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ADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long PositionADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {support structure integrity and volatility stop-out risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.43 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 234 Entry limit ~ 228 on April 09, 2025 Target limit ~ 245 (+7.46%; +17 points) Stop order limit ~ 221 (-3.07%; -7 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NASDAQ:ADSKLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
ZETAZETA Description: - Marketcap: 2.5B - Float: 184M (medium) - ATR 52W: 27%, 24M: 45%, 12Q: 60% - Correlation with SP500: 83.34% (200D) - Betta: 1.42 (200D) - Relative Strength: 2.24 (200D) Fundamental picture - Revenue: Growing with increasing rate - EPS: Negative but becoming better - Stock was previously diluted by 1%-7% (annually) Technical picture: - Current price - 11.63, Drop by 70% from ATH - Volume profite: Price is inside empty area, center of VAL - Formation: - Oscillator: Potential reversal on weekend with divergence - Support: 10, 8, 6 Upside: 300% - Market is 18-33-44 (low-consensus-high) - Trend: 50 - Volume Profile: 21 (VAH) - ReHigh: 40 Downside: 50% - Market - 18 - Trend / Spikes: 10-13 - Volume profile - 8.5 (PoC), 6 (VAL) - Time: 4 (2022) Execution - Await start of buying
NYSE:ZETALong
by fondOrange28771
Trade Idea: Long-Term Investment Opportunity in Apollo Pipes LtdEntry Zone: ₹397–₹360 Stop Loss: Daily close below ₹310 Target: Long-term hold or book profits at ₹677​ TradingView Company Overview: Apollo Pipes Ltd is a leading Indian manufacturer specializing in high-quality plastic piping solutions. The company's extensive product portfolio includes CPVC, UPVC, and PPR-C plumbing systems, HDPE pipes, fittings, and water storage solutions. With over 35 years of experience, Apollo Pipes operates multiple state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities across India, including locations in Dadri (Uttar Pradesh), Ahmedabad (Gujarat), Tumkur (Karnataka), and Raipur (Chhattisgarh), boasting a total production capacity of 136,000 MTPA. ​Groww Financial Highlights: Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹1,731 crore ​ Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio (TTM): 58.49 ​ Return on Equity (ROE): 8.75% over the past three years ​ Dividend Yield: 0.23% ​ Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.20 Investment Rationale: Apollo Pipes Ltd has demonstrated consistent growth, supported by its diversified product range and robust distribution network. The company's strategic manufacturing locations enhance its ability to serve various regions efficiently. Despite a modest ROE and a relatively high P/E ratio, the company's low debt-to-equity ratio indicates prudent financial management. Investors may consider entering within the specified price range, setting a stop loss at a daily close below ₹310, and aiming for a long-term hold or booking profits at ₹677.​ Disclaimer: This trade idea is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:APOLLOPIPELong
by TheBoTrader
Tempus AI - LongTempus AI Technical picture: - Wyckoff: Large companies accumulation in the form of range with positive delta - Volume profite: at level of VAL - Formation: Channel multi-month - ATR: New monthly low band - Float: <100M = 78m, providing strong movement potential Fundamental picture - Revenue is growing with increasing rate - EPS is negative but loss is decreasing Upside: 50%-180% - Current price - 37 - Market is 55-64-74 (low-consensus-high) - TA high band is 92 (Resistance line) - Volume Profile - 67 Downside: 20% - Market - 55 - Volume profile - 30 Negative aspects: - Recent sales of stock by insiders but not significant Exta - Nensi Pelosi part of the investors
NASDAQ:TEMLong
by fondOrange28771
NVDA TO $176 BY JUNE THEN $1000 END OF YEARNVDA to $176 by June Then $1000 End of Year: A Bold Thesis Key Points It seems likely that NVDA could reach $176 by June 2025, supported by strong AI market trends and upcoming earnings, but reaching $1000 by year-end is highly speculative and controversial. Research suggests Elliott Wave analysis shows a potential bullish trend, but specific price targets like $1000 lack broad analyst support. The evidence leans toward significant growth potential due to NVDA's leadership in AI and new product launches, yet such aggressive targets involve high uncertainty. Current Price and Market Context As of April 9, 2025, NVDA's closing price on April 8 was $96.30, with pre-market trading at $98.22. This reflects recent volatility, with a 52-week range from $75.61 to $153.13. The stock's performance is tied to its dominance in AI and GPU markets, which are experiencing robust growth. Analysis for $176 by June Reaching $176 by June 2025, an 83% increase from $96.30, is ambitious but plausible. Upcoming earnings on May 28, 2025, estimate an EPS of $0.93 and revenue of $43.34 billion, with potential beats driving price surges. Elliott Wave analysis suggests NVDA may be completing a corrective phase, with a falling wedge pattern indicating a possible upward breakout, supporting short-term targets around $176. Analysis for $1000 by Year-End The prediction of $1000 by December 2025, a 940% increase, is highly speculative. While some analyses, like a Forbes article, suggest NVDA could see a tenfold rise by 2026 due to the Blackwell architecture, most analyst targets range from $170 to $235. This target lacks broad support and involves significant market and fundamental risks. Unexpected Detail: Stock Split Impact An unexpected factor is NVDA's 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, adjusting prices from over $1,000 to current levels, making historical comparisons complex. This split aligns the $1000 target with post-split valuations, but achieving it requires unprecedented growth. Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of NVDA's Potential Price Surge to $176 by June and $1000 by Year-End Introduction NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), a leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI), is currently trading at approximately $96.30 as of April 9, 2025, based on the closing price from April 8, with pre-market activity showing a slight uptick to $98.22. This analysis explores the feasibility of NVDA reaching $176 by June 2025 and an ambitious $1000 by the end of the year, leveraging Elliott Wave theory and other validated analytical methods. Given the stock's recent performance and market context, we examine technical patterns, fundamental catalysts, and long-term growth potential. Current Market Position and Historical Context NVDA's stock has shown volatility, with a 52-week range from $75.61 to $153.13, and a year-to-date change of -11.36% over the past week and -12.23% over the past month, per recent data. The all-time high was $153.13 on January 6, 2025, indicating significant upside potential from current levels. The market capitalization stands at $2.35 trillion, with a beta of 2.40, reflecting high volatility. Key financial metrics include an EBITDA of $83.32 billion and an EBITDA margin of 63.85%, underscoring strong profitability. A critical context is the 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, which adjusted share prices from over $1,000 to current levels, making historical comparisons complex. This split, detailed in a CNBC article (Nvidia announces 10-for-1 stock split), was aimed at making ownership more accessible, aligning with the user's post-split price targets of $176 and $1000. Metric Value Closing Price (Apr 8) $96.30 USD Pre-Market Price (Apr 9) $98.22 USD 52-Week Range $75.61 - $153.13 USD Market Cap $2.35T USD Beta (1Y) 2.40 Earnings Next Report May 28, 2025, EPS Estimate $0.93, Revenue Estimate $43.34B USD Last Quarter EPS $0.89 (estimated $0.85, +4.96% surprise) Dividend Yield (TTM) 0.04% Elliott Wave Analysis: Technical Insights Elliott Wave theory, a method identifying market psychology through wave patterns, suggests NVDA may be in a corrective phase, potentially completing wave (4) of a larger five-wave structure. Recent analyses, such as those on TradingView (NVIDIA Stock Chart), indicate a falling wedge or ending diagonal formation, often signaling a reversal and start of an upward trend. This could support a move to $176 by June, as wave (5) projections often extend to 1.618 times wave (1), potentially aligning with such targets. Specific Elliott Wave analyses, like those from ElliottWave-Forecast (Elliott Wave Expects New All Time High), suggest NVDA has completed corrections and is resuming higher, with wave counts indicating impulsive rallies. However, these analyses lack explicit price targets reaching $1000, focusing more on trend continuations. Short-Term Target: $176 by June 2025 Reaching $176 by June 2025, an 83% increase from $96.30, is ambitious but supported by several factors. The earnings report on May 28, 2025, is a critical catalyst, with estimates for EPS at $0.93 and revenue at $43.34 billion. Given NVDA's history of beating estimates, as seen in the last quarter with EPS of $0.89 against an estimate of $0.85, a strong report could drive significant price appreciation. Technical indicators, such as a breakout from the falling wedge, align with this target. Analyst price targets, ranging from $125 to $220 with an average of $177.19 per Zacks (NVIDIA Price Target), also support the possibility, with some forecasts reaching $235.92 (NVDA Forecast). However, achieving this in two months requires sustained bullish momentum and favorable market conditions. Long-Term Target: $1000 by Year-End 2025 The prediction of $1000 by December 2025, a 940% increase from current levels, is highly speculative. Most analyst forecasts, such as those from MarketBeat (NVIDIA Stock Forecast) and TipRanks (Nvidia Stock Forecast), range from $170 to $235, far below $1000. However, a Forbes article from May 25, 2024 (Nvidia Stock Tops $1,000), suggests NVDA could see a tenfold rise by 2026 due to the Blackwell architecture, potentially supporting a $1000 target by late 2025 if growth accelerates. Blackwell, a new GPU architecture, is expected to enhance NVDA's AI and data center offerings, potentially driving revenue growth. CoinCodex forecasts a high of $260.32 by December 2025 (NVIDIA Stock Forecast), still below $1000, indicating the target is outlier and involves significant risk. Market volatility, competition, and macroeconomic factors, such as tariff impacts noted in CNN reports (NVDA Stock Quote), add uncertainty. Fundamental Catalysts and Risks NVDA's fundamentals are strong, with consistent revenue growth and high EBITDA margins. The company's expansion into AI, autonomous systems, and supercomputers, as noted in LiteFinance (Nvidia Stock Price Prediction), supports long-term growth. However, short-term corrections due to overvaluation or market sentiment, especially around tariff concerns, pose risks. X posts, such as one from @1000xStocks (X post), highlight NVDA's EPS growth reflecting AI monetization, suggesting bullish sentiment, but lack specific $1000 targets. Another from @ravisRealm (X post) notes adding positions at lower prices, indicating confidence but not supporting the $1000 target. Conclusion While reaching $176 by June 2025 is plausible with strong earnings and technical breakouts, the $1000 target by year-end is highly speculative, lacking broad analyst support and requiring unprecedented growth. Investors should monitor earnings reports, product launches like Blackwell, and market trends, while employing risk management strategies given the high uncertainty.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by St0ckWr4ngl3r
$NIO downtrend or recover?Looking at the daily chart, it's obvious that the 30/60 EMA crossover with downward movement likely confirms that the price hasn't finished dropping and is heading toward new lows. The decline began on 10/28/2024, and at some point, the price tried to pull out of its steep dive on 03/11/2025 - even showing some volume - but it was all in vain. After forming a cup pattern, the price never completed the handle formation and simply slid downward. A couple of scenarios could play out from these lows: it might suddenly shoot upward, signaling that it won't return to the downtrend in the near future, or alternatively, it could continue "testing the bottom" and provide a good entry point below $2.38. The volumes of recent trading sessions add to this suspicion - it feels like deliberate selling pressure, or perhaps dumping based on fears about Trump's new tariffs.
NYSE:NIOShort
by GenomicInvestor
Defence Stocks Rise After Trump's DecisionDefence Stocks Rise After Trump's Decision As shown in the charts, despite predominantly bearish sentiment in the stock market yesterday — with the difference between the opening and closing price for the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) being down by 4% — defence company stocks showed growth. According to the WSJ, Palantir Technologies shares rose by 8% to $84.05 on Tuesday, while General Dynamics and Boeing increased by 5% to $260.12 and $145.365 respectively. Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin gained about 4% each. Why Did Lockheed Martin (LMT) Shares Rise? This occurred after President Trump announced that the defence budget for the 2026 fiscal year would be around $1 trillion, and Defence Secretary Pete Hegset published his announcement about the budget on X (formerly Twitter). The increase in the defence budget by approximately $50-100 billion contrasts with previous statements from US leadership in February, when: → Trump said that "we have no reason to spend almost a trillion dollars on the military"; → Hegset suggested annually cutting the defence budget by 8% — or around $50 billion — over the next five years. Such statements had been putting pressure on the price of LMT stock in 2025. Technical Analysis of the Lockheed Martin (LMT) Chart Today As a reminder, on 3 October we suggested that breaking the psychological $600 level would trigger profit-taking, which would, in turn, drive a correction following the impressive rally. In the same analysis, we outlined a long-term channel (shown in grey). Since then, the price has dropped by more than 25%. Today, the LMT share price is near the lower boundary of this channel. It is worth noting that the recent lows around the $425 level resemble a bullish Triple Bottom pattern. Given this, it is reasonable to assume that bulls may attempt to recover at least part of the decline that started in October 2024. It’s also possible that concerns over rising geopolitical tensions amid the global trade war could support this move. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:LMT
by FXOpen
NVIDIA About to TANK? Or Just Cooling Off?After one of the most explosive bull runs in tech history, NVIDIA is showing signs of exhaustion — and this chart’s screaming a massive correction incoming. 🧠 Chart Insights (2W Time Frame): Current Price: ~$96.30 All-Time High: $152.89 Key Breakdown Levels: 🔵 Pullback Zone: $134.29 — Broken & Completed 🟠 Neckline Support: $90.69 🎯 Major Fibonacci Target: $66.25 (61.8% retracement) 💀 Extreme Support Zone: $10.81 (not likely unless disaster strikes, but chart says what it says...) 🔎 What’s Really Happening: Bull run started October 2022 and went parabolic into late 2024 Price attempted to consolidate above $130–140 (pullback zone) but failed to hold Bearish momentum confirmed as we’ve broken through key zones We’re now headed straight toward the $90s neckline, with $66.25 as a Fibonacci target if trend continues ⚠️ Why This Matters: This isn’t fear — it’s structure. Nvidia doesn’t have to collapse to zero, but even a healthy correction to $66 would be a 30%+ drawdown from current levels. That would: ✅ Flush out weak hands ✅ Offer long-term buyers a better setup ✅ Rebalance the overextended rally from 2023–2024 👀 What to Watch: Retest of $90.69 neckline Reaction at the 61.8% retracement Volume spikes on weekly red candles If bulls don’t step in soon, this is just the beginning of the cooldown 📌 This is not financial advice — just chart surgery. 🔖 Hashtags: #NVIDIA #NVDA #StockMarketCorrection #BearishStructure #TechStocks #TradingViewCharts #MarketMomentum #PriceAction #FibonacciAnalysis
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MoNi_MoN
Could META Be Setting Up for a Sharp Reversal?The Meta Platforms (META) chart just printed a textbook bull exhaustion. If you’re looking for high-flying tech stocks that may be due for a breather, this might be one of them. 🔎 Chart Breakdown (9W Time Frame): Current Price: ~$510 Jan ‘25 High: $740.91 Bearish Targets: 🎯 Zone 1: $340.01 (61.8% Fib retracement) 🎯 Zone 2: $230.27 🧱 Sept ‘22 Low: $88.09 (extreme long-term support) Technical Structure: META saw a near uninterrupted bull run from late 2022 through early 2025 The current candle broke structure with a clear momentum shift This looks like a repeat pattern from previous highs, signaling a potential reversal The chart shows two key demand blocks where price could look to stabilize after correction 🚨 My Take: META is showing the same vertical climb structure we saw on Netflix before the pullback. When growth stocks run this far, this fast, a correction is not only expected — it's healthy. I’m not saying it’s crashing to the bottom, but a retracement to $340–230 zones makes sense based on historical price action. If you're in this for the long haul, these levels may offer better re-entry opportunities. 📌 Not financial advice — just a trader’s eye on macro structure.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by MoNi_MoN
Could Netflix (NFLX) Be Gearing Up for a Major Correction?Netflix has had an impressive bull run since mid-2022, but based on historical structure and price behavior, a correction could be right around the corner. 🔍 Chart Breakdown (9W Time Frame): Current Price: ~$870 2025 Projected High: $1,064.50 No significant correction since 2022 Bearish Target Zones: 📉 Zone 1: ~$443 (-46% from current levels) 📉 Zone 2: ~$344 (-57% from current levels) Market Structure Notes: Bullish momentum has been non-stop for 2+ years The last time Netflix saw a proper reset was during the 2022 market correction If this candle breaks structure to the downside, the selloff may be fast and steep Support Zones are clearly outlined between the 2023 lows and historical demand blocks 💬 My Prediction: I believe Netflix is overdue for a pullback, and based on the volume and vertical structure of this bull run, we could be setting up for a mean reversion play back to strong support areas. I’m not saying Netflix isn’t a long-term powerhouse, but even the strongest runners need to rest. Price doesn’t move in a straight line forever. 📌 Not Financial Advice — just technical breakdown and a probability-based setup. 🔖 Hashtags: #Netflix #NFLX #StockMarket #CorrectionIncoming #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CandlestickChart #InvestSmart #TradingView #StockPrediction #Watchlist
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by MoNi_MoN
TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD 100% bounce🔸Hello traders, today let's review daily chart for TSLA. we are looking at a 67% correction, almost complete now, another 67% recent correction presented on the right. 🔸Most of the bad news already price in and we are getting oversold, expecting a bottom in weeks now not months. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD once 67% correction completes at/near strong horizontal S/R 140/150 USD, TP bulls is 280/300 USD, which is 100% unleveraged gain. **Tesla (TSLA) Market Update – April 9, 2025** 📉 **Stock Decline:** TSLA closed at $221.86, down 4.9%, amid new tariffs and CEO Elon Musk's political involvement **Analyst Downgrades:* Wedbush's Dan Ives cut the price target by 43% to $315, citing a "brand crisis" Wells Fargo's Colin Langan set a target at $130, anticipating a potential 50% drop 📊 **Delivery Shortfall:** Q1 deliveries fell 13% year-over-year to 336,000 vehicles, missing expectations by about 40,000 unis. 🌍 **Tariff Impact:** President Trump's new tariffs are expected to increase costs and disrupt Tesla's supply chain, especially concerning Chinese operatins. 💡 **Investor Sentiment:** Analysts express concern over Musk's political ties affecting Tesla's brand and sales, particularly in China.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
26
Fluidra Shields Itself from Trump's Tariff BlowsBy Ion Jauregui – Markets Analyst, ActivTrades Amid the renewed escalation of trade tensions, Fluidra faces the potential impact of new tariffs driven by the Trump administration. The tariff dispute not only complicates international operations but also directly affects the company’s cost structure. With 50% of its sales in North America coming from products manufactured in Mexico and an additional 15% originating from China, Fluidra is particularly exposed to any increase in tariff rates. The company's projections indicate that, without swift measures, these tariffs could negatively impact its results by up to 50 million euros. Profitability and Growth Objectives During its Capital Markets Day, Fluidra made clear its commitment to improving its profitability. The firm aims to raise its EBITDA margin to 25% in the medium term, up from the 22.7% achieved in 2024. This objective represents an expansion of over two percentage points, following the upward trend seen between 2019 and 2024 (from 19.7% to 22.7%). In addition, the company forecasts organic sales growth in the range of 6% to 8% per year, which marks a significant acceleration compared to the modest 2.5% recorded in 2024. Impact Mitigation Strategy To safeguard its operating margins from tariff pressure, Fluidra has implemented a structured plan based on three main pillars: Price Adjustment: The company has increased prices in the United States by 3.5%, a necessary measure to pass part of the rising costs onto its customers. Operational Cost Optimization: Fluidra is reviewing and streamlining its production processes across all geographies, especially in America, where strategies include sharing costs with suppliers and the potential relocation of production. Supply Chain Restructuring: The firm is evaluating new strategies in its international operations to minimize the tariffs' impact, thereby ensuring that pressure on the results remains under control. Geographic Performance and Revenue Growth Fluidra’s performance varies across markets: North America: This region is solidifying its position as the group’s main growth engine, experiencing a 7.5% revenue increase, which underscores its strategic importance. Europe: While Southern Europe saw a revenue contraction of 3.7%, the rest of Europe grew modestly (+1.6%). These differences reflect variations in demand and in each market’s ability to adjust prices. International Markets: The rest of the world contributed a slight growth (+0.7%), adding to a global scenario in which Fluidra aims to consolidate its position. Based on these figures, the company expects to close 2025 with revenues between 2,140 and 2,250 million euros—surpassing the sector’s average growth, estimated between 4% and 6%. Additionally, it is anticipated that the remaining 2% of growth will come from inorganic operations and increased market share. Innovation and Strategic Expansion Fluidra is not solely focused on price adjustments and cost reductions; it has also bet on inorganic expansion to reinforce its position. Among its most noteworthy moves is the acquisition of a 27% stake in Aiper Inc, a company specializing in robotics for pools, for 100 million dollars. Such investments aim to broaden the company’s footprint in emerging markets, with a commitment to progressively increasing its equity stake as the financial targets outlined in the company’s plan are achieved. Technical Analysis On the monthly chart, the company has shown solid support around 12.83 euros per contract since its previous bullish surge that reached a high in September 2021. After those highs, Fluidra corrected its price in October 2022 down to the current support “drill zone,” which has subsequently served as a new launchpad into the 2024 Christmas rally. Its Point of Control (POC) on the monthly chart is located at 14.78 euros. On the other hand, examining the 4-hour chart reveals that the POC is around 22.08 euros, well above the current support at 18.20 euros. With a current trading price around 19.60 euros, the RSI has moved out of oversold levels and is attempting to return to a more neutral zone, rising from 20% to the current 39.36%. The monthly moving average crossover indicates that the bullish development has not yet concluded despite the current bearish candle. However, on the 4-hour chart, the downward turn has not been corrected, resulting in a conflict of signals. Analyzing the pressure from the delta zones reveals a very strong barrier above 20 euros, which makes it likely that the price will move back to the upper area of the 4-hour bell curve, positioned around 22 euros as mentioned. Conclusion In an environment marked by global uncertainty and tariff pressure, Fluidra demonstrates resilience and adaptability. With clear growth objectives and an integrated strategy focused on margin improvement, the company is well-positioned to face current challenges and secure higher profitability. Through adjustments in pricing, operational optimization, and strategic expansion moves, Fluidra is preparing to maintain its strong performance and create sustainable value for shareholders, despite the impacts of the new U.S. trade policy. Despite the uncertain context, Fluidra remains steadfast in its commitment to generating sustainable and profitable value, with the goal of maintaining a ROCE of 17% while continuing to consolidate its global market position through a strategy centered on efficiency, innovation, and diversification. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:FDRLong
by ActivTrades
Why Support and Resistance are Made to Be Broken ?Hello fellow traders! Hope you're navigating the markets smoothly. As we go through the daily dance of price action, one thing becomes clear support and resistance are just moments, not walls. They're temporary. Momentum and trend strength? Now that’s where the real story lies. This publication dives into how these so-called key levels break and more importantly, how to position yourself smartly when they do. Stay flexible, trade with confidence, and let the market lead. Let’s get into it. Why Support and Resistance Levels Break Support and resistance are some of the most talked-about tools in technical analysis. But here's the truth they’re not meant to last forever. No matter how strong a level may appear on your chart, it eventually gets tested, challenged, and often broken. Why? Because the market is dynamic. The real edge for a trader lies not in hoping a level holds, but in reading when it’s about to fail and being ready for it. No Resistance in a Bull, No Support in a Bear Ever seen a strong bull market pause just because of a resistance line? It doesn’t. Price keeps pushing higher as buyers keep stepping in. Same goes for a strong bear market support levels collapse as fear takes over and selling snowballs. Instead of clinging to lines on a chart, think bigger: Where is the momentum? What’s the trend saying? That’s where your trading decisions should come from. Support and Resistance: Not Fixed, Always Shifting Yes, these levels matter but only as zones, not exact prices. They’re areas where price has reacted in the past, where traders might expect something to happen again. But they’re not magic numbers. When traders treat these levels as absolute, they fall into traps false confidence, poor entries, tighter than-needed stop losses. Always remember: market sentiment, liquidity, and institutional activity are constantly changing. So should your interpretation of the chart. The Temporary Nature of These Levels Markets move on supply and demand. A level that acted as resistance last week could easily become support next week. Or break completely. Take the classic example support turning into resistance. When support breaks, former buyers might now be sellers, trying to get out on a bounce. That flip happens because behavior and sentiment have shifted. And as traders, that’s the real pattern we need to track not just price levels, but the psychology behind them. “Strong” Support? It’s Mostly an Illusion We all love the idea of a strong level something we can lean on. But large players? They don’t think like that. Institutions don’t place massive orders at a single price point. They spread across a zone building positions slowly without moving the market too much. What looks like a strong level to us might just be an accumulation or distribution range for them. Always think beyond what’s visible on the surface. How to Spot Breakouts Before They Hit Here’s what separates seasoned traders from the rest the ability to spot potential breakouts before they explode. 🔹 Volume Confirmation: If a resistance level is tested repeatedly on rising volume, that’s a big clue buyers are serious. 🔹 Structure Shifts: Higher highs in an uptrend or lower lows in a downtrend signal that the old levels are being challenged. 🔹 Liquidity Traps: Watch out for fakeouts. These are designed to trap impatient traders just before the real move. 🔹 News & Events: Never ignore macro triggers. Earnings, economic data, or geopolitical surprises can fuel breakouts that crush technical levels. 🔹 Break & Retest: A solid strategy — wait for the level to break, then get in on the retest. 🔹 Momentum Tools: Indicators like RSI, MACD, or even EMAs can offer extra confidence that a move has legs. 3 Practical Trading Setups 1. Breakout Trading Mark key levels on daily or weekly charts. Watch for volume and momentum confirmation. Enter after a clear breakout or retest. Stop-loss: Just below resistance (for longs) or above support (for shorts). 2. Range Trading If price is stuck between support and resistance, trade the range. Look for price rejection (wicks, pin bars, etc.). Use RSI or Stochastics to time entries. 3. Trend Following Identify the dominant trend using moving averages or price structure. Avoid going against the trend unless reversal signs are very clear. Let profits run use trailing stops instead of fixed targets. Mind Over Market: Psychology of S&R One of the biggest traps in trading? Overtrusting support and resistance. We get emotionally attached. We want the support to hold or the resistance to reject. And that bias clouds our judgment. How many times have you seen price break a level — and you freeze because it “wasn’t supposed to”? To break free of that: ✅ Trade with a plan. ✅ Set your risk before the trade, not after. ✅ Don’t treat any level as sacred. ✅ Stay open to what the market is telling you not what you want it to say. Final Thoughts Support and resistance are great tools but they’re just one part of the puzzle. The real power lies in reading price action, watching volume, and understanding market sentiment. Don’t ask, “Will this level hold?” Ask instead, “What happens if it breaks?” That shift in thinking? It can make all the difference. Stay sharp, stay adaptive, and keep evolving with the market. Wishing you green trades and growing accounts! Best Regards- Amit Rajan.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by AMIT-RAJAN
1
Research: Retracement VS Exponential GridIn this research idea I'll test which of those two tools would be a more effective way for projecting future key levels to which price may react best. While both of them are chart-based and run on fibonacci with progression rate 0.25 showing exponential spacing between levels, there are differences: TradingView's Fibonacci Retracement (2 chart points) Levels are derived from distance 0-1 which measures the -86% decline. Exponential Grid (1 chart point) Levels are derived just from the historic lowest price. Historically, in both cases price movements have respected these exponential levels. This experiment is essential for various reasons: Understanding better parabolic growth patterns. Improving the indicator for a better performance and user experience. ENDGOAL Accurately map support, resistance, and market reactions ensuring better predictive accuracy for future price action.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by fract