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TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals! So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense. But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things). As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line. As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line. Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA. Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price. Note: not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by michaeldobski
When Intuition Beats the Algorithm█ When Gut Feeling Beats the Bot: How Experience Can Improve Algorithmic Trading In today’s world of fast, data-driven trading, we often hear that algorithms and rules-based systems are the future. But what happens when you mix that with a trader’s intuition, the kind that only comes from years of watching charts and reading price action? A recent study has some surprising results: A seasoned discretionary trader (someone who trades based on what they see and feel, not just rules) was given a basic algorithmic strategy. The twist? He could override the signals and use his instincts. The result? He turned a losing system into a winning one, big time. █ What Was the Experiment? Researchers Zarattini and Stamatoudis (2024) wanted to test whether a skilled trader’s experience could boost a mechanical system. They took 9,794 stock “gap up” events from 2016 to 2023, where a stock opens much higher than the day before, and let the trader pick which ones looked promising. ⚪ To make it fair: All charts were anonymized — no names, no news, no distractions. The trader had only the price action to guide his choices. He could also manage open trades — adjusting stop-losses, profit targets, and position sizing based on what the price was doing. ⚪ The Trading Setup █ What Did They Find? The trader only selected about 18% of all the gap-ups. But those trades performed far better than the full list. Here's what stood out: Without stop-losses, the basic strategy lost money consistently (down -0.25R after just 8 days). With the trader involved, profits rose fast, hitting +0.80R just 4 days after entry. Risk was tightly managed: only 0.25% of capital was risked per trade. ⚪ So what made the difference? The trader could spot things the system missed: Strong momentum early in a move Clean breakouts from long sideways ranges Patterns that had real follow-through, not just random gaps He avoided weak setups and managed trades like a pro, cutting losers, letting winners run, and trailing positions with smart stop placements. ⚪ Example An experienced trader can quickly identify a breakaway gap, when a stock gaps up above a clear resistance level. Unlike random gaps, this setup often signals the start of a strong move. While a system might treat all gaps the same, a skilled trader knows this one has real potential. █ What Does This Mean for You? This research shows that trading experience still matters — a lot. If you’re a systematic trader, adding a discretionary filter (whether it’s your own review or someone else’s) could drastically improve your results. A clean chart read can help you avoid false signals and focus only on the best setups. If you’re a discretionary trader, this study is proof that your skills can add measurable value. With the right tools and discipline, you don’t need to throw away your instincts, you can combine them with structure and still win. █ Key Takeaways ⚪ Gut feeling isn’t just noise, trained instincts can spot what rules miss. ⚪ Trade selection matters more than just following every signal. ⚪ Managing risk and exits well is just as important as picking good entries. ⚪ Hybrid trading, rules plus judgment — might be the most powerful combo. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Zeiierman
13
Bullish - StandardAero (SARO)📈 Why I’ve started building a position in StandardAero (SARO) Some of you have been asking what I’m buying next for my long-term portfolio, so here’s one I’m quietly excited about. I’ve started accumulating SARO, a relatively new listing (IPO’d Oct 2024) that specialises in aircraft engine and airframe maintenance — known as MRO (maintenance, repair & overhaul). These guys are one of the largest independent MRO providers in the world, with military, commercial, and business aviation clients. So why SARO? ▶️ First: They’re starting to win serious defence contracts. They’ve recently secured: A $315M U.S. Navy engine contract (E-2D Hawkeye) An $80M turbine engine contract for the U.S. surface fleet And they’re in line to build Black Hawk helicopters in the UK if the NMH programme goes ahead. That deal alone would create 600+ jobs in Gosport. ▶️ Second: They’re small, but not unknown. At a $10B market cap, SARO is still tiny compared to defence giants like BAE ($78B). But big money is already circling. The reason I found this opportunity in the first place, is due to monitoring closely 'Theleme Partners' (a hedge fund co-founded by Rishi Sunak before politics) - they just opened a position. So did T. Rowe Price, Two Sigma, and Vanguard. ▶️ Third: Macro tailwinds. UK and global defence spending is rising rapidly. The UK has pledged to hit 2.5% of GDP by 2027, with a fresh £15B aimed specifically at submarines and nuclear support. If SARO lands even one meaningful UK MoD contract, which is very possible through its UK-based Vector Aerospace arm... it could seriously pay off. 💡 How I’m playing it: This is a long-term hold for me personally and I’ll look at dollar-cost averaging into my position. Short-term, I’ve marked targets around $32, $35 and $38 for potential profit-taking zones for those trading shorter holds. Long-term, I’m holding a big chunk in case we see SARO grow into something much bigger. It’s not without risk: 🔴 High post-IPO debt 🔴 Execution risk on current contracts 🔴 ... and the gamble that they secure government defence work all need to be considered. But that’s part of the calculated upside here. I’m sharing this because I think SARO is an early-stage contender worth watching and one that fits well into a defence-heavy decade ahead. Curious to know if anyone else is looking at this one? #LongTermInvesting #DefenceStocks #SARO #MarketInsights #DCA #MRO #UKDefence #InvestingStrategy
NYSE:SAROLong
by VickyRelentless
Market Update - 6/8/2025• Friday was a solid day, lots of strength especially in the energy, quantum computing and recently construction/industrial names • A bit concerning is that breadth is very high already which tends to be followed by corrections, but we've been in a correction in small caps for almost a month now • Good sign to see small caps outperforming large caps on Friday • Gold and TLT are selling off, so that also confirms risk on mode • Plus the strength in construction and retail names and the weakness in healthcare names are also pointing towards a risk on mode environment • Will risk 0.5-0.75% of my account over the next weeks
NASDAQ:MVST
by BenedekBokor