Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LMT before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 490usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $18.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UBER | InformativeNYSE:UBER
Market Structure and Price Action
Uber is currently trading in a weakened technical structure that suggests bearish continuation unless a clear reversal is established. After forming a series of higher highs and higher lows earlier this year, the stock has transitioned into a distribution phase, confirmed by the appearance of lower highs (LH) and most recently a lower low (LL).
Price was firmly rejected from the $75.91–$76.99 resistance zone — a level which coincides with a 3-month descending trendline and a prior congestion area. That rejection, followed by today’s strong red candle, suggests sellers are in control. More critically, price has broken below the $72.20 level, which acted as the short-term bullish-bearish pivot. This confirms short-term breakdown unless a swift recovery occurs.
Key Levels and Psychological Zones
The $75.91 zone is the bullish line Uber needs to reclaim for any upside thesis to be considered. Above that, the $76.99 level represents a confluence of prior supply and descending trend resistance. A close above that level would be the first bullish signal with momentum.
On the downside, Uber has now breached the $72.20 pivot. The next level of interest is $70.19 — a near-term horizontal support. A clean breakdown below that opens the door toward the $64.05 demand zone, which aligns with the 1-year VWAP anchor and historical institutional defense levels. If bearish momentum accelerates, a flush toward $60.63 remains a realistic target, where multiple high-volume nodes and psychological buyers reside.
Momentum and Volume Profile
Momentum is deteriorating. The RSI is rolling over and now moving toward the 40 handle — clearly below the midline, indicating bearish pressure. No bullish divergence is present on RSI or MACD. Volume has increased on down days, with the most recent breakdown candle showing notable sell-side interest, confirming supply dominance.
The moving averages have flattened and are beginning to converge downward. Price is currently trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which amplifies the bearish technical posture.
Conclusion :
Uber has lost short-term support and is showing a clear distributional character. Unless the stock reclaims $75.91 with conviction, this setup favors continued downside momentum toward $64 and $60. Aggressive long entries are not justified until price structure reestablishes itself above $76 with sustained demand. In the current context, Uber is a high-probability short candidate under $72, particularly below $70.19.
HEDGE FUND PLAYBOOK: STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
BASE CASE SCENARIO (60%) – BEARISH CONTINUATION
Trigger: Breakdown confirmed below $72.20 + rejection at $72.68
Target: $70.19 → $64.05 → extended to $60.63
Stop-Loss: Daily close above $73.50
Positioning: Tactical short / Put options targeting 2–4 week horizon
ALTERNATIVE CASE (30%) – BULLISH RECLAMATION
Trigger: Price reclaims $75.91 with volume > 10-day average
Target: $76.99 → $79.50 → $82.10
Stop-Loss: Close back below $72.20
Positioning: Swing long / Call debit spreads with tight expiry
NEUTRAL CASE (10%) – RANGE-BOUND ROTATION
Condition: Price oscillates between $70.19 – $75.91
Positioning: Mean-reversion strategies / delta-neutral hedging
$LNTH Potential Healthcare sector leader NASDAQ:LNTH holds a negative net debt to ebitda ratio, with a forward p/e ratio around 16. Revenue growth was up over 18% for the TTM, and operating margin was around 40% compared to ~15% for healthcare companies in the drug manufacturing industry.
Technically, there is a potential wedge forming, though I can see a breakout bounce off of the .382 fib coming too. Strength showing relative to the S&P.
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level.
AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs
Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
META Screaming CAUTION!The hardest thing is to call a short in a recession-proof stock, especially in the tech space. However, only so many dollars are available in the advertisement space, and it can't go up forever. Make this excuse at any price.
As such, I rely on the chart screaming CAUTION!
Again like most of my trade setups, this is a simple trade.
Bulls should take their profits and smile.
Bears short as high as possible with the internet to short more should it form a double top.
The chart has spoken. Like it or not.
Remember I am a macro trader so don't expect tomorrow to play out. My trades take time but have much bigger moves. ;)
$MSTR sub $200 before $1000+?NASDAQ:MSTR looks pretty bearish here. We're trading under a key support and it looks like it wants lower. I think if the next candle turns red, then we're likely to see a large selloff all the way down to the lower supports.
If we can make it back up above this support level at $363, and close above it, it would be a trigger long. Then I think we're likely to see a large run all the way up to the upper resistances to 1000+.
Let's see how the price action unfolds here.
Pendulum pick for KR - short tgt 44I have many tens of thousands of dollars worth of home renovations to do, so why not ask my dowsing/spirit team to help find me a stock that can help PAY for these expenses and then some?
I'm a dowser, btw, so all my ideas & levels come from this form of information gathering. So woo woo ;)
The pick is from all of NYSE, so it's a lot. I'll admit, when I've done this in the past I've seen stocks have way better moves faster & I'm like, "why didn't you give me THAT one?!"
Regardless, I'm not going to disrespect the guidance, but just try to be more pointed in my intention. I did ask for this one to be a quick move, but I don't think it will be.
I do, however, have good confidence the target will hit. I did not look at the chart before I finished the reading & had a target. It's a way to see how accurate the level & info might be, so I was definitely happy the chart & levels look reasonable. It's literally at a multi year high & the dowsing said it's at a swing high.
Out the gate on this reading, it was saying swing trade short, & soon. It might get up to 69.
Anyway, when I ask about the 44 level (tgt), twice I get that the "target is reached". I tried to get the amount of time this takes & got the months around May/June as an exit, but it could easily be a few months. It's a 36% drop from 69 if it reaches there.
I drew the trendlines just to see how it behaves there. Maybe that'll help as a confirmation/trigger to short since it has been relatively strong.
That's it. Hopefully, this can pay some bills!!
WALMART 1W MA50 rebound makes a solid long-term investment.Walmart (WMT) ended its 2 month correction with an emphatic rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the first time it touches the 1W MA50 since December 11 2023 but it's not uncommon at all within its 10-year Channel Up.
Every time the stock hi its 1W MA50 while the 1W RSI was this low, it was the most common long-term buy opportunity. Better than that was only the one time it hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) during the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
As a result, we expect at least a 2.0 Fibonacci extension rebound similar to the May 2018 Low, and our long-term Target is now $135.00.
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TSLA LongTSLA Long
Current demand Zone (218) confirmed,
Sell put below next two demand
Long entry 225
no Stop
Target 300
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
Tesla Bounce Zone?Tesla has been trading in a sideways range between $220 - $290 for the last several weeks, a sign of what may either be a potential accumulation, or another distribution range which ultimately ends in lower prices.
At the moment, we are at an interesting zone, being the low of the range with earnings coming into effect tomorrow.
Although there is a lot of stipulation behind Elon's current credibility working for Trump, it is clear that the overall market sentiment is at extreme lows for Tesla.
Given this, the earnings tomorrow may be a liquidity catalyst event that may shoot this stock back up into a recovery. Perhaps Elon announces his resignation from Doge, or Tesla earnings surprise, or perhaps Tesla is not affected by tariffs as badly as people may think.
Technically, Tesla is sitting at a key zone being the POC (point of control) also known as the most traded zone of the last 4 years. Should a bounce materialize, it would make sense for it to take place around this price. We are also seeing what may be considered a bullish harmonic playing out during this recent volatility.
Either way, we cant predict, we can only manage our risk. The expected move for tomorrow is + or - 10%. Budget accordingly.
$AAPL | $200 showed lifeThese are my levels I am most concerned with for NASDAQ:AAPL
Last week, $200 level showed life and buyers stepped in but that doesn't mean we are out of the woods and price currently is in semi "no man's land", kind of just hanging around the demand area.
One bright point is bullish price volume last week as well.
I would wait to see how this week turns out before putting money back into the iPhone company.
NFLX - Last man standing NASDAQ:NFLX has been one of the only, if not the only, big tech names holding relatively well during this bear market but even the best names can't go forever against the trend.
We seem to have reached the breaking point for this one as a double top short setup is currently unfolding.
I'd like to see a drop below $977 to increase my conviction and look to add to my short position.
Stops are clear at $1003 and/or $1018 depending on your position sizing and risk appetite.
I'm willing to keep this position open for at least a few days if it starts to go lower aggressively from here.
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On a more general note, as I said on my previous post, we're still in a bear market and nothing points towards a change of trend for now. With Gold still being the only real safe haven
So, don't try to be a hero and go against the trend with any long positions! Especially not on borrowed money (leverage) !!!
It's difficult and very risky to try and catch bottoms and for now especially it's not happening if all the talking heads on CNBC and co. are calling it.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD continues to be the only safe haven, and contrary to again the talking heads, it seems to me that it can still go higher, thus stocks will continue even lower !
NVDA’s Wild Crash Alert: I’m Braced for a Heart-Stopping Drop!NVDA’s like a rocket losing altitude, and I’m on edge! It’s at $95.99, but I’m seeing it tumble to $90, maybe $88.95, then $83.59 if the bears go wild. If that breaks, whoa—$77.48 could hit hard! I’m glued to $90 for the first clue—big selling there, and it’s game on for a slide.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
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