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LCID: Is the Bearish Trend Finally Nearing a Reversal?LCID is still in a long-term bearish trend, but there are signs it could be nearing a shift. Here's the breakdown: ✅ Bearish trend since 2021: LCID’s price dropped from 64.86 to 1.93, a major decline over the past few years. 📉 Substantial declines: After a 280% gain in 2021, LCID has seen significant losses — -82% in 2022 -38% in 2023 -28.3% in 2024 -21% so far in 2025. 🔄 Rebounds, but trend still down: Despite rebounds of over 180% in 2023 and 100% in 2024, the bearish trend remains intact. ⚠️ Diminishing volatility: Large price swings in 2024 slowed down, suggesting the stock might be nearing a bottom. ❌ Still below key MAs: LCID remains below its 200-day and 20-day moving averages, signaling that the overall trend is still bearish. 👀 Key level — 1.93: A strong hold above this low could signal a potential trend shift in the mid-term. Bottom line? LCID could be stabilizing, but the bearish trend stays in place until it holds above 1.93. Watch for confirmation before expecting a trend reversal.
NASDAQ:LCID
by Quantific-Solutions
$100 Target for DHINYSE:DHI Given the already weak market, the housing market has been experiencing a decline in revenues for the past two quarters more specifically DR Horton and Lennar. This stock ahs been propped up for some time, however, I believe we will start to see major flushes before the 10 year yield starts to go down to anywhere between 3-3.5% with which I believe we will start to see a nice bounce in housing stocks. I am in May 2 EXP. Puts long at an average of $1.15 and April 17 EXP. Puts long at $0.90. My preference is to take profit on the 16th for my April puts due to Earnings report on the 17th and take off half of my position on the May Puts as well. Leave the runners on up until week of expiry for the remaining May Puts.
NYSE:DHIShort
by StacksTradingLLC
2
Apparatchik Trump Says 'No.. More Pain' Ahead of Amazon EarningsPresident Trump's new tariffs have had a significant negative impact on Amazon's stock performance, revenue, and earnings, primarily due to increased costs and supply chain disruptions. Here below is a detailed analysis of these effects. Impact on Amazon's Stock Performance Amazon's stock has seen substantial declines following the announcement of Trump's tariff plan. The company's shares dropped nearly 7% within two days of the announcement and are down nearly 21% year-to-date. These tariffs have exacerbated existing challenges for Amazon, which was already struggling in early 2025 with a 13% decline in stock value during the first quarter. The broader market also suffered, with technology stocks experiencing sharp declines as investors reacted to fears of higher costs and inflation. Revenue Challenges Amazon's reliance on Chinese suppliers for merchandise has made it particularly vulnerable to the newly imposed tariffs. Over 50% of Amazon's top third-party sellers are based in China, and many of their products are subject to hefty import taxes, including a 34% tariff on Chinese goods. These tariffs increase landed costs for a significant portion of Amazon's inventory, forcing sellers to either absorb the additional expenses or pass them on to consumers through higher prices. This could lead to reduced consumer demand, as higher prices may deter shoppers from purchasing goods on Amazon's platform. Additionally, the elimination of duty exemptions on minor imports—previously advantageous for discount platforms such as Temu and Shein—has disrupted Amazon's competitive pricing strategy. While this change may level the playing field among e-commerce platforms, it also raises operational costs for Amazon's marketplace vendors who had relied on these exemptions. Earnings Pressure The tariffs are projected to slash Amazon's annual operating profits by $5 billion to $10 billion due to increased merchandise costs. Goldman Sachs estimates that these costs could rise by 15% to 20%, further straining profitability. While Amazon has historically maintained lower prices compared to competitors, absorbing these increased expenses without raising prices significantly may be unsustainable in the long term. Moreover, fears of inflation resurgence due to Trump's trade policies could further dampen consumer purchasing power. This would likely lead to lower sales volumes and additional pressure on profit margins across Amazon's retail operations. Potential Mitigation Strategies To counteract these challenges, Amazon may implement several measures: Vendor Negotiations. The company could negotiate with suppliers to share the burden of increased input costs rather than bearing them entirely. Price Adjustments. Selective price increases on certain products may help offset rising costs without alienating customers entirely. Supply Chain Diversification. Shifting sourcing away from heavily tariffed regions like China or focusing more on domestic suppliers could reduce exposure to trade disruptions. Focus on Services. Amazon’s cloud division, AWS, contributes significantly to its operating income (58% in Q4 2024) and remains largely unaffected by tariffs. Increased emphasis on AWS could help mitigate losses from retail operations. Technical challenge The main technical graph indicates on Bearish market in development, with nearly 30% potential to further decline, down to major 10-year average support. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs have created substantial headwinds for Amazon by driving up costs and disrupting its supply chain. These challenges have led to stock declines, reduced revenue potential, and significant earnings pressure. While Amazon is exploring mitigation strategies such as vendor negotiations and diversification, the long-term impact will depend on how effectively the company adapts its operations amidst ongoing trade tensions. -- Best 'Apparatchik' wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:AMZN
by PandorraResearch
Not Out of the Woods Yet: RDDT’s Critical Test at 83.6RDDT looks like it's in the late stages of a bearish cycle, but hasn’t confirmed a reversal yet. Here’s what stands out: ✅ Bearish pattern targets completed: This suggests that the technical downside has largely played out, and we might be near exhaustion. 📉 -65% from February highs: That’s a deep correction — often the kind that starts to attract value hunters or bounce trades. 📍Testing a key gap level: Price returning to the origin of a previous gap can act as strong support. It's a high-stakes area. ⚠️ 20% rebound but trend still bearish: A sharp bounce doesn't break the downtrend. It could be a bear market rally — unless confirmed. ❌ Below 20-day and 200-day MAs: Momentum and long-term trend are still against the stock. 👀 Level to watch — 83.6: Holding and building above this level would be the first real signal that the downtrend might be turning. Bottom line RDDT might be trying to bottom out, but confirmation is key. Until it reclaims and holds above 83.6, the bias remains cautious. However, the confluence of technical signals suggests risk is shifting — and bulls may soon test control if 83.6 holds
NYSE:RDDT
by Quantific-Solutions
NVIDIA on Bear Market territory. Will the 1W MA100 save the day?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has officially entered Bear Market territory as it has declined by almost -45% from the January 2025 All Time High (ATH) and just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 30 2023. This is the strongest correction the stock has seen since the 2022 Inflation Crisis and based on the Time Cycle Indicator of the last two Cycle Tops, the week of Jan 06 2025 falls indeed on the third count. This high degree of symmetry isn't only present on the price action but on the 1W RSI sequence itself as the current time range from the RSI High (March 18 2024) to today's Low is fairly consistent (54 weeks, 378 days) with the top-to-bottom range of the previous two Bear Markets, 2022 and 2018 (red Channel Down patterns). So far the current correction looks similar to the September - December 2018 as not only their RSI counts are similar but both are more aggressive and fast than the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The 2018 correction though didn't top on the 1W MA100 but almost reached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before making a bottom, but it did so in less than 2 months and declined by -57.40%. The current correction is already running for 3 months. So what remains to be seen is if the 1W MA100 will manage to hold and kick-start a bullish reversal on its own, despite this correction being 'only' -43.39%. The 1W RSI dropped close enough to 30.00 (the oversold limit) though, which has historically been a very reliable indicator for a long-term buy on NVDA. If those work in favor of the 1W MA100 holding, expect to see a strong rebound, that will confirm the new Bull Cycle with a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and can technically aim for at least a +1000% rise from the bottom, as both previous Bull Cycles did. If the 1W MA100 fails, we expect a bottom by the end of June 2025 around the 1W MA200 between $65-60. Again a +1000% rise from that level is technically plausible, potentially giving a Target estimate of at least $660. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
Quantum's ZIM Trading Guide 4/8/25 NYSE:ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) - Sector: Industrials (Shipping) Sentiment: --Bearish (slight softening). Pre-market put volume softened, RSI likely ~35 (down from ~38 with a -2.8% drop from $12.9608 to $12.591), X posts overnight mixed—tariff fears dominate, but LNG fleet news (10 new 11,500 TEU vessels announced April 8) offers faint hope, suggesting a less aggressive sell-off than March’s lows. Tariff Impact: --Severe. 10% universal tariffs raise fuel and container costs, with 46% Vietnam tariffs threatening Asia-U.S. routes (70%+ revenue). Sentiment overshadows fundamentals, though LNG fleet modernization and freight rate resilience provide a slight buffer. News/Catalysts: --Consumer Credit (April 8) could signal trade demand—weak data may deepen ZIM’s slide; X posts on the $2.3B LNG charter deal (announced April 8) and potential freight rate stabilization (e.g., Red Sea tensions) might spark a relief rally today. Technical Setup: --Weekly Chart: ---HVN near $15 as resistance (March 25 high: $15.2512), weekly low ~$12.4106 as support ---Downtrend (8-week EMA < 13-week < 48-week, reflecting $12–$20 range since March). ---RSI ~35 (weakening, near oversold), ---MACD below signal (histogram narrowing), ---Bollinger Bands at lower band, ---Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -80 (oversold). -One-Hour Chart: ---Support at $12.81 (April 7 prev. close proxy), resistance at $13.547 (April 7 high), weekly confluence. ---RSI ~37, MACD below signal (histogram less negative), ---Bollinger Bands at lower band, --- Donchian Channels below midline, ---Williams %R -78 (easing from oversold). -10-Minute Chart: ---Pre-market drop to $12.591, 8/13/48 EMAs down, RSI ~35, MACD flat near zero. Options Data: --GEX: Bearish (softening)—pinning near $12.9608 eases pre-market, dealers less aggressive. --DEX: Bearish—put delta leads but with reduced intensity. --IV: High—~55–60% vs. norm 45–50%, reflecting tariff-driven volatility. --OI: Put-heavy—OI concentrated below $13, capping upside momentum. Directional Bias: Bearish (softening). GEX’s fading pinning reduces downside lock, DEX’s put delta sustains selling but softens, high IV supports volatility without sharp drops, and put-heavy OI anchors lower—bearish with less conviction. Sympathy Plays: --SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers): Falls if ZIM dumps (shipping correlation), rises if ZIM rebounds. --MATX (Matson, Inc.): Drops with ZIM downside, gains if ZIM recovers. --Opposite Mover: ZIM dumps → defensives like KO rally; ZIM rallies → SBLK/MATX surge. Sector Positioning with RRG: --Sector: Industrials (Shipping) ---RRG Position: Lagging Quadrant (slight improvement). ZIM’s pre-market softening from $12.9608 eases its lag vs. XLI, buoyed by LNG news. Targets: Bullish +4% ($13.50, hourly resistance); Bearish -5% ($12.00, near April low).
NYSE:ZIM
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
OPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain MarketsOPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain Markets - OPAP Delivers Stability, Dividends, and Buybacks By Konstantinos Gougakis – April 8, 2025, 09:47 When international markets swing to the rhythm of uncertainty, geopolitical instability, and interest rates going up and down like an elevator, investors stop looking for the next unicorn. They look for stocks that offer stability, transparency, dividends, and solid prospects. They look for “corner store” stocks—established, reliable players. And one of the most prominent examples on the Greek market is, without a doubt, OPAP. OPAP has consistently shown it can perform even in times of crisis. It has strong liquidity, solid operating performance, investments that pay off, a digital transformation well underway, and—most importantly—a strategy that doesn’t shift with the wind. Now, it’s adding another key strength to its arsenal: a new two-year share buyback program. The program covers up to 5% of its share capital, with a proposed buyback range between €0.30 and €25 per share. That gives OPAP a flexible tool it can activate only when the Board of Directors sees it as the best available value move. This isn’t for show—it’s a deliberate, targeted action to benefit shareholders. To put it simply: when a company buys back its own shares, fewer shares remain in the market. So, for those holding on, the value of each share goes up. It’s a clear sign of confidence in the business and a “thank you” to long-term investors. In uncertain times, moves like this matter. And OPAP isn’t stopping there. Its 2024 financials exceeded expectations: Net operating profits of €828 million Profit margin of 36% 11.5% GGR growth in Q4 Citi called the results “outstanding,” while J.P. Morgan and AXIA Ventures raised their price targets and issued new buy recommendations. OPAP is also making steady digital progress. Its online platform accounts for 31% of GGR, and the Opap Store app saw average spend per visit grow from €27 to €35 in a year. Joker is hitting record numbers, Eurojackpot made history with over 1 million players, and scratch card revenue now makes up 12.2% of the lottery portfolio. The company is also refinancing €390 million in loans, securing stability through 2032. With €490 million in cash reserves by the end of 2024, OPAP is well-positioned to invest and continue supporting both dividends and share buybacks. The new dividend of €0.80 per share (4.7% yield) will be paid in May, while a €150 million buyback has already been completed, aimed at canceling shares. The new buyback is another part of OPAP’s value-return strategy—not flashy, just effective. And the market is responding: three top international firms have upgraded their forecasts, calling OPAP attractively priced with strong upside potential. With an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.1x for 2026, OPAP is seen as a solid, low-risk investment with dependable returns. Bottom line: OPAP doesn’t make promises—it delivers. In stormy seas, some look for lighthouses. Like it or not, OPAP has become one of them.
ATHEX:OPAPLong
by kgougakis
ELPI (VCP - 26W 14/4 3T)Position update: March 25, 2025. Key factors: 1. Confirmed stage 2 uptrend. 2. A textbook double bottom with VCP characteristics. 3. Has gone through its majority line of supply. 4. Moving on its own drummer, the stock consolidates while the index suffers a terrible decline. 5. High relative strength. 6. Volume dries up as less supply coming to the market. 7. Strong fundamentals, with consistent year-over-year earnings growth. Considerations: Despite these strengths, the broader market remains in a bearish phase, down over 20% from its all-time high. Geopolitical risks, persistent net foreign selling, declining investor confidence, and concerns over the government downplaying the stock market's significance continue to contribute to an unstable market environment.
IDX:ELPILong
by rifqonr
Our opinion on the current state of TREMATON(TMT)Trematon (TMT) is an investment holding company with subsidiaries, joint ventures and associate companies, mostly in the Western Cape. The company also invests in listed and unlisted shares. Originally most investments were related to property, but its investments have moved outside that. The company owns Club Mykonos. In a trading statement for the six months to 28th February 2025 the company estimated that HEPS would fall by between 17% and 25%. The company said, "INAV per share for the current period to be between 335 cents and 345 cents, which is between 18% and 15% lower than the previous interim period's 408 cents." The share has only about R80 000 worth of shares changing hands each day – so it is marginal for private investors. While this share is in a downward trend, we believe that it could become a worthwhile investment if it expands its growth in the education business and improves the volume traded, now that the pandemic is behind us.
JSE:TMT
by PDSnetSA
ARM looking weakARM is way overvalued and the technicals don't look great. Not the cleanest head and shoulders pattern but I see one is forming and it should be confirmed, UNLESS we bounce at the golden pocket. I don't like the bearish diverences on the RSI, so I suspect we will continue to see this fall. Not a whole lot more to say here, be careful with this stock. It's a great company but it's mostly owned by Softbank and when they decide to sell it will cause a massive drop in price.
NASDAQ:ARMShort
by NoFOMO_