Alpine Predictive BandsAlpine Predictive Bands - ADX & Trend Projection is an advanced indicator crafted to estimate potential price zones and trend strength by integrating dynamic support/resistance bands, ADX-based confidence scoring, and linear regression-based price projections. Designed for adaptive trend analysis, this tool combines multi-timeframe ADX insights, volume metrics, and trend alignment for improved confidence in trend direction and reliability.
Key Calculations and Components:
Linear Regression for Price Projection:
Purpose: Provides a trend-based projection line to illustrate potential price direction.
Calculation: The Linear Regression Centerline (LRC) is calculated over a user-defined lookbackPeriod. The slope, representing the rate of price movement, is extended forward using predictionLength. This projected path only appears when the confidence score is 70% or higher, revealing a white dotted line to highlight high-confidence trends.
Adaptive Prediction Bands:
Purpose: ATR-based bands offer dynamic support/resistance zones by adjusting to volatility.
Calculation: Bands are calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) over the lookbackPeriod, multiplied by a volatilityMultiplier to adjust the width. These shaded bands expand during higher volatility, guiding traders in identifying flexible support/resistance zones.
Confidence Score (ADX, Volume, and Trend Alignment):
Purpose: Reflects the reliability of trend projections by combining ADX, volume status, and EMA alignment across multiple timeframes.
ADX Component: ADX values from the current timeframe and two higher timeframes assess trend strength on a broader scale. Strong ADX readings across timeframes boost the confidence score.
Volume Component: Volume strength is marked as “High” or “Low” based on a moving average, signaling trend participation.
Trend Alignment: EMA alignment across timeframes indicates “Bullish” or “Bearish” trends, confirming overall trend direction.
Calculation: ADX, volume, and trend alignment integrate to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%. When the score exceeds 70%, the white projection line is activated, underscoring high-confidence trend continuations.
User Guide
Projection Line: The white dotted line, which appears only when the confidence score is 70% or higher, highlights a high-confidence trend.
Prediction Bands: Adaptive bands provide potential support/resistance zones, expanding with market volatility to help traders visualize price ranges.
Confidence Score: A high score indicates a stronger, more reliable trend and can support trend-following strategies.
Settings
Prediction Length: Determines the forward length of the projection.
Lookback Period: Sets the data range for calculating regression and ATR.
Volatility Multiplier: Adjusts the width of bands to match volatility levels.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes and does not guarantee future price outcomes. Additional analysis is recommended, as trading carries inherent risks.
Confidence
Trendmaster - Crypto Miner Confidence MetricWhat it is:
The Crypto Miner Confidence Metric analyses a handful of highly utilized Crypto networks to gain insight into the potential sentiment amongst those securing them and more specifically Crypto miners.
What it does:
It takes into account the overall trend in the increase or decrease of current computational power securing the networks, otherwise known as the hashrate - as well as the overall network inflows/outflows and holdings of those miners.
How to use it:
Using this data we can conclude whether their stance is currently Bullish or Bearish, with a value of 100 indicating an extremely positive future outlook from miners and a value of 0 representing a severe lack of confidence. Changes or pivots in the direction of miner confidence can indicate a shift in their Bullish or Bearish stance.
Quadratic Regression Trend ChannelIt's been a while since I have published anything meaningful for all members, but here is my next step in evolution of trend channel technology, my attempt at "Quadratic Regression Trend Channel" custom tailored for regression enthusiasts. I'm actually doing a lot more than my profile shall ever reveal. Many members may have heard of "polynomial regression channel"(PRC), but I wouldn't accurately label this as having the "poly-" capability in it with differing amounts of nth degrees/orders.
This indicator is derived from my "HLC Banded Quadratic Regression" indicator, the 3rd indicator I had ever published in my earliest days of tinkering around with Pine Script. It always had a destiny, and TV has graciously delivered on upgrading Pine with many new capabilities to run this algorithm with ease and in the manner that I wished to write it. Any subscribing TradingViewer has the freedom to use this indicator and as many as they shall desire.
Blessed is the "Immense Power of Pine" in 2021, as I utilized a multitude of new Pine features including extensive use of arrays for the quadratic regression formula, arrays of line.new(), input(group=), and input(inline=). I spent an incredible amount of time creating this, and it was no easy task to condense this amount of sophistication within less than 150 lines of code at the time of this original debut release. I have striven to achieve the indicator's computational efficiency potential to be as fast as possible with highly optimized code to handle the large amount of sampling it utilizes and is capable of. I hope you find it analytically favorable and beyond your expectations.
First of all, it has different sampling methods I haven't seen in any other PRC available, providing tightly snug and fit curvatures dependent on my optional choices not found in comparable indicators. This yields the best quality of fit I can provide by employing quadratic regression in order to provide a superb "visual analysis" of your price action in high noise environments. I also included my novel time warp feature to rewind the indicator regression into a previous state of time. If you're trading on really fast timeframes, I included an option to only calculate once per bar at it's closure. This will aid with computational efficiency of the TV servers, and it's intended to not to slow down your charting experience amongst a wide assortment of other indicators in your overlay chart.
I allowed a couple of variability methods for the confidence bands. A variety of coloring options, line thickness, and other perks are there to accommodate your distinct visual acuity. There is also a nifty option to color the regression by the slope of the curvatures. This is enabled by default, and I anticipate that you may find that color option uniquely useful. The amount of chords in the curvature are automatically calculated depending on the regression period selected to achieve a nice fluid arch for any setting.
Anyhow, I believe that sums up most of it's important characteristics in a brief explanation. It's potential is best personally discovered by simply using it with the myriad of control settings available. I published it with protected code, because I simply wanted to confine this monstrosity to my TradingView laboratory. I would rather not have this thing uncaged, rabidly running around the planet frothing out of the mouth on a Frankenstein AI later, unless it's mine on a short leash. Besides, I'm still trying to figure out the math behind "cubic regression". :)
Sorry in advance about not providing the source code, I hope you'll understand... We ALL know what devastation happens when things are "unleashed" from a BSL-4 lab to run amok. Countless billions have yet to learn a horrific lesson about the mania of evil at a future Geneva convention. If you don't know the mythical story about Pandora's box(a jar actually), look it up!
Features List Includes:
Calculation Throttling
Regression Period
Time Warp
Multiple Sampling Methods
Confidence Bands Variability Controls
Indicator Customization Options
When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members , I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. Have a profitable future everyone!
Ethereum: Confidence BandsPurpose of this Script
Similar to "Bitcoin: Confidence Bands", this script is designed to show regions of positive and negative overextension for Ethereum, where price is expected to either reverse long-term or at least shorter-term, using custom price loops tuned for the Ethereum case. Again, the idea is that one can be highly confident that Ethereum's price stays within the Confidence Bands, especially when looking at weekly closes. It might be wise to reduce exposure to Ethereum when price gets very near to the red band, and vice versa for an approach of the blue band. Of course this constitutes no financial advice, and one should always consider all available information for making trading decisions.
Settings
This indicator should only be used:
- with the default inputs (but of course feel free to play around a bit for testing purposes)
- on the weekly (W) time frame
- and for the following ticker setup, used to get well averaged Ethereum price data (ideally just copy this and paste it into the ticker field in the upper left area of the chart interface): (KRAKEN:ETHUSD+COINBASE:ETHUSD+BITFINEX:ETHUSD+POLONIEX:ETHUSD)/4
Otherwise the intended functionality cannot be guaranteed.
Access
For access please contact me via DM on TradingView or on Twitter (linked on my TradingView profile and in my signature).
Bitcoin: Confidence BandsPurpose of this Script
This script is designed to show regions of positive and negative overextension for Bitcoin, where price is expected to either reverse long-term or at least shorter-term, using custom price loops. The idea is that one can be highly confident that Bitcoin's price stays within the Confidence Bands, especially when looking at weekly closes. It might be wise to reduce exposure to Bitcoin when price gets very near to the red band, and vice versa for an approach of the blue band. Of course this constitutes no financial advice, and one should always consider all available information for making trading decisions.
Settings
This indicator should only be used:
- with the default inputs (but of course feel free to play around a bit for testing purposes)
- on the weekly (W) time frame
- and for the BraveNewCoin Liquid Index for Bitcoin (BNC:BLX).
Otherwise the intended functionality cannot be guaranteed.
Access
For access please contact me via DM on TradingView or on Twitter (linked on my TradingView profile and in my signature).
Surf's Up Alerts 1.0Optimal Markets - USDT/ BTC -USD/ BTC all major exchanges
Optimal Chart - 4H
Average trades - 1-2/week
YTD Profit (0 leverage) = 62%
This script was designed to give new traders confidence and some guidance when entering into the crypto trading industry.
When added to the USD/ BTC 4H (optimal) charts of any high volume exchange, three new alert conditions will appear under the Surf's Up indicator alerts. Turn on the "Buy Signal" and "Sell Signal" to be alerted of potential large price increases. This script analyzes multiple data pieces to determine points in which the price has the highest probability of moving up, along with a sell alert that will alert the user of either: the point at which the trend is dying and to take profit OR that the trend is not happening, and to cut your losses. "Secure Profit" can be set to alert you of given profit target, at which time you can set a stop loss just above break even, essentially making a risk-free trade! This is OPTIONAL as it could cause you to a leave a large winning trade too early as well :)
Buy and Sell conditions have been programmed to know when the user is already in a trade, so multiple alerts will not fire, allowing full integration of auto trading as well.
Surf's Up is a back-tested strategy turned study in order to give high potential trade alerts. This way, anyone can easily add the script to the BTC/USD 4H chart, and simply turn on/off any of the 3 alerts: Buy, Sell, or Secure Profit.
You can get more information along with access to this script/alert system by clicking the link in the signature, or sending us a PM here on Tradingview.
Happy Trading!
Excel Confidence %Excel Confidence %
Ranges between 0 and 100, usually at the extreme end of the scale.
A value of 0 indicates an unlikely move up, while 100 indicates a high probability of a rise.
You can try to use a slower version of the indicator (replacing 7 and 15 in the formula 3 and 5, respectively, and trade intersections, like stochastics.
You can also trade levels buy at values of 90 and above, sell at 10 and below.
Scoring Development Sample [BigBitsIO]This script shows a sample of how to do confidence weighted scoring indicators and for loops with Pine. This indicator may or may not be found useful, it's intent is to provide a sample on how to create such an indicator and use certain Pine features.
Features:
- Defined points based on the confidence of RSI and Stochastic indicator
- Defined points based on candle color and sma trend direction
- For loops used to calculate bonus points for "extended periods" of confidence.
*** DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment including all types of crypto. DYOR, TYOB. ***
Exponential Least Squares Moving AverageModified LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) to use exponential rates of growth instead of linear regression. Inputting a number into the confidence interval allows the user to have set percentage of statistical guarantee based on past movement. To set this percentage of guarantee (Default set to 97.5%), refer to the input values below:
0.000 = 50%
0.255 = 60%
0.525 = 70%
0.835 = 80%
1.040 = 85%
1.285 = 90%
1.645 = 95%
1.960 = 97.5%
2.330 = 99%
(14) Turning Point Volume VS-332Although dramatic increases in volume can accurately reflect the sentiment of changes in price, small changes do as well. Think of it this way. Every share sold or purchased is a vote for or against the current price action. If the price has gone up today and the volume also went up, compared to the previous days volume, the votes of the majority of the traders that produced this volume agreed with the sentiment that this price change represented. If the volume was suppressed on this price increase, that sentiment was not confirmed. This provides you with a very good window into the collective minds of traders allowing you to judge every candle, every indicator and every price action in a much more initiative and accurate way. The SDG Turning Point Volume indicator again utilizes a dot system to easily allow you to see in a glance if the volume is confirming the price action sentiment (green dot) or if it is discounting the price action (red dot.)
There are many situations where volume alone can indicate important inflection points in an equities direction. It may not even reverse direction, but an abrupt change in the rate of change, can be a very profitable entry point – if you can see it coming and act in advance of some or most of the traders making this market.
Access this Genie indicator for your Tradingview account, through our web site. (Links Below) This will provide you with additional educational information and reference articles, videos, input and setting options and trading strategies this indicator excels in.
Confidence IntervalsThis indicator allows you to be able to see the confidence intervals for whatever asset you are trading given a certain expiry. Confidence intervals project the most probable price ranges over a certain period of time in the future.
In order to use this you must first specify what expiry you want to use in days, so if you want to project the confidence interval 1 day out you would input 1, if you want 1 year out you'd input 252 (the number of trading days in 1 year), if you want 12hrs out you'd input 0.5.
Next you must specify what timeframe you are using on your chart in minutes, so if you're using 5 min chart you'd input 5, if you're using 4hr you'd input 240, if you're using daily charts you'd use 1440.
Finally you must input what standard deviation you want to use for the confidence range.
Confidence levels are really helpful in trading, especially for options, because it allows you to be able to choose a more strategic expiry based on probabilities. In other types of trading such as stocks, futures, and FX confidence levels can be helpful in helping you better plan out your trade by figuring out where price probably will and will not go given a certain period of time in the future. Additionally, confidence levels allow you to be able to visualize volatility expansion and contraction.
Standard Deviation Probabilities:
0.5 STD has a 99% of touching the bounds of the interval and a 50% chance of closing beyond the bounds (these probabilities are not predicated on a certain direction, if you pick a certain direction divide these probabilities by 2)
1 STD has a 64% of touching the bounds of the interval and a ~30-32% chance of closing beyond the bounds (these probabilities are not predicated on a certain direction, if you pick a certain direction divide these probabilities by 2)
1.6 STD has a ~40% of touching the bounds of the interval and a ~20% chance of closing beyond the bounds (these probabilities are not predicated on a certain direction, if you pick a certain direction divide these probabilities by 2)
2 STD has a ~10% of touching the bounds of the interval and a ~5% chance of closing beyond the bounds (these probabilities are not predicated on a certain direction, if you pick a certain direction divide these probabilities by 2)
3 STD has a <2% of touching the bounds of the interval and a <1% chance of closing beyond the bounds (these probabilities are not predicated on a certain direction, if you pick a certain direction divide these probabilities by 2)
