Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday ClockThe **Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday Clock** is a composite indicator that evaluates multiple market conditions to determine financial risk levels. It combines four key metrics: market volatility (via VIX), yield curve spread, stock market momentum, and credit risk (via high-yield spread). Each metric contributes to a weighted "risk score," scaled between 0 and 100, which helps gauge the probability of a financial crisis. Here's a breakdown of how it works:
### 1. **Market Volatility (VIX)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Uses the VIX index, which represents expected market volatility.
- Applies two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to smooth out the data—one fast and one slow.
- Triggers a signal if the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and VIX exceeds a defined threshold (default is 30).
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 35% of the total risk score when active.
### 2. **Yield Curve Spread**
- **How it's measured:**
- Takes the difference between the yields of 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds (inversion indicates recession risk).
- If the spread drops below a certain threshold (default is 0.2), it signals a potential recession.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 25% of the risk score.
### 3. **Stock Market Momentum**
- **How it's measured:**
- Analyzes the S&P 500 (SPY) using a 20-day EMA for price momentum.
- Checks for a cross under the 20-day EMA and if the 5-day rate of change (ROC) is less than -2.
- This combination signals bearish market momentum.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the risk score.
### 4. **Credit Risk (High Yield Spread)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Assesses high-yield corporate bond spreads using EMAs, similar to the VIX logic.
- A crossover of the fast EMA above the slow EMA combined with spreads exceeding a defined threshold (default is 5.0) indicates increased credit risk.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the total risk score.
### 5. **Risk Score Calculation**
- The final **risk score** ranges from 0 to 100 and is calculated using the weighted sum of the four indicators.
- The score is smoothed to minimize false signals and maintain stability.
### 6. **Risk Zones**
- **Extreme Risk:** If the risk score is ≥ 75, indicating a severe crisis warning.
- **High Risk:** If the risk score is between 15 and 75, signaling heightened risk.
- **Moderate Risk:** If the risk score is between 10 and 15, representing potential concerns.
- **Low Risk:** If the risk score is < 10, suggesting stable conditions.
### 7. **Visual & Alerts**
- The indicator plots the risk score on a chart with color-coded backgrounds to indicate risk levels: green (low), yellow (moderate), orange (high), and red (extreme).
- Alert conditions are set for each risk zone, notifying users when the risk level transitions into a higher zone.
This indicator aims to quickly detect potential financial crises by aggregating signals from key market factors, making it a versatile tool for traders, analysts, and risk managers.
Cycles
Altcoins vs BTC Market Cap HeatmapAltcoins vs BTC Market Cap Heatmap
"Ground control to major Tom" 🌙 👨🚀 🚀
This indicator provides a visual heatmap for tracking the relationship between the market cap of altcoins (TOTAL3) and Bitcoin (BTC). The primary goal is to identify potential market cycle tops and bottoms by analyzing how the TOTAL3 market cap (all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) compares to Bitcoin’s market cap.
Key Features:
• Market Cap Ratio: Plots the ratio of TOTAL3 to BTC market caps to give a clear visual representation of altcoin strength versus Bitcoin.
• Heatmap: Colors the background red when altcoins are overheating (TOTAL3 market cap equals or exceeds BTC) and blue when altcoins are cooling (TOTAL3 market cap is half or less than BTC).
• Threshold Levels: Includes horizontal lines at 1 (Overheated), 0.75 (Median), and 0.5 (Cooling) for easy reference.
• Alerts: Set alert conditions for when the ratio crosses key levels (1.0, 0.75, and 0.5), enabling timely notifications for potential market shifts.
How It Works:
• Overheated (Ratio ≥ 1): Indicates that the altcoin market cap is on par or larger than Bitcoin's, which could signal a top in the cycle.
• Cooling (Ratio < 0.5): Suggests that the altcoin market cap is half or less than Bitcoin's, potentially signaling a market bottom or cooling phase.
• Median (Ratio ≈ 0.75): A midpoint that provides insight into the market's neutral zone.
Use this tool to monitor market extremes and adjust your strategy accordingly when the altcoin market enters overheated or cooling phases.
Master Bitcoin Halving Color CodingMaster Bitcoin Halving Color Coding is a customizable TradingView indicator that visualizes Bitcoin price trends relative to its halving events. It color-codes price data based on the number of days since the most recent halving:
Yellow: 0–546 days post-halving
Blue: 547–849 days
Green: 850–1179 days
White: 1180+ days
Abdozo - Highlight First DaysAbdozo - Highlight First Days Indicator
This Pine Script indicator helps traders easily identify key timeframes by highlighting the first trading day of the week and the first day of the month. It provides visual markers directly on your chart, helping you stay aware of potential market trends and turning points.
Features:
- Highlight First Day of the Week (Monday): Automatically marks Mondays to help you track weekly market cycles.
- Highlight First Day of the Month: Spot the start of each month with ease to analyze monthly performance and trends.
NY Open Time Indicator (London Time)The NY Open Time Indicator is designed for traders who want to mark the opening time of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on their charts, specifically for assets traded during the London session. This indicator plots a vertical line at 2:30 PM London time (UTC+1), representing the moment the NYSE opens for trading.
Features:
Time Zone Adjustment: Automatically adjusts to reflect the NY opening time based on London time, accounting for daylight saving changes.
Visual Cue: The vertical line serves as a clear visual marker, helping traders identify potential market movements and volatility around the NY open.
Customizable Appearance: The color and width of the vertical line can be adjusted in the script to fit individual preferences and chart styles.
Simplicity: Easy to implement and understand, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Use Cases:
Day Trading: Use this indicator to pinpoint significant market entry and exit points around the NY open, which is often a time of increased activity and volatility.
Market Analysis: Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools to assess potential price movements and trends as the market opens.
Installation: Add this indicator to your TradingView chart and customize it to suit your trading strategy. (Public Code)
TEMA Crosses_AIT with Manual TEMA CalculationTitle: TEMA Crosses_AIT Indicator
Description:
The TEMA Crosses_AIT Indicator is designed for traders looking to leverage the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) to identify trend reversals and momentum shifts in the market. This indicator calculates both fast and slow TEMA lines and signals potential buy or sell opportunities based on crossovers between these two lines.
Key Features:
Fast TEMA (TEMAF):
Default period: 20 (adjustable)
Represents the short-term trend and reacts quickly to price changes.
Slow TEMA (TEMAS):
Default period: 200 (adjustable)
Represents the long-term trend, smoothing out price fluctuations to give a clearer view of the overall direction.
Signal Generation:
Long Signal: A long (buy) signal is generated when the fast TEMA crosses above the slow TEMA, indicating a potential upward trend.
Short Signal: A short (sell) signal is generated when the fast TEMA crosses below the slow TEMA, indicating a potential downward trend.
Color-coded Visualization:
The fast TEMA line is displayed in green when it is above the slow TEMA (bullish signal) and in red when below (bearish signal).
The slow TEMA line is displayed in white.
A yellow triangle appears below the price bar for long entries.
A fuchsia triangle appears above the price bar for short entries.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) manually using exponential moving averages (EMA). The TEMA is calculated by subtracting the second EMA from three times the first EMA, then adding the third EMA. This provides a smoother trend line that reacts more quickly than a traditional EMA, making it ideal for spotting trend changes.
Customizable Inputs:
TEMAF Period: Adjust the period of the fast TEMA to fit your trading style.
TEMAS Period: Adjust the period of the slow TEMA to match the time frame you are analyzing.
Use Cases:
Trend Reversals: The crossovers between the fast and slow TEMA provide clear signals for potential trend reversals, which can be used to enter or exit trades.
Momentum Confirmation: The color-coded TEMA lines allow traders to easily identify whether the short-term momentum is aligned with the long-term trend, helping to confirm the strength of a move.
Recommendations:
This indicator works well with other momentum-based tools like RSI or MACD for confirming signals and identifying overbought or oversold conditions. It is suitable for use across different asset classes, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, forex, and commodities.
Disclaimer:
The TEMA Crosses_AIT indicator should not be used as a standalone trading strategy. It is recommended to combine this indicator with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques. Always backtest the indicator on historical data before applying it to live trades.
Volatility %This indicator compares the average range of candles over a long period with the average range of a short period (which can be defined according to whether the strategy is more long-term or short-term), thus allowing the measurement of the asset's volatility or the strength of the movement. It was also created to be used on the 1D time frame with Swing Trading.
This indicator does not aim to predict the direction or strength of the next movement, but seeks to indicate whether the asset's value is moving more or less than the average. Based on the principle of alternation, after a large movement, there will likely be a short movement, and after a short movement, there will likely be a long one. Therefore, phases with less movement can be a good time to position oneself, and if volatility starts to decrease and the target has not been reached, closing the position can be considered.
This indicator also comes with three bands of percentage volatility averages altered by a multiplier, allowing for a dynamic reading of how volatile the market is. These should be adapted according to the asset.
This indicator is not meant to be used alone but as an auxiliary indicator.
GDP Recession Indicator by USCG_Vet🌟 GDP Recession Indicator by USCG_Vet 🌟
📈 Overview
The GDP Recession Indicator is a comprehensive economic tool designed to help traders and investors anticipate potential recessions by analyzing key U.S. economic metrics. By consolidating multiple normalized economic indicators into a single, actionable signal, this indicator provides a clear and intuitive way to assess the health of the U.S. economy on a monthly basis.
🔑 Key Features
🔴 Red Line (GDP Discrepancy):
Represents the normalized value of GDP - (PCE + GCE + GPDI), capturing the core GDP components.
⚪ White Line (Signal Line):
A simple moving average of the consolidated indicator, serving as a dynamic threshold for recession signals.
🔵 Consolidated Indicator (Blue Line):
An optional line that aggregates multiple economic indicators for a holistic view.
✨ Customizable Visibility:
By default, only the Red and White lines are displayed, ensuring a clean and focused chart. Additional indicators can be enabled as needed.
🔍 How It Works
📊 Data Normalization:
Processes key economic metrics:
GDP
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)
Government Consumption Expenditures (GCE)
Gross Private Domestic Investment (GPDI)
US Private Debt Growth (USPDG)
US Government Debt Growth (USGDG)
US Balance of Trade (USBOT)
Personal Savings Rate (BEA)
Each metric is normalized using a z-score over a configurable period (default is 6 months), ensuring comparability and mitigating the impact of differing scales.
🔗 Consolidation:
Selected indicators are averaged to form a consolidated economic signal, providing a comprehensive view of economic trends.
📉 Signal Generation:
Recession Signal:
When the Red Line (GDP Discrepancy) crosses below the White Line (Signal Line), it indicates a potential downturn in the economy.
🛠️ How to Use the GDP Recession Indicator
➕ Adding the Indicator:
🔴 Red Line: Displays the normalized GDP Discrepancy (GDP - (PCE + GCE + GPDI)).
⚪ White Line: Shows the signal line derived from the consolidated indicator.
🔵 Blue Line and Other Indicators: Hidden by default for clarity. Enable them in the indicator settings if a more detailed analysis is desired.
🔍 Interpreting the Signals:
Recession Signal:
🔴 Red Line crosses below ⚪ White Line: Signals that the economy may be heading into a recession. Indicates that the GDP Discrepancy is declining relative to the broader economic signals captured by the indicator.
📑 Confirmation:
Look for confirmation from other technical indicators or economic data to validate the recession signal.
⚙️ Customization:
🕒 Normalization Period: Adjust the normalization period to suit different timeframes or sensitivity levels.
🔄 Indicator Visibility: Toggle the visibility of additional economic metrics (e.g., US Private Debt Growth, US Government Debt Growth) to tailor the indicator to your analytical needs.
🔵 Consolidated Indicator: Enable the blue line if you wish to view the aggregated economic signal alongside the primary signals.
🎯 Benefits
⏰ Early Warning System:
Provides timely signals that can help anticipate economic downturns, allowing for proactive portfolio adjustments.
🏁 Conclusion
The GDP Recession Indicator is a powerful tool for anyone looking to navigate the complexities of the economic landscape. By providing clear signals based on robust economic data, it empowers traders and investors to make informed decisions and better manage risk in anticipation of potential recessions.
Scalping Strategy By TradingConTotoScript Description: "Scalping Strategy By TradingConToto"
This scalping strategy is designed to trade in volatile markets, taking advantage of rapid price movements. It uses pivots to identify key entry and exit points, along with exponential moving averages (EMAs) to determine the overall trend.
Key Features:
Dynamic Pivots: Calculates pivot highs and lows to identify support and resistance zones, improving entry accuracy.
Market Trend Analysis: Utilizes a 100-period EMA for long-term trend analysis and a 25-period EMA for short-term trends, facilitating informed decision-making.
Automated Entry and Exit: Generates buy and sell signals based on EMA crossovers and specific market conditions, ensuring you don't miss opportunities.
Risk Management: Allows you to set take profit and stop loss levels tailored to market volatility, using the ATR for effective risk management.
User-Friendly Interface: Easily customize strategy parameters such as pivot range, stop loss and take profit pips, and spread.
Requirements:
Ideal for use on short time frames during high activity sessions, like the configured scalping session.
Activate buy and sell options according to your preference and analyze performance using TradingView’s tools.
Note:
This script is a tool and does not guarantee results. It is recommended to test in a simulated environment before applying it to real accounts.
Optimize your scalping operations and enhance your market performance with this effective strategy!
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Prometheus Fractal WaveThe Fractal Wave is an indicator that uses a fractal analysis to determine where reversals may happen. This is done through a Fractal process, making sure a price point is in a certain set and then getting a Distance metric.
Calculation:
A bullish Fractal is defined by the current bar’s high being less than the last bar’s high, and the last bar’s high being greater than the second to last bar’s high, and the last bar’s high being greater than the third to last bar’s high.
A bearish Fractal is defined by the current low being greater than the last bar’s low, and the last bar’s low being less than the second to last bar’s low, and the last bar’s low being less than the third to last bar’s low.
When there is that bullish or bearish fractal the value we store is either the last bar’s high or low respective to bullish or bearish fractal.
Once we have that value stored we either subtract the last bar’s low from the bullish Fractal value, and subtract the last bar’s high from the bearish Fractal value. Those are our Distances.
Code:
isBullishFractal() =>
high > high and high < high and high > high
isBearishFractal() =>
low < low and low > low and low < low
var float lastBullishFractal = na
var float lastBearishFractal = na
if isBullishFractal() and barstate.isconfirmed
lastBullishFractal := high
if isBearishFractal() and barstate.isconfirmed
lastBearishFractal := low
//------------------------------
//-------CACLULATION------------
//------------------------------
bullWaveDistance = na(lastBullishFractal) ? na : lastBullishFractal - low
bearWaveDistance = na(lastBearishFractal) ? na : high - lastBearishFractal
We then plot the bullish distance and the negative bearish distance.
The trade scenarios come from when one breaks the zero line and then goes back above or below. So if the last bullish distance was below 0 and is now above, or if the last negative bearish distance was above 0 and now below. We plot a green label below a candle for a bullish scenario, or a red label above a candle for a bearish one, you can turn them on or off.
Code:
plot(bullWaveDistance, color=color.green, title="Bull Wave Distance", linewidth=2)
plot(-bearWaveDistance, color=color.red, title="Bear Wave Distance", linewidth=2)
plot(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray, display = display.pane)
bearish_reversal = plot_labels ? bullWaveDistance < 0 and bullWaveDistance > 0 : na
bullish_reversal = plot_labels ? -bearWaveDistance > 0 and -bearWaveDistance < 0 : na
plotshape(bullish_reversal, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, style=shape.labelup, title="Bullish Fractal", text="↑", display = display.all - display.status_line, force_overlay = true)
plotshape(bearish_reversal, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, style=shape.labeldown, title="Bearish Fractal", text="↓", display = display.all - display.status_line, force_overlay = true)
We can see in this daily NASDAQ:QQQ chart that the indicator gives us marks that can either be used as Reversal signals or as breathers in the trend.
Since it is designed to provide reversals, on something like Gold where the uptrend has been strong, the signals may be just short breathers, not full blown strong reversal signs.
The indicator works just as well intra day as it does on larger timeframes.
We encourage traders to not follow indicators blindly, none are 100% accurate. Please comment on any desired updates, all criticism is welcome!
Adjusted CoT IndexAdjusted COT Index
Improves upon: "COT Index Commercials vs large and small Speculators" by SystematicFutures
How: CoT Indexes are adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data over time, and threshold background colours are in-line with Larry Williams recommendations from his book.
Note: This indicator is **only** accurate on the Daily time-frame due to the mid-week release date for CoT data.
This script calculates and plots the Adjusted Commitment of Traders (COT) Index for Commercial, Large Speculator, and Retail (Small Speculator) categories.
The CoT Index is adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data through time, following the methodology of Larry Williams, providing insights into how these groups are positioned in the market with an arguably more historically accurate context.
COT Categories
-------------------
- Commercials (Producers/Hedgers): Large entities hedging against price changes in the underlying asset.
- Large Speculators (Non-commercials): Professional traders and funds speculating on price movements.
- Retail Traders (Nonreportable/Small Speculators): Small individual traders, typically less informed.
Features
----------
- Open Interest Adjustment
- The net positions for each category are normalized by Open Interest to account
for varying contract sizes.
- Customisable Look-back Period
- You can adjust the number of weeks for the index calculation to control the
historical range used for comparison.
- Thresholds for Extremes
- Upper and lower thresholds (configurable) are provided to mark overbought and
oversold conditions.
- Defaults
- Overbought: <=20
- Oversold: >= 80
- Hide Current Week Option
- Optionally hide the current week's data until market close for more accurate comparison.
- Visual Aids
- Plot the Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail indexes, and optionally highlight extreme positioning.
Inputs
--------
- weeks
- Number of weeks for historical range comparison.
- upperExtreme and lowerExtreme
- Thresholds to identify overbought/oversold conditions (default 80/20).
- hideCurrentWeek
- Option to hide current week's data until market close.
- markExtremes
- Highlight extremes where any index crosses the upper or lower thresholds.
- Options to display or hide indexes for Commercials, Large Speculators, and Small Speculators.
Outputs
----------
- The script plots the COT Index for each of the three categories and highlights periods of extreme positioning with customisable thresholds.
Usage
-------
- This tool is useful for traders who want to track the positioning of different market participants over time.
- By identifying the extreme positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail traders, it can give insights into market sentiment and potential reversals.
- Reversals of trend can be confirmed with RSI Divergence (daily), for example
- Continuation can be confirmed with RSI overbought/oversold conditions (daily), and/or hidden RSI Hidden Divergence, for example
Sine-Weighted MA ATR [InvestorUnknown]The Sine-Weighted MA ATR is a technical analysis tool designed to emphasize recent price data using sine-weighted calculations , making it particularly well-suited for analyzing cyclical markets with repetitive patterns . The indicator combines the Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) and a Sine-Weighted Average True Range (SWATR) to enhance price trend detection and volatility analysis.
Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA):
Unlike traditional moving averages that apply uniform or exponentially decaying weights, the SWMA applies Sine weights to the price data.
Emphasis on central data points: The Sine function assigns more weight to the middle of the lookback period, giving less importance to the beginning and end points. This helps capture the main trend more effectively while reducing noise from recent volatility or older data.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted Moving Average
f_Sine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(sine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(sine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(sine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted Moving Average
swma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swma := swma + array.get(sine_weights, i) * close
swma
Sine-Weighted ATR:
This is a variation of the Average True Range (ATR), which measures market volatility. Like the SWMA, the ATR is smoothed using Sine-based weighting, where central values are more heavily considered compared to the extremities. This improves sensitivity to changes in volatility while maintaining stability in highly volatile markets.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted ATR
f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights_atr = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights_atr, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights_atr = array.sum(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight_atr = array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) / sum_weights_atr
array.set(sine_weights_atr, i, norm_weight_atr)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted ATR using true ranges
swatr = 0.0
tr = ta.tr(true) // True Range
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swatr := swatr + array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) * tr
swatr
ATR Bands:
Upper and lower bands are created by adding/subtracting the Sine-Weighted ATR from the SWMA. These bands help identify overbought or oversold conditions, and when the price crosses these levels, it may generate long or short trade signals.
// - - - - - CALCULATIONS - - - - - //{
bar b = bar.new()
float src = b.calc_src(swma_src)
float swma = f_Sine_Weighted_MA(src, ma_length)
// Use normal ATR or Sine-Weighted ATR based on input
float atr = atr_type == "Normal ATR" ? ta.atr(atr_len) : f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(atr_len)
// Calculate upper and lower bands using ATR
float swma_up = swma + (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_dn = swma - (atr * atr_mult)
float src_l = b.calc_src(src_long)
float src_s = b.calc_src(src_short)
// Signal logic for crossovers and crossunders
var int signal = 0
if ta.crossover(src_l, swma_up)
signal := 1
if ta.crossunder(src_s, swma_dn)
signal := -1
//}
Signal Logic:
Long/Short Signals are triggered when the price crosses above or below the Sine-Weighted ATR bands
Backtest Mode and Equity Calculation
To evaluate its effectiveness, the indicator includes a backtest mode, allowing users to test its performance on historical data:
Backtest Equity: A detailed equity curve is calculated based on the generated signals over a user-defined period (startDate to endDate).
Buy and Hold Comparison: Alongside the strategy’s equity, a Buy-and-Hold equity curve is plotted for performance comparison.
Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts for both long and short signals, ensuring users are promptly notified when market conditions meet the criteria for an entry or exit.
Parent Session Sweeps + Alert Killzone Ranges with Parent Session Sweep
Key Features:
1. Multiple Session Support: The script tracks three major trading sessions - Asia, London, and New York. Users can customize the timing of these sessions.
2. Killzone Visualization: The strategy visually represents each session's range, either as filled boxes or lines, allowing traders to easily identify key price levels.
3. Parent Session Logic: The core of the strategy revolves around identifying a "parent" session - a session that encompasses the range of the following session. This parent session becomes the basis for potential trade setups.
4. Sweep and Reclaim Setups: The strategy looks for price movements that sweep (break above or below) the parent session's high or low, followed by a reclaim of that level. This price action often indicates a potential reversal.
5. Risk-Reward Filtering: Each potential setup is evaluated based on a user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio, ensuring that only high-quality trade opportunities are considered.
6. Candle Close Filter: An optional filter that checks the characteristics of the candle that reclaims the parent session level, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the setup.
7. Performance Tracking: The strategy keeps track of bullish and bearish setup success rates, providing valuable feedback on its performance over time.
8. Visual Aids: The script draws lines to mark the parent session's high and low, making it easy for traders to identify key levels.
How It Works:
1. The script continuously monitors price action across the defined sessions.
2. When a session fully contains the range of the next session, it's identified as a potential parent session.
3. The strategy then waits for price to sweep either the high or low of this parent session.
4. If a sweep occurs, it looks for a reclaim of the swept level within the parameters set by the user.
5. If a valid setup is identified, the script generates an alert and places a trade (if backtesting or running live).
6. The strategy continues to monitor the trade for either reaching the target (opposite level of the parent session) or hitting the stop loss.
Considerations for Signals:
- Sweep: A break of the parent session's high or low.
- Reclaim: A close back inside the parent session range after a sweep.
- Candle Characteristics: Optional filter for the reclaim candle (e.g., bullish candle for long setups).
- Risk-Reward: Each setup must meet or exceed the user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio.
- Session Timing: The strategy is sensitive to the defined session times, which should be set according to the trader's preferred time zone.
This strategy aims to capitalize on institutional order flow and liquidity patterns in the forex market, providing traders with a systematic approach to identifying potential reversal points with favorable risk-reward profiles.
Trade Entry Detector, Wick to Body Ratio Trade Entry Detector: Wick-to-Body Ratio Strategy with Bollinger Bands
Overview
The Trade Entry Detector is a custom strategy for TradingView that leverages the Bollinger Bands and a unique wick-to-body ratio approach to capture precise entry opportunities. This indicator is designed for traders who want to pinpoint high-probability reversal points when price interacts with Bollinger Bands, all while offering flexible entry fill options.
The strategy performs primary analysis on the daily time frame, regardless of your current chart setting, allowing you to view daily Bollinger Band levels and entry signals even on lower time frames. This approach is suitable for swing traders and short-term traders looking to align intraday moves with higher time frame signals.
How the Strategy Works
1. Bollinger Band Analysis on the Daily Time Frame
Bollinger Bands are calculated using a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) and a standard deviation multiplier (default is 2). These bands dynamically expand and contract based on market volatility, making them ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions:
* Upper Band: Indicates potential overbought levels.
* Lower Band: Indicates potential oversold levels.
2. Wick-to-Body Ratio Condition
This strategy places significant emphasis on candle wicks relative to the candle body. Here’s why:
* A large upper wick relative to the body signals potential selling pressure after testing the upper Bollinger Band.
* A large lower wick relative to the body indicates buying support after testing the lower Bollinger Band.
* Ratio Threshold: You can set a minimum wick-to-body ratio (default is 1.0), meaning that the wick must be at least equal in size to the body. This ensures only candles with significant reversals are considered for entry.
3. Flexible Entry Timing
To adapt to various trading styles, the indicator allows you to choose the entry fill timing:
* Daily Close: Enter at the close of the daily candle.
* Daily Open: Enter at the open of the following daily candle.
* HOD (High of Day): Set entry at the daily high, for those who want confirmation of upward momentum.
* LOD (Low of Day): Set entry at the daily low, ideal for confirming downward movement.
4. Position Sizing and Risk Management
The strategy calculates position size based on a fixed risk percentage of your account balance (default is 1%). This approach dynamically adjusts position sizes based on stop-loss distance:
* Stop Loss: Placed at the nearest swing high (for shorts) or swing low (for longs).
* Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the opposite Bollinger Band.
5. Order Expiration
Each pending order (long or short) expires after two days if unfilled, allowing for new setups on subsequent candles if conditions are met again.
Using the Trade Entry Detector
Step-by-Step Guide
1. Set the Primary Time Frame
The core calculations run on the daily time frame, but the strategy can be applied to intraday charts (e.g., 65-minute or 15-minute) for deeper insights.
2. Adjust Bollinger Band Settings
* Length: Default is 20, which determines the period for calculating the moving average.
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: Default is 2.0, which sets the width of the bands. Adjusting this can help you capture broader or tighter volatility ranges.
3. Define the Wick-to-Body Ratio
Set the minimum ratio between wick and body (default 1.0). Higher values filter out candles with less wick-to-body contrast, focusing on stronger rejection moves.
4. Choose Entry Fill Timing
Select your preferred fill condition:
* Daily Close: Confirms the trade at the end of the daily session.
* Daily Open: Executes the entry at the open of the next day.
* HOD/LOD: Uses the daily high or low as an additional confirmation for upward or downward moves.
5. Position Sizing and Risk Management
* Set your account balance and risk percentage. The strategy automatically calculates position sizes based on the stop distance to manage risk efficiently.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit points are automatically set based on swing highs/lows and opposing Bollinger Bands, respectively.
Practical Example
Let’s say SPY (S&P 500 ETF) tests the lower Bollinger Band on the daily time frame, with a lower wick that is twice the size of the body (meeting the 1.0 ratio threshold). Here’s how the strategy might proceed:
1. Signal: The lower wick on SPY suggests buying interest at the lower Bollinger Band.
2. Entry Fill Timing: If you’ve selected "Daily Open," the entry order will be placed at the next day's open price.
3. Stop Loss: Positioned at the nearest daily swing low to minimize risk.
4. Take Profit: If SPY price moves up and reaches the upper Bollinger Band, the position is automatically closed.
Indicator Features and Benefits
* Multi-Time Frame Compatibility: Perform daily analysis while tracking signals on any intraday chart.
* Automatic Position Sizing: Tailor risk per trade based on account balance and desired risk percentage.
* Flexible Entry Options: Choose from close, open, HOD, or LOD for optimal timing.
* Effective Trend Reversal Identification: Uses wick-to-body ratio and Bollinger Band interaction to pinpoint potential reversals.
* Dynamic Visualization: Bollinger Bands are displayed on your chosen time frame, allowing seamless intraday tracking.
Summary
The Trade Entry Detector provides a unique, data-driven way to spot reversal points with customizable entry options. By combining Bollinger Bands with wick-to-body ratio conditions, it identifies potential trade setups where price has tested extremes and shown reversal signals. With its flexible entry timing, risk management features, and multi-time frame compatibility, this indicator is ideal for traders looking to blend daily market context with shorter-term execution.
Tips for Usage:
* For swing trading, consider the Daily Open or Close entry options.
* For momentum entries, HOD or LOD may offer better alignment with the direction of the wick.
* Backtest on different assets to find optimal Bollinger Band and wick-to-body settings for your market.
Use this indicator to enhance your understanding of price behavior at key levels and improve the precision of your entry points. Happy trading!
RSI Fakeout Filter with SMA Confirmation [CHE] Introducing: RSI Fakeout Detection
Are you tired of being caught in fakeouts that can lead to frustrating losses? The RSI Fakeout Detection is here to enhance your trading strategy by filtering out false signals and providing you with more reliable entries. This innovative indicator is designed to help traders identify when market momentum, as indicated by the RSI, does not align with price movement – a key indicator of potential fakeouts!
What Does It Do?
The RSI Fakeout Detection focuses on one key goal: avoiding false signals. By monitoring when the RSI exceeds a customizable threshold (indicating strength) but the price remains below a moving average like the SMA, this indicator highlights situations where the market may seem strong, but the price action doesn't support that momentum. In other words, it saves you from those tricky fake breakouts.
Key Benefits:
1. Reduce Risk, Increase Confidence: Get an extra layer of protection against fakeouts by receiving signals only when both RSI and price confirm the market's true direction. Avoid entering false breakouts and trade with more confidence.
2. Dynamic Analysis of SMA Lengths: It doesn’t just rely on one SMA. The indicator automatically analyzes and sorts through different SMA lengths to find the most reliable one for your specific market condition, ensuring that you get the best possible signal.
3. Tailored for You: With customizable RSI thresholds, a choice of multiple moving average types (SMA, EMA, Bollinger Bands, and more), and vibrant color-coded visuals, this tool is built to fit your unique trading style and preferences.
4. Spot Fakeouts with Ease: Visual cues make it easy to see when the market might be tricking you. Labels, plotted lines, and a toggleable disclaimer keep everything transparent and easy to understand.
5. Friendly and Intuitive: Whether you’re new to trading or a seasoned pro, the RSI Fakeout Detection is designed to be simple and effective. The labels and plots are clear, the alerts are timely, and it seamlessly integrates into your chart without cluttering it.
Why Choose RSI Fakeout Detection?
- Accuracy and Precision: By combining RSI and SMA analysis, this indicator minimizes the risk of following false trends and entering trades too early.
- Save Time and Reduce Guesswork: No more spending hours trying to figure out which SMA length works best – the RSI Fakeout Detection does it for you!
- Peace of Mind: Avoiding fakeouts means fewer bad trades, which can lead to more consistent performance and less stress.
Transform the way you trade, and step into a more confident trading future with RSI Fakeout Detection . Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, this tool will give you an edge by helping you filter out the noise and make more informed decisions.
Best regards,
Chervolino
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Realized Price Profit/Loss Margin [VWAP Optimized]Shaded Profit/Loss Margin Oscillator
The Shaded Profit/Loss Margin Oscillator is a powerful tool designed to measure Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL). This metric reflects the difference between Bitcoin’s current market price and its realized price, which approximates the price at which coins were last moved. By smoothing the NUPL using a moving average, the indicator provides a clean purple oscillator line that helps users easily gauge market sentiment. When the oscillator is above the zero line, the market is in profit, and when it is below zero, participants are generally in a state of unrealized loss. The shaded area between the oscillator and the zero line enhances visual clarity, making it easier to identify potential shifts in market behavior such as profit-taking or capitulation.
Unique Features and Added Value
What sets this indicator apart from traditional NUPL indicators is the use of a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) as a proxy for the realized price. Unlike the original on-chain NUPL metric, which relies on complex on-chain data, this indicator leverages VWAP to provide an approximation of realized price based solely on price and volume data available directly on TradingView. This method makes it highly accessible to traders who don’t have access to on-chain data platforms.
The use of VWAP not only simplifies the calculation but also provides additional value, as it incorporates volume into the realized price estimation. This volume-sensitive approach may offer a more responsive and dynamic reflection of realized prices compared to on-chain models, which can sometimes lag. In essence, this VWAP-based NUPL oscillator offers a unique edge in tracking profit/loss margins, particularly for traders who want a straightforward and efficient way to gauge sentiment without relying on external on-chain data sources. It brings the essence of NUPL into the world of technical analysis in an accessible and actionable way.
Business Cycle Indicators (Normalized)This script aggregates and normalizes several key economic indicators to provide a comprehensive view of the business cycle and overall market conditions. By combining these indicators into a single, normalized average line, the script helps identify overarching trends and shifts in the economy, aiding in more informed trading and investment decisions.
Included Indicators:
Inverted National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI):
Symbol: FRED:NFCI
Measures financial stress in the markets. An inverted NFCI aligns higher values with positive financial conditions.
Inverted Net Percentage of Banks Tightening Lending Standards (DRTSCIS):
Symbol: FRED:DRTSCIS
Reflects changes in bank lending practices. Inverting this indicator means higher values indicate easing lending standards, which is generally positive for economic growth.
HYG Close Price (iShares High Yield Corporate Bond ETF):
Symbol: AMEX:HYG
Represents the performance of high-yield corporate bonds, providing insight into credit market conditions.
Inverted High-Yield Credit Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2):
Symbol: FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2
Measures the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free securities. A narrower (inverted) spread indicates better market conditions.
Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing New Orders Ratio:
Symbols: ECONOMICS:USMNO (Manufacturing), ECONOMICS:USNMNO (Non-Manufacturing)
Compares manufacturing to non-manufacturing new orders to gauge shifts in economic activity.
US PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index):
Symbol: ECONOMICS:USBCOI
An indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector.
10-Year Inflation Breakeven (T10YIE):
Symbol: FRED:T10YIE
Represents market expectations of inflation over the next ten years.
Inverted 10-Year Real Yield (DFII10):
Symbol: FRED:DFII10
Reflects the real yield on 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Inverted to align higher values with positive economic sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio:
Symbols: CAPITALCOM:COPPER (Copper), TVC:GOLD (Gold)
Compares the prices of copper and gold, often used as a barometer for global economic activity.
Features:
Normalized Indicators: Each indicator is normalized to a 0-100 scale to facilitate direct comparison, regardless of their original units or scales.
Normalized Average Line: Calculates and plots the average of all available normalized indicators, providing a single line that represents the combined economic signals.
Customizable Display:
Show Individual Indicators: Option to display individual normalized indicators for detailed analysis.
Show Normalized Average Line: Option to display the normalized average line for a consolidated view.
Dynamic Labeling: Displays the latest value of the normalized average directly on the chart for quick reference.
How to Use:
Adding the Script:
Apply the script to a chart in TradingView using a timeframe that aligns with the frequency of the economic data (daily or weekly recommended).
Customization:
Show Normalized Average Line: Enabled by default to display the combined indicator.
Show Individual Indicators: Enable this option in the script settings to display all individual normalized indicators.
Interpretation:
Normalized Scale (0-100): Higher values generally indicate stronger economic conditions, while lower values may suggest weakening conditions.
Trend Analysis: Use the normalized average line to identify trends and potential turning points in the business cycle.
Notes:
Data Availability: Ensure you have access to all the data sources used in the script. Some data feeds may require specific TradingView subscriptions.
Indicator Limitations: Economic indicators are subject to revisions and may not reflect real-time market conditions.
No Investment Advice: This script is a tool for analysis and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Unlock the Power of Seasonality: Monthly Performance StrategyThe Monthly Performance Strategy leverages the power of seasonality—those cyclical patterns that emerge in financial markets at specific times of the year. From tax deadlines to industry-specific events and global holidays, historical data shows that certain months can offer strong opportunities for trading. This strategy was designed to help traders capture those opportunities and take advantage of recurring market patterns through an automated and highly customizable approach.
The Inspiration Behind the Strategy:
This strategy began with the idea that market performance is often influenced by seasonal factors. Historically, certain months outperform others due to a variety of reasons, like earnings reports, holiday shopping, or fiscal year-end events. By identifying these periods, traders can better time their market entries and exits, giving them an advantage over those who solely rely on technical indicators or news events.
The Monthly Performance Strategy was built to take this concept and automate it. Instead of manually analyzing market data for each month, this strategy enables you to select which months you want to focus on and then executes trades based on predefined rules, saving you time and optimizing the performance of your trades.
Key Features:
Customizable Month Selection: The strategy allows traders to choose specific months to test or trade on. You can select any combination of months—for example, January, July, and December—to focus on based on historical trends. Whether you’re targeting the historically strong months like December (often driven by the 'Santa Rally') or analyzing quieter months for low volatility trades, this strategy gives you full control.
Automated Monthly Entries and Exits: The strategy automatically enters a long position on the first day of your selected month(s) and exits the trade at the beginning of the next month. This makes it perfect for traders who want to benefit from seasonal patterns without manually monitoring the market. It ensures precision in entering and exiting trades based on pre-set timeframes.
Re-entry on Stop Loss or Take Profit: One of the standout features of this strategy is its ability to re-enter a trade if a position hits the stop loss (SL) or take profit (TP) level during the selected month. If your trade reaches either a SL or TP before the month ends, the strategy will automatically re-enter a new trade the next trading day. This feature ensures that you capture multiple trading opportunities within the same month, instead of exiting entirely after a successful or unsuccessful trade. Essentially, it keeps your capital working for you throughout the entire month, not just when conditions align perfectly at the beginning.
Built-in Risk Management: Risk management is a vital part of this strategy. It incorporates an Average True Range (ATR)-based stop loss and take profit system. The ATR helps set dynamic levels based on the market’s volatility, ensuring that your stops and targets adjust to changing market conditions. This not only helps limit potential losses but also maximizes profit potential by adapting to market behavior.
Historical Performance Testing: You can backtest this strategy on any period by setting the start year. This allows traders to analyze past market data and optimize their strategy based on historical performance. You can fine-tune which months to trade based on years of data, helping you identify trends and patterns that provide the best trading results.
Versatility Across Asset Classes: While this strategy can be particularly effective for stock market indices and sector rotation, it’s versatile enough to apply to other asset classes like forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. Each asset class may exhibit different seasonal behaviors, allowing you to explore opportunities across various markets with this strategy.
How It Works:
The trader selects which months to test or trade, for example, January, April, and October.
The strategy will automatically open a long position on the first trading day of each selected month.
If the trade hits either the take profit or stop loss within the month, the strategy will close the current position and re-enter a new trade on the next trading day, provided the month has not yet ended. This ensures that the strategy continues to capture any potential gains throughout the month, rather than stopping after one successful trade.
At the start of the next month, the position is closed, and if the next month is also selected, a new trade is initiated following the same process.
Risk Management and Dynamic Adjustments:
Incorporating risk management with this strategy is as easy as turning on the ATR-based system. The strategy will automatically calculate stop loss and take profit levels based on the market’s current volatility, adjusting dynamically to the conditions. This ensures that the risk is controlled while allowing for flexibility in capturing profits during both high and low volatility periods.
Maximizing the Seasonal Edge:
By automating entries and exits based on specific months and combining that with dynamic risk management, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy takes advantage of seasonal patterns without requiring constant monitoring. The added re-entry feature after hitting a stop loss or take profit ensures that you are always in the game, maximizing your chances to capture profitable trades during favorable seasonal periods.
Who Can Benefit from This Strategy?
This strategy is perfect for traders who:
Want to exploit the predictable, recurring patterns that occur during specific months of the year.
Prefer a hands-off, automated trading approach that allows them to focus on other aspects of their portfolio or life.
Seek to manage risk effectively with ATR-based stop losses and take profits that adjust to market conditions.
Appreciate the ability to re-enter trades when a take profit or stop loss is hit within the month, ensuring that they don't miss out on multiple opportunities during a favorable period.
In summary, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy provides traders with a comprehensive tool to capitalize on seasonal trends, optimize their trading opportunities throughout the year, and manage risk effectively. The built-in re-entry system ensures you continue to benefit from the market even after hitting targets within the same month, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to maximize their edge in any market.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The Monthly Performance Strategy is designed to help traders identify seasonal trends, but past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to carefully consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading goals before using any strategy. Always use appropriate risk management and consult with a professional financial advisor if necessary. The use of this strategy does not eliminate the risk of losses, and traders should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment. Be sure to test the strategy on a demo account before applying it in live markets.
Gann Square of 9Understanding the Gann Square of 9
Delve into the fascinating realm of W.D. Gann’s Square of 9, a tool that has intrigued traders for generations. As we explore the insights behind this unique structure, we’ll show you how our Gann Square of 9 Indicator can become a valuable asset in your trading toolkit.
The History of the Gann Square of 9
The story behind the Gann Square of 9 is as fascinating as the man who created it. W.D. Gann, a pioneering trader from the early 20th century, introduced a method that highlighted the connection between time and price. Rooted in ancient mathematics and geometry, Gann’s theory suggests that financial markets follow cyclical patterns, which are captured in the design of the Square of 9.
Core Principles of the Gann Square of 9
At its heart, the Gann Square of 9 is based on a numerical system that spirals outward from a central point. This unique arrangement allows traders to identify potential support and resistance levels in the market. Each number represents a possible pivot point, indicating shifts in market direction, aligned with Gann’s time-price equilibrium theory.
Applying the Gann Square in Market Analysis
The strength of the Gann Square of 9 lies in its ability to predict key moments in the market where significant price movements may occur. By utilizing our Gann Square of 9 Indicator, traders can easily pinpoint these crucial points, applying Gann’s principles to anticipate both market highs and lows. This section will guide you through practical applications of the Gann Square for making both short-term and long-term trading decisions.
Market Timing with the Gann Square of 9 Indicator
Unlock the potential of market timing and price prediction using our Gann Square of 9 Indicator. This versatile tool brings Gann’s trading insights into the modern world of finance. Here, you’ll find a detailed walkthrough on how to use the indicator to enhance your trading strategies.
Step-by-Step Guide
Input the Source Price: Open, High, Low, Close on specific Timeframe.
Set the Pip Value: Adjust the pip value according to the scale of your trades. The pip value helps define the precision of the price levels the calculator will generate.
Analyze Results: The generated grid displays a central value (your input price) surrounded by numbers representing possible support and resistance levels.
Use the Support and Resistance Levels: Below the grid, you’ll find specific support and resistance points. These are key price levels that can help you plan your trading strategy, such as entry or exit points.
Apply Gann's Trading Entries: At the bottom, suggested long and short trade entries, with targets and stop-loss levels, giving you essential tools for managing risk effectively.
By following these steps, you can effectively incorporate Gann’s time-tested techniques into modern market analysis. Our Gann Square of 9 Indicator simplifies complex calculations while offering powerful insights, helping you make informed trading decisions rooted in one of market analysis’s most influential theories.
Whether you’re new to Gann’s approach or a seasoned trader, this indicator is designed to provide valuable insights aligned with Gann’s original concepts while delivering a seamless user experience for today’s traders. With just a few clicks, you can transform market data into a geometric pattern of time and price, setting the stage for strategic trading based on the cyclical nature of financial markets.
90 Minute Cycles Full90-Minute Cycles Indicator for London and NY Sessions
This is a more streamlined version of the 90-minute cycle indicator by sunwoo101.
The 90-Minute Cycles Indicator is built to help traders easily follow and trade around key market cycles during the London and New York sessions. Marking important 90-minute intervals and highlighting the True Cycle Open Price provides clear visual cues to help you make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
90-Minute Cycles for London and NY: The indicator automatically draws vertical lines marking every 90-minute cycle for the London and NY sessions. These lines are great for timing your trades and spotting potential shifts in market momentum.
True Cycle Open Price: A horizontal line is drawn at the True Cycle Open Price, which stays visible throughout the session. This gives you a key reference point for price levels that tend to act as support or resistance.
Customizable Visuals: You can fully personalize the indicator’s appearance - adjusting the colors and line styles and even controlling when the lines appear - so it blends perfectly with your existing charts.
All Cycles Drawn from the Start: Unlike other indicators, this one draws all the 90-minute cycles right when the session begins, so you can see the full day’s potential market moves as soon as the first cycle starts.
What’s Different About This Indicator:
London Session Support: In addition to the NY session, you now have 90-minute cycles for the London session, complete with its own True Cycle Open Price.
Better Customization: You have more control over the visual aspects of the indicator, so it can be tailored to fit your specific charting preferences.
Complete Cycle Visibility: All cycles are drawn immediately when the session starts, providing a full view of the day’s key moments right from the opening.
How to Use:
This indicator is perfect for scalping and short-term trading. Whether trading Forex or Indices and following SMT concepts, the cycle timing can help you pinpoint the best times for entering and exiting trades. The True Cycle Open Price is a crucial level of support or resistance throughout the session, making it a key marker to watch.
Scalpers: Use the 90-minute cycle lines to time your trades with the market's rhythm.
Day Traders: This indicator tracks the London and NY sessions, making it an excellent tool for day trading strategies where timing is critical.
Multi-Session Support:
Whether you're trading the London or New York session, the indicator will automatically adjust to your time zone and align the cycles to the relevant session. This helps you stay on top of key market activity across major trading hubs without changing anything manually.
Ichimoku Wave Oscillator with Custom MAIchimoku Wave Oscillator with Custom MA - Pine Script Description
This script uses various types of moving averages (MA) to implement the concept of Ichimoku wave theory for wave analysis. The user can select from SMA, EMA, WMA, TEMA, SMMA to visualize the difference between short-term, medium-term, and long-term waves, while identifying potential buy and sell signals at crossover points.
Key Features:
MA Type Selection:
The user can select from SMA (Simple Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), WMA (Weighted Moving Average), TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average), and SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average) to calculate the waves. This script is unique in that it combines TEMA and SMMA, distinguishing it from other simple moving average-based indicators.
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average): Best suited for capturing short-term trends with quick responsiveness.
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average): Useful for identifying long-term trends with minimal noise, providing more stable signals.
Wave Calculations:
The script calculates three waves: Wave 9-17, Wave 17-26, and Wave 9-26, each of which analyzes different time horizons.
Wave 9-17 (blue): Primarily used for analyzing short-term trends, ideal for detecting quick changes.
Wave 17-26 (red): Used to analyze medium-term trends, providing a more stable market direction.
Wave 9-26 (green): Represents long-term trends, suitable for understanding broader trend shifts.
Baseline (0 Line):
Each wave is visualized around the 0 line, where waves above the line indicate an uptrend and waves below the line indicate a downtrend. This allows for easy identification of trend reversals.
Crossover Signals:
CrossUp: When Wave 9-17 (short-term wave) crosses Wave 17-26 (medium-term wave) upward, it is considered a buy signal, indicating a potential upward trend shift.
CrossDown: When Wave 9-17 (short-term wave) crosses Wave 17-26 downward, it is considered a sell signal, indicating a potential downward trend shift.
Background Color for Signal:
The script visually highlights the signals with background colors. When a buy signal occurs, the background turns green, and when a sell signal occurs, the background turns red. This makes it easier to spot reversal points.
Calculation Method:
The script calculates the difference between moving averages to display the wave oscillation. Wave 9-17, Wave 17-26, and Wave 9-26 represent the difference between the moving averages for different time periods, allowing for analysis of short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends.
Wave 9-17 = MA(9) - MA(17): Represents the difference between the short-term moving averages.
Wave 17-26 = MA(17) - MA(26): Represents the difference between medium-term moving averages.
Wave 9-26 = MA(9) - MA(26): Provides insight into the long-term trend.
This calculation method effectively visualizes the oscillation of waves and helps identify trend reversals at crossover points.
Uniqueness of the Script:
Unlike other moving average-based indicators, this script combines TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average) and SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average) to capture both short-term sensitivity and long-term stability in trends. This duality makes the script more versatile for different market conditions.
TEMA is ideal for short-term traders who need quick signals, while SMMA is useful for long-term investors seeking stability and noise reduction. By combining these two, this script provides a more refined analysis of trend changes across various timeframes.
How to Use:
This script is effective for trend analysis and reversal detection. By visualizing the crossover points between the waves, users can spot potential buy and sell signals to make more informed trading decisions.
Scalping strategies can rely on Wave 9-17 to detect quick trend changes, while those looking for medium-term trends can analyze signals from Wave 17-26.
For a broader market overview, Wave 9-26 helps users understand the long-term market trend.
This script is built on the concept of wave theory to anticipate trend changes, making it suitable for various timeframes and strategies. The user can tailor the characteristics of the waves by selecting different MA types, allowing for flexible application across different trading strategies.
Ichimoku Wave Oscillator with Custom MA - Pine Script 설명
이 스크립트는 다양한 이동 평균(MA) 유형을 활용하여 일목 파동론의 개념을 기반으로 파동 분석을 시도하는 지표입니다. 사용자는 SMA, EMA, WMA, TEMA, SMMA 중 원하는 이동 평균을 선택할 수 있으며, 이를 통해 단기, 중기, 장기 파동 간의 차이를 시각화하고, 교차점에서 상승 및 하락 신호를 포착할 수 있습니다.
주요 기능:
이동 평균(MA) 유형 선택:
사용자는 SMA(단순 이동 평균), EMA(지수 이동 평균), WMA(가중 이동 평균), TEMA(삼중 지수 이동 평균), SMMA(평활 이동 평균) 중 하나를 선택하여 파동을 계산할 수 있습니다. 이 스크립트는 TEMA와 SMMA의 독창적인 조합을 통해 기존의 단순한 이동 평균 지표와 차별화됩니다.
TEMA(삼중 지수 이동 평균): 빠른 반응으로 단기 트렌드를 포착하는 데 적합합니다.
SMMA(평활 이동 평균): 장기적인 추세를 파악하는 데 유용하며, 노이즈를 최소화하여 안정적인 신호를 제공합니다.
파동(Wave) 계산:
이 스크립트는 Wave 9-17, Wave 17-26, Wave 9-26의 세 가지 파동을 계산하여 각각 단기, 중기, 장기 추세를 분석합니다.
Wave 9-17 (파란색): 주로 단기 추세를 분석하는 데 사용되며, 빠른 추세 변화를 포착하는 데 유용합니다.
Wave 17-26 (빨간색): 중기 추세를 분석하는 데 사용되며, 좀 더 안정적인 시장 흐름을 보여줍니다.
Wave 9-26 (녹색): 장기 추세를 나타내며, 큰 흐름의 방향성을 파악하는 데 적합합니다.
기준선(0 라인):
각 파동은 0 라인을 기준으로 변동성을 시각화합니다. 0 위에 있는 파동은 상승세, 0 아래에 있는 파동은 하락세를 나타내며, 이를 통해 추세의 전환을 쉽게 확인할 수 있습니다.
파동 교차 신호:
CrossUp: Wave 9-17(단기 파동)이 Wave 17-26(중기 파동)을 상향 교차할 때, 상승 신호로 간주됩니다. 이는 단기적인 추세 변화가 발생할 수 있음을 의미합니다.
CrossDown: Wave 9-17(단기 파동)이 Wave 17-26(중기 파동)을 하향 교차할 때, 하락 신호로 해석됩니다. 이는 시장이 약세로 돌아설 가능성을 나타냅니다.
배경 색상 표시:
교차 신호가 발생할 때, 상승 신호는 녹색 배경, 하락 신호는 빨간색 배경으로 시각적으로 강조되어 사용자가 신호를 쉽게 인식할 수 있습니다.
계산 방식:
이 스크립트는 이동 평균 간의 차이를 계산하여 각 파동의 변동성을 나타냅니다. Wave 9-17, Wave 17-26, Wave 9-26은 각각 설정된 주기의 이동 평균(MA)의 차이를 통해, 시장의 단기, 중기, 장기 추세 변화를 시각적으로 표현합니다.
Wave 9-17 = MA(9) - MA(17): 단기 추세의 차이를 나타냅니다.
Wave 17-26 = MA(17) - MA(26): 중기 추세의 차이를 나타냅니다.
Wave 9-26 = MA(9) - MA(26): 장기적인 추세 방향을 파악할 수 있습니다.
이러한 계산 방식은 파동의 변동성을 파악하는 데 유용하며, 추세의 교차점을 통해 상승/하락 신호를 잡아냅니다.
스크립트의 독창성:
이 스크립트는 기존의 이동 평균 기반 지표들과 달리, TEMA(삼중 지수 이동 평균)와 SMMA(평활 이동 평균)을 함께 사용하여 짧은 주기와 긴 주기의 트렌드를 동시에 파악할 수 있도록 설계되었습니다. 이를 통해 단기 트렌드의 민감한 변화와 장기 트렌드의 안정성을 모두 반영합니다.
TEMA는 단기 트레이더에게 빠르고 민첩한 신호를 제공하며, SMMA는 장기 투자자에게 보다 안정적이고 긴 호흡의 트렌드를 파악하는 데 유리합니다. 두 지표의 결합으로, 다양한 시장 환경에서 추세의 변화를 더 정교하게 분석할 수 있습니다.
사용 방법:
이 스크립트는 추세 분석과 변곡점 포착에 효과적입니다. 각 파동 간의 교차점을 시각적으로 확인하고, 상승 또는 하락 신호를 포착하여 매매 시점 결정을 도울 수 있습니다.
스캘핑 전략에서는 Wave 9-17을 주로 참고하여 빠르게 추세 변화를 잡아내고, 중기 추세를 참고하고 싶은 경우 Wave 17-26을 사용해 신호를 분석할 수 있습니다.
장기적인 시장 흐름을 파악하고자 할 때는 Wave 9-26을 통해 큰 트렌드를 확인할 수 있습니다.
이 스크립트는 파동 이론의 개념을 기반으로 시장의 추세 변화를 예측하는 데 유용하며, 다양한 시간대와 전략에 맞추어 사용할 수 있습니다. 특히, 사용자가 선택한 MA 유형에 따라 파동의 특성을 변화시킬 수 있어, 여러 매매 전략에 유연하게 대응할 수 있습니다.
RoC Momentum CycleRoC Momentum Cycles (RMC) is derived from RoC (Rate of Change) indicator.
Motivation behind RMC: Addressing RoC’s Shortcomings
While the Rate of Change (RoC) indicator is a valuable tool for assessing momentum, it has notable limitations that traders must be aware of. One of the primary challenges with the traditional RoC is its sensitivity to price fluctuations, which can lead to false signals in volatile markets. This often results in premature entries or exits, impacting trading performance.
By smoothing out the RoC calculations and focusing on more consistent signal generation (using SMA on smoothed RoC), RMC offers a more consistent representation of price trends.
Momentum Cycles
RMC helps visualize momentum cycles in a much better way compared to RoC.
Long Momentum Cycle : A cross-over of smoothed RoC (blue line) above averaged signal (orange line) below zero marks start of a new potential upside cycle which ends when the blue line comes back to zero line from above.
Short Momentum Cycle : A cross-under of blue line below orange line above zero marks beginning of a potential downside cycle which ends when the blue line comes back to zero from below.
