SLP – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🟢
🔹 Asset: Simulations Plus, Inc. (SLP – NASDAQ)
🔹 Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout + Retest
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minute
📊 Trade Plan – Long Position
✅ Entry Zone: $33.86 (Breakout above triangle + yellow level reclaim)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $32.29 (Below rising trendline and structure base)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $36.54 – Previous key resistance
📌 TP2: $39.26 – Major horizontal resistance zone
📐 Risk-Reward Calculation
🟥 Risk per share: $1.57
🟩 Reward to TP2: $5.40
📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 3.4 – High reward with defined risk
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Clean breakout from triangle resistance
📌 Reclaim of yellow horizontal level with breakout candle ✔
📌 Consistent higher lows forming a strong ascending base
📌 Volume gradually increasing near breakout
📉 Risk Management Strategy
🔁 Move SL to breakeven once TP1 is reached
💰 Lock partial profits at TP1
🚀 Ride the runner to TP2 using a trailing stop if momentum builds
🚨 Setup Invalidation If:
❌ Price closes back below $32.29
❌ Rejection with strong bearish candle near $36.50
❌ Fails to hold above triangle breakout zone
When You Bought the Farm: PLTR, BRB, CALM, ROBLOX, ADMA, PLMRI am not in a market for super stocks in this environment at the moment. Also, I am looking beyond the trade war and into quality companies:
Fundamentals:
Warren Buffet says, "When you bought the farm, you looked at what the farm would produce".... "...the potential of the farm"..."You don't need a quote on it."
PLTR's May 14, 2024 Investment Update for April 21, 2025:
See the following chart. Fundamentals are still good:
(BellRing Brands, Inc.) BRBR - think protein bars and shakes: A recent investment:
Cal-Maine Foods (CALM): Speaking of farms and chicken eggs! Cal-Maine Foods is "the largest producer and distributor of fresh shell eggs in the United States, committed to offering our customers a wide range of quality egg and egg product choices produced in a safe, cost-effective and sustainable manner." (www.calmainefoods.com). It has good ROE and the quality of institutional investment has steadily grown legs into this company. It meets basic parameters of an investment.
ROBLOX (RBLX): I did my own personally survey and contacted several hundred of family and friends from the globe, and not only are Gen-Z playing ROBLOX, but even young adults are into it. It is true that with its immersive platform, "every day, millions of people come to Roblox to create, play, and connect with each other in experiences built by our global community of creators." Another company that I mentioned is Take-Two (TTWO) with Grand Theft Auto 6 coming out around August or September 2025 this year, I think it also will continue to surprise and do well. I shall invest in both; however, I like ROBLOX better.
I mentioned other companies in the video that are minor investments and the technical aspects of entry: Marex Group (MRX), Palomar Holdings (PLMR) and ADMA.
Mondelez (MDLZ): Snack Giant Preps for Possible BreakoutMondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) is a global snacking powerhouse, best known for beloved brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Cadbury, Ritz, and Toblerone. With a presence in over 150 countries, the company continues to grow by focusing on high-margin snacks, expanding into emerging markets, and boosting its digital and direct-to-consumer capabilities. Mondelez has consistently shown resilience during economic shifts thanks to its strong brand loyalty and consistent demand for comfort foods and on-the-go snacks.
On the technical side, MDLZ is currently holding above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, placing it firmly in the momentum zone. The stock is testing recent highs, showing bullish strength and signaling the potential for a breakout if buyers continue to step in with volume. The setup suggests that the uptrend could continue if this consolidation near the top resolves higher.
Nike Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- Nike reversed from the long-term support level 52.60
- Likely to rise to resistance level 60.00
Nike recently reversed from the strong support area between the long-term support level 52.60 (which has been reversing the price since 2012) and the lower monthly Bollinger Band.
This support area was strengthened by the support trendline of the long-term down channel from the start of 2023.
Given the strength of the support level 52.60 and the oversold monthly Stochastic, Nike can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 60.00.
Anti-Ackman trade HTZNot only is it technically a wrong move, but fundamentally stupid! Does stupid Ackman really think that with other countries protesting tourism to the US because of sanctions, and every US Customs POE agent turning global citizens away only because they found some bad remarks about Tucker Frump, we will have a summer travel explosion so HTZ will benefit?? How dumb is he?
SOFI Bell Curve StudyI am using the Sinusoid here - however there is a Bell Curve which is better. Just cannot find the indicator at present.
The synopsis is that most stocks and markets go through cycles (Bull and Bear) that are sometimes stretched sinusoids, called a Bell Wave Curve.
Whilst it is very difficult to predict these cycles, most become evident from market sentiment quite early. The problem is that we all have FOMO.
Most Senior Stock Market Analysts say do not sell, and this becomes evident when you are down a few 10% points, as the past shows that the market does recover.
Maybe a few smart (Elon) advisors will give Trump a CLUE that most Tariffs are calculated Wrong.
As the Markets are super choppy it is difficult to advise any future direction for now.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions.
Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away.
Regards Graham.
Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LMT before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 490usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $18.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UBER | InformativeNYSE:UBER
Market Structure and Price Action
Uber is currently trading in a weakened technical structure that suggests bearish continuation unless a clear reversal is established. After forming a series of higher highs and higher lows earlier this year, the stock has transitioned into a distribution phase, confirmed by the appearance of lower highs (LH) and most recently a lower low (LL).
Price was firmly rejected from the $75.91–$76.99 resistance zone — a level which coincides with a 3-month descending trendline and a prior congestion area. That rejection, followed by today’s strong red candle, suggests sellers are in control. More critically, price has broken below the $72.20 level, which acted as the short-term bullish-bearish pivot. This confirms short-term breakdown unless a swift recovery occurs.
Key Levels and Psychological Zones
The $75.91 zone is the bullish line Uber needs to reclaim for any upside thesis to be considered. Above that, the $76.99 level represents a confluence of prior supply and descending trend resistance. A close above that level would be the first bullish signal with momentum.
On the downside, Uber has now breached the $72.20 pivot. The next level of interest is $70.19 — a near-term horizontal support. A clean breakdown below that opens the door toward the $64.05 demand zone, which aligns with the 1-year VWAP anchor and historical institutional defense levels. If bearish momentum accelerates, a flush toward $60.63 remains a realistic target, where multiple high-volume nodes and psychological buyers reside.
Momentum and Volume Profile
Momentum is deteriorating. The RSI is rolling over and now moving toward the 40 handle — clearly below the midline, indicating bearish pressure. No bullish divergence is present on RSI or MACD. Volume has increased on down days, with the most recent breakdown candle showing notable sell-side interest, confirming supply dominance.
The moving averages have flattened and are beginning to converge downward. Price is currently trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which amplifies the bearish technical posture.
Conclusion :
Uber has lost short-term support and is showing a clear distributional character. Unless the stock reclaims $75.91 with conviction, this setup favors continued downside momentum toward $64 and $60. Aggressive long entries are not justified until price structure reestablishes itself above $76 with sustained demand. In the current context, Uber is a high-probability short candidate under $72, particularly below $70.19.
HEDGE FUND PLAYBOOK: STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
BASE CASE SCENARIO (60%) – BEARISH CONTINUATION
Trigger: Breakdown confirmed below $72.20 + rejection at $72.68
Target: $70.19 → $64.05 → extended to $60.63
Stop-Loss: Daily close above $73.50
Positioning: Tactical short / Put options targeting 2–4 week horizon
ALTERNATIVE CASE (30%) – BULLISH RECLAMATION
Trigger: Price reclaims $75.91 with volume > 10-day average
Target: $76.99 → $79.50 → $82.10
Stop-Loss: Close back below $72.20
Positioning: Swing long / Call debit spreads with tight expiry
NEUTRAL CASE (10%) – RANGE-BOUND ROTATION
Condition: Price oscillates between $70.19 – $75.91
Positioning: Mean-reversion strategies / delta-neutral hedging
$LNTH Potential Healthcare sector leader NASDAQ:LNTH holds a negative net debt to ebitda ratio, with a forward p/e ratio around 16. Revenue growth was up over 18% for the TTM, and operating margin was around 40% compared to ~15% for healthcare companies in the drug manufacturing industry.
Technically, there is a potential wedge forming, though I can see a breakout bounce off of the .382 fib coming too. Strength showing relative to the S&P.
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level.
AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs
Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price.
As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION!
Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade.
Bulls should take their profits and smile.
Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top.
The chart has spoken. Like it or not.
Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)