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SMCI – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🟢 🔹 Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI – NASDAQ) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Breakout Retest at Key Supply Zone 📊 Trade Plan – Long Bias ✅ Entry Zone: Around $36.67 (breakout + retest confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $34.25 (below structure & recent low) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $39.51 – Prior resistance zone 📌 TP2: $43.36 – Major structure / supply zone 📐 Risk-Reward Calculation 🟥 Risk: $36.67 - $34.25 = $2.42/share 🟩 Reward to TP2: $43.36 - $36.67 = $6.69/share 📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.76 – Strong long setup 🔍 Technical Highlights 📌 Trendline breakout with retest at resistance ✔ 📌 Holding above yellow resistance zone ✔ 📌 Strong bullish momentum on breakout ✔ 📌 Good volume + clean continuation structure 🔼 📉 Risk Management Plan 🔁 Move SL to breakeven after TP1 💰 Take partial profits at TP1 📈 Let runners target TP2 📏 Discipline over impulse – follow chart ⚠️ Setup Invalidation If: ❌ Breaks and closes below $34.25 ❌ Reversal with strong bearish engulfing ❌ Fails to hold above yellow zone 🚨 Final Thoughts ✔ Clean technical breakout with volume and structure ✔ Defined stop, solid R/R = smart trade setup ✔ Great candidate for swing traders looking for momentum 🔗 #SMCI #StockBreakout #ProfittoPath #ChartSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrade #NASDAQStocks #SmartTrading #RiskReward #MomentumPlay
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ProfittoPath
I'm coloring outside the lines today - Long at 1.64In times of duress (and we can all agree this qualifies, I think), go back to a classic - the 200d MA. Not many stocks these days are trading above their 200d MA. Fewer still are in a business that is a built in hedge for inflation. I think these tariffs will be even more inflationary than they are recessionary and gold itself isn't quite a buy, so it's this small miner I'm trading today. I don't intend to hold it very long, but it's always nice to have a reason besides technicals in your back pocket in a trading environment like this one. There is some support nearby and the 200d MA as well. As an added bonus, low priced stocks tend to generate outsized moves. I don't know about your portfolio, but after today, mine could use an outsized move in the upward direction. 5 down days in a row improves the odds as well. Now for the juicy part. This is a new method I've been working on for the past few months and it has done PRETTY well in all environments, at least relative to buy and hold. It isn't foolproof and if a stock goes straight down it can be a way to amass a handful of garbage (see 10/25 - 12/5 on the chart). Overall, though, it does extremely well, as you can see from the yellow arrows on the chart, representing past trade setups with this stock. 28 trades: 27 wins, 1 open - the most recent one. -Average gain = +6.01% -Average hold period = 10.3 trading days -Average gain/lot/day held = +0.58% (roughly 13x the average long term daily return of the S&P) Depending on the market conditions and what the stock does, I MAY do a FPC close, I may not. I will add as necessary, but hopefully this will be a one and done trade. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
AMEX:ASMLong
by redwingcoach
LCID | Long | High-Volume Base Formation| (April 9, 2025)LCID | Long | High-Volume Base Formation + Oversold Recovery | (April 9, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: Lucid has been in a long-term downtrend since 2021, but recent price action shows early signs of accumulation with heavy volume and buy signals forming at a historical base. This could be the beginning of a multi-leg recovery if buyers step in. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry Zone: $2.16 – $2.43 (current range with compound positioning) Stop Loss: Below $2.00 (clear invalidation and structure breakdown) TP1: $2.92 TP2: $5.23 Final TP: $13.06 (long-term stretch target based on full reversal range) Partial Exits: Around $2.90 and $5.20 to secure early gains and reduce risk 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ LCID has been consolidating sideways with significant buy-side volume appearing since Q4 2024 ✅ Multiple buy signals recently printed on the daily chart ✅ While it’s unrealistic to expect a return to $55–60, even a move toward $13 offers a 6x return from this range ✅ Lucid continues to operate as an EV tech and components manufacturer — a sector with long-term potential ❌ Invalidation clearly lies under $2.00 — if price breaks this zone, the setup loses its foundation 📊 RSI and volume support the case for a potential macro reversal forming here 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: Actively monitoring and risk-managing this trade. Will update the idea if price breaks above key resistance or if downside pressure resumes. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Charles Schwab ($SCHW) Upgraded by Morgan Stanley to Overweight Morgan Stanley has taken new rating actions on financial exchanges and brokers as markets face heightened uncertainty. The investment bank highlighted concerns over economic growth, sticky inflation, and interest rate paths. Recession fears and tariff-induced volatility have also rattled investor confidence. According to Morgan Stanley, such conditions increase the need for hedging, trading, and risk management by corporations and asset owners. The note added that the recent market sell-off may discourage retail investor activity, especially as portfolio losses and margin calls mount. Despite these challenges, Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW) received an upgrade to Overweight. The firm cited Schwab’s more stable earnings profile and strong fundamentals. Morgan Stanley sees a 20% annual EPS growth for Schwab over the next two years. The bank also noted Schwab’s resilience amid the volatile macro environment. Technical Analysis Charles Schwab's stock is showing strength despite the broader market downturn. Price action recently formed an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This is aligned with an ascending trendline that dates back several months. Currently, SCHW is testing a solid horizontal support level that confluences with the trendline near $70. If momentum remains strong, the next potential target is $84, the high from February 2025. The bullish chart formation, combined with Morgan Stanley’s upgrade, supports a possible price surge from the current level.
NYSE:SCHWLong
by DEXWireNews
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single DayTesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single Day Tesla was among the standout performers in the stock market rally that followed President Trump’s decision to delay, by 90 days, the implementation of new international trade tariffs — with the notable exception of China. According to the charts, Tesla (TSLA) shares surged by approximately 22%. Why Did TSLA Shares Soar? Some insight comes from Cathie Wood, CEO of asset management firm ARK Invest. In an interview with Barron’s on Wednesday, she noted the following: → Tesla plans to launch a new, more affordable vehicle this quarter, likely priced at around $30,000 — roughly half the cost of the base Model Y. → The upcoming release of Tesla’s robotaxi service could also lower the need for large upfront vehicle purchases, offering consumers a more economical alternative. → Tesla sources more components from North America than most other US carmakers, meaning it is less exposed to tariff-related costs. And there’s another reason TSLA may have jumped — one that can be found in the chart. Technical Analysis of TSLA Take note: the March and April lows (marked with arrows) are both around the $220 level. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) posted a significantly lower low in April compared to March. This suggests that, in early April, TSLA was outperforming the broader market. Why? One possible explanation is that there has been — and perhaps still is — a strong accumulation interest in TSLA. Buyers may have been quietly scooping up available shares amid recession fears. When yesterday’s news suddenly shifted market sentiment, the “spring” uncoiled, catapulting TSLA’s share price upward. However, the overall downtrend remains intact. If bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the psychologically significant $300 level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the downward channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
ADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long PositionADSK - Autodesk, Inc. (Weekly chart, NASDAQ) - Long Position; Mid-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {support structure integrity and volatility stop-out risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.43 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 234 Entry limit ~ 228 on April 09, 2025 Target limit ~ 245 (+7.46%; +17 points) Stop order limit ~ 221 (-3.07%; -7 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NASDAQ:ADSKLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Temu's Price Magic: Shattered by Tariffs?PDD Holdings, the parent entity behind the popular e-commerce platform Temu, confronts a severe operational challenge following the recent imposition of stringent US tariffs targeting Chinese goods. These trade measures, particularly the dismantling of the "de minimis" rule for Chinese shipments, directly threaten the ultra-low-cost business model that fueled Temu's rapid expansion in the US market. The elimination of the previous $800 duty-free threshold for individual packages strikes at the core of Temu's logistical and pricing strategy. The impact stems from newly enacted, exceptionally high tariffs on these formerly exempt low-value parcels. Reports indicate rates escalating to 90% of the item's value or a significant flat fee, effectively nullifying the cost advantages Temu leveraged by shipping directly from manufacturers in China. This fundamental shift disrupts the financial viability of Temu's model, which relied heavily on tariff-free access to deliver goods at minimal prices to American consumers. Consequently, significant price increases for products sold on Temu appear almost inevitable as PDD Holdings grapples with these substantial new costs. While the company's official response is pending, economic pressures suggest consumers will likely absorb these charges, potentially eroding Temu's primary competitive advantage and slowing its growth momentum. PDD Holdings now faces the critical task of navigating this disrupted trade landscape and adapting its strategy to maintain its market position amidst heightened protectionism and geopolitical tension.
NASDAQ:PDDShort
by UDIS_View
4/8/25 - $aapl - why it's the main stock to watch4/8/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AAPL why it's the main stock to watch - up until recently the TVC:TNX (10Y) was headed lower. this changed in the last few sessions. let's leave the various "explanations" beyond this (perhaps the comments) and simply focus on price. - the reason NASDAQ:AAPL is of particular importance is given it's supreme weighting in the SP:SPX (up until recently the largest cap, now NASDAQ:MSFT as of today), but more importantly it's bond-like cash flow stream and high ROE's given strong brand. this affords investors (even those who eschew tech generally, like uncle warren) the ability to "look through" various disruptive and often more terminal-weighted names, even if they're megacaps as well, like $nvda. the current fcf yield on NASDAQ:AAPL is almost identical to the 10Y. - when you look at the above chart which plots NASDAQ:AAPL vs. the NASDAQ:TLT (price of apple divided by the 10Y), you'll notice two obvious things (and i've used heikin ashi candles to further underscore the points). 1/ aapl has consistently outperformed the long bond in the last decade+ 2/ period of multi-month drawdown vs. the 10Y have averaged about 80 days and ~30% lower, nearly identical to where we are today - when we consider the "reinvestment risk" of something like the 10Y for something like aapl, and considering the historical parallels, one would ask the question "is this over". and that's why this is so interesting/ important to watch $aapl. - beyond it's growing digital services contribution to the business, the core product (which delivers these services) is still mainly based in the "china complex", whether that's assembly, or within a headline's scare away in Taiwan (w/ their chips). so it's *very* exposed to what's happening here and a liquid canary for sentiment as to what's happening. - and beyond a resolution to the tariff debacle (if i may be so polite to call it that and stick to the points I'm trying to make in this post), the 10Y is behaving in a way where confidence might be shifting more toward a pseudo-sovereign LIKE APPLE given it's bond-like characteristics (points above) versus this gov't issued IOU. In other words, would you trust NASDAQ:AAPL stock (or even their bonds for that matter) to appreciate (or the yield to decline) versus the US 10Y. And there is the funny conundrum... and the paradigm shift happening in real time. Said another way: 1/ if the 10Y starts to behave, it's likely because there's some market belief of tariff resolution and a path forward (let's call it "look thru" or "reduced uncertainty") and in this scenario NASDAQ:AAPL like outperforms any benefit to lower yields given the recent pullback and given the chart/ comments above. 2/ and if the opposite is true, and the market continues to call BS on this whole ordeal, the 10Y is likely to dramatically underperform NASDAQ:AAPL 's stock price and/or the bottom for NASDAQ:AAPL one could argue is much more limited (perhaps 10-15%, at most 20%) vs. the 10Y (TLT), and from there the risk-reward (the second-order implication of this) is still an NASDAQ:AAPL share price that, again, dramatically outperforms the 10Y. While is all to say: I am closely watching NASDAQ:AAPL as if it were the most important economic variable in this whole equation and believe it's much closer to not only a trade-able bottom but potentially a multi-year floor price than the market's current sentiment would lead you to believe. And without getting too long winded (which this already is), the similar logic applies albeit to a slightly lesser degree for NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT and a few other mega caps ( NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:GOOGL ) each with their own quirks/ "features" or "drawbacks" in the current climate/ topic. So while I'm still packing 25% cash on the books, eventually this old man is going to call BS. And the big liquid stuff will be a good place to re-accumulate before we can distribute into the slightly more nuanced names (of which I own a few - if u follow u know). Let's see. Hope it helps your mosaic. Lmk (and especially) if you disagree. V
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by VROCKSTAR
TSLA Breakdown Looks Weak! Bearish Momentum Builds Under Key ZonTSLA just broke down from a key structure with rejection under $243 and failed to reclaim it. Price is now stuck in a bearish SMC range and sitting inside a demand zone that’s showing signs of weakening. Here’s how it’s setting up: 📉 Market Structure & SMC Price is clearly trending inside a downward channel with consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) moves. The most recent bearish BOS confirms continuation, and there has been no clean change-of-character (CHoCH) to suggest bulls are regaining control. Supply remains untouched above $243, while price has now tested the $214–$221 zone multiple times. 📊 Indicators – MACD & Stoch RSI MACD histogram is fading and showing no momentum crossover. Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold but not turning up yet — this could signal either a pause or a weak bounce before continuation down. 📉 TrendInfo Summary (1H) The TrendInfo panel is heavily tilted bearish: Momentum (MACD, RSI, DMI) is all red Volume remains average but favoring red candles Fear & Greed sentiment reads at Fear (-14.42) Final recommendation: Sell (90%) This confluence supports the bearish thesis unless bulls step in aggressively at $214. 🧠 Options GEX Insight On the options side, we’re seeing a major wall of negative gamma around the $215–$220 zone — and the highest negative NETGEX / put support sits at $214.25, right where price is hovering. If this level breaks, gamma flows could accelerate downside volatility toward $200–$210, with no real put wall protection below until $190. On the flip side, the upside is heavily capped at $237.5 with HVL at that level. The nearest significant resistance lies at $260–$262, aligning with major call walls and the 62% GEX call resistance zone. IVR is extremely elevated at 137.8, with IVx at 140.2, showing strong option demand and volatility pricing. However, most of the flow is put-heavy (1.6%), suggesting institutions are not betting on a recovery just yet. 🎯 Trade Thoughts & Scenarios If price bounces here, we may see a short-term move to $230–$237.5 (gap fill or HVL reversion). However, unless TSLA reclaims $243, the broader structure remains bearish and rallies are likely to be sold. If $214 breaks, that opens downside to $210 and even $200 fast — especially with this kind of GEX structure. Swing traders can consider shorting failed bounces with tight risk above $230. Intraday scalpers can hunt rejections at $225–$230 zone. Final Thoughts: TrendInfo, order flow, and SMC structure are all leaning bearish. TSLA needs a strong shift in sentiment or macro support (like QQQ/SPY bottoming) to reverse this trend. Until then, bears are in control. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms. At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s... Targets: $108.00 $120.00 $133.00
NYSE:UPSLong
by WorthlessViews
1
[TSLA] Bear Market to $15: Musk’s Empire at Risk?Tesla’s market cap now surpasses the combined market cap of all major automobile producers. Elon Musk is undeniably a genius, yet this staggering valuation owes much to a robust bull market and post-COVID hype. If Tesla were valued using the same earnings and revenue multiples as the average automaker, its stock price would hover between $15 and $20 per share. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Tesla’s chart is one of the most striking I’ve ever seen. It reflects a powerful bull market that has completed an Elliott Wave five-wave structure, signaling that a bear market is likely next. Wave 4 formed a running triangle—a pattern typical in strong trends—and was followed by a short Wave 5, exactly as expected. Running triangles paired with a brief Wave 5 often indicate distribution. Indeed, Tesla’s chart reveals a beautiful four-year distribution phase (2021–2025). During this period, the stock struggled to climb higher due to persistent selling pressure. Strong hands have now offloaded their shares to weaker hands, setting the stage for a bear market. A triple divergence on the monthly RSI further confirms extreme overbought conditions and reinforces the case for selling. There’s no significant support until the $15–$20 range. If my prediction of a 2008-style crash in the S&P 500 (see related ideas) holds true, Tesla could bottom out around $15—a level that, intriguingly, aligns with its COVID-era low. "Bull market geniuses turn into bear market fools." Elon Musk net worth derives value mostly from Tesla and SpaceX as other companies are illiquid and very speculative. Current Musk's Tesla stake is worth around $100 billion if the price falls down to $15 it would be worth $6 billion, all other things being equal that alone would put a significant dent in his net worth. Musk is widely recognized as someone who leverages his Tesla shares and SpaceX to fund other ventures and lifestyle. It is not clear at what price level his margin calls are and what arrangements he has with banks but if crash of this magnitude happens all his Tesla shares could be wiped out with possible full blown bankruptcy. I wish him well and hope he does well, but this scenario is not unlikely and interesting to ponder.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by berightandsittight
POL PROBABLY IN WAVE 'A' OR '1'This is an update on our POL wave count shared earlier, we have modified the wave count looking at the formations and excluded the possibility of the current wave being a wave C. If the wave count is correct then we are in 5 or Y of wave 1 or A. With reference to my last idea of POL in which we got greedy and took a loss on 50% of our positions and are still holding 50% of the long positions for long term. Since are preferred wave count is still showing some downside which can reach 500-475 range and even further, It is not wise to just let our investment sit there and wait for the upward movement which can take months from now. Therefore we have decided to hedge our current position with a small portion of short sell in POL futures. Will share the short sell trade setup tomorrow morning Let see how this plays, Good Luck! Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
PSX:POLShort
by KayJay
2
LCID: Is the Bearish Trend Finally Nearing a Reversal?LCID is still in a long-term bearish trend, but there are signs it could be nearing a shift. Here's the breakdown: ✅ Bearish trend since 2021: LCID’s price dropped from 64.86 to 1.93, a major decline over the past few years. 📉 Substantial declines: After a 280% gain in 2021, LCID has seen significant losses — -82% in 2022 -38% in 2023 -28.3% in 2024 -21% so far in 2025. 🔄 Rebounds, but trend still down: Despite rebounds of over 180% in 2023 and 100% in 2024, the bearish trend remains intact. ⚠️ Diminishing volatility: Large price swings in 2024 slowed down, suggesting the stock might be nearing a bottom. ❌ Still below key MAs: LCID remains below its 200-day and 20-day moving averages, signaling that the overall trend is still bearish. 👀 Key level — 1.93: A strong hold above this low could signal a potential trend shift in the mid-term. Bottom line? LCID could be stabilizing, but the bearish trend stays in place until it holds above 1.93. Watch for confirmation before expecting a trend reversal.
NASDAQ:LCID
by Quantific-Solutions
NVIDIA on Bear Market territory. Will the 1W MA100 save the day?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has officially entered Bear Market territory as it has declined by almost -45% from the January 2025 All Time High (ATH) and just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 30 2023. This is the strongest correction the stock has seen since the 2022 Inflation Crisis and based on the Time Cycle Indicator of the last two Cycle Tops, the week of Jan 06 2025 falls indeed on the third count. This high degree of symmetry isn't only present on the price action but on the 1W RSI sequence itself as the current time range from the RSI High (March 18 2024) to today's Low is fairly consistent (54 weeks, 378 days) with the top-to-bottom range of the previous two Bear Markets, 2022 and 2018 (red Channel Down patterns). So far the current correction looks similar to the September - December 2018 as not only their RSI counts are similar but both are more aggressive and fast than the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The 2018 correction though didn't top on the 1W MA100 but almost reached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before making a bottom, but it did so in less than 2 months and declined by -57.40%. The current correction is already running for 3 months. So what remains to be seen is if the 1W MA100 will manage to hold and kick-start a bullish reversal on its own, despite this correction being 'only' -43.39%. The 1W RSI dropped close enough to 30.00 (the oversold limit) though, which has historically been a very reliable indicator for a long-term buy on NVDA. If those work in favor of the 1W MA100 holding, expect to see a strong rebound, that will confirm the new Bull Cycle with a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and can technically aim for at least a +1000% rise from the bottom, as both previous Bull Cycles did. If the 1W MA100 fails, we expect a bottom by the end of June 2025 around the 1W MA200 between $65-60. Again a +1000% rise from that level is technically plausible, potentially giving a Target estimate of at least $660. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot