Moving Average Ratio [InvestorUnknown]Overview
The "Moving Average Ratio" (MAR) indicator is a versatile tool designed for valuation, mean-reversion, and long-term trend analysis. This indicator provides multiple display modes to cater to different analytical needs, allowing traders and investors to gain deeper insights into the market dynamics.
Features
1. Moving Average Ratio (MAR):
Calculates the ratio of the chosen source (close, open, ohlc4, hl2 …) to a longer-term moving average of choice (SMA, EMA, HMA, WMA, DEMA)
Useful for identifying overbought or oversold conditions, aiding in mean-reversion strategies and valuation of assets.
For some high beta asset classes, like cryptocurrencies, you might want to use logarithmic scale for the raw MAR, below you can see the visual difference of using Linear and Logarithmic scale on BTC
2. MAR Z-Score:
Computes the Z-Score of the MAR to standardize the ratio over chosen time period, making it easier to identify extreme values relative to the historical mean.
Helps in detecting significant deviations from the mean, which can indicate potential reversal points and buying/selling opportunities
3. MAR Trend Analysis:
Uses a combination of short-term (default 1, raw MAR) and long-term moving averages of the MAR to identify trend changes.
Provides a visual representation of bullish and bearish trends based on moving average crossings.
Using Logarithmic scale can improve the visuals for some asset classes.
4. MAR Momentum:
Measures the momentum of the MAR by calculating the difference over a specified period.
Useful for detecting changes in the market momentum and potential trend reversals.
5. MAR Rate of Change (ROC):
Calculates the rate of change of the MAR to assess the speed and direction of price movements.
Helps in identifying accelerating or decelerating trends.
MAR Momentum and Rate of Change are very similar, the only difference is that the Momentum is expressed in units of the MAR change and ROC is expressed as % change of MAR over chosen time period.
Customizable Settings
General Settings:
Display Mode: Select the display mode from MAR, MAR Z-Score, MAR Trend, MAR Momentum, or MAR ROC.
Color Bars: Option to color the bars based on the current display mode.
Wait for Bar Close: Toggle to wait for the bar to close before updating the MAR value.
MAR Settings:
Length: Period for the moving average calculation.
Source: Data source for the moving average calculation.
Moving Average Type: Select the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, DEMA).
Z-Score Settings:
Z-Score Length: Period for the Z-Score calculation.
Trend Analysis Settings:
Moving Average Type: Select the type of moving average for trend analysis (SMA, EMA).
Longer Moving Average: Period for the longer moving average.
Shorter Moving Average: Period for the shorter moving average.
Momentum Settings:
Momentum Length: Period for the momentum calculation.
Rate of Change Settings:
ROC Length: Period for the rate of change calculation.
Calculation and Plotting
Moving Average Ratio (MAR):
Calculates the ratio of the price to the selected moving average type and length.
Plots the MAR with a gradient color based on its Z-Score, aiding in visual identification of extreme values.
// Moving Average Ratio (MAR)
ma_main = switch ma_main_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(src, len)
"EMA" => ta.ema(src, len)
"WMA" => ta.wma(src, len)
"HMA" => ta.hma(src, len)
"DEMA" => ta.dema(src, len)
mar = (waitforclose ? src : src) / ma_main
z_col = color.from_gradient(z, -2.5, 2.5, color.green, color.red)
plot(disp_mode.mar ? mar : na, color = z_col, histbase = 1, style = plot.style_columns)
barcolor(color_bars ? (disp_mode.mar ? (z_col) : na) : na)
MAR Z-Score:
Computes the Z-Score of the MAR and plots it with a color gradient indicating the magnitude of deviation from the mean.
// MAR Z-Score
mean = ta.sma(math.log(mar), z_len)
stdev = ta.stdev(math.log(mar),z_len)
z = (math.log(mar) - mean) / stdev
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? z : na, color = z_col, histbase = 0, style = plot.style_columns)
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? 1 : na, color = color.new(color.red,70))
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? 2 : na, color = color.new(color.red,50))
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? 3 : na, color = color.new(color.red,30))
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? -1 : na, color = color.new(color.green,70))
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? -2 : na, color = color.new(color.green,50))
plot(disp_mode.mar_z ? -3 : na, color = color.new(color.green,30))
barcolor(color_bars ? (disp_mode.mar_z ? (z_col) : na) : na)
MAR Trend:
Plots the MAR along with its short-term and long-term moving averages.
Uses color changes to indicate bullish or bearish trends based on moving average crossings.
// MAR Trend - Moving Average Crossing
mar_ma_long = switch ma_trend_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(mar, len_trend_long)
"EMA" => ta.ema(mar, len_trend_long)
mar_ma_short = switch ma_trend_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(mar, len_trend_short)
"EMA" => ta.ema(mar, len_trend_short)
plot(disp_mode.mar_t ? mar : na, color = mar_ma_long < mar_ma_short ? color.new(color.green,50) : color.new(color.red,50), histbase = 1, style = plot.style_columns)
plot(disp_mode.mar_t ? mar_ma_long : na, color = mar_ma_long < mar_ma_short ? color.green : color.red, linewidth = 4)
plot(disp_mode.mar_t ? mar_ma_short : na, color = mar_ma_long < mar_ma_short ? color.green : color.red, linewidth = 2)
barcolor(color_bars ? (disp_mode.mar_t ? (mar_ma_long < mar_ma_short ? color.green : color.red) : na) : na)
MAR Momentum:
Plots the momentum of the MAR, coloring the bars to indicate increasing or decreasing momentum.
// MAR Momentum
mar_mom = mar - mar
// MAR Momentum
mom_col = mar_mom > 0 ? (mar_mom > mar_mom ? color.new(color.green,0): color.new(color.green,30)) : (mar_mom < mar_mom ? color.new(color.red,0): color.new(color.red,30))
plot(disp_mode.mar_m ? mar_mom : na, color = mom_col, histbase = 0, style = plot.style_columns)
MAR Rate of Change (ROC):
Plots the ROC of the MAR, using color changes to show the direction and strength of the rate of change.
// MAR Rate of Change
mar_roc = ta.roc(mar,len_roc)
// MAR ROC
roc_col = mar_roc > 0 ? (mar_roc > mar_roc ? color.new(color.green,0): color.new(color.green,30)) : (mar_roc < mar_roc ? color.new(color.red,0): color.new(color.red,30))
plot(disp_mode.mar_r ? mar_roc : na, color = roc_col, histbase = 0, style = plot.style_columns)
Summary:
This multi-purpose indicator provides a comprehensive toolset for various trading strategies, including valuation, mean-reversion, and trend analysis. By offering multiple display modes and customizable settings, it allows users to tailor the indicator to their specific analytical needs and market conditions.
Cycles
Timing - Fx MGKWhat You See:
Session Boxes:
As you observe, the larger purple box represents the Asian Session, spanning from around 22:00 to 06:00 UTC. You notice how it captures the overnight market activity.
The smaller, greyish box marks the London Session, from about 08:00 to 12:00 UTC. You can see how the price action changes during this session.
The New York Session is also indicated, with vertical lines possibly marking the open and close, helping you track movements as the U.S. markets come into play.
High and Low Levels:
Horizontal lines are drawn at the high and low of each session. You can use these as potential support or resistance levels, aiding in your decision-making process.
Vertical Lines:
These lines likely correspond to specific key times, such as session opens or closes. You can quickly identify the transition between sessions, which is crucial for your timing.
Color Coding:
Each session is color-coded, making it easier for you to distinguish between them at a glance. The purple, grey, and additional lines offer a clear visual distinction.
How You Use It:
This indicator is your go-to for understanding how different market sessions affect price action. You’ll use it to:
Recognize important price levels within each session.
Identify potential entry and exit points based on session highs and lows.
Observe how the market transitions from one session to another, giving you insight into the best times to trade.
Customization:
You have the flexibility to adjust the settings. You can change session times to suit your trading hours, modify colors to match your chart theme, and even choose which sessions to display or hide based on your focus.
This tool is designed to enhance your analysis, providing you with a structured view of market sessions. With this indicator, you’re well-equipped to navigate the global markets with greater precision and confidence.
ATR X-PowerATR X-Power is a simple graphical representation of Average True Range.
The ATR is calculated on a daily basis and averaged over the "Length" specified in settings (default is 14 days).
At the start of the day, the starting price is recorded and five horizontal lines are drawn which illustrate possible ranges for the day:
Starting price
Starting price + ATR (+100%)
Starting price - ATR (-100%)
Starting price + ATR/2 (+50%)
Starting price - ATR/2 (-50%)
The final two lines are drawn using the ATR half values in such a way that a X is formed. The X represents possible motion of the price back to starting price (also known as reversion to mean). The two lines are drawn as follows:
Beginning at (Starting Price + ATR/2) and ending at (Starting Price - ATR/2)
Beginning at (Starting Price - ATR/2) and ending at (Starting Price + ATR/2)
Use cases:
ATR presents us with the average amount of price fluctuation we can expect to see in a single day on a specific instrument
If price is near the extremes (+/-100% ATR) for the day, then probability of it moving outside that range is low, which increases odds of a reversal
Bugs?
Kindly report any issues you run into and I'll try to fix them promptly.
Thank you!
Market Cycle Phases IndicatorOverview
The Market Cycle Phases Indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify and visualize the different phases of market cycles. By distinguishing between Accumulation, Uptrend, Distribution, and Downtrend phases, this indicator provides a clear and color-coded representation of market conditions, aiding in better decision-making and strategy development. It is especially useful for long-term investors to observe and understand market cycles over extended periods. The phases are color-coded for easy identification: Green for Accumulation, Blue for Uptrend, Yellow for Distribution, and Red for Downtrend.
Key Features
Identifies four key market phases: Accumulation, Uptrend, Distribution, and Downtrend
Uses a combination of moving averages and volatility measures
Color-coded background for easy visualization of market phases
Adjustable parameters for moving average length, volatility length, and volatility threshold
Plots the moving average and Average True Range (ATR) for reference
Suitable for both short-term trading and long-term investing
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
The calculations behind the Market Cycle Phases Indicator are straightforward, combining the principles of moving averages and volatility measures:
Moving Average (MA): A simple moving average is used to determine the overall trend direction.
Average True Range (ATR): This measures market volatility over a specified period.
Volatility Threshold: A multiplier is applied to the ATR to distinguish between high and low volatility conditions.
How It Works
The indicator first calculates a moving average (MA) of the closing prices and the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. Based on the position of the price relative to the MA and the current volatility level, the indicator determines the current market phase:
Accumulation Phase: Price is below the MA, and volatility is low (Green background). This phase often indicates a period of consolidation and potential buying interest before an uptrend.
Uptrend Phase: Price is above the MA, and volatility is high (Blue background). This phase represents a strong upward movement in price, often driven by increased buying activity.
Distribution Phase: Price is above the MA, and volatility is low (Yellow background). This phase suggests a period of consolidation at the top of an uptrend, where selling interest may start to increase.
Downtrend Phase: Price is below the MA, and volatility is high (Red background). This phase indicates a strong downward movement in price, often driven by increased selling activity.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the Market Cycle Phases Indicator to:
Identify potential entry and exit points based on market phase transitions.
Confirm trends and avoid false signals by considering both trend direction and volatility.
Develop and refine trading strategies tailored to specific market conditions.
Enhance risk management by recognizing periods of high and low volatility.
Observe long-term market cycles to make informed investment decisions.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the Market Cycle Phases Indicator to your chart.
Adjust the input parameters as needed:
Base Length: Default is 50.
Volatility Length: Default is 14.
Volatility Threshold: Default is 1.5.
Observe the color-coded background to identify the current market phase
Use the identified phases to inform your trading decisions:
Consider buying during the Accumulation or Uptrend phases.
Consider selling or shorting during the Distribution or Downtrend phases.
Combine with other indicators and analysis techniques for comprehensive market insights.
By incorporating the Market Cycle Phases Indicator into your trading toolkit, you can gain a clearer understanding of market dynamics and enhance your ability to navigate different market conditions, making it a valuable asset for long-term investing.
Entropy Volatility Index [CHE]I Entropy Volatility Index (EVI)
II An Experimental Script for Measuring Market Volatility
III Introduction
The Entropy Volatility Index (EVI) is an experimental indicator based on concepts from thermodynamics and information theory. The goal of the EVI is to quantify market uncertainty and volatility by calculating the entropy of price changes.
IV Basic Concepts
Entropy in Thermodynamics
Entropy is a measure of disorder or randomness in a system.
The second law of thermodynamics states that entropy in a closed system tends to increase over time.
Entropy in Information Theory
In information theory, entropy measures the uncertainty or information content of a random variable.
The entropy H of a random variable X with probability distribution P(x) is calculated as:
H(X) = -∑ P(x) log P(x)
V Derivation of the EVI
Calculation of Price Changes
Absolute price changes are calculated to serve as the basis for probability calculations.
Creation of the Histogram
A histogram is created and initialized to count the frequency of price changes.
Updating the Histogram
The histogram is updated by counting the frequency of each price change.
Calculation of Probabilities
The probabilities of the price changes are calculated based on their frequencies in the histogram.
Calculation of Entropy
Entropy is calculated using the probabilities of price changes. Higher entropy indicates higher uncertainty or disorder in the market.
Plotting the Indicator
The EVI is plotted to visually represent market volatility and uncertainty.
VI Interpretation of the EVI
High EVI Values
High Volatility: Strong and irregular price movements.
High Uncertainty: Increased market uncertainty.
Possible Market Turning Points: Indicators of potential trend changes.
Low EVI Values
Low Volatility: More consistent and predictable price movements.
Stability: More stable market phases.
Trend Consistency: Indicators of stable trends or sideways movements.
VII Conclusion
The Entropy Volatility Index (EVI) is an experimental script that applies concepts from thermodynamics and information theory to measure market volatility. It offers a new perspective on market uncertainty and can be used as an additional tool for traders.
VIII Example Use Cases
Identifying Volatile Phases: Use the EVI to identify periods of high volatility and prepare for potential rapid price movements.
Risk Management: Adjust your risk management strategy based on the EVI. During high EVI periods, consider hedging positions or adjusting position sizes.
Complementing Other Indicators: Combine the EVI with other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
I hope this experimental script provides valuable insights. Thank you for your feedback and suggestions for improvement.
Best regards,
Chervolino
Auto Fib GOLDEN TARGET Golden Target Auto Fib Indicator
Unlock the power of automatic Fibonacci analysis with the Golden Target Auto Fib Indicator. Designed for traders who want to effortlessly incorporate Fibonacci retracement levels into their strategy, this indicator dynamically calculates and plots key Fibonacci levels based on recent price action.
Key Features:
Automatic Fibonacci Levels: Automatically determines the critical Fibonacci retracement levels using the most recent high and low over a user-defined period.
Customizable Length: Adjust the period over which the Fibonacci levels are calculated to match your trading style and market conditions.
Dynamic Plotting: Fibonacci levels are plotted in real-time, reflecting current market conditions and potential support and resistance areas.
Color-Coded Levels: Distinguishes between different Fibonacci levels with distinct colors, making it easy to identify significant price points at a glance.
Target Labels (Optional): Optionally display labels next to the Fibonacci levels to help identify potential target zones and better visualize the key levels.
How It Works:
The Golden Target Auto Fib Indicator calculates Fibonacci retracement levels based on the highest high and lowest low over a specified length. The levels plotted include key Fibonacci ratios: 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and the 100% extension, providing valuable insights into potential support and resistance areas as well as price targets.
Usage:
Adjust Settings: Set the Length parameter to define the period over which Fibonacci levels are calculated.
Analyze Levels: Observe the plotted Fibonacci levels and their color-coded lines to identify potential price retracement zones and target areas.
Incorporate Into Strategy: Use these levels in conjunction with your trading strategy to make more informed decisions on entry and exit points.
Whether you're a day trader or a swing trader, the Golden Target Auto Fib Indicator simplifies Fibonacci analysis and integrates seamlessly into your TradingView charts, helping you make more precise trading decisions.
Get started today and enhance your technical analysis with the Golden Target Auto Fib Indicator!
Feel free to adjust the description according to the specific features or customization options of your indicator.
MACD with SAR Indicator [CHE] MACD with SAR Indicator
Introduction
"The whole is greater than the sum of its parts. " The "MACD with SAR Indicator" is an innovative technical analysis tool that combines the strengths of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator with the Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) indicator. This indicator provides traders with an enhanced method to detect trend changes and determine optimal entry and exit points in the market by using the SAR based on the MACD line to better identify reversal points. The combination generates clear trend reversal signals, which are visually represented through long (L) and short (S) signals on the chart.
Originality and Usefulness
This indicator differs from traditional MACD or SAR indicators by combining the trend-following calculations of the SAR with the trend strength and momentum calculations of the MACD. This enables a more precise identification of trend changes and provides clear buy and sell signals, which is particularly useful for manual traders.
Key Features and Functionality
1. Combination of MACD and SAR
- Why this Combination?: The MACD is known for its ability to measure the strength and direction of a trend, while the SAR is specifically designed to identify reversal points. By combining these two indicators, traders can better understand both the trend strength and potential turning points in the market.
- How Components Work Together: The MACD measures the difference between fast and slow moving averages, indicating market momentum. The SAR follows the MACD line instead of the price and marks potential reversal points more accurately. When the MACD signals a new trend and the SAR confirms it, the indicator provides reliable trading opportunities.
2. Adjustable Parameters
- MACD Settings: Users can adjust the lengths of the fast and slow moving averages (default: 28 and 38 periods) and the signal smoothing (default: 9 periods) to tailor the indicator to different market conditions.
- SAR Settings: Users can adjust the start value (default: 0.01), increment (default: 0.01), and maximum value (default: 0.18) of the SAR to control sensitivity and responsiveness.
3. Visual Representation and Signals
- Color-Coded Histograms: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD and signal line and is color-coded to highlight the direction of the trend.
- Signal Labels: The indicator automatically adds "L" (Long) and "S" (Short) labels on the chart to show the current positions to traders.
4. Alert Settings
- Custom Alerts: Alerts can be set to notify traders when the MACD and SAR experience significant state changes, such as when the histogram switches from rising to falling or vice versa.
5. Toggle Display
- Display Mode: Users can toggle the display of the MACD_SAR oscillator and MACD to focus on the information most relevant to their trading strategy.
Application and Benefits
- Versatility: This indicator can be used in various market conditions and for different trading strategies, including trend following and reversal trading.
- Ease of Interpretation: The clear visual representation and automatic signals make it easier for traders to identify trading opportunities and track trends.
- Customizability: With numerous settings options, the indicator can be tailored to individual preferences and specific market conditions.
Conclusion
The "MACD with SAR Indicator" is a valuable tool for traders seeking precise and reliable signals to identify market trends and make profitable trading decisions. With its extensive customization options, powerful features, and the ability to toggle displays, this indicator provides excellent support for technical analysis.
By emphasizing the synergy between the MACD and SAR indicators, highlighting the default settings, and clarifying that the SAR is based on the MACD line and generates clear trend reversal signals through long and short labels, this revised description should help users understand the functionalities and advantages of your indicator while meeting TradingView's publication requirements.
Best regards Chervolino
Gaussian Weighted Moving Average with Forecast [CHE]Presentation for TradingView: Gaussian Weighted Moving Average with Forecast
Introduction
Welcome to our presentation on the "Gaussian Weighted Moving Average with Forecast" (GWMA). This script, written in Pine Script™, offers an enhanced method for analyzing and predicting price movements on TradingView. The script combines Gaussian Weighted Moving Averages and polynomial regression to provide accurate and customizable forecasts.
Overview
Title: Gaussian Weighted Moving Average with Forecast
Author: chervolino
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
Main Features
1. Gaussian Weighted Moving Average (GWMA):
- Calculates a weighted moving average using a Gaussian weighting function.
- Parameters for length and standard deviation allow fine-tuning of the smoothing effect.
2. Polynomial Regression with Forecast:
- Creates a model to predict future price movements.
- Adjustable length and degree of polynomial regression.
- Option to extrapolate predictions and visualize them.
3. Visual Representation:
- Uses lines and colors to depict trend changes.
- Customizable colors for upward and downward trends.
Input Parameters
Length: Length of the moving average (default: 50)
Standard Deviation: Standard deviation for Gaussian weighting (default: 10.0)
Width: Width of the plotted lines (default: 1)
Colors: Customizable colors for upward and downward trends
Forecast Length: Length of the forecast period (default: 20)
Extrapolate Length: Length of the extrapolation (default: 50)
Polynomial Degree: Degree of the polynomial regression (default: 3)
Lock Forecast: Option to lock and stabilize the forecast
Core Algorithms
1. Gaussian Weight Calculation:
gaussian_weight(x, std_dev) =>
1 / (std_dev * math.sqrt(2 * math.pi)) * math.exp(-0.5 * math.pow(x / std_dev, 2))
2. GWMA Calculation:
calculate_gwma(length, std_dev) =>
// Algorithm to calculate the weighted moving average
3. Initialize Lines for Polynomial Regression:
initialize_lines_array(extrapolate, length) =>
// Initialize array lines
4. Create Design Matrix for Polynomial Regression:
get_design_matrix(length, degree) =>
// Create the design matrix
5. Calculate and Plot Polynomial Regression:
calculate_polynomial_regression(src, length, degree, extrapolate, lines_arr, lock, width, upward_color, downward_color) =>
// Algorithm to calculate polynomial regression and plot the forecast
Combining Indicators: Originality and Usefulness
The combination of Gaussian Weighted Moving Average and polynomial regression provides traders with a robust tool for trend analysis and prediction. The GWMA smooths out price data while emphasizing recent prices, making it sensitive to short-term trends. Polynomial regression, on the other hand, offers a mathematical approach to model and forecast future prices based on historical data. By integrating these two methodologies, traders can achieve a more comprehensive view of market trends and potential future movements, making the tool highly valuable for decision-making.
Explanation for Users
Most TradingView users are not familiar with Pine Script, so a clear description is essential for understanding how to use the script.
Gaussian Weighted Moving Average (GWMA): This indicator calculates a moving average using Gaussian weights, which gives more importance to recent prices. The length and standard deviation parameters allow users to control the sensitivity and smoothness of the average.
Polynomial Regression with Forecast: This feature uses polynomial regression to model the price trend and predict future movements. Users can adjust the length of the historical data used, the degree of the polynomial, and the length of the forecast. The script plots these predictions, making it easier for traders to visualize potential future price paths.
Visualization of Results
1. GWMA Plotting:
plot(gaussian_ma_result, title="GWMA", color=line_color, linewidth=width_input)
2. Forecast Extrapolation:
plot(forecast_val, 'Extrapolation', offset=extrapolate_setting, linewidth=width_input, style=plot.style_circles)
Conclusion
The "Gaussian Weighted Moving Average with Forecast" script provides a powerful tool for analyzing and predicting price movements on TradingView. By combining Gaussian weighting and polynomial regression, it offers a precise and customizable method for trend analysis and forecasting.
Thank you for your attention! For any questions or further information, please feel free to reach out.
Stef's Money Supply IndicatorI have been fascinated by the growth in the Money Supply. Well, I think we ALL have been fascinated by this and the corresponding inflation that followed. That's why I created my Money Supply Indicator because I always wanted to chart and analyze my symbols based on the Money Supply. This indicator gives you that capability in a way that no other indicator in this field currently offers. Let me explain:
How does the indicator work?
Chart any symbol, turn on this indicator, and instantly it will factor in the M2 money supply on the asset's underlying price. Essentially, you are seeing the price of the asset normalized for the corresponding rise in the money supply. In some ways, this is a rather unique inflation-adjusted view of a symbol's price.
More importantly, you can compare and contrast the symbol's price adjusted for the rise in the Money Supply vs. the symbol's price without that adjustment by indexing all lines to 100. This is essential for understanding if the asset is at all-time highs, lows, or possibly undervalued or overvalued based on the current money supply situation.
Why does this matter?
This tool provides a deeper understanding of how the overall money supply influences the value of assets over time. By adjusting asset prices for changes in the money supply, traders can see the true value of assets relative to the amount of money in circulation.
What features can you access with this indicator?
The ability to normalize all lines to a starting point of 100 allows traders to compare the performance of the Money Supply, the symbol price, and the symbol price adjusted for the money supply all on one readable chart. This feature is particularly useful for spotting divergences and understanding relative performance over time with a rising or falling Money Supply.
What else can you do?
This is just version 1, and so I'll be adding more features rather soon, but there are two other important features in the settings menu including the following:
• Get the capability to quickly spot the highest and lowest points on the Money Supply adjusted price of your asset.
• Get the capability to change the gradient colors of the line when going up or down.
• Turn on the Brrrrrrr printer text as a reminder of our Fed Overlord Jerome Powell... lol
• Drag this indicator onto your main chart to combine it with your candlesticks or other charting techniques.
Stef's Money Supply Indicator! I look forward to hearing your feedback.
Buffett Valuation Indicator [TradeDots]The Buffett Valuation Indicator (also known as the Buffett Index or Buffett Ratio) measures the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP.
This indicator helps determine whether the valuation changes in US stocks are justified by the GDP level.
For example, the ratio is calculated based on the standard deviations from the historical trend line. If the value exceeds +2 standard deviations, it suggests that the stock market is overvalued relative to GDP, and vice versa.
This "Buffett Valuation Indicator" is an enhanced version of the original indicator. It applies a Bollinger Band over the Valuation/GDP ratio to identify overvaluation and undervaluation across different timeframes, making it efficient for use in smaller timeframes, e.g. daily or even hourly intervals.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The Buffett Valuation Indicator measures the ratio between US stock valuation and US GDP, evaluating whether stock valuations are overvalued or undervalued in GDP terms.
In this version, the total valuation of the US stock market is represented by considering the top 10 market capitalization stocks.
Users can customize this list to include other stocks for a more balanced valuation ratio. Alternatively, users may use S&P 500 ETFs, such as SPY or VOO, as inputs.
The ratio is plotted as a line chart in a separate panel below the main chart. A Bollinger Band with a default 100-period and multiples of 1 and 2 is used to identify overvaluation and undervaluation.
For instance, if the ratio line moves above the +2 standard deviation line, it indicates that stocks are overvalued, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
APPLICATION
When the indicator is applied to a chart, we observe the ratio line's movements relative to the standard deviation lines. The further the line deviates from the standard deviation lines, the more extreme the overvaluation or undervaluation.
We look for buying opportunities when the Buffett Index moves below the first and second standard deviation lines and sell opportunities when it moves above these lines. This indicator is used as a microeconomic confirmation tool, in combination with other indicators, to achieve higher win-rate setups.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
CRT Hourly/15m dividers and opensRange Separator is a unique tool designed to help traders visualize critical price levels and ranges on their charts. This script employs the innovative concepts of "Candles Are Ranges" and the "Power of 3 (PO3)" to enhance trading strategies by marking key time intervals and price levels.
What the Script Does:
Hourly Lines:
Automatically draws vertical lines at the start of each hour.
Provides an option to display only the current hour's line for a cleaner visual.
Allows customization of line color, width, and style.
15-Minute Lines:
Adds vertical lines at 15-minute intervals to highlight smaller time ranges.
Includes an option to draw horizontal lines at the 15-minute interval prices.
Offers customization for line color, width, and style.
Horizontal Lines:
Draws horizontal lines based on the opening, high, or low price of the selected timeframe.
Customizable options for line color, width, and style.
How the Script Works:
Candles Are Ranges: Each candle represents a price range (OHLC) on any timeframe. The script visually emphasizes these ranges, helping traders understand price action better.
Power of 3 (PO3): This concept divides price delivery into three stages: formation, turtle soup (stop hunting), and distribution/expansion. The script marks these intervals, aiding in identifying potential key levels for entries and exits.
How to Use the Script:
Adding the Script:
Apply the script to your chart and adjust the settings in the input menu.
Customize the appearance of hourly and 15-minute lines to suit your preference.
Analyzing the Chart:
Observe the hourly lines to determine higher timeframe biases.
Use 15-minute lines to identify more granular price movements.
Pay attention to horizontal lines that mark significant price levels based on your chosen criteria (open, high, low).
Trading Strategy:
Combine the script's visual aids with your understanding of the "Candles Are Ranges" and "Power of 3" concepts.
Use these visual cues to make informed decisions about potential entry and exit points.
What Makes it Original:
Integration of Candles Are Ranges and PO3 Concepts: Unlike traditional scripts that merely plot lines, this script uniquely integrates two powerful trading theories to provide a comprehensive view of price action.
Customizable Visual Aids: Offers extensive customization options for line colors, widths, and styles, allowing traders to tailor the script to their specific needs.
Enhanced Timeframe Analysis: By marking both hourly and 15-minute intervals, the script provides a detailed view of price ranges across multiple timeframes, enhancing the trader's ability to make informed decisions.
- Key script Parameters
Show Hourly Lines: Toggles the display of vertical lines marking each hour.
Hourly Lines Color: Sets the color of the hourly vertical lines.
Hourly Lines Width: Chooses the width of the hourly vertical lines (1, 2, or 3).
Hourly Lines Style: Selects the style of the hourly lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Horizontal Line Color: Defines the color of the horizontal lines drawn at hourly intervals.
Horizontal Line Width: Determines the width of the horizontal lines (1, 2, or 3).
Horizontal Line Style: Sets the style of the horizontal lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Horizontal Line Start Price: Specifies which price (Open, High, Low) the horizontal lines will start from.
Show Current Hour Only: Limits the display to only the current hour's horizontal line.
Show 15-Minute Lines: Toggles the display of vertical lines marking each 15-minute interval.
15-Minute Lines Color: Sets the color of the 15-minute vertical lines.
15-Minute Lines Width: Chooses the width of the 15-minute vertical lines (1, 2, or 3).
15-Minute Lines Style: Selects the style of the 15-minute lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Show 15-Minute Horizontal Lines: Toggles the display of horizontal lines at 15-minute intervals.
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Color: Defines the color of the horizontal lines drawn at 15-minute intervals.
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Width: Determines the width of the horizontal lines (1, 2, or 3).
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Style: Sets the style of the horizontal lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Important Notes:
- Credit to @Yazdanian and his basic "Hourly separators" indicator that plots a simple vertical line every hour which provided the idea for this version and expanded on
- This script is designed to complement your trading strategy by providing visual aids and should be used alongside other technical analysis tools.
It is not intended to issue buy or sell signals but to help you understand price ranges and potential key levels.
Disclaimer: The script is provided as-is, and the authors are not responsible for any trading losses incurred using this script. Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management.
Multi-Timeframe Period Separator [CHE]Multi-Timeframe Period Separator
Introduction
- Purpose: This TradingView script is designed to help traders by automatically drawing period separators on the chart based on various timeframes.
- Benefits: Enhances chart readability, provides better visualization of time periods, and supports multiple timeframe types.
Features
1. Timeframe Selection:
- Auto Timeframe
- Multiplier
- Manual
2. Customization Options:
- Separator color
- Separator style
- Separator width
3. Display Options:
- Time period information box
- Customizable size and position of the info box
Code Breakdown
1. Timeframe Type Selection
- Options: Users can choose between "Auto Timeframe," "Multiplier," and "Manual." A multiplier can be set for the alternate resolution.
2. Resolution Calculation
- Automatic, Multiplier, and Manual Resolution Calculation: The resolution is calculated based on the selected timeframe type.
3. Automatic Timeframe Function
- Dynamic Timeframe Calculation: A function for automatically calculating the appropriate timeframe based on the current chart resolution.
4. Drawing the Separators
- Drawing Separators on the Chart: Separators are drawn based on the selected timeframe and the user's customization options.
5. Display of the Time Period
- Information Box Settings: Users can enable the display of an information box showing the current timeframe. The size, position, and colors of the box can be customized.
- Displaying the Time Period in the Information Box: If enabled, the information box shows the current time period.
Usage
1. Loading the Script: Add the script to your TradingView chart.
2. Setting Timeframe Type: Choose from Auto, Multiplier, or Manual.
3. Customizing Separators: Adjust the color, style, and width of the separators to your preference.
4. Displaying the Time Period: Enable the information box to show the current timeframe.
Conclusion
- Summary: This script provides a robust solution for traders who need clear visual separation of different time periods on their charts.
- Customization: Flexible options allow you to tailor the appearance and functionality to suit your trading style.
R-Squared Trend Strength and Direction [CHE] Introduction
TradingView is a web-based platform that allows traders and investors to conduct comprehensive technical analyses, develop trading strategies, and track market movements in real-time. One of the many features TradingView offers is the ability to create custom indicators using Pine Script. In this presentation, we will focus on the implementation and application of an R-Squared indicator for analyzing trend strength and direction, as well as using the T3 indicator for trend direction confirmation.
---
What is R-Squared?
R-Squared (R²), also known as the coefficient of determination, is a statistical measure that represents the proportion of the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable(s). In technical analysis, R-Squared is used to quantify the clarity of a trend. A higher R-Squared indicates a clearer trend, less affected by random price fluctuations.
---
Pine Script: Implementing the R-Squared Indicator
Inputs:
- Source: The data source to be analyzed, such as the average of high and low prices.
- Period: The period length for calculating sums and R-Squared values.
Sum Calculations:
- Sum X and Sum XX: These sums relate to the indices of the selected period.
- Sum XY and Sum YY: These sums relate to the products of the indices and their respective price values.
- Sum Y: The sum of price values over the chosen period.
Q-Values Calculation:
- Q-values are used to calculate the R-Squared value, which indicates trend clarity.
Trend State:
- Based on the R-Squared value, a trend state is determined, indicating whether a clear trend is present. Specific threshold values are used to identify trend changes.
---
Using the T3 Indicator
The T3 indicator is used exclusively for confirming the trend direction in this strategy. It helps verify the direction of the trend identified by the R-Squared indicator.
T3 Indicator Calculation:
- The T3 indicator uses a series of exponential smoothings to smooth price movements and provide a clearer view of the trend direction.
- The T3 indicator confirms the trend direction indicated by the R-Squared indicator.
---
Functioning of the R-Squared and T3 Combination
1. Input Parameters:
- Define the data source and period length for calculating sums and R-Squared values.
2. Sum Calculations:
- Calculate various sums over the defined period needed to derive Q-values.
3. Q-Values Calculation:
- Derive Q1, Q2, and Q3 from the sums to calculate the R-Squared value.
4. Trend State:
- Use the R-Squared value to determine if a clear trend is present, utilizing threshold values to recognize trend changes.
5. Trend Direction Confirmation with T3:
- Calculate the T3 indicator to confirm the trend direction. The T3 is used solely for direction confirmation, not for clarity.
6. Long and Short Conditions:
- Define long and short entry conditions based on the combination of R-Squared and T3 indicators, and visualize them on the chart.
---
Conclusion
The R-Squared indicator is a powerful tool for analyzing the clarity of a trend. By integrating it into TradingView using Pine Script, traders can make informed decisions and optimize their trading strategies. The T3 indicator is used exclusively in this strategy to confirm the trend direction, enhancing the accuracy of trading signals.
---
Questions and Discussion
Are there any questions about the implementation or application of the R-Squared indicator in TradingView? How can we further improve this indicator or integrate it into existing strategies?
Best regards
Chervolino
Vlad Waves█ CONCEPT
Acceleration Line (Blue)
The Acceleration Line is calculated as the difference between the 8-period SMA and the 20-period SMA.
This line helps to identify the momentum and potential turning points in the market.
Signal Line (Red)
The Signal Line is an 8-period SMA of the Acceleration Line.
This line smooths out the Acceleration Line to generate clearer signals.
Long-Term Average (Green)
The Long-Term Average is a 200-period SMA of the Acceleration Line.
This line provides a broader context of the market trend, helping to distinguish between long-term and short-term movements.
█ SIGNALS
Buy Mode
A buy signal occurs when the Acceleration Line crosses above the Signal Line while below the Long-Term Average. This indicates a potential bullish reversal in the market.
When the Signal Line crosses the Acceleration Line above the Long-Term Average, consider placing a stop rather than reversing the position to protect gains from potential pullbacks.
Sell Mode
A sell signal occurs when the Acceleration Line crosses below the Signal Line while above the Long-Term Average. This indicates a potential bearish reversal in the market.
When the Signal Line crosses the Acceleration Line below the Long-Term Average, consider placing a stop rather than reversing the position to protect gains from potential pullbacks.
█ UTILITY
This indicator is not recommended for standalone buy or sell signals. Instead, it is designed to identify market cycles and turning points, aiding in the decision-making process.
Entry signals are most effective when they occur away from the Long-Term Average, as this helps to avoid sideways movements.
Use larger timeframes, such as daily or weekly charts, for better accuracy and reliability of the signals.
█ CREDITS
The idea for this indicator came from Fabio Figueiredo (Vlad).
Edufx's Power of ThreeIndicator Overview
Name: Edufx's Power of Three
Purpose:
To highlight the high and low price ranges of specific hourly candles on a chart.
To visualize these ranges using rectangles.
Features
Visibility Toggle:
Users can enable or disable the visibility of the rectangles highlighting the high and low price ranges of the specified candles.
Customizable Rectangle Length:
Users can adjust the length of the rectangles that extend from the specified candle's high and low prices.
Price Range Tracking:
The high and low prices of the specified candles are tracked and stored.
Rectangle Drawing:
Rectangles are drawn from 5 bars before the end of the specified hour, highlighting the high and low price ranges.
How It Works
Price Range Tracking:
During each specified hour, the high and low prices are updated with the highest and lowest prices observed.
Rectangle Drawing:
At the end of each specified hour, the high and low prices are used to draw rectangles extending 5 bars backward from the end of the hour.
Rectangles are color-coded (red, green, and blue) for easy identification.
Usage
This indicator is useful for traders who want to monitor and react to key price levels at specific times of the day.
The visual rectangles help in identifying potential trading opportunities based on price action relative to these key levels.
Example
If the price moves above the high of the specified candle but fails to close above it, a visual rectangle will highlight this price range.
Similarly, if the price moves below the low of the specified candle but fails to close below it, the rectangle will indicate this range.
This indicator provides visual aids to assist traders in making informed decisions based on the behavior of price at specific key levels.
Stocks Above 5-Day Average (FOMO)Overview
Inspired by Matt Carusos's FOMO indicator, this breadth indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of the percentage of stocks within major indices that are trading above their 5-day moving average.
Functionality
The indicator plots the percentage of stocks trading above their 5-day moving average for the following indices:
S&P 500
Nasdaq
Russell 2000
Dow Jones
All Markets (MMFD)
The indicator includes two horizontal lines:
Upper Threshold: Default at 85%
Lower Threshold: Default at 15%
These lines are used to identify potential overbought (above upper threshold) or oversold (below lower threshold) conditions.
Plot Shapes:
Small circles are plotted at the points where the percentage of stocks crosses the upper or lower thresholds, with colors matching the respective index.
Table:
The current percentage of stocks above the 5-day average for each index.
A warning sign (⚠️) is shown in the table if the percentage crosses the upper or lower threshold, regardless of whether the index plot is enabled or not.
Risk Management Calculator with Fees and Take Profit [CHE]Risk Management Calculator with Fees and Take Profit
Welcome to the Risk Management Calculator with Fees and Take Profit script! This powerful tool is designed to help traders manage their risk effectively, calculate leverage, and set take profit targets. The script is inspired by and builds upon the ideas from the following TradingView script: ().
This script is inspired by and builds upon the ideas from the following TradingView script:
Features
1. Portfolio Size Input: Enter the size of your portfolio to accurately calculate your risk and leverage.
2. Max Loss Percent Input: Specify the maximum percentage of your portfolio that you are willing to risk on a single trade.
3. Max Leverage Input: Set the maximum leverage you are comfortable using.
4. Trading Fee Input: Include trading fees in your calculations to get a more realistic view of your potential losses and gains.
5. ATR Settings: Configure the ATR period and multiplier to calculate your stop loss and take profit levels.
6. RSI Settings: Adjust the RSI period for trend analysis.
How to Use
Portfolio Size
- Description: This is the total value of your trading account.
- Input: `portfolioSize`
- Default Value: 100
- Minimum Value: 0.001
Max Loss Percent
- Description: The maximum percentage of your portfolio you are willing to lose on a single trade.
- Input: `maxLossPercent`
- Default Value: 3%
- Range: 0.1% to 100%
Max Leverage
- Description: The maximum leverage you wish to use.
- Input: `maxLeverage`
- Default Value: 125
- Range: 1 to 125
Trading Fee
- Description: The fee percentage you pay per trade.
- Input: `feeRate`
- Default Value: 1%
- Range: 0% to 10%
ATR Settings
- ATR Period: Number of bars used to calculate the Average True Range.
- Input: `atrPeriod`
- Default Value: 5
- ATR Multiplier: Multiplier for ATR to set stop loss levels.
- Input: `atrMultiplier`
- Default Value: 2.0
Take Profit Multiplier
- Description: Multiplier for ATR to set take profit levels.
- Input: `takeProfitMultiplier`
- Default Value: 2.0
RSI Settings
- RSI Period: Period for the RSI calculation.
- Input: `rsiPeriod`
- Default Value: 14
Dashboard
The script includes a customizable dashboard that displays the following information:
- Portfolio Size
- Maximum Loss Amount
- Entry Price
- Stop Loss Price
- Stop Loss Percentage
- Calculated Leverage
- Order Value
- Order Quantity
- Trend Direction
- Adjusted Maximum Loss Percentage
- Take Profit Price
Dashboard Settings
- Location: Choose the position of the dashboard on the chart.
- Options: 'Top Right', 'Bottom Right', 'Top Left', 'Bottom Left'
- Size: Adjust the size of the dashboard text.
- Options: 'Tiny', 'Small', 'Normal', 'Large'
- Text/Frame Color: Set the color for the text and frame of the dashboard.
Underlying Principles and Assumptions
Leverage Calculation
The leverage calculation is fundamental to risk management in trading. It ensures that the risk per trade does not exceed a specified percentage of the portfolio. This calculation takes into account the potential loss from the entry price to the stop loss level, adjusted for trading fees. By dividing the maximum acceptable loss by the total potential loss (including fees), we derive a leverage that limits the exposure per trade. This approach helps traders avoid over-leveraging, which can lead to significant losses.
ATR and Stop Loss
The Average True Range (ATR) is used to set stop loss levels because it measures market volatility. A higher ATR indicates more volatility, which means wider stop losses are needed to avoid being prematurely stopped out by normal market fluctuations. By using an ATR multiplier, the stop loss is dynamically adjusted based on current market conditions, providing a more robust risk management strategy.
Take Profit Calculation
The take profit level is calculated as a multiple of the ATR, ensuring that it is set at a realistic level relative to market volatility. This method aims to capture significant price movements while avoiding the noise of smaller fluctuations. Setting take profit targets this way helps in locking in profits when the market moves favorably.
RSI for Trend Confirmation
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to confirm the trend direction. An RSI above 50 typically indicates a bullish trend, while an RSI below 50 indicates a bearish trend. By aligning trades with the prevailing trend, the script increases the probability of successful trades. This trend confirmation helps in making informed decisions about leverage and position sizing.
Risk Color Coding
The script uses color coding to visually indicate the risk level and trend direction. Green indicates a favorable condition for long trades, red for short trades, and gray for neutral conditions. This intuitive color coding aids in quickly assessing the market conditions and making timely trading decisions.
Conclusion
This script aims to provide a comprehensive risk management tool for traders. By integrating portfolio size, leverage, fees, ATR, and RSI, it helps in making informed trading decisions. We hope you find this tool useful in your trading journey.
Happy Trading!
Advanced ADX [CryptoSea]The Advanced ADX Analysis is a sophisticated tool designed to enhance market analysis through detailed ADX calculations. This tool is built for traders who seek to identify market trends, strength, and potential reversals with higher accuracy. By leveraging the Average Directional Index (ADX), Directional Indicator Plus (DI+), and Directional Indicator Minus (DI-), this indicator offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
New Overlay Feature: This script uses the new 'force overlay' feature which lets you plot on the chart as well as plotting in an oscillator pane at the same time.
force_overlay=true
Key Features
Comprehensive ADX Tracking: Tracks ADX values along with DI+ and DI- to provide a complete view of market trend strength and direction. The ADX measures the strength of the trend, while DI+ and DI- indicate the trend direction. This combined analysis helps traders identify strong and weak trends with precision.
Trend Duration Monitoring: Monitors the duration of strong and weak trends, offering insights into trend persistence and potential reversals. By keeping track of how long the ADX has been above or below a certain threshold, traders can gauge the sustainability of the current trend.
Customizable Alerts: Features multiple alert options for strong trends, weak trends, and DI crossovers, ensuring traders are notified of significant market events. These alerts can be tailored to notify traders when certain conditions are met, such as when the ADX crosses a threshold or when DI+ crosses DI-.
Adaptive Display Options: Includes customizable background color settings and extended statistics display for in-depth market analysis. Users can choose to highlight strong or weak trends on the chart background, making it easier to visualize market conditions at a glance.
In the example below, we have a bullish scenario play out where the DI+ has been above the DI- for 11 candles and our dashboard shows the average is 10.48 candles. With the ADX above its threshold this would be a bullish signal.
This ended up in a 20%+ move to the upside. The dashboard will help point out things to consider when looking to exit the position, the DI+ getting close to the max DI+ duration would be a sign that momentum is weakening and that price may cool off or even reverse.
How it Works
ADX Calculation: Computes the ADX, DI+, and DI- values using a user-defined period. The ADX is derived from the smoothed average of the absolute difference between DI+ and DI-. This calculation helps determine the strength of a trend without considering its direction.
Trend Duration Analysis: Tracks and calculates the duration of strong and weak trends, as well as DI+ and DI- durations. This analysis provides a detailed view of how long a trend has been in place, helping traders assess the reliability of the trend.
Alert System: Provides a robust alert system that triggers notifications for strong trends, weak trends, and DI crossovers. The alerts are based on specific conditions such as the duration of the trend or the crossover of directional indicators, ensuring traders are informed about critical market movements.
Visual Enhancements: Utilizes color gradients and background settings to visually represent trend strength and duration. This feature enhances the visual analysis of trends, making it easier for traders to identify significant market changes at a glance.
In the example below, we see the ADX weakening after we have just had a move up, if you are looking to get into this position you want to see the ADX growing with either the DI+ or DI- breaking their average durations.
As you can see below, although the ADX manages to move above the threshold, there are no DI+/- breaks which is shown by price moving sideways. Not something most traders would be interested in.
Application
Strategic Decision-Making: Assists traders in making informed decisions by providing detailed analysis of ADX movements and trend durations. By understanding the strength and direction of trends, traders can better time their entries and exits.
Trend Confirmation: Reinforces trading strategies by confirming potential reversals and trend strength through ADX and DI analysis. This confirmation helps traders validate their trading signals, reducing the risk of false signals.
Customized Analysis: Adapts to various trading styles with extensive input settings that control the display and sensitivity of trend data. Traders can customize the indicator to suit their specific needs, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies.
The Advanced ADX Analysis by is an invaluable addition to a trader's toolkit, offering depth and precision in market trend analysis to navigate complex market conditions effectively. With its comprehensive tracking, alert system, and customizable display options, this indicator provides traders with the tools they need to stay ahead of the market.
Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
__________________________________________________________________________________
This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
__________________________________________________________________________________
For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
__________________________________________________________________________________
This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
__________________________________________________________________________________
Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Percentages from 52 Week HighThis script is helpful for anyone that wants to monitor 5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50% drops from the 52 week moving high.
I have been using a version of this script for a few years now and thought I would share it back with the community as I wrote it in 2021 to find quick deals when flipping through charts of stocks I've been watching. I never seemed to find anything doing this simple yet intuitive thing and I found myself regularly computing these lines manually on each chart. This will save you from having to do that as it automatically draws each level on your chart based on the recent 52 week or daily high.
I recently added the ability to turn on/off different levels and defaulted to setting 5, 10, and 20 % drops from the 52 week high. You can also change this to be a 52 day moving high if that's your preference.
Please let me know if you have ideas for modification as I wanted to share this with the community given I had not seen anything out there giving me what I wanted - which is why I wrote it.
All the best friends.
Prometheus IQR bandsThis indicator is a tool that uses market data to plot bands along with a price chart.
This tool uses interquartile range (IQR) instead of Standard Deviation (STD) because market returns are not normally distributed. There is also no way to tell if the pocket of the market you are looking at is normally distributed. So using methods that work better with non-normal data minimizes risk more than using a different process.
Calculation
Code for helper functions:
// Function to calculate the percentile value
percentile(arr, p) =>
index = math.floor(p * (array.size(arr) - 1) + 0.5)
array.get(arr, index)
manual_iqr(data, lower_percentile, upper_percentile)=>
// Sort the data
data_arr = array.new()
for i = 0 to lkb_
data_arr.push(close )
array.sort(data_arr)
sorted_data = data_arr.copy()
n = array.size(data_arr)
// Calculate the specified percentiles
Q1 = percentile(sorted_data, lower_percentile)
Q3 = percentile(sorted_data, upper_percentile)
// Calculate IQR
IQR = Q3 - Q1
// Return the IQR
IQR
IQRB(lkb_, sens)=>
sens_l = sens/100
sens_h = (100-sens)/100
val = manual_iqr(close, sens_l, sens_h)
sma = ta.sma(close, int(lkb_))
upper = sma + val
lower = sma - val
Percentile Calculation (percentile function):
Calculates the percentile value of an array (arr) at a given percentile (p).
Uses linear interpolation to find the exact percentile value in a sorted array.
Manual IQR Calculation (manual_iqr function):
Converts the input data into an array (data_arr) and sorts it.
Computes the lower and upper quartiles (Q1 and Q3) using the specified percentiles (lower_percentile and upper_percentile).
Computes the Interquartile Range (IQR) as IQR = Q3 - Q1.
Returns the computed IQR.
IQRB Function Calculation (IQRB function):
Converts the sensitivity percentage (sens) into decimal values (sens_l for lower percentile and sens_h for upper percentile).
Calls manual_iqr with the closing prices (close) and the lower and upper percentiles.
Calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing prices (close) over a specified period (lkb_).
Computes the upper and lower bands of the IQR using the SMA and the calculated IQR (val).
Returns an array containing the upper band, lower band, and SMA values.
After the IQR is calculated at the specified sensitivity it is added to and subtracted from a SMA of the specified period.
This provides us with bands of the IQR sensitivity we want.
Trade Examples
Step 1: Price quickly and strongly breaks below the bottom band and continues there for some bars.
Step 2: Price re-enters the bottom band and has a strong reversal.
Step 1: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues higher.
Step 2: Price breaks below the top band and reverses to the downside.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band after our previous reversal.
Step 4: Price regains that bottom band and reverses to the upside.
Step 5: Price continues moving higher and does not break above the top band or reverse.
Step 1: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues higher.
Step 2: Price breaks below the top band and reverses to the downside.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band after our previous reversal.
Step 4: Price regains that bottom band and reverses to the upside.
Step 5: Price strongly breaks above the top band after the previous reversal.
Step 6: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 7: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues moving higher.
Step 8: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 9: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues moving higher.
Step 10: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 1: Price breaks above the top band.
Step 2: Price drops below the top band and chops slightly, without a large reversal from that break.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band.
Step 4: Price re-enters the bottom band and just chops, no large reversal.
Step 5: Price breaks below the bottom band.
Step 6: Price retakes the bottom band and strongly reverses.
This tool can be uses to spot reversals and see when trends may continue as the stay inside the bands. No indicator is 100% accurate, we encourage traders to not follow them blindly and use them as tools.
Normalized Relative Strength LineNormalized Relative Strength Line Indicator
Overview
The "Normalized Relative Strength Line" indicator measures the relative performance of a stock compared to a benchmark index (e.g., NSE
). This indicator helps traders and investors identify whether a stock is outperforming or underperforming the selected benchmark over a specified lookback period. The values are normalized to a range of -100 to +100 for easy interpretation.
Key Features
Comparison Symbol: Users can select a benchmark index or any other comparison symbol to measure relative performance.
Lookback Period: A user-defined period for normalization, typically set to a number of trading days (e.g., 252 days for one year).
Relative Strength Calculation: The indicator calculates the percentage change in price for both the stock and the comparison symbol from the start of the lookback period.
Normalization: The relative strength values are normalized to a range of -100 to +100 to facilitate comparison and visualization.
Smoothing: An optional 14-period simple moving average (SMA) is applied to the normalized relative strength line for a smoother representation of trends.
Interpretation
Positive Values (+100 to 0): When the normalized relative strength (RS) line is above 0, it indicates that the stock is outperforming the comparison symbol. Higher values signify stronger outperformance.
Negative Values (0 to -100): When the normalized RS line is below 0, it indicates that the stock is underperforming the comparison symbol. Lower values signify stronger underperformance.
Horizontal Line at 0: The horizontal line at 0 serves as a reference point. Crossing this line from below indicates a shift from underperformance to outperformance, and crossing from above indicates a shift from outperformance to underperformance.
Crossovers: The points where the RS line crosses the moving average (red line) can signal potential changes in relative performance trends.
Example Use Case
If the normalized RS line of a stock consistently remains around +100, it suggests that the stock has been strongly outperforming the comparison symbol over the selected lookback period. Conversely, if it remains around -100, it suggests strong underperformance.
Heads UpAn indicator that gives you the "heads up" that that bullish/ bearish strength is increasing.
I wanted an indicator that could give me the "heads up" that bullish/ bearish strength is increasing. This would help me get into a breakout early or avoid entering a breakout that had a high probability of failure.
Here are my definitions for this indicator:
My bull bar definition:
- A green candle that closes above 75% of it's candle range.
- The candle's body does not overlap the previous candle's body. Tails/ wicks CAN overlap.
My bear bar definition:
- A red candle that closes below 75% of it's candle range.
- the candle's body does not overlap the previous candle's body. Tails/ ticks CAN overlap.
Bullish strength increasing (arrow up):
- Bull bars are increasing in size (the candle's range) compared to previous 5 bars.
- 2 consecutive bull bars.
Bearish strength increasing (arrow down):
- Bear bars are increasing in size (the candle's range) compared to previous 5 bars.
- 2 consecutive bear bars.
You will not see this indicator trigger very often but when it does - it's because there is a change in bullish bearish strength.
Things to be aware of:
Use the indicator in line with the context of the previous trend. You will get triggers that fail. These are usually because they appear counter trend. When in doubt zoom out.
It will not call every successful breakout. If you understand the definitions you'll understand why it appears.
This is my first indicator and used for my personal use. Feedback and other ideas are welcome.
