SIRI: Will you swim with Warrent Buffet?SIRI:
When Mr. Warren Buffett announced his purchase of SIRI, the stock price dipped as the crowd chased after it. Meanwhile, he quietly accumulated shares at the bottom. Once the crowd lost interest, the opportunity for SIRI to rebound emerged.
Are you swimming with Mr. Buffett?
.
US STOCKS- WALL STREET DREAM- LET'S THE MARKET SPEAK!
Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell.
Basic Fundamentals:
Current P/E: 21x
Forward P/E: 15-16x
Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year
Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion
[*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion
Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy)
Dividend Yield: 1.8%
Technical Analysis:
Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change.
Targets in 2027:
$142.00 (+18.2%)
$187.00 (+55.6%)
Neowave Structural Outlook โ Complex Correction: WโXโYโXโZThis analysis interprets the ongoing structure as a Complex Correction in the form of a WโXโYโXโZ pattern. Here's a breakdown of the logic behind the wave labeling and key observations:
Overall Structural Summary:
W wave (M1โM5): Though M1 is labeled as ":5", a closer examination of its internal structure reveals corrective characteristics. Therefore, the entire M1โM5 segment is best interpreted as a complex corrective structure, possibly a double three or flat.
X wave 1 (M6โM8): A clear Zigzag, fulfilling the requirements for a valid X. All relevant time and price criteria are met, forming a neat connector after W.
Y wave (M9โM13):
M9โM10: A Zigzag formation.
M11โM12โM13: M12 serves as an x-wave, and M13 unfolds as a simple corrective move in three waves, completing the Y wave. Though M13 is a single-leg visually, the internal structure confirms a three-part move.
The Y wave is longer in both time and complexity, appropriate for its position in the sequence.
X wave 2 (M14): Despite appearing as a short single move, it satisfies the X criteria in the context of the ongoing correction. The small size is acceptable as per rule allowances for connectors in Z formations.
Z wave (M15โongoing):
M15โM17: Another Zigzag, forming the first leg of Z.
M18: Likely the X connector within Z.
M19: Assumed to be the beginning of the final leg of Z. The structure from here forward will determine whether Z completes as a triangle, zigzag, or another combination.
Supporting Rule Applications:
Several Neowave rules were cross-verified:
- Rule 2a and 5a were referenced to validate corrections that exceed the 61.8% retracement and duration benchmarks.
- Rule 7c and 4 supported impulse invalidations and corrections involving running structures.
Time symmetry across connectors and leg duration was considered to maintain wave consistency.
Visual Channels:
All W, Y, and Z legs are progressing within clearly defined channels.
The Z leg is currently within a steep rising channel. If Z completes as a non-triangular formation, a reversal might follow.
Conclusion & Risk Notes:
This structure, though corrective in nature, contains strong upward segments โ especially within Z โ making it tradable for bullish swings.
Given that Z is the final leg, caution is warranted. Once Z completes (especially if M19 develops into a three-wave structure), the larger correction may terminate, potentially leading to a larger trend reversal.
Position management (e.g., scaling out or using stop-losses) is advised as the structure evolves.
DPRO falling wedge breakoutDPRO has broken out of a falling wedge on the weekly. Ticker will respond well to Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" which includes over $30 billion for defense/military spending. The drone company is already making progress with US military projects and is setting up for a strong rally.
Crypto in July 2025: A Financial Reset from Macromics GroupThe world of cryptocurrencies in July 2025 is experiencing more than just another growth cycle โ itโs undergoing a fundamental transformation of the global financial system. Amid geopolitical instability, tighter control over digital assets, and growing interest from institutional investors, digital currencies are once again in the spotlight. Macromics Group shares its latest analytical insights on the key events and trends.
A New Bull Run: Ethereum 3.0 and Bitcoin Network Upgrade
Since the start of summer 2025, Ethereum has shown strong growth, largely due to the launch of Ethereum 3.0, which reduced transaction fees and made the network more scalable. Bitcoin, in turn, has undergone another major security upgrade, attracting new institutional investors, including funds from Japan and Saudi Arabia.
CBDCs and Regulation: Governments Shift Approach
Central banks are actively rolling out central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). China, India, Brazil, and the EU have expanded pilot programs for their national digital currencies. This has led to increased interest in stablecoins backed by fiat currencies and greater demands for transparency on DeFi platforms.
Macromics Group helps clients navigate these new dynamics, offering up-to-date analytical resources and capital protection strategies across both regulated and unregulated sectors of the crypto market.
NFTs Make a Comeback โ In the Corporate World
A new wave of interest in NFTs is emerging, not from artists, but from the corporate sector. Companies are using tokens for intellectual property, document verification, and digital rights management. Macromics Group is investing in startups building infrastructure for business-focused NFTs โ a clear sign of the technologyโs long-term potential.
AI + Blockchain: A Union of Future Technologies
In 2025, two mega-trends are converging: artificial intelligence and blockchain. AI-powered protocols are automating trading, cybersecurity, and even smart contract audits. Macromics Group is already implementing these technologies into its analytical tools and services.
Whatโs Next? Macromics Group Forecast
According to our data, the crypto market has entered a phase of "conscious growth" โ where technology, regulation, and real-world utility are evolving in harmony. In the coming months, we anticipate increased attention toward:
DePIN projects (decentralized physical infrastructure)
Tokenized real-world assets (real estate, gold)
ESG-focused cryptocurrencies
Conclusion: Donโt Just Invest โ Understand
Macromics Group urges investors to go beyond participation โ to become informed decision-makers. We provide deep analytics, access to unique tools, and expert support at every stage of crypto investing. July 2025 is the perfect time to rethink your strategy and take a step into the future.
Macromics Group โ your expert in the world of digital assets.
SANM Long Trade Setup!
๐
โฑ๏ธ Timeframe:
30-minute chart
๐ Technical Highlights:
Ascending triangle breakout near $104.25 (confirmed)
Strong base forming above $103 (white and yellow support lines)
Price trying to break $105 resistance (red line) for further upside
๐ฏ Targets:
TP1: $105.81
TP2: $106.39
(Both marked in light blue โ recent resistance zone)
๐ Risk Management:
Entry: ~$104.30โ104.50
Stop Loss: Below $103.80
RiskโReward Ratio: Great setup โ clear structure
๐ Trade Plan Summary:
Item Value
Entry ~$104.30
Stop Loss ~$103.80
Target 1 $105.81
Target 2 $106.39
Pattern Ascending Triangle Breakout โ
BX Long Trade Setup!๐
โฑ๏ธ Timeframe:
30-minute chart
๐ Technical Highlights:
Bullish pennant breakout forming after a strong uptrend (continuation pattern โ
)
Breakout area: Around $163 (red resistance)
Support held near $162 zone (white/yellow lines)
๐ฏ Targets:
TP1: $164.15
TP2: $165.05
(Both resistance levels marked in light blue)
๐ Risk Management:
Entry: ~$163 (after pennant breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below $161.80 (tight risk)
RiskโReward Ratio: Excellent (>2:1)
KALA BIO (KALA) Bullish Channel Breakout Setup โ Eyes on $13 KALA BIO (KALA) is forming a bullish ascending channel after a prolonged base, with price consistently making higher lows and higher highs. The current setup suggests strong accumulation, and the stock is now approaching a potential breakout point.
A clear uptrend channel is visible, and a breakout from this pattern could trigger a powerful move towards the analyst target at $13.00, as marked on the chart. The green arrow highlights the expected bullish momentum if the breakout materializes.
Trade Idea:
Entry: On breakout above the upper channel line, confirming momentum
Target: $13.00 (analyst target)
Stop: Below the channel support or recent swing low to manage risk
Volume confirmation and overall market sentiment will be key. As always, use proper risk management and do your own research before entering any trade.
PDD Stock Trading Plan (2025-07-12)PDD Stock Trading Plan (2025-07-12)
Final Trading Decision
1. Comprehensive Summary of Each Model's Key Points
DS Report
Technical Analysis: Price: Currently at $104.91, facing short-term bearish pressures with significant support at $104.83. Indicators: Short-term indicators (30-min) show bearish signals, while daily indicators hint at a potential bullish reversal (e.g., MACD bullish divergence). Sentiment: Mixed headlines with a stable VIX suggest a favorable but cautious entry environment. Trade Strategy: Long with a target of $108.70 and stop loss at $104.10 based on recent support levels.
LM Report
Technical Analysis: Price: Above the long-term bullish trend but facing near-term resistance. Indicators: Neutral RSI levels do not suggest a clear direction. MACD shows some signs of hesitance. Sentiment: Slightly bullish due to institutional flows and a falling VIX but lacks strong conviction. Trade Strategy: Suggests a long position at $105.50, with a profit target of $113.64.
GK Report
Technical Analysis: Describes a neutral situation with prices around key EMAs and exhibiting consolidation. Weak momentum signals indicate uncertainty regarding outright positions. Sentiment: Highlights mixed news with both bullish and bearish implications. Trade Strategy: Recommends not to trade due to the unclear directional bias.
CD Report
Technical Analysis: Confirms short-term bearish momentum with price below moving averages and mixed momentum indicators. Suggests a moderately bearish sentiment based on resistance levels. Sentiment: Slightly positive VIX implies stability; however, recent call volumes show mixed institutional sentiment. Trade Strategy: Strong short position recommended to profit from resistance at $105.70.
2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement:
Most models agree on near-term bearish indicators (e.g., weak momentum, mixed MACD signals across timeframes). Multiple reports note the importance of the $104.30-$106.20 price range as critical support/resistance.
Disagreement:
Long vs. Short Positions: DS and LM suggest potential long positions based on technical rebounds, while CD firmly recommends a short position anticipating downward movement. Market Sentiment: Some models see potential bullish opportunities in VIX stability and call volume, while others express caution due to mixed signals.
3. Conclusion and Recommendations
Overall Market Direction Consensus
The market is in a neutral to moderately bearish state based on the conflicting signals from the models. The current indicators do not suggest a strong bullish trend, while technical analysis indicates possible downward momentum.
Recommended Trade
Direction: Short Position Entry Price: $104.90 at market open. Stop Loss: $106.20 (1.2% loss). Take Profit: $102.50 (2.3% gain). Position Sizing: Based on a $10,000 account with a 2-3% risk tolerance, risking approximately $100-$120 total. Holding Period: 3-4 weeks maximum. Confidence Level: 65% based on resistance rejection and mixed sentiment.
Key Risks and Considerations
Risk of a market reversal if bullish news arrives or a strong institutional buying momentum occurs. Close monitoring of technical indicators is required, particularly the MACD and RSI, as conditions shift either direction could warrant position adjustments.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "PDD", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 104.90, "stop_loss": 106.20, "take_profit": 102.50, "size": 200, "confidence": 0.65, "entry_timing": "open" }
๐ TRADE DETAILS ๐ ๐ฏ Instrument: PDD ๐ Direction: SHORT ๐ฐ Entry Price: 104.9 ๐ Stop Loss: 106.2 ๐ฏ Take Profit: 102.5 ๐ Size: 200 ๐ช Confidence: 65% โฐ Entry Timing: open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BTM Triangle Squeeze: Watching for Breakout Above TrendlineBitcoin Depot Inc. (BTM) is setting up for a potentially explosive move as price action consolidates within a tightening triangle pattern. After a strong rally from mid-May, BTM found consistent support along an ascending trendline, recently bouncing and holding above this key area.
Currently, price is pressing up against a well-defined descending breakout line. A clear break and close above this trendline could signal the start of a new bullish leg, especially with analyst price targets near $7.00 suggesting further upside potential.
My Trade Plan:
Entry: Watching for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline, ideally on higher volume.
Target: Analyst price target at $7.00, with potential for further extension.
Stop: Below the ascending support line or recent swing low to manage risk.
This setup shows strong momentum and a classic technical pattern. As always, I will wait for confirmation before entering, and will manage risk accordingly. This is not financial adviceโplease do your own research before trading.
Microsoft from 2000 to 2017 - Ranging Moments - 13/07/2025A lot of patience is required by Investors.
Stakeholders' Trust and good faith are required in company products & services. Also Board of Directors and Company Management play a big role in growing the company.
An amazing point I can notice,
During this period, Steve Ballmer was from 2000 to 2014.
The CEO plays a crucial role in determining the company's hard pocket returns for investors or the highest risk for investors.
After Stever Ballmer left his position, Microsoft did 10X in stock price.
From approx $50 to $500 within the period of 8 years only.
So What made Microsoft in ranging price points for that period?
Innovation?
Bad Choices of Acquisition?
If you have any good points to connect, comment down on this post?
Happy trading.
High Wave Candle on the weeklyWe have a High Wave Candle on the Weekly chart.
The candle is at the support of the upward parallel channel.
The candle is also under the 50 EMA.
The candle is at the vicinity of the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Bears want to see the close of the next candle below 12.45, then the next price target at 11.82; bears ideally would like to see a complete break of structure to the downside and a candle close below 10.38 for a complete bearish takeover.
Bulls want the structure to maintain intact and a close above the Fibonacci Golden Zone 13.75.
Trading Thesis: Silicon Whiplash โ AMD Coiling for a Re-Launch๐ง Trading Thesis: โSilicon Whiplash โ AMD Coiling for a Re-Launch to $164+?โ
๐ Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD
๐๏ธ Timeframe: Daily (1D)
๐ Current Price: $144.42
๐ Fibonacci Expansion Target: $164.54 (1.236 extension), $174.98 (1.382 extension)
๐ Support Zone: $120.78
๐ญ Play Duration: 2โ4 weeks (event-based structure)
๐ WaverVanir Thesis
Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is presenting a high-conviction pullback-to-launchpad setup.
After reaching the $147.75 resistance (1.0 Fib extension), AMD has begun carving out a potential W-pattern reaccumulation that could send it to $164.54+. This setup aligns with AI infrastructure momentum and strong GPU/CPU roadmap tailwinds into Q3.
โก Catalyst Radar
๐ MI300 AI GPU Rollout: Recent guidance confirms massive momentum in AMD's data center AI segment, expected to double in Q3. MI300X is gaining traction in the hyperscaler race (vs. NVDA).
๐ฐ AI Arms Race: AMD is aggressively capturing GPU demand in sovereign AI, defense compute, and private AI stack builders (OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta).
๐
Earnings Catalyst: Next report in early August. Expect YoY revenue growth rebound + margin guidance upgrade.
๐ Technical Blueprint
๐ Support Zone: $120.78 (Golden Pocket reversion area)
๐ Pullback Scenario: If price rejects from $147.75 again, a W-pattern retrace to $124โ121 would offer a prime long entry.
๐ Upside Targets:
Target 1: $164.54 (1.236 Fib extension)
Target 2: $174.98 (1.382 extension)
๐ WaverVanir DSS Signal
The DSS signal model confirms:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) bullish orderblock was reclaimed at $115
Volume profile shows breakout from low-volume node โ setting up for a clean sweep to higher liquidity zones
Momentum divergence on RSI and MACD supports the "cool-off before liftoff" thesis
๐ง Strategic Setup
Scenario Trigger Action
Bullish Continuation Break + close above $148 Chase breakout with $155/$165 calls
W Reversion Entry Drop to $124โ121 with holding wick Long entry with call spreads into earnings
Bearish Breakdown Close below $118 Wait and reassess โ structure invalidated
โ ๏ธ Risk Management: Tighten stops below $117. Risk defined. No long if structure breaks down on high volume.
โ
Summary
AMDโs structure screams accumulation, not distribution. The convergence of technical structure, fundamental catalysts, and AI expansion cycles makes this one of the highest-risk-adjusted setups heading into earnings season. We are watching for pullbacks to enter long toward $164โ175.
๐งฉ #Tags:
#WaverVanir #AMD #Semiconductors #AITrade #MI300 #GPUWar #FibExpansion #TradingThesis #NVDA #OptionsFlow #AIInfrastructure #SmartMoneyConcepts #VolumeProfile #WPattern #NASDAQ100
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening โ
I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening.
HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum.
Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple.
My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression.
Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.