Moving Average Shift WaveTrend StrategyMoving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy
🧭 Overview
The Moving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy is a trend-following and momentum-based trading system designed to be overlayed on TradingView charts. It executes trades based on the confluence of multiple technical conditions—volatility, session timing, trend direction, and oscillator momentum—to deliver logical and systematic trade entries and exits.
🎯 Strategy Objectives
Enter trades aligned with the prevailing long-term trend
Exit trades on confirmed momentum reversals
Avoid false signals using session timing and volatility filters
Apply structured risk management with automatic TP, SL, and trailing stops
⚙️ Key Features
Selectable MA types: SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, VWMA
Dual-filter logic using a custom oscillator and moving averages
Session and volatility filters to eliminate low-quality setups
Trailing stop, configurable Take Profit / Stop Loss logic
“In-wave flag” prevents overtrading within the same trend wave
Visual clarity with color-shifting candles and entry/exit markers
📈 Trading Rules
✅ Long Entry Conditions:
Price is above the selected MA
Oscillator is positive and rising
200-period EMA indicates an uptrend
ATR exceeds its median value (sufficient volatility)
Entry occurs between 09:00–17:00 (exchange time)
Not currently in an active wave
🔻 Short Entry Conditions:
Price is below the selected MA
Oscillator is negative and falling
200-period EMA indicates a downtrend
All other long-entry conditions are inverted
❌ Exit Conditions:
Take Profit or Stop Loss is hit
Opposing signals from oscillator and MA
Trailing stop is triggered
🛡️ Risk Management Parameters
Pair: ETH/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Starting Capital: $3,000
Commission: 0.02%
Slippage: 2 pips
Risk per Trade: 2% of account equity (adjustable)
Total Trades: 224
Backtest Period: May 24, 2016 — April 7, 2025
Note: Risk parameters are fully customizable to suit your trading style and broker conditions.
🔧 Trading Parameters & Filters
Time Filter: Trades allowed only between 09:00–17:00 (exchange time)
Volatility Filter: ATR must be above its median value
Trend Filter: Long-term 200-period EMA
📊 Technical Settings
Moving Average
Type: SMA
Length: 40
Source: hl2
Oscillator
Length: 15
Threshold: 0.5
Risk Management
Take Profit: 1.5%
Stop Loss: 1.0%
Trailing Stop: 1.0%
👁️ Visual Support
MA and oscillator color changes indicate directional bias
Clear chart markers show entry and exit points
Trailing stops and risk controls are transparently managed
🚀 Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness
In-wave flag avoids repeated entries within the same trend phase
Filtering based on time, volatility, and trend ensures higher-quality trades
Dynamic high/low tracking allows precise trailing stop placement
Fully rule-based execution reduces emotional decision-making
💡 Inspirations & Attribution
This strategy is inspired by the excellent concept from:
ChartPrime – “Moving Average Shift”
It expands on the original idea with advanced trade filters and trailing logic.
Source reference:
📌 Summary
The Moving Average Shift WaveTrend Strategy offers a rule-based, reliable approach to trend trading. By combining trend and momentum filters with robust risk controls, it provides a consistent framework suitable for various market conditions and trading styles.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Always use proper backtesting and risk evaluation before applying in live markets.
Moving Averages
Visualisation tendancesThis script allows you to visualize the current trend of a financial asset.
It has two colors:
- Green for bullish phases
- Red for bearish phases
This allows you to instantly position yourself in the direction of the trend.
It also integrates Bollinger Bands, a volatility indicator.
This allows you to display two different indicators in a single indicator.
EMA & MA Crossover StrategyGuys, you asked, we did. Strategy for crossing moving averages .
The Moving Average Crossover trading strategy is possibly the most popular
trading strategy in the world of trading. First of them were written in the
middle of XX century, when commodities trading strategies became popular.
This strategy is a good example of so-called traditional strategies.
Traditional strategies are always long or short. That means they are never
out of the market. The concept of having a strategy that is always long or
short may be scary, particularly in today’s market where you don’t know what
is going to happen as far as risk on any one market. But a lot of traders
believe that the concept is still valid, especially for those of traders who
do their own research or their own discretionary trading.
This version uses crossover of moving average and its exponential moving average.
Strategy parameters:
Take Profit % - when it receives the opposite signal
Stop Loss % - when it receives the opposite signal
Current Backtest:
Account: 1000$
Trading size: 0.01
Commission: 0.05%
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Multi-timeframe Moving Average Overlay w/ Sentiment Table🔍 Overview
This indicator overlays selected moving averages (MA) from multiple timeframes directly onto the chart and provides a dynamic sentiment table that summarizes the relative bullish or bearish alignment of short-, mid-, and long-term moving averages.
It supports seven moving average types — including traditional and advanced options like DEMA, TEMA, and HMA — and provides visual feedback via table highlights and alerts when strong momentum alignment is detected.
This tool is designed to support traders who rely on multi-timeframe analysis for trend confirmation, momentum filtering, and high-probability entry timing.
⚙️ Core Features
Multi-Timeframe MA Overlay:
Plot moving averages from 1-minute, 5-minute, 1-hour, 1-day, 1-week, and 1-month timeframes on the same chart for visual trend alignment.
Customizable MA Type:
Choose from:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
DEMA (Double EMA)
TEMA (Triple EMA)
WMA (Weighted MA)
VWMA (Volume-Weighted MA)
HMA (Hull MA)
Adjustable MA Length:
Change the length of all moving averages globally to suit your strategy (e.g. 9, 21, 50, etc.).
Sentiment Table:
Visually track trend sentiment across four key zones (Hourly, Daily, Weekly, Monthly). Each is based on the relative positioning of short-term and long-term MAs.
Sentiment Symbols Explained:
↑↑↑: Strong bullish momentum (short-term MAs stacked above longer-term MAs)
↑↑ / ↑: Moderate bullish bias
↓↓↓: Strong bearish momentum
↓↓ / ↓: Moderate bearish bias
Table Customization:
Choose the table’s position on the chart (bottom right, top right, bottom left, top left).
Style Customization:
Display MA lines as standard Line or Stepline format.
Color Customization:
Individual colors for each timeframe MA line for visual clarity.
Built-in Alerts:
Receive alerts when strong bullish (↑↑↑) or bearish (↓↓↓) sentiment is detected on any timeframe block.
📈 Use Cases
1. Trend Confirmation:
Use sentiment alignment across multiple timeframes to confirm the overall trend direction before entering a trade.
2. Entry Timing:
Wait for a shift from neutral to strong bullish or bearish sentiment to time entries during pullbacks or breakouts.
3. Momentum Filtering:
Only trade in the direction of the dominant multi-timeframe trend. For example, ignore long setups when all sentiment blocks show bearish alignment.
4. Swing & Intraday Scalping:
Use hourly and daily sentiment zones for swing trades, or rely on 1m/5m MAs for precise scalping decisions in fast-moving markets.
5. Strategy Layering:
Combine this overlay with support/resistance, RSI, or volume-based signals to enhance decision-making with multi-timeframe context.
⚠️ Important Notes
Lower-timeframe values (1m, 5m) may appear static on higher-timeframe charts due to resolution limits in TradingView. This is expected behavior.
The indicator uses MA stacking, not crossover events, to determine sentiment.
Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision
This cutting‐edge futures trading strategy built to thrive in rapidly changing market conditions. Developed for high-frequency futures trading on instruments such as the CME Mini MNQ, this strategy leverages a matrix of sophisticated moving averages combined with ATR-based filters to pinpoint high-probability entries and exits. Its unique combination of adaptable technical indicators and multi-timeframe trend filtering sets it apart from standard strategies, providing enhanced precision and dynamic responsiveness.
imgur.com
Core Functional Components
1. Advanced Moving Averages
A distinguishing feature of the DAFE strategy is its robust, multi-choice moving averages (MAs). Clients can choose from a wide array of MAs—each with specific strengths—in order to fine-tune their trading signals. The code includes user-defined functions for the following MAs:
imgur.com
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
The hma(src, len) function calculates the HMA by using weighted moving averages (WMAs) to reduce lag considerably while smoothing price data. This function computes an intermediate WMA of half the specified length, then a full-length WMA, and finally applies a further WMA over the square root of the length. This design allows for rapid adaptation to price changes without the typical delays of traditional moving averages.
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA):
Implemented via tema(src, len), TEMA uses three consecutive exponential moving averages (EMAs) to effectively cancel out lag and capture price momentum. The final formula—3 * (ema1 - ema2) + ema3—produces a highly responsive indicator that filters out short-term noise.
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA):
Through the dema(src, len) function, DEMA calculates an EMA and then a second EMA on top of it. Its simplified formula of 2 * ema1 - ema2 provides a smoother curve than a single EMA while maintaining enhanced responsiveness.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA):
With vwma(src, len), this MA accounts for trading volume by weighting the price, thereby offering a more contextual picture of market activity. This is crucial when volume spikes indicate significant moves.
Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA):
The zlema(src, len) function applies a correction to reduce the inherent lag found in EMAs. By subtracting a calculated lag (based on half the moving average window), ZLEMA is exceptionally attuned to recent price movements.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA):
The alma(src, len, offset, sigma) function introduces ALMA—a type of moving average designed to be less affected by outliers. With parameters for offset and sigma, it allows customization of the degree to which the MA reacts to market noise.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA):
The custom kama(src, len) function is noteworthy for its adaptive nature. It computes an efficiency ratio by comparing price change against volatility, then dynamically adjusts its smoothing constant. This results in an MA that quickly responds during trending periods while remaining smoothed during consolidation.
Each of these functions—integrated into the strategy—is selectable by the trader (via the fastMAType and slowMAType inputs). This flexibility permits the tailored application of the MA most suited to current market dynamics and individual risk management preferences.
2. ATR-Based Filters and Risk Controls
ATR Calculation and Volatility Filter:
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined period (atrPeriod). ATR is then used to derive both:
Volatility Assessment: Expressed as a ratio of ATR to closing price, ensuring that trades are taken only when volatility remains within a safe, predefined threshold (volatilityThreshold).
ATR-Based Entry Filters: Implemented as atrFilterLong and atrFilterShort, these conditions ensure that for long entries the price is sufficiently above the slow MA and vice versa for shorts. This acts as an additional confirmation filter.
Dynamic Exit Management:
The exit logic employs a dual approach:
Fixed Stop and Profit Target: Stops and targets are set at multiples of ATR (fixedStopMultiplier and profitTargetATRMult), helping manage risk in volatile markets.
Trailing Stop Adjustments: A trailing stop is calculated using the ATR multiplied by a user-defined offset (trailOffset), which captures additional profits as the trade moves favorably while protecting against reversals.
3. Multi-Timeframe Trend Filtering
The strategy enhances its signal reliability by leveraging a secondary, higher timeframe analysis:
15-Minute Trend Analysis:
By retrieving 15-minute moving averages (fastMA15m and slowMA15m) via request.security, the strategy determines the broader market trend. This secondary filter (enabled or disabled through useTrendFilter) ensures that entries are aligned with the prevailing market direction, thereby reducing the incidence of false signals.
4. Signal and Execution Logic
Combined MA Alignment:
The entry conditions are based primarily on the alignment of the fast and slow MAs. A long condition is triggered when the current price is above both MAs and the fast MA is above the slow MA—complemented by the ATR filter and volume conditions. The reverse applies for a short condition.
Volume and Time Window Validation:
Trades are permitted only if the current volume exceeds a minimum (minVolume) and the current hour falls within the predefined trading window (tradingStartHour to tradingEndHour). An additional volume spike check (comparing current volume to a moving average of past volumes) further filters for optimal market conditions.
Comprehensive Order Execution:
The strategy utilizes flexible order execution functions that allow pyramiding (up to 10 positions), ensuring that it can scale into positions as favorable conditions persist. The use of both market entries and automated exits (with profit targets, stop-losses, and trailing stops) ensures that risk is managed at every step.
5. Integrated Dashboard and Metrics
For transparency and real-time analysis, the strategy includes:
On-Chart Visualizations:
Both fast and slow MAs are plotted on the chart, making it easy to see the market’s technical foundation.
Dynamic Metrics Dashboard:
A built-in table displays crucial performance statistics—including current profit/loss, equity, ATR (both raw and as a percentage), and the percentage gap between the moving averages. These metrics offer immediate insight into the health and performance of the strategy.
Input Parameters: Detailed Breakdown
Every input is meticulously designed to offer granular control:
Fast & Slow Lengths:
Determine the window size for the fast and slow moving averages. Smaller values yield more sensitivity, while larger values provide a smoother, delayed response.
Fast/Slow MA Types:
Choose the type of moving average for fast and slow signals. The versatility—from basic SMA and EMA to more complex ones like HMA, TEMA, ZLEMA, ALMA, and KAMA—allows customization to fit different market scenarios.
ATR Parameters:
atrPeriod and atrMultiplier shape the volatility assessment, directly affecting entry filters and risk management through stop-loss and profit target levels.
Trend and Volume Filters:
Inputs such as useTrendFilter, minVolume, and the volume spike condition help confirm that a trade occurs in active, trending markets rather than during periods of low liquidity or market noise.
Trading Hours:
Restricting trade execution to specific hours (tradingStartHour and tradingEndHour) helps avoid illiquid or choppy markets outside of prime trading sessions.
Exit Strategies:
Parameters like trailOffset, profitTargetATRMult, and fixedStopMultiplier provide multiple layers of risk management and profit protection by tailoring how exits are generated relative to current market conditions.
Pyramiding and Fixed Trade Quantity:
The strategy supports multiple entries within a trend (up to 10 positions) and sets a predefined trade quantity (fixedQuantity) to maintain consistent exposure and risk per trade.
Dashboard Controls:
The resetDashboard input allows for on-the-fly resetting of performance metrics, keeping the strategy’s performance dashboard accurate and up-to-date.
Why This Strategy is Truly Exceptional
Multi-Faceted Adaptability:
The ability to switch seamlessly between various moving average types—each suited to particular market conditions—enables the strategy to adapt dynamically. This is a testament to the high level of coding sophistication and market insight infused within the system.
Robust Risk Management:
The integration of ATR-based stops, profit targets, and trailing stops ensures that every trade is executed with well-defined risk parameters. The system is designed to mitigate unexpected market swings while optimizing profit capture.
Comprehensive Market Filtering:
By combining moving average crossovers with volume analysis, volatility thresholds, and multi-timeframe trend filters, the strategy only enters trades under the most favorable conditions. This multi-layered filtering reduces noise and enhances signal quality.
-Final Thoughts-
The Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision strategy is not just another trading algorithm—it is a multi-dimensional, fully customizable system built on advanced technical principles and sophisticated risk management techniques. Every function and input parameter has been carefully engineered to provide traders with a system that is both powerful and transparent.
For clients seeking a state-of-the-art trading solution that adapts dynamically to market conditions while maintaining strict discipline in risk management, this strategy truly stands in a class of its own.
****Please show support if you enjoyed this strategy. I'll have more coming out in the near future!!
-Dskyz
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ADXHeiken Ashi Supertrend ADX Indicator
Overview
This indicator combines the power of Heiken Ashi candles, Supertrend indicator, and ADX filter to identify strong trend movements across multiple timeframes. Designed primarily for the cryptocurrency market but adaptable to any tradable asset, this system focuses on capturing momentum in established trends while employing a sophisticated triple-layer stop loss mechanism to protect capital and secure profits.
Strategy Mechanics
Entry Signals
The strategy uses a unique blend of technical signals to identify high-probability trade entries:
Heiken Ashi Candles: Looks specifically for Heiken Ashi candles with minimal or no wicks, which signal strong momentum and trend continuation. These "full-bodied" candles represent periods where price moved decisively in one direction with minimal retracement. These are overlayed onto normal candes for more accuarte signalling and plotting
Supertrend Filter: Confirms the underlying trend direction using the Supertrend indicator (default factor: 3.0, ATR period: 10). Entries are aligned with the prevailing Supertrend direction.
ADX Filter (Optional) : Can be enabled to focus only on stronger trending conditions, filtering out choppy or ranging markets. When enabled, trades only trigger when ADX is above the specified threshold (default: 25).
Exit Signals
Positions are closed when either:
An opposing signal appears (Heiken Ashi candle with no wick in the opposite direction)
Any of the three stop loss mechanisms are triggered
Triple-Layer Stop Loss System
The strategy employs a sophisticated three-tier stop loss approach:
ATR Trailing Stop: Adapts to market volatility and locks in profits as the trend extends. This stop moves in the direction of the trade, capturing profit without exiting too early during normal price fluctuations.
Swing Point Stop: Uses natural market structure (recent highs/lows over a lookback period) to place stops at logical support/resistance levels, honoring the market's own rhythm.
Insurance Stop: A percentage-based safety net that protects against sudden adverse moves immediately after entry. This is particularly valuable when the swing point stop might be positioned too far from entry, providing immediate capital protection.
Optimization Features
Customizable Filters : All components (Supertrend, ADX) can be enabled/disabled to adapt to different market conditions
Adjustable Parameters : Fine-tune ATR periods, Supertrend factors, and ADX thresholds
Flexible Stop Loss Settings : Each of the three stop loss mechanisms can be individually enabled/disabled with customizable parameters
Best Practices for Implementation
[Recommended Timeframes : Works best on 4-hour charts and above, where trends develop more reliably
Market Conditions: Performs well across various market conditions due to the ADX filter's ability to identify meaningful trends
Performance Characteristics
When properly optimized, this has demonstrated profit factors exceeding 3 in backtesting. The approach typically produces generous winners while limiting losses through its multi-layered stop loss system. The ATR trailing stop is particularly effective at capturing extended trends, while the insurance stop provides immediate protection against adverse moves.
The visual components on the chart make it easy to follow the strategy's logic, with position status, entry prices, and current stop levels clearly displayed.
This indicator represents a complete trading system with clearly defined entry and exit rules, adaptive stop loss mechanisms, and built-in risk management through position sizing.
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ADX - StrategyHeiken Ashi Supertrend ADX Strategy
Overview
This strategy combines the power of Heiken Ashi candles, Supertrend indicator, and ADX filter to identify strong trend movements across multiple timeframes. Designed primarily for the cryptocurrency market but adaptable to any tradable asset, this system focuses on capturing momentum in established trends while employing a sophisticated triple-layer stop loss mechanism to protect capital and secure profits.
Strategy Mechanics
Entry Signals
The strategy uses a unique blend of technical signals to identify high-probability trade entries:
Heiken Ashi Candles: Looks specifically for Heiken Ashi candles with minimal or no wicks, which signal strong momentum and trend continuation. These "full-bodied" candles represent periods where price moved decisively in one direction with minimal retracement.
Supertrend Filter : Confirms the underlying trend direction using the Supertrend indicator (default factor: 3.0, ATR period: 10). Entries are aligned with the prevailing Supertrend direction.
ADX Filter (Optional) : Can be enabled to focus only on stronger trending conditions, filtering out choppy or ranging markets. When enabled, trades only trigger when ADX is above the specified threshold (default: 25).
Exit Signals
Positions are closed when either:
An opposing signal appears (Heiken Ashi candle with no wick in the opposite direction)
Any of the three stop loss mechanisms are triggered
Triple-Layer Stop Loss System
The strategy employs a sophisticated three-tier stop loss approach:
ATR Trailing Stop: Adapts to market volatility and locks in profits as the trend extends. This stop moves in the direction of the trade, capturing profit without exiting too early during normal price fluctuations.
Swing Point Stop : Uses natural market structure (recent highs/lows over a lookback period) to place stops at logical support/resistance levels, honoring the market's own rhythm.
Insurance Stop: A percentage-based safety net that protects against sudden adverse moves immediately after entry. This is particularly valuable when the swing point stop might be positioned too far from entry, providing immediate capital protection.
Optimization Features
Customizable Filters: All components (Supertrend, ADX) can be enabled/disabled to adapt to different market conditions
Adjustable Parameters: Fine-tune ATR periods, Supertrend factors, and ADX thresholds
Flexible Stop Loss Settings: Each of the three stop loss mechanisms can be individually enabled/disabled with customizable parameters
Best Practices for Implementation
Recommended Timeframes: Works best on 4-hour charts and above, where trends develop more reliably
Market Conditions: Performs well across various market conditions due to the ADX filter's ability to identify meaningful trends
Position Sizing: The strategy uses a percentage of equity approach (default: 3%) for position sizing
Performance Characteristics
When properly optimized, this strategy has demonstrated profit factors exceeding 3 in backtesting. The approach typically produces generous winners while limiting losses through its multi-layered stop loss system. The ATR trailing stop is particularly effective at capturing extended trends, while the insurance stop provides immediate protection against adverse moves.
The visual components on the chart make it easy to follow the strategy's logic, with position status, entry prices, and current stop levels clearly displayed.
This strategy represents a complete trading system with clearly defined entry and exit rules, adaptive stop loss mechanisms, and built-in risk management through position sizing.
MA Deviation// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// MA Deviation Marking & Alert (MA Divergence)
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Short Title: MA Deviation Radar
// Author: zhipeng luo
// Version: 1.0
// Date: 2025-04-11
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// Overview:
// This indicator identifies and highlights price bars where the closing price
// deviates significantly from its Simple Moving Average (SMA) by a user-defined
// percentage. It visually marks these bars on the chart and provides
// configurable alert conditions for threshold breaches.
//
// How it Works:
// 1. Calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) based on the 'MA Period' input.
// 2. Computes the percentage deviation of the closing price from the SMA value.
// Formula: `((Close - SMA) / SMA) * 100`
// 3. Compares the calculated deviation percentage against the positive and
// negative 'Threshold (%)' input values.
// 4. Marks the background of the price bars when a threshold is exceeded:
// - Red Background: Price deviation is greater than the positive threshold.
// - Green Background: Price deviation is less than the negative threshold.
// 5. Includes an optional, non-visible plot of the MA line itself.
// 6. Offers three distinct alert conditions for automation and notifications.
//
// Features:
// - Customizable Simple Moving Average period.
// - Adjustable deviation threshold percentage.
// - Clear visual signals using background colors on the main chart.
// - Built-in Alert Conditions:
// - MA Positive Deviation Alert (Triggers when price > MA + Threshold %)
// - MA Negative Deviation Alert (Triggers when price < MA - Threshold %)
// - MA Deviation Alert - Any (Triggers on either positive or negative breach)
//
// How to Use:
// - Identify Potential Extremes: Useful for spotting potential overbought (large
// positive deviation) or oversold (large negative deviation) conditions
// which might precede price corrections or mean reversion.
// - Gauge Trend Extension: Extreme deviations can sometimes indicate that a
// trend is overextended and might be due for a pause or reversal.
// - Parameter Tuning: Adjust the 'MA Period' and '(Threshold %)' settings to
// suit the specific asset, timeframe, and volatility characteristics you
// are analyzing. Lower thresholds yield more signals; higher thresholds
// focus on more significant deviations.
// - Alerts: Set up alerts via the TradingView alert menu using the provided
// conditions ("MA Positive Deviation Alert", "MA Negative Deviation Alert",
// "MA Deviation Alert - Any") to get notified of potential setups.
//
// Parameters:
// - MA Period (Default: 200): The lookback period for the SMA calculation.
// - (Threshold %) (Default: 7.0): The percentage deviation (positive and
// negative) from the MA required to trigger a background signal and alert.
//
// Alerts & Important Note:
// Three alert conditions corresponding to the signals are available:
// 1. "MA Positive Deviation Alert"
// 2. "MA Negative Deviation Alert"
// 3. "MA Deviation Alert - Any"
//
// ***Please Note:*** The value shown after "( {{plot_0}}%)" or
// "( {{plot_0}}%)" in the default alert message refers to the
// **Moving Average value** (`plot_0`), not the actual deviation percentage.
// The alert *triggers correctly* based on the deviation percentage crossing
// the threshold, but the number displayed by the `{{plot_0}}` placeholder
// in the message is the MA's value at that time due to the script's
// internal plot order.
//
// Disclaimer: This indicator is provided for informational and analytical
// purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation
// to buy or sell any asset. Always conduct your own research and use proper
// risk management. Trading involves significant risk.
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Leavitt Convolution ProbabilityTechnical Analysis of Markets with Leavitt Market Projections and Associated Convolution Probability
The aim of this study is to present an innovative approach to market analysis based on the research "Leavitt Market Projections." This technical tool combines one indicator and a probability function to enhance the accuracy and speed of market forecasts.
Key Features
Advanced Indicators : the script includes the Convolution line and a probability oscillator, designed to anticipate market changes. These indicators provide timely signals and offer a clear view of price dynamics.
Convolution Probability Function : The Convolution Probability (CP) is a key element of the script. A significant increase in this probability often precedes a market decline, while a decrease in probability can signal a bullish move. The Convolution Probability Function:
At each bar, i, the linear regression routine finds the two parameters for the straight line: y=mix+bi.
Standard deviations can be calculated from the sequence of slopes, {mi}, and intercepts, {bi}.
Each standard deviation has a corresponding probability.
Their adjusted product is the Convolution Probability, CP. The construction of the Convolution Probability is straightforward. The adjusted product is the probability of one times 1− the probability of the other.
Customizable Settings : Users can define oversold and overbought levels, as well as set an offset for the linear regression calculation. These options allow for tailoring the script to individual trading strategies and market conditions.
Statistical Analysis : Each analyzed bar generates regression parameters that allow for the calculation of standard deviations and associated probabilities, providing an in-depth view of market dynamics.
The results from applying this technical tool show increased accuracy and speed in market forecasts. The combination of Convolution indicator and the probability function enables the identification of turning points and the anticipation of market changes.
Additional information:
Leavitt, in his study, considers the SPY chart.
When the Convolution Probability (CP) is high, it indicates that the probability P1 (related to the slope) is high, and conversely, when CP is low, P1 is low and P2 is high.
For the calculation of probability, an approximate formula of the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) has been used, which is given by: CDF(x)=21(1+erf(σ2x−μ)) where μ is the mean and σ is the standard deviation.
For the calculation of probability, the formula used in this script is: 0.5 * (1 + (math.sign(zSlope) * math.sqrt(1 - math.exp(-0.5 * zSlope * zSlope))))
Conclusions
This study presents the approach to market analysis based on the research "Leavitt Market Projections." The script combines Convolution indicator and a Probability function to provide more precise trading signals. The results demonstrate greater accuracy and speed in market forecasts, making this technical tool a valuable asset for market participants.
RSI Full [Titans_Invest]RSI Full
One of the most complete RSI indicators on the market.
While maintaining the classic RSI foundation, our indicator integrates multiple entry conditions to generate more accurate buy and sell signals.
All conditions are fully configurable, allowing complete customization to fit your trading strategy.
⯁ WHAT IS THE RSI❓
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the magnitude of recent price movements to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in a market. The RSI is an oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify potential reversal points, as well as the strength of a trend.
⯁ HOW TO USE THE RSI❓
The RSI is calculated based on average gains and losses over a specified period (usually 14 periods). It is plotted on a scale from 0 to 100 and includes three main zones:
Overbought: When the RSI is above 70, indicating that the asset may be overbought.
Oversold: When the RSI is below 30, indicating that the asset may be oversold.
Neutral Zone: Between 30 and 70, where there is no clear signal of overbought or oversold conditions.
⯁ ENTRY CONDITIONS
The conditions below are fully flexible and allow for complete customization of the signal.
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🔹 CONDITIONS TO BUY 📈
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR .
📈 RSI Conditions:
🔹 RSI > Upper
🔹 RSI < Upper
🔹 RSI > Lower
🔹 RSI < Lower
🔹 RSI > Middle
🔹 RSI < Middle
🔹 RSI > MA
🔹 RSI < MA
📈 MA Conditions:
🔹 MA > Upper
🔹 MA < Upper
🔹 MA > Lower
🔹 MA < Lower
📈 Crossovers:
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔹 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔹 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔹 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔹 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔹 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔹 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📈 RSI Divergences:
🔹 RSI Divergence Bull
🔹 RSI Divergence Bear
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🔸 CONDITIONS TO SELL 📉
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• Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars .
• Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR .
📉 RSI Conditions:
🔸 RSI > Upper
🔸 RSI < Upper
🔸 RSI > Lower
🔸 RSI < Lower
🔸 RSI > Middle
🔸 RSI < Middle
🔸 RSI > MA
🔸 RSI < MA
📉 MA Conditions:
🔸 MA > Upper
🔸 MA < Upper
🔸 MA > Lower
🔸 MA < Lower
📉 Crossovers:
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🔸 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🔸 RSI (Crossover) MA
🔸 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🔸 MA (Crossover) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Upper
🔸 MA (Crossover) Lower
🔸 MA (Crossunder) Lower
📉 RSI Divergences:
🔸 RSI Divergence Bull
🔸 RSI Divergence Bear
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🤖 AUTOMATION 🤖
• You can automate the BUY and SELL signals of this indicator.
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⯁ UNIQUE FEATURES
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Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
Signal Validity: The signal will remain valid for X bars
Signal Sequence: Configurable as AND/OR
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Plot Labels in the Graph Above: BUY/SELL
Automate and Monitor Signals/Alerts: BUY/SELL
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📜 SCRIPT : RSI Full
🎴 Art by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
👨💻 Dev by : @Titans_Invest & @DiFlip
🎑 Titans Invest — The Wizards Without Gloves 🧤
✨ Enjoy the Spell!
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o Mission 🗺
• Inspire Traders to manifest Magic in the Market.
o Vision 𐓏
• To elevate collective Energy 𐓷𐓏
NY ORB, VWAP & EMAsIndicator is designed to display key technical analysis tools on your Trading View chart. It includes:
One of the key benefits of this indicator is that it allows Basic Trading View users to set VWAP, EMAs, and ORB in a single indicator. This is particularly useful for users who are limited to a single indicator on their Basic plan, as it provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment, trend, and potential breakouts without the need for multiple indicators.
Features
New York Opening Range Breakout (ORB): Plots the high and low of the first 15 minutes (configurable) of the New York trading session.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): Displays the VWAP line, which can be toggled on or off.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Plots four EMAs (9, 21, 50, and 200 periods), which can also be toggled on or off.
Customization
ORB Length: Choose from 5 or 15 minutes for the ORB calculation.
Show VWAP and EMAs: Toggle the visibility of the VWAP and EMA lines on or off.
Usage
This indicator is designed to help traders identify key market levels, trends, and potential breakouts during the New York trading session. The ORB can be used to gauge market sentiment, while the VWAP provides a benchmark for average price action. The EMAs offer additional trend analysis and can be used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
TrendTwisterV1.5 (Forex Ready + Indicators)A Precision Trend-Following TradingView Strategy for Forex**
HullShiftFX is a Pine Script strategy for TradingView that combines the power of the **Hull Moving Average (HMA)** and a **shifted Exponential Moving Average (EMA)** with multi-layered momentum filters including **RSI** and **dual Stochastic Oscillators**.
It’s designed for traders looking to catch high-probability breakouts with tight risk management and visual clarity.
Chart settings:
1. Select "Auto - Fits data to screen"
2. Please Select "Scale Price Chart Only" (To make the chart not squished)
### ✅ Entry Conditions
**Long Position:**
- Price closes above the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes above the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Hull MA crosses above the shifted EMA.
**Short Position:**
- Price closes below the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes below the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Hull MA crosses below the shifted EMA.
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## 📉 Risk Management
- **Stop Loss:** Set at the low (for long) or high (for short) of the previous 2 candles.
- **Take Profit:** Calculated at a risk/reward ratio of **1.65x** the stop loss distance.
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## 📊 Indicators Used
- **Hull Moving Average (12)**
- **Exponential Moving Average (5) **
- **Relative Strength Index (14)**
- **Stochastic Oscillators:**
- %K (12,3,3)
- %K (5,3,3)
Day’s Open ForecastOverview
This Pine Script indicator combines two primary components:
1. Day’s Open Forecast:
o Tracks historical daily moves (up and down) from the day’s open.
o Calculates average up and down moves over a user-defined lookback period.
o Optionally includes standard deviation adjustments to forecast potential intraday levels.
o Plots lines on the chart for the forecasted up and down moves from the current day's open.
2. Session VWAP:
o Allows you to specify a custom trading session (by time range and UTC offset).
o Calculates and plots a Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) during that session.
By combining these two features, you can gauge potential intraday moves relative to historical behavior from the open, while also tracking a session-specific VWAP that can act as a dynamic support/resistance reference.
How the Code Works
1. Collect Daily Moves
o The script detects when a new day starts using time("D").
o Once a new day is detected, it stores the previous day’s up-move (dayHigh - dayOpen) and down-move (dayOpen - dayLow) into arrays.
o These arrays keep track of the last N days (default: 126) of up/down move data.
2. Compute Statistics
o The script computes the average (f_average()) of up-moves and down-moves over the stored period.
o It also computes the standard deviation (f_stddev()) of up/down moves for optional “forecast bands.”
3. Forecast Lines
o Plots the current day’s open.
o Plots the average forecast lines above and below the open (Avg Up Move Level and Avg Down Move Level).
o If standard deviation is enabled, plots additional lines (Avg+StdDev Up and Avg+StdDev Down).
4. Session VWAP
o The script detects the start of a user-defined session (via input.session) and resets accumulation of volume and the numerator for VWAP.
o As each bar in the session updates, it accumulates volume (vwapCumulativeVolume) and a price-volume product (vwapCumulativeNumerator).
o The session VWAP is then calculated as (vwapCumulativeNumerator / vwapCumulativeVolume) and plotted.
5. Visualization Options
o Users can toggle standard deviation usage, historical up/down moves plotting, and whether to show the forecast “bands.”
o The vwapSession and vwapUtc inputs let you adjust which session (and time zone offset) the VWAP is calculated for.
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How to Use This Indicator on TradingView
1. Create a New Script
o Open TradingView, then navigate to Pine Editor (usually found at the bottom of the chart).
o Copy and paste the entire code into the editor.
2. Save and Add to Chart
o Click Save (give it a relevant title if you wish), then click Add to chart.
o The indicator will appear on your chart with the forecast lines and VWAP.
o By default, it is overlayed on the price chart (because of overlay=true).
3. Customize Inputs
o In the indicator’s settings, you can:
Change lookback days (default: 126).
Enable or disable standard deviation (Include Standard Deviation in Forecast?).
Adjust the standard deviation multiplier.
Choose whether to plot bands (Plot Bands with Averages/StdDev?).
Plot historical moves if desired (Plot Historical Up/Down Moves for Reference?).
Set your custom session and UTC offset for the VWAP calculation.
4. Interpretation
o “Current Day Open” is simply today’s open price on your chart.
o Up/Down Move Lines: Indicate a potential forecast based on historical averages.
If standard deviation is enabled, the second set of lines acts as an extended range.
o VWAP: Helpful for determining intraday price equilibrium over the specified session.
Important Notes / Best Practices
• The script only updates the historical up/down move data once per day (when a new day starts).
• The VWAP portion resets at the start of the specified session each day.
• Standard deviation multiplies the average up/down range, giving you a sense of “volatility range” around the day’s open.
• Adjust the lookback length (dayCount) to balance how many days of data you want to average. More days = smoother but possibly slower to adapt; fewer days = more reactive but potentially less reliable historically.
Educational & Liability Disclaimers
1. Educational Disclaimer
o The information provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is a technical analysis tool intended to demonstrate how to use historical data and basic statistics in Pine Script.
2. No Financial Advice
o This script does not constitute financial or investment advice. All examples and explanations are solely illustrative. You should always do your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
3. No Liability
o The author of this script is not liable for any losses or damages—monetary or otherwise—that may occur from the application of this script.
o Past performance does not guarantee future results, and you should never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
By adding this indicator to your TradingView chart, you acknowledge and accept that you alone are responsible for your own trading decisions.
Enjoy using the “Day’s Open Forecast” and Session VWAP for better market insights!
Multi-SMA Dashboard (10 SMAs)Description:
This script, "Multi-SMA Dashboard (10 SMAs)," creates a dashboard on a TradingView chart to analyze ten Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) of varying lengths. It overlays the chart and displays a table with each SMA’s direction, price position relative to the SMA, and angle of movement, providing a comprehensive trend overview.
How It Works:
1. **Inputs**: Users define lengths for 10 SMAs (default: 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350), select a price source (default: close), and customize table appearance and options like angle units (degrees/radians) and debug plots.
2. **SMA Calculation**: Computes 10 SMAs using the `ta.sma()` function with user-specified lengths and price source.
3. **Direction Determination**: The `sma_direction()` function checks each SMA’s trend:
- "Up" if current SMA > previous SMA.
- "Down" if current SMA < previous SMA.
- "Flat" if equal (no strength distinction).
4. **Price Position**: Compares the price source to each SMA, labeling it "Above" or "Below."
5. **Angle Calculation**: Tracks the most recent direction change point for each SMA and calculates its angle (atan of price change over time) in degrees or radians, based on the `showInRadians` toggle.
6. **Table Display**: A 12-column table shows:
- Columns 1-10: SMA name, direction (Up/Down/Flat), Above/Below status, and angle.
- Column 11: Summary of Up, Down, and Flat counts.
- Colors reflect direction (lime for Up/Above, red for Down/Below, white for Flat).
7. **Debug Option**: Optionally plots all SMAs and price for visual verification when `debug_plots_toggle` is enabled.
Indicators Used:
- Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 10 user-configurable SMAs ranging from short-term (e.g., 5) to long-term (e.g., 350) periods.
The script runs continuously, updating the table on each bar, and overlays the chart to assist traders in assessing multi-timeframe trend direction and momentum without cluttering the view unless debug mode is active.
RSI + MA + Divergence + SnR + Price levelOverview
This indicator combines several technical analysis tools to give traders a comprehensive view based on the RSI indicator. Its main features include:
RSI & Moving Averages on RSI:
RSI: Calculates the RSI based on the closing price (or a user-selected source) with a configurable period (default is 14).
EMA and WMA: Computes and plots an Exponential Moving Average (EMA with a period of 9) and a Weighted Moving Average (WMA with a period of 45) on the RSI, helping to smooth out signals and better identify trends.
Price Ladder Based on RSI:
Draws horizontal lines at specified target RSI levels (from targetRSI1 to targetRSI7, default levels ranging from 20 to 80).
Calculates a target price based on the price change relative to the averaged gains and losses, providing an estimated price level when the RSI reaches those critical levels.
Divergence Detection:
Identifies divergence between price and RSI:
Bullish Divergence: Detected when the price forms a lower low but RSI fails to confirm with a corresponding lower low, with the RSI falling under a configurable threshold (d_below).
Bearish Divergence: Detected when the price forms a higher high while the RSI does not, with the RSI exceeding a configurable upper threshold (d_upper).
Optionally displays labels on the chart to alert the trader when divergence signals are detected.
Auto Support & Resistance on RSI:
Automatically calculates and plots support and resistance lines based on the RSI over different lookback periods (e.g., 34, 89, 200 bars).
Helps traders identify key RSI levels where price reversals or breakouts might occur.
Benefits for the Trader
This indicator is designed to assist traders in their decision-making process by integrating multiple technical analysis elements:
Identifying Market Trends:
By combining the RSI with its moving averages (EMA, WMA), traders can better assess market trends and the strength of these trends, thereby improving trade entry accuracy.
Early Reversal Signals via Divergence:
Divergence signals (both bullish and bearish) can help forecast potential reversals in the market, allowing traders to adjust their strategies timely.
Determining RSI-Based Support/Resistance Levels:
Automatic identification of support and resistance levels on the RSI provides key areas where a price reversal or breakout may occur, assisting traders in setting stop-loss and take-profit levels strategically.
Price Target Forecasting with the Price Ladder:
The target price labels calculated at important RSI levels provide insights into potential price objectives, aiding in risk management and profit planning.
Flexible Configuration:
Traders can customize key parameters such as the RSI period, lengths for EMA and WMA, target RSI levels, divergence conditions, and support/resistance settings. This flexibility allows the indicator to adapt to different trading styles and strategies.
How to read data
Some use-cases
Used to estimate price according to the RSI level.
When you trade using RSI, you want to set your stop-loss or take-profit levels based on RSI. By looking at the price ladder, you know the corresponding price level to enter a trade.
Used to determine the entry zone.
RSI often reacts to its own previously established support/resistance levels. Use the Auto SnR feature to identify those zones.
Used to determine the trend.
RSI and its moving averages help identify the price trend:
Uptrend: 3 lines separate and point upward.
Downtrend: 3 lines separate and point downward.
Use WMA45 to determine the trend:
Uptrend: WMA45 is moving upward or trading above the 50 level.
Downtrend: WMA45 is moving downward or trading below the 50 level.
Sideways: WMA45 is trading around the 50 level.
Use EMA9 to confirm the trend: A crossover of EMA9 through WMA45 confirms the formation of a new trend.
Configuration
The script allows users to configure a number of important parameters to suit their analytical preferences:
RSI Settings:
RSI Length (rsiLengthInput): The number of periods used to compute the RSI (default is 14, adjustable as needed).
RSI Source (rsiSourceInput): Select the price source (default is the closing price).
RSI Color (rsiClr): The color used to display the RSI line.
Moving Averages on RSI:
EMA Length (emaLength): The period for calculating the EMA on RSI (default is 9).
WMA Length (wmaLength): The period for calculating the WMA on RSI (default is 45).
EMA Color (emaClr) and WMA Color (wmaClr): Customize the colors of the EMA and WMA lines.
Price Ladder Settings:
Toggle Price Ladder (showPrice): Enable or disable the display of the price ladder.
Target RSI Levels: targetRSI1 through targetRSI7: RSI values at which target prices are calculated (default values range from 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70 to 80).
Price Label Color (priceColor): The text color for displaying the target price labels.
Divergence Settings:
Divergence Toggle (calculateDivergence): Option to enable or disable divergence calculation and display.
Divergence Conditions:
d_below: RSI level below which bullish divergence is considered.
d_upper: RSI level above which bearish divergence is considered.
Display Divergence Labels (showDivergenceLabel): Option to display labels on the chart when divergence is detected.
Auto Support & Resistance on RSI:
Toggle Auto S&R (enableAutoSnR): Enable or disable automatic plotting of support and resistance levels.
Lookback Periods for Support/Resistance:
L1_lookback: Lookback period for level 1 (e.g., 34 bars).
L2_lookback: Lookback period for level 2 (e.g., 89 bars).
L3_lookback: Lookback period for level 3 (e.g., 200 bars).
Support and Resistance Colors:
rsiSupportClr: Color for the support line.
rsiResistanceClr: Color for the resistance line.
Alerts:
Divergence Alerts: Alert conditions are set up to notify the trader when bullish or bearish divergence is detected, aiding in timely decision-making.
Pino Trend Pack (SMA/EMA + Bollinger)🔹 Pino Trend Pack is a compact trend-following and volatility indicator that includes:
📈 Moving Averages:
- SMA 10, SMA 30
- EMA 21, EMA 55, EMA 89
(All configured for short-term to mid-term trend analysis by default, but fully adjustable for user preference.)
📊 Bollinger Bands:
- Period: 20
- Standard Deviation: 2.0
- Includes Upper Band, Lower Band, and Basis (SMA 20)
This pack is designed for traders who want a clean visual of price dynamics across multiple short-term trend layers, combined with volatility tracking. It helps you identify compression, expansion, and trend shifts at a glance.
🧠 Ideal for swing trading, short- to mid-term setups, or as a supporting tool in any confluence-based strategy.
NY First Candle Break and RetestStrategy Overview
Session and Time Parameters:
The strategy focuses on the New York trading session, starting at 9:30 AM and lasting for a predefined session length, typically 3 to 4 hours. This timing captures the most active market hours, providing ample trading opportunities.
Strategy Parameters:
Utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) to set dynamic stop-loss levels, ensuring risk is managed according to market volatility.
Employs a reward-to-risk ratio to determine take profit levels, aiming for a balanced approach between potential gains and losses.
Strategy Settings:
Incorporates simple moving averages (EMA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to identify trend direction and price levels.
Volume confirmation is used to validate breakouts, ensuring trades are based on significant market activity.
Trade Management:
Features a trailing stop mechanism to lock in profits as the trade moves in favor, with multiple take profit levels to secure gains incrementally.
The strategy is designed to handle both long and short positions, adapting to market conditions.
Alert Settings:
Provides alerts for key events such as session start, breakout, retest, and entry signals, helping traders stay informed and act promptly.
Visual cues on the chart highlight entry and exit points, making it easier for beginners to follow the strategy.
This strategy is particularly suited for the current volatile market environment, where simplicity and clear guidelines can help beginner traders navigate the complexities of trading. It emphasizes risk management and uses straightforward indicators to make informed trading decisions.
I put together this Trading View scalping strategy for futures markets with some help from Claude AI. Shoutout to everyone who gave me advice along the way—I really appreciate it! I’m sure there’s room for improvement, so feel free to share your thoughts… just go easy on me. :)
EMA-Based Squeeze Dynamics (Gap Momentum & EWMA Projection)EMA-Based Squeeze Dynamics (Gap Momentum & EWMA Projection)
🚨 Main Utility: Early Squeeze Warning
The primary function of this indicator is to warn traders early when the market is approaching a "squeeze"—a tightening condition that often precedes significant moves or regime shifts. By visually highlighting areas of increasing tension, it helps traders anticipate potential volatility and prepare accordingly. This is intended to be a statistically and psychologically grounded replacement of so-called "fib-time-zones," which are overly-deterministic and subjective.
📌 Overview
The EMA-Based Squeeze Dynamics indicator projects future regime shifts (such as golden and death crosses) using exponential moving averages (EMAs). It employs historical interval data and current market conditions to dynamically forecast when the critical EMAs (50-period and 200-period) will reconverge, marking likely trend-change points.
This indicator leverages two core ideas:
Behavioral finance theory: Traders often collectively anticipate popular EMA crossovers, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy (normative social influence), similar to findings from Solomon Asch’s conformity experiments.
Bayesian-like updates: It utilizes historical crossover intervals as a prior, dynamically updating expectations based on evolving market data, ensuring its signals remain objectively grounded in actual market behavior.
⚙️ Technical & Mathematical Explanation
1. EMA Calculations and Regime Definitions
The indicator uses three EMAs:
Fast (9-period): Represents short-term price movement.
Medial (50-period): Indicates medium-term trend direction.
Slow (200-period): Defines long-term market sentiment.
Regime States:
Bullish: 50 EMA is above the 200 EMA.
Bearish: 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA.
A shift between these states triggers visual markers (arrows and labels) directly on the chart.
2. Gap Dynamics and Historical Intervals
At each crossover:
The indicator records the gap (distance) between the 50 and 200 EMAs.
It tracks the historical intervals between past crossovers.
An Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) of these intervals is calculated, weighting recent intervals more heavily, dynamically updating expectations.
Important note:
After every regime shift, the projected crossover line resets its calculation. This reset is visually evident as the projection line appears to move further away after each regime change, temporarily "repelled" until the EMAs begin converging again. This ensures projections remain realistic, grounded in actual EMA convergence, and prevents overly optimistic forecasts immediately after a regime shift.
3. Gap Momentum & Adaptive Scaling
The indicator measures how quickly or slowly the gap between EMAs is changing ("gap momentum") and adjusts its forecast accordingly:
If the gap narrows rapidly, a crossover becomes more imminent.
If the gap widens, the next crossover is pushed further into the future.
The "gap factor" dynamically scales the projection based on recent gap momentum, bounded between reasonable limits (0.7–1.3).
4. Squeeze Ratio & Background Color (Visual Cues)
A "squeeze ratio" is computed when market conditions indicate tightening:
In a bullish regime, if the fast EMA is below the medial EMA (price pulling back towards long-term support), the squeeze ratio increases.
In a bearish regime, if the fast EMA rises above the medial EMA (price rallying into long-term resistance), the squeeze ratio increases.
What the Background Colors Mean:
Red Background: Indicates a bullish squeeze—price is compressing downward, hinting a bullish reversal or continuation breakout may occur soon.
Green Background: Indicates a bearish squeeze—price is compressing upward, suggesting a bearish reversal or continuation breakout could soon follow.
Opacity Explanation:
The transparency (opacity) of the background indicates the intensity of the squeeze:
High Opacity (solid color): Strong squeeze, high likelihood of imminent volatility or regime shift.
Low Opacity (faint color): Mild squeeze, signaling early stages of tightening.
Thus, more vivid colors serve as urgent visual warnings that a squeeze is rapidly intensifying.
5. Projected Next Crossover and Pseudo Crossover Mechanism
The indicator calculates an estimated future bar when a crossover (and thus, regime shift) is expected to occur. This calculation incorporates:
Historical EWMA interval.
Current squeeze intensity.
Gap momentum.
A dynamic penalty based on divergence from baseline conditions.
The "Pseudo Crossover" Explained:
A key adaptive feature is the pseudo crossover mechanism. If price action significantly deviates from the projected crossover (for example, if price stays beyond the projected line longer than expected), the indicator acknowledges the projection was incorrect and triggers a "pseudo crossover" event. Essentially, this acts as a reset, updating historical intervals with a weighted adjustment to recalibrate future predictions. In other words, if the indicator’s initial forecast proves inaccurate, it recognizes this quickly, resets itself, and tries again—ensuring it remains responsive and adaptive to actual market conditions.
🧠 Behavioral Theory: Normative Social Influence
This indicator is rooted in behavioral finance theory, specifically leveraging normative social influence (conformity). Traders commonly watch EMA signals (especially the 50 and 200 EMA crossovers). When traders collectively anticipate these signals, they begin trading ahead of actual crossovers, effectively creating self-fulfilling prophecies—similar to Solomon Asch’s famous conformity experiments, where individuals adopted group behaviors even against direct evidence.
This behavior means genuine regime shifts (actual EMA crossovers) rarely occur until EMAs visibly reconverge due to widespread anticipatory trading activity. The indicator quantifies these dynamics by objectively measuring EMA convergence and updating projections accordingly.
📊 How to Use This Indicator
Monitor the background color and opacity as primary visual cues.
A strongly colored background (solid red/green) is an early alert that a squeeze is intensifying—prepare for potential volatility or a regime shift.
Projected crossover lines give a dynamic target bar to watch for trend reversals or confirmations.
After each regime shift, expect a reset of the projection line. The line may seem initially repelled from price action, but it will recalibrate as EMAs converge again.
Trust the pseudo crossover mechanism to automatically recalibrate the indicator if its original projection misses.
🎯 Why Choose This Indicator?
Early Warning: Visual squeeze intensity helps anticipate market breakouts.
Behaviorally Grounded: Leverages real trader psychology (conformity and anticipation).
Objective & Adaptive: Uses real-time, data-driven updates rather than static levels or subjective analysis.
Easy to Interpret: Clear visual signals (arrows, labels, colors) simplify trading decisions.
Self-correcting (Pseudo Crossovers): Quickly adjusts when initial predictions miss, maintaining accuracy over time.
Summary:
The EMA-Based Squeeze Dynamics Indicator combines behavioral insights, dynamic Bayesian-like updates, intuitive visual cues, and a self-correcting pseudo crossover feature to offer traders a reliable early warning system for market squeezes and impending regime shifts. It transparently recalibrates after each regime shift and automatically resets whenever projections prove inaccurate—ensuring you always have an adaptive, realistic forecast.
Whether you're a discretionary trader or algorithmic strategist, this indicator provides a powerful tool to navigate market volatility effectively.
Happy Trading! 📈✨
Half Causal EstimatorOverview
The Half Causal Estimator is a specialized filtering method that provides responsive averages of market variables (volume, true range, or price change) with significantly reduced time delay compared to traditional moving averages. It employs a hybrid approach that leverages both historical data and time-of-day patterns to create a timely representation of market activity while maintaining smooth output.
Core Concept
Traditional moving averages suffer from time lag, which can delay signals and reduce their effectiveness for real-time decision making. The Half Causal Estimator addresses this limitation by using a non-causal filtering method that incorporates recent historical data (the causal component) alongside expected future behavior based on time-of-day patterns (the non-causal component).
This dual approach allows the filter to respond more quickly to changing market conditions while maintaining smoothness. The name "Half Causal" refers to this hybrid methodology—half of the data window comes from actual historical observations, while the other half is derived from time-of-day patterns observed over multiple days. By incorporating these "future" values from past patterns, the estimator can reduce the inherent lag present in traditional moving averages.
How It Works
The indicator operates through several coordinated steps. First, it stores and organizes market data by specific times of day (minutes/hours). Then it builds a profile of typical behavior for each time period. For calculations, it creates a filtering window where half consists of recent actual data and half consists of expected future values based on historical time-of-day patterns. Finally, it applies a kernel-based smoothing function to weight the values in this composite window.
This approach is particularly effective because market variables like volume, true range, and price changes tend to follow recognizable intraday patterns (they are positive values without DC components). By leveraging these patterns, the indicator doesn't try to predict future values in the traditional sense, but rather incorporates the average historical behavior at those future times into the current estimate.
The benefit of using this "average future data" approach is that it counteracts the lag inherent in traditional moving averages. In a standard moving average, recent price action is underweighted because older data points hold equal influence. By incorporating time-of-day averages for future periods, the Half Causal Estimator essentially shifts the center of the filter window closer to the current bar, resulting in more timely outputs while maintaining smoothing benefits.
Understanding Kernel Smoothing
At the heart of the Half Causal Estimator is kernel smoothing, a statistical technique that creates weighted averages where points closer to the center receive higher weights. This approach offers several advantages over simple moving averages. Unlike simple moving averages that weight all points equally, kernel smoothing applies a mathematically defined weight distribution. The weighting function helps minimize the impact of outliers and random fluctuations. Additionally, by adjusting the kernel width parameter, users can fine-tune the balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
The indicator supports three kernel types. The Gaussian kernel uses a bell-shaped distribution that weights central points heavily while still considering distant points. The Epanechnikov kernel employs a parabolic function that provides efficient noise reduction with a finite support range. The Triangular kernel applies a linear weighting that decreases uniformly from center to edges. These kernel functions provide the mathematical foundation for how the filter processes the combined window of past and "future" data points.
Applicable Data Sources
The indicator can be applied to three different data sources: volume (the trading volume of the security), true range (expressed as a percentage, measuring volatility), and change (the absolute percentage change from one closing price to the next).
Each of these variables shares the characteristic of being consistently positive and exhibiting cyclical intraday patterns, making them ideal candidates for this filtering approach.
Practical Applications
The Half Causal Estimator excels in scenarios where timely information is crucial. It helps in identifying volume climaxes or diminishing volume trends earlier than conventional indicators. It can detect changes in volatility patterns with reduced lag. The indicator is also useful for recognizing shifts in price momentum before they become obvious in price action, and providing smoother data for algorithmic trading systems that require reduced noise without sacrificing timeliness.
When volatility or volume spikes occur, conventional moving averages typically lag behind, potentially causing missed opportunities or delayed responses. The Half Causal Estimator produces signals that align more closely with actual market turns.
Technical Implementation
The implementation of the Half Causal Estimator involves several technical components working together. Data collection and organization is the first step—the indicator maintains a data structure that organizes market data by specific times of day. This creates a historical record of how volume, true range, or price change typically behaves at each minute/hour of the trading day.
For each calculation, the indicator constructs a composite window consisting of recent actual data points from the current session (the causal half) and historical averages for upcoming time periods from previous sessions (the non-causal half). The selected kernel function is then applied to this composite window, creating a weighted average where points closer to the center receive higher weights according to the mathematical properties of the chosen kernel. Finally, the kernel weights are normalized to ensure the output maintains proper scaling regardless of the kernel type or width parameter.
This framework enables the indicator to leverage the predictable time-of-day components in market data without trying to predict specific future values. Instead, it uses average historical patterns to reduce lag while maintaining the statistical benefits of smoothing techniques.
Configuration Options
The indicator provides several customization options. The data period setting determines the number of days of observations to store (0 uses all available data). Filter length controls the number of historical data points for the filter (total window size is length × 2 - 1). Filter width adjusts the width of the kernel function. Users can also select between Gaussian, Epanechnikov, and Triangular kernel functions, and customize visual settings such as colors and line width.
These parameters allow for fine-tuning the balance between responsiveness and smoothness based on individual trading preferences and the specific characteristics of the traded instrument.
Limitations
The indicator requires minute-based intraday timeframes, securities with volume data (when using volume as the source), and sufficient historical data to establish time-of-day patterns.
Conclusion
The Half Causal Estimator represents an innovative approach to technical analysis that addresses one of the fundamental limitations of traditional indicators: time lag. By incorporating time-of-day patterns into its calculations, it provides a more timely representation of market variables while maintaining the noise-reduction benefits of smoothing. This makes it a valuable tool for traders who need to make decisions based on real-time information about volume, volatility, or price changes.
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE)Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE)
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A Dynamic Futures Trading Strategy
DAFE adapts to market volatility and price action using technical indicators and advanced risk management. It’s built for high-stakes futures trading (e.g., MNQ, BTCUSDT.P), offering modular logic for scalpers and swing traders alike.
Key Features
Adaptive Moving Averages
Dynamic Logic: Fast and slow SMAs adjust lengths via ATR, reacting to momentum shifts and smoothing in calm markets.
Signals: Long entry on fast SMA crossing above slow SMA with price confirmation; short on cross below.
RSI Filtering (Optional)
Momentum Check: Confirms entries with RSI crossovers (e.g., above oversold for longs). Toggle on/off with custom levels.
Fine-Tuning: Adjustable lookback and thresholds (e.g., 60/40) for precision.
Candlestick Pattern Recognition
Eng|Enhanced Detection: Identifies strong bullish/bearish engulfing patterns, validated by volume and range strength (vs. 10-period SMA).
Conflict Avoidance: Skips trades if both patterns appear in the lookback window, reducing whipsaws.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
15-Minute Alignment: Syncs intrabar trades with 15-minute SMA trends; optional for flexibility.
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) New!
Scaling: Adds up to a set number of entries (e.g., 4) on pullbacks/rallies, spaced by ATR multiples.
Control: Caps exposure and resets on exit, enhancing trend-following potential.
Trade Execution & Risk Management
Entry Rules: Prioritizes moving averages or patterns (user choice), with volume, volatility, and time filters.
Stops & Trails:
Initial Stop: ATR-based (2–3.5x, volatility-adjusted).
Trailing Stop: Locks profits with configurable ATR offset and multiplier.
Discipline
Cooldown: Pauses post-exit (e.g., 0–5 minutes).
Min Hold: Ensures trades last a set number of bars (e.g., 2–10).
Visualization & Tools
Charts: Overlays MAs, stops, and signals; trend shaded in background.
Dashboard: Shows position, P&L, win rate, and more in real-time.
Debugging: Logs signal details for optimization.
Input Parameters
Parameter Purpose Suggested Use
Use RSI Filter - Toggle RSI confirmation *Disable 4 price-only
trading
RSI Length - RSI period (e.g., 14) *7–14 for sensitivity
RSI Overbought/Oversold - Adjust for market type *Set levels (e.g., 60/40)
Use Candlestick Patterns - Enables engulfing signals *Disable for MA focus
Pattern Lookback - Pattern window (e.g., 19) *10–20 bars for balance
Use 15m Trend Filter - Align with 15-min trend *Enable for trend trades
Fast/Slow MA Length - Base MA lengths (e.g., 9/19) *10–25 / 30–60 per
timeframe
Volatility Threshold - Filters volatile spikes *Max ATR/close (e.g., 1%)
Min Volume - Entry volume threshold *Avoid illiquid periods
(e.g., 10)
ATR Length - ATR period (e.g., 14) *Standard volatility
measure
Trailing Stop ATR Offset - Trail distance (e.g., 0.5) *0.5–1.5 for tightness
Trailing Stop ATR Multi - Trail multiplier (e.g., 1.0) *1–3 for trend room
Cooldown Minutes - Post-exit pause (e.g., 0–5) *Prevents overtrading
Min Bars to Hold - Min trade duration (e.g., 2) *5–10 for intraday
Trading Hours - Active window (e.g., 9–16) *Focus on key sessions
Use DCA - Toggle DCA *Enable for scaling
Max DCA Entries - Cap entries (e.g., 4) *Limit risk exposure
DCA ATR Multiplier Entry spacing (e.g., 1.0) *1–2 for wider gaps
Compliance
Realistic Testing: Fixed quantities, capital, and slippage for accurate backtests.
Transparency: All logic is user-visible and adjustable.
Risk Controls: Cooldowns, stops, and hold periods ensure stability.
Flexibility: Adapts to various futures and timeframes.
Summary
DAFE excels in volatile futures markets with adaptive logic, DCA scaling, and robust risk tools. Currently in prop account testing, it’s a powerful framework for precision trading.
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.
Fibonacci Counter-Trend TradingOverview:
The Fibonacci Counter-Trend Trading strategy is designed to capitalize on price reversals by utilizing Fibonacci levels calculated from the standard deviation of price movements. This strategy opens a sell order when the closing price crosses above a specified upper Fibonacci level and a buy order when the closing price crosses below a specified lower Fibonacci level. By leveraging the principles of Fibonacci retracement and volatility, this strategy aims to identify potential reversal points in the market.
How It Works:
Fibonacci Levels Calculation:
The strategy calculates upper and lower Fibonacci levels based on the standard deviation of the price over a specified moving average length. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, which is widely used in technical analysis to identify potential support and resistance levels.
The upper levels are calculated by adding specific Fibonacci ratios (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.764, and 1.0) multiplied by the standard deviation to the basis (the volume-weighted moving average).
The lower levels are calculated by subtracting the same Fibonacci ratios multiplied by the standard deviation from the basis.
Trade Entry Rules:
Sell Order: A sell order is triggered when the closing price crosses above the selected upper Fibonacci level. This indicates a potential reversal point where the price may start to decline.
Buy Order: A buy order is initiated when the closing price crosses below the selected lower Fibonacci level. This suggests a potential reversal point where the price may begin to rise.
Trade Management:
The strategy includes stop-losses based on the Fibonacci levels to protect against adverse price movements.
How to Use:
Users can customize the moving average length and the multiplier for the standard deviation to suit their trading preferences and market conditions.
The strategy can be applied to various financial instruments, including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies, making it versatile for different trading environments.
Pros:
The Fibonacci Counter-Trend Trading strategy combines the mathematical principles of the Fibonacci sequence with the statistical measure of standard deviation, providing a unique approach to identifying potential market reversals.
This strategy is particularly useful in volatile markets where price swings can lead to significant trading opportunities.
The use of Fibonacci levels can help traders identify key support and resistance areas, enhancing decision-making.
Cons:
The strategy may generate false signals in choppy or sideways markets, leading to potential losses if the price does not reverse as anticipated.
Relying solely on Fibonacci levels without considering other technical indicators or market conditions may result in missed opportunities or increased risk.
The effectiveness of the strategy can vary depending on the chosen parameters (e.g., moving average length and standard deviation multiplier), requiring users to spend time optimizing these settings for different market conditions.
As with any counter-trend strategy, there is a risk of significant drawdowns during strong trending markets, where the price continues to move in one direction without reversing.
By understanding the mechanics of the Fibonacci Counter-Trend Trading strategy, along with its pros and cons, traders can effectively implement it in their trading routines and potentially enhance their trading performance.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis [BigBeluga]Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis
A powerful trend-following dashboard designed to help traders monitor and compare trend direction across multiple higher timeframes. By analyzing EMA conditions from five customizable timeframes, this tool gives a clear visual breakdown of short- to long-term trend alignment.
🔵Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe EMA Dashboard:
➣ Displays a table in the top-right corner showing trend direction across 5 user-defined timeframes.
➣ Each row shows whether ema is rising or falling its corresponding EMA for that timeframe.
➣ Green arrows (🢁) indicate uptrends, purple arrows (🢃) signal downtrends.
Custom Timeframe Selection:
➣ Traders can input any 5 timeframes (e.g., 1h, 2h, 3h, etc.) with individual EMA lengths for flexible trend mapping.
➣ The tool auto-adjusts to match and align external timeframe EMAs to the current chart for seamless overlay.
Dynamic Chart Arrows:
➣ On-chart arrows mark when EMA rising or falling EMAs from the current chart timeframe.
➣ Each EMA arrows has a unique transparency level—shorter EMA arrows are more transparent, longer EMA arrows are more vivid. (Hover Mouse over the arrow to see which EMAs it is)
Gradient EMA Plotting:
➣ All five EMAs are plotted with gradually increasing opacity.
➣ Gradient fills between EMAs enhance visual structure, making it easier to track convergence/divergence.
🔵Usage:
Trend Confirmation: Use the dashboard to confirm multi-timeframe trend alignment before entering trades.
Entry Filtering: Avoid countertrend trades by spotting when higher timeframes disagree with the current one.
Momentum Insight: Track the transition of arrows from lighter to stronger opacity to visualize trend shifts over time.
Scalping or Swinging: Customize timeframes depending on your strategy—from intraday scalps to longer-term swings.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis is the ultimate visual companion for traders who want clarity on how price behaves across multiple time horizons. With its smart EMA mapping and dashboard feedback, it keeps you aligned with dominant trend directions and transition zones at all times.
Pullback Entry Zone FinderPullback Entry Zone Finder
Overview:
This indicator is designed to help traders identify potential buying opportunities during short-term pullbacks, particularly when faster-moving averages show signs of converging back towards slower ones. It visually flags potential zones where price might find support and resume its upward movement, based on moving average dynamics and price proximity.
How It Works:
The indicator utilizes four customizable moving averages (Trigger, Short-term, Intermediate, and Long-term) and Average True Range (ATR) to pinpoint specific conditions:
Pullback Detection: It identifies when the fast 'Trigger MA' is below the 'Short-term MA', indicating a potential short-term pullback or consolidation phase.
MA Convergence: Crucially, it looks for signs that the pullback might be weakening by detecting when the gap between the Short-term MA and the Trigger MA is narrowing (maConverging). This suggests the faster average is starting to catch up, potentially preceding a move back up.
Base Buy Zone (Orange Diamond): This signal appears when both the Pullback and Convergence conditions are met simultaneously. It indicates the general area where conditions are becoming favourable for a potential entry.
Refined Entry Zones:
Prime Entry Zone (Green Diamond): This appears within a Base Buy Zone if the bar's low comes within a specified percentage (Max Distance %) of the Short-term MA. It suggests price has pulled back close to the dynamic support of the Short MA.
ATR Entry Zone (Purple Diamond): This appears within a Base Buy Zone if the bar's low comes within the specified percentage (Max Distance %) of an ATR-based target level. This target level (Buy ATR Target Level, plotted as a purple line when active) is calculated by adding a multiple (ATR Multiplier %) of the ATR to the Short-term MA, providing a volatility-adjusted potential entry area.
Visual Elements:
Moving Averages: Four lines representing the Trigger, Short-term, Intermediate, and Long-term MAs (colors and opacity are customizable). Use the Intermediate and Long-term MAs to gauge the broader market trend.
Orange Diamond (Below Bar): Indicates a 'Base Buy Zone' where a pullback and MA convergence are detected.
Green Diamond (Below Bar): Indicates a 'Prime Entry Zone' where price is close to the Short-term MA during a Base Buy Zone.
Purple Diamond (Below Bar): Indicates an 'ATR Entry Zone' where price is close to the ATR-based target level during a Base Buy Zone.
Purple Line: Plots the calculated 'Buy ATR Target Level' only when the Base Buy Zone condition is active.
Input Parameters:
Moving Averages: Customize the Length and Type (EMA, SMA, WMA, VWMA) for all four moving averages.
ATR Settings: Adjust the ATR Length, the ATR Multiplier % (for calculating the target level), and the Max Distance % (for triggering the Prime and ATR Entry Zones).
Visualization: Set the colors for the four Moving Average lines.
How to Use:
Look for the Orange Diamond as the initial signal that pullback/convergence conditions are met.
The Green and Purple Diamonds suggest price has reached potentially more optimal entry levels within that zone, based on proximity to the Short MA or the ATR target, respectively.
Always consider the signals within the context of the broader trend, indicated by the Intermediate and Long-term MAs. This indicator is generally more effective when used to find entries during pullbacks within an established uptrend (e.g., Intermediate MA > Long MA).
Combine these signals with other forms of analysis, such as chart patterns, support/resistance levels, volume analysis, or other indicators for confirmation.
Disclaimer:
You should always use proper risk management techniques and conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions. This indicator, or any other, will be of no use if you don't have good risk management.
