MICROSTRATEGY Can $2000 be its next High?Microstrategy (MSTR) followed the exact trading pattern we suggested on our last analysis (December 27 2024, see chart below) as it made its technical correction December through March and rebounded aggressively in April:
Back then we called this a shift to a new paradigm and is no different than the April 1999 bounce than led to the eventual massive rally that made the Dotcom Bubble burst.
Since the recent All Time High (ATH) broke above the (blue) 23-year Channel Up, we applied the Fibonacci Channel levels all the way from its March 2000 Dotcom High. The fractal we mentioned before shows that the stock's next Target, and possibly this Cycle's High, can be on the 0.618 Fib at $2000.
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Disney Stock Pops on Strong Earnings Data. Turnaround Working?The Magic Kingdom just pulled a rabbit out of its hat — and Wall Street’s loving it.
Disney stock NYSE:DIS surged 11% on Wednesday, not just for its best day in a year, but for the kind of earnings beat that makes analysts reconsider their entire valuation model while retail traders tweet “ NYSE:DIS to the moon.”
Is the House of Mouse finally finding its footing? Just a day ago, Disney shares were languishing 60% below their 2021 record. Let’s break it down.
♫ Earnings That Deserve Their Own Theme Song
Starting with the headline: adjusted earnings per share clocked in at $1.45 , stomping the $1.20 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $23.62 billion, a 7% jump from last year’s earnings performance and another beat that sent traders racing for their mouse ears.
After a year of streaming skepticism, cost-cutting, and investor hand-wringing over whether Bob Iger’s encore CEO tour could work magic, this quarter delivered. Bigly.
💪 Streaming Had No Business Going That Hard — But It Did
Wall Street was braced for a Disney+ subscriber drop. Instead, the company added 1.4 million new subscribers to 126 million, easily topping expectations of 123 million.
Not only are people still subscribing despite price hikes, but the direct-to-consumer segment (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) posted revenue growth of 8% to $6.12 billion, powered by both higher prices and surprise stickiness. Operating profit in streaming? A cool $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago.
Disney even raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.75, a 16% gain from fiscal 2024 — a confident flex in a market where most companies are still managing expectations with surgical pessimism.
⏫ Mickey’s New Best Friend: Margin Expansion
It wasn’t just top-line fireworks — the net income boom was one for the books: $3.28 billion in profits, compared to a $20 million loss a year ago.
Operating margins in streaming are on the rise. Profitability, once seen as an elusive dream for all the big streaming platforms, is suddenly in sight. Disney is guiding toward $875 million in streaming profit for this fiscal year — and based on this quarter, that may end up conservative.
🎡 Parks Still Pay the Bills — With a Sprinkle of Magic
Now let’s talk about the real engine behind Disney’s machine: the parks and experiences division.
Domestic parks posted a 13% profit increase, powered by higher visitor spending and the launch of a shiny new cruise ship.
That’s important in an economy where every other headline screams “recession imminent.” Disney’s park guests are ignoring macro headwinds and enjoying the fantasy — and that’s music to shareholders’ ears.
Worried about tariffs? Sure, but they haven’t shown up on Disney’s balance sheet just yet. And until they do, Disney’s parks remain a cash printer with castles.
🏟️ A Park in Abu Dhabi — Why It May Be Big
Tucked in among the streaming buzz and EPS upgrade was something that made global investors raise an eyebrow: a new Disney theme park in Abu Dhabi.
On the surface, this sounds like a headline for 2031. And sure, it’ll take a few years to plan and build, and a few more to create the commemorative popcorn bucket. But long-term investors should pay attention.
Abu Dhabi isn’t just a tourist destination — it’s a capital backed by one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds and a keen interest in diversifying the revenue streams beyond oil. A Disney park there isn’t just another expansion — it’s a geopolitical bet on premium travel.
As Iger put it, it may seem modest now, but it’s quietly huge for the brand’s future footprint.
👀 What’s Behind the Magic? And Can It Last?
So the big question: is this a one-time sugar rush, or the start of a sustained turnaround?
There are reasons to be optimistic. Disney's streaming growth looks increasingly sustainable. Its content pipeline (including ESPN's evolving digital presence) is improving. The parks continue to defy economic gravity. And Iger seems to be rebalancing the business with a more profitable, investor-friendly mix.
But let’s not forget: content costs are still high, competition in streaming hasn’t gone anywhere, and park margins may come under pressure if consumer sentiment shifts. The macro backdrop remains complicated, and even Mickey can't outwit the Fed forever.
Still, this quarter wasn’t just “less bad than feared.” It was actually good — and that's a narrative shift that could power momentum.
🐭 The Mouse Still Got It
Disney’s earnings report, delivered in the heat of the earnings calendar , could be interpreted as a signal that the entertainment giant isn’t just navigating the new entertainment landscape — it might actually be mastering it.
And in a market starved for upside surprises, Disney just reminded investors that storytelling is its business — and this one’s finally got a happy twist.
The question now is whether traders and long-term holders believe in the next chapter. For now, with the stock back above $102 and the Magic Kingdom delivering financial magic, the bulls are back in the castle.
Your turn: Are you buying into Disney’s turnaround? Holding for the next golden age? Or still side-eyeing that subscriber chart? Let’s hear your play on NYSE:DIS below.
Chapter 4: “The Winds Shift”The morning sun had barely risen when PLTR stood once again atop its hard-won ground at $119.85.
Behind it lay the shattered green line, now a path paved by victory; ahead, the final gates of $122 gleamed, radiant yet distant.
But as the warrior gazed toward those heights, a subtle chill crept through the air.
The wind — once warm and pushing at its back — began to shift.
Something unseen stirred.
At first, it was a faint resistance, like climbing a hill with each step heavier than the last.
Buyers pressed forward, but their strength no longer carried the same force.
The candles wavered, flickering between green and red, as if uncertain which direction fate would choose.
And then…
the clouds gathered.
A sudden, sharp gust swept across the battlefield.
Without warning, a red streak fell from the sky — a swift, merciless strike.
$119… $118… $117.50…
One by one, the levels gave way beneath the weight of the selloff.
The crowd below gasped, their cheers silenced into stunned whispers.
“A pullback,” said the seasoned watchers.
“No — a test.”
The warrior planted its sword at $117.43, steadying itself against the trembling earth.
This was no defeat.
This was the trial between surges, the quiet before the next roar.
Above, the dashed white line — the ascending path toward $122 — remained unbroken, like a promise waiting to be claimed.
Below, the green line shimmered faintly, its support lingering, a reminder of how far they had come.
In this moment, the battle paused.
The bulls gathered their breath, their resolve.
The bears watched from the shadows, unsure if their strike had been enough.
And the market… waited.
A stillness before the next move.
“We’ve pulled back,” whispered the warrior, “but we have not fallen.”
“The path remains.
The sky above is still ours to claim.”
And as the candles narrowed, coiling in quiet preparation, all eyes turned once again to the horizon.
For though the winds had shifted…
the climb was far from over.
$CRWD : Exceptional performance. Next stop 500 $. Very few stocks can claim the performance and resiliency of Crowdstrike. NASDAQ:CRWD not only resisted the recent downturn in the volatile markets but also is above it previous multi cycle highs. The stock was @ 400 $ when the major global outage happened, and the stock touched the lows of 200 $ before it had a massive bull run from the lows of 200 $. Before the major ‘Liberation Day’ volatility the stock touched an all time high of 450 $. Since then, the stock has reversed almost all its losses.
This can not be said about many stocks in the market. Even within the Tech sector the subsector Cybersecurity showed a great deal of resilience in the recent market turmoil. In this space we discussed the relative performance of AMEX:HACK vs SMH multiple times. But within the Cybersecurity subsector there are stocks like NASDAQ:CRWD which are trying to reclaim the ATH. Very few stocks in the Tech sector are at or near their ATH. At 430 $ NASDAQ:CRWD is just 5% away its ATH. The RSI is still not in overbought condition which is hovering at 60s. Next stops are 450 $ and then the 1.61 Fib retracement level which magically lies at 500 $.
Verdict : Stay long $CRWD. Next target 500 $.
Earnings today with a break out and gap above?I am seeing a clear break of structure with a large liquidity gap above at my red lines.
With benefits to pharma tariffs being lifted it will provide bullish narratives for exporting our pharma production.
I honestly don't know much about the stock, but the technicals add up here.
Bearish thesis is a gap down to grab liquidity for long term.
"Mastering Trend Confirmation: From Structure to RSI with ALGTP 📌 Custom RSI & Structure Sync with Quantum – How We Analyze with ALGTP
Many traders use different versions of RSI—and that’s totally fine. But with the custom-built RSI in the ALGTP system, we’ve synchronized it with our Quantum Zones and Market Structure, allowing for:
Clear identification of solid Support and Resistance zones—no more second-guessing when price is at a key level.
Accurate detection of reaction zones (R1, R2)—so you won’t jump into trades blindly.
🎯 How It Works in Practice:
✅ 1. RSI Is More Than Just RSI
The ALGTP RSI is integrated with Quantum Cloud and Price Structure.
When RSI hits R1 or R2 without a valid breakout signal → stay out of the trade.
If you're already in → always set a stop loss when you're within R1 or R2 zones.
✅ 2. Watch for "Open" on Quantum Structure
If you see a label called "Open" on Quantum, that means the structure is resetting back to the origin (zero).
At this stage, avoid making early bias calls—wait for AO and RSI to align before reacting.
✅ 3. Use AO & RSI Together to Define Zones
If AO turns flat/sideways (purple bars), and RSI moves into the neutral zone, it signals no momentum—a potential breakout or breakdown zone.
If a breakout happens, RSI will blast through R1, and the system will automatically establish new targets via Quantum.
🔁 4. Final Trend Check: Always Return to the 15-Minute Timeframe
After scanning the higher timeframes (1H, 4H, etc.), come back to the 15-minute chart for confirmation:
If price action is above the 15m Confirmation Trigger → the overall trend remains bullish.
If price closes below Confirmation → the entire multi-timeframe structure flips to bearish.
⚠️ Key Takeaways:
⚡ Seeing R1/R2 without AO + RSI confirmation? → No entry.
⚡ Seeing “Open” on Quantum? → Structure is resetting—be patient.
⚡ Always finish with a 15m check to validate or reject higher timeframe bias.
Chapter 3: “The Skyveil @$116 Shattered” (Buy until $124)The smoke still clung to the air as the dust settled atop $113. Behind them, the battlefield lay littered with broken resistance. But NASDAQ:PLTR did not stop to rest.
No… the warrior lifted its gaze, and there it was:
The green dotted line.
A spectral threshold, shimmering above the plains at $116–$117, a boundary etched by the hands of past momentum. For many, it was a ceiling. For PLTR, it was a dare.
“Cross me,” the line seemed to whisper.
“If you can.”
And so… they marched.
With each step higher, the volume beneath them rumbled like war drums.
Every tick upward: a shield raised, a sword drawn.
$114… $115… $116…
And then — the clash.
The green line wasn’t just a price level.
It was a fortress in the sky.
As PLTR’s price struck its surface, a shockwave rippled through the chart.
Red candles flared, sellers firing their volleys from the ramparts.
The price staggered backward, briefly retreating toward $115.75… $115.50…
But this wasn’t retreat.
This was the drawing back of an arrow before the release.
Suddenly —
A surge of volume.
A roar of momentum.
A candle forged in fire.
A towering green candle burst forth, piercing the green dotted veil, splitting it like thunder cleaving the night.
Stop-losses ignited.
Shorts fled.
Momentum traders piled in, shouting like an army unleashed.
PLTR didn’t just break the green line.
It obliterated it.
The price flew higher: $117… $118… $119.85.
Every level above was no longer resistance —
it was acceleration.
And now, standing tall at $119.85, up +8.5%, the warrior looked beyond.
Ahead shimmered new battlements:
$120… $121… $122.
The final walls before reclaiming the higher kingdom.
The market watched in awe.
“It was never about breaking resistance,” whispered the charts.
“It was about proving the sky was never the limit.”
PLTR stood, sword raised, armor shining in the glow of its momentum.
The green line broken beneath its feet.
The wind at its back.
And as the candles flickered forward, every tick toward $124 felt inevitable.
The battle wasn’t over....
...The conquest had only just begun.
$OKTA is ready to RIP! 58% UpsideNASDAQ:OKTA was a big name I was talking about end of last year before we took a big dip in the markets...well we are back at the CupnHandle breakout level now and this trade looks ready to RIP!
Warning earnings on May 27th!
- Looking for a close on Friday above the breakout level for an entry here
- Green H5_L inidcator
- CupnHandle breakout
- Volume shelf launch
- Bullish Wr%
$139 First target
Measured Move is $186 for the cupnhandle
Not financial advice
TESLA Is a $600 price tag a pipe dream?Tesla (TSLA) is seeing a steady recovery from the April 21 2025 Low, which has been a Quadruple Bottom, and has found itself consolidating the last 10 days within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 2.5 year pattern is a Channel Up and this Quadruple Bottom took place exactly on its 0.236 Fibonacci level, with a 1D RSI sequence that resembles the Bullish Divergence of its previous bottom on April 22 2024. The similarities don't stop there as the Bearish Legs that led to those bottoms have almost been identical (-53.88% and -56.37% respectively).
As a result we can technically assume that the current Bullish Leg that will be confirmed with a break above the 1D MA200, will be symmetrical to the previous one, which made a Higher High on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. That is now at $823 but falls outside of the 2.5-year Channel Up, so our long-term Target for the end of the year is $600, which is right at the top of the pattern.
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NVIDIA (NVDA) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout in PlayNASDAQ:NVDA NVIDIA (NVDA) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout in Play
NVDA has broken above a key neckline at $108, confirming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern. With the head at $85, the breakout projects a target around $138.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $117 (current level)
Stop Loss: $107 (below neckline)
Target: $138
Risk–Reward: ~1:2.1
Strong volume on the breakout adds conviction. Watching for continuation toward the projected target in the coming weeks.
#NVDA #Breakout #InverseHeadAndShoulders #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis
Wow, Id be dumping my life savings into this.First target is $25 and the $30 once we start to see price move closer to its volume profile gap down at my pink lines.
The key price level I see for support is 12.62$ but honestly, this looks like it could rip any day now.
Im longing until we break below $12
An AAPL (quick) turnover trade - long at 196.25There's nothing particularly pretty about AAPL's 2025 chart. It's in a solid downtrend since the start of the year, losing 24%+ this year. However, a recent higher high and higher low since the April 8th low, and support from the April 21 pullback low close by gives me a little hope that a quick snapback is potentially in store. Potentially grabbing the upcoming dividend is just a bonus. 4 down days is typically a good contrarian indicator as well, though its run of 8 consecutive up days just prior to this tell me there may be more room to run lower.
But AAPL is AAPL and when someone comes up with a legit challenger to them, I'll worry about this trade. Until then, I'll yawn, be patient, and collect my profit eventually. If that's in 2 days, great. If it's in 2 months, not as great but I have literally never had AAPL not pay me and I don't expect this time will be any different.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
ONTO got smoked - opportunity?I had this as a buy at higher levels, but support was lost and I exited my position at a small loss. We have now dropped over 30% today, the earnings suggest 2-4 tough quarters ahead. But I believe this to be one of the best opportunities in the semiconductor space. It’s a smaller cap stock and they focus on providing metrology solutions, advanced packaging for AI. Expect wild swings to the downside and upside, I believe the downside swing has just occurred as investors don’t have the patience to hold through a cyclical downturn.
I’m dipping my toes into this now, not financial advice, do what’s best for you.
$GRAB Long Term Trade IdeaTaxi and delivery service stocks all look bullish at the moment. Lyft and Grab are both a couple of my favorite longer term swing trade/investment plays just based off risk/reward and how beaten down both the stocks are.
If shown patience this trade could work wonders. I like it a lot because it gets me a little exposure to assets outside the U.S. and from a chart perspective its hard not to love a setup like this.
1. The buy side volume shown here is the highest its ever been for the stock by a long shot.
2. Price has been in a descending wedge type formation for several months now and is attempting to make a breakout, though this month's candle still has a lot of time left.
3. That hammer candle, especially considering it being printed on the 1M timeframe, is incredibly bullish in my eyes.
This chart reminds me a lot of NYSE:BABA but a bit earlier in its breakout stages. To me it is clear that accumulation has been taking place for over 2 years now and a big markup is upon us.
I have 3 take profit areas marked based off a few different Fibonacci levels I like that also have confluence with supply/demand dynamics present on the chart.
multiple daily/weekly candles below $4 could be a a good stop loss area as that would invalidate a lot of the bullish structure. Based off the current price this provides you with a minimum 2.75x RR trade and a maximum of 7x RR.
My average price is $4.25. Any pullbacks below $4.50 I will be looking at as great buying opportunities.
Will do my best to update this idea periodically over the next year or so.
XPEV: Setting Up for a Breakout
Consistent high/mid double-digit quarterly sales and earnings growth, along with high annual EPS growth estimates.
Weekly volume indicates substantial institutional accumulation.
Price has been tightening around the 10-week moving average on decreasing volume, with tight weekly closes (a good sign of accumulation)
As long as the price holds above the April 21 lows, I anticipate at least a mid-term bounce in the coming weeks. Or, potentially, a start of a new macro uptrend to retest 2021 highs.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!