Merck Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025
- Merck reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 80.00
Merck recently reversed up from the support area between the long-term support level 73.35 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of 2020) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area created the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji.
Given the strength of the support level 73.35 and the oversold weekly Stochastic, Merck can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 80.00.
CLSK / 4hNASDAQ:CLSK might continue to advance 14% to complete the structure of the last subdivision of the rising expanded diagonal in a thorough (5-wave)impulse.
The estimated target >> 11.22
Trend Analysis >> The Minute-degree trend will turn downward soon to (likely) a deep correction in wave ii (circled) over the weeks ahead.
The leading diagonal pattern in Minute degree would align with the Minor degree trend upward >> An impulsive wave C should be underway.
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Long CR at 177.84 - sometimes you just gotta break the rulesI am on record more than once here saying that I don’t like trading stocks without long trading histories. I stand by that “rule” but on this occasion, I’m going to break it. That lovely uptrend is only part of the reason why.
NYSE:CR has only been publicly traded since the spring of 2023. It has produced some of the best results in the entire spectrum of stocks I follow in that time, though. I won’t dig into all of it - I’ll just focus on the last 12 months. 16 buy signals, 15 wins and one (yesterday) incomplete. What is amazing is that 14 of the 15 before yesterday would have closed profitably in just 1 day…and the one that didn’t would have only taken 2 days.
The average gain for all of them is 1.59% (including the one from yesterday that is currently a “loser”). In case you’re scoring at home, that’s an annualized rate of return of just under 400%. Now I won’t make any promises here, we are dealing with a small sample size. Also, a couple of the trades right after it went public took quite a while to play out. One of those trades gained 13+%, though. But I don't break the rules for just any stock and this isn't a hypothetical buy - my money is on the line here.
I resisted temptation yesterday, but I just couldn’t today.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add at the close on any day it is still producing a buy signal and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation. Especially given the short track record for this stock.
RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT reached both diagonals' lower boundary line, as expected in my prior analysis.
The ending diagonal inside the leading diagonal remains in a very late stage. An ultimate advance of 8% lies ahead. It would be before the following deep correction towards the Fib-retracement levels >> 7.19 >> 6.74, as illustrated in the chart above.
Wave Analysis >> The diagonal wave v can not exceed 9.70 because the length of wave v can not be longer than wave iii, which can not be the shortest upward in the 5-wave sequence.
The Ultimate Target >> 9.70
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
SPY quick summary and watch list break downIn this video, I break down the current SPY setup with a quick summary of where I believe the market stands.
Then I go over a few stocks from my watchlist, some of which I’m currently invested in:
JD: Took a loss here, not every trade works out, and that’s part of the process.
PAM: I could’ve added to the trade, but I chose to wait for a potential pullback to get a better entry.
EXEL: Currently overextended, so I’m expecting a deeper pullback before considering any new position.
I also opened two new trades:
BSX: Broke out of a flag on Friday, ideally, I should’ve entered then, but since price was still in range today, I took the entry.
CPRX: Similar setup and timing. I managed to enter at a level still close to Friday’s breakout.
As of now, the general market remains strong, and I’ll continue trading with that momentum in mind.
Quick note: Apologies, I only had about 20 minutes to record, and I didn’t realize I was running out of time. At the end, I briefly shared my stock selection process, which is based on:
Weekly chart proximity to the 10 EMA,
Followed by daily price action analysis to determine entries and validate the setup.
Thanks for watching, hope you enjoy the video and get some value from it!
$PANW – Inverse Head & Shoulders + Earnings CatalystThis is a textbook pattern combined with a high-impact earnings event:
- Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
- Neckline Breakout Zone: ~$195.50
- Stop Loss: $187.97
- TP1: $207
- TP2: $220
- TP3: $225
Catalyst:
Earnings on May 20th – AI product suite and strong cybersecurity demand could trigger breakout momentum.
Volume is still below average, which is typical pre-earnings. A breakout with volume confirmation could ignite a high-conviction move.
Not financial advice. Just sharing my technical perspective. Let the market decide.
MU eyes on $95/97: Double Golden fib zone Ultra-High GravityMU looking to exit a Double Golden zone $95.33-97.23
Break could pop to next resistance zone $109.41-111.38
Expecting some orbits around this ultra high gravity zone.
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Previous Plot that caught the bottom EXACTLY:
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Adobe Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025
- Adobe broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 440.00
Adobe recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 403.60 (which stopped the previous minor corrective wave iv) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active minor impulse wave (iii) of the C-wave from the middle of April.
Adobe can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 440.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (iii).
$MRNA – Long-Term Setup Brewing | Major Move Incoming?Moderna ( NASDAQ:MRNA ) may be gearing up for a multi-month reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Price action is compressing in a tight base, suggesting a potential 6+ month breakout could be in the cards.
📊 Key Technical Notes:
Trading near long-term support with signs of accumulation
Bullish divergence forming on RSI and MACD
Volume contraction hints at a volatility expansion ahead
Overhead resistance sits between $60–$80, aligning with previous breakdown levels from 2023
⚠️ Breakout Trigger: Watch for a decisive move above $29.50–$30 on volume. A sustained breakout could initiate a powerful move toward the $60–$80 resistance zone.
📍 Levels to Watch:
Breakout zone: $29.50–$30
Resistance targets: $60, then $80
Key support: $25–$26
🧠 This is a longer-term swing trade idea — ideal for patient traders looking to front-run institutional rotation into beaten-down biotech names.
#MRNA #Moderna #SwingTrade #BiotechStocks #LongTermSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #BreakoutSetup #OptionsTrading #TradingView
Green Plains | GPRE | Long at $4.18Green Plains NASDAQ:GPRE , a company involved in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, and grain handling/storage has seen a significant decline in stock price since 2023. Analyzing the company's historical stock performance shows it is highly cyclical and goes through "boom and bust" cycles every 4-8 years - whereby during booms the price has typically 10x'ed from the lows. History may not repeat, though.
From a pure technical analysis perspective, the company has already entered and slightly exited by "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines). While the lows may not be in yet, this zone (currently between $1.20 and $3.30) typically represents a longer-term bounce area or price consolidation.
Fundamentally, the company is currently unprofitable but expected to become profitable in 2026 and beyond. Debt-to-equity = 0.72x (low/moderate). Price-to-book = 0.31x. During the most recent earnings call, Chief Legal and Administration Officer at Green Plains noted the company’s past performance has not met expectations, but stressed “that is changing.” This includes exiting non-core operations and launching the sale of non-strategic assets in a commitment to achieve $50 million in cost reductions. The company is on track to meet that goal and has already achieved $30 million in annualized cost savings.
It's a speculative play that could go to $0. But at $4.18, NASDAQ:GPRE is in a personal buy zone based on technical analysis as well as future fundamental predictions (which could be BS...).
Targets:
$6.00
$8.00
SNPS – Dangerous Correction Wave Nearing Completion?The wave structure marked in red often indicates a corrective move. While it appears impulsive at first glance, such formations typically end with a strong candle in the direction of the trend, followed by a full retracement.
This rally is likely not a new bullish impulse but a complex correction within a broader downtrend. Volume remains relatively muted compared to previous sell-offs, reinforcing the corrective nature of the current wave.
Due to the structure's unreliability and tendency to reverse sharply, this is a highly dangerous zone to enter a long. However, for experienced traders, a minimal long position with a trailing stop may be considered for a final push toward the resistance zone around $590.
A failure to break that zone with volume will likely lead to a rapid decline back to previous lows around $400 or even $360.
AMD 1W: If Not Now — Then When?The weekly chart of AMD looks like it’s holding its breath: a well-defined falling wedge, double bottom support, and price pressing right against long-term trendline resistance. Everything’s in place — now it just needs to break and run, preferably without tripping over nearby Fibonacci levels.
The stock is trading around $114 and attempting to hold above the 50-week MA. Just ahead is the 200-week MA (~131) — not only a technical hurdle but also a psychological pivot. A move above it could reignite talk of $150+ targets.
The wedge has been narrowing since late 2024. After repeated bounces off support, price has returned to the top of the pattern. A confirmed weekly close above the wedge could trigger a real breakout. Without that — it risks yet another scripted pullback.
Key Fibonacci levels:
0.618 — $133.60
0.5 — $151.42
0.382 — $169.25
0.236 — $191.30
0.0 — $226.95 (all-time high)
The roadmap looks clean — but only if volume follows through. There are signs of quiet accumulation at the bottom, but no explosive buying just yet.
Fundamentals:
AMD delivered solid Q1 results: revenue is growing, EPS beat expectations, and margins are holding. More importantly, the company launched a new $6 billion stock buyback program — showing clear internal confidence in its long-term trajectory.
There’s also a strategic AI partnership underway with a Middle Eastern tech group. This move positions AMD to challenge not just for GPU market share, but for future AI infrastructure dominance — long game stuff.
Analyst sentiment has turned bullish again, with new price targets in the $130–150 range. All of this makes the current chart structure more than just technical noise — it’s backed by strong tailwinds.
CIFR how it went downSee what happened was I was in long term cap gains, and I sold into those gains. I'm glad I did, because the price got whacked. I might reconsider entering if this can push through here. Of the miners, CIF is one of the more volatile. It can move a lot in one day. It's not for the faint of heart. I say above $4, it's a buy