Z-Score(Slope(OBV(LBC)))Summary : Market price is simply a dance of liquidity to the specific market.
tl;dr: "Cash come-in, market moon; Cash go-out, market doom"
In Simple Language : Large changes in the money flow to an asset often mark local price extremia.
Academic paper:
Title: Z-Score(Slope(OBV)): An Efficient Indicator for Identifying Local Extremes in Asset Prices
Abstract: This paper presents a novel trading indicator, Z-Score(Slope(OBV)), that aims to predict local extremes in asset prices by analyzing the patterns of money flow. The indicator is constructed using the Z-score of the slope of the On Balance Volume (OBV).
Hypothesis: The price levels at which the money flows into and out of an asset often mark local extremes. This notion underpins our exploration of the Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator's potential in identifying these critical points.
1. On Balance Volume (OBV): The OBV is a momentum indicator that leverages the volume flow to forecast potential changes in asset prices. It operates on the premise that changes in volume often presage shifts in price. The OBV algorithm adds a period's volume to the cumulative total when the closing price is up and subtracts it when the closing price is down. Therefore, an ascending OBV suggests positive volume pressure, potentially heralding higher prices, while a declining OBV signifies negative volume pressure, possibly indicating lower prices.
2. Slope: In this context, the slope represents the rate of change of the OBV. It is a measure of the rise-over-run for a linear regression line through the OBV data points. By evaluating the slope of the OBV, we can extract valuable insights into the momentum of the volume. A positive slope indicates increasing volume momentum, suggesting growing interest in the asset, while a negative slope implies declining volume momentum, potentially reflecting dwindling interest.
3. Z-Score: The Z-score is a statistical measure that delineates a data point's relationship to the mean of a group of values, expressed in terms of standard deviations from the mean. For instance, a Z-score of 0 reveals that the data point's score aligns with the mean score. Positive Z-scores indicate values higher than the mean, and negative Z-scores represent values lower than the mean. Applying the Z-score to the slope of the OBV allows us to comprehend the degree of deviation of the current OBV slope from its historical mean.
A Z-score of 1 suggests that the OBV's slope is one standard deviation from the mean, which implies that the slope is within the range of values where approximately 68% (not 67%) of all values lie.
A Z-score of 2 implies that the slope is two standard deviations from the mean, thus within the range where roughly 95% of all values lie.
A Z-score of 3 indicates that the slope is three standard deviations from the mean, putting it within the range where about 99.7% of all values lie.
Z-scores of 4 and 5 and beyond are increasingly rare and represent extreme values.
4. The Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) Indicator and Line Break Chart Synergy: The Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator's efficiency is further amplified when visualized using a Line Break chart. This chart type disregards time, concentrating solely on price changes, thus providing a clear visualization of market trends. When combined with the Line Break chart, the Z-Score(Slope(OBV(LBC))) indicator can help traders identify trend shifts more accurately and promptly, reinforcing the hypothesis that price levels where money flows into and out of an asset often mark local extremes.
In summary, the Z-Score(Slope(OBV)) indicator, combining volume, momentum, and statistical analysis, provides a robust tool for traders to predict local extremes in asset prices.
Regarding Implementation:
- This is implemented using Pinescript V5
- Uses inbuilt ta module
- Very effective and simple and efficient computation in 30 lines of code
Trendchange
High & Low Of Custom SessionThis script boxes a custom session and sets the box at the high and low of the session and draws that box to the next session.
Box color is determined by price in relation to the box position. Box color is set at the start of the next session. This allows
user to lookback at multiple box sets to see how each day closed in relation to the session highlighted.
I have written this for backtesting purposes and intend to expand it to use with volume analysis and gradient color to change the box color based on how many times price tests
the box.
Volume MA Convergence and DivergenceGreetings, I imagine there is already some similar scripts as this one but I couldn't find one so I decided to add something.
We are looking at convergence and divergence signals of moving-average values of 3 different volume time frames. The time frames can of course be tweaked to ones liking, I set up Vol-MA8, 20 and 50. A strong enough divergence in at least 2 of the MAs may perhaps signal an exhausting trend or the beginning of a new one. Convergence of all three to a single point, or close enough to, may signal impending volatility potentially. The latter would best be complimented with another volatility predicative indicator or correlating impending price change data. There are more signals to be studied within this single indicator such as a converging occurrence above OR below the mean, etc, etc.
@OptiSean on Twitter
Enjoy, Cheers
Sto RSI and kijun-sen line to determine and follow the trend This script uses 25-75 treshold of stochastic RSI with the help of kijun-sen as confirmation, to find entry points to any trend either newly developed or an established one. I just realized it on the 1 hour SPX chart. Sure it can be used on other symbols. Crossing above/below 25/75 line of sto RSI is considered as buy/sell signal. Signals are evaluated whether price be above/below kijun-sen line. If a sell signal below kijun-sen is generated it is a continuation signal for downtrend, otherwise it is a countertrend signal (maybe a signal for a new downtrend). A countertrend signal must be evaluated carefully and only accepted in the right side of kijun-sen. e.g entering a sell signal generated above kijun-sen should be accepted only below the kijun-sen, vice-versa.
OneGreenCandle Kalman - RSIKalman filter on multiple RSI periods. Usefull on higher timeframes to confirm a change of trend.
MACD Trend Squeezer V2This is a combination of a slightly sped up MACD overlay on top of a modified Bar Trend Squeeze or highly modified Momentum indicator. Helps to see the trend/momentum matched with the characteristics of the MACD and it's historiography. Very user friendly for adjusting color, transparency, depth, lines, size, etc.
MACD is the dark gray line.
Its signal slower line is orange.
Its historiography is the area fill blues and reds
Trend Squeezer / momentum are the Bars in the background.
// Changes from original version \\
Visual depth mostly. Most of the items are adjustable in the settings.
Increased user friendly inputs to adjust colors, lines, data, etc.
(darken / lighten and change background bar colors, increase/decrease line strengths and colors, adjust field data inputs)
3rd High Low This is simple script to mark when higher high (or lower low) is made on continuously third day.
There likelihood of short term reversal next day. As usual, it is just likelihood and not certainty.
Trend Channel [Gu5]SMA 200 determines the trend
Bullish trend, green candles. Down trend, red candles.
If the market value is narrow to the SMA200 channel, yellow candles.
Setting recommended for SMA Range
BTCUSD = 100
EURUSD = 1000
SPX = 100
ETHUSD = 10
Cronos Trend Aroon by Zekis"The Aroon indicator is a technical indicator that is used to identify when trends are likely to change direction. In essence, the indicator measures the time it takes for the price to reach the highest and lowest points over a given timeframe as a percentage of total time. The indicator consists of the "Aroon up" line, which measures the strength of the uptrend, and the "Aroon down" line, which measures the strength of the downtrend."
Classic Aroon indicator with few changes:
1. Colors for trends: red line and red background = downtrend
green line and green background = uptrend
2. Crossover is signaled with an yellow stripe
3. Alerts are enabled for longs/entries and shorts/exits
Enjoy!
@ Zekis
MA ExtensionThis indicator measures the vertical distance form the current close to the MA of your choice. I find that it does not work best as an oscillator, but it works well for providing early signals for taking profits when trend continuating. For example, if you go short due to a retracement to the MA (of your choice) take profits when a bearish trendline is broken (signalling the start of a bullish correction) that corresponds to the highs of the chart. The logic behind this indicator is that the breakouts of trendlines of an assets difference from an MA will precede corresponding breakouts of trendlines drawn on raw price. Kind of like Momentum, except it takes trend into account. Momentum has the same leading feature when it comes to drawing trendlines , but trendlines will be harder to draw due to the Momentum indicators oscillatory behavior.
Stock Market Trend Analysis Trading System 101 (by ChartArt)This is a very simple trading system which is measuring the core of uptrends and downtrends using three basic elements: Close price, HL2 price, Pivot price.
Depending if the uptrend or downtrend is strong, the buy/sell signals are shown in different colors. The stronger trends are in brighter colors (lime and fuchsia). If the trend just fully changed direction from uptrend to downtrend (or vice versa), there is a background color highlight in the color of the new trend direction.
The trend detection should work best on monthly charts. I have created this in under an hour. My goal was to use the least amount of rules possible, therefore there are many false signals and the code is quite lazy.
You can lose all your money if you rely on these buy/sell signals!
