Hurst Exponent SmoothedDescription:
The Hurst Exponent Smoothed indicator provides a dynamic analysis of market behavior by calculating the Hurst Exponent over a specified lookback period. This tool is especially useful for identifying whether a market is trending or mean-reverting.
Key Features:
Lookback Period: Set to 90 by default, this parameter controls how many periods the indicator considers for its calculations. Adjusting this value allows you to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to recent price action.
Market Analysis: The Hurst Exponent gives insights into the nature of price movement:
A value near 0.5 suggests a random walk, indicating that the market is unpredictable.
Values above 0.5 indicate a trending market where price movements exhibit persistence, suggesting that the current trend may continue.
Values below 0.5 point to a mean-reverting market, where price movements tend to reverse, making it a potential signal for contrarian trading strategies.
Usage:
Trend Following: When the Hurst Exponent is consistently above 0.5, it may indicate a strong trend. Traders can use this information to align with the current market direction.
Mean Reversion: If the Hurst Exponent falls below 0.5, it could signal that the market is more likely to revert to the mean, offering opportunities for mean-reversion strategies.
Visuals:
The indicator displays a smooth line oscillating between values, giving traders a clear visual cue for the current market condition.
The script is optimized for various timeframes, as demonstrated on the BTCUSD pair on a 270-minute chart. Traders can adapt the lookback period based on their trading style and the specific asset being analyzed.
Open Source: This script is open-source and free to use. Feel free to customize and adapt it to your needs!
Volatility
MTF - Quantum Fibonacci ATR/ADR Levels & Targets**Indicator Overview:**
The *Quantum Fibonacci Wave Mechanics* indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify dynamic support, resistance, and target levels based on the Average True Range (ATR) and Average Daily Range (ADR). This indicator leverages Fibonacci ratios to calculate precise entry and target levels, providing a comprehensive approach to market analysis.
**Key Features:**
- **Dynamic ATR/ADR Levels:** Automatically calculate and plot ATR and ADR-based support and resistance levels, offering insight into market volatility and potential reversal zones.
- **Fibonacci-Based Entry Levels:** Calculate Fibonacci entry levels using the 0.618 ratio, helping traders find optimal points to enter trades.
- **Customizable Target Levels:** Set up to three target levels based on Fibonacci ratios (1.618, 2.618, 3.618), allowing for precise trade management.
- **Stop Loss Lines:** Plot stop loss lines derived from ATR and ADR calculations, ensuring risk is managed effectively.
- **EMA Integration:** Optionally plot an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line for additional trend confirmation.
- **Customizable Color Settings:** Adjust the colors of all levels and signals to fit your charting preferences.
- **Bar Coloring Based on Signals:** Automatically color bars based on the latest buy or sell signal for easier visual identification.
- **Label Display for Key Levels:** Display labels on the chart for important levels such as entry points, target levels, and stop loss lines.
**How Users Can Benefit:**
This indicator is ideal for traders who want to blend the precision of Fibonacci analysis with the robustness of ATR/ADR calculations. Whether you're a day trader looking for short-term entry points or a swing trader seeking reliable support and resistance levels, this indicator offers a versatile toolset for enhancing your trading decisions.
**Customization Instructions:**
The *Quantum Fibonacci Wave Mechanics* indicator is highly customizable to suit different trading styles and preferences. Below is a guide on how to adjust the settings:
1. **General Settings:**
- **ADR Length:** Define the lookback period for calculating the ADR.
- **EMA Length:** Set the period for the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
- **Timeframe:** Select the timeframe for which the levels will be calculated (e.g., daily, weekly).
2. **Display Settings:**
- **Show ATR Levels:** Toggle the display of ATR-based support and resistance levels.
- **Show ADR Levels:** Toggle the display of ADR-based support and resistance levels.
- **Show EMA Line:** Toggle the display of the EMA line.
- **Show Stop Loss Lines:** Display stop loss levels derived from ATR and ADR.
- **Show Middle Level Line:** Show the middle level between buy and sell stop loss lines.
- **Show Fibonacci Entry Levels:** Enable the display of Fibonacci-based entry levels.
- **Show Entry Signals:** Plot buy and sell signals based on the crossover of the entry levels.
- **Show Target Levels:** Display up to three target levels for both buy and sell signals.
- **Color Bars Based on Last Signal:** Automatically color bars according to the last signal (buy or sell).
3. **Fibonacci Settings:**
- **Entry Ratio (Fibonacci):** Adjust the Fibonacci ratio used for calculating entry levels (default is 0.618).
- **Target Ratios (Fibonacci):** Set the Fibonacci ratios for up to three target levels (default ratios are 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618).
4. **Color Settings:**
- **Support Levels:** Customize the color of the support lines.
- **Resistance Levels:** Customize the color of the resistance lines.
- **Stop Loss Levels:** Set the color for stop loss lines (default is red).
- **Buy Target Levels:** Set the color for buy target levels (default is white).
- **Sell Target Levels:** Set the color for sell target levels (default is yellow).
5. **Label Display Settings:**
- **Show Labels for The Levels:** Toggle the display of labels for the various levels on the chart.
**Usage Tips:**
- **Combining with Other Indicators:** Use this indicator in conjunction with other technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands to confirm signals.
- **Adjusting to Different Timeframes:** Customize the `timeframeInput` to analyze different market conditions, from intraday to long-term trading.
- **Risk Management:** Utilize the stop loss levels to manage risk effectively, ensuring your trades are protected against adverse market movements.
**Disclaimer:**
*This indicator is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses that may occur from using this tool.*
LazyScalp Board by MalexThis indicator offers a quick view of essential trading parameters in a customizable table format.
The table displays key metrics such as daily volume, average volume over a chosen period, volatility (normalized ATR), correlation coefficient, and funding rate, all of which can be tailored to your preferences.
You can also adjust the table's appearance, style, and layout to better fit your needs.
Designed with intraday traders and scalpers in mind, this indicator helps you swiftly identify the most suitable trading instruments.
Based on LazyScalp Board by Aleksandr400
BTC Coinbase PremiumThis script is designed to compare the price of Bitcoin on two major exchanges: Coinbase and Binance. It helps you see if there’s a difference in the price of Bitcoin between these two exchanges, which is known as a “premium” or “discount.”
Here’s how it works in simple terms:
Getting the Prices:
The script first fetches the current price of Bitcoin from Coinbase and Binance. It looks at the closing price, which is the price at the end of the selected time period on your chart.
Calculating the Difference:
It then calculates the difference between these two prices. If Bitcoin is more expensive on Coinbase than on Binance, this difference will be positive, indicating a “premium.” If it’s cheaper on Coinbase, the difference will be negative, indicating a “discount.”
Visualizing the Difference:
The script creates a visual chart that shows this price difference over time. It uses green bars to show when there’s a premium (Coinbase is more expensive) and red bars to show when there’s a discount (Coinbase is cheaper).
Optional Table Display:
If you choose to, the script can also show this price difference in a small table at the top right corner of your chart. The table displays the words “Coinbase Premium” and the exact dollar amount of the premium or discount.
Why does it matter?
Traders and investors have spotted a correlation between bullish strength on BTC and a strong Coinbase premium along with the inverse of a strong Coinbase discount and BTC price weakness.
Gann + Laplace Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread AnalysisThe Gann + Laplace Smoothed Hybrid Volume Spread Analysis ( GannLSHVSA ) Strategy/Indicator is an trading tool designed to fuse volume analysis with trend detection, offering traders a view of market dynamics.
This Strategy/Indicator stands apart by integrating the principles of the upgraded Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT), the Laplace Stieltjes Transform and volume spread analysis, enhanced with a layer of Fourier smoothing to distill market noise and highlight trend directions with unprecedented clarity.
The length of EMA and Strategy Entries are modified with the Gann swings .
This smoothing process allows traders to discern the true underlying patterns in volume and price action, stripped of the distractions of short-term fluctuations and noise.
The core functionality of the GannLSHVSA revolves around the innovative combination of volume change analysis, spread determination (calculated from the open and close price difference), and the strategic use of the EMA (default 10) to fine-tune the analysis of spread by incorporating volume changes.
Trend direction is validated through a moving average (MA) of the histogram, which acts analogously to the Volume MA found in traditional volume indicators. This MA serves as a pivotal reference point, enabling traders to confidently engage with the market when the histogram's movement concurs with the trend direction, particularly when it crosses the Trend MA line, signalling optimal entry points.
It returns 0 when MA of the histogram and EMA of the Price Spread are not align.
WHAT IS GannLSHVSA INDICATOR:
The GannLSHVSA plots a positive trend when a positive Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is above 0, and a negative when negative Volume smoothed Spread and EMA of Volume smoothed price is below 0. When this conditions are not met it plots 0.
HOW TO USE THE STRATEGY:
Here you fine-tune the inputs until you find a combination that works well on all Timeframes you will use when creating your Automated Trade Algorithmic Strategy. I suggest 4h, 12h, 1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 6D, W and M.
ORIGINALITY & USEFULNESS:
The GannLSHVSA Strategy is unique because it applies upgraded DFT, the Laplace Stieltjes Transform for data smoothing, effectively filtering out the minor fluctuations and leaving traders with a clear picture of the market's true movements. The DFT's ability to break down market signals into constituent frequencies offers a granular view of market dynamics, highlighting the amplitude and phase of each frequency component. This, combined with the strategic application of Ehler's Universal Oscillator principles via a histogram, furnishes traders with a nuanced understanding of market volatility and noise levels, thereby facilitating more informed trading decisions. The Gann swing strategy is developed by meomeo105, this Gann high and low algorithm forms the basis of the EMA modification.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is the meaning of price spread?
In finance, a spread refers to the difference between two prices, rates, or yields. One of the most common types is the bid-ask spread, which refers to the gap between the bid (from buyers) and the ask (from sellers) prices of a security or asset.
We are going to use Open-Close spread.
What is Volume spread analysis?
Volume spread analysis (VSA) is a method of technical analysis that compares the volume per candle, range spread, and closing price to determine price direction.
What does this mean?
We need to have a positive Volume Price Spread and a positive Moving average of Volume price spread for a positive trend. OR via versa a negative Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume price spread for a negative trend.
What if we have a positive Volume Price Spread and a negative Moving average of Volume Price Spread?
It results in a neutral, not trending price action.
Thus the Indicator/Strategy returns 0 and Closes all long and short positions.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame. I suggest using 100% equity as your default quantity for fine-tune purposes. I have to mention that 100% equity may lead to unrealistic backtesting results. Be avare. When backtesting for trading purposes use Contracts or USDT.
Fine-tune Inputs: Gann + Laplace Smooth Volume Zone OscillatorUse this Strategy to Fine-tune inputs for the GannLSVZ0 Indicator.
Strategy allows you to fine-tune the indicator for 1 TimeFrame at a time; cross Timeframe Input fine-tuning is done manually after exporting the chart data.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame.
MEANINGFUL DESCRIPTION:
The Volume Zone oscillator breaks up volume activity into positive and negative categories. It is positive when the current closing price is greater than the prior closing price and negative when it's lower than the prior closing price. The resulting curve plots through relative percentage levels that yield a series of buy and sell signals, depending on level and indicator direction.
The Gann Laplace Smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator GannLSVZO is a refined version of the Volume Zone Oscillator, enhanced by the implementation of the upgraded Discrete Fourier Transform, the Laplace Stieltjes Transform. Its primary function is to streamline price data and diminish market noise, thus offering a clearer and more precise reflection of price trends.
By combining the Laplace with Gann Swing Entries and with Ehler's white noise histogram, users gain a comprehensive perspective on volume-related market conditions.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR:
The default period is 2 but can be adjusted after backtesting. (I suggest 5 VZO length and NoiceR max length 8 as-well)
The VZO points to a positive trend when it is rising above the 0% level, and a negative trend when it is falling below the 0% level. 0% level can be adjusted in setting by adjusting VzoDifference. Oscillations rising below 0% level or falling above 0% level result in a natural trend.
HOW TO USE THE STRATEGY:
Here you fine-tune the inputs until you find a combination that works well on all Timeframes you will use when creating your Automated Trade Algorithmic Strategy. I suggest 4h, 12h, 1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 6D, W and M.
When Indicator/Strategy returns 0 or natural trend, Strategy Closes All it's positions.
ORIGINALITY & USFULLNESS:
Personal combination of Gann swings and Laplace Stieltjes Transform of a price which results in less noise Volume Zone Oscillator.
The Laplace Stieltjes Transform is a mathematical technique that transforms discrete data from the time domain into its corresponding representation in the frequency domain. This process involves breaking down a signal into its individual frequency components, thereby exposing the amplitude and phase characteristics inherent in each frequency element.
This indicator utilizes the concept of Ehler's Universal Oscillator and displays a histogram, offering critical insights into the prevailing levels of market noise. The Ehler's Universal Oscillator is grounded in a statistical model that captures the erratic and unpredictable nature of market movements. Through the application of this principle, the histogram aids traders in pinpointing times when market volatility is either rising or subsiding.
The Gann swing strategy is developed by meomeo105, this Gann high and low algorithm forms the basis of the EMA modification.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is oscillator?
Oscillators are chart indicators that can assist a trader in determining overbought or oversold conditions in ranging (non-trending) markets.
What is volume zone oscillator?
Price Zone Oscillator measures if the most recent closing price is above or below the preceding closing price.
Volume Zone Oscillator is Volume multiplied by the 1 or -1 depending on the difference of the preceding 2 close prices and smoothed with Exponential moving Average.
What does this mean?
If the VZO is above 0 and VZO is rising. We have a bullish trend. Most likely.
If the VZO is below 0 and VZO is falling. We have a bearish trend. Most likely.
Rising means that VZO on close is higher than the previous day.
Falling means that VZO on close is lower than the previous day.
What if VZO is falling above 0 line?
It means we have a high probability of a bearish trend.
Thus the indicator returns 0 and Strategy closes all it's positions when falling above 0 (or rising bellow 0) and we combine higher and lower timeframes to gauge the trend.
What is approximation and smoothing?
They are mathematical concepts for making a discrete set of numbers a
continuous curved line.
Laplace Stieltjes Transform approximation of a close price are taken from aprox library.
Key Features:
You can tailor the Indicator/Strategy to your preferences with adjustable parameters such as VZO length, noise reduction settings, and smoothing length.
Volume Zone Oscillator (VZO) shows market sentiment with the VZO, enhanced with Exponential Moving Average (EMA) smoothing for clearer trend identification.
Noise Reduction leverages Euler's White noise capabilities for effective noise reduction in the VZO, providing a cleaner and more accurate representation of market dynamics.
Choose between the traditional Fast Laplace Stieltjes Transform (FLT) and the innovative Double Discrete Fourier Transform (DTF32) soothed price series to suit your analytical needs.
Use dynamic calculation of Laplace coefficient or the static one. You may modify those inputs and Strategy entries with Gann swings.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame. I suggest using 100% equity as your default quantity for fine-tune purposes. I have to mention that 100% equity may lead to unrealistic backtesting results. Be avare. When backtesting for trading purposes use Contracts or USDT.
VIX Opening GapOverview
This simple script generates alerts based on the difference between the previous trading day's VIX close and the current trading day's opening bar. It is designed for use on the TVC version of the VIX chart, with 1-minute bars.
Features
The script flags one of four conditions based on the difference between the previous day's close and the current day's open: (1) open up; (2) open down; (3) gap up; and (4) gap down. The thresholds for gaps up and down are expressed as percentages and can be changed in the input settings.
The script can assess the gap at the first bar of the premarket session or at the first bar printed after market open. Change this by toggling the "Use Premarket Hours" feature in the input settings.
Limit HelperPlots an area based on daily settlement price +/- 5% of the current market you are looking at.
This is of particular interest to those who trade with Topstep's XFA or Live accounts.
Tick Time/SpeedThe Tick Time/Speed indicator highlights the latest TradingView feature, Tick Charts (beta) , and aims to provide a visual representation of the speed.
🔶 USAGE
1-minute chart
Unlike regular charts, where the time difference between two bars is relatively equal, the time difference between two tick bars can vary.
1T chart
10T chart (ticks groups per 10)
100T chart (ticks groups per 100)
(zoom in to see the time scale, as can be seen in the above two examples, higher values represent more ticks in a shorter period of time)
The difference in time (speed) against previous tick(s) is added to an array and sorted. The measured speed is compared against every value in the array and then plotted.
A smaller difference in time against other ticks (more ticks in less time) is plotted higher, while a more prominent time difference is plotted at a lower level.
The amount of data (to compare with) can be set by "Calculated Bars".
The above example uses data from the last 5000, 100, and 77 bars.
🔶 SETTINGS
• Color & transparency setting
• Calculated Bars: sets the size of the array; in other words, sets the amount of available data for 'speed' comparison
🔶 NOTES
At this point of time, Tick Charts are only reserved for Professional-tier plans – Expert, Elite, or Ultimate plan.
The indicator can only be used with Tick Data .
Not all exchanges have tick data at the moment, this means not every ticker will have Tick Data.
Supertrend with Extreme SignalsOriginality and Usefulness
The "Supertrend with Extreme Signals" indicator is an innovative tool I've developed to combine the strengths of the Supertrend indicator with the RSI (Relative Strength Index). This combination enhances the accuracy of entry and exit signals, making it more useful for traders looking to gain a comprehensive understanding of market conditions.
Justification for Mashup:
Supertrend: This is a trend-following indicator that identifies the current market trend and potential reversal points by adjusting dynamically based on market volatility.
RSI: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It helps pinpoint overbought and oversold conditions, adding an extra layer of confirmation to trend signals.
By merging these two indicators, the script filters out false signals and improves the precision of trade entries and exits. The Supertrend identifies the trend direction, while the RSI confirms the strength and potential reversals within that trend.
Description
Overview
The "Supertrend with Extreme Signals" indicator is a powerful hybrid tool that brings together the trend-following capability of the Supertrend and the momentum analysis of RSI. This integration provides clear buy and sell signals, helping traders make more informed decisions.
What It Does
Trend Identification: Utilizes the Supertrend to determine the prevailing market trend.
Signal Confirmation: Uses RSI to confirm signals by identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals: Generates buy signals when the price crosses above the Supertrend line and RSI indicates oversold conditions. Generates sell signals when the price crosses below the Supertrend line and RSI indicates overbought conditions.
How It Works
Supertrend Calculation:
Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) to assess market volatility.
Computes upper and lower levels based on the mid-price and ATR.
Determines trend direction by smoothing these levels over a specified period.
Dynamically adjusts the Supertrend value based on market conditions.
RSI Calculation:
Calculates the RSI over a defined period to measure price momentum.
Uses RSI levels to identify overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) conditions.
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the price crosses above the Supertrend line and RSI is below the oversold threshold.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the price crosses below the Supertrend line and RSI is above the overbought threshold.
How to Use It
Trend Following: Use the Supertrend color to identify the current trend (green for uptrend, red for downtrend).
Entry Signals: Look for buy signals (green label) when the price crosses above the Supertrend line and RSI is in the oversold zone.
Exit Signals: Look for sell signals (red label) when the price crosses below the Supertrend line and RSI is in the overbought zone.
Visual Confirmation: The background color changes based on the trend direction, providing a quick visual cue for the current market state.
This script is especially useful for traders who combine trend-following strategies with momentum indicators. It helps filter out false signals and provides a robust framework for identifying profitable trading opportunities.
Concepts Underlying Calculations
ATR (Average True Range): Measures market volatility by calculating the average range of price movements over a specified period.
Supertrend: A trend-following indicator that adjusts dynamically based on market volatility.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, helping to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
By combining these concepts, the "Supertrend with Extreme Signals" indicator offers a balanced approach to trading. It considers both trend direction and market momentum, making it a powerful tool for improving trading performance through informed market analysis.
Multi-Step Vegas SuperTrend - strategy [presentTrading]Long time no see! I am back : ) Please allow me to gain some warm-up.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Vegas SuperTrend Strategy" is an enhanced trading strategy that leverages both the Vegas Channel and SuperTrend indicators to generate buy and sell signals.
What sets this strategy apart from others is its dynamic adjustment to market volatility and its multi-step take profit mechanism. Unlike traditional single-step profit-taking approaches, this strategy allows traders to systematically scale out of positions at predefined profit levels, thereby optimizing their risk-reward ratio and maximizing potential gains.
BTCUSD 6hr performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Vegas SuperTrend Strategy combines the strengths of the Vegas Channel and SuperTrend indicators to identify market trends and generate trade signals. The following subsections delve into the details of how each component works and how they are integrated.
🔶 Vegas Channel Calculation
The Vegas Channel is based on a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation (STD) of the closing prices over a specified period. The channel is defined by upper and lower bounds that are dynamically adjusted based on market volatility.
Simple Moving Average (SMA):
SMA_vegas = (1/N) * Σ(Close_i) for i = 0 to N-1
where N is the length of the Vegas Window.
Standard Deviation (STD):
STD_vegas = sqrt((1/N) * Σ(Close_i - SMA_vegas)^2) for i = 0 to N-1
Vegas Channel Upper and Lower Bounds:
VegasChannelUpper = SMA_vegas + STD_vegas
VegasChannelLower = SMA_vegas - STD_vegas
The details are here:
🔶 Trend Detection and Trade Signals
The strategy determines the current market trend based on the closing price relative to the SuperTrend bounds:
Market Trend:
MarketTrend = 1 if Close > SuperTrendPrevLower
-1 if Close < SuperTrendPrevUpper
Previous Trend otherwise
Trade signals are generated when there is a shift in the market trend:
Bullish Signal: When the market trend shifts from -1 to 1.
Bearish Signal: When the market trend shifts from 1 to -1.
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Mechanism
The strategy incorporates a multi-step take profit mechanism that allows for partial exits at predefined profit levels. This helps in locking in profits gradually and reducing exposure to market reversals.
Take Profit Levels:
The take profit levels are calculated as percentages of the entry price:
TakeProfitLevel_i = EntryPrice * (1 + TakeProfitPercent_i/100) for long positions
TakeProfitLevel_i = EntryPrice * (1 - TakeProfitPercent_i/100) for short positions
Multi-steps take profit local picture:
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction can be customized based on the user's preference:
Long: The strategy only takes long positions.
Short: The strategy only takes short positions.
Both: The strategy can take both long and short positions based on the market trend.
█ Usage
To use the Vegas SuperTrend Strategy, follow these steps:
Configure Input Settings:
- Set the ATR period, Vegas Window length, SuperTrend Multiplier, and Volatility Adjustment Factor.
- Choose the desired trade direction (Long, Short, Both).
- Enable or disable the take profit mechanism and set the take profit percentages and amounts for each step.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the strategy are designed to provide a balanced approach to trading. Below is an explanation of each setting and its effect on the strategy's performance:
ATR Period (10): This setting determines the length of the ATR used in the SuperTrend calculation. A longer period smoothens the ATR, making the SuperTrend less sensitive to short-term volatility. A shorter period makes the SuperTrend more responsive to recent price movements.
Vegas Window Length (100): This setting defines the period for the Vegas Channel's moving average. A longer window provides a broader view of the market trend, while a shorter window makes the channel more responsive to recent price changes.
SuperTrend Multiplier (5): This base multiplier adjusts the sensitivity of the SuperTrend to the ATR. A higher multiplier makes the SuperTrend less sensitive, reducing the frequency of trade signals. A lower multiplier increases sensitivity, generating more signals.
Volatility Adjustment Factor (5): This factor dynamically adjusts the SuperTrend multiplier based on the width of the Vegas Channel. A higher factor increases the sensitivity of the SuperTrend to changes in market volatility, while a lower factor reduces it.
Take Profit Percentages (3.0%, 6.0%, 12.0%, 21.0%): These settings define the profit levels at which portions of the trade are exited. They help in locking in profits progressively as the trade moves in favor.
Take Profit Amounts (25%, 20%, 10%, 15%): These settings determine the percentage of the position to exit at each take profit level. They are distributed to ensure that significant portions of the trade are closed as the price reaches the set levels, reducing exposure to reversals.
Adjusting these settings can significantly impact the strategy's performance. For instance, increasing the ATR period or the SuperTrend multiplier can reduce the number of trades, potentially improving the win rate but also missing out on some profitable opportunities. Conversely, lowering these values can increase trade frequency, capturing more short-term movements but also increasing the risk of false signals.
Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend [AlgoAlpha]📈🤖 Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend - Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 🚀✨
Introducing the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend , an advanced trading indicator designed to adapt to market volatility dynamically using machine learning techniques. This indicator employs k-means clustering to categorize market volatility into high, medium, and low levels, enhancing the traditional SuperTrend strategy. Perfect for traders who want an edge in identifying trend shifts and market conditions.
What is K-Means Clustering and How It Works
K-means clustering is a machine learning algorithm that partitions data into distinct groups based on similarity. In this indicator, the algorithm analyzes ATR (Average True Range) values to classify volatility into three clusters: high, medium, and low. The algorithm iterates to optimize the centroids of these clusters, ensuring accurate volatility classification.
Key Features
🎨 Customizable Appearance: Adjust colors for bullish and bearish trends.
🔧 Flexible Settings: Configure ATR length, SuperTrend factor, and initial volatility guesses.
📊 Volatility Classification: Uses k-means clustering to adapt to market conditions.
📈 Dynamic SuperTrend Calculation: Applies the classified volatility level to the SuperTrend calculation.
🔔 Alerts: Set alerts for trend shifts and volatility changes.
📋 Data Table Display: View cluster details and current volatility on the chart.
Quick Guide to Using the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites by pressing the star icon. Customize settings like ATR length, SuperTrend factor, and volatility percentiles to fit your trading style.
📊 Market Analysis: Observe the color changes and SuperTrend line for trend reversals. Use the data table to monitor volatility clusters.
🔔 Alerts: Enable notifications for trend shifts and volatility changes to seize trading opportunities without constant chart monitoring.
How It Works
The indicator begins by calculating the ATR values over a specified training period to assess market volatility. Initial guesses for high, medium, and low volatility percentiles are inputted. The k-means clustering algorithm then iterates to classify the ATR values into three clusters. This classification helps in determining the appropriate volatility level to apply to the SuperTrend calculation. As the market evolves, the indicator dynamically adjusts, providing real-time trend and volatility insights. The indicator also incorporates a data table displaying cluster centroids, sizes, and the current volatility level, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
Add the Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend to your TradingView charts today and experience a smarter way to trade! 🌟📊
TICK Price Label Colors[Salty]The ticker symbol for the NYSE CUMULATIVE Tick Index is TICK. The Tick Index is a short-term indicator that shows the number of stocks trading up minus the number of stocks trading down. Traders can use this ratio to make quick trading decisions based on market movement. For example, a positive tick index can indicate market optimism, while readings of +1,000 and -1,000 can indicate overbought or oversold conditions.
This script is used to color code the price label of the Symbol values zero or above in Green(default), and values below zero in red(default). For a dynamic symbol like the TICK this tells me the market is bullish when Green or Bearish when Red. I was previously using the baseline style with a Base level of 50 to accomplish this view of the symbol, but it was always difficult to maintain the zero level at the zero TICK value. This indicator is always able to color code the price label properly. Also, it has the benefit of setting the timeframe to 1 second(default) that is maintained even when the chart timeframe is changed.
Update: Added the ability to show the TICK Symbol to support viewing multiple TICK tickers at once as shown.
VIX Futures Basis StrategyVIX Futures Basis Strategy
The VIX Futures Basis Strategy is a trading approach that takes advantage of the unique characteristics of the VIX index and its futures market. The VIX, often referred to as the "fear index," measures market expectations of near-term volatility. This strategy focuses on how the VIX futures contracts behave in relation to the spot VIX index and seeks to capitalize on the market's contango and backwardation phases.
Key Concepts:
VIX Index and VIX Futures:
The VIX index reflects the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days.
VIX futures allow traders to speculate on the future value of the VIX index.
Contango and Backwardation:
Contango occurs when the futures price is higher than the spot price, often indicating that the market expects volatility to rise in the future.
Backwardation is when the futures price is lower than the spot price, suggesting that the market expects a decrease in volatility.
Basis:
The basis is the difference between the futures price and the spot price. This strategy examines the basis for two consecutive VIX futures contracts.
Strategy Overview:
The VIX Futures Basis Strategy uses the relationship between the VIX index and its futures contracts to generate trading signals:
Long Position on Contango:
When both the front month and the second month VIX futures contracts are in contango (their prices are above the spot VIX index by a specified threshold), the strategy takes a long position.
This implies an expectation that the market will move from a state of expected higher future volatility to a more stable state, allowing profits to be made as the futures prices converge toward the spot price.
Closing Position on Backwardation:
If the basis for both futures contracts indicates backwardation (their prices are below the spot VIX index by a threshold), the strategy closes any long positions.
This condition suggests that the market anticipates decreasing volatility, and closing positions helps to avoid potential losses.
Bollinger Bands Enhanced StrategyOverview
The common practice of using Bollinger bands is to use it for building mean reversion or squeeze momentum strategies. In the current script Bollinger Bands Enhanced Strategy we are trying to combine the strengths of both strategies types. It utilizes Bollinger Bands indicator to buy the local dip and activates trailing profit system after reaching the user given number of Average True Ranges (ATR). Also it uses 200 period EMA to filter trades only in the direction of a trend. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trailing Profit System: Strategy uses user given number of ATR to activate trailing take profit. If price has already reached the trailing profit activation level, scrip will close long trade if price closes below Bollinger Bands middle line.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Major Trend Filter: Strategy utilizes 100 period EMA to take trades only in the direction of a trend.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose number of ATR as a stop loss (by default = 1.75) for trades. This is flexible approach because ATR is recalculated on every candle, therefore stop-loss readjusted to the current volatility.
Methodology
First of all, script checks if currently price is above the 200-period exponential moving average EMA. EMA is used to establish the current trend. Script will take long trades on if this filtering system showing us the uptrend. Then the strategy executes the long trade if candle’s low below the lower Bollinger band. To calculate the middle Bollinger line, we use the standard 20-period simple moving average (SMA), lower band is calculated by the substruction from middle line the standard deviation multiplied by user given value (by default = 2).
When long trade executed, script places stop-loss at the price level below the entry price by user defined number of ATR (by default = 1.75). This stop-loss level recalculates at every candle while trade is open according to the current candle ATR value. Also strategy set the trailing profit activation level at the price above the position average price by user given number of ATR (by default = 2.25). It is also recalculated every candle according to ATR value. When price hit this level script plotted the triangle with the label “Strong Uptrend” and start trail the price at the middle Bollinger line. It also started to be plotted as a green line.
When price close below this trailing level script closes the long trade and search for the next trade opportunity.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined and flexible approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined ATR stop loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 1.75*ATR drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
There is no fixed take profit, but strategy allows user to define user the ATR trailing profit activation parameter. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 2.25*ATR growth from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Bollinger bangs indicator to open long trades in the local dips. If price reached the lower band there is a high probability of bounce. Here is an issue: during the strong downtrend price can constantly goes down without any significant correction. That’s why we decided to use 200-period EMA as a trend filter to increase the probability of opening long trades during major uptrend only.
Usually, Bollinger Bands indicator is using for mean reversion or breakout strategies. Both of them have the disadvantages. The mean reversion buys the dip, but closes on the return to some mean value. Therefore, it usually misses the major trend moves. The breakout strategies usually have the issue with too high buy price because to have the breakout confirmation price shall break some price level. Therefore, in such strategies traders need to set the large stop-loss, which decreases potential reward to risk ratio.
In this strategy we are trying to combine the best features of both types of strategies. Script utilizes ate ATR to setup the stop-loss and trailing profit activation levels. ATR takes into account the current volatility. Therefore, when we setup stop-loss with the user-given number of ATR we increase the probability to decrease the number of false stop outs. The trailing profit concept is trying to add the beat feature from breakout strategies and increase probability to stay in trade while uptrend is developing. When price hit the trailing profit activation level, script started to trail the price with middle line if Bollinger bands indicator. Only when candle closes below the middle line script closes the long trade.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2020.10.01 - 2024.07.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.78%
Maximum Single Profit: +25.62%
Net Profit: +6778.11 USDT (+67.78%)
Total Trades: 111 (48.65% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.065
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 853.56 USDT (-6.60%)
Average Profit per Trade: 61.06 USDT (+1.62%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Volumetric Volatility Blocks [UAlgo]The Volumetric Volatility Blocks indicator is designed to identify significant volatility blocks based on price and volume data. It utilizes a combination of the Average True Range (ATR) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) to determine the volatility level and identify periods of heightened market activity. The indicator highlights these volatility blocks, providing traders with visual cues for potential trading opportunities. It differentiates between bullish and bearish volatility by analyzing price movement and volume, offering a nuanced view of market sentiment. This tool is particularly useful for traders looking to capitalize on periods of high volatility and momentum shifts.
🔶 Key Features
Volatility Measurement Length: Controls the period used to calculate the ATR.
Smooth Length of Volatility: Defines the period for the SMA used to smooth the ATR.
Multiplier of SMA: Sets the minimum threshold for the ATR to be considered a "high volatility" block.
Show Last X Volatility Blocks: Determines how many of the most recent volatility blocks are displayed on the chart.
Mitigation Method: Choose between "Close" or "Wick" price to filter volatility blocks based on price action. This helps avoid highlighting blocks broken by the chosen price level.
Volume Info: Displaying the volume associated with each block.
Up/Down Block Color: Sets the color for bullish and bearish volatility blocks.
🔶 Usage
The Volumetric Volatility Blocks indicator visually represents periods of high volatility with blocks on the chart. Green blocks indicate bullish volatility, while red blocks indicate bearish volatility.
Bullish Volatility Blocks: When the ATR surpasses the smoothed ATR multiplied by the set multiplier, and the price closes higher than it opened, a bullish block is formed. These blocks are generally used to identify potential buying opportunities as they indicate upward momentum.
Bearish Volatility Blocks: Conversely, bearish blocks form under the same conditions, but when the price closes lower than it opened. These blocks can signal potential selling opportunities as they highlight downward momentum.
Volume Information: Each block can display volume data, providing insight into the strength of the market movement. The percentage shown on the block indicates the relative volume contribution of that block, helping traders assess the significance of the volatility.
The volume percentages in the Volumetric Volatility Blocks indicator are calculated based on the total volume of the most recent volatility blocks. For each of the most recent volatility blocks, the percentage of the total volume is calculated by dividing the block's volume by the total volume:
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
test - ClassificationTensor-Based Classification Experiment
This innovative script represents an experimental foray into classification techniques, specifically designed to analyze returns within a compact time frame. By leveraging tensor-based analytics, it generates a comprehensive table that visually illustrates the distribution of counts across both current and historical bars, providing valuable insights into market patterns.
The script's primary objective is to classify returns over a small window, using this information to inform trading decisions. The output table showcases a normal distribution of count values for each bar in the lookback period, allowing traders to gain a deeper understanding of market behavior and identify potential opportunities.
Key Features:
Experimental classification approach utilizing tensor-based analytics
Compact time frame analysis (small window)
Comprehensive table displaying return counts across current and historical bars
Normal distribution visualization for better insight into market patterns
By exploring this script, traders can gain a deeper understanding of the underlying dynamics driving market movements and develop more effective trading strategies.
Premarket Std Dev BandsOverview
The Premarket Std Dev Bands indicator is a powerful Pine Script tool designed to help traders gain deeper insights into the premarket session's price movements. This indicator calculates and displays the standard deviation bands for premarket trading, providing valuable information on price volatility and potential support and resistance levels during the premarket hours.
Key Features
Premarket Focus: Specifically designed to analyze price movements during the premarket session, offering unique insights not available with traditional indicators.
Customizable Length: Users can adjust the averaging period for calculating the standard deviation, allowing for tailored analysis based on their trading strategy.
Standard Deviation Bands: Displays both 1 and 2 standard deviation bands, helping traders identify significant price movements and potential reversal points.
Real-Time Updates: Continuously updates the premarket open and close prices, ensuring the bands are accurate and reflective of current market conditions.
How It Works
Premarket Session Identification: The script identifies when the current bar is within the premarket session.
Track Premarket Prices: It tracks the open and close prices during the premarket session.
Calculate Premarket Moves: Once the premarket session ends, it calculates the price movement and stores it in an array.
Compute Averages and Standard Deviation: The script calculates the simple moving average (SMA) and standard deviation of the premarket moves over a specified period.
Plot Standard Deviation Bands: Based on the calculated standard deviation, it plots the 1 and 2 standard deviation bands around the premarket open price.
Usage
To utilize the Premarket Std Dev Bands indicator:
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
Adjust the Length input to set the averaging period for calculating the standard deviation.
Observe the plotted standard deviation bands during the premarket session to identify potential trading opportunities.
Benefits
Enhanced Volatility Analysis: Understand price volatility during the premarket session, which can be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Support and Resistance Levels: Use the standard deviation bands to identify key support and resistance levels, aiding in better entry and exit points.
Customizable and Flexible: Tailor the averaging period to match your trading style and strategy, making this indicator versatile for various market conditions.
ATR X-PowerATR X-Power is a simple graphical representation of Average True Range.
The ATR is calculated on a daily basis and averaged over the "Length" specified in settings (default is 14 days).
At the start of the day, the starting price is recorded and five horizontal lines are drawn which illustrate possible ranges for the day:
Starting price
Starting price + ATR (+100%)
Starting price - ATR (-100%)
Starting price + ATR/2 (+50%)
Starting price - ATR/2 (-50%)
The final two lines are drawn using the ATR half values in such a way that a X is formed. The X represents possible motion of the price back to starting price (also known as reversion to mean). The two lines are drawn as follows:
Beginning at (Starting Price + ATR/2) and ending at (Starting Price - ATR/2)
Beginning at (Starting Price - ATR/2) and ending at (Starting Price + ATR/2)
Use cases:
ATR presents us with the average amount of price fluctuation we can expect to see in a single day on a specific instrument
If price is near the extremes (+/-100% ATR) for the day, then probability of it moving outside that range is low, which increases odds of a reversal
Bugs?
Kindly report any issues you run into and I'll try to fix them promptly.
Thank you!
ADR (Log Scale) with MTF LabelsHere's a detailed presentation of the Average Daily Range (ADR) indicator, with a focus on its advantages compared to the classic ADR, its unique features, utility, and interpretation:
Advantages Compared to Classic ADR
1. Logarithmic Scale: Unlike the classic ADR, which uses a linear scale, this version uses a logarithmic scale for calculations. This approach provides a more accurate representation of relative price movements, especially for assets with large price ranges.
2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis: This enhanced ADR indicator allows traders to view daily, weekly, and monthly ADRs simultaneously. This multi-timeframe capability helps traders understand volatility trends over different periods, offering a more comprehensive market analysis.
3. Optional Smoothing: The inclusion of an optional smoothing feature (using Exponential Moving Average, EMA) helps reduce noise in the data. This makes the indicator more reliable by filtering out short-term fluctuations and highlighting the underlying volatility trend.
4. Information Display Labels: The indicator includes labels that display precise ADR values for each timeframe directly on the chart. This feature provides immediate, clear insights without requiring additional calculations or references.
Utility of the Indicator
1. Volatility Analysis: The ADR indicator is essential for assessing market volatility. By showing the average daily price range, it helps traders gauge how much an asset typically moves within a day, week, or month.
2. Risk Management: ADR levels can be used to set stop-loss points, improving risk management strategies. Knowing the average range helps traders avoid setting stops too close to the current price, which might otherwise be triggered by normal market fluctuations.
3. Setting Realistic Targets: By understanding the average daily range, traders can set more realistic profit targets. This helps in avoiding over-ambitious goals that are unlikely to be reached within the typical market movement.
4. Identifying Entry and Exit Points: The ADR can signal potential entry and exit points. For example, if the price approaches the upper or lower ADR boundary, it might indicate an overbought or oversold condition, respectively.
Interpretation and Examples
1. Increasing Volatility: If the ADR is increasing, it indicates rising market volatility. Traders might adjust their strategies accordingly, such as widening their stop-losses to accommodate larger price swings.
2. Range Breakout: If the price significantly exceeds the daily ADR, it may signal a strong trend or exceptional market movement. Traders can use this information to stay in the trade longer or to anticipate a potential reversal.
3. Mean Reversion: Prices often revert to the ADR mean. A trader might consider mean reversion trades when the price approaches the extremes of the ADR range, expecting it to move back towards the average.
4. Multi-Timeframe Comparison: If the daily ADR is higher than the weekly ADR, it may indicate unusually high short-term volatility. This can be a signal for traders to be cautious or to capitalize on the increased movement.
While the ADR indicator provides valuable insights into market volatility and can significantly enhance trading strategies, it is essential to remember that no indicator is foolproof. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not always indicative of future results. Traders should use the ADR indicator in conjunction with other tools and follow sound risk management practices to protect their capital.
Multi-Regression StrategyIntroducing the "Multi-Regression Strategy" (MRS) , an advanced technical analysis tool designed to provide flexible and robust market analysis across various financial instruments.
This strategy offers users the ability to select from multiple regression techniques and risk management measures, allowing for customized analysis tailored to specific market conditions and trading styles.
Core Components:
Regression Techniques:
Users can choose one of three regression methods:
1 - Linear Regression: Provides a straightforward trend line, suitable for steady markets.
2 - Ridge Regression: Offers a more stable trend estimation in volatile markets by introducing a regularization parameter (lambda).
3 - LOESS (Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing): Adapts to non-linear trends, useful for complex market behaviors.
Each regression method calculates a trend line that serves as the basis for trading decisions.
Risk Management Measures:
The strategy includes nine different volatility and trend strength measures. Users select one to define the trading bands:
1 - ATR (Average True Range)
2 - Standard Deviation
3 - Bollinger Bands Width
4 - Keltner Channel Width
5 - Chaikin Volatility
6 - Historical Volatility
7 - Ulcer Index
8 - ATRP (ATR Percentage)
9 - KAMA Efficiency Ratio
The chosen measure determines the width of the bands around the regression line, adapting to market volatility.
How It Works:
Regression Calculation:
The selected regression method (Linear, Ridge, or LOESS) calculates the main trend line.
For Ridge Regression, users can adjust the lambda parameter for regularization.
LOESS allows customization of the point span, adaptiveness, and exponent for local weighting.
Risk Band Calculation:
The chosen risk measure is calculated and normalized.
A user-defined risk multiplier is applied to adjust the sensitivity.
Upper and lower bounds are created around the regression line based on this risk measure.
Trading Signals:
Long entries are triggered when the price crosses above the regression line.
Short entries occur when the price crosses below the regression line.
Optional stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms use the calculated risk bands.
Customization and Flexibility:
Users can switch between regression methods to adapt to different market trends (linear, regularized, or non-linear).
The choice of risk measure allows adaptation to various market volatility conditions.
Adjustable parameters (e.g., regression length, risk multiplier) enable fine-tuning of the strategy.
Unique Aspects:
Comprehensive Regression Options:
Unlike many indicators that rely on a single regression method, MRS offers three distinct techniques, each suitable for different market conditions.
Diverse Risk Measures: The strategy incorporates a wide range of volatility and trend strength measures, going beyond traditional indicators to provide a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
Unified Framework:
By combining advanced regression techniques with various risk measures, MRS offers a cohesive approach to trend identification and risk management.
Adaptability:
The strategy can be easily adjusted to suit different trading styles, timeframes, and market conditions through its various input options.
How to Use:
Select a regression method based on your analysis of the current market trend (linear, need for regularization, or non-linear).
Choose a risk measure that aligns with your trading style and the market's current volatility characteristics.
Adjust the length parameter to match your preferred timeframe for analysis.
Fine-tune the risk multiplier to set the desired sensitivity of the trading bands.
Optionally enable stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms using the calculated risk bands.
Monitor the regression line for potential trend changes and the risk bands for entry/exit signals.
By offering this level of customization within a unified framework, the Multi-Regression Strategy provides traders with a powerful tool for market analysis and trading decision support. It combines the robustness of regression analysis with the adaptability of various risk measures, allowing for a more comprehensive and flexible approach to technical trading.
[SGM Geometric Brownian Motion]Description:
This indicator uses Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) simulations to predict possible price trajectories of a financial asset. It helps traders visualize potential price movements, assess risks, and make informed decisions.
Geometric Brownian Motion:
Geometric Brownian Motion is an extension of standard Brownian motion (or Wiener process) used to model the random behavior of particles in physics. In finance, this concept is used to model the evolution of asset prices over time in a continuous manner. The basic idea is that the price of an asset does not only change randomly but also exponentially depending on certain parameters.
Basic formula
The formula for the evolution of the price of an asset S(t) under MBG is given by the following stochastic differential equation:
𝑑𝑆(𝑡) = 𝜇𝑆(𝑡)𝑑𝑡 + 𝜎𝑆(𝑡)𝑑𝑊(𝑡)
where:
S(t) is the price of the asset at time
μ is the expected growth rate (or drift).
σ is the volatility of the price of the asset.
dW(t) represents the noise term, i.e. the standard Brownian motion.
Explanations of the terms
Expected growth rate (μ):
This is the expected average return on the asset. If you think your asset will grow by 5% per year,
μ will be 0.05.
Volatility (σ):
It is a measure of the uncertainty or risk associated with the asset. If the asset price varies a lot, σ will be high.
Noise term (dW(t)):
It represents the randomness of the price change, modeled by a Wiener process.
Features:
Customizable number of simulations: Choose the number of price trajectories to simulate to get a better estimate of future movements.
Adjustable simulation length: Set the duration of the simulations in number of periods to adapt the indicator to your trading horizons.
Trajectory display: Visualize the simulated price trajectories directly on the chart to better understand possible future scenarios.
Dispersion calculations: Display the distribution of simulated final prices to assess dispersion and potential variations.
Sharpe ratio distribution: Analyze the risk-adjusted performance of simulations using the Sharpe ratio distribution.
Risk Statistics: Get key risk metrics like maximum drawdown, average return, and Value at Risk (VaR) at different confidence levels.
User Inputs:
Number of Simulations: 200 by default.
Simulation Length: 10 periods by default.
Brownian Motion Transparency: Adjust the transparency of simulated lines for better visualization.
Brownian Motion Display: Enable or disable the display of simulated paths.
Brownian Dispersion Display: Display the distribution of simulated final prices.
Sharpe Dispersion Display: Display the distribution of Sharpe ratios.
Customizable Colors: Choose colors for lines and tables.
Usage:
Configure Settings: Adjust the number of simulations, simulation length, and display preferences to suit your needs.
Analyze Simulated Paths: Simulated path lines appear on the chart, representing possible price developments.
Review Dispersion Charts: Review the charts to understand the distribution of final prices and Sharpe ratios, as well as key risk statistics. This indicator is ideal for traders looking to anticipate future price movements and assess the associated risks. With its detailed simulations and dispersion analyses, it provides valuable insight into the financial markets.
Daily Liquidity Peaks and Troughs [ST]Daily Liquidity Peaks and Troughs
Description in English:
This indicator identifies peaks and troughs of highest liquidity on a daily timeframe by analyzing volume data. It helps traders visualize key points of high buying or selling pressure, which could indicate potential reversal or continuation areas.
Detailed Explanation:
Configuration:
Lookback Length: This input defines the period over which the highest high and lowest low are calculated. The default value is 14. This means the script will look at the past 14 bars to determine if the current high or low is a pivot point.
Volume Threshold Multiplier: This input defines the multiplier for the average volume. For example, a multiplier of 1.5 means the volume needs to be 1.5 times the average volume to be considered a significant peak or trough.
Peak Color: This input sets the color for liquidity peaks. The default color is red.
Trough Color: This input sets the color for liquidity troughs. The default color is green.
Volume Calculation:
Average Volume: The script calculates the simple moving average (SMA) of the volume over the lookback period. This helps to identify periods of significantly higher volume.
Volume Threshold: The threshold is determined by multiplying the average volume by the volume threshold multiplier. Only volumes exceeding this threshold are considered significant.
Identifying Peaks and Troughs:
Liquidity Peak: A peak is identified when the current high is the highest high over the lookback period and the current volume exceeds the volume threshold. This indicates a potential area of strong selling pressure.
Liquidity Trough: A trough is identified when the current low is the lowest low over the lookback period and the current volume exceeds the volume threshold. This indicates a potential area of strong buying pressure.
These peaks and troughs are marked on the chart with labels and shapes for easy visualization.
Plotting Peaks and Troughs:
Labels: The script uses labels to mark peaks and troughs on the chart. Peaks are marked with a red label and troughs with a green label.
Shapes: The script plots triangles above peaks and below troughs to highlight these areas visually.
Indicator Benefits:
Liquidity Identification: Helps traders identify key areas of high liquidity, indicating strong buying or selling pressure.
Visual Cues: Provides clear visual signals for potential reversal or continuation points, aiding in making informed trading decisions.
Customizable Parameters: Allows traders to adjust the lookback length and volume threshold to suit different trading strategies and market conditions.
Justification of Component Combination:
Peaks and Troughs Identification: Combining pivot points with volume analysis provides a robust method to identify significant liquidity areas. This helps in detecting potential market reversals or continuations.
Volume Analysis: Utilizing average volume and volume threshold ensures that only significant volume spikes are considered, enhancing the accuracy of identified peaks and troughs.
How Components Work Together:
The script first calculates the average volume over the specified lookback period.
It then checks each bar to see if it qualifies as a liquidity peak or trough based on the highest high, lowest low, and volume threshold.
When a peak or trough is identified, it is marked on the chart with a label and a shape, providing clear visual cues for traders.
Título: Picos e Fundos de Liquidez Diários
Descrição em Português:
Este indicador identifica picos e fundos de maior liquidez no gráfico diário, analisando os dados de volume. Ele ajuda os traders a visualizar pontos-chave de alta pressão de compra ou venda, o que pode indicar áreas potenciais de reversão ou continuação.
Explicação Detalhada:
Configuração:
Comprimento de Retrocesso: Este input define o período sobre o qual a máxima e mínima são calculadas. O valor padrão é 14. Isso significa que o script analisará os últimos 14 candles para determinar se a máxima ou mínima atual é um ponto de pivô.
Multiplicador de Limite de Volume: Este input define o multiplicador para o volume médio. Por exemplo, um multiplicador de 1.5 significa que o volume precisa ser 1.5 vezes o volume médio para ser considerado um pico ou fundo significativo.
Cor do Pico: Este input define a cor para os picos de liquidez. A cor padrão é vermelha.
Cor do Fundo: Este input define a cor para os fundos de liquidez. A cor padrão é verde.
Cálculo do Volume:
Volume Médio: O script calcula a média móvel simples (SMA) do volume ao longo do período de retrocesso. Isso ajuda a identificar períodos de volume significativamente mais alto.
Limite de Volume: O limite é determinado multiplicando o volume médio pelo multiplicador de limite de volume. Apenas volumes que excedem esse limite são considerados significativos.
Identificação de Picos e Fundos:
Pico de Liquidez: Um pico é identificado quando a máxima atual é a máxima mais alta no período de retrocesso e o volume atual excede o limite de volume. Isso indica uma potencial área de forte pressão de venda.
Fundo de Liquidez: Um fundo é identificado quando a mínima atual é a mínima mais baixa no período de retrocesso e o volume atual excede o limite de volume. Isso indica uma potencial área de forte pressão de compra.
Esses picos e fundos são marcados no gráfico com etiquetas e formas para fácil visualização.
Plotagem de Picos e Fundos:
Etiquetas: O script usa etiquetas para marcar picos e fundos no gráfico. Os picos são marcados com uma etiqueta vermelha e os fundos com uma etiqueta verde.
Formas: O script plota triângulos acima dos picos e abaixo dos fundos para destacar essas áreas visualmente.
Benefícios do Indicador:
Identificação de Liquidez: Ajuda os traders a identificar áreas-chave de alta liquidez, indicando forte pressão de compra ou venda.
Cues Visuais: Fornece sinais visuais claros para pontos potenciais de reversão ou continuação, auxiliando na tomada de decisões informadas.
Parâmetros Personalizáveis: Permite que os traders ajustem o comprimento de retrocesso e o limite de volume para se adequar a diferentes estratégias de negociação e condições de mercado.
Justificação da Combinação de Componentes:
Identificação de Picos e Fundos: A combinação de pontos de pivô com análise de volume fornece um método robusto para identificar áreas significativas de liquidez. Isso ajuda na detecção de potenciais reversões ou continuações de mercado.
Análise de Volume: Utilizar o volume médio e o limite de volume garante que apenas picos de volume significativos sejam considerados, aumentando a precisão dos picos e fundos identificados.
Como os Componentes Funcionam Juntos:
O script primeiro calcula o volume médio ao longo do período especificado de retrocesso.
Em seguida, verifica cada barra para ver se ela se qualifica como um pico ou fundo de liquidez com base
