ICT Balanced Price Range [TradingFinder] BPR | FVG + IFVG🔵 Introduction
The ICT Balanced Price Range (BPR) indicator is a valuable tool that helps traders identify key areas on price charts where a balance between buyers and sellers is established. These zones can serve as critical points for potential price reversals or continuations.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range
A Bullish BPR forms when a buying pressure zone (Bullish FVG) overlaps with a Bullish Inversion FVG. This overlap indicates a high probability of price moving upwards, making it a crucial area for traders to consider.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range
Similarly, a Bearish BPR is created when a selling pressure zone (Bearish FVG) overlaps with a Bearish Inversion FVG. This zone is often seen as a key area where the price is likely to move downward.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Identifying the Balanced Price Range (BPR)
To identify the Balanced Price Range (BPR), you must first locate two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the price chart. One FVG should be on the sell side, and the other on the buy side. When these two FVGs horizontally oppose each other, the area where they overlap is recognized as the Balanced Price Range (BPR).
This BPR zone is highly sensitive to price movements due to the combination of two FVGs, often leading to strong market reactions. As the price approaches this area, the likelihood of a significant market move increases, making it a prime target for professional traders.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range (Bullish BPR)
To effectively trade using a Bullish BPR, begin by identifying a bullish market structure and searching for bullish Price Delivery Arrays (PD Arrays). Once the market structure shifts to bullish in a lower time frame, locate a Bullish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bearish FVG.
Mark this overlapping zone and wait for the price to test it before executing a buy trade. Alternatively, you can set a Buy Limit order with a stop loss below the recent swing low and target profits based on higher time frame liquidity draws.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range (Bearish BPR)
For bearish trades, start by identifying a bearish market structure and look for bearish PD Arrays. After the market structure shifts to bearish in a lower time frame, identify a Bearish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bullish FVG. Mark this overlapping zone and execute a sell trade when the price tests it.
You can also use a Sell Limit order with a stop loss above the recent swing high and target profits according to higher time frame liquidity draws.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Global Settings
Show All Inversion FVG & IFVG : If disabled, only the most recent FVG & IFVG will be displayed.
FVG & IFVG Validity Period (Bar) : Determines the maximum duration (in number of candles) that the FVG and IFVG remain valid.
Switching Colors Theme Mode : Includes three modes: "Off", "Light", and "Dark". "Light" mode adjusts colors for light mode use, "Dark" mode adjusts colors for dark mode use, and "Off" disables color adjustments.
🟣 Display Settings
Show Bullish BPR : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish BPR : Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level BPR : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
Show Bullish IFVG : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish IFV G: Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level FVG and IFVG : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
🟣 Logic Settings
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filters :
Very Aggressive Filter : Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter : Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter : Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filte r: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert Inversion FVG Mitigation : Enables alerts for Inversion FVG mitigation.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
Display More Info : Provides additional details in alert messages, including price range, date, hour, and minute. Set to 'Off' to exclude this information.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Balanced Price Range is a powerful and reliable tool for identifying key points on price charts. This strategy can be applied across various time frames and serves as a complementary tool alongside other indicators and technical analysis methods.
The most crucial aspect of utilizing this strategy effectively is correctly identifying FVGs and their overlapping areas, which comes with practice and experience.
Fairvalue
Double FVG-BPR [QuantVue]The Double FVG BPR Indicator is a versatile tool that helps traders identify potential support and resistance levels through the concept of balanced price ranges.
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) is a zone on a price chart where the market has found equilibrium after a period of price imbalance.
It is identified by detecting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in one direction, followed by an overlapping Fair Value Gap in the opposite direction.
Components of a Balanced Price Range
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A FVG occurs when there is a rapid price movement, creating a gap in the price chart where minimal trading occurs. This gap represents an imbalance between supply and demand.
Bullish FVG: A bullish FVG is identified when the low of a candle is higher than the high of a candle two periods ago, and the close of the previous candle is higher than the high of that same period.
Bearish FVG: A bearish FVG is identified when the high of a candle is lower than the low of a candle two periods ago, and the close of the previous candle is lower than the low of that same period.
Overlapping Fair Value Gap: For a BPR to be formed, an initial FVG must be followed by an overlapping FVG in the opposite direction. This creates a balanced zone where the price has moved up (or down) quickly and then moved down (or up) with similar intensity, suggesting a temporary equilibrium.
The area between the high and low points of these overlapping FVGs forms the BPR. This zone represents a temporary market equilibrium where supply and demand have balanced out after a period of significant price movement in both directions.
How to Use
Support and Resistance Levels: The upper and lower boundaries of the BPR act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Traders can use these levels to place buy and sell orders, anticipating that the price may find support or face resistance within these zones.
Trend Reversal and Continuation: The BPR can signal potential trend reversals or continuations.
If the price moves back into the BPR after a breakout, it may indicate a reversal. Conversely, if the price breaks out of the BPR with strong momentum, it may signal a trend continuation.
Fair Value Calculator V 1.0Fair Value Calculator V 1.0
This indicator calculates the fair value of a stock based on the revenue growth rate and net profit margin of a company, providing a quick estimate of its intrinsic worth. The calculation takes into account:
Current Revenue: The company's current revenue
5-Year Growth Rate: Expected revenue annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next 5 years
Average PE Ratio: The average Price-to-Earnings ratio for the next 5 years
Average Profit Margin: The average profit margin for the next 5 years
Share Outstanding: The total number of shares outstanding
Yearly Share Buyback Rate: The percentage of shares bought back by the company each year
Discount Rate: The rate used to calculate the present value of the fair value
Using these inputs, the indicator estimates the fair value of the stock, providing a valuable tool for investors and traders to make informed decisions.
Note: all values can be adjusted by the user by entering the desired value and selecting the item in the setup menu.
How it works
The indicator calculates the future revenue based on the current revenue and the expected revenue annual growth rate (CAGR).
It then estimates the future earnings using the average profit margin.
The future price is calculated using the exit value of the PE ratio.
The present value of the fair value is calculated using the discount rate.
The indicator adjusts the fair value based on the yearly share buyback rate.
Benefits
Provides a quick but valuable estimate of a stock's fair value based on the revenue growth and the expected profit.
Helps investors and traders identify undervalued or overvalued stocks.
Allows users to adjust inputs to suit their own assumptions and scenarios.
Note
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always do your own research and consider multiple perspectives before making investment decisions.
Fair ValueThis indicator is designed to provide a valuation perspective based on a specified length and deviations from a base value. This code calculates fair value levels relative to a chosen source (typically closing prices) using simple moving averages (SMA) or exponential moving averages (EMA). Please note that this is purely educational and should not be considered financial advice.
Key Features:
1. Valuation Calculation: The indicator computes a base value using either SMA or EMA, providing a reference point for fair value.
2. Deviation Levels: Additional levels of valuation are defined as deviations from the base value, indicating potential overvalued or undervalued conditions.
3. Currency-Specific Display: It displays valuation levels in different currency symbols based on the asset's trading currency.
4. Visual Representation: The indicator plots fair value lines and shades areas to highlight potential deviations.
5. Line Projection: A projection line shows potential future movement based on the calculated slope. This feature forecasts future price movement using a linear regression line's slope, dynamically projecting the trend forward. It provides traders with valuable insight into potential future price behavior. The implementation involves complex mathematical computations to determine the slope and iterative drawing of projected segments.
Educational Purpose: This indicator is for educational purposes only. It does not guarantee accuracy or suitability for trading decisions.
Please use caution and consider consulting a financial professional before making any investment decisions based on this indicator. Keep in mind that market conditions can change rapidly, and historical performance may not predict future results.
FVG w/ Fibs [QuantVue]The "FVG w/ Fibs" indicator is a trading tool designed to identify and visualize Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) while overlaying two Fibonacci retracement levels.
• Bullish FVG: Occurs when the low of the current bar is higher than the high of two bars ago, and the previous close is higher than the high of two bars ago.
• Bearish FVG: Occurs when the high of the current bar is lower than the low of two bars ago, and the previous close is lower than the low of two bars ago.
The indicator filters these gaps based on user-defined criteria such as the minimum percentage size of the gap.
Once identified, these FVGs are highlighted on the chart using customizable boxes and the 50% and 61.8% (default settings) Fibonacci retracement levels are calculated and drawn based on the size of the identified FVG.
• Dynamically updates and extends the boxes as the price evolves.
• Alerts / visual changes for FVGs that get filled.
• User option for fills by Wicks or Close
• User-customizable settings for box colors, styles, and Fibonacci level appearances
Give this indicator a BOOST and COMMENT your thoughts!
We hope you enjoy.
Cheers!
Fair Value Gap (FVG) UnderlayBy analyzing the size and characteristics of candlestick patterns, the Fair Value Gap indicator helps traders spot potential opportunities where the price of a currency or financial asset deviates from its fair value. The FVG is represented as a percentage and displayed as columns in an underlay on the chart.
Calculation and Interpretation:
The calculation of the FVG involves evaluating the body-to-wick ratio of a candlestick. This ratio compares the size of the body (the difference between the open and close prices) to the length of the wicks (the high and low prices). A high body-to-wick ratio indicates a significant price move within the candlestick, potentially signaling a strong market sentiment. The FVG indicator compares the size of the current candlestick with the previous candlesticks over a specified lookback period, typically the last 20 to 40 candlesticks. If the current candlestick meets the criteria for a fair value gap, it is classified as either a Bearish FVG or Bullish FVG, depending on the direction of the price movement.
Interpreting the FVG is relatively straightforward. When a Bearish FVG is detected, it suggests that the price is currently lower than its fair value, indicating a potential upward price movement in the future. This could be an opportunity to consider long positions or buying opportunities. On the other hand, when a Bullish FVG is identified, it implies that the price is higher than its fair value, signaling a possible downward price correction. Traders may consider short-selling or taking profits on long positions in such scenarios.
Coloration:
The coloration of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicator plays a crucial role in enhancing its visual representation and aiding interpretation. When a Bearish FVG is identified, the indicator utilizes the color scheme of lime green. This color signifies the potential for an upward price movement as the current price is considered lower than its fair value. On the other hand, a Bullish FVG is represented by the vibrant color of fuchsia, indicating a potential downward price correction as the price exceeds its fair value. The coloration serves as a visual cue, making it easier for traders to quickly identify and differentiate between different types of fair value gaps on the chart. Additionally, the barcolor is aligned with the respective FVG color, providing a comprehensive view of price inefficiencies and aiding traders in their decision-making process.
Potential Applications/Strategies:
The FVG indicator can be applied in various trading strategies and situations. One possible application is in price reversion strategies. Traders can use the FVG to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. When a Bullish FVG occurs, it may indicate an opportunity to consider short-selling or taking profits on long positions. Similarly, a Bearish FVG can suggest a potential buying opportunity, expecting the price to revert back to its fair value.
Another application is in confirming existing trends. The FVG can act as a confirmation tool for trends identified by other indicators or analysis techniques. When a Bullish FVG aligns with an uptrend, it may strengthen the bullish bias and provide more confidence in the upward momentum. Conversely, a Bearish FVG in conjunction with a downtrend may reinforce the bearish sentiment and support the idea of further downside potential.
Parameters:
Adjusting the parameters of the FVG indicator can be beneficial based on the trader's trading style and time frame. The body-to-wick ratio threshold and lookback period can be modified to capture different types of fair value gaps and adapt to different market conditions. Shorter lookback periods may help identify more recent FVGs, which could be suitable for short-term traders, while longer periods may capture larger price inefficiencies and cater to longer-term traders.
Limitations:
However, it's important to note that the FVG indicator, like any technical analysis tool, has its limitations. It relies on historical price patterns and may not always accurately predict future price movements. The interpretation of FVGs requires careful analysis and should be used in conjunction with other indicators, technical analysis tools, and fundamental factors to make well-informed trading decisions. Traders should also exercise proper risk management and consider the overall market context when using the FVG indicator.
In conclusion, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicator provides traders with valuable insights into price inefficiencies and deviations from fair value. By identifying Bearish and Bullish FVGs, traders can potentially uncover trading opportunities and make more informed decisions. However, it is crucial to combine the FVG indicator with other analysis tools, conduct thorough analysis, and exercise proper risk management to achieve consistent trading success.
SPX Fair Value Bands WSHOSHOThis is a variation of the SPX Fair Value Bands indicator which uses WSHOSHO instead of WALCL.
WSHOSHO only includes the 'Securities Held Outright' portion of the Fed balance sheet. This effectively eliminates the portions related to BTFP (Bank Term Funding Program).
Overvalued/Undervalued OverlayThis indicator will tell you whether the security you are looking at is overvalued or undervalued using a company's total assets and their market cap. In theory, a company's total assets is everything that they own, which then should technically be how much the company is worth. Therefore, if the company's market cap is higher than their total assets, the indicator will read "Overvalued by X%". However, if the company's market cap is lower than their total assets, the indicator will read "Undervalued by X%". If you have any questions, feel free to let me know. Keep in mind that this indicator should be only used for long-term investing.
Fair value bands / quantifytools— Overview
Fair value bands, like other band tools, depict dynamic points in price where price behaviour is normal or abnormal, i.e. trading at/around mean (price at fair value) or deviating from mean (price outside fair value). Unlike constantly readjusting standard deviation based bands, fair value bands are designed to be smooth and constant, based on typical historical deviations. The script calculates pivots that take place above/below fair value basis and forms median deviation bands based on this information. These points are then multiplied up to 3, representing more extreme deviations.
By default, the script uses OHLC4 and SMA 20 as basis for the bands. Users can form their preferred fair value basis using following options:
Price source
- Standard OHLC values
- HL2 (High + low / 2)
- OHLC4 (Open + high + low + close / 4)
- HLC3 (High + low + close / 3)
- HLCC4 (High + low + close + close / 4)
Smoothing
- SMA
- EMA
- HMA
- RMA
- WMA
- VWMA
- Median
Once fair value basis is established, some additional customization options can be employed:
Trend mode
Direction based
Cross based
Trend modes affect fair value basis color that indicates trend direction. Direction based trend considers only the direction of the defined fair value basis, i.e. pointing up is considered an uptrend, vice versa for downtrend. Cross based trends activate when selected source (same options as price source) crosses fair value basis. These sources can be set individually for uptrend/downtrend cross conditions. By default, the script uses cross based trend mode with low and high as sources.
Cross based (downtrend not triggered) vs. direction based (downtrend triggered):
Threshold band
Threshold band is calculated using typical deviations when price is trading at fair value basis. In other words, a little bit of "wiggle room" is added around the mean based on expected deviation. This feature is useful for cross based trends, as it allows filtering insignificant crosses that are more likely just noise. By default, threshold band is calculated based on 1x median deviation from mean. Users can increase/decrease threshold band width via input menu for more/less noise filtering, e.g. 2x threshold band width would require price to cross wiggle room that is 2x wider than typical, 0x erases threshold band altogether.
Deviation bands
Width of deviation bands by default is based on 1x median deviations and can be increased/decreased in a similar manner to threshold bands.
Each combination of customization options produces varying behaviour in the bands. To measure the behaviour and finding fairest representation of fair and unfair value, some data is gathered.
— Fair value metrics
Space between each band is considered a lot, named +3, +2, +1, -1, -2, -3. For each lot, time spent and volume relative to volume moving average (SMA 20) is recorded each time price is trading in a given lot:
Depending on the asset, timeframe and chosen fair value basis, shape of the distributions vary. However, practically always time is distributed in a normal bell curve shape, being highest at lots +1 to -1, gradually decreasing the further price is from the mean. This is hardly surprising, but it allows accurately determining dynamic areas of normal and abnormal price behaviour (i.e. low risk area between +1 and -1, high risk area between +-2 to +-3). Volume on the other hand is typically distributed the other way around, being lowest at lots +1 to -1 and highest at +-2 to +-3. When time and volume are distributed like so, we can conclude that 1) price being outside fair value is a rare event and 2) the more price is outside fair value, the more anomaly behaviour in volume we tend to find.
Viewing metric calculations
Metric calculation highlights can be enabled from the input menu, resulting in a lot based coloring and visibility of each lot counter (time, cumulative relative volume and average relative volume) in data window:
— Alerts
Available alerts are the following:
Individual
- High crossing deviation band (bands +1 to +3 )
- Low crossing deviation band (bands -1 to -3 )
- Low at threshold band in an uptrend
- High at threshold band in a downtrend
- New uptrend
- New downtrend
Grouped
- New uptrend or downtrend
- Deviation band cross (+1 or -1)
- Deviation band cross (+2 or -2)
- Deviation band cross (+3 or -3)
— Practical guide
Example #1 : Risk on/risk off trend following
Ideal trend stays inside fair value and provides sufficient cool offs between the moves. When this is the case, fair value bands can be used for sensible entry/exit levels within the trend.
Example #2 : Mean reversions
When price shows exuberance into an extreme deviation, followed by a stall and signs of exhaustion (wicks), an opportunity for mean reversion emerges. The higher the deviation, the more volatility in the move, the more signalling of exhaustion, the better.
Example #3 : Tweaking bands for desired behaviour
The faster the length of fair value basis, the more momentum price needs to hit extreme deviation levels, as bands too are moving faster alongside price. Decreasing fair value basis length typically leads to more quick and aggressive deviations and less steady trends outside fair value.
Fair Value Gap [LuxAlgo]Fair value gaps (FVG) highlight imbalances areas between market participants and have become popular amongst technical analysts. The following script aims to display fair value gaps alongside the percentage of filled gaps and the average duration (in bars) before gaps are filled.
Users can be alerted when an FVG is filled using the alerts built into this script.
🔶 USAGE
In practice, FVG's highlight areas of support (bullish FVG) and resistances (bearish FVG). Once a gap is filled, suggesting the end of the imbalance, we can expect the price to reverse.
This approach is more contrarian in nature, users wishing to use a more trend-following approach can use the identification of FVG as direct signals, going long with the identification of a bullish FVG, and short with a bearish FVG.
🔹 Mitigation
By default, the script highlights the areas of only unmitigated FVG's. Users can however highlight the mitigation level of mitigated FVG's, that is the lower extremity of bullish FVG's and the upper extremity of bearish FVG's.
The user can track the evolution of a mitigated FVG's using the "Dynamic" setting.
🔹 Threshold
The gap height can be used to determine the degree of imbalance between buying and selling market participants. Users can filter fair value gaps based on the gap height using the "Threshold %" setting. Using the "Auto" will make use of an automatic threshold, only keeping more volatile FVG's.
🔶 DETAILS
We use the following rules for detecting FVG's in this script:
Bullish FVG
low > high(t-2)
close(t-1) > high(t-2)
(low - high(t-2)) / high(t-2) > threshold
Upper Bullish FVG = low
Lower Bullish FVG = high(t-2)
Bearish FVG
high < low(t-2)
close(t-1) < low(t-2)
(low(t-2) - high) / high < -threshold
Upper Bearish FVG = low(t-2)
Lower Bearish FVG = high
🔶 SETTINGS
Threshold %: Threshold percentage used to filter our FVG's based on their height.
Auto Threshold: Use the cumulative mean of relative FVG heights as threshold.
Unmitigatted Levels: Extent the mitigation level of the number of unmitigated FVG's set by the user.
Mitigation Levels: Show the mitigation levels of mitigated FVG's.
Timeframe : Timeframe of the price data used to detect FVG's.
OGT Intrinsic Value IndicatorOGT Intrinsic Value Indicator
This indicator will show you visually the intrinsic value of a stock. Intrinsic value aims to measure of what an asset is worth. There are a number of intrinsic valuation models where this TradingView indicator uses an earnings valuation model.
There are 4 inputs to the model:
1) EPS trailing 12 months (ttm) - the first step is to know what the current EPS is for a stock. The indicator calculates this for you
2) Annual EPS Growth Next 5 Years - You need to input what you think the annual growth rate is going to be for the stock. You can use you annual estimates which you can obtain by searching "stock name - eps growth forecast"
3) Earnings Multiple (PE Ratio) - The next step is to input the earnings multiple in year 5. You can get this from analyst estimates or looking at the average PE ratio of the asset over the past 3 / 5 / 10 years.
4) Desired Rate Of Return - The last input is your rate of return. I personally use 12.5% as you can invest in an S&P ETF and get 8-10% return. So I prefer a higher rate of return for the risk I am taking.
You will need to input your low, medium and high assumptions so you can see the different price ranges.
Fair Value Gap█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays the Fair Value Gap of the current timeframe and an additional higher timeframe. For each FVG the gaps act as targets creating bullish and bearish gaps that are often filled.
█ FEATURES
MTF Options
MidPoint FIll
Delete Old On Fill
Label FVG Timeframe
MTF Options
Enabling the MTF Options will allow the user to use the "MTF Timeframe" setting to choose what HTF Fair Value Gap to display
MidPoint FIll
A line plot at the Half way point will be included in the Fair Value Gap, this will be used to delete the gap when reached instead of a full fill.
Delete Old On Fill
Deletes historical Fair Value Gaps when filled.
Label FVG Timeframe
Labels Every Fair Value gap with there relevant timeframe to make it easier to determine which gap is being filled.
█ HOW TO USE IT
The indicator is quite straight forward in its application, providing users with targets that are often filled as they are seen as market imbalance.
Just applying it to your chart will provide the existing Fair Value Gaps. MTF Confluence is helpful in seeing what is happening on the macro perspective.
█ SUGGESTION
My suggestion for clarity is to use a different color to some degree between the MTF and Current TF as Opposed to text, keeps the chart clear.
█ LIMITATIONS OF PINE (Please read)
I see many users going on different indicators with MTF in mind and trying to use it for LTF data e.g. 1hour chart, and selecting 5min in chart settings.
This is not recommended by the team themselves and should be noted for use always use HTF: www.tradingview.com
To understand how to use fair value gaps I recommend learning about the subject some more, searching online will provide you resources. The internet is your friend when learning. All the best.
Silen's Financials Fair ValueIt is finally here! 🔥 My 3rd and most important script in my Financial series! 🚀
Ever imagined to see all fundamentals (or many that is) combined into one indicator that is right on your chart, showing you how your favorite stock is trading compared to its fundamentals?
Well, here is your answer! 📡
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This script shows you my own personal interpretation of fair value, based solely on the financial fundamentals of a company compared to market averages.
I don't believe that certain sectors of the market should be priced higher than others. If you look at historical data you'll see that favored sectors always rotate - placing insanely high P/E multiples on some sectors. Once they are "out" and people rotate away from those sectors you're left with nothing but the naked fundamentals that matter. So, you'll see many companies, that have been doing well on paper, see their share price decline by 70-90% for no other reasons than people favoring other sectors.
That's why it's even more important to focus on fair value that is solely fundamentals-based. Know when your stock gets to expensive. 🤯
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To give you some examples:
- Most Megacaps trade at historically high valuations, several times my fair value. Those include AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, TSLA, JPM, TSM, V and so on. And no, in the past they partially traded below (my) fair value.
- Most Cybersecurity / Cloud companies are trading at truly massive multiples of my fair value. (NET, DDOG, etc)
- Many Smallcaps & Midcaps are trading several multiples (OESX, CODX, QFIN) below my fair value. And no, in the past they partially traded above (my) fair value.
Ok, so much about the market. You ultimately decide how much you want to orientate on fair value. 👨🏫
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This fair value indicator (purple line):
Takes the P/E rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Takes the P/S rate of the company and compares it to the market (50% weight)
Then adds boni and mali f or debt/equity rates and debt and equity itself
Also looks at past growth and calculates future P/E and P/S rates which adds , in some cases, value to the fair value (green line)
Also compares how historical valuations have behaved compared to fair value and simulates a fair value guideline (dark blue line)
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This script is part 3️⃣ of a series of indicators that work well together.
Script 1️⃣ of the series is:
P/E & P/S Rates
Script 2️⃣ of the series is:
Debt & Equity
If you use all 3 scripts together it will look like this, giving you truly deep and simple information about the fundamentals of a company:
Example 1 - AMD
Example 2 - HZO
Example 3 - APPS
I hope this script makes your investing and stock picks a lot easier! 🔆💹🕗
Disclaimer: Fair value is always subjective. There are many different approaches to fair value. This one is only my personal interpretation.
Disclaimer 2: This script works only for the Day-Timeframe.
Disclaimer 3: This script uses 17,5 P/E and 3,0 P/S as market averages. The actual average keeps changing but, historically speaking, these seemed to be good numbers.
Feel free to share your thoughts and feedback! 🙃
Bitcoin Energy Value OscillatorBitcoin Energy Value as an oscillator against price.
Calculated as: (Bitcoin Price / Bitcoin Energy Value - 1) * 100
