COSTCO: 4 touches/rejections. Can we pop over gap?Costco looks loaded.
4 touches along the resistance, looks like a big wedge forming. Next touch can be a break out to upside, fill gap and move with momentum upside.
OR
Green ray for the entry to downside. We got data tomorrow as well..
Do your DD! Not FA but let me know what you think!
OptionsMastery: Sitting at resistance on BAC!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
LYFT, 3D Daily Breakout Confirms Potential Mid-Term ReversalOn the 3-day chart of Lyft, price action is developing within a potential mid-term reversal structure. The key trigger was the breakout of the descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a shift in momentum after an extended downtrend.
The asset bounced from the long-term ascending support zone around $9.66, and the structure now points to a possible expansion toward key Fibonacci retracement levels:
Upside targets based on Fibo levels:
– $14.36 (0.5)
– $15.47 (0.618)
– $17.05 (0.786)
– Extended: $24.88 (1.618)
Technical Highlights:
– Breakout confirmed on daily chart trendline
– 3D chart shows tightening triangle pattern
– Stochastic momentum turning bullish from oversold levels
– Volume profile supports accumulation, not distribution
– Resistance zone: $14.30–$17.00
– Holding above the breakout trendline keeps the bullish setup valid
Fundamental Context:
Lyft is restructuring operations, with narrowed losses, improved efficiency, and customer retention focus. The company is regaining share in the ride-hailing segment, and investors are beginning to price in operational stabilization. The improving sentiment is reflected in growing institutional interest and mid-term positioning.
This is a potential mid-term bullish scenario, activated by the daily breakout and confirmed if price holds above the trendline. A push above $15.50–$17.00 could unlock the full target at $24.88. As long as structure holds, this remains a strong trend reversal setup.
RF 1D: Breakout or Just a Bullish Pause?Regions Financial (ticker: RF) finally escaped the descending channel it had been stuck in for nearly 8 months — like someone who missed their stop and woke up in a different state. The breakout came with volume and a hold above the 50-day MA, which technically gives the bulls a reason to stretch their legs — cautiously.
The price has already cleared the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~21.66), and is now pushing toward the 0.5 zone (~22.87). If momentum holds, the next key area is target 1 around 24.00–24.50. Beyond that — and this is where things get ambitious — we have target 2 in the 27.50–28.50 range, which aligns with pre-breakdown resistance from late 2024.
RSI is climbing into overbought territory but still confirms the breakout rather than warning of a top — at least for now.
On the macro side: U.S. regional banks have had a rough ride in early 2025, but RF has held up better than many peers. The recent earnings beat and visible uptick in volume suggest growing institutional interest. If bond yields keep cooling and risk appetite returns to the value sector, RF could remain in favor.
That said, bulls need to see a confirmed hold above 22.80. Otherwise, this could end up as another failed retest — and bears are always lurking just outside the channel.
PODD watch $312-317: Start of some barriers then Blue SkiesPODD got a nice pump from its last earnings report.
Now testing the first of three resistance zone above.
Might take time to chew on them but will run after.
$ 312.64-317.10 is the immediate zone of concern.
$ 327.51-330.95 is the next (semi-major) resistance
$ 349.26-350.78 is the final (minor) hurdle to launch.
==============================================
Meta UpdateNot a whole lot to add to my Meta analysis. I have been calling for this move higher for about 3 weeks now. Today we finally found out what the catalyst was to spark the move higher. As I have said multiple times in the past, I don't really care so much about the why. The thing I care about is the where. Where will price go?
Price came just shy of the 1.382 today and has enough waves in place to be considered complete. It also has created bearish divergence on MACD. These things don't mean a top is in by any means. They point to a top being in the works. I'm sure me saying this on the day META jumps almost $50 and 8% doesn't sit the best with some. To those people, I say, good luck. As always, you should trade your own convictions. Just remember, when price begins to head lower in the days / weeks to come, you heard it from me first.
Clearwater Paper Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 25/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Meta Platforms (META) 4H Outlook – May 2025Following a liquidity sweep and several confirmed Breaks of Structure (BoS), META has shown a bullish market shift. Price is currently hovering near $592.49 after a strong rally.
There is a clearly defined demand zone around the $555–$570 area (highlighted in green). If price retraces to this zone and holds, it could act as a launchpad for a continuation move toward the $636.95 target, aligned with a previous structural high and potential supply.
The setup reflects strong smart money behavior—monitor price reaction at the demand zone for bullish confirmation before engaging.
Revolve Group Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 18.3/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Load up!! Technical Setup
Breakout initiated: Clean move above the 20/50 SMAs, breakout from a months-long coil.
Bollinger Band squeeze: Confirmed breakout — volatility expansion underway.
MACD 5/21: Fresh crossover, histogram turning green — ignition point.
RSI: In liftoff zone (61+), plenty of room to run before overbought.
Targets
Short-term (This Week):
$1.80 — first resistance zone
$2.00–$2.20 — magnet if earnings impress or BTC hype is referenced
Next Week Extension Targets:
$2.60 — previous high, next major technical target
$3.00+ — blue sky breakout if BTC is surging and narrative catches fire
Plan by Day
Monday–Wednesday (Pre-Earnings Accumulation)
Entry zone: $1.44–$1.51 — load up, this is the launch pad.
Risk zone: Not a concern if fully bullish — treat $1.30 as the floor but don’t plan to exit.
Volume watch: Expect 5M–10M+ average volume to hold = strong hands are in.
Thursday (Earnings Catalyst)
Expectation: Crypto and AI-related tech tie-ins. If even slightly mentioned, KULR will rip.
Hold through earnings — play for a gap-up Friday.
No trimming — this is a hold-the-line situation.
Friday (Reaction Day)
If earnings are good, expect a gap to $1.80+, then a run to $2.20.
Momentum buyers jump in. Social sentiment heats up. Volume explosion.
Hold into close — don't sell unless it hits $2.60 early.
Next Week (Moon Phase Begins)
Trend riders, Redditors, and BTC bulls flood in.
Watch for:
Breakout above $2.60 → triggers algorithms and swing traders
Price could spike to $3.00–$3.50 quickly
Strategy:
Trail stop below 5-day EMA
Let it ride — this is how small caps go 2x fast
Short Trade Setup – KD!📉
🔹 Asset: Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: KD)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish Reversal)
📌 Trade Plan (Short Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Around $39.08 (Near wedge resistance, possible rejection)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $40.24 (Wedge invalidation / breakout risk)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
📌 TP1: $37.63 – Nearest prior support
📌 TP2: $36.21 – Key support from previous base
📊 Risk-Reward Calculation
📉 Risk: $40.24 - $39.08 = $1.16
📈 Reward to TP1: $39.08 - $37.63 = $1.45 → R:R = 1:1.25
📈 Reward to TP2: $39.08 - $36.21 = $2.87 → R:R = 1:2.47 ✅
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Rising wedge nearing breakdown point
📌 Price rejected at yellow zone (overhead resistance)
📌 Trendline support (pink) tested multiple times
📌 Momentum weakening near breakout highs
📈 Execution Strategy
📊 Enter short near $39.08 on bearish confirmation
📉 SL above $40.24 to avoid trap breakouts
💰 TP1 at $37.63 for partial, let rest hit $36.21
🚨 Invalidation Risk
❌ Bullish breakout above $40.24 invalidates setup
❌ High volume breakout candle = exit trade
🚀 Final Take
✔ Bearish pattern in a sharp uptrend
✔ Favorable R:R with clear levels
✔ Great for disciplined short entries with SL control
Long Trade Setup – CLFD!📈
🔹 Asset: Clearfield, Inc. (NASDAQ: CLFD)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Ascending Triangle Breakout (Bullish Continuation)
📌 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Around $36.30 (Confirmed breakout above resistance)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $34.67 (Below trendline & prior support)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
📌 TP1: $38.41 – Prior high / resistance zone
📌 TP2: $40.80 – Measured move projection
📊 Risk-Reward Calculation
📉 Risk: $36.30 - $34.67 = $1.63
📈 Reward to TP1: $38.41 - $36.30 = $2.11 → R:R = 1:1.29
📈 Reward to TP2: $40.80 - $36.30 = $4.50 → R:R = 1:2.76 ✅
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Ascending triangle breakout with higher lows
📌 Bullish volume spike confirms breakout
📌 Yellow line zone flipped from resistance to support
📌 Clean trendline support with strong price action
📈 Execution Strategy
📊 Enter above $36.30 after a strong candle close
📉 SL below $34.67 to avoid fakeouts
💰 Book partial at TP1, let rest run toward TP2
🚨 Invalidation Risk
❌ Drop below $34.67 cancels bullish bias
❌ Bearish engulfing candle with volume = exit early
🚀 Final Take
✔ Breakout from strong bullish pattern
✔ Excellent R:R profile with momentum
✔ Ideal for continuation traders — just manage your risk smartly
Long Trade Setup – ATRO!📈
🔹 Asset: Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ: ATRO)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Ascending Triangle Breakout (Bullish Continuation)
📌 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Around $29.21 (Confirmed breakout above resistance)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $28.83 (Below structure and trendline)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
📌 TP1: $29.82 – Prior swing high / minor resistance
📌 TP2: $30.58 – Measured move and next resistance zone
📊 Risk-Reward Calculation
📉 Risk: $29.21 - $28.83 = $0.38
📈 Reward to TP1: $29.82 - $29.21 = $0.61 → R:R = 1:1.6
📈 Reward to TP2: $30.58 - $29.21 = $1.37 → R:R = 1:3.6 ✅
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Ascending triangle breakout with volume push
📌 Bullish close above yellow zone = breakout confirmed
📌 Higher lows + horizontal resistance breakout
📌 Momentum aligned with volume surge
📈 Execution Strategy
📊 Enter at or slightly above $29.21 on breakout confirmation
📉 SL just under $28.83 to avoid false breakdowns
💰 Take partial profit at TP1 and trail SL toward TP2
🚨 Invalidation Risk
❌ Drop below $28.83 suggests failed breakout
❌ Bearish engulfing reversal = re-evaluate entry
🚀 Final Take
✔ Bullish continuation setup with solid R:R
✔ Triangle breakout with volume = high conviction
✔ Let price prove — enter smart, exit smarter
NETFLIX (NFLX) : Smart Money & AI Convergence Update🕒 Posted: May 13, 2025 | 1H Chart Analysis
Following up on my earlier short bias on NASDAQ:NFLX , we are seeing bearish confirmation aligning with Smart Money Concepts:
🔻 Price tapped the Premium Zone (~$1164) and showed weakness, followed by multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character).
📉 Current structure confirms a breakdown from bullish momentum, and we’re now approaching a key liquidity zone near $1100.
🔍 Targets (SMC-based)
TP1: $1031 – 0.618 Fib Retracement (High probability liquidity zone)
TP2: $951 – Below equilibrium, aligning with strong demand imbalance
🤖 WaverVanir DSS Forecast:
While structure favors a retrace, my WaverVanir DSS AI model is showing a bullish 15–30 day forecast:
15-Day Prediction: $1165.78 (+5.0%)
30-Day Prediction: $1181.09 (+6.4%)
🎯 Strategy:
Short bias remains valid short-term, targeting $1030–$950 as re-entry zones.
If price finds support there with volume + structure shift, I may flip to long positions, aligning with AI model forecast.
💡 Conclusion:
Short-term = Bearish (structure + liquidity sweep)
Mid-term = Bullish (AI forecast + sentiment)
Let’s see if Smart Money drives price into the next liquidity pocket before the next leg up.
📌 #NFLX #SmartMoney #LSTM #VolumeProfile #TradingUpdate #WaverVanir #AITrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC