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Can Market Turbulence Create Future Innovation?In a dramatic turn of events that sent shockwaves through the pharmaceutical industry, Novo Nordisk's recent setback with its experimental obesity drug CagriSema presents a fascinating case study in market resilience and scientific progress. The company's stock plummeted 24% after trial results showed a 22.7% weight reduction efficacy, falling short of the anticipated 25% target. Yet, beneath this apparent disappointment lies a deeper story of pharmaceutical innovation and market adaptation. The obesity treatment landscape stands at a pivotal crossroads, with the market experiencing exponential growth from its modest beginnings to a staggering $24 billion industry in 2023. Novo Nordisk's journey, alongside competitor Eli Lilly, exemplifies how setbacks often catalyze breakthrough innovations. The CagriSema trial, involving 3,400 participants, represents a clinical study and a testament to the industry's commitment to addressing global health challenges. Looking ahead, this moment of market recalibration might well be remembered as a turning point in the evolution of obesity treatment. With projections suggesting a potential $200 billion market by the early 2030s, the current turbulence could drive even greater innovation and competition. The fact that only 57% of trial participants reached the highest CagriSema dose points to untapped potential and future opportunities for optimization, suggesting that today's apparent setback might pave the way for tomorrow's breakthroughs.
NYSE:NVOShort
by UDIS_View
A US Stock PLTR, Market structure update and strategy👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an D1 timeframe ICT Short setup in PLTR for Swing trade. Technically it is clearly that a double top formation and a LG at second top. Our idea: if Closed below 71.0, it will find the next support level 63.6 above the demand zone. There will be a good chance to buy after next accumulation next time. Since we have stock on hand, we will use Option strategy such as Short Call about 77 to collect premium. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by ICT_Trader_SB
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible) Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE). Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend. Possible Wave Counts: Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend. Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend. Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend. Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1). Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis. Key Levels: Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RELIANCE
by RK_Chaarts
$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback. Key Observations Trend Analysis: Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support. Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level. The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure. Dark Pool Prints: Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity: $136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance. $124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76). Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07). Support: Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39). The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias. Volume Analysis: The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution. Potential Reversal Zone: A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario: Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume. Targets: First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot). Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance). Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot). Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot). Bearish Scenario: Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation. Targets: First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level). Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level). Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support). Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance). Additional Considerations Dark Pool Reactions: The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level. Head-and-Shoulders Risk: A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern. Market Context: NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by thedarkpooltrader
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings A Crypto Mining Stock to Watch Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MARA ) “Bitcoin at $96K? It’s like Monopoly money growing into something real—fueling wealth and lifting stocks like $MARA. Let’s break down the crypto miner making waves in this dynamic market.” After Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged to $96,000, Marathon Digital Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) has positioned itself as a significant player in the crypto ecosystem. For investors, NASDAQ:MARA represents a unique opportunity tied directly to Bitcoin’s price movements and the operational efficiencies of crypto mining. Let’s dive into the details to evaluate its potential. Current Market Data Stock Price: Around $22.73 Market Cap: Approximately $4.65 billion Earnings Per Share (EPS): -$0.42 (last quarter) At first glance, NASDAQ:MARA ’s financial metrics might raise eyebrows. A negative EPS highlights the ongoing challenges of profitability in the volatile crypto mining industry. However, its substantial Bitcoin reserves tell a different story. Bitcoin Holdings: A Key Asset Marathon Digital holds 40,435 BTC, valued at approximately $3.88 billion at the current Bitcoin price of $96,000. This means that 83% of its market cap is backed by Bitcoin holdings alone. Such a significant asset base provides a unique valuation anchor in an otherwise speculative industry. Book Value Breakdown Total Bitcoin Value: ~$3.88 billion Estimated Shares Outstanding: ~204.6 million Book Value Per Share: ~$19.00 Compared to its stock price of ~$22.73, this suggests NASDAQ:MARA is trading close to its asset-backed value, making it an intriguing option for Bitcoin bulls. Valuation Metrics Traditional valuation methods struggle with companies like NASDAQ:MARA , given the negative EPS and the speculative nature of the crypto market. However, using a forward-looking EPS of $1.22 (an optimistic assumption), we can estimate: Graham Number: At a stock price of ~$22.73, NASDAQ:MARA appears fairly valued by this metric, though this assumes optimistic future earnings and stability in Bitcoin prices. Operational Highlights BTC Yield Growth: Marathon has reported steady improvements in Bitcoin yield, signaling operational success and increased mining efficiency. Renewable Energy Investments: Recent moves to secure wind farms and other renewable energy sources could reduce mining costs and enhance profitability. Scalability: With a solid foundation and operational upgrades, NASDAQ:MARA is well-positioned to benefit from further Bitcoin price increases. Risks and Volatility Crypto Dependency: NASDAQ:MARA ’s performance is tightly coupled with Bitcoin’s price. While this offers significant upside during bull markets, it exposes the stock to extreme downside risk in bear markets. Regulatory Uncertainty: Potential changes in crypto regulations could impact mining operations and profitability. Operational Costs: Fluctuations in energy prices and mining difficulty could strain margins. Buffett’s Perspective: Speculation vs. Strategy Warren Buffett famously avoids speculative assets like Bitcoin, and by extension, Bitcoin-focused companies. However, Marathon’s strategic moves—such as renewable energy investments—showcase a long-term vision that could appeal to more risk-tolerant investors. Conclusion: Is NASDAQ:MARA a Buy? NASDAQ:MARA ’s substantial Bitcoin reserves and operational improvements make it a compelling choice for investors who believe in Bitcoin’s continued growth. At a price of ~$22.73, the stock seems fairly valued relative to its book value and intrinsic potential. However, investing in NASDAQ:MARA requires: A strong belief in Bitcoin’s future. A high tolerance for crypto market volatility. An understanding of the risks tied to mining operations and regulatory changes. For those ready to embrace the volatility, NASDAQ:MARA offers an opportunity to ride the crypto wave with a company building for the future. For more in-depth market insights and strategies, visit DCAlpha.net and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
NASDAQ:MARALong
by DCAChampion
2
Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla. What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative. Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling. What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however). Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally. Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag. If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally. So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
10
Micron Technology (MU) Stock Drops 16%Micron Technology (MU) Stock Drops 16% On Wednesday, Micron Technology released its quarterly earnings report after the main trading session closed. The results aligned closely with analysts' expectations: earnings per share came in at $1.79, slightly above the forecast of $1.76, while revenue met projections at $8.71 billion. Despite meeting estimates, the chipmaker issued a disappointing forecast for the next quarter, citing weak demand for personal computers (PCs) and smartphones. This overshadowed positive projections for the growth of the artificial intelligence (AI) chip market. Morningstar analyst William Kerwin warned of a potential "significant decline" in revenue from chips used in smartphones and PCs in 2025, driven by challenging market conditions. As a result, Micron Technology's stock opened Thursday's session with a significant bearish gap and continued to slide throughout the day, closing 16% lower than Wednesday's closing price. The chart of Micron Technology shares reveals bearish signals, as the price has broken below the support line of the long-term upward channel defined by key reversal points. Currently, the stock is hovering around the $85.50 support level, which successfully halted the bearish momentum in August and September. However, with market sentiment dampened by Jerome Powell’s cautious comments about the pace of rate cuts in 2025, MU shares may face further downside. If this happens, the downward channel (highlighted in red) could become the dominant trend. Analysts remain optimistic despite recent developments. According to TipRanks: → 23 out of 24 analysts recommend buying MU stock. → The average 12-month price target is $153.05. That said, if the stock continues to deviate from the blue upward channel, analysts may adjust their price targets downwards to reflect the changing outlook. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MU
by FXOpen
2
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) - Top is In; Time to ShortPLTR is presenting a potential short setup as it approaches a short zone within the Fibonacci retracement levels. This area aligns with strong resistance, suggesting a downside move could follow. Trade Details: - Entry (Short Zone): $74.25 - Stop-loss: $78.30 Targets: - Target 1: $65.10 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension) - Target 2: $57.15 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension) Analysis: The rejection of the resistance zone could trigger a bearish wave down to the targets. Fibonacci extensions provide additional confluence for the downside targets. Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by MrStockWhale
Merchants Bancorp/IN | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Merchants Bancorp/IN - Double Formation * Pennant Structure | Area Of Value | Subdivision 1 * Retracement 1 | Not Numbered - Triple Formation * 012345 | Wave Count Valid | 345 Template Ongoing Entry * Retracment 2 | Numbered | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Behavioural Settings | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
CAPITALCOM:MBIN
by TradePolitics
Bravura Solutions | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Bravura Solutions - Double Formation * 1.600 AUD | Trend Line Survey Valid * 0.800 AUD | Trend Line Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * Retracement 1 | Not Numbered | Consolidation | Subdivision 2 * Median)) | Conditions Entered | Survey Valid At 1.800 AUD * Retracement 2 | Numbered | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:BVSAULong
by TradePolitics