TSLA It’s still downtrendIf break support 297 below then It’s going down till 153 , (extention is 125)
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.
TSLA: Triangle PatternResearching the market through structural lens, particularly the topology of trapped liquidity buildup and compression of volatility, that leads to a proportionally heavier move once a breakout occurs.
Raw compression area derived from waves of higher degrees (2nd, 3rd)
The longer price consolidates within boundaries of a triangular formation, the more significant the breakout tends to be.
AMD at Decision Point — Will $125 Hold or Break into Gamma Gap?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Call Walls / Resistance:
* $128.89 = Gamma Wall (Highest positive NET GEX)
* $130.69 = 2nd CALL Wall
* $132–$135 = Heavy call congestion, unlikely unless breakout with macro tailwind
* Put Support Walls:
* $125 = Current Gamma Flip Level (critical)
* $122 / $121 = PUT support zone (GEX cluster + structure)
* $113 = 2nd PUT Wall (flush risk zone)
* Options Flow Metrics:
* IVR: 15.6 (modest)
* IVx avg: 48.3
* Call Flow: 33.8% (bullish leaning)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (moderately bullish, but fading under $126)
* Interpretation:
* AMD is trapped just below $128.89 Gamma Wall, failing to reclaim the high.
* If $125 breaks, dealer gamma hedging could intensify toward $122–$121.
🧠 15-Minute Smart Money Price Action:
* Current Price: $126.95
* Structure:
* CHoCH confirmed after rally peaked at $130.69.
* Supply rejection zone (pink box) held hard — price reversed and dropped into trendline test.
* Currently compressing between $126.40 and $125.06, right above the CHoCH floor.
* Volume:
* Fading volume = consolidation after weakness
* Watch for a volume spike at the $125 line to confirm breakout or bounce
* Trendlines:
* Still above ascending trendline, but momentum weakening.
🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Clean break and 15-min close below $125.06
* Target 1: $122.00 (PUT wall + support)
* Target 2: $121 → possible gamma flush zone
* Stop-loss: Above $127.20 (above minor CHoCH reclaim)
Gamma + SMC breakdown at $125 = likely acceleration to $122. Volume confirmation critical.
🟩 Bullish Continuation Setup:
* Trigger: Reclaim and 15-min close above $127.50
* Target 1: $128.89 (Gamma wall)
* Target 2: $130.69 (previous high + 2nd CALL Wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $125.50
Only valid if macro supports or SPY/QQQ bounce. Otherwise, just a fade opportunity for premium sellers.
💭 My Thoughts:
* AMD is hovering above a critical gamma/structure level at $125 — if it breaks, expect dealer flows to push it quickly toward $122.
* Volatility is still relatively low → options are priced favorably for directional trades.
* Watch SPY/QQQ correlation — if market remains weak, AMD likely leads tech breakdowns.
* Patience pays here — don't front-run. Wait for candle close confirmation at $125 or reclaim of $127.50.
✅ Summary for June 18:
* Bias: Neutral → Bearish
* Key Breakdown Level: $125.06
* Bearish Targets: $122 → $121
* Bullish Reclaim: Above $127.50 = potential move to $130
* GEX Danger Zone: Below $125
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk.
Googl Technical Analysis for Jun 18GOOGL Hanging by a Thread! Breakdown Below $174.50 Could Trigger a Drop to $171–170 Gamma Zone
🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Resistance (CALL Walls):
* $177.5 = 2nd CALL Wall
* $180.00 = Highest Positive NET GEX (Gamma Wall)
* $182.5+ = Outer GEX resistance cluster (low odds near-term)
* Support (PUT Zones):
* $172.50 = Current key PUT Support Wall — being tested
* $170.00 = GEX8 and structure support
* $167 = HVL + deep PUT interest floor
* Options Flow Metrics:
* IVR: 19.3 (stable)
* IVx avg: 33.4
* CALL Flow: 16.4% (slightly bullish skew)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢 (lightly bullish but fragile under $174.50)
* Interpretation:
* Price is compressed right above $172.50 PUT Wall.
* If this support breaks with volume, dealers may de-hedge aggressively, opening a quick drop to $170 or $167.
🧠 15-Min SMC & Price Action Analysis:
* Current Price: $175.29
* Structure:
* CHoCH and BOS confirmations show structure breakdown from supply zone near $177.30
* Several CHoCH levels around $175.50 and $174.50 now acting as short-term resistances
* Demand zone sits between $171.90–$172.50 — last bounce area before flush risk
* Trend/Pattern:
* Breakdown from a broad wedge formation
* Rejection from supply zone (pink box)
* Currently testing major support trendline (drawn from June 13 lows)
🧭 Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Break and 15-min close below $174.50
* Target 1: $172.50 (GEX floor)
* Target 2: $170.00
* Stop-loss: Above $176.50
A flush is likely if market-wide selling continues — this is the most probable scenario given current setup.
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Needs Strong Market Help):
* Trigger: Bounce off $174.50 with reclaim above $176.50
* Target 1: $177.50 (CALL wall)
* Target 2: $180 (Gamma Wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $174.00
Would need a strong tech rally or macro catalyst. Risky unless confirmed by SPY/QQQ bounce.
💭 My Thoughts:
* GOOGL looks weak structurally and is sitting right on top of key PUT support — not a place to go long blindly.
* If $174.50 breaks, it likely attracts momentum sellers and gamma pressure toward $170–171.
* Call flow is light, and IV remains tame — cheap options = opportunity for directional plays.
* Monitor volume spike + candle body close under $174.50 for confirmation.
✅ Summary for June 18:
* Bias: Bearish under $174.50
* Key Breakdown Level: $174.50
* Downside Target: $172.50 → $170.00
* Upside Reversal Target: $177.50 → $180.00
* Setup Confidence: 🔻 High if breakdown confirmed
Disclaimer: This content is for educational use only. Always assess your own risk and trading plan.
AMZN Breakdown Brewing — Will $213 Hold or Slipping to $210?📈 GEX Options Sentiment (As of June 17 Close):
* Resistance Zones (CALL Walls):
* $217.5 → 2nd CALL Wall and YDH (Yesterday’s High)
* $220 → Gamma Wall (Highest Positive NET GEX)
* $222.5–225 = Upper GEX cluster (low probability unless a macro bounce)
* Support Zones (PUT Walls):
* $210 → Major gamma-supported zone
* $207.5 → GEX Pivot/Defensive line
* $202.5 = 2nd PUT Wall (Flush zone if $207 breaks)
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 13.6 (still low)
* IVx avg: 32.7
* Put Flow: 0.6% = nearly no bearish hedging → risk of fast re-pricing
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (still stable but neutralizing)
🧠 15-Min Smart Price Action Breakdown:
* Current Price: $214.22
* Structure:
* Price rejected multiple times off ORH (216.26) and YDH (217.06), forming multiple FVGs downward.
* Currently sitting in the PML–Demand Zone at $213.65 — critical bounce or breakdown area.
* Indicators (RSI, BBP, MACD, DMI) show building bearish pressure with fear (-14.44) and oversold tag.
* Trend Confluence:
* Lower highs + FVGs stacking downward = exhaustion
* Market mode = choppy / waiting, but volatility could expand below $213
🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Breakdown and 15-min close below $213.60 (PML)
* Target 1: $210.00 (Gamma cluster + PUT support)
* Target 2: $207.50 (Critical GEX floor)
* Stop-loss: Above $215.00
Momentum + volume pickup in that zone = likely flush to gamma magnet
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Fade Play):
* Trigger: Hold and bounce from $213.60 zone + reclaim $215.00
* Target 1: $216.16 (YDC/PMH)
* Target 2: $217.50 (CALL wall + YDH)
* Stop-loss: Below $213.40
Needs market-wide support from SPY/QQQ to hold up — more likely a short squeeze bounce than clean rally
🔮 My Thoughts for Wednesday:
* AMZN is sitting on the last support shelf before gamma accelerates to the downside.
* GEX is still slightly neutral/bullish but very fragile — one push below $213 and dealers start to hedge short.
* Options flow is light, but low IVR makes buying options attractive if direction is clear.
* Best play is to watch open reaction at $213.60 — either rejection confirms short, or bounce gives scalp long.
✅ Summary:
* Bias: Bearish below $213.60
* Key Level to Break: $213.60
* Gamma Risk Level: $210
* Upside Reclaim: $216.16 → $217.5
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NUE – Long Trade Setup!📈
🔍 Pattern: Breakout above minor resistance with ascending support
📍 Entry: ~$122.27 (breakout confirmation candle)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target: $124.51 (minor resistance)
2nd Target: $127.59 (major resistance zone)
🛑 Stop-loss: ~$120.61 (below trendline and prior base)
✅ Why this setup?
Clean breakout above yellow zone and trendline support
Higher lows forming a bullish base structure
Volume likely supports breakout if continuation follows
Risk-to-reward favorable toward higher supply zone
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📊 Bias: Long / Breakout Continuation
GOOGL – Short Trade Setup!📉
🔍 Pattern: Ascending triangle breakdown (fakeout reversal)
📍 Entry: ~$175.93 (breakdown candle below triangle support)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target: $174.17 (recent support)
2nd Target: $172.36 (major demand zone)
🛑 Stop-loss: $177.33 (above triangle resistance and key rejection zone)
✅ Why this setup?
Breakdown from rising wedge/triangle with lower highs
Multiple rejections from descending resistance trendline
Breakdown zone aligns with prior breakout support, now flipped as resistance
Good R:R ratio into clean demand zones
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📊 Bias: Short / Breakdown Play
WHD – Short Trade Setup!📉
🔍 Pattern: Symmetrical triangle breakdown
📍 Entry: ~$45.87 (breakdown candle below triangle support)
🎯 Target:
1st Target: $45.00 (psychological + horizontal support)
2nd Target: $44.74 (recent demand zone)
🛑 Stop-loss: $46.19 (just above breakdown point & upper triangle resistance)
✅ Why this setup?
Triangle breakdown confirms weakness after consolidation
Multiple rejections from $46.19 and lower highs
Breakdown occurred on a bearish engulfing candle
Room below to fill the gap down to $44.74
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📊 Bias: Short / Breakdown
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK >> 8% intraday market sell-off should be likely the partial decline in the last subdivision of the ongoing wave (y), as illustrated in my 2h-frame above.
Further decline by 12% in the ongoing last subdivision >> c of (y) finally will conclude the entire correction in Minute degree wave ii(circled).
Trend Analysis >> The trend will turn up, and an impending impulsive third wave of the same degree is anticipated to follow soon.
The Retracement Targets >> 7.93 >> 7.84
When over 2,500% isn’t enough for a weekHaha, yes I am predicting a big jump for Mullen Automotives. Why? Well I was watching this mean stock a little while back and watched it soar hundred of percentages in a day. Thought about shorting at the top but I wasn’t confident in it. It then dropped to $4 a share and I decided why not buy 1000 shares and see if it happens again. Sure enough the next day it went up and I sold at $22 a share. Looking at it now it seems like a pattern. I have 10000 shares at around a dollar and limit order in the cents. I’m waiting for the next skyrocket day. Don’t go all in, I am only using some extra money I got from forex trading last week. I am buying long calls too. #YOLOYOURMONEYTO$100000000ORZEROINAWEEK
Buy Idea: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financials – Major Banks
Setup Type: Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) Breakout
⸻
📈 Trade Thesis:
JPM is breaking out of a tight consolidation near all-time highs following a multi-week VCP setup. Volume expanding on breakout, supported by strong sector rotation into financials amid rising bond yields.
⸻
🔑 Technical Setup:
• Entry: $268.50 - 269.50
• Stop: $260.80 (below breakout base, protects against failed move)
• Target 1: $278.00 (psych level + previous breakout projection)
• Target 2: $290.00+ (trend continuation toward ATH range)
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
⸻
📊 Confluence Factors:
• Price above 21EMA, 50MA, 200MA – trend alignment ✅
• VCP structure with declining volume pre-breakout ✅
• Relative Strength vs. SPX improving ✅
• Sectoral tailwind (banks outperforming vs tech rotation) ✅
• Clean flat base breakout – momentum entry zone ✅
⸻
📌 Trade Management Notes:
• Consider trimming 1/3 near $278, trail rest above $272
• Tighten stop to breakeven once price closes 2 consecutive days above $274
• Earnings scheduled July 15, 2025 – manage exposure ahead of report
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
APPLE Big circle building editionSmart phones, some of them look pretty nice tbh.
However, something I read recently about cloud storage really interested me with apple.
Among other things obviously, like big stacks of cash.
Apple has a lot of money essentially.
Apple has a lot of talented people.
SF real estate is scary.
TA and chart description.
basically, we are under a short term trend break and have a lot of indicators pushing a top with a drastic overextension, so you might expect a possible rebound from all of that in alignment. Which you can then notice the gap at 154, and see how it can close that gap and essentially climb in a stable path to nearly 400 after creating some massive support at the 263 mark.
Excited to see how this one moves in price, Excited to see what apple comes out with in the future.
Good luck trading.
Guideline is to show the idea, try not to follow it, instead focus on the price targets and trends.
GME TRENDS AND PRICE TARGETSGME has a neat trend setup where it is sitting around support, with huge downside, but also huge upside. We just saw price gap down and the return sets us up to climb potentially as high as $66.
Good luck GME people.
Contact me for custom charts.
Overall bullish but be careful on this trend break, it is a risky buy.
RIOT / 2hAccording to the last analysis, NASDAQ:RIOT declined by 7.6% intraday right from the 4th wave extreme-high of an ongoing wave A, which may be considered as the fourth diagonal pattern in my 2h frame.
Wave Analysis >> The leading diagonal as Minor degree wave A indicates that a relatively deep correction in wave (2) might be developed.
Trend Analysis >> The trend is correcting down in the same degree wave (2), which will take a few weeks to develop.
The retracement targets >> 8.76 >> 8.20 >> 7.93 >> 7.67
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
$6 to $27 in minutes after market open $CERONASDAQ:CERO went $6 to $27. All I did was just take safest piece of the move, bought right before halt and sold into easy gap up blowout after halt 🎯
AMD's Long Awaited Reversal Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has maintained a well-defined long-term ascending channel since 2019, marked by cyclical touches at both the upper and lower bounds. The current setup signals a bullish reversal following a successful retest of the channel’s lower boundary
AMD now shows a strong bullish reversal:
✅ Broke above a multi-year downtrend line with volume support
📈 Currently retesting resistance $128, a breakout zone historically met with selling
🎯 Channel target projection: $300, offering 140% upside from current price
🔄 Price action consistently respects this trend structure with rhythmically timed expansions every 18–24 months
🧾 Fundamental Tailwinds (2024–2025 Context)
🔥 1. AI Infrastructure & Data Center Dominance
AMD’s MI300X AI GPU series has gained significant traction against Nvidia, with major cloud customers like Microsoft Azure and Meta adopting it for inference workloads.
Revenue from AMD’s Data Center segment surged >80% YoY in Q1 2025, driven by hyperscaler demand and Genoa EPYC chips.
Guidance for 2025–2026 includes double-digit YoY growth across AI and cloud sectors.
🧠 2. Product Roadmap Strength
AMD maintains competitive momentum with Zen 5 CPU launches and RDNA 4 GPU architecture set to arrive late 2025.
Management reaffirmed commitment to high-margin enterprise products and scalable AI inference.
📉 3. Valuation Reset + Earnings Reacceleration
After correcting from $164 to under $100, AMD entered a consolidation phase, allowing for multiple compression reset.
Now trading at ~35x forward P/E (down from 60x peak), with EPS expected to grow >25% YoY into FY2026.
💵 4. Balance Sheet & Buyback Support
Over $5.7B in cash, near-zero debt, and an active $8B share buyback program reinforce shareholder value.
Gross margin in Q1 2025 stood at ~51%, with continued improvements expected from data center mix shift.
PZZA Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025- PZZA reversed from key resistance level 53.90
- Likely to fall to support level 45.85
PZZA recently reversed down from the key resistance level 53.90 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of 2024), intersecting with the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 53.90 formed the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji – a strong sell signal for PZZA.
Given the clear long-term downtrend and the overbought weekly Stochastic, PZZA can be expected to fall to the next support level 45.85.
TSLA - idk im probably wrong.. should we buy itThese hacks, TRUMP and ELON... they're in KAHOOTS I tell ya...
Who lets the Prez babysit their son, only to have a public controversy.
On some actual thesis... TSLA is the first to get any type of sell of since april!
LET IT LEAD THE WAY
AMD - Reject or break the down trend?Been a long time AMD bull, even though it was the Advanced Money Destroyer under $100.
My position became a bit too large as I DCA, today I took off 30% of my position.
I am in a full position currently.
It has ran up nicely and can still run more in my opinion.
I would like to see it break the trend line and confirm a weekly close above it, then retest it as support in the low $100's
GLTA
A whole new type of cash back offer - LONG at 562.03I've posted ideas about MA before. I will continue posting buy ideas about MA until the final breath leaves my body. The average credit card APR is 24.3% - I think this trade can do better. Around 60% APR on average, with a good chance at 270%+ APR.
MA is in a multi-year uptrend, only 2 days removed from its all time high. Smoked today not because they lost their CEO or their business model is a failure, but because two historic enemies took shots at each other halfway across the world. While I won't completely ignore geopolitics, its effects are almost always transitory. I literally can't find a better reason to buy this as a short term blip in their long term story.
On a day where, when the whole market fell just over 1%, MA fell 4x that. I will take that gift and run wild with it. Historically, MA has never failed to produce a profitable trade for me, with an average gain of +.24% per trading day (that's 60% annualized). The average trade length has been 7 days and gained 1.7%.
However, using an additional filter, the per day returns for the last 25 trades have increased to +1.07% per trading day (270% annualized). That's 4x the old returns and almost 25x the long term average daily return of the S&P 500. The average trade length has shortened to 5.5 trading days and produced an increased average return of 2.45% as well.
Additional lots may be added if the signal is re-triggered before I close it. There is no specific profit target, but I will redeem my cash back offer and close any lot end of day when an exit signal is triggered and the lot is profitable.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
LMT longforming an ascending Triangle. Looking for that breakout. With the current war news. This is looking very bullish.
Taking some option calls and holding till my target of $490-500. Thats just me. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH PLEASE! this is not advise just my thoughts on LMT.
LEU in short Squeeze territoryLEU is in short squeeze territory.
Float: ~15.8M shares
Short Interest: ~2.92M shares (~18.5% of float)
Days to Cover: 2.7–3.4 (based on avg. volume)
Cost to Borrow: >12% APR — elevated friction for short holding
Utilization: 100% — all lendable shares are actively short
Off-Exchange Volume: 52.9% of total daily volume
Average DP activity: trending higher last 5 sessions
Interpretation: Consistent dark pool action + volume spikes = institutional movement. Large buys may be being masked to avoid alerting retail and algos.
Call Volume Surge: ~12,380 contracts vs 3K avg
Put/Call Ratio: 0.6 — bullish bias
IV Rank: ~43%
IV Level: ~79.5% (historically high but not dangerous)
Unusual Flow: Deep OTM calls for July and August being loaded — $180, $200, $250
Current Price: $173.66
Today’s High: $175.65
Breakout Zone: $165–168 (just cleared)
Next Resistance: $180.50 → $186 → $195
Support: $167.20 → $161.80
Volume: Over 1.02M — first major 1M+ session since March
RSI: ~86 — hot but normal in short squeeze scenarios
MACD: Just crossed bullishly on daily
Entry: $170–172
Risk: Stop at $163
Target 1: $180
Target 2: $188–190
Stretch Target: $200+ on gamma ramp if momentum holds
TSLA trade of the weekThis idea is something new where I'm asking my HIGHLY EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work for a "best bang for your buck" trade at the beginning of the week. Last week was pretty good saying to short SPY on Wed., so I'm going to journal these and see if it can be consistent.
If this aligns with YOUR work, great.
The idea is TSLA has a spike up towards the upper gap around $326-28. My levels on TSLA often are overshot, but anyway. Then watch for it to head towards the lower gap in the $310-307 zone and possibly down to $302.
My work is INCONSISTENT. There's more going into this than just looking at an indicator. This is energy, intention, intuition and God knows what else and it's more for myself than you. But, if you're interested, I'm happy to answer questions and share as I hope it inspires your own sense of what is possible beyond just the physical world.
