Customizable BTC Seasonality StrategyThis strategy leverages intraday seasonality effects in Bitcoin, specifically targeting hours of statistically significant returns during periods when traditional financial markets are closed. Padysak and Vojtko (2022) demonstrate that Bitcoin exhibits higher-than-average returns from 21:00 UTC to 23:00 UTC, a period in which all major global exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Tokyo Stock Exchange, and London Stock Exchange, are closed. The absence of competing trading activity from traditional markets during these hours appears to contribute to these statistically significant returns.
The strategy proceeds as follows:
Entry Time: A long position in Bitcoin is opened at a user-specified time, which defaults to 21:00 UTC, aligning with the beginning of the identified high-return window.
Holding Period: The position is held for two hours, capturing the positive returns typically observed during this period.
Exit Time: The position is closed at a user-defined time, defaulting to 23:00 UTC, allowing the strategy to exit as the favorable period concludes.
This simple seasonality strategy aims to achieve a 33% annualized return with a notably reduced volatility of 20.93% and maximum drawdown of -22.45%. The results suggest that investing only during these high-return hours is more stable and less risky than a passive holding strategy (Padysak & Vojtko, 2022).
References
Padysak, M., & Vojtko, R. (2022). Seasonality, Trend-following, and Mean reversion in Bitcoin.
Cycles
FS Scorpion TailKey Features & Components:
1. Custom Date & Chart-Based Controls
The software allows users to define whether they want signals to start on a specific date (useSpecificDate) or base calculations on the visible chart’s range (useRelativeScreenSumLeft and useRelativeScreenSumRight).
Users can input the number of stocks to buy/sell per signal and decide whether to sell only for profit.
2. Technical Indicators Used
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Users can define the length of the EMA and specify if buy/sell signals should occur when the EMA is rising or falling.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD crossovers, slopes of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram are used for generating buy/sell signals.
ATR (Average True Range): Signals are generated based on rising or falling ATR.
Aroon Indicator: Buy and sell signals are based on the behavior of the Aroon upper and lower lines.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Tracks whether the RSI and its moving average are rising or falling to generate signals.
Bollinger Bands: Buy/sell signals depend on the basis, upper, and lower band behavior (rising or falling).
3. Signal Detection
The software creates arrays for each indicator to store conditions for buy/sell signals.
The allTrue() function checks whether all conditions for buy/sell signals are true, ensuring that only valid signals are plotted.
Signals are differentiated between buy-only, sell-only, and both buy and sell (dual signal).
4. Visual Indicators
Vertical Lines: When buy, sell, or dual signals are detected, vertical lines are drawn at the corresponding bar with configurable colors (green for buy, red for sell, silver for dual).
Buy/Sell Labels: Visual labels are plotted directly on the chart to denote buy or sell signals, allowing for clear interpretation of the strategy.
5. Cash Flow & Metrics Display
The software maintains an internal ledger of how many stocks are bought/sold, their prices, and whether a profit is being made.
A table is displayed at the bottom right of the chart, showing:
Initial investment
Current stocks owned
Last buy price
Market stake
Net profit
The table background turns green for profit and red for loss.
6. Dynamic Decision Making
Buy Condition: If a valid buy signal is generated, the software decrements the cash balance and adds stocks to the inventory.
Sell Condition: If the sell signal is valid (and meets the profit requirement), stocks are sold, and cash is incremented.
A fallback check ensures the sell logic prevents selling more stocks than are available and adjusts stock holding appropriately (e.g., sell half).
Customization and Usage
Indicator Adjustments: The user can choose which indicators to activate (e.g., EMA, MACD, RSI) via input controls. Each indicator has specific customizable parameters such as lengths, slopes, and conditions.
Signal Flexibility: The user can adjust conditions for buying and selling based on various technical indicators, which adds flexibility in implementing trading strategies. For example, users may require the RSI to be higher than its moving average or trigger sales only when MACD crosses under the signal line.
Profit Sensitivity: The software allows the option to sell only when a profit is assured by checking if the current price is higher than the last buy price.
Summary of Usage:
Indicator Selection: Enable or disable technical indicators like EMA, MACD, RSI, Aroon, ATR, and Bollinger Bands to fit your trading strategy.
Custom Date/Chart Settings: Choose whether to calculate based on specific time ranges or visible portions of the chart.
Dynamic Signal Plotting: Once buy or sell conditions are met, the software will visually plot signals on your chart, giving clear entry and exit points.
Investment Tracking: Real-time tracking of stock quantities, investments, and profit ensures a clear view of your trading performance.
Backtesting: Use this software for backtesting your strategy by analyzing how buy and sell signals would have performed historically based on the chosen indicators.
Conclusion
The FS Scorpion Tail software is a robust and flexible trading tool, allowing traders to develop custom strategies based on multiple well-known technical indicators. Its visual aid, coupled with real-time investment tracking, makes it valuable for systematic traders looking to automate or refine their trading approach.
Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5
Description:
The Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5 is an indicator script designed to assist traders in determining optimal buy and sell moments based on momentum and trend analysis. This script operates using two different momentum levels—Momentum Length for Entry (5) and Momentum Length for Trend (10)—along with the HMA (Hull Moving Average) indicator for trend confirmation.
Key Features:
Momentum Entry: Calculates momentum using the difference between the current price and the price from previous periods to determine the strength and direction of price movements.
Trend Identification: Utilizes two momentum levels (5 and 10) to identify bullish and bearish trend conditions.
HMA for Trend Confirmation: The HMA indicator is used to provide trend confirmation signals. When HMA indicates bullish, a buy signal is displayed; conversely, a bearish HMA results in a sell signal.
Signal Display: Displays buy (BUY) and sell (SELL) signals on the chart when the conditions for market entry are met, providing clear visualization for traders.
Background Color: Offers a green background for uptrends and a red background for downtrends, allowing traders to easily identify the overall market condition.
ATR (Average True Range): Calculates and plots a smoothed ATR to help traders measure market volatility.
Settings:
Momentum Length for Entry: 5 (to determine entry signals)
Momentum Length for Trend: 10 (to determine trend conditions)
HMA Length: 300 (period length for HMA to confirm trends)
ATR Length: 14 (period length for ATR to measure volatility)
Benefits:
This script is designed to provide visual and data-driven guidance for better trading decision-making. By combining momentum and trend analysis, traders can enhance the accuracy of their signals and reduce the risk of errors when identifying entry and exit points in the market.
Note:
This script is intended for use on the M5 time frame but can be adjusted for other time frames as needed. It is always recommended to conduct thorough testing before applying trading strategies on a live account.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
CRT AMD indicatorThis indicator is based on the Power of three (Accumulation Manipulation Distribution) Cycle, by marking the candle that Sweep the low or high of the previous candle and then closed back inside the range of the previous candle, indicating a possibility of a Manipulation or Reversal.
Combining the indicator with HTF Array and LTF Setup Entry will significantly improve the accuracy.
Custom Time Frame BackgroundThis indicator allows you to highlight custom time frames on your chart with alternating background colors. It's particularly useful for visualizing specific intervals that are not standard on TradingView, such as 4-hour, 6-hour, or any other custom duration you choose. Features:
Customizable time frames: Set any combination of minutes, hours, and days
Fallback to daily/weekly coloring if no custom time frame is set
User-defined colors for alternating backgrounds
How to use:
Add the indicator to your chart
In the settings, input your desired custom time frame:
Set 'Custom Minutes' for intervals less than an hour
Use 'Custom Hours' for hourly intervals
Use 'Custom Days' for daily intervals
Adjust 'Color 1' and 'Color 2' to your preferred background colors
Examples:
For a 4-hour time frame: Set Custom Hours to 4
For a 6-hour time frame: Set Custom Hours to 6
For a 2-day time frame: Set Custom Days to 2
If all inputs are set to 0, the indicator will default to daily coloring for intraday charts and weekly coloring for higher timeframes. This indicator helps traders visually segment their charts into custom intervals, making it easier to identify patterns and trends over specific time periods.
Cumulative Volume Distribution Spread Intrabar with BandsUpdated Description:
This script, "Cumulative Volume Spread by Levels with Histogram", analyzes cumulative buying and selling pressure at various price levels of each bar, based on intra-bar data from a lower timeframe (like 1-second bars). It visualizes the results using lines, histograms, and color-filled areas.
Key Concepts:
Price Levels: The script splits each bar into four distinct levels:
High to max(open, close): The range from the highest price of the bar to the higher of the open or close prices.
Max(open, close) to midline: The range from the higher of the open or close to the midpoint of the bar.
Midline to min(open, close): The range from the midpoint to the lower of the open or close.
Min(open, close) to low: The range from the lower of the open or close to the lowest price of the bar.
Volume Pressures:
The script fetches volume data from a lower timeframe (default is 1-second bars) to capture intra-bar buying and selling pressure.
Buying Pressure: Calculated when the close is greater than the open.
Selling Pressure: Calculated when the close is less than the open.
Cumulative Pressures:
The script accumulates buy and sell volumes within each of the four price levels described above.
At the beginning of a new day, these cumulative values are reset.
Spread Calculation:
For each level, the script calculates the spread between cumulative buying and selling volumes (i.e., buy pressure minus sell pressure). A positive spread indicates more buying pressure, and a negative spread indicates more selling pressure.
The script calculates an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the spread changes for each section:
EMA Spread High to Max Open/Close
EMA Spread Max Open/Close to Midline
EMA Spread Midline to Min Open/Close
EMA Spread Min Open/Close to Low
Fill Between Levels:
The areas between the key price levels are filled based on whether the EMA of the spread is positive (green) or negative (red). This helps to visually indicate where buying or selling pressure is stronger.
Background Color:
The script determines an overall background color based on the relative strength of cumulative buying vs. selling pressure. If cumulative buying pressure is stronger across the levels, the background turns green; if selling pressure dominates, it turns red.
Harmony Signal Flow By ArunThis Pine Script strategy, titled "Harmony Signal Flow By Arun," uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to generate buy and sell signals based on custom thresholds. The script incorporates stop-loss and target management and restricts new trades until the previous position closes. Here's a detailed description:
Custom RSI Metric:
The strategy calculates a 5-period RSI based on the closing price, aiming for a more responsive measure of price momentum.
RSI thresholds are defined:
Lower threshold (30): Indicates oversold conditions, triggering a potential buy.
Upper threshold (70): Indicates overbought conditions, prompting a possible sell.
Entry Conditions:
Buy Signal: The strategy initiates a buy order when the RSI crosses above the lower threshold (30), indicating a shift from oversold conditions.
Sell Signal: A sell order is triggered when the RSI crosses below the upper threshold (70), suggesting an overbought reversal.
Only one order (buy or sell) can be active at a time, ensuring that a new trade begins only when there’s no existing position.
Stop-Loss and Target Management:
For each trade, stop-loss and target conditions are applied to manage risk and secure profits.
For Buy Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points below the entry price.
Target is set 150 points above the entry price.
For Sell Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points above the entry price.
Target is 150 points below the entry price.
The strategy closes the trade when either the stop-loss or target is met, marking the trade as "closed" and allowing a new trade entry.
Trade Sequencing:
A new trade (buy or sell) is only permitted after the previous position hits either its stop-loss or target, preventing overlapping trades and ensuring clear trade sequences.
This sequential approach enhances risk management by ensuring only one active position at any time.
End-of-Day Closure:
All open positions are closed automatically at 3:25 PM (Indian market time) to avoid overnight exposure, ensuring the strategy remains strictly intraday.
The flag for trade entry is reset at the end of each day, enabling fresh trades the next day.
Chart Indicators:
The script plots buy and sell signals directly on the chart with visible labels.
It also displays the custom RSI metric with horizontal lines for the lower and upper thresholds, providing visual cues for entry and exit points.
Summary
This strategy is a momentum-based intraday trading approach that uses the RSI for identifying potential reversals and manages trades through predefined stop-loss and target levels. By enforcing trade sequencing and closing positions at the end of the trading day, it prioritizes risk management and seeks to capitalize on short-term trends while avoiding overnight market risks.
Indicator SELL UBScript Name: UB Sell Indicator based on 10Y Volume and Trend
Description: This indicator uses the 10-year interest rate (10Y1!) volume and price data to generate sell signals on the UB contract. When the 10Y1! volume exceeds a fixed threshold and the 10Y1! price is rising, a sell signal is issued to help traders anticipate bearish moves on the UB.
Features:
10Y1! Volume: Identifies periods of high volume.
10Y1! Price: Detects bullish trends in the 10Y1!.
Sell Signals: Displays red arrows to indicate selling opportunities on UB when conditions are met.
Visual Indicators: Colors and arrows for easy signal interpretation.
Parameters:
Fixed Volume Threshold: 114 (modifiable as needed).
Moving Average Period: 10 (to calculate the 10Y1! price trend).
Usage:
Watch for red arrows to identify selling opportunities on UB.
Combine with other analyses and indicators for a complete trading strategy.
Author: Jm Smeers
Publication Date: 26/10/2024
Ultimate Machine Learning MACD (Deep Learning Edition)This script is a "Deep Learning MACD" indicator that combines traditional MACD calculations with advanced machine learning techniques, including recursive feedback, adaptive learning rates, Monte Carlo simulations, and volatility-based adjustments. Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
Inputs
Lookback: The length of historical data (1000 by default) used for learning and volatility measurement.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: Adjusts how much momentum and volatility contribute to the learning process (momentum weight: 1.2, volatility weight: 1.5).
MACD Lengths: Defines the range for MACD fast and slow lengths, starting at minimum of 1 and max of 1000.
Learning Rate: Defines how much the model learns from its predictions (very small learning rate by default).
Adaptive Learning: Enables dynamic learning rates based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: A feedback factor that determines how much weight past performance has in the current model.
Simulations: The number of Monte Carlo simulations used for probabilistic modeling.
Price Change: Calculated as the difference between the current and previous close.
Momentum: Measured using a lookback period (1000 bars by default).
Volatility: Standard deviation of closing prices.
ATR: Average true range over 14 periods for measuring market volatility.
Custom EMA Calculation
Implements an exponential moving average (EMA) formula from scratch using a recursive calculation with a smoothing factor.
Dynamic Learning Rate
Adjusts the learning rate based on market volatility. When volatility is high, the learning rate increases, and when volatility is low, it decreases. This makes the model more responsive during volatile markets and more stable during calm periods.
Error Calculation and Adjustment
Error Calculation: Measures the difference between the predicted value (via Monte Carlo simulations) and the true MACD value.
Adjust MACD Length: Uses the error to adjust the fast and slow MACD lengths dynamically, so the system can learn from market conditions.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation
Runs multiple simulations (200 by default) to generate probabilistic predictions. It uses random values weighted by momentum and volatility to simulate various market scenarios, enhancing
prediction accuracy.
MACD Calculation (Learning-Enhanced)
A custom MACD function that calculates:
Fast EMA and Slow EMA for MACD line.
Signal Line: An EMA of the MACD line.
Histogram: The difference between the MACD and signal lines.
Adaptive MACD Calculation
Adjusts the fast and slow MACD lengths based on the error from the Monte Carlo prediction.
Calculates the adaptive MACD, signal, and histogram using dynamically adjusted lengths.
Recursive Memory Feedback
Stores previous MACD values in an array (macdMemory) and averages them to create a feedback loop. This adds a "memory" to the system, allowing it to learn from past behaviors and refine future predictions.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement
Introduces a volatility reinforcement factor that influences the signal based on market conditions. It adds volatility awareness to the feedback system, making the system more reactive during high volatility periods.
Smoothed MACD
After all the adjustments, the MACD line is further smoothed based on the current market volatility, resulting in a final smoothed MACD.
Key Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs multiple simulations to enhance predictions based on randomness and market behavior.
Adaptive Learning: Dynamic adjustments of learning rates and MACD lengths based on market conditions.
Recursive Feedback: Uses past data as feedback to refine the system’s predictions over time.
Volatility Awareness: Integrates market volatility into the system, making the MACD more responsive to market fluctuations.
This combination of traditional MACD with machine learning creates an adaptive indicator capable of learning from past behaviors and adjusting its sensitivity based on changing market conditions.
Ultimate Machine Learning RSI (Deep Learning Edition)This script represents an advanced implementation of a Machine Learning-based Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator in Pine Script, incorporating several sophisticated techniques to create a more adaptive, intelligent, and responsive RSI.
Key Components and Features:
Lookback Period: The period over which the indicator "learns" from past data, set to 1000 bars by default.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: These factors control how much the momentum and volatility of the market influence the learning and signal generation.
RSI Length Range: The minimum and maximum values for the RSI length, allowing the algorithm to adjust the RSI length dynamically.
Learning Rate: Controls how quickly the system adapts to new data. An adaptive learning rate can change based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: Influences how much the system "remembers" previous performance when making adjustments.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Used for probabilistic modeling to create a more robust signal.
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Price Change: Tracks the difference between the current close and the previous close.
Momentum: A measure of the rate of change in the price over the lookback period.
Volatility: Calculated using the standard deviation of the close prices.
ATR (Average True Range): Tracks the volatility of the market over a short period to influence decisions.
Monte Carlo Simulation:
Probabilistic Signal: This uses multiple random simulations (Monte Carlo) to generate potential future signals. These simulations are weighted by the momentum and volatility of the market. A cluster factor further enhances the simulation based on volatility regimes.
Z-Score for Extreme Conditions:
Z-Score: Measures how extreme current price movements are compared to the historical average, providing context for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Dynamic Learning Rate:
The learning rate adjusts based on the volatility of the market, becoming more responsive in high-volatility periods and slower in low-volatility markets. This prevents the system from overreacting to noise but ensures responsiveness to significant shifts.
Recursive Learning and Feedback:
Error Calculation: The system calculates the difference between the true RSI and the predicted RSI, creating an error that is fed back into the system to adjust the RSI length and other parameters dynamically.
RSI Length Adjustment: Based on the error, the RSI length is adjusted, ensuring that the system evolves over time to better reflect market conditions.
Adaptive Smoothing:
In periods of high volatility, the indicator applies a Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) for faster adaptation, while in quieter markets, it uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for smoother adjustments.
Recursive Memory Feedback:
The system maintains a memory of past RSI values, which helps refine the output further. The memory factor influences how much weight is given to past performance versus the current adaptive signal.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement: Higher market volatility increases the impact of this memory feedback, making the model more reactive in volatile conditions.
Multi-Factor Dynamic Thresholds:
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold: Instead of fixed RSI levels (70/30), the thresholds adjust dynamically based on the Z-Score, making the system more sensitive to extreme market conditions.
Combined Multi-Factor Signal:
The final output signal is the result of combining the true RSI, adaptive RSI, and the probabilistic signal generated from the Monte Carlo simulations. This creates a robust, multi-factor signal that incorporates various market conditions and machine learning techniques.
Visual Representation:
The final combined signal is plotted in blue on the chart, along with reference lines at 55 (overbought), 10 (oversold), and 35 (neutral).
Alerts are set up to trigger when the combined signal crosses above the dynamic overbought level or below the dynamic oversold level.
Conclusion:
This "Ultimate Machine Learning RSI" script leverages multiple machine learning techniques—probabilistic modeling, adaptive learning, recursive feedback, and dynamic thresholds—to create an advanced, highly responsive RSI indicator. The result is an RSI that continuously learns from market conditions, adjusts itself in real-time, and provides a more nuanced and robust signal compared to traditional fixed-length RSI. This indicator pushes the boundaries of what's possible with Pine Script and introduces cutting-edge techniques for technical analysis.
Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial IndicatorThe Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial Indicator is an advanced Pine Script designed to combine various complex theories from physics, mathematics, and statistical mechanics to create a holistic, multi-dimensional approach to market analysis. Let’s break down the core concepts and how they’re applied in this script:
1. Fractal Geometry: Recursive Pattern Recognition
Purpose: This part of the script uses fractal geometry to recursively analyze price pivots (highs and lows) for detecting patterns.
Fractals: The fractalHigh and fractalLow signals represent key turning points in the market. The script goes deeper by recursively analyzing layers of pivot sequences, adding "depth" to the recognition of patterns.
Recursive Depth: It breaks down each detected pivot into smaller components, giving more nuance to market pattern recognition. This provides a broader context for how prices have behaved historically at various levels of recursion.
2. Quantum Mechanics: Adaptive Probabilistic Monte Carlo with Correlation
Purpose: This component integrates randomness (from Monte Carlo simulations) with current market behavior using correlation.
Randomness Weighted by Correlation: By generating random probabilities and weighting them based on how well the market aligns with recent trends, it creates a probabilistic signal. The random values are scaled by a correlation factor (close prices and their moving average), adding adaptive elements where randomness is adjusted by current market conditions.
3. Thermodynamics: Adaptive Efficiency Ratio (Entropy-Like Decay)
Purpose: This section uses principles from thermodynamics, where efficiency in price movement is dynamically adjusted by recent volatility and changes.
Efficiency Ratio: It calculates how efficiently the market is moving over a certain period. The "entropy decay factor" reflects how stable the market is. Higher entropy (chaos) results in lower efficiency, while stable periods maintain higher efficiency.
4. Chaos Theory: Lorenz-Driven Market Oscillation
Purpose: Instead of using a basic Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this section applies chaos theory (using a Lorenz attractor analogy) to describe complex market oscillations.
Lorenz Attractor: This models market behavior with a chaotic system that depends on the historical price changes at different time intervals. The attractor value quantifies the level of "chaos" or unpredictability in the market.
5. String Theory: Multi-Layered Dimensional Analysis of RSI and MACD
Purpose: Combines traditional indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) with momentum for multi-dimensional analysis.
Interaction of Layers: Each layer (RSI, MACD, and momentum) is treated as part of a multi-dimensional structure, where they influence one another. The final signal is a blended outcome of these key metrics, weighted and averaged for complexity.
6. Fluid Dynamics: Adaptive OBV (Pressure-Based)
Purpose: This section uses fluid dynamics to understand how price movement and volume create pressure over time, similar to how fluids behave under different forces.
Adaptive OBV: Traditional OBV (On-Balance Volume) is adapted by using statistical smoothing to measure the "pressure" exerted by volume over time. The result is a signal that shows where there might be building momentum or pressure in the market based on volume dynamics.
7. Recursive Synthesis of Signals
Purpose: After calculating all the individual signals (fractal, quantum, thermodynamic, chaos, string, and fluid), the script synthesizes them into one cohesive signal.
Recursive Feedback Loop: Each signal is recursively influenced by others, forming a feedback loop that allows the indicator to continuously learn from new data and self-adjust.
8. Signal Smoothing and Final Output
Purpose: To avoid noise in the output, the final combined signal is smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which helps stabilize the output for easier interpretation.
9. Dynamic Color Coding Based on Signal Extremes
Purpose: Visual clarity is enhanced by using color to highlight different levels of signal strength.
Color Coding: The script dynamically adjusts colors (green, orange, red) based on the strength of the final signal relative to its percentile ranking in historical data, making it easier to spot bullish, neutral, or bearish signals.
The "Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial Indicator" integrates a diverse array of scientific principles — fractal geometry, quantum mechanics, thermodynamics, chaos theory, string theory, and fluid dynamics — to provide a comprehensive market analysis tool. By combining probabilistic simulations, multi-dimensional technical indicators, and recursive feedback loops, this indicator adapts dynamically to evolving market conditions, giving traders a holistic view of market behavior across various dimensions. The result is an adaptive and flexible tool that responds to both short-term and long-term market changes
INDIA/NIFTY DOWN DAY MARKERINDIA/NIFTY DOWN DAY MARKER is indicator designed for Indian investors that provides visual cues on whole universe of stock charts marking volatile days based on the performance of selected Indian market indices. This indicator helps traders and investors assess the relative strength of individual stocks during extreme market movements
Key Features:
1) Index Selection: Users can choose from four major Indian indices: Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100, Nifty Smallcap 100, and Nifty MIDSMALLCAP 400. This flexibility allows for tailored analysis based on market focus.
2) Customizable Thresholds: Users can set their desired percentage thresholds for both rise and fall days, with default values of 2%. This customization enables users to adapt the indicator to their trading strategies.
3) Visual Indicators:
Rise Days: When the selected index rises by the specified percentage, the chart background turns green, indicating a bullish trend.
Fall Days: Conversely, if the index falls by the defined percentage, the background changes to red, signaling a bearish trend.
Advanced Physics Financial Indicator Each component represents a scientific theory and is applied to the price data in a way that reflects key principles from that theory.
Detailed Explanation
1. Fractal Geometry - High/Low Signal
Concept: Fractal geometry studies self-similar patterns that repeat at different scales. In markets, fractals can be used to detect recurring patterns or turning points.
Implementation: The script detects pivot highs and lows using ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow, representing local turning points in price. The fractalSignal is set to 1 for a pivot high, -1 for a pivot low, and 0 if there is no signal. This logic reflects the cyclical, self-similar nature of price movements.
Practical Use: This signal is useful for identifying local tops and bottoms, allowing traders to spot potential reversals or consolidation points where fractal patterns emerge.
2. Quantum Mechanics - Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation
Concept: Quantum mechanics introduces uncertainty and probability into systems, much like how future price movements are inherently uncertain. Monte Carlo simulations are used to model a range of possible outcomes based on random inputs.
Implementation: In this script, we simulate 100 random outcomes by generating a random number between -1 and 1 for each iteration. These random values are stored in an array, and the average of these values is calculated to represent the Quantum Signal.
Practical Use: This probabilistic signal provides a sense of randomness and uncertainty in the market, reflecting the possibility of price movement in either direction. It simulates the market’s chaotic nature by considering multiple possible outcomes and their average.
3. Thermodynamics - Efficiency Ratio Signal
Concept: Thermodynamics deals with energy efficiency and entropy in systems. The efficiency ratio in financial terms can be used to measure how efficiently the price is moving relative to volatility.
Implementation: The Efficiency Ratio is calculated as the absolute price change over n periods divided by the sum of absolute changes for each period within n. This ratio shows how much of the price movement is directional versus random, mimicking the concept of efficiency in thermodynamic systems.
Practical Use: A high efficiency ratio suggests that the market is trending smoothly (high efficiency), while a low ratio indicates choppy, non-directional movement (low efficiency, or high entropy).
4. Chaos Theory - ATR Signal
Concept: Chaos theory studies how complex systems are highly sensitive to initial conditions, leading to unpredictable behavior. In markets, chaotic price movements can often be captured through volatility indicators.
Implementation: The script uses a very long ATR period (1000) to reflect slow-moving chaos over time. The Chaos Signal is computed by measuring the deviation of the current price from its long-term average (SMA), normalized by ATR. This captures price deviations over time, hinting at chaotic market behavior.
Practical Use: The signal measures how far the price deviates from its long-term average, which can signal the degree of chaos or extreme behavior in the market. High deviations indicate chaotic or volatile conditions, while low deviations suggest stability.
5. Network Theory - Correlation with BTC
Concept: Network theory studies how different components within a system are interconnected. In markets, assets are often correlated, meaning that price movements in one asset can influence or be influenced by another.
Implementation: This indicator calculates the correlation between the asset’s price and the price of Bitcoin (BTC) over 30 periods. The Network Signal shows how connected the asset is to BTC, reflecting broader market dynamics.
Practical Use: In a highly correlated market, BTC can act as a leading indicator for other assets. A strong correlation with BTC might suggest that the asset is likely to move in line with Bitcoin, while a weak or negative correlation might indicate that the asset is moving independently.
6. String Theory - RSI & MACD Interaction
Concept: String theory attempts to unify the fundamental forces of nature into a single framework. In trading, we can view the RSI and MACD as interacting forces that provide insights into momentum and trend.
Implementation: The script calculates the RSI and MACD and combines them into a single signal. The formula for String Signal is (RSI - 50) / 100 + (MACD Line - Signal Line) / 100, normalizing both indicators to a scale where their contributions are additive. The RSI represents momentum, and MACD shows trend direction and strength.
Practical Use: This signal helps in detecting moments where momentum (RSI) and trend strength (MACD) align, giving a clearer picture of the asset's direction and overbought/oversold conditions. It unifies these two indicators to create a more holistic view of market behavior.
7. Fluid Dynamics - On-Balance Volume (OBV) Signal
Concept: Fluid dynamics studies how fluids move and flow. In markets, volume can be seen as a "flow" that drives price movement, much like how fluid dynamics describe the flow of liquids.
Implementation: The script uses the OBV (On-Balance Volume) indicator to track the cumulative flow of volume based on price changes. The signal is further normalized by its moving average to smooth out fluctuations and make it more reflective of price pressure over time.
Practical Use: The Fluid Signal shows how the flow of volume is driving price action. If the OBV rises significantly, it suggests that there is strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV indicates selling pressure. It’s analogous to how pressure builds in a fluid system.
8. Final Signal - Combining All Physics-Based Indicators
Implementation: Each of the seven physics-inspired signals is combined into a single Final Signal by averaging their values. This approach blends different market insights from various scientific domains, creating a comprehensive view of the market’s condition.
Practical Use: The final signal gives you a holistic, multi-dimensional view of the market by merging different perspectives (fractal behavior, quantum probability, efficiency, chaos, correlation, momentum/trend, and volume flow). This approach helps traders understand the market's dynamics from multiple angles, offering deeper insights than any single indicator.
9. Color Coding Based on Signal Extremes
Concept: The color of the final signal plot dynamically reflects whether the market is in an extreme state.
Implementation: The signal color is determined using percentiles. If the Final Signal is in the top 55th percentile of its range, the signal is green (bullish). If it is between the 45th and 55th percentiles, it is orange (neutral). If it falls below the 45th percentile, it is red (bearish).
Practical Use: This visual representation helps traders quickly identify the strength of the signal. Bullish conditions (green), neutral conditions (orange), and bearish conditions (red) are clearly distinguished, simplifying decision-making.
Night Low Liquidity Congestions with 4 Trading SessionsThis indicator is designed to help traders visualize and analyze key market periods of low liquidity during the night and identify high-activity zones in the morning. It also includes customizable time sessions for major global markets, including the European and American sessions, as well as the London Close session.
T he main functionalities include:
- Night Low Liquidity Phase: This highlights periods with typically low market activity during the night (default: 20:01–5:59). It also displays the total range (in pips) during this phase, allowing traders to identify potential price consolidations.
- Morning Hot Zone: This focuses on high-activity periods in the early morning (default: 6:00–7:59), providing visual cues without altering bar colors.
- European Trading Session: Displays the European market’s open hours (default: 8:00–12:00), shaded in blue, to mark increased volatility typically seen during this period.
- American Trading Session: Marks the active hours of the U.S. market (default: 12:01–16:59), where market activity tends to peak.
- London Close Area: Highlights the closing hours of the London market (default: 17:00–20:00), allowing traders to track potential liquidity shifts.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Time Sessions:
- The indicator allows for full customization of the start and end times for each market session, making it adaptable to different instruments and trading style.
- Traders can choose their preferred color and opacity for each time zone to suit their charting preferences.
2. Night Low Liquidity Pip Range Calculation:
- Automatically calculates and displays the pip range for the Night Low Liquidity phase.
- The range is colored red if it exceeds the specified threshold and green if it remains below it.
3. Alarm System:
- Customizable alerts for H1, M15, and M5 timeframes.
- Traders can set alerts to trigger just before a bar closes during specific sessions (European, American, or London Close) and on selected days of the week (Monday–Friday).
- The alarm system allows for full customization of active hours and days, giving traders full control over their notifications.
4. Clear Visual Cues:
- The indicator uses transparent shading to differentiate market sessions, making it easy to spot different phases of the trading day.
- Each session is visually distinct and can be toggled on or off based on trader preferences.
Ideal For:
- Traders who focus on intraday strategies and want to understand how market sessions affect liquidity and volatility.
- Those looking to trade during specific time windows like the Night Low Liquidity or Morning Hot Zones.
- Traders who need to automate their alerts based on specific market hours and close events for major timeframes.
Parabolic (Brachistochrone) Curve IndicatorOverview of the Script
The script is designed to plot an approximation of the Brachistochrone curve between two points on a TradingView chart. The Brachistochrone curve represents the path of fastest descent under gravity between two points not aligned vertically. In physics, this curve is a segment of a cycloid.
Understanding the Brachistochrone Curve
Definition: The Brachistochrone curve is the curve along which a particle will descend from one point to another in the least time under gravity, without friction.
Mathematical Representation: The solution to the Brachistochrone problem is a cycloid, which is the curve traced by a point on the rim of a circular wheel as it rolls along a straight line.
Relevance to Trading: While the Brachistochrone curve originates from physics, plotting it on a price-time chart can offer a unique visual representation of the fastest possible movement between two price levels.
How the Script Works
Inputs
Start and End Bars:
startBar: The number of bars back from the current bar to define the starting point.
endBar: The number of bars back from the current bar to define the ending point.
Curve Customization:
numPoints: The number of points used to plot the curve (affects smoothness).
curveColor: The color of the curve.
curveWidth: The width of the curve lines.
Labels:
showTimeLabels: A toggle to display labels along the curve for reference.
Calculations
Determine Start and End Points:
The script calculates the coordinates (x_start, y_start, x_end, y_end) of the start and end points based on the specified bar offsets.
x_start and x_end correspond to bar indices (time).
y_start and y_end correspond to price levels.
Calculate Differences and Parameters:
Horizontal and Vertical Differences:
delta_x = x_end - x_start
delta_y = y_end - y_start
Ensure Descending Motion:
If the end point is higher than the start point (i.e., delta_y is positive), the script swaps the start and end points to ensure the curve represents a descent.
Cycloid Parameters:
Angle (theta): Calculated using theta = atan(delta_y / delta_x), representing the inclination of the curve.
Radius (R): The radius of the generating circle for the cycloid, calculated with R = delta_x / (π * cos(theta)).
Generate Points Along the Cycloid:
Parameter t: Varies from 0 to t_end, where t_end is set to π to represent half a cycloid (a common segment for the Brachistochrone).
Cycloid Equations:
Horizontal Component (x_t): x_t = R * (t - sin(t))
Vertical Component (y_t): y_t = R * (1 - cos(t))
Adjust Coordinates:
The script adjusts the cycloid coordinates to align with the chart's axes:
x_plot = x_start + x_t * cos(theta)
y_plot = y_start + y_t * sin(theta)
The x_plot values are converted to integer bar indices to match the chart's x-axis.
Plotting the Curve
Drawing Lines:
The script connects consecutive points using lines to form the curve.
It uses the line.new function, specifying the start and end coordinates of each line segment.
Adding Labels (Optional):
If showTimeLabels is enabled, the script places labels at intervals along the curve to indicate progress or parameter values.
Adjustments for Accurate Visualization
Handling Ascending Paths:
To adhere to the physical definition of the Brachistochrone curve, the script ensures that the ending point is below the starting point in terms of price.
If not, it swaps the points to represent a descending path.
Parameter Constraints:
The script ensures that calculations involving trigonometric functions remain within valid ranges to prevent mathematical errors (e.g., division by zero or invalid arguments for acos).
Scaling Considerations:
Adjustments are made to account for the differences in scaling between time (x-axis) and price (y-axis) on the chart.
The script maps spatial coordinates to the chart's axes appropriately.
Limitations and Considerations
Theoretical Nature:
The Brachistochrone curve is a theoretical concept from physics and doesn't necessarily predict actual price movements in financial markets.
Chart Scaling:
The visual appearance of the curve may be affected by the chart's scaling settings. Users may need to adjust the chart's zoom or scale to view the curve properly.
Data Range:
The start and end bars must be within the range of available data on the chart. If the specified bars are out of range, the script may not plot the curve.
Computational Limits:
TradingView imposes limits on the number of drawing objects (lines, labels) that can be displayed. The script accounts for this, but extremely high numPoints values may lead to performance issues.
Usage Instructions
Adding the Indicator:
The script is added to the chart as a custom indicator in TradingView's Pine Script Editor.
Configuring Inputs:
Start and End Bars: Users specify the bar offsets for the start and end points. It's important that the end point is below the start point in price to represent a descent.
Curve Customization: Users can adjust the number of points for smoothness and customize the curve's color and width.
Labels: Users can choose to display or hide labels along the curve.
Observing the Curve:
After configuring the inputs, the curve will be plotted between the two specified points.
Users can observe the curve to understand the theoretical fastest descent between the two price levels.
Potential Applications
Educational Tool:
The script serves as a visual aid to understand the properties of the Brachistochrone curve and cycloid.
Analytical Insights:
While not predictive, the curve might inspire new ways of thinking about price movements, momentum, or acceleration in markets.
Visualization:
It provides a unique way to visualize the relationship between time and price over a specific interval.
Conclusion
The script effectively adapts the mathematical concept of the Brachistochrone curve to a financial chart by carefully mapping spatial coordinates to time and price axes. By accounting for the unique characteristics of TradingView charts and implementing necessary mathematical adjustments, the script plots the curve between two user-defined points, offering a novel and educational visualization.
Weierstrass Function (Fractal Cycles)THE WEIERSTRASS FUNCTION
f(x) = ∑(n=0)^∞ a^n * cos(b^n * π * x)
The Weierstrass Function is the sum of an infinite series of cosine functions, each with increasing frequency and decreasing amplitude. This creates powerful multi-scale oscillations within the range ⬍(-2;+2), resembling a system of self-repetitive patterns. You can zoom into any part of the output and observe similar proportions, mimicking the hidden order behind the irregularity and unpredictability of financial markets.
IT DOESN’T RELY ON ANY MARKET DATA, AS THE OUTPUT IS BASED PURELY ON A MATHEMATICAL FORMULA!
This script does not provide direct buy or sell signals and should be used as a tool for analyzing the market behavior through fractal geometry. The function is often used to model complex, chaotic systems, including natural phenomena and financial markets.
APPLICATIONS:
Timing Aspect: Identifies the phases of market cycles, helping to keep awareness of frequency of turning points
Price-Modeling features: The Amplitude, frequency, and scaling settings allow the indicator to simulate the trends and oscillations. Its nowhere-differentiable nature aligns with the market's inherent uncertainty. The fractured oscillations resemble sharp jumps, noise, and dips found in volatile markets.
SETTINGS
Amplitude Factor (a): Controls the size of each wave. A higher value makes the waves larger.
Frequency Factor (b): Determines how fast the waves oscillate. A higher value creates more frequent waves.
Ability to Invert the output: Just like any cosine function it starts its journey with a decline, which is not distinctive to the behavior of most assets. The default setting is in "inverted mode".
Scale Factor: Adjusts the speed at which the oscillations grow over time.
Number of Terms (n_terms): Increases the number of waves. More terms add complexity to the pattern.
Advanced Multi-Seasonality StrategyThe Multi-Seasonality Strategy is a trading system based on seasonal market patterns. Seasonality refers to recurring market trends driven by predictable calendar-based events. These patterns emerge due to economic cycles, corporate activities (e.g., earnings reports), and investor behavior around specific times of the year. Studies have shown that such effects can influence asset prices over defined periods, leading to opportunities for traders who exploit these patterns (Hirshleifer, 2001; Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
How the Strategy Works:
The strategy allows the user to define four distinct periods within a calendar year. For each period, the trader selects:
Entry Date (Month and Day): The date to enter the trade.
Holding Period: The number of trading days to remain in the trade after the entry.
Trade Direction: Whether to take a long or short position during that period.
The system is designed with flexibility, enabling the user to activate or deactivate each of the four periods. The idea is to take advantage of seasonal patterns, such as buying during historically strong periods and selling during weaker ones. A well-known example is the "Sell in May and Go Away" phenomenon, which suggests that stock returns are higher from November to April and weaker from May to October (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Seasonality in Financial Markets:
Seasonal effects have been documented across different asset classes and markets:
Equities: Stock markets tend to exhibit higher returns during certain months, such as the "January effect," where prices rise after year-end tax-loss selling (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987).
Commodities: Agricultural commodities often follow seasonal planting and harvesting cycles, which impact supply and demand patterns (Fama & French, 1987).
Forex: Currency pairs may show strength or weakness during specific quarters based on macroeconomic factors, such as fiscal year-end flows or central bank policy decisions.
Scientific Basis:
Research shows that market anomalies like seasonality are linked to behavioral biases and institutional practices. For example, investors may respond to tax incentives at the end of the year, and companies may engage in window dressing (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987). Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as monetary policy shifts and holiday trading volumes, can also contribute to predictable seasonal trends (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Risks of Seasonal Trading:
While the strategy seeks to exploit predictable patterns, there are inherent risks:
Market Changes: Seasonal effects observed in the past may weaken or disappear as market conditions evolve. Increased algorithmic trading, globalization, and policy changes can reduce the reliability of historical patterns (Lo, 2004).
Overfitting: One of the risks in seasonal trading is overfitting the strategy to historical data. A pattern that worked in the past may not necessarily work in the future, especially if it was based on random chance or external factors that no longer apply (Sullivan, Timmermann, & White, 1999).
Liquidity and Volatility: Trading during specific periods may expose the trader to low liquidity, especially around holidays or earnings seasons, leading to slippage and larger-than-expected price swings.
Economic and Geopolitical Shocks: External events such as pandemics, wars, or political instability can disrupt seasonal patterns, leading to unexpected market behavior.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Seasonality Strategy capitalizes on the predictable nature of certain calendar-based patterns in financial markets. By entering and exiting trades based on well-established seasonal effects, traders can potentially capture short-term profits. However, caution is necessary, as market dynamics can change, and seasonal patterns are not guaranteed to persist. Rigorous backtesting, combined with risk management practices, is essential to successfully implementing this strategy.
References:
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween Indicator, "Sell in May and Go Away": Another Puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1987). Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage. Journal of Business, 60(1), 55-73.
Haugen, R. A., & Lakonishok, J. (1987). The Incredible January Effect: The Stock Market's Unsolved Mystery. Dow Jones-Irwin.
Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15-29.
Sullivan, R., Timmermann, A., & White, H. (1999). Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 1647-1691.
This strategy harnesses the power of seasonality but requires careful consideration of the risks and potential changes in market behavior over time.
RSI from Rolling VWAP [CHE]Introducing the RSI from Rolling VWAP Indicator
Elevate your trading strategy with the RSI from Rolling VWAP —a cutting-edge indicator designed to provide unparalleled insights and enhance your decision-making on TradingView. This advanced tool seamlessly integrates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a Rolling Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to deliver precise and actionable trading signals.
Why Choose RSI from Rolling VWAP ?
- Clear Trend Detection: Our enhanced algorithms ensure accurate identification of bullish and bearish trends, allowing you to capitalize on market movements with confidence.
- Customizable Time Settings: Tailor the time window in days, hours, and minutes to align perfectly with your unique trading strategy and market conditions.
- Flexible Moving Averages: Select from a variety of moving average types—including SMA, EMA, WMA, and more—to smooth the RSI, providing clearer trend analysis and reducing market noise.
- Threshold Alerts: Define upper and lower RSI thresholds to effortlessly spot overbought or oversold conditions, enabling timely and informed trading decisions.
- Visual Enhancements: Enjoy a visually intuitive interface with color-coded RSI lines, moving averages, and background fills that make interpreting market data straightforward and efficient.
- Automatic Signal Labels: Receive immediate bullish and bearish labels directly on your chart, signaling potential trading opportunities without the need for constant monitoring.
Key Features
- Inspired by Proven Tools: Building upon the robust foundation of TradingView's Rolling VWAP, our indicator offers enhanced functionality and greater precision.
- Volume-Weighted Insights: By incorporating volume into the VWAP calculation, gain a deeper understanding of price movements and market strength.
- User-Friendly Configuration: Easily adjust settings to match your trading preferences, whether you're a novice trader or an experienced professional.
- Hypothesis-Driven Analysis: Utilize hypothetical results to backtest strategies, understanding that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.
How It Works
1. Data Integration: Utilizes the `hlc3` (average of high, low, and close) as the default data source, with customization options available to suit your trading needs.
2. Dynamic Time Window: Automatically calculates the optimal time window based on an auto timeframe or allows for fixed time periods, ensuring flexibility and adaptability.
3. Rolling VWAP Calculation: Accurately computes the Rolling VWAP by balancing price and volume over the specified time window, providing a reliable benchmark for price action.
4. RSI Analysis: Measures momentum through RSI based on Rolling VWAP changes, smoothed with your chosen moving average for enhanced trend clarity.
5. Actionable Signals: Detects and labels bullish and bearish conditions when RSI crosses predefined thresholds, offering clear indicators for potential market entries and exits.
Seamless Integration with Your TradingView Experience
Adding the RSI from Rolling VWAP to your TradingView charts is straightforward:
1. Add to Chart: Simply copy the Pine Script code into TradingView's Pine Editor and apply it to your desired chart.
2. Customize Settings: Adjust the Source Settings, Time Settings, RSI Settings, MA Settings, and Color Settings to align with your trading strategy.
3. Monitor Signals: Watch for RSI crossings above or below your set thresholds, accompanied by clear labels indicating bullish or bearish trends.
4. Optimize Your Trades: Leverage the visual and analytical strengths of the indicator to make informed buy or sell decisions, maximizing your trading potential.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Get Started Today
Transform your trading approach with the RSI from Rolling VWAP indicator. Experience the synergy of momentum and volume-based analysis, and unlock the potential for more accurate and profitable trades.
Download now and take the first step towards a more informed and strategic trading journey!
For further inquiries or support, feel free to contact
Best regards
Chervolino
Inspired by the acclaimed Rolling VWAP by TradingView
(MA-EWMA) with ChannelsHamming Windowed Volume-Weighted Bidirectional Momentum-Adaptive Exponential Weighted Moving Average
This script is an advanced financial indicator that calculates a Hamming Windowed Volume-Weighted Bidirectional Momentum-Adaptive Exponential Weighted Moving Average (MA-EWMA). It adapts dynamically to market conditions, adjusting key parameters like lookback period, momentum length, and volatility sensitivity based on price volatility.
Key Components:
Dynamic Adjustments: The indicator adjusts its lookback and momentum length using the ATR (Average True Range), making it more responsive to volatile markets.
Volume Weighting: It incorporates volume data, weighting the moving average based on the volume activity, adding further sensitivity to price movement.
Bidirectional Momentum: It calculates upward and downward momentum separately, using these values to determine the directional weighting of the moving average.
Hamming Window: This technique smooths the price data by applying a Hamming window, which helps to reduce noise in the data and enhances the accuracy of the moving average.
Channels: Instead of plotting a single line, the script creates dynamic channels, providing more context for support and resistance levels based on the market's behavior.
The result is a highly adaptive and sophisticated moving average indicator that responds dynamically to both price momentum and volume trends.
VIDYA with Dynamic Length Based on ICPThis script is a Pine Script-based indicator that combines two key concepts: the Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP) from Dr. John Ehlers and the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA). Here's an overview of how the script works:
Components:
Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP):
This part of the indicator uses Dr. John Ehlers' approach to detect the market cycle length dynamically. It calculates the phase of price movement by computing the in-phase and quadrature components of the price detrended over a specific period.
The ICP helps adjust the smoothing length dynamically, giving a real-time estimate of the dominant cycle in price action. The script uses a phase calculation, adjusts it for cycle dynamics, and smoothes it for more reliable readings.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average):
VIDYA is a moving average that dynamically adjusts its smoothing length based on the market conditions, in this case, using the RSI (Relative Strength Index) as a weight.
The length of VIDYA is determined by the dynamically calculated ICP, allowing it to adapt to changing market cycles.
This indicator performs several recursive layers of VIDYA smoothing (applying VIDYA multiple times) to provide a more refined result.
Key Features:
Dynamic Length: The length for the VIDYA calculation is derived from the smoothed ICP value, meaning that the smoothing adapts to the detected cycle length in real-time, making the indicator more responsive to market conditions.
Multiple VIDYA Layers: The script applies multiple layers of VIDYA smoothing (up to 5 iterations), further refining the output to smooth out market noise while maintaining responsiveness.
Plotting: The final smoothed VIDYA value and the smoothed ICP length are plotted. Additionally, overbought (70) and oversold (30) horizontal lines are provided for visual reference.
Application:
This indicator helps identify trends, smooths out price data, and adapts dynamically to market cycles. It's useful for detecting shifts in momentum and trends, and traders can use it to identify overbought or oversold conditions based on dynamically calculated thresholds.
Optimized WaveletsThe script, High-Resolution Volume-Price Pressure Indicator with Wavelets, utilizes wavelet transforms and high-resolution data to analyze market pressure based on volume and price dynamics. The approach combines volume data from smaller timeframes (1 second) with non-linear transformation techniques to generate a refined view of market conditions. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how it works:
Key Components:
Wavelet Transform:
A wavelet function is applied to the price and volume data to capture patterns over a set time period. This technique helps identify underlying structures in the data that might be missed with traditional moving averages.
High-Resolution Data:
The indicator fetches 1-second high-resolution data for price movements and volume. This allows the strategy to capture granular price and volume changes, crucial for short-term trading decisions.
Normalized Difference:
The script calculates the normalized difference in price and volume data. By comparing changes over the selected length, it standardizes these movements to help detect sudden shifts in market pressure.
Sigmoid Transformation:
After combining the price and volume wavelet data, a sigmoid function is applied to smooth out the resulting values. This non-linear transformation helps highlight significant moves while filtering out minor fluctuations.
Volume-Price Pressure:
The up and down volume differences, together with price movements, are combined to create a "Volume-Price Pressure Score." The final indicator reflects the pressure exerted on the market by both buyers and sellers.
Indicator Plot:
The final transformed score is plotted, showing how price and volume dynamics, combined through wavelet transformation, interact. The indicator can be used to identify potential market turning points or pressure buildups based on volume and price movement patterns.
This approach is well-suited for traders looking for advanced signal detection based on high-frequency data and can provide insight into areas where typical indicators may lag or overlook short-term volatility.
Sweep + MSS# Sweep + MSS Indicator
This indicator identifies market sweeps and Market Structure Shifts (MSS) to help traders recognize potential trend changes and market manipulations.
How it works:
1. Sweep Detection:
- Identifies when price briefly moves beyond a recent high/low (pivot point) and then reverses.
- Bullish sweep: Price drops below a recent low, then closes above it.
- Bearish sweep: Price rises above a recent high, then closes below it.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
- Occurs when price action invalidates a previous sweep level.
- Bullish MSS: Price closes above a bearish sweep level.
- Bearish MSS: Price closes below a bullish sweep level.
Key Features:
- Customizable pivot lookback length for sweep detection
- Minimum bar requirement after a sweep before MSS can trigger
- One MSS per sweep level to avoid multiple signals
- Visual representation with lines connecting sweep points to MSS triggers
- Emoji labels for easy identification (🐂-MSS for bullish, 🐻-MSS for bearish)
Logic Behind MSS:
The MSS aims to identify potential trend changes by recognizing when the market invalidates a previous sweep level. This often indicates a shift in market structure, suggesting that the previous trend may be weakening or reversing.
- A bullish MSS occurs when the price closes above a bearish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
- A bearish MSS occurs when the price closes below a bullish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
By requiring a minimum number of bars between the sweep and the MSS, the indicator helps filter out noise and focuses on more significant structural changes in the market.
This indicator can be a valuable tool for traders looking to identify potential trend changes and entry/exit points based on market structure analysis.
