Grains:Backwardation/ContangoGRAINS: Wheat , Soybeans , Corn (ZW, ZS, ZC )
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
The above chart shows a nice example of backwardation.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Wheat (ZW); 15 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Grains
COT GRAINS FUNDS NET POSITION(GRAINSTATS)- Retrieves fund net position from CFTC Commitments of Traders(COT) Reports
- Overlays fund net positions on left y-axis vs price on right y-axis
- Current supported Grain Products
- Corn (CBOT) (QUANDL: 002602)
- Soybeans (CBOT) (QUANDL: 005602)
- Kansas City Wheat(CBOT) (Hard Red Winter) (QUANDL: 001612)
- Oats (CBOT) (QUANDL: 004603)
- Soybean Meal (CBOT) (QUANDL: 026603)
- Soybean Oil (CBOT) (QUANDL: 007601)
- Wheat (CBOT) (Soft Red Winter) (QUANDL: 001602)
(MGEX WHEAT IS UNSUPPORTED)
