ORCL - Weekly - The PlayClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) The most recent two earnings reports came in slightly below expectations, but not enough to warrant a significant sell-off reaction.
2.) Annually, the company has shown consistent revenue growth since 2019 and net income growth since 2020.
3.) Its financial health has been in good standing and has remained so since 2019.
4.) Market manipulation has been apparent since March 24, 2025, which leads me to believe that Oracle's true value is closer to $148.
5.) My analysis suggests that the earnings report on June 17, 2025, will be a positive surprise, potentially resulting in a short squeeze if there isn't a significant run-up in price before the announcement.
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EFERT PROBABLY IN WAVE '' 3 '' OR " C " - LONGEFERT is most probably in wave 3 or C of a higher degree wave 4 or A, if our wave count is correct then wave 3 or C is almost ending and prices should take support from 165-160 range level.
Alternately prices can go toward our main buy zone directly i.e. 160-140 range in which the prices might reach 145-140 level easily but our preferred setup suggests that prices will take support around 165-160 range bouncing of the yellow trendline.
We will take a small position at 165-160 level and if prices goes further down we will add more at 145-140 level, based upon our little knowledge we find EFERT fundamentally strong and reasonable at prices around 160-140 but of course cheaper is always better.
If our wave count is correct then we can make around 12% to 21% on this trade.
Trade setup:
Entry price: 165-160
Stop loss: we will update stop loss once prices start to rise from our buy zone
Targets:
T1: 185-195
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
Review and plan for 30th April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Title: “Mazagon Dock: History Repeats? Chart Pattern Suggests AnTitle: “Mazagon Dock: History Repeats? Chart Pattern Suggests Another Breakout Ahead!”
Description: Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd (MAZDOCK) is showing a strong resemblance to its previous bullish pattern from early 2024. The highlighted ellipses show two nearly identical consolidation and breakout formations. The blue projection line mirrors the past 2024 price movement, suggesting a potential rally.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3095 — if broken, expect a move toward 3148.
Support Zone: Around 2930-2970.
If the pattern continues, we could see a strong upward move. This setup is a great example of price action repeating itself—classic case of a fractal pattern in technical analysis.
Idea Type: Bullish | Timeframe: 1D
👉 Note: Always manage risk. Patterns can fail—set your stop loss wisely!
Spotify stock falls more than 11% after earnings releaseSpotify's stock has shown significant price weakness and is now trading below $600 per share, shortly after a large bearish gap formed following the release of its quarterly results. The company reported earnings per share of €1.07, below expectations of €2.13 per share. Additionally, Spotify projected operating profit for Q2 at €539 million, under the market estimate of €557 million. The earnings miss and weak forward guidance have led to persistent bearish pressure, triggering strong selling momentum in the short term.
Uptrend Weakens:
Spotify has been in a consistent uptrend since around November 2022. However, in recent months, buying pressure has failed to push the price to new highs, with the stock now trading in a lateral range that signals a period of price consolidation. If the uptrend continues to stall, this neutral phase may extend in the short term.
ADX:
The ADX line has started to show early signs of neutrality, hovering around the 20 level. This indicates reduced volatility over the past 14 trading sessions. If ADX remains in this range, it suggests that price neutrality could persist.
RSI:
A similar condition is seen in the RSI, which has reached the neutral 50 zone—where bullish and bearish momentum are in balance. This reinforces the neutral sentiment and may support continued sideways movement in upcoming sessions.
Key Levels:
$640: The most recent high. A breakout above this level could signal a continuation of the long-term uptrend.
$540: Current support level, aligned with the 100-period simple moving average. Stability here may support ongoing consolidation.
$480: Major support at recent lows. A bearish move back to this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
45$I know they have some issues with the glp1 one stuff but revenues are strong and this won't matter long term I think everyone knows that. They'll beat earnings next week and we're headed to 35 range I grabbed a bunch of cheap 45 7/18 calls along with some 40 41s. 31% short Interest right now I'm sure we can get a run up to that 35 before earnings. expect volatility both ways. Today had a premature break out ran 7% and came all the way back to negative to retest, falling below trendline will likely invalidate.
DUOL - Short until it finds a bottomDUOL earnings ahead, I bet this gonna below 300 post earnings.
AI gonna make this obsolete
AI adaption gonna keep them afloat but can't be a substitute for AI.
Technically this is at right place for the short entry.
Target 1 - 260
Target 2 - 220
Target 3 - 160 over the time
Wow, Id be dumping my life savings into this.First target is $25 and the $30 once we start to see price move closer to its volume profile gap down at my pink lines.
The key price level I see for support is 12.62$ but honestly, this looks like it could rip any day now.
Im longing until we break below $12
NVDA Heading into March 25'Still Bearish.
Clear top and been working down ever since
Yet another reject near the .382 FIB LEVEL, which was a reload zone in Q3 and Q4 of 2024.. now a sell zone since Q2 25' began as its cooled off from ATH to end 24 and begin 25.
Looking to buy @ .236 & lower.
Would not take a BUY higher until a break & hold above .5 to confirm some strength to an upside move.
NVDA overall as a company is going to be a powerhouse in multiple spaces in the future, we can all see that. It's not going anywhere and has multiple huge investments to push its industry hold even higher and revenue down the line to increase.
Their wide range of partnerships within the autonomous driving space with companies like GM, Toyota, TSLA (for its chips) and more position NVDA to be one of, if the not THE the largest market cap companies within the next 10 years to me.
Autonomous driving I personally feel will begin to make its way to a MAINSTREAM space beginning around 2030 and by 2030 will have an extreme space in day to day by 2035.
Long term vision beats short term gain!
Palo Alto Networks: Countermovement or Breakout?Palo Alto has faced increasing upward pressure and has been noticeably pushed higher. Thus, the stock is ogling our alternative scenario, which envisions a direct breakout above the resistance level at $207.24. In this 30% likely scenario, we would attribute the last low to the beige wave alt.IV and prepare for a new high of the blue wave alt.(I). Primarily, however, we classify the recent gains as a countermovement and locate the stock already in the bearish blue wave (II), which should settle its low within the blue Target Zone between $104.74 and $55.73; prior to that, the price must fall below the support at $130.04. After the wave (II) low, a new (wave (III)) uptrend should begin and eventually lead to new all-time highs above $207.24.
LULU watch $268: Double Golden fibs to end bounce or Bottom IN? LULU bounced a bit into a tight confluence of Golden's.
Golden Genesis at $267.70 and Golden Covid at $268.74.
These mark a major landmark in the lifetime of any asset.
Rejection here would point to lower lows.
Break and Retest would be long entry signal.
Likely is an "orbit" of these before any move.
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TWAP and Chaikin's Osc vs VWAP Orders and VWAP IndicatorThere are two primary Order Types that the Professional Side of the market use.
1. Time Weighted at Average Price, aka TWAP , is used extensively by the Dark Pool Buy Side, Derivative Developers, and Sell Side Banks of record for Buybacks for corporations.
The TWAP can be set at a penny to few pennies spread and pings and transacts on a specific TIME to PRICE. It can be set to time intervals shorter or longer. This is why the stock market is called "fully automated".
TWAP is used most of the time. It is rare for the Giant Institutions to use VWAP orders due to the May 2010 FLASH CRASH when a fundamental trader of e-minis accidentally hit the VWAP order type rather than the TWAP order type which caused a massive collapse of all stocks as VWAPs accelerate selling as volume increases.
2. Volume Weighted at Price or VWAP is ALSO an ORDER TYPE. It is primarily used by Small Funds Managers and Small Asset Managers who are independents trading their customers' investment money actively, often intraday. Volume Weighted at price ORDER TYPES are also automated and ping to trigger the order to transact as volume increases.
This is an easy, simple way for a busy small fund manager to cope with the complexity of buying and selling stocks with 10,000 share lots to 100,000 share lots. These are the NEW "whales" of the market.
Professional Traders Swing trade 1 million to 5 million or higher share-lot sizes. The size of the orders of the professional trader has increased significantly in the past decade.
All of you need to be aware of the market participants on the professional side as they control 80% of the 1 trillion dollars that exchange hands daily on the US Markets.
Using Chaikin's Oscillator is ideal for tracking the Dark Pool Buy Side who create the bottoms. This excellent indicator analyzes all 3 data sets: price, volume and time. Thus, it can signal early that the Dark Pools have slowly started to accumulate over time and the runs down will turn into a bottom and then pro traders will nudge price to inspire VWAP orders from the Smaller funds managers.
The VWAP INDICATOR is excellent for tracking the smaller funds managers' trading activity and it ALSO has price, volume, and time in the formula. So this is great for those of you who need an indicator for following smaller funds activity as these smaller funds VWAP orders trigger more and more volume and then runs that can move up or down for several days.
TradingView has an awesome group of indicators to use. You should customize your indicators to which market participant groups you wish to track so that you can be ready and in a position before the big runs up or down.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
Canopy Growth Corporation – High-Risk, High-Reward SpeculationThe stock of Canopy Growth Corporation experienced an unprecedented rally following its initial public offering (IPO). After a brief correction phase, the share price surged from CAD 0.25 to an all-time high of CAD 744.50 within four and a half years — an increase of over 244,000%. A sharp decline followed, interrupted by a temporary rebound that reached a new record high of CAD 766.80. This movement marked the beginning of a massive correction phase during which the stock dropped to CAD 1.09 — a loss of more than 99% from its peak.
At the low point of this move, a five-wave impulse structure emerged for the first time, which, according to Elliott Wave Theory, could indicate the potential end of the larger corrective Wave 2.
The following analysis takes a closer look at this initial impulse, including the resulting price development and potential entry zones for speculative investors. The analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and reflects a subjective market interpretation. The corresponding wave count can be found in the attached chart.
Market Structure According to Elliott Wave Theory
On April 9, 2025, Canopy's stock marked the low of the overarching Wave 2 at CAD 1.09. By April 25, 2025, a complete five-wave impulse had developed, ending at CAD 2.26. Since then, the price has been undergoing a corrective Wave 2.
This correction is unfolding in a classic A-B-C pattern with an internal 3-3-5 structure. Currently, the final downward movement — Wave C — is in progress, within which the corrective, slightly upward-directed Wave 4 is developing. Wave 4 is expected to conclude at one of the following Fibonacci retracement levels of the preceding Wave 3:
• 0.214 at CAD 1.85
• 0.382 at CAD 1.94
• 0.500 at CAD 1.99
The completion of Wave 4 is anticipated within this price range (CAD 1.85 – 1.99). This should be followed by the final Wave 5 within Wave C. A specific price target for Wave 5 can only be determined once Wave 4 is fully formed.
However, based on the larger Wave 1, a target zone for the end of the corrective Wave 2 can already be projected. Relevant retracement levels include:
• 0.618 at CAD 1.54
• 0.786 at CAD 1.34
• 0.887 at CAD 1.22
Given the relatively small market capitalization of currently around CAD 350 million, a test of the lower retracement levels at CAD 1.34 or even CAD 1.22 seems likely. Nevertheless, a premature reversal from CAD 1.54 is also possible.
Conclusion: Speculative Accumulation Zone and Price Targets
From a technical standpoint, the accumulation zone of interest for Canopy Growth lies between CAD 1.54 and CAD 1.22. Entering this range could represent a speculative opportunity with a high risk-reward ratio.
Following the completion of Wave 2, an upward-directed Wave 3 could aim for a minimum price target of CAD 2.99. Further extensions to CAD 3.44 or even CAD 4.16 are conceivable. Starting from the 0.618 retracement level at CAD 1.54, even the minimum target would represent a potential price gain of +94.5%.
Should this structure confirm itself in the larger time frame and develop into a broader five-wave impulse, long-term price targets in the range of CAD 1,240 to CAD 2,007 could be reached. This would imply a price increase of over 80,000% to 130,000% from the CAD 1.54 level. However, such a development would likely take several years.
Risk Disclaimer
Canopy Growth Corporation stock remains a highly volatile speculative investment. Given the extreme fluctuations and currently weak fundamental metrics, alongside the potential for extraordinary returns, there is always a corresponding risk of total loss. Investors should be fully aware of these risks and choose an appropriately sized position.
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📌 Quick Summary – Canopy Growth (CGC)
🚀 Massive rally from CAD 0.25 → 766.80 (+244,000%), followed by >99% crash
📉 Current price structure suggests potential bottoming at CAD 1.09
🔁 Corrective Wave 2 (ABC structure) in progress — nearing final Wave C
🎯 Final Wave 2 target zone:
• CAD 1.54 (0.618 Fib)
• CAD 1.34 (0.786 Fib)
• CAD 1.22 (0.887 Fib)
📈 Speculative Buy Zone:
CAD 1.22 – 1.54 ✅
💡 Minimum Target (Wave 3):
CAD 2.99 (+94.5% from CAD 1.54)
🚀 Extended Targets:
CAD 3.44 – 4.16
🌌 Long-Term Potential (if macro impulse confirms):
CAD 1,240 – 2,007 (+80,000% to +130,000%)
⚠️ Risk Note: Highly speculative, extreme volatility, total loss possible. Trade with discipline & proper sizing.