Fed Funds with 2yr, 10yr and 30yr TreasuriesChart recessions on a graph of Fed Funds with several Treasury issuances and charts of JPY, EUR, Gold DXY etc.
Enjoy.
Economy
$USPCEPIMC -U.S Price Index (January/2025)ECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC 0.3%
(January/2025)
source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.3% month-over-month in January 2025, the same pace as in December, and in line with expectations.
Prices for goods increased 0.5%, followi
The Dutch Housing Market is About to Collapse: The Perfect StormThe Dutch housing market is on the verge of a historic crash. The extreme rise in property prices over the past decades now seems unsustainable, and the first cracks in the foundation are already visible. Technical analysis indicates that a correction of at least 25% in house prices is a realistic s
UK HOUSE PRICES: RELENTLESS UPTRENDIn January 2025, the latest figures reveal that UK house prices have risen by 0.7%, pushing the average price to a staggering £299,238, a new all-time high. For the mainstream media, the narrative of an impending house price crash has been a constant refrain over the past two years, fueled by the be
Yield Curve Inversion Watch Chart - Fed Has To Cut!If you’re worried about a recession, you should be watching the Yield Curve Inverting.
Historically, an inversion signals a recession, but with a lag.
We can see this on the chart whenever the yield curve hits 0%
This shows the 2Y yield higher than the 10Y which is a signal that the market expect
BEAR 30Bearish divergence on MACD and RSI, made the THIRD lower low without any higher highs, looking at targets at the area 0.382-0.618
Timing the Markets with Consumer SentimentBusinesses and producers around the world always cheer when U.S. consumer sentiment is in the 80 to 100 zone, as U.S. consumers play a big part in the global economic ecosystem.
The United States remains the largest consumer market in the world, but since the pandemic, this index has not recovered a
US ISM is a leading indicator, chart shows ISM over laid RUTUS ISM is a leading indicator, chart shows ISM over laid RUT aka IWM, we are almost there! hang in there! send it all!!
2/18/25 - general mkt observationsi'd rather be sippin' pina coladas on the balcony at this stage than continue at the beach party with clear skies darkening. think i've just been there, done that enough to not want to play the last minute FAFO game as much as one can possibly avoid it.
so when i look out over the next 12 months...
Global Liquidity: A Turning PointLooking at the state of global liquidity, I believe we're in a solid position for some longer trades. The chart reflects a potential inflection point, suggesting that liquidity could increase over the next six months. This aligns well with my base case that we may see a gradual rise in liquidity, su
See all popular ideas
GDPGDP GrowthReal GDPGDP Per CapitaGDP Per Capita PPPInflation RateInterest RateUnemployment RateGovernment Debt to GDPPopulationAverage Hourly EarningsHouse Price IndexManufacturing Production YoYIndustrial Production YoYCurrent AccountCurrent Account to GDPBalance of TradeEconomic Activity IndexCrude Oil ProductionSee all