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TSLA Cont. Bull Run after Market Downturn Today? for Dec. 19Tesla experienced a significant decline during today’s trading session, aligning with broader market weakness. This sharp drop follows a recent bullish rally, prompting key questions regarding whether the stock is consolidating, forming a reversal, or preparing for another leg higher. Market Structure Analysis: Tesla has been in a strong uptrend for several weeks, recently reaching a high of $488. However, today’s action suggests a possible break in momentum, with the price closing below $450. The intraday sell-off has brought TSLA closer to key support zones, with a significant volume spike signaling heightened activity from institutional traders. Supply and Demand Zones: * Supply Zone: $467 - $488 (overhead resistance, marked by recent highs and profit-taking areas). * Demand Zone: $420 - $429 (critical support from the last consolidation zone in late November). Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels: * Key Resistance Levels: * $452: Near-term resistance where sellers became active today. * $467: Intermediate resistance from prior week’s breakout level. * Key Support Levels: * $442: Immediate support tested during the day. * $429: Lower support, coinciding with today’s intraday low and significant buying interest. Key Indicators: * EMA (9/21): * The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA on the hourly chart, indicating a bearish shift in momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover with increasing histogram bars below the zero line. * This suggests accelerating downside momentum. * RSI: * Dropping below 40 on the hourly timeframe, signaling oversold conditions but room for further downside. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Call Walls: $480 and $500 (significant resistance levels based on options activity). * Put Walls: $430 and $420 (high open interest for puts, likely providing temporary support). * GEX: Gamma levels indicate that market makers may sell into rallies, adding downward pressure. Scalping vs. Swing Outlook: * Scalping: * Focus on intraday levels such as $442 for potential quick rebounds, targeting $450-$452 resistance. Set a tight stop-loss below $440. * Swing Trading: * Watch for a decisive break below $429 for confirmation of a deeper pullback. Alternatively, a reclaim of $452 could trigger a move back toward $467. Actionable Suggestions: * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $429 * Target: $420 * Stop-Loss: Above $435 * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $452 * Target: $467 * Stop-Loss: Below $445 Conclusion: Tesla’s recent sell-off has brought the stock into critical support zones, offering opportunities for both bears and bulls. However, caution is warranted given broader market volatility and bearish technical signals. Traders should monitor key levels and volume to confirm the next move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
5
AAPL Technical Analysis after Today Downturn - Dec. 19Apple (AAPL) experienced a sharp decline today, reflecting broader market volatility and potential profit-taking from recent highs. This analysis explores the technical outlook to assess possible reversal points, continuation patterns, and actionable trade setups. Market Structure Analysis * Daily Timeframe: AAPL broke out of its ascending channel but sharply pulled back to re-test support levels around $247. This indicates a failed breakout scenario with bearish momentum dominating. * Hourly Timeframe: The pullback from $254 to $247 aligns with increased selling volume, signaling strong short-term bearish sentiment. Supply and Demand Zones * Key Demand Zone: $244–$247 – A high-confluence support area where buyers may step in. * Key Supply Zone: $252–$254 – Prior resistance where sellers are likely to defend aggressively. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance Levels * Immediate Resistance: $250.79 – Intraday recovery may face challenges at this level. * Immediate Support: $245 – A breakdown below could signal further downside to $242.50 or $240. * Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels: * 50% Retracement: $246.50 * 61.8% Retracement: $244 Key Indicators * 9/21 EMA Crossover: Bearish crossover indicates potential continuation of downward momentum. * MACD: Shows strong bearish divergence, with the histogram widening in the negative territory. * RSI: Approaching oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce if $244 holds. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX) * Call Wall: $255 – Indicates strong resistance; unlikely to break without significant bullish momentum. * Put Wall: $247.50 – A key gamma support level; a breakdown below could accelerate bearish moves. * IVR/IVx: Elevated implied volatility suggests market participants expect significant price swings. Scalping vs Swing Outlook * Scalping: * Entry (Long): Near $245 with a tight stop-loss at $243. * Entry (Short): Near $250.50 if rejected, targeting $247 with a stop-loss at $252. * Swing Trading: * Bearish Play: Break below $244, targeting $240 with a stop-loss at $247. * Bullish Play: Reclaim $250, targeting $254 with a stop-loss at $247. Actionable Suggestions 1. For Short-Term Traders: * Monitor the $247 support level for possible intraday bounces. * Short positions can be considered below $244 with proper risk management. 2. For Swing Traders: * Wait for a clear breakout above $252 for bullish confirmation. * A sustained close below $244 opens room for a bearish continuation to $240 or lower. Conclusion AAPL faces critical support at $244–$247. While oversold conditions may prompt a short-term bounce, the bearish momentum suggests cautious optimism for bullish setups. Traders should monitor volume at key levels and utilize tight stop-losses to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Technical Analysis for AMZN with GEX - Dec. 18, 2024With the broader market experiencing significant declines, Amazon (AMZN) has been no exception. Today’s drop marks a critical juncture for the stock, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors. Let’s dive into the technicals to uncover potential opportunities and risks. Market Structure Analysis: * Trend: AMZN broke below its ascending channel, confirming bearish momentum. * Volume: A significant spike in sell volume indicates strong bearish sentiment. * Sentiment: Current price action reflects uncertainty, with the market awaiting stability post-FOMC statements. Supply and Demand Zones: * Supply Zone: $227.50 – $230.00 * Demand Zone: $212.00 – $215.00 * AMZN has tested the $220.00 level, which coincides with a critical demand zone. Failure to hold here could lead to further downside. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance: * Key Resistance Levels: * $225.00 (near-term resistance) * $230.00 (major supply zone) * Key Support Levels: * $217.50 (recent low and demand level) * $212.00 (strong support, aligns with prior consolidation zones) * $200.00 (psychological level) Key Indicators: * EMA (9/21): The 9 EMA ($224.00) has crossed below the 21 EMA ($227.00), signaling bearish momentum. * MACD: Bearish crossover with momentum accelerating to the downside. * RSI: At 35, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory. Options Flow and Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Call Walls: Significant resistance at $230.00 and $235.00. * Put Walls: Strong support at $220.00 and $212.00. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 32.5, indicating moderately elevated volatility. * GEX Insights: * Negative gamma suggests potential for larger price swings. * Put dominance indicates bearish sentiment. Scalping vs Swing Outlook: * Scalping: * Focus on quick trades between $217.50 (support) and $225.00 (resistance). * Use tight stops below $217.00 for risk management. * Swing Trading: * Potential entry at $212.00 with a stop-loss at $209.00 and targets at $225.00 and $230.00. * If the $220.00 level holds, monitor for bullish reversals. Actionable Suggestions: 1. Short-term bearish play: * Entry: Below $220.00 * Target: $215.00 * Stop-loss: $222.00 2. Bounce trade from support: * Entry: $212.00 * Target: $225.00 * Stop-loss: $209.00 3. Breakout above resistance: * Entry: Above $230.00 * Target: $235.00 * Stop-loss: $227.00 Conclusion: Amazon is at a critical juncture as it battles strong bearish sentiment. Key levels at $220.00 and $212.00 will determine the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious and use tight risk management in these volatile conditions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
Two Types of UptrendsSony Group (6758) - Weekly Chart There are two types of uptrends within an overall upward trend. This statement might sound confusing at first. What I mean is that there are "easy-to-understand" uptrends and "difficult" uptrends. The chart shows two blue circles. Which one represents an easy-to-understand chart, and which one represents a difficult chart? Opinions might differ, but I feel the chart on the left is easy to understand, while the one on the right is more difficult. The reason is that on the left, the pullback buying (buying on dips) continues, and there are no clear exit points. On the other hand, the right side ultimately trends upward, but the trend doesn't sustain, making it hard to hold a position. So, how should we deal with such situations? Since this is a weekly chart, one option is to monitor it with a swing trading approach using the daily chart. However, when faced with a difficult chart, you also have the option of walking away from that stock instead of forcing a strategy. Focusing on finding easy-to-read charts and trading only in straightforward situations can often lead to better results. Keep in mind that this is one way to think about trading.
TSE:6758Education
by masao_shindo
How to PROTECT your profits while letting them runIn the trading business you need to let your profits run while also managing your risks that means to cut your losses short. Losses of unrealized profits are real profits that are lost. What if you could save them? Well, there is a way... It is not always available but it is one you want to know since if you can save 3 points of wiggle room and pay 1 point or less, over the long run it adds up to HUGE chunk of profit to your bottom line. The reason I applied this method is because TSLA was doing 3 days in a row a push and gap up, so it seems likely people will want to take profits... but this is TSLA... it can shoot up above 500 and reach who knows where... (she did it before...). So I want to TAKE MY HUGE profit, while giving it the option to continue to the moon, if it will want to do so... You can never take the very top anyway, so if you "give back" 1 point of profit it is considered reasonable, but if in case the price falls down sharply or gapped down I can give back maybe 3 points with this strength of volatility, which is undesireable. So what I did? I sold the PUT option at strike 470 at a price of $15 (my point was $17) so for me it is even less than a point so it is very attractive deal to me... Then... if the price had crushed down it meant for me that I sold my stocks at a price of 470 while paying the hedge cost of the PUT option of 15 so it is equivalent to me that I sold my stock at a price of 455, which is ALMOST the top. Making sure ~90% of the profit stays in my pocket. So I WIN. If the price would continue to shoot up, then I making SUPER HUGE MONEY, while sleeping like a baby, that I already realized my HUGE profit. So I WIN. So either way, I WIN ! Since the price did not crushed the next day and hold, and my stop loss advanced, so there was no longer need to my PUT option hedge since if price will fall I will get out with the stop loss with the same profit. So I sold the PUT hedge for a small loss, so the hedge cost me 0.25 a point overall. SUPER WORTH IT ! FYI, this comes from years of experience, but I give you some of my experience, you could do it too. The moral of the story... when you have HUGE profit, and you feel itchy to take profit, don't ! and try to hedge yourself with options ! this way, if you were wrong and you have GME, AMC on your hand, you don't let them go, and you WIN either way ! Sleeping like a baby.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
2
Where Googl Will Go After Downturn Today? TA for Dec.19Today, GOOGL faced a significant market downturn, dropping sharply from its previous highs. This crash in price reflects broad market weakness and heightened volatility. Let’s analyze the structure, levels, and opportunities for recovery or further downside. 1. Market Structure Analysis * Trend: GOOGL has broken below critical trendlines on the hourly and daily charts, signaling bearish momentum. This break invalidates prior upward channels. * Volume: Increased volume during the sell-off suggests strong bearish activity, possibly institutions or large players exiting positions. 2. Supply and Demand Zones * Demand Zone: * $182.42 to $185.00 – Potential support zone where buyers may step in. * Supply Zone: * $192.50 to $197.00 – Recent resistance; any price action into this zone may face selling pressure. 3. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance * Support Levels: * $182.00 (Critical put support from GEX and chart levels). * $180.00 (Historical support and psychological round number). * Resistance Levels: * $192.50 (Recent PUT wall and GEX resistance). * $197.00 (Upper gamma wall zone). 4. Key Indicators * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: * GOOGL is trading well below these levels, confirming short-term bearishness. Look for the EMAs to act as dynamic resistance near $190. * MACD: * On both hourly and daily charts, MACD has bearish crossovers, indicating momentum is still strongly negative. 5. Gamma Exposure (GEX) * Gamma Levels: * Negative Gamma: $192.50 acts as the highest PUT resistance. * Neutral Gamma: $190.00 remains the gamma wall; a significant close above could signal a shift. * Positive Gamma: $205.00 marks the distant target if recovery begins. * Options Oscillator Insights: * IVR: Elevated, indicating higher volatility. Calls remain significantly outnumbered by PUTs, showing bearish sentiment. 6. Scalping vs Swing Outlook * Scalping: * Entry: Look for intraday bounces near $182.50 with tight stop-losses. * Exit: Target quick profits near $185 or dynamic EMA levels. * Swing Trading: * Entry: A confirmed hold above $190 on volume would signal a reversal. * Stop-Loss: $180 – Strict risk management is key. * Profit Targets: $197, followed by $205 (if broader market conditions improve). 7. Actionable Suggestions 1. Wait for Confirmation: Watch price action near $182–$185 for signs of reversal or continuation. 2. Tight Risk Management: With volatility high, position sizing and stop losses are critical. 3. Focus on Key Levels: Monitor GEX levels for real-time insight into resistance/support. 8. Conclusion GOOGL is navigating significant bearish pressure, and current price action demands caution. While a short-term bounce is possible near $182, the larger structure suggests further downside if key levels don’t hold. Active traders should prioritize discipline and agility in this environment. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
1
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders, 🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside. Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈 Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡. Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵. Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡. Additionally Carbon Credits and EV Policies Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla. EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives. Political Connections Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes. 🌍Industry Trends The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1. Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EliteIndicatorSys