim the 20-period moving average, and with earnings approaching, a breakdown below $170.00 could accelerate the decline toward $165.00 or lower. However, a positive earnings surpriseโsuch as strong delivery numbers or improved guidanceโcould push the price back toward the upper Bollinger Band near $185.00.
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Best AI news analysis and signals
Beam Global, Beaten down but not dead (bounce incoming?)The stock has been in freefall over the past month.
An anti-EV Trump administration certainly didnโt help, nor did the broad market selloff.
For now, the decline seems to have paused.
Some might argue that a large falling wedge is forming and could potentially break out.
On the 4-hour chart, the MACD is close to turning positive.
The RSI is in oversold territory.
The Price Volume Trend (PVT) is back at levels where a bounce occurred in previous months.
PLTR: Won't be surprised by a 30-40% dipPLTR has been on a rip, but not without periodical 20-30% dips along the way. The way MACD is extended, it will not be surprising to see a somewhat meaningful pullback to start the wave 4 correction. Wave 2 was around 30% and lasted around a couple of months. Wave 4 can be quick and deep or can be a triangle that will take some time to resolve. Either way, I will be looking for $100 - $80 for support.
PLTR: Is the fifth wave underway?If we see a higher high on PLTR above today's high at $98.29, then this might confirm wave 1 of 5 of Intermediate wave 5. Some bullish divergences should propel price a bit higher to confirm the price action. Wave 2 should create an inverted head and shoulder look as a classic pattern. PLTR creates strong wave 3 price action and shallower wave 5. So, I will be expecting wave 5 to make it to at least 1.764 fib extension of Intermediate waves 1 and 2, which takes things to around $160. Depending on how far wave 2 goes, we can set some targets at a later time. I am off loading my positions from $75. Hoping to rid of everything close to $100. Will be reloading during the wave 2 retracement for the final push up. If by any chance Intermediate wave 4 extends, then things might get a bit complicated. Not getting another higher high now and correction back down to $86 would be a very good indication of that. Until then will be playing one leg at a time...
Why Did 3M Stock Soar Despite Tariff Clouds?Shares of industrial giant 3M Co. experienced a significant rally following the release of its first-quarter 2025 financial results. The surge was primarily driven by the company reporting adjusted earnings and total net sales that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. This performance signaled a stronger operational footing than analysts had anticipated.
The positive results stemmed from several key factors highlighted in the report. 3M demonstrated solid organic sales growth and achieved notable adjusted operating margin expansion. This margin improvement reflects the effectiveness of management's ongoing cost-cutting initiatives and strategic focus on operational efficiency, contributing directly to double-digit growth in earnings per share during the quarter.
While the company did warn about potential future impacts on 2025 profit due to rising global trade tensions and tariffs, management also detailed proactive strategies to mitigate these risks. Plans include supply chain adjustments, pricing actions, and leveraging their global manufacturing network, potentially increasing U.S. production. The company maintained its full-year adjusted earnings guidance, notably stating that this outlook already incorporates the anticipated tariff effects. Investors likely responded positively to the combination of strong quarterly performance and clear actions to address identified headwinds.
TSLA: An alternate (bullish) viewMy primary count on TSLA is still bearish. On my primary view, this move is supposed to be wave Y of Primary wave 4. If that is still in progress, then the current consolidation is only wave b of Y and TSLA should fall back more towards the lows of $100 area. But we cannot ignore the other side altogether. In this alternative view, Primary wave 4 was complete back in Jan 2023 and since then TSLA has been making a gigantic ending diagonal wave5 to complete the cycle wave 3. If that is the case, then we should see some kind of a bottoming pattern to complete wave Y intermediate wave 4 and resume wave 5 upward.
So, how can we prepare for whichever direction things play out? If price to follow the bearish count, price would break below the $214 low and continue on a strong 5 waves C down to complete the correction. If price to take the bullish route, should not create any lower low from $222.79 and ultimately break above $291.85.
RIOT: Double bottom to the moon or false break nosedive?The move up today looks very encouraging, but we only have a 3 waves move so far. Price broke above $7.39, which is a good sign, a higher high. Now price needs to stay above $6.67 and complete a full 5 waves sequence. Even then, the danger might not be over until price breaks above $8.24 and better yet, above $8.86. I will be ready to get my bag filled on wave 2 retrace and will have stop loss at the last low. If we don't see price making another high before the retrace, chances are RIOT will go lower one last time. At the moment, crypto market overall seems to be on a rebound. Has the mighty bull market started? We will find out soon enough!
I am following M2 money supply chart closely. There are some very intriguing analyses out there on correlation between M2 global money supply and total crypto market cap. Fundamentally, it makes a lot of sense. And if BTC rebounds, RIOT and other miners will rebound stonger. Recently, the Gold bull run has made GDX spike higher (almost 33% for gold this year compared to almost 60% for GDX). If GDX breaks to all time high, that will be an extreme move by the miners. If RIOT and other big BTC miners see similar move against BTC, it will be multiple times gains. Not trying to bet on something theoretical, but if it plays out, it will make a lot of very rich holders...
PLTR Setting Up for Breakout? Here's What the Options and Structure Say ๐
Options GEX Analysis :
PLTR is pushing into the upper gamma territory with strong CALL-dominant GEX. The highest positive NETGEX aligns with the $100-$101 zone, marking it as a likely magnet if momentum continues. IVR is high at 72.3, and calls are outpacing puts at 35.7%, signaling a market leaning bullishly in sentiment.
* Gamma Wall (Resistance): $100 โ $105
* Support Zone: $90 (HVL), reinforced by light put walls below
* Bias: Bullish continuation
* Option Strategy:โจConsider bullish debit spreads (e.g., Buy 97.5C / Sell 102.5C) targeting breakout extension into the 100โ102.5 zone. Risk-defined and well-aligned with GEX magnet levels.โจ
Technical Trade Plan :โจ
PLTR just printed a clear CHoCH with bullish follow-through, riding on SMC bias across all timeframes. Volume is growing, price is trending cleanly with bullish structure, and strength meter shows 4/5 bullish.
* Entry Bias: Break and hold above 95.5 = valid continuation setup
* Target 1: 102.72
* Target 2: 107.58
* Stop: 93
* Trade Suggestion:โจIf PLTR holds above 95.52, ride the momentum. Await minor retest for safer entry. Trail stops aggressively once 100 is in sight โ expect a reaction at that GEX wall.โจ
My Thoughts:โจPLTR is showing one of the cleaner setups into this week. The bullish GEX structure gives it room to squeeze, and the SMC breakout confirms directional intent. What I love here is the synergy โ the chart structure (CHoCH โ BOS) lines up with the gamma roadmap. The risk is well-contained below 93, with room for a $10 move above current levels. I personally like using vertical debit spreads here due to the IV and defined risk setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMZN Option Trading + TA Outlook โ April 23, 2025
๐ GEX Option Sentiment โจAmazon (AMZN) is pushing into a key gamma resistance zone, testing 180โ185 โ where the highest positive NET GEX and stacked call walls are sitting. These zones often act as friction areas where dealers may hedge more aggressively, slowing upside or even causing a fade. Support is reinforced near 165โ167 by the HVL and PUT wall.
* Key Resistance: 180 / 185 โ Top of call wall stack
* Support Zone: 165.29 โ HVL and highest PUT support
* IVR/IVX: IVR 59.9, IVX avg 53.8 โ Elevated, with room for continuation
* Options Flow: Bullish skew with only 6.1% in puts โ Dealers tilted long
* Bias: Bullish, but approaching resistance = expect stall/fade or measured breakout
๐ฏ Option Play IdeaโจIf price consolidates above 180, consider 185C or 190C lottos with tight stop below 176 (gamma slip zone).โจIf rejected below 180 with weakness, consider a put vertical 180/170 for premium capture into support.
๐ Price Action + SMC Structure โจTrend structure has turned bullish after reclaiming structure with BOS and higher lows. Current rally is testing the supply zone and previous CHoCH area around 179โ180. SMC bias is green across timeframes with strong DMI and RSI confirmation.
* Market Structure: Bullish Hold, but in premium zone โ weโre near resistance
* Entry Confirmation: Price must hold above 175.93
* Targets:
* T1: 187.7
* T2: 195.58
* Invalidation: Break below 173.32
* Volume Watch: Thin volume in trend โ Watch for strength continuation or stall
๐ก My ThoughtsโจThis is a high-conviction continuation setup โ but itโs happening directly below a heavy gamma wall and supply zone. That means timing and confirmation are everything. I wouldnโt chase the move blindly here โ instead, wait for a clear breakout and retest of 180 or a pullback to 175 for a safer entry.
Weโre likely to see volatility increase into earnings and dealer hedging shift fast โ especially with IV already climbing. Be tactical, and don't overstay the move.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk accordingly.
AAPL Eyes 212+ After Strong Momentum Breakout! Key Gamma Levels in Focus ๐
GEX (Options Sentiment) InsightโจAAPL has surged toward a key gamma resistance zone. The GEX map shows the Gamma Wall at $210, with a possible stretch target to $212. This level has the highest positive NET GEX, making it a strong magnet if bulls continue pressing. IVR is moderate at 51.8, while the options flow shows bullish bias with 3 green dots and only 21.7% in PUT pressure, giving calls the edge short term.
Suggested Options Trade (Short-Term Swing)
Setup: Bullish continuationโจCalls: 205c or 210c for 04/25 expirationโจRisk Zone: Below $198โจTarget Zones:
1. 210 (Gamma Wall)
2. 212โ213 (Extension if momentum holds)
Thoughts: With volume increasing and option flows tilting bullish, this looks like a clear push toward the gamma wall. However, price may need to consolidate if volume dries up. Only invalidation is a sharp reversal below $198 (prior support zone).
Price Action + Co-Pilot Scalping ViewโจFrom the second chart (SMC-based), weโre in a confirmed bullish trend, with CHoCH and BOS aligning across the 1H chart. The structure is strong, but entry caution is warranted until a pullback or retest forms.
Key Trading Levels & Bias
* Above 201.79 = Bullish continuation
* Break below 198.95 = Trend invalidation
* Targets:
* T1: 212 (RRR 1)
* T2: 219 (RRR 2)
* Stop: Below 198
* Note: Momentum is currently extendedโwait for either consolidation or a CHoCH/BOS on lower timeframes to re-enter confidently.
My TakeโจThis move feels like the beginning of a broader trend reversal off deep discount zones. AAPL has lagged behind the recent tech bounce, and this breakout above $200 could invite more call buyers. The risk-reward is solid, but as alwaysโdonโt chase highs. Let the setup come to you.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
GOOGL Coiling for a Breakout? Gamma Walls Say 160+ in Sight ๐ GEX & Options Flow Insights
GOOGL is setting up for a potential gamma squeeze. The current price is inching just below a critical gamma transition zone between 155โ160, where we see:
* High GEX levels stacked at 159.5 and 162.5 (73% and 70% respectively)
* Call Wall alignment across 159โ165 levels โ dealers may be forced to buy to hedge if we break 155
* HVL (High Volume Level) sits at 148 โ marking key put support and invalidation
IVR is 60.5, which shows thereโs still premium left to be sold โ but itโs not overpriced. Thatโs a great environment for directional call spreads with gamma flow support.
๐ก My Options Strategy Idea (Bullish Bias):
* Play: Bull Call Spread โ Buy 155c / Sell 160c
* Rationale:
1. Risk is capped and affordable
2. Profit range aligns perfectly with GEX targets
3. The spread benefits if dealers fuel a move toward gamma wall pressure zones
The GEX landscape suggests upward dealer flows, not resistance, as long as we stay above 152.5โ155.
๐ Smart Money Technical View
From a price action perspective, GOOGL has flipped bullish after reclaiming the CHoCH zone. Weโre hovering just beneath the key breakout level.
* Trend Bias: Strong Bullish on 30m and 1h
* Volume Note: Very thin (0.04x) โ price is rising, but it needs conviction candles soon
* Structure: Bullish CHoCH formed โ BOS confirmed โ Setup forming
* Target 1: 159.54 (aligned with GEX #1 wall)
* Target 2: 164.31 (near GEX #2 zone)
* Stop: 150 (under structure + below HVL)
๐ฏ What Iโm Watching for Trade Confirmation:
* Hold above 152.5 = bullish continuation
* Break and close above 155 with volume = BOS confirmed โ RUNNER potential
* Fade or stall below 151 = caution โ wait for re-entry
๐ง My Thoughts & Why This Setup Matters
This is one of those setups where both the options market and smart money price structure are talking the same language โ bullish, but not impulsive yet.
What makes it powerful is the layered confluence:
* Dealer gamma exposure creates a pull toward 159.5โ162.5
* The technicals show a textbook CHoCH and BOS pattern
* The entry risk is defined, the structure is clean, and volume is the only missing ingredient
If we get confirmation through volume and momentum, GOOGL could become a high R/R long into the end of the week, especially if the market holds up.
๐ Final Summary:
* Direction: Bullish Bias
* Options Strategy: 155c/160c Call Spread targeting 159.5โ162.5
* Entry Trigger: BOS above 155 with volume
* Risk Zone: Below 151โ150 (HVL + SL)
Let price and flow confirm. This one could rip with the right spark.
โ ๏ธ DisclaimerโจThis analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. Manage risk and never trade based solely on external suggestions.
HOOD Tariff Relief dips to buy: $41.28 strong, 39.42 better longHOOD got sold in panic then bought in fomo.
We of the Fib Faith indulge in logical serenity.
We plan and execute calmly and deliberately.
$ 41.28 Bounce would be strong to target $49.16
$ 39.48 better entry with tp1=$45.44, tp2=$49.16
$ 37.12 is a must hold or else it was a bull trap.
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IIIN โ 30-Min Short Trade Setup !๐ ๐ป
Ticker: IIIN (NYSE)
Pattern: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish Pattern)
Volume: Weak near resistance zone
๐ผ Trade Plan โ Short Position
๐ซ Entry: $32.58 (Near wedge resistance + rejection candle)
โ
Stop-Loss: $33.69 (Above wedge and resistance wick)
๐ฏ Targets:
๐ TP1: $30.93 โ First structure support
๐ TP2: $29.01 โ Major support zone from previous range
โ๏ธ Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk per share: $1.11
Reward to TP2: $3.57
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 3.2 โ Excellent short trade potential
๐ Technical Highlights
Price rejecting wedge resistance
Formed a rising wedge โ common reversal pattern
Weak bullish momentum near top
๐ฅ
DNTH โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup !๐๐ข
Ticker: DNTH (NASDAQ)
Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakout
Volume: Decent push above resistance
๐ง Trade Plan โ Long Position
โ
Entry: $21.87 (Breakout candle above triangle + yellow line reclaim)
โ
Stop-Loss: $21.05 (Below triangle support zone)
๐ฏ Targets:
๐ TP1: $23.10 โ Short-term resistance
๐ TP2: $24.44 โ Major breakout target
โ๏ธ Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk per share: $0.82
Reward to TP2: $2.57
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 3.1 โ Excellent reward potential
๐ Technical Highlights
Breakout of ascending triangle pattern
Price reclaimed horizontal resistance (yellow)
Good structure with ProfittoPath watermark for brand identity
Candle close confirms strength
SMMT โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup !๐ ๐ข
Ticker: SMMT (NASDAQ)
Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakout
Volume Spike: Confirmation with strong push above trendline
๐ง Trade Plan โ Long Position
โ
Entry Zone: $27.37 (Breakout candle close above triangle)
โ
Stop-Loss (SL): $26.29 (Below structure support & triangle base)
๐ฏ Targets:
๐ TP1: $28.71 โ Recent resistance
๐ TP2: $30.33 โ Major resistance zone
โ๏ธ Risk-Reward Setup
Risk per share: $1.08
Reward to TP2: $2.96
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 2.7 โ Attractive setup!
๐ Technical Highlights
Bullish consolidation under resistance
Clean breakout with body close above yellow line
Volume confirmation + ascending structure
CLSK / 4h#CleanSpark ย rising by 36% in three straight weeks and its wave structure (in a five-wave sequence) quite well would suggest that entire correction in Minor degree wave B could have ended at the early April low >> 6.46, which was very close to the anticipated Fib-target >> 6.27.
Technically, the trend of Minor degree should have turned upward.
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
MSFT at a Decision Zone โ Bulls Trying to Take Control!Options GEX Outlook (04/22/2025):
* Current Price: $373
* IVR/IVX: 55.6 / 39.4
* Options Sentiment: PUTs 19.4% (moderately bearish but not extreme)
* GEX Walls:
* Support (PUT Wall): $352.50 (Highest negative NETGEX)
* Resistance (CALL Wall): $380 (69.1% GEX) โ this is the most meaningful upside wall
* Implication: MSFT is hovering just under a high-interest gamma zone at $377.5โ380. Option sellers may defend this area, making it sticky and resistant. However, if bulls can break and hold above $380, gamma flip pressure could fuel continuation toward $390.
Technical Analysis + Scalping Bias (1H + SMC Co-Pilot):
* HTF SMC Bias (15min): Bullish structure forming, but not fully aligned.
* Trend Strength: Weak to Mixed โ price is reacting, but structure lacks full confluence.
* Market Structure: No clear BOS or CHoCH yet, indicating the need for a clean break before committing.
* Volume: Strong Momentum Spike (1.25x) supporting this bounce.
* RSI, MACD, BBP: All Bullish, indicating price strength, but no defined setup yet.
* EMA/VWAP Reaction Zone: Currently testing EMA9 and watching for confirmation.
* Strength Meter: โ ๏ธ Mixed bias โ 2/5 score.
Trade Thoughts:
* Above 374โ377.5: This is the short-term battleground. If MSFT can hold this area with volume support, it may move toward the 380โ385 gamma wall.
* Below 367.5: Breakdown of this level would invalidate bullish bias and shift momentum back toward 360โ355.
* No Clear Trade Yet: You're in a zone of indecision. Scalpers should wait for CHoCH + BOS or break of EMA support to lean into a direction.
Action Plan:
* โ ๏ธ Stay Patient โ Wait for a clean structure shift (BOS/CHoCH) above 377.5.
* โ
Watch Volume โ Sustained volume could confirm a breakout.
* ๐ Key Levels to Monitor: 367.5 (support), 377.5โ380 (gamma wall resistance)
Conclusion:โจMSFT is testing resistance near key option gamma walls. Structure is building, but lacks confirmation for a clean entry. If it clears 380 with volume and structure support, the breakout could get legs. For now, manage risk and wait for confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA GEX & Price Action Outlook โ April 23๐ง GEX Sentiment (Options Flow Insight):โจTSLA is showing bullish options sentiment, with the HVL (high-volume level) pinned at 240, acting as short-term support. GEX shows strong call resistance at 260โ265, with the highest positive NET GEX wall just below that zone. We also have significant put walls stacked down at 220 and 225, forming a clear risk floor.
* GEX Status: Triple Green โ
โ
โ
* IVR: 58.9
* IVx Avg: 106.6
* Flow Bias: CALLS 26.5% โ moderately bullishโจThe options oscillator is still trending upward, giving bulls the upper hand โ but not an aggressive breakout just yet.
๐ Price Action & Trade Setup (1H + SMC Analysis):โจTSLA just fired an explosive bullish move from the 220s, reclaiming 240 and running up toward 250 into resistance. However, the SMC dashboard suggests โNo Trade Suggestedโ yet. Why?
* The price is now entering a premium zone, where R/R becomes unfavorable
* We have no CHoCH/BOS trigger from this zone yet
* EMA9 and EMA21 have not confirmed a full retest yet
* Strength Meter is bullish but not at full momentum
What to Watch:
* If price can hold above 249โ250 and break through 252 with volume โ 260+ is possible
* If price stalls or rejects around 252, a pullback to 240โ241 could be a high-RR dip entry
* EMA9 and EMA21 are critical โ volume reactions there will set up the next clean move
* If volume fades below 240 โ be cautious of a rollover into 225โ230 demand zone
๐ Summary / Thoughts:โจTSLA bulls are reclaiming territory fast โ but the move is reactionary and volume-driven. For now, Iโm waiting for a confirmation BOS/CHoCH in this premium area before committing. Risk is elevated at these levels. Iโd prefer a pullback into the 240 zone with EMA confirmation for a cleaner long setup. If we break and hold above 252, targets toward 260โ265 open up fast.