Bearish Continuation in PlayAfter an extended distribution phase near the premium zone and a clear break of the ascending channel, NVDA has shifted into a bearish market structure.
Price is currently pulling back into a key supply zone and retesting the bearish trendline. If this area holds, we could see further downside movement with the following targets:
🔻 $88.47 – potential support and short-term consolidation area.
🔻 $41.79 – medium-term target if bearish momentum continues and support breaks.
This bearish outlook remains valid as long as price stays below $153.99, which marks the invalidation level and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
🔍 Market structure is showing consistent lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure.
Google Wave Analysis – 25 April 2025
- Google reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 161.75
Google recently reversed sharply from the support zone between the long-term support level 147.30 (which has been reversing the price from September of 2024) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The price previously broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February – which strengthened the bullish pressure on Google.
Google can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 161.75 (top of wave 2 from the middle of April).
CMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long PositionCMI - Cummins Inc. (2 hours chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {support & market structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~2.53
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 293.45 {pre-market}
Entry limit ~ 288.50 to 285.50 (Avg. - 287) on April 25, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 294.50 (+2.61%; +7.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 306 (+6.62%; +19 points)
Stop order limit ~ 279.50 (-2.61%; -7.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Alphabet Shares Surge 6% In Premarket Amid Earnings BeatShares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) spike 6% in Friday's premarket session amidst earnings beat.
Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) reported first-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts’ expectations, sending shares higher in extended trading Thursday.
The tech giants reported revenue of $90.23 billion, up 12% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Net income of $34.54 billion, or $2.81 per share, compared to $23.66 billion, or $1.89 per share, a year earlier, also topping Wall Street’s estimates. Google Cloud revenue rose 28% to $12.3 billion, while Search & Other segment revenue grew 10% to $50.7 billion.
Alphabet also raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to 21 cents, and announced an additional $70 billion in stock buybacks. Alphabet's Class A shares rose close to 5% in after-hours trading. The stock was down about 16% for 2025 through Thursday’s close.
Alphabet Reiterates Spending Plans as AI Features Expand Reach and Engagement
CEO Sundar Pichai said Search growth was driven by "engagement we’re seeing with features like AI Overviews, which now has 1.5 billion users per month" after launching in May 2024.2
“We do see a tremendous opportunity ahead of us across the organization,” CFO Anat Ashkenazi said, adding that Alphabet ended the quarter with more Cloud demand than it had capacity.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of NASDAQ:GOOG are up 5% in Friday's premarket trading, bouncing off from the critical support zone of $146. NASDAQ:GOOG 's next top is the $200 resistant a move that will deliver a stunning 29% in gains. All present metrics are pointing to a bullish campaign, the asset is already trading below key moving averages giving NASDAQ:GOOG room to capitalize on this technical to make a comeback.
Stock Of The Day / 04.01.25 / ICCT04.01.2025 / NASDAQ:ICCT #ICCT
Fundamentals. Neutral news background.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Short Squeeze on 2nd day after a strong close in the previous session.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session : There was a pullback, which was stopped at the level of 3.70 after the initial impulse at the beginning of the session. After that, the price began to tighten to the level against the initial movement, making pullbacks, each subsequent one was smaller than the previous one. We are considering a long trade in case the level holds.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 3.70
Entry: 3.86 when trend line is broken upwards, tightening structure is broken
Stop: 3.66 we hide it below the level with a small reserve
Exit: Close part of the position after the impulse movement on increased volume at 12:00 p.m. We close the rest of the position at a price of 4.49 when exit down the trade range.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
INTEL DROP --- FIELD COMM LOG #02242025🪖 WAR ROOM DISPATCH — FIELD REPORT FROM CAMP JARVIS & CAMP LIVERMORE
Date: 4/24/2025
Status: STANDBY
Volume: Normal
Current Order: HOLD
⚔️ SUMMARY OF ENGAGEMENTS – LAST 30 DAYS
The battlefield has been blood-red. Abnormal reactions litter the map. Morale was tested—but our troops never broke. The Red Army pushed hard, exploiting weakness, creating chaos. Yet we held.
📍Camp Jarvis
Coordinates: 115.10
☑️ Status: HOLD
📈 Trend: UPTREND
📊 ATR: Tightening (3.39)
🟩 Zone: Top of box: 115.10 | Bottom: 86.62
📢 Latest: “We’re nearing breakout. Position secure. Scouting volume now.”
Jarvis is seeing a shift—momentum is whispering beneath the soil. There's life stirring. But RSI is low (sub-45). This isn't the time for heroes—it’s a time for patience. Let the weak exhaust themselves.
📍Camp Livermore
Position: Natural Reaction Zone
☑️ Status: HOLD
📉 Trend: Weak uptrend but too early to act
🔄 Recent movement: Mixed signals, sporadic action, no confirmation.
Livermore's forces are strong in discipline, but not yet in numbers. They report: “Volume’s stable, but not convincing. We’ll move when the field confirms it—not before.”
📛 INTEL WARNING
The maps are clear—we are not in breakout yet.
There’s a false calm in the air.
Do NOT chase. Do NOT preempt.
This is how armies get slaughtered in the fog.
💡 Key Quote from Command:
“The Red Army still has strength. We’re holding—but holding isn’t winning. We wait for the flinch. The break. The rally cry. That’s when we move.”
🎖️ Current Position: HOLD
🛡️ Camp Jarvis: Monitoring breakout zone
🧭 Camp Livermore: Awaiting troop confirmation
📉 RSI low, Trend early
🔕 No All-Signal-Go confirmed
🚨 Mixed Signals = DO NOT ADVANCE
The war is not over.
But neither are we.
9 Simple Ratios Every Great Investor Uses - Buffett Included!Forget the hype, headlines, or hope. These 9 financial ratios are what real investors actually use to pick winners, but...
P/E? ROE? EPS? 🧐
- What are they, or better yet, WHO are they? 🤯
- How high is “too high”?
- Is a low number always good, or just a trap?
- Do all industries follow the same rules… or is that another myth?
Buffett. Greenblatt. Graham. Lynch.
They didn’t rely on vibes — they trusted fundamentals
After years of relying on charts, I built a 9-point fundamentals checklist to filter stocks faster and smarter. Now I’m sharing it with real-life examples and key insights to help you spot what really makes a stock worth owning:
Easy enough for new investors diving into fundamentals
Sharp enough to level up seasoned pros
Real enough to avoid hype
…but the truth is: these numbers did flag companies like Amazon, Apple, and Nvidia before the market gave them credit.
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✅ Quick Reference Table
Scan the table, then dive into the stories…
First Pro Tip: Bookmark this. You’ll check these before every stock pick.
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📊 1. P/E Ratio | Price-to-Earnings
What it tells you: How much you pay for each dollar of a company’s profit.
Short Example: A P/E of 20 means you pay $20 for $1 of profit. High P/E? Expect big growth or risk overpaying.
Strong: Between 15 and 25
Caution: Above 30 (unless fast growth)
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 25–40
- Utilities: 10–15
- Consumer Staples: 15–20
- Energy: 10–20
- Healthcare: 20–30
Story: In early 2023, NVIDIA’s P/E ratio hovered around 25, near the low end for tech stocks. Investors who saw this as a steal amid the AI boom were rewarded—NVIDIA’s stock made 4x by the end of 2024 as AI chip demand soared.
Contrast that with Tesla in Q1 2025, when its P/E spiked above 40 with slowing sales and Tesla’s stock dropped 50% in weeks.
Pro tip: A low P/E is not always good. If growth is weak or falling, it's often a trap.
Example: A utility company with a P/E of 30 is probably overpriced. A tech stock with 35 might still be fair — if growth justifies it.
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🧠 2. PEG Ratio | Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth
What it tells you: If a high P/E is worth it based on future profit growth. Whether the earnings growth justifies the price.
Short Example: A PEG below 1 means you’re getting growth at a fair price. High PEG? You’re overpaying.
Strong: Below 1
Caution: Above 2
Industry Averages:
- Software: below 1.5 is solid
- Consumer Goods: Below 2 is more realistic
- Tech: Below 1
- Consumer Staples: Below 1.5
- Healthcare: Below 1.2
- Financials: Below 1.5
- Energy: Below 1.3
Story: In mid-2022, Salesforce’s PEG was 0.8 (P/E 35, forward EPS growth 45%) as cloud demand surged. Investors who spotted this steal saw the stock climb 130% by the end of 2024. Meanwhile, Peloton in 2023 had a P/E of 20 but near-zero growth (PEG above 3). Its stock cratered -50% as fitness trends faded.
Story: NVIDIA’s PEG hit 0.9 in Q3 2023 (P/E 30, growth 35%) during AI hype, a steal for tech (average PEG below 1.2).
PEG filters hype. A stock can look expensive until you factor in growth.
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🧱 3. P/B Ratio | Price-to-Book
What it tells you: How much you pay compared to what the company owns (like buildings or cash).
Short Example: A P/B below 1.5 means you’re paying close to the company’s asset value. High P/B? Expect strong profits or risk.
Strong: Below 1.5
Caution: Below 1 + poor earnings = value trap
Industry Averages:
- Banks: Below 1.5
- Insurance: Below 1.3
- REITs: Use NAV (aim below 1.2)
- Tech: Often ignored
- Energy: Below 2
Story: In 2024, JPMorgan Chase’s P/B was 1.4, solid for banks (average below 1.5). Investors who bought enjoyed 100% gains.
n 2023, Bed Bath & Beyond’s P/B fell below 1 with collapsing earnings. It looked cheap but filed for bankruptcy that year.
Tip: Only use this in asset-heavy sectors like banking or real estate.
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⚙️ 4. ROE | Return on Equity
What it tells you: How well a company turns investor money into profits.
Short Example: An ROE above 15% means the company makes good money from your investment. Low ROE? Weak returns.
Strong: Above 15%
Caution: Below 10% unless in slow-growth industries
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 20–30%
- Consumer Staples: 15–25%
- Utilities: 8–12%
- Financials: 10–15%
- Healthcare: 15–20%
Story: Coca-Cola (KO) has kept ROE above 35% for years, a sign of brand power and pricing strength.
Eli Lilly’s (LLY) ROE stayed above 25% from 2022–2024, a healthcare leader (average 15–20%). Its weight-loss drug Mounjaro drove consistent profits, lifting the stock 150%+ in two years. Checking ROE trends helped investors spot this winner.
Tip: If ROE is high but D/E is also high, be careful, it might just be leverage.
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💰 5. Net Margin | Profitability
What it tells you: How much profit a company keeps from its sales or what % of revenue ends up as pure profit.
Short Example: A 10% margin means $10 profit per $100 in sales. Low margin? Tough business or high costs.
Strong: Above 10-15%+
Caution: Below 5%
Industry Averages:
- Software: 20–30%
- Retail: 2–5%
- Manufacturing: 8–12%
- Consumer Staples: 10–15%
- Energy: 5–10%
- Healthcare: 8–15%
Story: Walmart’s (WMT) 2% net margin looks tiny — but it’s expected in retail.
A software firm with 5%? That’s a warning — high costs or weak pricing.
In 2023, Zoom’s (ZM) net margin fell to 5% (down from 25% in 2021), well below software’s 20–30% average. Pricing pressure and competition crushed its stock quite a lot. Meanwhile, Apple’s 25% margin in 2024 (tech average 20%) remained a cash cow.
Tip: Margins show whether the company owns its pricing or competes on price.
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💣 6. D/E Ratio | Debt-to-Equity
What it tells you: How much debt a company uses compared to investor money.
Short Example: A D/E below 1 means more investor cash than debt. High D/E? Risky if profits dip.
Strong: Below 1
Caution: Above 2 (except REITs or utilities)
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 0–0.5
- Industrials: 0.5–1.5
- REITs: 1.5–2.5 (manageable due to structure)
- Utilities: 1–2
- Energy: 0.5–1.5
Story: In 2024, Tesla’s D/E dropped below 0.3 (tech average 0–0.5) as it paid down debt, signaling strength despite sales dips - a massive rally afterward.
Tip: Rising debt + falling profits = a storm coming. Always check both.
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💵 7. Free Cash Flow (FCF)
What it tells you: Cash left after paying for operations and growth investments.
Short Example: Apple’s $100 billion cash pile in 2024 funded stock buybacks, boosting shares. Low cash? Trouble looms.
Strong: Positive and growing
Caution: Negative for multiple years
Sector notes:
- Tech: Lots of cash (think billions)
- Industrials: Up and down, check trends
- REITs: Look at FFO (cash from properties), aim high
- Energy: Has cash, but swings with oil prices
- Healthcare: Steady cash, not too high
Story: Netflix had negative FCF while scaling content. Once costs stabilized, FCF turned positive and stock re-rated sharply.
Pro tip: Profits don’t mean much without real cash. FCF is often more honest.
Cash is king: Companies need cash to pay bills, reduce debt, or fund growth. If FCF is falling, they might be burning through cash reserves or borrowing, which isn’t sustainable.
Potential issues : This mismatch could signal problems like poor cash collection, heavy spending, or even accounting tricks to inflate profits.
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🚀 8. EPS Growth | Earnings Power
What it tells you: How fast a company’s profits per share are growing.
Short Example: EPS up 10% yearly means more profit per share, lifting stock prices. Flat EPS? No growth, no gains.
Strong: Above 10%
Caution: Below 5%, flat/negative for 3+ years
Industry Averages:
- Tech: 15–30%
- Staples: 5–10%
- REITs: 3–6% (via FFO growth)
- Healthcare: 10–15%
- Financials: 5–10%
- Energy: 5–15% (cyclical)
Story: In Q1 2024, NVIDIA’s forward EPS growth of 30% (tech average 20%+) fueled a rally as AI chips dominated. Checking forward estimates helped investors avoid traps like Intel, with flat EPS and a drop.
Pro tip: A stock with flat EPS and no dividend? There’s no reason to own it.
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💵 9. Dividend Yield | Passive Income
What it tells you: How much cash you get yearly from dividends per dollar invested.
Short Example: A 3% yield means $3 per $100 invested. High yield? Check if it’s sustainable.
Good: ~3–4%
Red Flag: Above 6% with a payout ratio above 80-90%
Industry Averages:
- Utilities: 3–5%
- REITs: 3–6%
- Consumer Staples: 2–4%
- Tech: 0–2%
- Energy: 2–5%
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💡 Final Thought: How to Use All of This
Top investors don’t use just one metric. They look at the whole picture:
Good growth? Check PEG.
Good profits? Confirm with ROE and margin.
Safe balance sheet? Look at D/E and cash flow.
Fair valuation? P/E + FCF Yield + P/B.
Real power = Combining metrics.
A company with P/E 15, PEG 0.8, ROE 20%, low debt, and positive FCF? That’s your winner.
A stock with P/E 8, but no growth, high debt, and negative cash flow? That’s a trap.
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Real-World Combos
🎯Winners:
Tech Gem: P/E 20, PEG 0.8, ROE 25%, D/E 0.4, growing FCF, EPS 20%+ (e.g., NVIDIA 2023: AI-driven growth, stock soared).
Energy Steal: P/E 15, P/B 1.5, FCF positive, Dividend Yield 3.5% (e.g., Chevron 2023: Cash flow king).
⚠️Traps:
Value Trap: P/E 8, flat EPS, D/E 2.5, negative FCF (e.g., Peloton 2023).
Overhyped Tech: P/E 50, PEG 3, Net Margin 5%, D/E 1.5 (e.g., Rivian 2024).
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🚀 Share your own combos!
What do you personally look for when picking a stock?
If you spotted something off in the numbers, or have a valuable insight to add — please, drop it in the comments.👇
💡 Let’s turn this into a thread that’s not just good but superb and genuinely helpful for everyone.
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Final Thought
“Buy great companies at fair prices, not fair companies at great prices.” – Warren Buffett
This guide gives you the map.
Charts, tell you when.
These numbers tell you what, and why.
And this post?
It’s just the beginning!
These 9 metrics are part one of a bigger series I’m building — where we’ll go even deeper, with more advanced ratios, smarter combos, and real case studies.
If this guide helped you see financial numbers a little clearer, there’s a good chance it’ll help your investor friend too, especially if they’re just starting their journey...🤝Share it with them!
I built this as much for myself as for anyone else who wants to get better.👊
If you made it this far — thank you! 🙏
...and super thankful if you hit "The Boost" on this post 🚀
Cheers,
Vaido
Why Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are RisingWhy Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are Rising
As the Coinbase (COIN) stock chart shows, trading closed yesterday above the $200 mark — for the first time since March.
Since the beginning of April, COIN's share price has risen by nearly 20%, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has declined by approximately 2%.
Bullish Drivers Behind COIN’s Price Rise
According to media reports, several factors are contributing to the bullish momentum:
→ Yesterday’s announcement that Coinbase and PayPal are expanding their partnership in the areas of crypto payments and decentralised finance (DeFi). The collaboration aims to increase the adoption of the PYUSD stablecoin and integrate it into merchant settlements.
→ The anticipated adoption of US stablecoin legislation, designed to establish a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins. This is being supported by the Trump administration’s progressive stance on cryptocurrencies, including the appointment of crypto-friendly officials, the creation of a strategic crypto reserve, and other pro-crypto initiatives.
Technical Analysis of COIN Stock
The psychological level of $150, which served as strong support in 2024, has proven resilient again in April 2025. However, despite the rapid rise in price from $150 to $200 in under three weeks, there are reasons to believe that bullish sentiment may begin to fade:
→ The COIN share price remains within a downward trend, highlighted by a channel originating in early 2025.
→ The upper boundary of the channel may act as a resistance level.
→ Bears have previously demonstrated control in the $225–240 zone, where the price declined sharply (marked with a red rectangle).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Monitoring to Entry – AN/PAGThis pair was added to our Awaiting Confirmation list on April 16 , after showing a potential setup for a long position based on price deviation.
As of April 17 , the setup evolved further:
The pair Started below the lower Bollinger Band , suggesting continued price dislocation.
Stochastic %K and %D were both under 20 , indicating an Oversold condition.
ADX = 12.0 – signaling a sideways market, favorable for mean reversion.
DI-/DI+ ratio = 1.86 – still shows dominance of sellers, but that value improved (decreased) from the previous day.
A strong bullish candle appeared, reinforcing the shift in momentum.
Conclusion:
Although not all indicators were aligned perfectly, the price structure and early momentum reversal were enough for me to trigger a long entry as of April 17.
Now, I am monitoring this position with close attention to DI dynamics and further stochastic confirmation.
ABSA BANK KENYAABSA Bank and Co-operative Bank Kenya have a strong positive correlation. In 2025, we have seen the correlation drop with a small margin, and Co-operative Bank stock price did not move higher as much as ABSA did.
Both bank dividend payouts have a difference of .05, which is negligible. Fundamentally, Co-operative Bank has stronger fundamentals than ABSA Bank Kenya. From a risk-reward perspective (stock price & dividends), Co-operative Bank is more attractive than ABSA Bank.
However, I am anticipating this to change in the future. ABSA Bank Kenya has the probability of becoming a bigger and more attractive bank than Co-operative Bank.
Based on the Chart, the share price of ABSA bank is worth looking at post-book closure on the 30th of April, 2025. If it is a dividend drive, Co-operative Bank is a better alternative.