firefly app is trash; Try it yourself on IOS/Android- NASDAQ:ADBE is bloated company with poor execution and talent density. It is floating around because of legacy tools like pdf, image editing capability.
- With advancement in AI, Adobe has consistently disappointed investors.
- Firefly buzz is overhyped, Tried the app and quality of generated content is the worst. Go and try it yourself.
CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin | (June 17, 2025)CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin & Institutional Crypto Infrastructure | (June 17, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Circle, known for its USDC stablecoin and institutional crypto infrastructure, displays a financially solid foundation with healthy free cash flow and an evolving product footprint, making it a compelling long-term play.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Blue-chip levels in the $100–$120 zone (assumed range near current $160)
Stop Loss: ~$90 (well beneath key support zones)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $200 (psychological & projected 5‑year mid-target)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $250 (upper end of 5‑year expectation)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Latest revenue: ~$1.6 B with net income around $155 M; ~82–87 M floating shares, market cap ~$3 B.
✅ Free cash flow is ~6x less debt and matches cash levels—pointing to strong liquidity and balance sheet health.
✅ CEO Jeremy Allaire (since 2013) leads Circle’s path from peer payments to global crypto-financial infrastructure.
✅ Core stablecoin USDC, built on numerous chains (Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Optimism…), fuels 24/7 trading and reserves—~98% of income comes from net interest on reserves.
✅ Major partnerships include Visa, Shopify, Walmart, Ripple, Ledger, Coinbase, plus backing from Goldman Sachs—highlighting institutional trust.
✅ Regulatory-first design and transparency position Circle favorably amid evolving global crypto frameworks.
4️⃣ Optional Follow‑up Note:
Will track key industry catalysts: regulatory clarifications (e.g. EU’s MiCA), stablecoin adoption rates, yield curve shifts impacting interest income, and enterprise integration announcements.
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PAAS – High Tight Flag with Silver TailwindsPan American Silver ( NYSE:PAAS ) is forming a high tight flag — one of the most explosive continuation patterns — just as silver starts heating up.
🔹 High Tight Flag Formation
NYSE:PAAS ripped with momentum and is now consolidating in a tight, bullish range.
This is exactly what you want to see — shallow pullback, tight candles, and holding near highs.
🔹 Sector Momentum: Silver Heating Up
AMEX:SLV and /SI are pushing toward multi-year breakout levels.
NYSE:PAAS is riding that same energy, and any continuation in silver could ignite this setup.
My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Starter Position: Looking to enter on strength through the top of the flag.
2️⃣ Add on Confirmation: Add size on volume surge and breakout follow-through.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Below flag base — keeping it tight and defined.
Why I Love This Setup:
High tight flags are low-risk, high-reward when paired with macro momentum.
Silver is gaining strength — NYSE:PAAS could lead the miner group if this breaks clean.
Strong structure, clean risk, macro fuel = great setup.
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ASML Double Top Breakdown – Bearish SetupASML has formed a double top pattern, signaling potential downside. The neckline has been broken, confirming the bearish setup. If price holds below this level, further downside is expected.
Key Levels:
🟠 Entry: Below confirmation level
🔴 Stop Loss: 780.43
🟢 Target: 549.66
Bearish momentum is strong, and a move toward the target could play out if the breakdown continues. Manage risk accordingly.
BBAI at breakout levelsBigBear.ai, Inc. (BBAI) is showing strong potential for a breakout based on the technical analysis presented in the stock chart. With the stock currently trading above the neckline—a key indicator of upward momentum. Additionally, the Rising Wedge pattern further supports the breakout scenario, as the stock has moved past resistance levels and is approaching the target price areas.
The recent increase in trading volume is another positive sign, as higher volume often accompanies strong price movements. The stock's price has also crossed above key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish trend. Investors should keep an eye on BBAI as it continues to gain traction in the market.
Recent Press Release
BigBear.ai recently announced a collaboration with Hardy Dynamics to advance AI orchestration for U.S. Army drone swarm operations under Project Linchpin. This partnership highlights the company's growing influence in defense applications and AI-driven solutions. Additionally, BigBear.ai reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, affirming its outlook for the year. The company is also set to participate in the BASC Panama 2025 Forum, where it will discuss the future of secure trade and logistics.
These developments, combined with the bullish technical indicators, suggest that BigBear.ai is well-positioned for a breakout. Investors should monitor upcoming news and price movements closely.
Short term target is 4.8$
$ARIS SmartSelect Composite Rating: upgraded to 96📉 Technical Analysis
Stock Price Action (June 17): $26.19, up marginally
50-day SMA: ~$24.30; 200-day SMA: ~$26.38
Currently near 200-day moving average resistance
Momentum & Strength
IBD RS Rating: ~86–87 — signals relative strength over the past year
SmartSelect Composite Rating: upgraded to 96, reflecting strong fundamentals & technicals
EPS Rating: 87 — solid earnings growth relative to other stocks
Pattern & Volume
Recently broke out of consolidation; now testing higher levels on rising volume
Not yet in a classic "buy zone" per IBD, but above consolidation increases bullish odds
Key Levels:
Support: $24.00–$24.30 (50-day MA)
Resistance: $26.40–$26.50 (200-day MA); breakout above ~$27 could target ~$30
Strategic Insight:
Long-term investors focused on ESG, yield, and infrastructure play may find ARIS attractive if it sustains its growth and dividend.
Momentum traders should watch for a confirmed technical breakout.
Cautious investors should consider valuation and leverage, especially given oil-driven cash flow variability.
🛠 What to Monitor Next
Q2 Earnings (late July): Watch volumes, EBITDA margin, oil-price impact.
Oil & commodity vs. Activity: Any contraction could pressure utilization and cash flow.
Debt & leverage: Future capital structure stability, interest costs.
Chart Breakout: Volume-backed move above $27 may signal next leg.
Conclusion:
As of June 17, 2025, ARIS blends strong fundamentals—record volumes, refinancing boost, and a healthy dividend—with improving technicals. The stock is positioning for a potential breakout, though valuation and commodity sensitivity warrant caution. It remains a compelling pick for ESG‑minded or yield-seeking investors, provided macro headwinds stay benign.
MSTR - EWAVESThis analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) is rooted purely in the principles of Elliott Wave Theory. We are closely monitoring both the inner and outer wave degrees to identify the ongoing structure, potential reversals, and continuation patterns. The goal is to map the impulsive and corrective phases across multiple timeframes, giving a high-probability roadmap of price action. This approach helps in understanding the market’s fractal nature and positioning for key inflection points based on wave maturity.
Reddit breaks out for bullish run I have been watching Reddit for a couple of weeks and identified that we had put in the .786 low from the correction since February and then formed a range that was well respected for the past 4 months .
In this video I highlight zones where i expect price to gravitate too and where a nice entry will be if you are looking to long reddit.
Tools used Fib suite , trend based fib , tr pocket , 0.786 + 0.382 and fixed range .
AmdRising wedge here approaching 130-133 double top resistance..
Daily candle extended outside bband..
Look for a pullback to 96-105
Entry 127-131..
Stop loss - A close above 134.00
SOXL (Chip sector) hasn't broken out and the weekly candle finished bearish so I don't think AMD will move over 130
If price does close above 134 then 180 is incoming
6/17/25 - $nxt - What changes? My plan...6/17/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NXT
What changes? My plan...
- a few TL;DR comments before i copy/paste from a msg i sent a friend, in order to keep things efficient on my end.
- i don't think rushing to BTFD makes sense here (for me)
- my exposure is well-managed (15% 2027 LEAPS at about 1.5x leverage), don't feel compelled to size up or down.
now the thread if it helps frame my mindset/ trading plan...
they trade as a basket, the residential stuff was always unownable even considering "credits" in this environment b/c who is paying to install these things when interest rates are so high, the payback period is >10yr and going to the grocery store burns...
...with that being said, what will likely happen is that a TON of demand (for the utility guys - namely NASDAQ:NXT > NASDAQ:FSLR > NASDAQ:ARRY > NASDAQ:SHLS ) will get pulled forward this year and next and they're going to produce tons of cash. BUT...
...the market simply cannot care about this right now (it's how the market thinks). while i'm tempted to buy NASDAQ:NXT here, i do think we're going to see a move back to that gap from may 25, all else equal - ESPECIALLY - if the market has a sell off (solar will be the weak/ "easy" drop for many funds/ investors given this tough setup).
Therefore, reasoning is v logical. sub $50 "yes". but i'd like to see it go mid $40s even if it's 46/47... before biting. A test of the low $40s is not out of the cards (30% scenario?) and i'd want to make it my biggest LT position again, at that point.
the other name that could/ will make sense to own if/when this all happens (mid 40s NXT etc, macro downdraft etc) would be NASDAQ:FSLR back in the $130s, but ideally in the $120s. that company is going absolutely nowhere. and if i may be so bold... solar has already won the game, by 2028 these things will be so efficient, that it will be obvious that installing nuclear vs. solar+battery is just a bad investment. i think we've already crossed that Rubicon and it's part of the reason for taking such dramatic measures to "protect" the legacy and very much DOA non-technology sources of energy.
fwiw - we've seen clear "bottoms" on many solar names in the last pukeathon (end march/april) and then many ripping tops in the last weeks. this sort of clear identification of both bottom/top allows us to use fib lines to get a sense of trading levels IN ADDITION TO (the more important) support/ resistance levels and IN ADDITION TO the gaps left by many. for NASDAQ:NXT the second fib level (b/c the first got smashed thru) is about $52 and corresponds to the wicks from may 14 and 22. and the next one is about $49. above the gap from between may 9/10
given how this sector trades, if we see a multi-day move, that gap gets filled and we test the $46 fib level + the gap fill BUT there's some resistance there from prior px action. give the direction + situation... my guess is that also gets broken/ tested, eventually if nothing changes.
so the $42-$44 level is the IDEAL spot to size up. but if we're not looking to get too cute, mid 40s is a good LT spot too ($44-47). anything above that... and i'll just hand sit, probably, avoid the brain damage.
hope that helps!
V
Cisco Is Pushing a Generational HighCisco Systems has climbed as AI investment helps power growth, and some traders may think the move will continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February 13 peak of $66.50. It was the highest level since September 2000, when the dotcom bubble was deflating. The networking giant come within $0.14 of that level on June 9 and remains in close proximity. Is a breakout coming?
(If CSCO were to clear this year’s peak, investors may next eye $82, its previous all-time high from March 2000.)
Next consider the May 15 closing price of $64.26 following strong quarterly results. The stock probed below the level last week and bounced. That may suggest old resistance has become new support.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Such a sequence may reflect a short-term uptrend.
Finally, Bollinger Band Width has dropped as price moves narrow. Could that tightening price action open the door to price expansion?
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MU Options Insight: Bulls Eyeing $123Fundamental Overview
Micron Technology's $200 billion expansion plan aligns with the broader push for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. The company is investing $150 billion in fabrication plants across Idaho, New York, and Virginia, while $50 billion is allocated for high-bandwidth memory packaging and R&D. This move strengthens Micron’s position in AI-driven demand and supply chain resilience.
The CHIPS and Science Act funding of $6.4 billion and eligibility for the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit further bolster Micron’s financial outlook. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra emphasized that this expansion will create tens of thousands of jobs and reinforce U.S. tech leadership.
Technical Analysis
Micron’s stock is currently near a 12-month high, up 37% year to date. The momentum remains strong, with institutional activity suggesting bullish sentiment.
- Options Flow Insight: A vertical bull spread was spotted in Times & Sales, with 118 strike contracts executed on the ask and 123 strike contracts executed on the bid simultaneously. This suggests a bullish stance, as traders anticipate further upside.
- Expiration Consideration: The June 20 expiration (4 days away) indicates a short-term bullish outlook, likely targeting a breakout above $123.
- Institutional Positioning: The 500 additional contracts at 118 reinforce the bullish bias. If MU moves beyond $123, traders holding the spread still profit, confirming strong conviction in upside potential.
TSLA – Short Trade Setup!📉
🔍 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
📍 Entry: ~$329.09 (breakdown candle near resistance)
🎯 Target: $319.37 (first support), $314.54 (major support)
🛑 Stop-loss: $331.74 (above wedge and resistance zone)
✅ Why this setup?
Price is rejecting from wedge top + supply zone
Bearish structure with lower highs forming
Clear breakdown below ascending trendline
Good risk-reward targeting previous demand zones
🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute
📈 Bias: Short / Reversal from resistance
Symbotic Inc. (SYM) Grows With AI-Powered RoboticsSymbotic Inc. (SYM) is a leading provider of AI-powered robotics and automation systems for warehouses and distribution centers. Its advanced technology helps retailers and wholesalers improve efficiency, speed, and accuracy in inventory management and order fulfillment. The company’s growth is driven by rising e-commerce demand, labor shortages, and the need for faster, more efficient supply chains.
On the chart, we see a confirmation bar with rising volume, showing strong buying interest. The price has entered the momentum zone by breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. Traders can use the Fibonacci snap tool to set a trailing stop just below the .236 level to secure gains while allowing room for further upside.