Earnings Surprise Indicator (Post-Earnings Announcement Drift)What It Does:
- Displays a company's actual earnings vs. analysts' estimates over time
- Shows "earnings surprises" - when actual results beat or miss expectations
- Helps identify trends in a company's financial performance
How It Works:
- Green bars: Positive surprise (earnings beat estimates)
- Red bars: Negative surprise (earnings missed estimates)
- Yellow line: Analysts' earnings estimates
Correlation with Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): PEAD is the tendency for a stock's price to drift in the direction of an earnings surprise for several weeks or months after the announcement.
Why It Matters:
- Positive surprises often lead to upward price drift
- Negative surprises often lead to downward price drift
- This drift can create trading opportunities
How to Use It:
1. Spot Trends:
- Consistent beats may indicate strong company performance
- Consistent misses may signal underlying issues
2. Gauge Market Expectations:
- Large surprises may lead to significant price movements
3. Timing Decisions:
- Consider long positions after positive surprises
- Consider short positions or exits after negative surprises
4. Risk Management:
- Be cautious of reversal if the drift seems excessive
- Use in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis
Key Takeaways:
- Earnings surprises can be fundamental-leading indicators of future stock performance, especially when correlated with analyst projections
- PEAD suggests that markets often underreact to earnings news initially
- This indicator helps visualize the magnitude and direction of surprises
- It can be a valuable tool for timing entry and exit points in trades
Fundamental Analysis
Quarterly Highlight ModelDiscover a new edge in your market analysis with our latest TradingView script. Designed to highlight quarterly performance, this tool not only offers insights into individual companies but also serves as a powerful lens to examine broader market trends.
Key Features:
- Quarterly Highlights: Easily identify and analyze each company's performance across four quarters, with each quarter represented by a unique color for clear visual distinction.
- Trend Analysis: Use quarterly data to spot trends and make informed decisions.
Enhance your trading strategy with deeper insights and a comprehensive view of market conditions. Check it out and let’s revolutionize the way we understand the markets!
LV Stock QualityCritical financial and technical values are listed in the table.
PIOTROSKI_F_SCORE (expect. >5) -> The Piotroski score is a discrete score between zero and nine that reflects nine criteria used to determine the strength of a firm's financial position. The Piotroski score is used to determine the best value stocks, with nine being the best and zero being the worst. Having a score bigger than 5 is a good sign for the strength of a firm's financial position
ROE (expect. >11) --> Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of a company's financial performance. It is calculated by dividing net income by shareholders' equity. Because shareholders' equity is equal to a company’s assets minus its debt, ROE is a way of showing a company's return on net assets. A “good” ROE will depend on the company’s industry and competitors.
EPS_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> This indicator is calculated as the percentage change in Basic earnings per share for one year. This indicator reflects the growth rate of a company's basic profit per share outstanding for one year. It is calculated based using only common shares. An increase in EPS growth may signal that a company is becoming more profitable and efficient in its operations. A decline in EPS growth may signal that a company is spending more or losing business share. EPS growth should be viewed alongside other metrics like revenue and costs.
CURRENT_RATIO (expect. >1.25) --> The current ratio measures a company’s ability to pay current, or short-term, liabilities (debt and payables) with its current, or short-term, assets (cash, inventory, and receivables). Current ratios over 1.00 indicate that a company's current assets are greater than its current liabilities, meaning it could more easily pay of short-term debts.
OPERATING_MARGIN(expect. >11) --> The operating margin measures how much profit a company makes on a dollar of sales after paying for variable costs of production, such as wages and raw materials, but before paying interest or tax.
RETURN_CAPITAL (expect. >11) --> Return of capital (ROC) is a payment that an investor receives as a portion of their original investment and that is not considered income or capital gains from the investment.
ALTMAN_Z_SCORE (expect. >1.8) --> The Altman Z-score is the output of a credit-strength test that gauges a publicly traded manufacturing company's likelihood of bankruptcy. An Altman Z-score close to 0 suggests a company might be headed for bankruptcy, while a score closer to 3 suggests a company is in solid financial positioning.
REVENUE_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> Quarterly revenue growth is an increase in a company's sales in one quarter compared to sales of a different quarter. Comparing a company's financials from one period to another gives a clear picture of its revenue growth rate and can help investors identify the catalyst for such growth.
SUSTAINABLE_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> The sustainable growth rate (SGR) is the maximum rate of growth that a company or social enterprise can sustain without having to finance growth with additional equity or debt. In other words, it is the rate at which the company can grow while using its own internal revenue without borrowing from outside sources.
DEBT TO INCOME (expect. <0.4) --> A debt-to-income (DTI) ratio is a financial metric used by lenders to determine your borrowing risk. Your DTI ratio represents the total amount of debt you owe compared to the total amount of money you earn each month.
NORMALIZED ATR (expect. <8, W) --> The Normalized Average True Range (Normalized ATR) is an indicator used to measure market volatility by normalizing the average true range values. It does this by dividing the Average True Range (ATR) by the asset's closing price, converting it into a percentage. This normalization allows for the comparison of volatility levels across different securities or market conditions, regardless of the asset's price levels. The Normalized ATR helps traders to adjust their strategies based on relative volatility, rather than absolute price movements.
INDEX expect. EMA10>EMA20 --> it is expected to have EMA 10 > EMA 20 in weekly basis graph. It is known that having a strong trend in index will also increases chance of strong trend on stock levels. You need to select INDEX Market of stock via settings.
M. RELATIVE STRENGTH expect. MRS>1 --> Stan Weinstein uses the Mansfield RS indicator as another relative strength indicator. The indicator measures the variation in the 52-week ratio of stock and market.
VOLUME CHANGE (expect. >30) --> Having an increase on volume comparing to previous week can be a good sign if it occurs at the same time of breakout.
PRICE CHANGE (expect. >5 and <20) --> Having an increase on price comparing to previous week can be a good sign if it occurs at the same time of breakout.
It is better to look on weekly basis graphs.
Chartonaut: GlimpseDisplays an overview of some key metrics as a table.
Market Cap : value of the company.
Float Shares : number of shares available for trading.
AR# : average range over the last # sessions.
ATR# : average true range over the last # sessions.
ATR#/MA# : distance of the current price from the given moving average (MA) in terms of ATR multiples.
Rel Volatility : current session's range, including gaps from previous close, relative to the ATR.
Additionally, it highlights some metrics if they are crossing a given threshold, as to warn that some criteria might not be met.
AmirAli 20 Pairs/USDT&BTCThis TradingView indicator, titled "20 Pairs/USDT&BTC," is designed to analyze and display the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of various cryptocurrency pairs against USDT and BTC. Here's a detailed breakdown of its features, functionality, and usage:
Key Features:
Pairs Display: The indicator allows users to select which cryptocurrency pairs they wish to display on the chart. The available options include popular cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Ripple (XRP), Litecoin (LTC), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), Uniswap (UNI), Chainlink (LINK), Cardano (ADA), Cosmos (ATOM), Filecoin (FIL), Stellar (XLM), VeChain (VET), Enjin (ENJ), Celo (CELO), Hedera (HBAR), and Sandbox (SAND).
Dynamic Price Retrieval: For each selected pair, the indicator retrieves the closing prices for both USDT and BTC from Binance. This is done using the request.security function, which fetches real-time data.
EMA Calculation: The indicator calculates and plots the EMA for each cryptocurrency pair over a user-defined length, allowing traders to identify trends and potential buy/sell signals based on price movements relative to their EMAs.
User Customization: Users can customize several parameters, including the time frame for data retrieval, EMA length, and the visibility of each pair.
Market Hours Visualization: The indicator highlights the trading hours with a gray background, helping users identify when the market is active.
How to Use the Indicator:
Adding the Indicator: To use the indicator, add it to your TradingView chart by searching for "20 Pairs/USDT&BTC" in the public library or by pasting the provided Pine Script code into a new indicator script.
Select Pairs: Enable or disable specific cryptocurrency pairs in the input options at the top of the script. For example, if you want to analyze ETH and ADA, ensure that the respective boxes are checked.
Adjust Time Frame: Set the time frame for the indicator. You can choose any time frame or leave it blank to use the current chart's time frame.
Set EMA Length: Choose the length for the EMA calculation based on your trading strategy. A shorter EMA (e.g., 5) reacts more quickly to price changes, while a longer EMA (e.g., 20) smooths out price fluctuations.
Observe Trends: Monitor the plotted EMAs for the selected pairs. Crossovers of the price with the EMA can indicate potential buy or sell signals. For instance, if the price crosses above the EMA, it may signal a bullish trend, whereas a crossover below could indicate a bearish trend.
Consider Market Hours: Pay attention to the gray background during U.S. trading hours, as this may indicate higher volatility and trading opportunities.
Conclusion
The "20 Pairs/USDT&BTC" indicator is a powerful tool for cryptocurrency traders looking to analyze multiple pairs simultaneously. By providing a visual representation of EMAs, it aids in identifying trends and potential trading opportunities in a user-friendly manner. Make sure to adapt the settings according to your trading strategy and market conditions for optimal results.
Amir Hasankhah & Ali Beyki
High and Low in Selected Time Window (Chart's Timezone)Simple indicator for finding the high and low in any selected time period. to use enter the start time by selecting the hour and minute and enter the end time the same.
a line will be drawn along with the price and a timestamp of when it occurred. shows multiple days of the same time period. Useful for observing ICT Macros, 6VS10 etc.
ADA Stock-to-Flow Model (BSP)ADA Stock-to-Flow Model
This script implements a Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model for ADA (Cardano). The Stock-to-Flow ratio is a popular metric used to assess the scarcity of an asset by comparing its current supply (stock) to the rate at which it is being produced (flow). By visualizing the S2F ratio on ADA, this model helps traders and analysts evaluate potential long-term price trends based on supply scarcity.
Key features:
Calculates ADA's Stock-to-Flow ratio dynamically, adjusting for changes in circulating supply and emission rates.
Provides easy-to-read visualizations with adjustable timeframes, making it accessible for both novice and experienced traders.
The Stock-to-Flow model is widely used in analyzing assets like Bitcoin, and this adaptation for ADA gives unique insights into the relationship between its supply and market value. While the model offers a useful perspective on ADA’s potential trajectory, it should be used in conjunction with other tools for a comprehensive market analysis.
CAPE / Shiller PE RatioThe CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) or Shiller PE ratio is a popular valuation measure used by investors to assess whether a stock or index is over or undervalued relative to its historical earnings. Unlike the traditional P/E ratio, the CAPE ratio smooths earnings over ten years, adjusting for inflation and providing a more stable and long-term view of valuation.
This indicator lets you quickly calculate and visualize the CAPE ratio for any stock on TradingView, helping you make informed decisions about the sustainability of current price levels. With its clear presentation and intuitive setup, you can compare historical CAPE levels and identify potential opportunities for long-term investments or avoid overvalued markets.
Advantages of the CAPE Ratio:
Long-Term Focus : Smooth earnings over ten years, reducing the impact of short-term volatility.
Inflation-Adjusted : Provides a more precise, inflation-adjusted valuation measure over time.
Historical Comparison : Allows for benchmarking against long-term historical averages.
Market Sentiment Indicator : Can highlight overvalued or undervalued markets for long-term investors.
Reduces Noise : Filters out short-term earnings fluctuations, offering a more stable view.
Disadvantages of the CAPE Ratio:
Ignores Recent Earnings : Misses short-term earnings changes, which can affect current valuations.
Outdated Data : Relies on old earnings data that may not reflect recent company performance.
Less Effective for Growth Stocks : May undervalue high-growth stocks focused on future earnings.
Sector Limitations : Works best for broad markets, less so for fast-changing industries.
Debated Predictive Power : It’s unreliable for timing short-term market movements.
In short, the CAPE ratio is excellent for long-term valuation but has limitations for short-term or growth-focused investing.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Larry Williams Valuation Index [tradeviZion]Larry Williams Valuation Index
Welcome to the Larry Williams Valuation Index by tradeviZion! This script is an interpretation of Larry Williams' famous WillVal (Valuation) Index, originally developed in 1990 to help traders determine whether a market or asset is overvalued or undervalued. We've extended it to support multiple securities and offer alerts for different valuation levels, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
What is the Valuation Index?
The Valuation Index measures how a security's current price compares to its historical price action. It helps identify whether the security is overvalued (priced too high), undervalued (priced too low), or in a normal range.
This version supports multiple securities and uses valuation parameters to help you assess the relative valuation of three securities simultaneously. It can help you determine the best times to enter (buy) or exit (sell) the market.
Key Features
Multi-Security Analysis: Analyze up to three securities simultaneously to get a broader view of market conditions.
Valuation Levels: Automatically calculate overvaluation and undervaluation levels or set manual levels for consistent analysis.
Custom Alerts: Create custom alerts when securities move between overvalued, undervalued, or normal ranges.
Customizable Table Display: Display a table with valuation values and their status on the chart.
Getting Started
Step 1: Adding the Script to Your Chart
First, add the Larry Williams Valuation Index script to your chart on TradingView. The script is designed to work with any timeframe, but for best results, use weekly or daily timeframes for a longer-term perspective.
Step 2: Configuring Securities
The script allows you to analyze up to three different securities :
Security 1 (Default: DXY)
Security 2 (Default: GC1!)
Security 3 (Default: ZB1!)
You can enable or disable each security individually.
Custom Timeframe Option: You have the option to select a custom timeframe for analysis. This allows you to see whether the security is overvalued or undervalued in lower or higher timeframes. Note that this feature is experimental and has not been extensively tested. Larry Williams originally used the weekly timeframe to determine if a stock was overvalued or undervalued. By default, the indicator compares the current price with the security based on the selected timeframe, except if you choose to use a custom timeframe.
Pro Tip : New users can start with the default securities to understand the concept before using other assets.
Step 3: Valuation Index Settings
Short EMA Length : This is the short-term average used for calculations. A lower value makes it more responsive to recent price changes.
Long EMA Length : This is the long-term average, used to smooth the valuation over time.
Valuation Length (Default: 156) : Represents approximately three years of daily bars (as recommended by Larry Williams).
How is the Valuation Index Calculated?
The valuation calculation is done using a method called WVI (WillVal Index), which compares the current price of a security to the price of another correlated security. Here’s a step-by-step explanation:
1. Data Collection: The script takes the closing price of the security you are analyzing and the closing price of the correlated security.
2. Ratio Calculation : The ratio of the two prices is calculated:
Price Ratio = (Price of your security) / (Price of correlated security) * 100.
This ratio helps determine how expensive or cheap your security is compared to the correlated one.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : The price ratio is used to calculate short-term and long-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages). EMAs are used to create smooth lines that represent the average price of a security over a specific period of time, with more weight given to recent data. By calculating both short-term and long-term EMAs, we can identify the trend direction and how the security is performing compared to its historical averages.
4. Valuation Index Calculation:
The Valuation Index is calculated as the difference between the short-term EMA and the long-term EMA. This difference helps to determine if the security is currently overvalued or undervalued:
A positive value indicates that the price is above its longer-term trend, suggesting potential overvaluation.
A negative value indicates that the price is below its longer-term trend, suggesting potential undervaluation.
5. Normalization:
To make the valuation easier to interpret, the calculated valuation index is then normalized using the highest and lowest values over the selected valuation length (e.g., 156 bars).
This normalization process converts the index into a percentage between 0 and 100, where higher values indicate overvaluation and lower values indicate undervaluation.
Step 4: Understanding Valuation Levels
The valuation levels indicate whether a security is currently undervalued, overvalued, or in a normal range.
Manual Levels : You can manually set the overvaluation and undervaluation thresholds (default is 85 for overvalued and 15 for undervalued).
Auto Levels : The script can automatically calculate these levels based on recent price action, allowing you to adapt to changing market conditions.
Auto Levels Calculation Explained:
The Auto Levels are calculated by taking the average of the valuation indices for all three securities (e.g., index1, index2, and index3).
The script then looks at the highest and lowest values of this average over a selected number of recent bars (e.g., 50 bars).
The overvaluation level is determined by taking the highest value and multiplying it by a multiplier (e.g., 5). Similarly, the undervaluation level is calculated using the lowest value and the multiplier.
These dynamic levels adjust according to recent price action, providing an adaptive approach to identifying overvalued and undervalued conditions.
Step 5: How to Use the Script to Make Trading Decisions
For new users, here's a step-by-step trading strategy you can use with the Valuation Index:
1. Identify Undervalued Opportunities
When two or more securities are in the undervalued range (below 15 for manual or below automatically calculated undervalue levels), wait for at least two of these securities to turn from undervalued to normal .
This transition indicates a potential buy opportunity .
2. Buying Signal
When at least two securities transition from undervalued to normal, you can consider buying the asset.
This indicates that the market may be recovering from undervalued conditions and could be moving into a growth phase.
3. Selling Signal
Exit when the price high closes below the EMA 21 (21-day exponential moving average).
Alternatively, if the valuation index reaches overvalued levels (above 85 manually or auto-calculated), wait for it to drop back to normal . This can be another point to exit the trade .
You can also use any other sell condition based on your r isk management strategy .
Alerts for Valuation Levels
The script includes alerts to notify you of changing market conditions:
To activate these alerts, follow these steps, referring to the provided screenshot with detailed steps:
1. Enable Alerts : Click on the settings gear icon on the script title in your chart. In the settings menu, scroll to the section labeled Alerts Settings .
Enable Alerts by checking the Enable Alerts box.
Set the Required Securities for Alert (default is 2 securities).
Choose the Alert Frequency : Selecting Once Per Bar Close will trigger alerts only at the close of each bar, ensuring you receive confirmed signals rather than potentially noisy intermediate signals.
2. Select Alert Type : Choose the type of alert you want to activate, such as Alert on Overvalued, Alert on Undervalued, Alert on Over to Normal , or Alert on Under to Normal .
3. Save Settings : Click OK to save your alert settings.
4. Add Alert on Indicator : Click the "..." (More button) next to the indicator name on the chart and select " Add alert on tradeviZion - WillVal ".
5. Create Alert : In the Create Alert window:
Set Condition to tradeviZion - WillVal .
Ensure Any alert() function call is selected.
Set the Alert Name and select your Expiration preferences.
6. Set Notification Preferences : Go to the Notifications tab and select how you want to receive notifications, such as via app notification, toast notification, email , or sound alert . Adjust these preferences to best suit your needs.
7. Click Create : Finally, click Create to activate the alert.
These alerts will help you stay informed about key market conditions and take action accordingly, ensuring you do not miss critical trading opportunities.
Understanding the Table Display
The script includes an interactive table on the chart to show the valuation status of each security:
Security : The name of the security being analyzed.
Value : The current valuation index value.
Status : Indicates whether the security is overvalued, undervalued , or in a normal range.
Color: Displays a color code for easy identification of status:
Red for overvalued.
Green for undervalued.
Other colors represent normal valuation levels.
Empowering Messages : Motivational messages are displayed to encourage disciplined trading. These messages will change periodically, helping keep a positive trading mindset.
Acknowledgment
This tool builds upon the foundational work of Larry Williams, who developed the WillVal (Valuation) Index concept. It also incorporates enhancements to extend multi-security analysis, valuation normalization, and advanced alerting features, providing a more versatile and powerful indicator. The Larry Williams Valuation Index [ tradeviZion ] helps traders make informed decisions by assessing overvalued and undervalued conditions for multiple securities simultaneously.
Note : Always practice proper risk management and thoroughly test the indicator to ensure it aligns with your trading strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade smarter with TradeVizion—unlock your trading potential today!
Consecutive Candle Detector Consecutive Candle Detector , can be used to highlight impulsive moves . 3 or more candles with the same colour in the same direction .
Set an alert notification to let you know price has moved in an impulsive way and is forming a pattern to sell or buy
Fed Net LiquidityNet Liquidity = Federal Reserve Total Assets - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) Balance
1. Federal Reserve Total Assets: This is the sum of everything the Fed owns, like government bonds and mortgage-backed securities. You can snag this data from the Fed’s weekly balance sheet report.
2. Treasury General Account (TGA): Think of this as the U.S. government’s checking account at the Fed. When the TGA balance goes up, it means the government is pulling liquidity out of the market, and vice versa.
3. Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) Balance: This represents the liquidity the Fed absorbs from the market through reverse repo operations. When financial institutions park money in the Fed’s RRP account, there’s less cash available in the market.
Why Use Net Liquidity?
Net liquidity is seen as a key indicator of the actual amount of money available in the market. It helps gauge the overall liquidity conditions that can influence financial markets.
Where to Find the Data:
1. Federal Reserve Total Assets: You can find this in the Fed’s weekly balance sheet (the H.4.1 report). Here’s the link: Federal Reserve Statistical Release - H.4.1.
Steps to Calculate Net Liquidity Yourself:
1. Get the Fed’s Total Assets: Look up the latest H.4.1 report and jot down the total assets figure.
2. Find the TGA Balance: Head over to the U.S. Treasury’s Daily Treasury Statement to locate the “Treasury General Account” balance.
3. Get the RRP Balance: You can find this number in the H.4.1 report or on the New York Fed’s website under “Reverse Repurchase Agreements.”
4. Do the Math: Simply subtract the TGA and RRP balances from the Fed’s total assets—that gives you the net liquidity.
Every $5 (3 Up, 3 Down) GOLD onlyDescription :
This indicator plots customizable horizontal lines spaced every $5 on the XAUUSD chart, with exactly 3 lines above and 3 lines below the nearest $5 level from the current price.
Key Features :
Line Spacing: The lines are plotted at $5 intervals starting from the nearest whole $5 price below the current price (e.g., $1900, $1905, etc.).
Customizable Line Color : Users can select the color of the lines via the indicator settings, making it adaptable to different chart themes and styles.
Customizable Line Style : The indicator allows you to choose from the following line styles:
Solid : Continuous line.
Dashed: Dashed line for a more discrete visual.
Dotted: Dotted line for minimalistic visibility.
Visibility Control : The indicator limits the number of lines to 3 above and 3 below the current price, keeping the chart clean and uncluttered while providing key levels of interest.
Use Cases :
Support and Resistance Identification: Easily spot key psychological levels in $5 increments, useful for identifying potential support or resistance zones in XAUUSD trading.
Price Action Monitoring : Traders can visually track how XAUUSD interacts with specific price levels spaced by $5 increments.
Customization Options :
Color Selection: Modify the line color to match your chart theme or highlight important levels.
Line Style: Select between solid, dashed, or dotted lines to customize the look of your chart.
This indicator is ideal for XAUUSD traders looking for clear, customizable visual levels on their charts to aid in decision-making, whether you're tracking price action or setting targets for entry and exit.
Leonid's Bitcoin Sharpe RatioThe Sharpe ratio is an old formula used to value the risk-adjusted return of an asset. It was developed by Nobel Laureate William F. Sharpe. In this case, I have applied it to Bitcoin with an adjustable look-back date.
The Sharpe Ratio shows you the average return earned after subtracting out the risk-free rate per unit of volatility (I've defaulted this to 0.02 ).
Volatility is a measure of the price fluctuations of an asset or portfolio. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows you to understand what the extra returns are for taking the risk.
If the indicator is flashing red, Bitcoin is temporarily overbought (expensive).
If the indicator is flashing green, Bitcoin is temporarily oversold (cheap).
The goal of this indicator is to signal out local tops & bottoms. It can be adjusted as far as the lookback time but I have found 25-26 days to be ideal.
Bitcoin Cycle Master [InvestorUnknown]The "Bitcoin Cycle Master" indicator is designed for in-depth, long-term analysis of Bitcoin's price cycles, using several key metrics to track market behavior and forecast potential price tops and bottoms. The indicator integrates multiple moving averages and on-chain metrics, offering a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s historical and projected performance. Each of its components plays a crucial role in identifying critical cycle points:
Top Cap: This is a multiple of the Average Cap, which is calculated as the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s price (price has a longer history than Market Cap) divided by its age in days. Top Cap serves as an upper boundary for speculative price peaks, multiplied by a factor of 35.
Time_dif() =>
date = ta.valuewhen(bar_index == 0, time, 0)
sec_r = math.floor(date / 1000)
min_r = math.floor(sec_r / 60)
h_r = math.floor(min_r / 60)
d_r = math.floor(h_r / 24)
// Launch of BTC
start = timestamp(2009, 1, 3, 00, 00)
sec_rb = math.floor(start / 1000)
min_rb = math.floor(sec_rb / 60)
h_rb = math.floor(min_rb / 60)
d_rb = math.floor(h_rb / 24)
difference = d_r - d_rb
AverageCap() =>
ta.cum(btc_price) / (Time_dif() + btc_age)
TopCap() =>
// To calculate Top Cap, it is first necessary to calculate Average Cap, which is the cumulative sum of Market Cap divided by the age of the market in days.
// This creates a constant time-based moving average of market cap.
// Once Average cap is calculated, those values are multiplied by 35. The result is Top Cap.
// For AverageCap the BTC price was used instead of the MC because it has more history
// (the result should have minimal if any deviation since MC would have to be divided by Supply)
AverageCap() * 35
Delta Top: Defined as the difference between the Realized Cap and the Average Cap, this metric is further multiplied by a factor of 7. Delta Top provides a historically reliable signal for Bitcoin market cycle tops.
DeltaTop() =>
// Delta Cap = Realized Cap - Average Cap
// Average Cap is explained in the Top Cap section above.
// Once Delta Cap is calculated, its values over time are then multiplied by 7. The result is Delta Top.
(RealizedPrice() - AverageCap()) * 7
Terminal Price: Derived from Coin Days Destroyed, Terminal Price normalizes Bitcoin’s historical price behavior by its finite supply (21 million bitcoins), offering an adjusted price forecast as all bitcoins approach being mined. The original formula for Terminal Price didn’t produce expected results, hence the calculation was adjusted slightly.
CVDD() =>
// CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed.
// Coin Days Destroyed is a term used for bitcoin to identify a value of sorts to UTXO’s (unspent transaction outputs). They can be thought of as coins moving between wallets.
(MCR - TV) / 21000000
TerminalPrice() =>
// Theory:
// Before Terminal price is calculated, it is first necessary to calculate Transferred Price.
// Transferred price takes the sum of > Coin Days Destroyed and divides it by the existing supply of bitcoin and the time it has been in circulation.
// The value of Transferred Price is then multiplied by 21. Remember that there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin mined.
// This creates a 'terminal' value as the supply is all mined, a kind of reverse supply adjustment.
// Instead of heavily weighting later behavior, it normalizes historical behavior to today. By normalizing by 21, a terminal value is created
// Unfortunately the theoretical calculation didn't produce results it should, in pinescript.
// Therefore the calculation was slightly adjusted/improvised
TransferredPrice = CVDD() / (Supply * math.log(btc_age))
tp = TransferredPrice * 210000000 * 3
Realized Price: Calculated as the Market Cap Realized divided by the current supply of Bitcoin, this metric shows the average value of Bitcoin based on the price at which coins last moved, giving a market consensus price for long-term holders.
CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed): This on-chain metric analyzes Bitcoin’s UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) and the velocity of coins moving between wallets. It highlights key market dynamics during prolonged accumulation or distribution phases.
Balanced Price: The Balanced Price is the difference between the Realized Price and the Terminal Price, adjusted by Bitcoin's supply constraints. This metric provides a useful signal for identifying oversold market conditions during bear markets.
BalancedPrice() =>
// It is calculated by subtracting Transferred Price from Realized Price
RealizedPrice() - (TerminalPrice() / (21 * 3))
Each component can be toggled individually, allowing users to focus on specific aspects of Bitcoin’s price cycle and derive meaningful insights from its long-term behavior. The combination of these models provides a well-rounded view of both speculative peaks and long-term value trends.
Important consideration:
Top Cap did historically provide reliable signals for cycle peaks, however it may not be a relevant indication of peaks in the future.
COT INDEX v2The **Commitment of Traders (COT)** report is a valuable tool for analyzing market sentiment, providing insight into the positions of futures traders at the close of the Tuesday trading session. Prepared by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the report is published every Friday at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time, and the data is freely available on the CFTC website.
Traders are categorized into three groups: **Commercial Traders**, **Non-Commercial Traders** (large speculators), and **Nonreportable** (small speculators). This information can be applied to charts to visualize the direction of the positions held by major market participants and to receive key COT signals.
The **COT index** ranges from 0% to 100%, reflecting market sentiment over the past 26 weeks. Extreme values, below 25% or above 75%, represent bearish or bullish sentiment, respectively. However, it is important to note that the COT index is not a timing tool but rather an indicator of the overall sentiment of major market players.
For a more tailored analysis, you can adjust the period for index calculation, customize chart styles, and highlight extreme areas.
TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair CorrelationTechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation
Description:
The TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation is a powerful and versatile indicator designed to track the correlation between two assets—whether cryptocurrencies, indices, or other financial instruments—across multiple timeframes. Understanding correlations can provide deep insights into market behavior, helping traders make informed decisions based on how two assets move in relation to each other.
Key Features:
Customizable Pair Selection: Compare any two assets (e.g., Bitcoin and DXY, Ethereum and SP500) to study how their price movements relate over time.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Simultaneously track correlations across different timeframes—standard, lower, and higher—providing a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Dynamic Color Coding for Correlation Strength: Instantly spot correlations with visually intuitive colors—green for strong positive correlation, red for strong negative correlation, and yellow for neutral.
Heatmap Background: An easy-to-read background color heatmap highlights when correlations hit extreme levels, adding another layer of insight to your charts.
Real-Time Alerts: Get notified when correlations exceed your custom thresholds, signaling opportunities for potential breakouts, reversals, or divergences.
Divergence Detection: Automatically highlight moments when asset prices diverge, offering potential entry/exit points for smart trading decisions.
How to Use:
Asset Pair Comparison: Select two symbols to analyze their price correlation, such as BTC/USDT and DXY, or any other pair that fits your strategy.
Set Your Timeframes: Customize your standard, lower, and higher timeframes to monitor correlations at different intervals, allowing you to capture both short-term and long-term relationships.
Track Correlation Strength: Use dynamic color coding to quickly see how closely two assets are moving together. Strong correlations (positive or negative) could signal potential opportunities, while low correlations may indicate the absence of a strong trend.
Utilize Alerts: Receive real-time alerts when correlations cross your predefined thresholds, helping you take action when the market presents strong alignment or divergence.
Divergence Signals: Watch for divergence between the assets on multiple timeframes, which could indicate a potential trend reversal or a shift in market behavior.
Why It’s Essential:
Understanding the relationship between two assets can be a game changer for traders. Whether you're comparing Bitcoin to DXY, tracking the correlation between Ethereum and major indices, or evaluating two cryptocurrencies, this indicator gives you the tools to visualize and respond to market conditions with precision.
Perfect For:
Crypto traders looking to optimize strategies by monitoring the relationship between major cryptocurrencies and other assets.
Arbitrageurs seeking to capitalize on temporary pricing anomalies between correlated pairs.
Trend-followers aiming to catch large movements by detecting alignment or divergence between asset classes.
Portfolio managers monitoring how different asset classes impact each other to hedge or diversify investments.
By leveraging the TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation indicator, traders can gain deeper insights into market trends, correlations, and divergences, giving them an edge in fast-moving markets.
US Sentiment Index [CryptoSea]The US Sentiment Index is an advanced analytical tool designed for traders seeking to uncover patterns, correlations, and potential leading signals across key market tickers. This indicator surpasses traditional sentiment measures, providing a data-driven approach that offers deeper insights compared to conventional indices like the Fear and Greed Index.
Key Features
Multi-Ticker Analysis: Integrates data from a diverse set of market indicators, including gold, S&P 500, U.S. Dollar Index, Volatility Index, and more, to create a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
Customisable Sensitivity Settings: Allows users to adjust the moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of sentiment calculations, adapting the tool to various market conditions and trading strategies.
Detailed Sentiment Scaling: Utilises a 0-100 scale to quantify sentiment strength, with colour gradients that visually represent bearish, neutral, and bullish conditions, aiding in quick decision-making.
Below is an example where the sentiment index can give leading signals. We see a first sign of wekaness in the index as it drops below its moving average. Shortly after we see it dip below our median 50 level, another sign of weakeness. We see the SPX price action to take a hit following the sentiment index decrease.
Tickers Used and Their Impact on Sentiment
The impact of each ticker on sentiment can be bullish or bearish, depending on their behaviour:
Gold (USGD): Typically seen as a safe-haven asset, rising gold prices often indicate increased market fear or bearish sentiment. Conversely, falling gold prices can signal reduced fear and a shift towards bullish sentiment in riskier assets.
S&P 500 (SPX): A rising S&P 500 is usually a sign of bullish sentiment, reflecting confidence in economic growth and market stability. A decline, however, suggests bearish sentiment and a potential move towards risk aversion.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A strengthening U.S. Dollar can be a sign of fear as investors seek safety in the dollar, which is bearish for risk assets. A weakening dollar, on the other hand, can signal bullish sentiment as capital flows into riskier assets.
Volatility Index (VIX): Known as the "fear gauge," a rising VIX indicates increased market fear and bearish sentiment. A falling VIX suggests a calm, bullish market environment.
Junk Bonds (JNK): Rising junk bond prices often reflect bullish sentiment as investors take on more risk for higher returns. Conversely, falling junk bond prices signal increased fear and bearish sentiment.
Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT): Higher prices for long-term treasuries usually indicate a flight to safety, reflecting bearish sentiment. Lower prices suggest a shift towards riskier assets, indicating bullish sentiment.
Financial Sector ETF (XLF): Strength in the financial sector is typically bullish, indicating confidence in economic conditions. Weakness in this sector can reflect bearish sentiment and concerns about financial stability.
Unemployment Rate (USUR): A rising unemployment rate is a bearish signal, indicating economic weakness. A declining unemployment rate is bullish, reflecting economic strength and job growth.
U.S. Interest Rates (USINTR, USIRYY): Higher interest rates can be bearish, as they increase borrowing costs and reduce spending. Lower rates are generally bullish, promoting economic growth and risk-taking.
How it Works
Sentiment Calculation: The US Sentiment Index combines data from multiple tickers, calculating sentiment by scaling the distance from their respective moving averages. Each asset's behaviour is interpreted within the context of market fear or greed, providing a refined sentiment reading that adjusts dynamically.
Market Strength Analysis: When the index is above 50 and also above its moving average, it indicates particularly strong or bullish market conditions, driven by greed. Conversely, when the index is below 50 and under its moving average, it signals bearish or weak market conditions, associated with fear.
Correlation and Pattern Detection: The indicator analyses correlations among the included assets to detect patterns that might signal potential market movements, giving traders a leading edge over simpler sentiment measures.
Adaptive Background Colouring: Utilises a colour gradient that dynamically adjusts based on sentiment values, highlighting extreme fear, neutral, and extreme greed levels directly on the chart.
Flexible Display Options: Offers settings to toggle the moving average plot and adjust its period, giving users the ability to tailor the indicator's sensitivity and display to their specific needs.
In this example below, we can see the Sentiment rise above the Moving Average (MA). Price action goes on to follow this, although there is an instance where it dips below the MA, it quickly rises back above again as a sign of strength.
Another way you can use this index is by simply using the MA, if its trending up, we know the macro sentiment is bullish.
Application
Data-Driven Insights: Offers traders a detailed, data-driven approach to sentiment analysis, incorporating a broad spectrum of market indicators to deliver actionable insights.
Pattern Recognition: Helps identify patterns and correlations that may lead to market reversals or continuations, providing a nuanced view that goes beyond simple sentiment gauges.
Enhanced Decision-Making: Equips traders with a robust tool to validate trading strategies and make informed decisions based on comprehensive sentiment analysis.
The US Sentiment Index by is an essential addition to the toolkit of any trader looking to navigate market complexities with precision and confidence. Its advanced features and data-driven approach offer unparalleled insights into market sentiment, setting it apart from conventional sentiment indicators.
Big 5 Checklist | XEONEDIAThe Big 5 Checklist | XEONEDIA indicator is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders prepare their trading decisions in a structured and effective manner. The indicator encompasses five key areas:
Strategy Documentation :
✅ Ensure that the trading strategy is clearly defined and documented.
✅ Conduct backtesting.
✅ Perform demo testing with an 80% success rate.
✅ Analyze trading results.
✅ Regularly refine the strategy.
Risk Management :
✅ Minimize financial losses and ensure responsible trading.
✅ Set a risk limit of 1-2%.
✅ Use stop-loss orders.
✅ Ensure a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1.
✅ Adjust position sizes.
Technical Analysis :
✅ Evaluate charts and indicators to identify trading opportunities.
✅ Identify support and resistance levels.
✅ Use technical indicators (e.g., RSI).
✅ Set entry and exit points.
✅ Establish alerts for specific market conditions.
Market Conditions :
✅ Consider external factors that may influence trading.
✅ Monitor the economic calendar.
✅ Apply fundamental analysis.
✅ Observe market volatility.
✅ Analyze global trends.
Psychological Management :
✅ Control emotions and mindset during trading.
✅ Adhere to the trading plan.
✅ Manage emotions while trading.
✅ Set realistic expectations.
✅ Take regular mental breaks.
Mastercheck
The Mastercheck provides a digital checklist where traders can track their progress live. Users can make their own notes and view their checklist on any TradingView device, ensuring they stay informed about their trading readiness and can make adjustments in real-time. ✅
Overall, the Big 5 Checklist | XEONEDIA indicator helps minimize risks and maximize the chances of successful trades by promoting systematic and comprehensive trading preparation.
DRIP Yearly PerformanceOverview: The DRIP Yearly Performance indicator is designed for long-term investors using Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIP). This script calculates both the total and average yearly performance of an asset, factoring in the reinvestment of dividends over time. It provides key insights into portfolio growth by tracking the number of accumulated units from dividend reinvestment and how this impacts overall performance.
Key Features:
Dividend Reinvestment (DRIP) Calculation: Automatically adjusts the number of units held by reinvesting dividends, enhancing the calculation of total returns.
Custom Start Date: Choose a custom start date to begin tracking performance from a specific time period, allowing for more tailored performance analysis.
Performance Metrics: Displays key metrics such as the initial investment value, current value, total performance percentage, and the average yearly performance, all in an easy-to-read table format.
Visual Representation: Plots accumulated units and overall performance on the chart, with customizable colors for clarity.
Inputs Explained:
Start Quantity: Define the initial number of units (shares) held at the start of the investment.
Dividend Type: Choose between tracking Net or Gross dividends for reinvestment purposes. Net is always better unless you have a special case and you need to base your calculations on gross.
Start Date: Select a custom date to begin tracking performance. This allows users to focus on performance from any historical point.
Table Size: Customize the size of the text in the performance table to suit your visual preferences.
Performance Line Color: Choose the color of the performance plot line that tracks the value of your investment over time.
Accumulator Line Color: Customize the color of the line that tracks the accumulated units (shares) due to reinvested dividends.
Who Can Benefit: This indicator is ideal for long-term investors and dividend growth investors who want to measure their investment returns over time while factoring in the effects of dividend reinvestment.
Use Cases:
Tracking Dividend Impact: See how reinvesting dividends enhances your overall portfolio value.
Custom Performance Analysis: Set a custom start date to analyze performance from a specific point in time.
Visualizing Growth: Use the chart's plots to visually track your growing number of shares (units) and overall performance.
Sector Performance v0.3Sector Performance Dashboard v0.3 (Work In Progress)
- Provides a comprehensive view of sector and stock performance across multiple timeframes
Features:
- Displays performance data for various Indian market sectors and their constituent stocks
- Allows selection of different sector groups (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, CNXAUTO, etc.)
- Shows performance over four customizable time periods (default: Year, Quarter, Month, Week)
- Calculates percentage change for each time period
- Presents current price, 250-day high and low, and percentage distance from these extremes
- Uses color-coding to quickly identify positive (green) and negative (red) performance
- Adjustable text size for better visibility
- Functionality:
- Creates a table in the center of the chart
- Populates the table with up to 15 symbols per sector
- Updates data in real-time on daily timeframe
- Allows for easy comparison of different stocks within a sector
- User Inputs:
- Sector selection
- Four customizable date inputs for different time periods
- Adjustable text size for the table
- Use Cases:
- Quick sector rotation analysis
- Identifying outperforming and underperforming stocks within a sector
- Monitoring multiple timeframes simultaneously for comprehensive market view
- Assisting in stock screening and selection process
CANSLIM Screener [TrendX_]INTRODUCTION:
The CANSLIM investment strategy, developed by William J. O'Neil, is a powerful tool for identifying growth stocks that have the potential to outperform the market. TrendX has enhanced this approach with its unique indicators, making it easier for investors to assess stocks based on seven critical criteria.
➊ C: Current Quarterly EPS or PE with Growth Benchmark
The first criterion focuses on the Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth in the most recent quarter compared to previous quarters. A company should demonstrate significant EPS growth, ideally exceeding expectations and benchmarks within its industry.
➋ A: Average Annual EPS Growth with Growth Benchmark
This aspect evaluates a company's average annual EPS growth over the last three years. A consistent upward trend suggests that the company is effectively increasing its profitability. TrendX provides a customizable benchmark to help investors identify firms with sustainable growth trajectories.
➌ N: New Highs or New Product Development
TrendX interprets this criterion through an Annual Research & Development to Revenue Ratio (RNDR). A decreasing RNDR ratio may indicate that a company is finishing new products, which could lead to reduced revenue if product launches are unsuccessful.
➍ S: Supply and Demand
This component assesses supply and demand dynamics by analyzing the movement of Float Shares Outstanding. A decrease in float shares typically indicates higher demand for the stock, suggesting that the company is in good shape for future growth.
➎ L: Leader
TrendX employs comparative analysis between the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of a company and that of the overall market. If a company's RSI is higher than the market's, it signifies that the stock is leading rather than lagging.
➏ I: Institutional Sponsorship
Institutional sponsorship is gauged through the total dividends paid by a company. High dividend payouts can signal strong institutional interest, support and confidence in the company's future prospects.
➐ M: Market Direction
TrendX evaluates market direction by comparing a company's RSI against its Moving Average of RSI, along with utilizing Market Structure in Smart Money Concept indicator for alternative trend insights.
HOW TO USE
The TrendX CANSLIM indicator provides an evaluation score based on each of the seven criteria outlined above, which displays in a table containing:
Scoring System: Each letter in CANSLIM contributes to a total score out of 100%. A stock does not need to meet all seven criteria; achieving a score above 70% (5 out of 7) is generally considered indicative of a promising growth stock.
Screening Feature: The tool includes a screening feature that evaluates multiple stocks simultaneously, allowing investors to compare their CANSLIM scores efficiently. This feature streamlines identifying potential investment opportunities across various sectors.
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is not financial advice, it can only help traders make better decisions. There are many factors and uncertainties that can affect the outcome of any endeavor, and no one can guarantee or predict with certainty what will occur.
Therefore, one should always exercise caution and judgment when making decisions based on past performance.
Session HighlighterSession Highlighter Script
This Pine Script highlights the major trading sessions on your chart with distinct background colors and markers:
- Asian Session: From 22:00 to 06:00 UTC (Tokyo Open to Close), highlighted in blue.
-European Session: From 07:00 to 15:00 UTC (London Open to Close), highlighted in green.
-U.S. Session: From 13:00 to 21:00 UTC (New York Open to Close), highlighted in red.
Features:
- Background Colors: Different colors indicate the active trading session.
- Markers: Displays labels or shapes at the start of each session to show session changes.
Usage:
- Helps visualize trading session overlaps and market activity throughout the day.
- Ideal for identifying session-specific trends and planning trading strategies.
This script ensures that you can easily see when each major trading session starts and ends, allowing for better market timing and analysis.
ETH Signal 15m
This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator combined with RSI to generate buy and sell signals, with stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) conditions based on ATR (Average True Range). Below is a detailed explanation of each part:
1. General Information BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Strategy Name: "ETH Signal 15m"
Designed for use on the 15-minute time frame for the ETH pair.
Default capital allocation is 15% of total equity for each trade.
2. Backtest Period
start_time and end_time: Define the start and end time of the backtest period.
start_time = 2024-08-01: Start date of the backtest.
end_time = 2054-01-01: End date of the backtest.
The strategy will only run when the current time falls within this specified range.
3. Supertrend Indicator
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that provides buy or sell signals based on the direction of price changes.
factor = 2.76: The multiplier used in the Supertrend calculation (increasing this value makes the Supertrend less sensitive to price movements).
atrPeriod = 12: Number of periods used to calculate ATR.
Output:
direction: Determines the buy/sell direction based on Supertrend.
If direction decreases, it signals a buy (Long).
If direction increases, it signals a sell (Short).
4. RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
rsiLength = 12: Number of periods used to calculate RSI.
rsiOverbought = 70: RSI level considered overbought.
rsiOversold = 30: RSI level considered oversold.
5. Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Supertrend gives a buy signal (ta.change(direction) < 0).
RSI must be below the overbought level (rsi < rsiOverbought).
Short Entry:
Supertrend gives a sell signal (ta.change(direction) > 0).
RSI must be above the oversold level (rsi > rsiOversold).
The strategy will only execute trades if the current time is within the backtest period (in_date_range).
6. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Conditions
ATR (Average True Range) is used to calculate the distance for Stop Loss and Take Profit based on price volatility.
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod): ATR is calculated using 12 periods.
Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated as follows:
Long Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close - 4 * atr (current price minus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close + 2 * atr (current price plus 2 times the ATR).
Short Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close + 4 * atr (current price plus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close - 2.237 * atr (current price minus 2.237 times the ATR).
Summary:
This strategy enters a Long trade when the Supertrend indicates an upward trend and RSI is not in the overbought region. Conversely, a Short trade is entered when Supertrend signals a downtrend, and RSI is not oversold.
The trade is exited when the price reaches the Stop Loss or Take Profit levels, which are determined based on price volatility (ATR).
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading in cryptocurrency, stocks, or any financial markets involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of profit can be made. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this strategy is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following this strategy. All trades are executed at your own risk.
