sᴛᴀɢᴇ ᴀɴᴀʏʟsɪsStage analysis is a technical analysis approach that involves categorizing a stock's price movements into different stages to help traders and investors make more informed decisions. It was popularized by Stan Weinstein in his book, "Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets." The stages are used to identify the overall trend and to time entries and exits in the market. Here's an explanation of the typical stages in stage analysis:
1. **Stage 1: Accumulation Phase**
- In this stage, the stock is in a downtrend or has been trading sideways for an extended period.
- Volume is relatively low, indicating that institutions and smart money may be quietly accumulating shares.
- The stock may test and hold support levels, showing signs of stability.
- The goal for traders in this stage is to identify the potential for a trend reversal.
2. **Stage 2: Markup (Bull Market) Phase**
- This is the stage where the stock starts a significant uptrend.
- Volume increases as institutional and retail investors become more interested in the stock.
- Technical indicators like moving averages and trendlines confirm the uptrend.
- Traders and investors look for buying opportunities during pullbacks or consolidations within the uptrend.
3. **Stage 3: Distribution Phase**
- In this stage, the stock's price begins to show signs of weakness.
- Volume might decrease as institutions and smart money start selling their positions.
- The stock may start forming a trading range or exhibit bearish chart patterns.
- Traders should consider taking profits or reducing exposure to the stock as it may enter a downtrend.
4. **Stage 4: Markdown (Bear Market) Phase**
- This is the stage where the stock enters a significant downtrend.
- Volume may remain elevated as selling pressure dominates.
- Technical indicators confirm the downtrend.
- Traders and investors should avoid buying the stock and may consider short-selling or staying on the sidelines.
Stage analysis helps traders and investors make decisions based on the current stage of a stock's price movement. The goal is to enter during the accumulation phase or early in the markup phase and exit during the distribution phase or before the markdown phase to maximize profits and minimize losses.
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try to just show the Stage number in a table, but always double check for yourself
Stanweinstein
Mansfield Relative Strength (Original Version) by stageanalysisThe Mansfield Relative Strength ( Mansfield RS ) is one of the core components of the Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis method as discussed in his classic book Stan Weinstein's Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets .
The Mansfield RS measures the relative performance of the stock compared to an index such as the S&P 500, or to another stock etc.
However, this should not to be confused with the popular RSI (Relative Strength Index developed J. Welles Wilder), which is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a single stock.
The Mansfield RS indicator consists of the Relative Strength comparison line versus the S&P 500 (default universal setting, but can be edited), and the "Zero Line" – which is the 52 week MA of the Relative Strength line, that's been flattened to create the oscillator style.
How to use the Indicator:
Outperforming – Above the Zero Line
When the Relative Strength line crosses above the Zero Line (it's flattened 52 week RS MA), it is outperforming the index or stock that it's comparing against, and so it is showing stronger relative strength.
Underperforming – Below the Zero Line
When the Relative Strength line crosses below the Zero Line (it's flattened 52 week RS MA), it is underperforming the index or stock that it's comparing against, and so it is showing weaker relative strength.
Settings:
When you first add the indicator is has a coloured background, with a green tint for a postive RS score, and a red tint for a negative RS score. However, this can be turned off, or edited in the indicator settings, in the Style tab. So you can change the colors or remove it and just have the RS line and zero line showing. Both of which can also be edited in the settings.
Change the symbol that it compares against. The default is the S&P 500. But for crypto you might want to use Bitcoin for example. Or you might want to compare against competing stocks in the same peer group, or against the industry group or sector. The choice is yours. But the S&P 500 is a universal measure for the Mansfield RS. So I would recommend leaving it on that unless you have a particular reason to change it as mentioned.
MA Length is also an editable setting. This creates the Zero Line. So it will affect the values of the Mansfield RS if you change it. 52 is the default setting, and is set as such for the weekly chart. So I'd recommend not editing it on the weekly chart, but for other timeframes, different settings can be used.