AMGN short idea Simple head and shoulders on monthly timeframe, price is coming to our fair value sell on the weekly timeframe. price action is bearish on the daily. monthly fibs align with 240s price range.
Franco-Nevada Breakout — Is $160 the Launchpad?With gold breaking to new all-time highs and capital rotating into high-quality royalty names, Franco-Nevada looks poised to lead the charge in the next leg of the bull market.
After spending nearly 3 years in a wide consolidation ($106–160), FNV has now posted a clean monthly close above $160 — the key resistance level that capped every rally since 2020. This is not just any breakout — it's the classic "base + breakout" structure that often precedes major upside moves.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
✅ Multi-year base breakout confirmed on monthly close
✅ Strong confluence of Ichimoku, MAs & low-volume node just above $160
✅ $160 flips from resistance to structural support (role reversal)
🎯 Measured Move Target: $230
📍 Initial Target Zone: $208–215
📈 Retest of $160 offers a ~30% upside with tight risk
🛑 Risk Management: A pullback that holds $160 on weekly/monthly close would validate the breakout.
Breakdown below $160 on volume would put the move on hold and reintroduce range risk.
💡 Bottom Line: This is a textbook breakout with asymmetric risk/reward. While gold gets the headlines, Franco-Nevada may quietly be leading the charge in royalty sector performance.
Price target 118 DCA play, buying for next 12month for long holdIn my opinion this chart on htf is extremely bullish looking
Easy dca play at this price
Accumulate cheap for long term return
Target 118, could take 5 years + maybe 10
3M short idea A major part of our US30 analysis is to carefully analyze the 30 companies that take part of the dow jones I made the list on my notes and will now be giving my insight of where these companies should be heading in the short future.... ill say something they're not going up for sure!!!!
SHORT AGAIN 100 95run it back they still dont make enough money for this valuation risky short yet again. grabbed may 23 100 90P
-14% 95 incomingBack down to retest the lows snagged 100 95 90 5/23 P before the close today then SMCI drops it 2% with a BILLION dollar miss not the news I was anticipating but I'll take it very fragile stock not holding up well GDP tm could accelerate loss.
SMCI - Bullish Wedge Flag patternBullish Wedge Flag pattern
The price broke out on last week and has retested today.
In the chart of the week frame, the price is on the MA200 line.
The price now (Closed on 04.30.2025): $31.86.
Price target: $48.18/ $63.05
IMO, amateur trader.
$HTZ Possible Gap Fill And A PUSH UPI previously called out the massive push up we had in NASDAQ:HTZ now I am looking for more or less a scalp play. Looking to fill the gap and get in below $6. If that does not happen we will not get filled. I will update when I can. Good trades to ALL!
FMG .....just wait for 12.06Will wait for hunt at 12.06.... Will be great ride considering the 7% dividends for target of 16.9 and 21..... I think it will be good hold..... Please note this is not financial advice, please do you own research.
AMZN | Long | Earnings + Buyback Potential | (April 2025)AMZN | Long | Earnings + Buyback Potential | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Amazon is showing strength as it bounces off the VWAP level. With earnings approaching and a history of buybacks, the setup looks promising for a rebound after months of decline.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $196
Stop Loss: Below VWAP support (adjust to your risk)
TP1: $205
TP2: $217
TP3: $240
Partial Exits: 50% around major resistance zone near TP1–TP2
3️⃣ Key Notes:
AMZN has been trending down since February but is now reacting positively. The upcoming earnings could be a bullish catalyst, especially if there's a buyback announcement. Earnings per share and revenue have been strong. Watch for reaction at key resistance levels, and track the broader market sentiment (especially QQQ/NQ correlations).
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Will revisit post-earnings to assess if momentum continues and whether to adjust targets or re-enter.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NKE Accumulate in 2025 and new cycle commencementUsing W.D. Gann's Star method, NKE appears to have completed a downward cycle in terms of time, hitting a low of 52.28. The 360-degree angle points to a key support level around 50.19. After trending downward for about 3.45 years, the current price range of 49.8 to 52 looks like an interesting accumulation zone. This could be a potential buying opportunity, with possible selling targets in 2026-2027 around 82 and 115.
Important Note:
I’m just sharing my thoughts here based on this analysis—it’s not financial advice! Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
RITES for Swing and Short Positional viewAs we can see H3 chart already has created reversal CHoCH which is a good signal of bullish view. After inducement (X) taken out candles have created M15 Ch and price is trading in the discount zone (<Rs 225/-) of previous impulsive leg (the low & high swing points already mentioned on the chart with yellow dot)
So, we can buy at the demand zone or at any price level below Rs 225/-and can hold up to 1-2 months for 20-25% return.
The downfall of METAMETA
Current Price: $465.20
1-Month Move: +4.8% (from $443.90)
1-Year Move: +35.7% (from $342.80)
Year High/Low: $527.30/$328.50
Technicals:
RSI: ~67.4 (nearing overbought)
Above 20-day MA, slightly below 50-day MA, above 200-day MA (short-term rally in a longer uptrend)
Options Data:
IV Rank: 85th percentile (high premiums)
Put/Call Ratio: 1.15 (bearish skew)
Max Pain: $450.00
High OI: $460 puts, $470 calls
Historical & Model Insights
Historical Move: META averages ~14.5% post-earnings, with 5/12 quarters showing downside.
IV Crush: Expect 30–40% IV drop post-earnings, so time exits carefully.
Outlier: Llama/Meta sees bullish potential from call activity and AI-driven ad growth, but bearish signals dominate.
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked put (bearish, defined risk)
Instrument: META
Direction: PUT
Strike: $460.00 (premium $0.72, fits $0.50–$1.00 target band)
Expiry: 2025-05-02 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.72
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-01)
Profit Target: $1.44 (~100% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.36 (~50% loss)
Confidence: 65%
Expected Move: ±$68.20 (~14.66%)
AMD Key Long-term LevelsThese are key Long-term Levels for AMD.
Currently it is reacting positively at the key support zone of 80 to 90.
Considering the earnings release date is on 6th May 2025, monitoring the price action post earnings need to be observed. Any positive impact could possibly push the price higher.
The next key Target in the medium-term is around 120 to 130 Level.
Disclaimer:
This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Update regarding MIGI, HIMAX and ETSYStill believe in Migi after the monthly close of April. Himax gave us a good entry at 6. Etsy reached a point of interest but I decided not to take the trade.
Disclaimer: Not a financial advice . Do your own analysis
$UNH Rinse & Repeat Round #2- Fundamentally it's undervalued for the quality blue chip company. My detailed analysis is on the older post I made earlier this year. I have attached that as a reference.
- In my previous swing, I bought NYSE:UNH on a sell off @ 441 and sold @600 before earning as a de-risking strategy. I'm glad that it did work out.
- I'm happy that NYSE:UNH is again trading at a discount and with compressed Earning multiple. This time I am buying it even lower than where I bought last time i.e 441 and I was happy with that price average.
- Whereas I do believe that NYSE:UNH EPS is lowered but it is lowered slightly which doesn't warrant a big sell off like this.
- I wanted to wait further before entering but I can't stop myself from buying this name NYSE:UNH at a price where I believe it's very undervalued.
- Therefore, I have re-entered the NYSE:UNH and added it to my portfolio . I will consider adding further if selling pressure continues because I don't want to time the bottom.
- But undecisive market and lumpy market, going with a defensive name like this is a no brainer.
Expect ENPH breakout by EOY 2025. Buy <$60Trends:
- LT parallel channel shown marks some key trendlines for the company since IPO
- LT falling wedge intersects the bottom of this channel H2 2025 --> a buying opportunity above $50. If that breaks, falling wedge ends around $35, a 30% downside (or 40% vs today's price).
- The early 2023 peak aligned with peak in revenue and net income (decline matched stock decline). We're now seeing revenue and net income growth again (growth can bring back stock growth)
My Bias:
I'm a long-term believer in solar. ENPH plays mostly in the residential solar space (and is expanding into small commercial). They are often lauded for their high levels of customer service.
Investment Thesis:
We're back to financial growth but the stock is down. We're in a few months window before LT trends converge mid / H2 2025. If we break bullish from falling wedge and hit LOWEST point of parallel channel by EOY 2026, we'd be at $70/share (16% upside from $60; 40% upside from $50). This is my expected worst case scenario, meaning anything under $60/share is now a buying opportunity.
BUY $100-130 for LT holdAnalysis:
- LT trend since 2012 shows ~$100 as key support level, even if support (prior resistance now support) from 2014 fails.
- $100 is 67% off of the recent high of $306. Ouch! But this also means there's large upside to get back to those levels.
Despite Trump admin opposition to renewables, FSLR is well positioned with US manufacturing capability, a FWB:20B backlog on current SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B in revenue. This means they could grow YoY throughout the Trump admin with just the current backlog. Also, they're profitable with 30% Net Income margins form the last year. Large commercial customers (namely, tech giants through renewables developers) are happy to continue investing billions in renewables (and to trade high capex for low opex).
Investment Thesis:
- Monitor this $130-135 level. If broken with conviction, we look towards $100 entry points. IMO, worst case is also $100-130 price by EOY 2026.
VNET V Curve or Early Smile Face?Very Risky, only for the Brave ones.
Do not enter this one unless you have spare Capital to possibly lose.
This is only a Plot. Whilst these studies do work around 66% of the time, there is always the possibility of a reversal.
If your Risk is low, rather stay away.
Timing is also important, and setting ones Stop loss will always ensure that when in profit, you do win.
As always if you are unsure please consult with your own personal investment Advisor before making any Trades or Investments as most are 12 months or more views.
Markets are Choppy and can move in both up and down.
Should you appreciate my comments and chart studies - please smash that like button. It's just a click away.
Regards Graham
NVIDIA: Don't turn your back on the A.I. darling yet.NVIDIA has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.902, MACD = -2.040, ADX = 28.815) as it has recovered a portion of the 2 month correction. April's low was exactly on the 1W MA100 just like the Low of the 2024 consolidation phase has been near the 1W MA50. The pattern is recurring and the rallies naturally get weaker each time as we approach the end of the Cycle this year. The 1st rally was +358%, the 2nd +257% so the 3rd one now is expected to be +157%. That gives a $225 target. The next Top will most likely start a new correction (Bear Cycle) for a 3rd Bottom on the 1W MA200.
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ASPI.NAZ or .JSE ASPI is an Isotope manufacturing Company based in South Africa.
Looking at the PA curve makes me jealous, as I should've been in long ago. (+1000%)
I'm waiting for the listing to appear on the Easy Equities platform.
Follow the Larger Trend. Use 2 to 3 time frames to see the 1H, 4H and 1W Trend. Make your decisions based on the 1W Trend to avoid overtrading.
Should you like my comments and chart studies - please smash that like button. It's just a click away.
Regards Graham
Correction over? Worth keeping an eye on itIs this the end of the final 5th wave? It’s hard to tell. This stock has been a disaster for those trying to pick bottoms. I’m waiting for a sign of strength before jumping in. We may be seeing that as the RSI is slowly gaining strength.
Personally I’d like to see it change market structure and take out some resistance levels to the upside.
Keeping an eye on this before I pull the trigger.
Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* Start Of (EMA Settings)) At 85.00 USD | Completed Survey
* ((No Trade)) | Inverted Structure | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.382 Retracement Area & Retest Vantage Point | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 125.00 USD
* Entry At 138.00 USD
* Take Profit At 158.00 USD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
