Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
System
Hobbiecode - RSI + Close previous dayThis is a simple strategy that is working well on SPY but also well performing on Mini Futures SP500. The strategy is composed by the followin rules:
1. If RSI(2) is less than 15, then enter at the close.
2. Exit on close if today’s close is higher than yesterday’s high.
If you backtest it on Mini Futures SP500 you will be able to track data from 1993. It is important to select D1 as timeframe.
Please share any comment or idea below.
Have a good trading,
Ramón.
*Backtesting System ⚉ OVERVIEW ⚉
One of the best Systems for Backtesting your Strategies.
Incredibly flexible, simple, fast and feature-rich system — will solve most of your queries without much effort.
Many systems for setting StopLoss, TakeProfit, Risk Management and advanced Filters.
All you need to do is plug in your indicator and start Backtesting .
I intentionally left the option to use my System on Full Power before you load your indicator into it.
The system uses the built-in simple and popular moving average crossover signal for this purpose. (EMA 50 & 200).
Also Highly Recommend that you Fully use ALL of the features of this system so that you understand how they work before you ask questions.
Also tried to leave TIPS for each feature everywhere, read Tips, activate them and see how they work.
But before you use this system, I Recommend you to read the following description in Full.
—————— How to connect your indicator in 2 steps:
Adapt your indicator by adding only 2 lines of code and then connect it to this Backtesting System.
Step 1 — Create your connector, For doing so:
• 1 — Find or create in your indicator where are the conditions printing the Long-Buy and Short-Sell signals.
• 2 — Create an additional plot as below
I'm giving an example with a Two moving averages cross.
Please replicate the same methodology for your indicator wether it's a MACD, RSI , Pivots, or whatever indicator with Clear Buy and Sell conditions.
//@version=5
indicator('Moving Average Cross', overlay = true)
MA200 = ta.𝚎𝚖𝚊(close, 200)
MA50 = ta.𝚎𝚖𝚊(close, 50)
// Generate Buy and Sell conditions
buy = ta.crossover (MA200, MA50)
sell = ta.crossunder (MA200, MA50)
plot(MA200, color=color.green)
plot(MA50 , color=color.red )
bgcolor(color = buy ? color.green : sell ? color.red : na, title='SIGNALS')
// ———————————————— SIGNAL FOR SYSTEM ————————————————
Signal = buy ? +1 : sell ? -1 : 0
plot(Signal, title='🔌Connector🔌', display = display.none)
// —————— 🔥 The Backtesting System expects the value to be exactly +1 for the 𝚋𝚞𝚕𝚕𝚒𝚜𝚑 signal, and -1 for the 𝚋𝚎𝚊𝚛𝚒𝚜𝚑 signal
Basically, I identified my Buy & Sell conditions in the code and added this at the bottom of my indicator code
Now you can connect your indicator to the Backtesting System using the Step 2
Step 2 — Connect the connector
• 1 — Add your updated indicator to a TradingView chart and Add the Backtesting System as well to the SAME chart
• 2 — Open the Backtesting System settings and in the External Source field select your 🔌Connector🔌 (which comes from your indicator)
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⚉ MAIN SETTINGS ⚉
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𝐄𝐱𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞 — Select your indicator. Add your indicator by following the 2 steps described above and select it in the menu. To familiarize yourself with the system until you select your indicator, you will have an in-built strategy of crossing the two moving EMA's of 50 and 200.
Long Deals — Enable/Disable Long Deals.
Short Deals — Enable/Disable Short Deals.
Wait End Deal — Enable/Disable waiting for a trade to close at Stop Loss/Take Profit. Until the trade closes on the Stop Loss or Take Profit, no new trade will open.
Reverse Deals — To force the opening of a trade in the opposite direction.
ReEntry Deal — Automatically open the same new deal after the deal is closed.
ReOpen Deal — Reopen the trade if the same signal is received. For example, if you are already in the long and a new signal is received in the long, the trade will reopen. * Does not work if Wait End Deal is enabled.
𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭:
None — Disables take profit. Useful if you only want to use dynamic stoplosses such as MA, Fast-Trailing, ATR Trail.
FIXED % — Fixed take profit in percent.
FIXED $ — Fixed Take in Money.
ATR — Fixed Take based on ATR.
R:R — Fixed Take based on the size of your stop loss. For example, if your stop is 10% and R:R=1, then the Take would be 10%. R:R=3 Take would be 30%, etc.
HH / LL — Fixed Take based on the previous maximum/minimum (extremum).
𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐩 𝐋𝐨𝐬𝐬:
None — Disables Stop Loss. Useful if you want to work without a stop loss. *Be careful if Wait End Deal is enabled, the trade may not close for a long time until it reaches the Take.
FIXED % — Fixed Stop in percent.
FIXED $ — Fixed Stop in Money.
TRAILING — Dynamic Trailing Stop like on the stock exchanges.
FAST TRAIL — Dynamic Fast Trailing Stop moves immediately in profit and stays in place if the price stands still or the price moves in loss.
ATR — Fixed Stop based on the ATR.
ATR TRAIL — Dynamic Trailing Stop based on the ATR.
LO / HI — A Fixed Stop based on the last Maximum/Minimum extemum. Allows you to place a stop just behind or above the low/high candle.
MA — Dynamic Stop based on selected Moving Average. * You will have 8 types of MA (EMA, SMA, HMA, etc.) to choose from, but you can easily add dozens of other MAs, which makes this type of stop incredibly flexible.
Add % — If true, then with the "𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗽 %" parameter you can add percentages to any of the current SL. Can be especially useful when using Stop - 𝗔𝗧𝗥 or 𝗠𝗔 or 𝗟𝗢/𝗛𝗜. For example with 𝗟𝗢/𝗛𝗜 to put a stop for the last High/Low and add 0.5% additional Stoploss.
Fixed R:R — If the stop loss is Dynamic (Trailing or MA) then if R:R true can also be made Dynamic * Use it carefully, the function is experimental.
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⚉ TAKE PROFIT LEVELS ⚉
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A unique method of constructing intermediate Take Profit Levels will allow you to select up to 5 intermediate Take Profit Levels and one intermediate Stop Loss.
Intermediate Take Profit Levels are perfectly calculated into 5 equal parts in the form of levels from the entry point to the final Take Profit target.
All you need to do is to choose the necessary levels for fixing and how much you want to fix at each level as a percentage. For example, TP 3 will always be exactly between the entry point and the Take Profit target. And the value of TP 3 = 50 will close 50% of the amount of the remaining size of the position.
Note: all intermediate SL/TP are closed from the remaining position amount and not from the initial position size, as TV does by default.
SL 0 Position — works in the same way as TP 1-5 but it's Stop. With this parameter you can set the position where the intermediate stop will be set.
Breakeven on TP — When activated, it allows you to put the stop loss at Breakeven after the selected TP is reached. For this function to work as it should - you need to activate an intermediate Take. For example, if TP 3 is activated and Breakeven on TP = 3, then after the price reaches this level, the Stop loss will go to Breakeven.
* This function will not work with Dynamic Stoplosses, because it simply does not make sense.
CoolDown # Bars — When activated, allows you to add a delay before a new trade is opened. A new trade after CoolDown will not be opened until # bars pass and a new signal appears.
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⚉ TIME FILTERS ⚉
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Powerful time filter code that allows you to filter data based on specific time zones, dates, and session days. This code is ideal for those who need to analyze data from different time zones and weed out irrelevant data.
With Time Filter, you can easily set the starting and ending time zones by which you want to filter the data.
You can also set a start and end date for your data and choose which days of the week to include in the analysis. In addition, you can specify start and end times for a specific session, allowing you to focus your analysis on specific time periods.
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⚉ SIGNAL FILTERS ⚉
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Signal Filters — allows you to easily customize and optimize your trading strategies based on 10 filters.
Each filter is designed to help you weed out inaccurate signals to minimize your risks.
Let's take a look at their features:
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⚉ RISK MANAGEMENT ⚉
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Risk management tools that allow you to set the maximum number of losing trades in a row, a limit on the number of trades per day or week and other filters.
Loss Streak — Set Max number of consecutive loss trades.
Win Streak — Max Winning Streak Length.
Row Loss InDay — Max of consecutive days with a loss in a row.
DrawDown % — Max DrawDown (in % of strategy equity).
InDay Loss % — Set Max Intraday Loss.
Daily Trades — Limit the number of MAX trades per day.
Weekly Trades — Limit the number of MAX trades per week.
* 🡅 I would Not Recommend using these functions without understanding how they work.
Order Size — Position Size
• NONE — Use the default position size settings in Tab "Properties".
• EQUITY — The amount of the allowed position as a percentage of the initial capital.
• Use Net Profit — On/Off the use of profit in the following trades. *Only works if the type is EQUITY.
• SIZE — The size of the allowed position in monetary terms.
• Contracts — The size of the allowed position in the contracts. 1 Сontract = Сurrent price.
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⚉ NOTES ⚉
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It is important to note that I have never worked with Backtesting and the functions associated with them before.
It took me about a month of slow work to build this system.
I want to say Big Thanks:
• The PineScripters🌲 group in Telegram , the guys suggested how to implement some features. Especially @allanster
• Thanks to all those people who share their developments for free on TV and not only.
• I also thank myself for not giving up and finishing the project, and not trying to monetize the system by selling it. * Although I really want the money :)
I tried hard to make it as fast and convenient as possible for everyone who will use my code.
That's why I didn't use any libraries and dozens of heavy functions, and I managed to fit in 8+-functions for the whole code.
Absolutely every block of code I tried to make full-fledged modular, that it was easy to import/edit for myself (you).
I have abused the Ternary Pine operator a little (a lot) so that the code was as compact as possible.
Nevertheless, I tried very hard to keep my code very understandable even for beginners.
At last I managed to write 500 lines of code, making it one of the fastest and most feature-rich systems out there.
I hope everyone enjoys my work.
Put comments and write likes.
Key Performance IndicatorWe are happy to introduce the Key Performance Indicator by Detlev Matthes. This is an amazing tool to quantify the efficiency of a trading system and identify potential spots of improvement.
Abstract
A key performance indicator with high explanatory value for the quality of trading systems is introduced. Quality is expressed as an indicator and comprises the individual values of qualitative aspects. The work developing the KPI was submitted for the 2017 VTAD Award and won first prize.
Introduction
Imagine that you have a variety of stock trading systems from which to select. During backtesting, each trading system will deliver different results with regard to its indicators (depending on, inter alia, its parameters and the stock used). You will also get different forms of progression for profit development. It requires great experience to select the “best” trading system from this variety of information (provided by several indicators) and significantly varying equity progression forms. In this paper, an indicator will be introduced that expresses the quality of a trading system in just one figure. With such an indicator, you can view the results of one backtest at a glance and also more easily compare a variety of backtesting results with one another.
If you are interested in learning more about the calculations behind this indicator then I have included a link to the english version of his research paper.
Along with this, we now offer indicator development services. If you are interested in learning more then feel free to reach out to get a quote for your project.
**Please note that we have NOT inputted any real strategy into the code and therefore it is not producing any real value. Feel free to change the code as desired to test any strategy!**
drive.google.com
Basic SMA 200 StrategyThe SMA 200 basic strategy will be more than familiar to most traders.
This strategy is to stay with the programming language so to say the "Hello World" of trading.
The SMA 200 basic strategy is also one of the simplest strategies in trading. All that is required is the price and a 200 period moving average. Usually the strategy is used in the daily chart.
The rules are as follows:
Entry: A position is opened when the price crosses the moving average 200 from the bottom to the top.
Exit: The position is closed when the price crosses the moving average from top to bottom.
This is a trend following system and was originally used for trading stocks.
In my opinion, trading with the strategy is recommended to every beginner. There are strategies with better performance, but they are much more complicated to implement. And that's where the big advantage of the strategy can be seen.
Beginners are more than overwhelmed at the beginning of their trading career. Often beginners trade in the 5 min chart with 6 different indicators some signals that they have seen in a Youtube video.
Comparable to a beginner driver who immediately gets into a Porsche as his first car.
Beginners should follow simple rules and avoid intraday charts. Above all, you should do the actual work of a trader.A trader does not just press the mouse twenty times a day and then has easily earned 2000 $. A trader tests systems down to the smallest detail, optimizes and tests again, until he has found an almost " waterproof " trading system. The 200 SMA basic strategy is excellent for gaining experience, learning to follow the rules of a system and not to burn your money right away.
With this script you can test how successful the "simplest strategy in the world" would have been in the past.
Small tip: Do not trade Forex with it it will never work. The strategy is made for long trends and you can find them for example in the stock market.
Have fun with it! About a positive feedback I would be very happy of course.
Full strategy AllinOne with risk management MACD RSI PSAR ATR MAHey, I am glad to present you one of the strategies where I put a lot of time in it.
This strategy can be adapted to all type of timecharts like scalping, daytrading or swing.
The context is the next one :
First we have the ATR to calculate our TP/SL points. At the same time we have another rule once we enter(we enter based on % risk from total equity, in this example 1%, at the same time, lowest ammount for this example is 0.1 lots, but can be modified to 0.01), so we can exit both by tp/sl points, or by losing 1% of our equity or winning 1% of our total equity. It's dinamic.
The strategy is made from
Trend direction :
PSAR
First confirmation point :
Crossover between 10EMA and Bollinger bands middle point
Second confirmation
MACD histogram
Third confirmation
RSI overbought/oversold levels
For entries : we check trend with psar, then once ema cross bb middle point, we confirm together with rsi level for overbought/oversold and macd histogram ( > 0 or <0).
We exit, when we have opposite sign, like from buy to sell or sell to buy, or when we reach tp/sl points, or when we reach % basaed equity points.
It can be changed to be fixed lots, or fixed tp/sl , you just have to uncomment the size from entries, and tp/sl lines.
At the same time, it has the possibility if one desires, to trade only concrete forex session like european, asian and so on for intraday trading.
Hope you enjoy it.
Let me know how it goes.
Chaloke System StrategyChaloke System Strategy
This is a trend indicator
Atr and 3 moving averages are used
Short 9-day moving average,Medium 15-day moving average,Calculated with a long 24-day moving average.
Atr period : 5
Sht,Mid,Lng calculation method is different
Buying Strategy
long = crossover(Sht,Mid) and close > Sht
Selling Strategy
short = crossunder(Sht, Lng ) or close < Lng
Buy should be done when the barcolor turns green
Sell should be done when barcolor is red
When the barcolor is black, there may be change.
Leverage Strategy and a few words on risk/opportunityHello traders,
I started this script as a joke for someone... finally appears it could be used for educational content
Let's talk about leverage and margin call
Margin Call
A margin call is the broker's demand that an investor deposit additional money or securities so that the account is brought up to the minimum value, known as the maintenance margin.
A margin call usually means that one or more of the securities held in the margin account has decreased in value below a certain point.
Leverage
A leverage is a system which allows the trader to open positions much larger than his own capital. ... “Leverage” usually refers to the ratio between the position value and the investment needed,
Strat
The strategy simulates long/short positions on a 4h high/low breakout based on the chart candle close.
The panel below shows the strategy equity curve. Activating the margin call option will show when the account would be margin called giving the settings
Casino
I'm not doing any financial recommendation here.
I made this strategy so that people include more risk management metrics into their strategy.
From the code, we see it's fairly easy to calculate a leveraged position size and a margin call flag - when that flag is hit, the system stops trading.
I simplified things to the extreme here but my point is that the leverage is a double-edge sword gift.
Assuming we always take the same position sizing, increasing the leverage speed up how fast a margin could be ..... called. (bad joke? feel free to tell me). Not saying it will, saying it introduces more risk by design.
Then one could say "I'll just turn off that stupid margin call option". And that's when someone starts backtesting with unrealistic market conditions.
Finally...
When I backtest I always assume the worst in every scenario possible (because I'm French), I always try to minimize the risk first (also because I'm French), keeping as close from 0 as possible (French again)
Then I add the "opportunity" component, looking to catch the maximum of opportunity while keeping the risk low.
It's like a Rubix cube puzzle - decreasing the risk is one side of the equation but whenever I try to catch more opportunity... my risks increases.
Then I update my risk... and now the opportunity decreases... (#wut #wen #simple)
Completely removing the risk from a trading strategy isn't something I wouldn't dare doing.
Trading involves risk. Being obsessed by decreasing the risk is what I do BEST :)
Dave
Volatility System by Wilder [LucF]The Volatility System was created by J. Welles Wilder, Jr. It first appeared in his seminal masterpiece, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems" (1978). He describes the system on pp.23-26, in the chapter discussing the first presentation ever of the "Volatility Index", built using a novel way of calculating a value representing volatility that he named Average True Range (ATR). The latter stuck.
The system is a pure reversal system (it is always either long or short). One of its characteristics is that its stop strategy moves up and down during a trade, widening the gap from price when volatility (ATR) increases. Because of this, this strategy can suffer large drawdowns and is not for the faint of heart.
The strategy uses a length (n) to calculate an ATR. ATR(n) is then multiplied by a factor to calculate the Average Range Constant (ARC). The ARC is then added to the lowest close n bars back to form the high Stop and Reverse points (SAR), and subtracted from the highest close n bars back to calculate the low SAR. Reversals occur when price closes above the high SAR or below the low SAR.
The system is best suited to higher time frames: 12H and above. Its performance depends heavily on calibration of the length and ARC factor. Wilder proposes a length of 7 and a factor between 2.8 to 3.1. My summary tests at 12H, 1D and 3D on stocks and cryptos yield better results with values of approximately 9-10/1.8-2.5 for cryptos and 9-10/3.0-4.0 for stocks. Small changes in the values will sometimes yield large variations in results, which I don’t particularly like because it tends to imply fragility, whereas I’d expect more robustness from a system with such simple rules. Additionally, backtests at 1D on cryptos provide so little data that no solid conclusions can be drawn from them.
All in all, the system is not very useful in my opinion; I publish it more for completeness, since as far as I can tell, it did not exist on this platform before. I also publish it out of respect for Wilder’s work. His book laid the foundation for many of the building blocks used by system designers, even today. In less than a hundred pages he presented RSI, ATR, DMI, ADXR and the Parabolic SAR indicators, some of which have become built-in functions in programming languages. This is a colossal feat and has not been repeated. Wilder is a monument.
Some lesser-known facts about his book:
It sells for the exact same price it cost in 1978: 65$,
The book has always been published by Wilder himself,
The layout hasn’t changed in 40 years,
He sells >35K copies/year.
Gotta love the guy.
The strategy is shown here on BTC /USD with settings of 12/1.8 (the defaults are 9/1.8). It shows the system under its best light. Other markets will most not reproduce such results. Also, the drawdown is as scary as the results are impressive.
Features
The code is written as a strategy but can easily be converted to an indicator if you want to use the alerts it can produce. Instructions are in the code.
You can change the length and ARC factor.
You can choose to trade only long or short positions.
You can choose to display the SARs (the stops) in multiple ways.
You can show trigger markers.
A date range can be defined.
3 alerts: reversals (both long and short), longs, shorts. Remember that for the moment, strategies cannot generate alerts in TradingView, so the strategy must be converted to an indicator in order to make the alerts available.
14/28 Day SMA Divergence and RSI - No RepaintIf you are interested in purchasing my algorithmic trading bot that receives Tradingview indicator alerts via email and then executes them in Bittrex, please visit my product page here: ilikestocks.com Additionally, I would love to create video/blog guides on creating Tradingview scripts or strategies. If you are a knowledgeable in finance or other related fields and would like to be featured on my page, please contact me at tanner@ilikestocks.com.
No crossovers were used in this script, and this is likely the reason for the no repaint(Correct me if wrong).
This strategy script uses a 14-day SMA signal line, a 28-day SMA and RSI. The strategy works by determining whether the (14-day SMA is above the 28-day SMA and the RSI levels are overbought(below 30)) or RSI is very overbought(below 13 or so). Once either of these conditions have been met, a long position is opened.
The initial long position must be partially closed by the take profit first and then the final close is executed if the 14-day signal SMA is below the 28-day SMA; you may also exclusively use take profit to close positions.
The green plotted spikes are the initial long position conditions. The orange plotted spikes are take profit signals once a long position is opened. The red plotted spikes are plotted when the SMA 14-day is below the 28-day SMA.
Please do leave constructive criticism or comments below because it helps me better create scripts!
Days Trader 1.0Simple program to look for day of week or day of month patterns in chart data.
All original work by Boffin Hollow Lab
Author: Tarzan