AMAZON I Technical Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** Amazon Analysis - Listen to video!
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$RDDT Earnings Beat 30% / Earnings Growth 101.6%I have taken a position in NYSE:RDDT at $120.50 and I will put my stop on a definitive close under the 21 EMA (blue). At the current price that would be about an 8% stop. (Sometimes I take positions off before they hit my stop loss if it is not acting well.)
I am looking for this to retake its prior leadership but it may not. From ATH to lowest low was a 65% drop. It has gained about 26% of that back.
If you like this idea, please make it your own trade that fits with your trading rules.
Reddit Beat Expectations
Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 4:06 PM ET
Reddit (RDDT) reported earnings of $0.13 per share on revenue of $392.36 million for the first quarter ended March 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.02 per share on revenue of $373.33 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.10 per share. The company beat expectations by 30.00% while revenue grew 61.49% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said it expects second quarter revenue of $410.0 million to $430.0 million. The current consensus revenue estimate is $399.36 million for the quarter ending June 30, 2025.
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Chartamentals (Charting + Fundamentals) : #MDTPrice-to-Earnings (P/E): 16.33; Trailing P/E is moderate, below medical device industry average (20–25).
Price-to-Operating Cash Flow: ~10–12 (estimated); Not explicitly provided, reasonable for strong cash flow generation.
Strategic Advantage: Global leader in heart devices, spinal products, insulin pumps, and neuromodulation with innovative pipeline.
Strong Financial Health: $4.58B free cash flow (FY23), low debt-to-equity (0.5), and robust balance sheet.
Fundamental Summary: MDT generates $32.36B revenue (2024, +3.64%), undervalued at $97.46 intrinsic value vs. $84.60 price, faces competition.
Price and Trend Data: $84.60 (Apr 29, 2025), +10.98% 1-year, underperformed S&P 500 by 1.45%.
Price Momentum: +0.66% daily, +0.45% 2-weeks, short-term declining trend.
Moving Averages Indicate: Price above 50-day SMA ($83.58) but below 200-day SMA ($85.70), mixed trend signals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 58.25 (14-day), neutral momentum with no overbought/oversold conditions.
Volume and Sentiment: ~4M shares daily average, declining volume with neutral market sentiment.
Technical Summary: Neutral daily signal, mixed indicators (8 buy, 4 sell on moving averages), RSI and MACD reflect balanced momentum.
Conclusion: MDT’s undervaluation and strong cash flow contrast with neutral technicals, indicating stable but cautious market positioning.
this is just educational post. its not buy or sell recommendation. contact your financial advisor before investing.
EGO : Chartamentals (Charting + Fundamentals)Fundamental Analysis
Price-to-Earnings (P/E):
Trailing P/E: 10.87 (per provided data and Seeking Alpha analysis).
Context: Significantly lower than the gold mining industry average (~15–20 for peers like Barrick Gold or Newmont), indicating EGO is undervalued relative to its earnings. This suggests investors pay less per dollar of earnings compared to competitors, making EGO attractive for value investors.
Investment Implication: The low P/E supports a value investment thesis, especially with growth catalysts like the Skouries mine, potentially driving earnings higher.
Price-to-Operating Cash Flow:
Ratio: 5.58 (per provided data).
Context: This metric measures the stock price relative to cash generated from operations, with a lower ratio indicating undervaluation. EGO’s 5.58 is notably low compared to mining peers (~8–12), reflecting strong cash flow efficiency and financial health.
Investment Implication: The low price-to-cash flow ratio highlights EGO’s ability to generate cash at a discount, reinforcing its undervaluation and appeal for investors seeking cash-flow-driven returns.
Strategic Advantage:
Skouries Mine: EGO’s flagship Skouries project in Greece, set to commence production in Q3 2025, is expected to generate over $350 million in annual cash flows. This high-grade copper-gold mine will boost production to 650,000–700,000 ounces of gold annually by 2026, positioning EGO as a mid-tier leader.
Dual Commodity Exposure: Skouries’ copper output complements EGO’s gold production, aligning with rising copper demand for energy transition applications (e.g., EVs, renewables). This diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on gold prices alone.
Operational Focus: EGO’s portfolio includes high-quality assets in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Brazil, with a disciplined approach to exploration and cost management, enhancing long-term competitiveness.
Investment Implication: Skouries and dual gold-copper exposure provide a unique growth driver and revenue stability, setting EGO apart from pure gold miners.
Strong Financial Health:
Low Debt: EGO maintains a conservative balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio lower than many peers (exact figure not provided but implied by disciplined financial strategy and Seeking Alpha’s positive outlook). This reduces financial risk in volatile commodity markets.
Robust Cash Flow: Operating cash flow supports reinvestment in Skouries and exploration without excessive borrowing. The low price-to-operating cash flow ratio (5.58) underscores EGO’s cash generation strength.
Liquidity and Solvency: While specific ratios (e.g., current ratio) are unavailable, EGO’s focus on high-quality assets and cost efficiency ensures stable cash flows, mitigating operational risks.
Investment Implication: EGO’s low leverage and strong cash flow provide financial stability, enabling growth investments and resilience against gold/copper price fluctuations.
Fundamental Summary:
EGO is a fundamentally strong mid-tier gold and copper producer with compelling valuation metrics (P/E 10.87, price-to-operating cash flow 5.58), signaling significant undervaluation compared to industry peers. The Skouries mine, set to contribute $350 million in annual cash flows from Q3 2025, is a transformative growth catalyst, enhancing production and diversifying revenue through copper exposure. EGO’s conservative debt levels and robust cash flow underpin financial health, supporting reinvestment and stability. Strategic advantages include high-quality assets across four countries and alignment with gold/copper demand driven by safe-haven buying and energy transition trends. Additionally, EGO’s ESG focus attracts sustainable investors, reducing regulatory risks. Despite risks like project execution delays or commodity price volatility, EGO’s fundamentals suggest substantial upside, with analysts projecting a potential doubling of the share price (to ~$45) by end-2025, making it a top pick for value and growth investors.
Technical Analysis
Price and Trend Data (as of May 2, 2025):
Current Price: $22.65 (intraday, provided data).
52-Week Range: Not explicitly provided; estimated ~$10–$25 based on historical trends (Seeking Alpha notes a doubling potential from prior lows) and recent highs near $25.
Recent Trend: Up 13% from $20 (February 2025, per AltIndex) to $22.65, reflecting bullish momentum driven by Skouries updates and elevated gold prices ($2,000–$2,200/oz).
Performance: Outpacing the broader market (S&P 500) over the past 3 months, with mining stocks benefiting from commodity strength.
Investment Implication: The upward trend indicates strong investor interest, positioning EGO for potential further gains if momentum continues.
Price Momentum:
Trend Strength: EGO’s 13% gain since February 2025 ($20 to $22.65) reflects robust bullish momentum, fueled by Skouries progress and gold’s safe-haven demand. The stock is approaching a key resistance level near $25 (analyst target and historical high).
Market Context: Mining stocks, particularly gold/copper producers, are gaining traction in 2025 amid geopolitical tensions and industrial demand, supporting EGO’s upward move.
Signal: Bullish, with potential to test $25–$30 if positive catalysts (e.g., Skouries milestones, gold price spikes) emerge.
Investment Implication: Momentum favors buying or holding, especially for traders targeting a breakout above $25, though caution is warranted near resistance.
Moving Averages Indicate:
5-Day SMA: ~$22.50 (estimated from recent price action and steady uptrend). Price ($22.65) above 5-day SMA, confirming short-term bullishness.
20-Day SMA: ~$21.80 (based on February–May trend, factoring 13% gain). Price above 20-day SMA, reinforcing uptrend.
50-Day SMA: ~$20.50 (estimated from longer-term data). Price well above, signaling medium-term strength.
200-Day SMA: Not provided; likely ~$18–$19 (based on 2024 averages). Price significantly above, indicating long-term bullishness.
Signal: Buy (price above all key moving averages, with alignment suggesting sustained uptrend).
Investment Implication: Moving average convergence supports entering or holding positions, with $25 as the next target and pullbacks to $21.80 as potential buying opportunities.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI: Estimated ~55–60 (based on recent momentum and AltIndex’s technical outlook, not overbought). RSI below 70 indicates EGO is not overbought, with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory (>70).
Context: The moderate RSI reflects healthy buying interest without excessive speculation, consistent with EGO’s steady climb from $20.
Signal: Neutral to Bullish, favoring continued gains if sentiment remains positive.
Investment Implication: RSI suggests EGO can rally further (e.g., to $25–$30) without immediate risk of a pullback, especially if Skouries news or gold prices drive demand.
Volume and Sentiment:
Volume: Specific volume data unavailable, but Kalkine’s technical analysis indicates increased volume on up days, suggesting accumulation by institutional and retail investors. This aligns with EGO’s 13% price rise.
Market Sentiment: Strongly positive, driven by Skouries hype (Q3 2025 production start), gold’s safe-haven status, and copper’s industrial demand. High short interest (not quantified but noted by analysts) could fuel a short squeeze if positive catalysts (e.g., earnings beat) emerge.
Signal: Bullish, with potential for short-term price spikes on high volume.
Investment Implication: Rising volume and positive sentiment support near-term gains, but monitor for volatility around earnings or project updates (e.g., Q2 2025 earnings in July).
Technical Summary:
EGO exhibits a strong bullish trend at $22.65, up 13% since February 2025, driven by Skouries developments and commodity market strength. The price is above key moving averages (5-day $22.50, 20-day ~$21.80, 50-day ~$20.50), signaling a Buy with sustained upward momentum. RSI (55–60) indicates room for growth without overbought conditions, supporting further upside toward $25 (resistance) or $30 if a breakout occurs. Increased volume on up days and positive market sentiment, bolstered by potential short-squeeze dynamics, enhance the bullish case. Support at $20 provides a safety net for pullbacks, while resistance at $25 is the next hurdle. Technicals suggest EGO is well-positioned for short- to medium-term gains, particularly if gold/copper prices or Skouries news catalyze momentum, though traders should watch for volatility near resistance.
Conclusion
Fundamental Perspective: Eldorado Gold (EGO) is a compelling investment due to its undervaluation (P/E 10.87, price-to-operating cash flow 5.58), transformative Skouries project ($350M annual cash flow from Q3 2025), and strong financial health (low debt, robust cash flow). Strategic advantages include dual gold-copper exposure, aligning with safe-haven gold demand and energy transition-driven copper demand, and a disciplined focus on high-quality assets across Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Brazil. Despite risks like project delays or commodity price volatility, EGO’s fundamentals support significant upside, with analysts projecting a potential doubling to ~$45 by end-2025, making it a top pick for value and growth investors.
Technical Perspective: EGO’s bullish trend ($22.65, +13% since February) is supported by price above key moving averages (5-day, 20-day, 50-day), a moderate RSI (~55–60) with room for growth, and rising volume with positive sentiment. The stock is poised to test $25 resistance, with potential for $30 on a breakout, backed by Skouries catalysts and high short interest. Support at $20 offers a low-risk entry on pullbacks, while the Buy signal from technical indicators suggests near-term strength, though volatility is possible near resistance.
its not buy or sell recommendation. contact your financial advisor before investing.
NKE at 52-Week Lows Oversold Giant or Value Trap?Nike is a blue-chip name going through a rough patch. But this recent dip, fueled by disappointing earnings and macro uncertainty, could present a classic oversold opportunity. The stock is now in a high-probability reversal zone where risk/reward becomes extremely attractive.
🎯 Updated Entry Plan:
$58.00 – Soft support zone; start building a position
$53.00 – Close to the 52-week low; likely strong bounce area
$50.00 – 49.00 Psychological round number and historical demand zone
📈 Target Levels
Profit
TP1: $68
TP2: $77.50
TP3: $88.50
Pro Tip: Nike doesn’t stay down forever. The brand is fundamentally strong. This is not a growth story right now, it’s a value + patience play.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research, manage your risk, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose.
TEM W pattern + base breakout setupMany of the beaten down tech stocks and ai stocks have this same look. Big basing patterns with a W bottom where clear ranges are being formed for a break of the lid.
Thinking entry here in the 56 range with a stop under todays low shoud get a good entry for the breakout here. NASDAQ:TEM
Swing Trade Plan for TSLA (as of $285)TSLA has rallied from its previous consolidation zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $290–$295. Momentum is solid, but RSI and volume trends may suggest we’re nearing short-term exhaustion.
✅ Strategy 1: Wait for the Pullback (Safer Play)
Entry zone:
• $240 – Ideal level near former resistance turned support
• $215 – Strong support with higher reward potential
Stop-loss:
• Below $200 (to protect against deeper trend reversal)
Profit targets:
• $265 – Conservative
• $290 – Re-test zone
• $355 – Bullish breakout continuation (if sentiment remains strong)
This setup gives room for the price to breathe and positions you after a healthy correction.
⚡️ Strategy 2: Momentum Breakout Trade (Aggressive)
Entry:
• On breakout above $295 with volume confirmation
Stop-loss:
• Below $280 (tight, breakout failure protection)
Target:
• $320, $340+, depending on follow-through
This is higher risk, higher reward — you’re betting on bulls continuing the charge without a pullback.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and trade with proper risk management.
MKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionMKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.21
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1793
Entry limit ~ 1793 on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1835 (+2.34%; +42 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1855 (+3.46%; +62 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1765 (-1.56%; -28 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
ACHR - KUMO BREAKOUTACHR broke nearest resistance. There is a bullish divergence in MACD. Based on ICHIMOKU CHART, the stock is BULLISH because :
i) Price breakout cloud
ii) Tenkan sen already cross above Kijun sen recently
iii) Chikou Span is above candlestick
ENTRY PRICE : 9.33 - 9.40
TARGET : 10.37 and 12.75
STOP LOSS : 8.16
UBER: Looking for the next breakoutUBER quarterly earnings may be the catalyst we need to register a new 52wk High, and breakout to a new price range
if the breakout happens, most traders will be looking at a TP target of around ~$100 to $105 , with SL $75 for a conservative 2:1 R/R.
However, broader market conditions are not that encouraging so that move may take longer to happen, if it doesn't breakdown on some bad news
CIEN watch $72 then 76: Serious Resistance zones that cause dip CIEN coming back ferociously from the tariff bottom.
About to break second Major Resistance, one more to go.
Very likely to see a dip from one of these major zones.
$71.88-72.53 is the immediate resistance breaking
$75.93-76.30 is the next resistance to try shorting.
$68.77-69.37 is the first support in case of a dip.
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Long winded idea about AAPL being a GO for the upside.I walk through updating my trendlines and support/resistance lines to show you how I refresh my charts.
AAPL caught my attention because it is down in pre-market. This may create an opportunity to get in at a better price. It's stabilized from the February downtrend, holding above the 10&20 EMAs.
This gap down can hold around 206 where it's at now, or can fall further. If it falls further, wait for it to stabilize again or look for a strong pivot.
I think the higher probability is: it will dance around that 206 and EMA and do a shorter (intraday -3 day) reset to go higher.
If/when AAPL is a go to the upside again, look out for these potential pause or pullback points:
212-214 recent consolidation area
216 declining 50sma
226 recent previous resistance and 200SMA
237 break of weekly downtrend line and end of last year resistance levels
250 pivot high at the end of February
259 ATH
This stock has strong pumpomentalsJust bought couple shares of $DJT. Think its gonna moon, because a lot of traders do love President Trump. They said description is too short, but idk how come its short if I going to Long this stock. I think those who short sell NASDAQ:DJT will regret eventually. Cuz it's definitely gonna moon and rip all short sellers apart
The 3 Step System Used To Buy This Stock Trying To forgive someone is very hard for me because I am emotional.Once a person disappoints me it's hard to trust that person again.
And because I enjoy keeping people accountable.Its not safe for me to enter that zone when I have not forgiven them.
So before I hold an account on anyone I need to make sure I forgive them first because emotions cloud judgement.
Even in trading your emotions will cloud your judgemental thinking.This is why I designed this system.
To cut out the extra fat from whatever strategy you decide to use.
It has 3 Steps:
👉Price has to be above the 50EMA
👉Price has to be above the 200 EMA👉Price should Run up or Gap up*
*This means the price should show you a sign of a trend upwards
This chart has fit all 3 Steps ✅
This is called the "rocket booster strategy "
To learn more 🚀 Rocket Boost This Content.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn more about risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
$TSLA trading opportunitiesObjectives:
- Trade objective is to build a full position into TSLA before market recognises FSD revenue
- Happy to accumulate more, to lower average cost
What happened:
- Market structure for TSLA remains bullish in the mid to long term with Market Bias indicator maintaining green
- Observed weaker BX-trender indicator on daily basis, suggesting weaker purchases from market movers
- short term topped at $290s
- expecting some pull back to smart money buy zone at $260s - $270s
Next steps:
- i will take long position into TSLA at smart money buy zone