TOTAL3ES/ETH Mean ReversionTOTAL3ES/ETH Mean Reversion Indicator
Overview
The TOTAL3ES/ETH Mean Reversion indicator is a specialized tool designed exclusively for analyzing the ratio between TOTAL3 excluding stablecoins (TOTAL3ES) and Ethereum's market capitalization. This ratio provides crucial insights into the relative performance and valuation cycles between altcoins and ETH, making it an essential tool for cryptocurrency portfolio allocation and market timing decisions.
What This Indicator Measures
This indicator tracks the market cap ratio of all altcoins (excluding ETH and stablecoins) to Ethereum's market cap. When the ratio is:
Above 1.0 (Parity): Altcoins have a larger combined market cap than ETH
Below 1.0 (Parity): ETH's market cap exceeds the combined altcoin market cap
Key Features
Historical Context
Historical Range: 0.64 (July 2017 low) to 3.49 (all-time high)
Midpoint: 2.065 - the mathematical center of the historical range
Parity Line: 1.0 - the psychological level where altcoins = ETH market cap
Mean Reversion Zones
The indicator identifies extreme valuation zones based on historical data:
Upper Extreme Zone (~2.92 at 80% threshold): Suggests altcoins may be overvalued relative to ETH
Lower Extreme Zone (~1.21 at 80% threshold): Suggests altcoins may be undervalued relative to ETH
Visual Elements
Color-coded zones: Red shading for bearish reversion areas, green for bullish reversion areas
Multiple reference lines: Parity, midpoint, and historical extremes
Information table: Real-time metrics including current ratio, range position, and reversion pressure
Customizable display: Toggle zones, lines, and adjust transparency
How to Use This Indicator
Market Cycle Analysis
Extreme High Zone (Red): When ratio enters this zone, consider potential ETH outperformance
Extreme Low Zone (Green): When ratio enters this zone, consider potential altcoin season
Parity Crossovers: Monitor when ratio crosses above/below 1.0 for sentiment shifts
Portfolio Allocation Signals
High Ratio Values: May indicate overextended altcoin valuations relative to ETH
Low Ratio Values: May suggest undervalued altcoins relative to ETH
Midpoint Reversions: Historical tendency to revert toward the 2.065 midpoint
Alert Conditions
The indicator includes built-in alerts for:
Entering extreme high/low zones
Parity crossovers (above/below 1.0)
Mean reversion signals
Input Parameters
Display Settings
Show Reversion Zones: Toggle colored extreme zones on/off
Show Midpoint: Display the historical midpoint line
Show Parity Line: Show the 1.0 parity reference line
Zone Transparency: Adjust shaded area opacity (70-95%)
Calculation Settings
Reversion Strength Period: Moving average period for reversion calculations (10-50)
Extreme Threshold: Percentage of historical range defining extreme zones (0.5-1.0)
Information Table Metrics
The bottom-right table displays:
Current Ratio: Live TOTAL3ES/ETH value
Range Position: Current position within historical range (%)
From Parity: Distance from 1.0 parity level (%)
Reversion Pressure: Intensity of mean reversion forces (%)
Zone: Current market zone classification
Historical Range: Reference boundaries (0.64 - 3.49)
Midpoint: Historical center value
Important Notes
Chart Compatibility
Exclusively designed for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES/CRYPTOCAP:ETH
Built-in validation ensures proper chart usage
Will display error message if applied to incorrect charts
Trading Considerations
This is an analytical tool, not trading advice
Mean reversion is a tendency, not a guarantee
Consider multiple timeframes and confirmations
Factor in overall market conditions and trends
Risk Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Ideal Use Cases
Portfolio rebalancing between ETH and altcoins
Market cycle timing for position adjustments
Sentiment analysis of crypto market phases
Long-term allocation strategies based on historical patterns
Risk management through extreme zone identification
This indicator serves as a quantitative framework for understanding the cyclical relationship between Ethereum and the broader altcoin market, helping traders and investors make more informed allocation decisions based on historical valuation patterns.ons
- Factor in overall market conditions and trends
### Risk Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Cycles
Dual-EMA + Volume + RSI BUY//@version=5
indicator("Dual-EMA + Volume + RSI BUY", overlay = true)
// ── 参数(可在面板自调) ──
fastLen = input.int(12, "EMA Fast")
slowLen = input.int(26, "EMA Slow")
volMult = input.float(1.3, "Vol ×")
rsiThres = input.int(55, "RSI >")
tpGap = input.float(0.30, "Take-Profit (+AUD)")
slGap = input.float(0.20, "Stop-Loss (-AUD)")
// ── 均线 & 交叉 ──
emaFast = ta.ema(close, fastLen)
emaSlow = ta.ema(close, slowLen)
bullCross = ta.crossover(emaFast, emaSlow)
// ── RSI 滤波 ──
rsiVal = ta.rsi(close, 14)
rsiOK = rsiVal > rsiThres
// ── 量能确认 ──
volMA = ta.sma(volume, 20)
volOK = volume > volMA * volMult
// ── BUY 信号 ──
buySig = bullCross and rsiOK and volOK
// ── 价格区 ──
var float entry = na
var float tp = na
var float sl = na
if buySig
entry := close
tp := entry + tpGap
sl := entry - slGap
// ── 绘制线 ──
plot(buySig ? entry : na, title = "Entry", color = color.green, linewidth = 2)
plot(buySig ? tp : na, title = "TP", color = color.blue, linewidth = 1)
plot(buySig ? sl : na, title = "SL", color = color.red, linewidth = 1)
// ── BUY 标签 ──
if buySig
label.new(bar_index, high,
"BUY ▶ TP " + str.tostring(tp, format.mintick) + " SL " + str.tostring(sl, format.mintick),
style = label.style_label_left,
yloc = yloc.abovebar,
color = color.green, textcolor = color.white, size = size.small)
// ── 可选报警 ──
alertcondition(buySig, title="BUY Alert", message="EMA+Volume+RSI BUY 信号触发!")
AMOGH smc bo/bd - Delta Bot IntegrationAMOGH SMC BO/BD – Delta Bot Integration ek advanced Pine Script indicator hai jo CHoCH ke baad breakout/breakdown (BO/BD) entries detect karta hai. Ye structure flip, SL, aur smart alerts ke sath auto-trading bots ke liye optimized hai. Entry precision aur exit logic strategy-grade hai.
Confluence Indicator: Fib, MACD, SMA 50/200This is a scalping indicator best used on the 1hour and 15min charts
Terminal de Estrategias PRO (MTF + Order Blocks)this is a new test for the implementation of functions on my app web for signals
MANI SESSIONSOANDA:GBPUSD This indicator marks the opening times of the three main trading sessions — Asia, London, and New York — using vertical red dotted lines on the chart.
Each session is labeled with a minimal tag (“ASIA”, “LDN”, “NY”) displayed directly on the line for clean and unobtrusive reference.
All session times are based on the New York time zone and adjust automatically for each new day.
This tool helps intraday traders quickly identify session shifts, plan entries around high-volume hours, and stay locked into session-based strategy.
OANDA:GBPUSD
Parabolic SAR with Early Buy & MA-Based Exit Strategy📝 Strategy Description (Max SEO Impact)
This advanced Parabolic SAR-based trading strategy is designed to capture early trend reversals and exit intelligently using a dynamic moving average filter. It enters long trades when a PSAR reversal occurs, and exits only when the PSAR moves above price and the price falls below the 11-period SMA, helping avoid premature exits during volatile swings.
📌 Features:
• Custom Parabolic SAR calculation for refined trend tracking
• Background highlights during buy zones (SAR below price)
• Exit signals only when trend weakens (PSAR above + price under SMA)
• Red flag plotted on chart at exit bars for clear visual identification
• Works on all timeframes and instruments
Ideal for swing traders, trend followers, and strategy testers looking for smart PSAR-based entries with smoother exits.
Parabolic SAR with Early Buy & MA-Based Exit Strategy📝 Strategy Description (Max SEO Impact)
This advanced Parabolic SAR-based trading strategy is designed to capture early trend reversals and exit intelligently using a dynamic moving average filter. It enters long trades when a PSAR reversal occurs, and exits only when the PSAR moves above price and the price falls below the 11-period SMA, helping avoid premature exits during volatile swings.
📌 Features:
• Custom Parabolic SAR calculation for refined trend tracking
• Background highlights during buy zones (SAR below price)
• Exit signals only when trend weakens (PSAR above + price under SMA)
• Red flag plotted on chart at exit bars for clear visual identification
• Works on all timeframes and instruments
Ideal for swing traders, trend followers, and strategy testers looking for smart PSAR-based entries with smoother exits.
HHT Signal Analyzer (Refined)HHT Signal Analyzer
The HHT Signal Analyzer provides a real-time, smoothed approximation of the Hilbert-Huang Transform (HHT), designed to reveal adaptive cycles and phase changes in price action. It emulates Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using a double exponential moving average (EMA) filter to extract short-term oscillatory signals from price.
This indicator is helpful for identifying subtle shifts in market behavior, such as when a trend is transitioning or weakening, and is especially effective when paired with trend-based tools like GRJMOM.
How it works:
Applies a double EMA to the price (EMA of EMA)
Calculates the difference between the fast and slow EMA to emulate IMF behavior
Amplifies the signal for clear visual feedback
Highlights cycle slope changes with background coloring (green = rising, red = falling)
Use Cases:
Use slope direction to detect early phase shifts in the market
Combine with trend indicators to confirm or fade moves
Helps visualize when the market is entering a cycle crest or trough
Best for:
Traders looking to capture short-term reversals, cycle timing, or divergence with smooth and adaptive signals
Can be used on any timeframe
MTF 200MULTI TIME FRAME 200MA
TIMEFRAME
1m 5m 15m 30m 60m 240m 1D
200 SMA
Check the chart for 200ma you were looking at a candle at a certain time
Year Dividers with LabelsDraws year start markers due visually show start of a year. Useful when looking at year seasonality and related factors
MI-Time-Based DotsThis indicator is a time based Dot based on Linda Raschke time function.
It marks dot on bar at given time.
9:15 am
10:15 am
11:15 am
01:15 pm
02:25 pm
Fixed 4H BTC/Altcoins Correlation for Scalping
Fixed 4H Timeframe: The calculation is hardcoded to the 4-hour timeframe. This ensures the correlation value remains stable and relevant for structural analysis while you trade on lower timeframes.
Clean On-Screen Display: Instead of a separate plot line that can clutter the chart, the indicator displays the correlation value in a clean, simple table in the top-right corner.
Dynamic Coloring: The correlation value is color-coded for quick visual assessment:
Green: Strong correlation (> 0.70)
Yellow: Moderate correlation (0.30 to 0.70)
Red: Weak or negative correlation (< 0.30)
Customizable Inputs: Users can easily configure the BTC symbol (e.g., BINANCE:BTCUSDT, COINBASE:BTCUSD), the correlation lookback period (Length), and the price source (Source) to match their reference indicators or preferences.
Add the indicator to your chart (for example, a 5-minute chart of any altcoin).
The table in the top-right corner will immediately display the altcoin's current correlation to BTC, based on 4-hour data.
Use this value to gauge market sentiment. A high positive correlation suggests the altcoin is likely to follow BTC's moves. A low or negative correlation suggests the altcoin is moving independently.
For perfect synchronization with another standard correlation indicator, go to the script's settings (⚙️ icon) and ensure the Length and Source parameters are identical to your reference indicator.
This tool aims to bridge the gap between high-frequency trading and high-timeframe market structure, providing a crucial piece of information in a simple, stable, and accessible format.
Mark High/Low of Specific DateThis code will help to mark high low of specific dates;
People using Gann theory will find it useful as certain specific dates are considered very important to mark high and low of markets or turning points
Momentum Adaptive RSI
Description of the Momentum Adaptive RSI Indicator:
The provided Pine Script implements a custom RSI-based trading indicator designed to identify momentum and trend direction by calculating the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with flexible smoothing options and adaptive or fixed overbought/oversold thresholds. Similar in spirit to the Gaussian Volatility Adjusted Indicator, this script focuses on smoothing price momentum using various moving average types (e.g., SMA, EMA, ALMA) and incorporates dynamic thresholding to generate clear buy and sell signals, making it suitable for trend-following, momentum trading, or reversal strategies.
How It Works
RSI Calculation:
Computes the RSI based on the closing price with a user-defined period (default: 10).
Optionally applies smoothing to the RSI using a selected moving average type (e.g., SMA, EMA, DEMA, TEMA, WMA, VWMA, SMMA, HMA, LSMA, or ALMA) with a configurable length (default: 10) and, for ALMA, a sigma parameter (default: 15).
Users can toggle smoothing on/off (default: enabled) to use either the raw RSI or the smoothed version.
Threshold Settings:
Fixed Thresholds: Default overbought (60) and oversold (50) levels can be set manually.
Adaptive Thresholds: Optionally calculates dynamic thresholds using the percentile method (default: 10th/90th percentiles) over a user-defined period (default: 50). This adapts the overbought/oversold levels based on the historical distribution of RSI values, improving responsiveness to market conditions.
Users can toggle between fixed and adaptive thresholds (default: fixed).
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the RSI (smoothed or raw) crosses above the overbought threshold.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the RSI crosses below the oversold threshold.
A state-tracking mechanism ensures persistent signal states for consistent visualization.
Visual Representation:
RSI Plot: Displays the RSI (smoothed or raw) with dynamic coloring: green above the overbought threshold, red below the oversold threshold, and gray otherwise.
Threshold Lines: Plots the overbought and oversold levels (fixed or adaptive) and a middle line at 50 for reference.
Background and Bar Coloring: Applies user-defined colors (default: green for buy, red for sell) to the chart background and price bars based on the signal state, enhancing visual clarity for trading decisions.
Power Metcalfe's + Fibonacci Channel## Metcalfe's Law + Fibonacci Channel - Optimized Bitcoin Valuation Model
This indicator presents an enhanced variation of the classic Bitcoin Metcalfe's Law model, combining logarithmic regression analysis with Fibonacci retracement levels to create a comprehensive valuation framework.
**Key Features:**
- **Optimized Metcalfe's Law calculation** using historical cycle data (2013-2022) for improved accuracy
- **Fibonacci channel overlay** with key levels: 0.382, 0.618, 1.272, 1.618, 2.000, 2.618, 3.000
- **Dynamic trading zones** with visual buy/sell signals based on price position relative to the channel
- **Real-time targets** displaying current Fibonacci projections and fair value estimates
**What makes it different:**
Unlike standard Metcalfe's Law implementations, this version integrates logarithmic growth principles and uses a refined dataset that accounts for Bitcoin's maturation cycles. The Fibonacci overlay provides clearer entry/exit points while maintaining the long-term growth trajectory based on network adoption.
**Best suited for:** Long-term Bitcoin holders and macro traders looking for mathematical support/resistance levels based on network adoption dynamics and scarcity.
The model automatically updates calculations and provides a comprehensive information table showing current formula parameters and key price targets.
WaveTrend LazyBear + BUY/SELL Labels (Custom Color)WaveTrend LazyBear + BUY/SELL Labels (Custom Color)
MOC Delta MOO Entry v21. Tracks the Daily Volume (9:30-4:00)
2. Measures the Delta of the MOC
3. Measures the percentage of Delta that was made during the MOC
4. If it is above/below 5/-5%, it begins looking for a trade.
5. When the 9:30 candle OPENS, it must be above the SMAs for a long, and it must be below the SMAs for a short.
6. If all conditions are met, it will enter a position on the CLOSE of the 9:30 candle (on the 5 minute, so enters at 9:35)
Mig Trade Model - Kill Zones
Key features:
Liquidity Hunt Detection: Spots aggressive moves that "hunt" stops beyond recent swing highs/lows.
Consolidation Filter: Requires 1-3 small-range candles after a hunt before confirming with a strong candle.
Bias Application: Uses daily open/close to auto-detect bias or allows manual override.
Kill Zone Restriction: Limits signals to London (default: 7-10 AM UTC) and NY (default: 12-3 PM UTC) sessions for better relevance in active markets.
This strategy is inspired by smart money concepts (SMC) and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodologies, aiming to capture venom-like "stings" in price action where liquidity is grabbed before reversals.
How It Works
ATR Calculation: Uses a user-defined ATR length (default: 14) to measure volatility, which scales candle body and range thresholds.
Bias Determination:
Auto: Compares daily close to open (bullish if close > open).
Manual: User selects "Bullish" or "Bearish."
Strong Candles:
Bullish: Green candle with body > 2x ATR (configurable).
Bearish: Red candle with body > 2x ATR.
Small Range Candles:
Candles where high-low < 0.5x ATR (configurable).
Liquidity Hunt:
Bullish Hunt: Strong bearish candle making a new low below the past swing low (default: 10 bars).
Bearish Hunt: Strong bullish candle making a new high above the past swing high.
Signal Generation:
After a hunt, counts 1-3 small-range candles.
Confirms with a strong candle in the opposite direction (e.g., strong bullish after bearish hunt).
Resets if >3 small candles or an opposing strong candle appears.
Kill Zone Filter:
Checks if the current bar's time (in UTC) falls within London or NY Kill Zones.
Only allows final "Buy" (bullish entry) or "Sell" (bearish entry) if bias matches and in Kill Zone.
Plots:
Yellow circle (below): Bullish liquidity hunt.
Orange circle (above): Bearish liquidity hunt.
Blue diamond (below): Raw bullish signal.
Purple diamond (above): Raw bearish signal.
Green triangle up ("Buy"): Filtered bullish entry.
Red triangle down ("Sell"): Filtered bearish entry.
Inputs
Bias: "Auto" (default), "Bullish", or "Bearish" – Controls signal direction based on daily trend.
ATR Length: 14 (default) – Period for ATR calculation.
Swing Length for Liquidity Hunt: 10 (default) – Bars to look back for swing highs/lows.
Strong Candle Body Multiplier (x ATR): 2.0 (default) – Threshold for strong candle bodies.
Small Range Multiplier (x ATR): 0.5 (default) – Threshold for small-range candles.
London Kill Zone Start/End Hour (UTC): 7/10 (default) – Customize London session hours.
NY Kill Zone Start/End Hour (UTC): 12/15 (default) – Customize New York session hours.
Usage Tips
Timeframe: Best on lower timeframes (e.g., 5-15 min) for intraday trading, especially forex pairs like EURUSD or GBPUSD.
Timezone Adjustment: Inputs are in UTC. If your chart is in a different timezone (e.g., EST = UTC-5), adjust hours accordingly (e.g., London: 2-5 AM EST → 7-10 UTC).
Risk Management: Use with stop-loss (e.g., beyond the hunt low/high) and take-profit based on ATR multiples. Not financial advice—backtest thoroughly.
Customization: Tweak multipliers for different assets; higher for volatile cryptos, lower for stocks.
Limitations: Relies on historical data; may generate false signals in ranging markets. Combine with other indicators like volume or support/resistance.
This indicator is for educational purposes. Always use discretion and proper risk management in live trading. If you find it useful, feel free to share feedback or suggestions!
MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing SignalMSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal
## Overview
The **MSTY-WNTR Rebalancing Signal** is a custom TradingView indicator designed to help investors dynamically allocate between two YieldMax ETFs: **MSTY** (YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF) and **WNTR** (YieldMax Short MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF). These ETFs are tied to MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, which is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price due to MSTR's significant Bitcoin holdings.
MSTY benefits from upward movements in MSTR (and thus Bitcoin) through a covered call strategy that generates income but caps upside potential. WNTR, on the other hand, provides inverse exposure, profiting from MSTR declines but losing in rallies. This indicator uses Bitcoin's momentum and MSTR's relative strength to signal when to hold MSTY (bullish phases), WNTR (bearish phases), or stay neutral, aiming to optimize returns by switching allocations at key turning points.
Inspired by strategies discussed in crypto communities (e.g., X posts analyzing MSTR-linked ETFs), this indicator promotes an active rebalancing approach over a "set and forget" buy-and-hold strategy. In simulated backtests over the past 12 months (as of August 4, 2025), the optimized version has shown potential to outperform holding 100% MSTY or 100% WNTR alone, with an illustrative APY of ~125% vs. ~6% for MSTY and ~-15% for WNTR in one scenario.
**Important Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult a financial advisor. Trading involves risk, and you could lose money. The indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
## Key Features
- **Momentum-Based Signals**: Uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA) on Bitcoin's price to detect bullish (price > SMA) or bearish (price < SMA) trends.
- **RSI Confirmation**: Incorporates MSTR's Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter signals, avoiding overbought conditions for MSTY and oversold for WNTR.
- **Visual Cues**:
- Green upward triangle for "Hold MSTY".
- Red downward triangle for "Hold WNTR".
- Yellow cross for "Switch" signals.
- Background color: Green for MSTY, red for WNTR.
- **Information Panel**: A table in the top-right corner displays real-time data: BTC Price, SMA value, MSTR RSI, and current Allocation (MSTY, WNTR, or Neutral).
- **Alerts**: Configurable alerts for holding MSTY, holding WNTR, or switching.
- **Optimized Parameters**: Defaults are tuned (SMA: 10 days, RSI: 15 periods, Overbought: 80, Oversold: 20) based on simulations to reduce whipsaws and capture trends effectively.
## How It Works
The indicator's logic is straightforward yet effective for volatile assets like Bitcoin and MSTR:
1. **Primary Trigger (Bitcoin Momentum)**:
- Calculate the SMA of Bitcoin's closing price (default: 10-day).
- Bullish: Current BTC price > SMA → Potential MSTY hold.
- Bearish: Current BTC price < SMA → Potential WNTR hold.
2. **Secondary Filter (MSTR RSI Confirmation)**:
- Compute RSI on MSTR stock (default: 15-period).
- For bullish signals: If RSI > Overbought (80), signal Neutral (avoid overextended rallies).
- For bearish signals: If RSI < Oversold (20), signal Neutral (avoid capitulation bottoms).
3. **Allocation Rules**:
- Hold 100% MSTY if bullish and not overbought.
- Hold 100% WNTR if bearish and not oversold.
- Neutral otherwise (e.g., during choppy or extreme markets) – consider holding cash or avoiding trades.
4. **Rebalancing**:
- Switch signals trigger when the hold changes (e.g., from MSTY to WNTR).
- Recommended frequency: Weekly reviews or on 5% BTC moves to minimize trading costs (aim for 4-6 trades/year).
This approach leverages Bitcoin's influence on MSTR while mitigating the risks of MSTY's covered call drag during downtrends and WNTR's losses in uptrends.
## Setup and Usage
1. **Chart Requirements**:
- Apply this indicator to a Bitcoin chart (e.g., BTCUSD on Binance or Coinbase, daily timeframe recommended).
- Ensure MSTR stock data is accessible (TradingView supports it natively).
2. **Adding to TradingView**:
- Open the Pine Editor.
- Paste the script code.
- Save and add to your chart.
- Customize inputs if needed (e.g., adjust SMA/RSI lengths for different timeframes).
3. **Interpretation**:
- **Green Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to MSTY – Bitcoin is in an uptrend, MSTR not overbought.
- **Red Background/Triangle**: Allocate 100% to WNTR – Bitcoin in downtrend, MSTR not oversold.
- **Yellow Switch Cross**: Rebalance your portfolio immediately.
- **Neutral (No Signal)**: Panel shows "Neutral" – Hold cash or previous position; reassess weekly.
- Monitor the panel for key metrics to validate signals manually.
4. **Backtesting and Strategy Integration**:
- Convert to a strategy script by changing `indicator()` to `strategy()` and adding entry/exit logic for automated testing.
- In simulations (e.g., using Python or TradingView's backtester), it has outperformed buy-and-hold in volatile markets by ~100-200% relative APY, but results vary.
- Factor in fees: ETF expense ratios (~0.99%), trading commissions (~$0.40/trade), and slippage.
5. **Risk Management**:
- Use with a diversified portfolio; never allocate more than you can afford to lose.
- Add stop-losses (e.g., 10% trailing) to protect against extreme moves.
- Rebalance sparingly to avoid over-trading in sideways markets.
- Dividends: Reinvest MSTY/WNTR payouts into the current hold for compounding.
## Performance Insights (Simulated as of August 4, 2025)
Based on synthetic backtests modeling the last 12 months:
- **Optimized Strategy APY**: ~125% (by timing switches effectively).
- **Hold 100% MSTY APY**: ~6% (gains from BTC rallies offset by downtrends).
- **Hold 100% WNTR APY**: ~-15% (losses in bull phases outweigh bear gains).
In one scenario with stronger volatility, the strategy achieved ~4533% APY vs. 10% for MSTY and -34% for WNTR, highlighting its potential in dynamic markets. However, these are illustrative; real results depend on actual BTC/MSTR movements. Test thoroughly on historical data.
## Limitations and Considerations
- **Data Dependency**: Relies on accurate BTC and MSTR data; delays or gaps can affect signals.
- **Market Risks**: Bitcoin's volatility can lead to false signals (whipsaws); the RSI filter helps but isn't perfect.
- **No Guarantees**: This indicator doesn't predict the future. MSTR's correlation to BTC may change (e.g., due to regulatory events).
- **Not for All Users**: Best for intermediate/advanced traders familiar with ETFs and crypto. Beginners should paper trade first.
- **Updates**: As of August 4, 2025, this is version 1.0. Future updates may include volume filters or EMA options.
If you find this indicator useful, consider leaving a like or comment on TradingView. Feedback welcome for improvements!