TSLA Caught in Tug-of-War-TA for July 10TSLA Caught in Tug-of-War: Key Gamma & Price Action Setups Unfolding ⚠️
🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis:
Tesla’s options market is highly polarized heading into the week.
* Gamma Walls: Strong Call Wall near $304–$310, showing potential upside magnet if bulls regain control. Above this, the $317.5–$320 zone could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Put Walls: The $288–$285 zone represents a heavily defended downside, marked by high negative NET GEX and multiple put walls.
* Current GEX Bias: Negative gamma regime persists, increasing potential for volatile moves and sharp directionality.
* IVX is elevated at 61.1, with IVR 17.4, suggesting the options market is pricing in moderate near-term volatility.
📈 Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Setup: Consider July 12/July 19 300c–310c debit spread if price confirms reclaim of $300, targeting a gamma squeeze toward $317.5–$320.
* Bearish Setup: If price breaks below $288, buy 285p–275p vertical or 295p straight puts, expecting continuation toward $280 and below.
🕒 1H Price Action Outlook:
Tesla remains stuck in a tight consolidation wedge, showing a battle between supply at $300–304 and demand near $288–290.
* Structure: Market formed a bullish BOS earlier this week but failed to extend higher. The latest CHoCH + rejection from $300 zone suggests sellers are still active.
* Range: Coiling inside a triangle formation with tightening price action. A breakout or breakdown is imminent.
* Demand Zone: The green liquidity block around $284–$288 has held firm so far.
* Trendlines: Price is being compressed between a descending trendline (supply) and ascending trendline (demand), signaling a make-or-break moment.
🎯 Intraday Trade Plan:
* Bullish Case:
* Entry: Above $300 with volume
* Target: $304 → $310 → $317
* Stop: Below $294
* Bearish Case:
* Entry: Breakdown below $288
* Target: $284 → $280
* Stop: Above $295
💭 Final Thoughts:
TSLA is in a pressure cooker. A breakout above $300 opens the door to gamma-driven upside, but continued compression or a loss of $288 support could trigger a fast liquidation. Monitor volume closely — this wedge is near resolution.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
